Search Results (245)

The main objective of this study is to analyse the relevance of financial performance as an accurate predictor of ESG scores for French companies from 2010 to 2022. To this end, Machine Learning techniques such as linear regression, polynomial regression, Random Forest, and Support Vector Regression (SVR) were employed to provide more accurate and reliable assessments, thus informing the ESG rating attribution process. The results obtained highlight the excellent performance of the Random Forest method in predicting ESG scores from company financial variables. In addition, the approach identified specific financial variables (operating income, market capitalisation, enterprise value, etc.) that act as powerful predictors of companies’ ESG scores. This modelling approach offers a robust tool for predicting companies’ ESG scores from financial data, which can be valuable for investors and decision-makers wishing to assess and understand the impact of financial variables on corporate sustainability. Also, this allows sustainability investors to diversify their portfolios by including companies that are not currently rated by ESG rating agencies, that do not produce sustainability reports, as well as newly listed companies. It also gives companies the opportunity to identify areas where improvements are needed to enhance their ESG performance. Finally, it facilitates access to ESG ratings for interested external stakeholders. Our study focuses on using advances in artificial intelligence, exploring machine learning techniques to develop a reliable predictive model of ESG scores, which is proving to be an original and promising area of research. Full article

Sales forecasting in make-to-order (MTO) production is particularly challenging for small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) due to high product customization, volatile demand, and limited historical data. This study evaluates the practical feasibility and accuracy of statistical and machine learning (ML) forecasting methods in MTO settings across three manufacturing sectors: electrical equipment, steel, and office supplies. A cross-industry benchmark assesses models such as ARIMA, Holt–Winters, Random Forest, LSTM, and Facebook Prophet. The evaluation considers error metrics (MAE, RMSE, and sMAPE) as well as implementation aspects like computational demand and interpretability. Special attention is given to data sensitivity and technical limitations typical in SMEs. The findings show that ML models perform well under high volatility and when enriched with external indicators, but they require significant expertise and resources. In contrast, simpler statistical methods offer robust performance in more stable or seasonal demand contexts and are better suited in certain cases. The study emphasizes the importance of transparency, usability, and trust in forecasting tools and offers actionable recommendations for selecting a suitable forecasting configuration based on context. By aligning technical capabilities with operational needs, this research supports more effective decision-making in data-constrained MTO environments. Full article

As digital transformation accelerates across Europe, cloud computing plays an increasingly central role in modernizing public services and private enterprises. Yet adoption rates vary markedly among EU member states, reflecting deeper structural differences in digital capacity. This study employs explainable machine learning to uncover the drivers of national cloud adoption across 27 EU countries using harmonized panel datasets spanning 2014–2021 and 2014–2024. A methodological pipeline combining Random Forests (RF), XGBoost, Support Vector Machines (SVM), and Elastic Net regression is implemented, with model tuning conducted via nested cross-validation. Among individual models, Elastic Net and SVM delivered superior predictive performance, while a stacked ensemble achieved the best overall accuracy (MAE = 0.214, R² = 0.948). The most interpretable model, a standardized RF with country fixed effects, attained MAE = 0.321, and R² = 0.864, making it well-suited for policy analysis. Variable importance analysis reveals that the density of ICT specialists is the strongest predictor of adoption, followed by broadband access and higher education. Fixed-effect modeling confirms significant national heterogeneity, with countries like Finland and Luxembourg consistently leading adoption, while Bulgaria and Romania exhibit structural barriers. Partial dependence and SHAP analyses reveal nonlinear complementarities between digital skills and infrastructure. A hierarchical clustering of countries reveals three distinct digital maturity profiles, offering tailored policy pathways. These results directly support the EU Digital Decade’s strategic targets and provide actionable insights for advancing inclusive and resilient digital transformation across the Union. Full article

Accurately identifying the sources of fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) pollution is crucial for pollution control and public health protection. Taking the PM_2.5 pollution event that occurred in Suzhou in June 2023 as a typical case, this study analyzed the characteristics and components of PM_2.5, and quantified the contributions of meteorological conditions, regional transport, and local emissions to the summertime PM_2.5 surge in a typical Yangtze River Delta (YRD) city. Chemical composition analysis highlighted a sharp increase in nitrate ions (NO₃⁻, contributing up to 49% during peak pollution), with calcium ion (Ca²⁺) and sulfate ion (SO₄²⁻) concentrations rising to 2 times and 7.5 times those of clean periods, respectively. Results from the random forest model demonstrated that emission sources (74%) dominated this pollution episode, significantly surpassing the meteorological contribution (26%). The Weather Research and Forecasting model combined with the Community Multiscale Air Quality model (WRF–CMAQ) further revealed that local emissions contributed the most to PM_2.5 concentrations in Suzhou (46.3%), while external transport primarily originated from upwind cities such as Shanghai and Jiaxing. The findings indicate synergistic effects from dust sources, industrial emissions, and mobile sources. Validation using electricity consumption and key enterprise emission data confirmed that intensive local industrial activities exacerbated PM_2.5 accumulation. Recommendations include strengthening regulations on local industrial and mobile source emissions, and enhancing regional joint prevention and control mechanisms to mitigate cross-boundary transport impacts. Full article

Native forest timber supplies are declining, and industry needs to do more with less to meet growing demand for wood products. An Australian-based, vertically integrated timber manufacturing business is commissioning a spindleless lathe to produce engineered wood products from small logs. The literature on innovation in timber manufacturing was found to generally focus on technical innovation, with relatively little use of market-oriented concepts and theory. This was particularly true in the Australian context. Using a market-oriented case study approach, this research assessed innovation in the business. It aimed to inform industry-wide innovation approaches to meet market demand in the face of timber supply challenges. Interviews were conducted with key personnel at the firm. Data and outputs were produced to facilitate comparison to existing research and conceptual frameworks. The business was found to empower key staff and willingly access knowledge, information and data from outside its corporate domain. It was also found to prioritise corporate goals outside of traditional goals of profit and competitive advantage. This was shown to increase willingness to try new things at the mill and increase the chances that new approaches would succeed. Thinking outside of the corporate domain was shown to allow access to resources that the firm could not otherwise count on. It is recommended that wood processing businesses seek to emulate this element of the case study, and that academia and the broader sector examine further the potential benefits of using enterprise and market-oriented lenses to better utilise available resources and maintain progress towards corporate goals. Full article

This research explores how artificial intelligence (AI) can be leveraged to optimize packaging design, reduce operational costs, and enhance sustainability in e-commerce. As packaging waste and shipping inefficiencies grow alongside global online retail demand, traditional methods for determining box size, material use, and logistics planning have become economically and environmentally inadequate. Using a three-phase framework, this study integrates data-driven diagnostics, AI modeling, and real-world validation. In the first phase, a systematic analysis of current packaging inefficiencies was conducted through secondary data, benchmarking, and cost modeling. Findings revealed significant waste caused by over-packaging, suboptimal box-sizing, and poor alignment between product characteristics and logistics strategy. In the second phase, a random forest (RF) machine learning model was developed to predict optimal packaging configurations using key product features: weight, volume, and fragility. This model was supported by AI simulation tools that enabled virtual testing of material performance, space efficiency, and damage risk. Results demonstrated measurable improvements in packaging optimization, cost reduction, and emission mitigation. The third phase validated the AI framework using practical case studies—ranging from a college textbook to a fragile kitchen dish set and a high-volume children’s bicycle. The model successfully recommended right-sized packaging for each product, resulting in reduced material usage, improved shipping density, and enhanced protection. Simulated cost-saving scenarios further confirmed that smart packaging and AI-generated configurations can drive efficiency. The research concludes that AI-based packaging systems offer substantial strategic value, including cost savings, environmental benefits, and alignment with regulatory and consumer expectations—providing scalable, data-driven solutions for e-commerce enterprises such as Amazon and others. Full article

Heilongjiang Province, as China’s principal gateway for Russian timber imports, faces structural inefficiencies in the localization of wood-processing enterprises—characterized by ecological sensitivity, resource–industry mismatches, and uneven spatial distribution. To address these challenges, this study proposes a two-stage site selection framework that integrates Geographic Information Systems (GIS) with an enhanced Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II). The model aims to reconcile ecological protection with industrial efficiency by identifying optimal facility locations that minimize environmental impact, reduce construction and logistics costs, and enhance service coverage. Using spatially resolved multi-source datasets—including forest resource distribution, transportation networks, ecological redlines, and socioeconomic indicators—the GIS-based suitability analysis (Stage I) identified 16 candidate zones. Subsequently, a multi-objective optimization model (Stage II) was applied to minimize carbon intensity and cost while maximizing service accessibility. The improved NSGA-II algorithm achieved convergence within 700 iterations, generating 124 Pareto-optimal solutions and enabling a 23.7% reduction in transport-related CO₂ emissions. Beyond carbon mitigation, the model spatializes policy constraints and economic trade-offs into actionable infrastructure plans, contributing to regional sustainability goals and transboundary industrial coordination with Russia. It further demonstrates methodological generalizability for siting logistics-intensive and policy-sensitive facilities in other forestry-based economies. While the model does not yet account for temporal dynamics or agent behaviors, it provides a robust foundation for informed planning under China’s dual-carbon strategy and offers replicable insights for the global forest products supply chain. Full article

This study investigates the coupling coordination between carbon emission efficiency (CEE) and carbon balance (CB) in the Yellow River Basin (YRB), aiming to support high-quality regional development and the realization of China’s “dual carbon” goals. Based on panel data from 74 cities in the YRB between 2006 and 2022, the Super-SBM model, Ecological Support Coefficient (ESC), and coupling coordination degree (CCD) model are applied to evaluate the synergy between CEE and CB. Spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms are analyzed using kernel density estimation, Moran’s I index, the Dagum Gini coefficient, Markov chains, and the XGBoost algorithm. The results reveal a generally low and declining level of CCD, with the upstream and midstream regions performing better than the downstream. Spatial clustering is evident, characterized by significant positive autocorrelation and high-high or low-low clusters. Although regional disparities in CCD have narrowed slightly over time, interregional differences remain the primary source of variation. The likelihood of leapfrog development in CCD is limited, and high-CCD regions exhibit weak spillover effects. Forest coverage is identified as the most critical driver, significantly promoting CCD. Conversely, population density, urbanization, energy structure, and energy intensity negatively affect coordination. Economic development demonstrates a U-shaped relationship with CCD. Moreover, nonlinear interactions among forest coverage, population density, energy structure, and industrial enterprise scale further intensify the complexity of CCD. These findings provide important implications for enhancing regional carbon governance and achieving balanced ecological-economic development in the YRB. Full article

To advance evidence-based urban design prioritizing non-motorized mobility, this study proposes a street view-enabled explainable machine learning framework that systematically links built environment semantics to non-motorized transportation vitality optimization. By integrating Baidu Street View images with deep learning-based object detection (Faster R-CNN), we quantify fine-grained human-powered and mechanically assisted mobility vitality. These features are fused with multi-source geospatial data encompassing 23 built environment variables into an interpretable machine learning pipeline using SHAP-optimized random forest models. The key findings reveal distinct nonlinear response patterns between HP and MA modes to built environment factors; for instance, a notable promotion in mechanically assisted NMT vitality is observed as enterprise density increases beyond 0.2 facilities per ha. Emergent synergistic and threshold effects are evident from variable interactions requiring multidimensional planning consideration, as demonstrated in phenomena such as the peaking of human-powered NMT vitality occurring at public facility densities of 0.2–0.8 facilities per ha, enterprise densities of 0.6–1 facilities per ha, and spatial heterogeneity patterns identified through Bivariate Local Moran’s I clustering. This research contributes an innovative technical framework combining street view image recognition with explainable AI, while practically informing urban planning through evidence-based mobility zone classification and targeted strategy formulation, enabling more precise optimization of pedestrian-/cyclist-oriented urban spaces. Full article

Achieving organizational efficiency requires the selection of an appropriate operating model. To date, no objective indicators, methods of measuring, or criteria for evaluating the effectiveness and efficiency of forest management organizations have been developed. In the heterogeneous forest management of the European Union (EU), multiple objectives and functions—from production to social and ecological services—coexist at regional and national levels. This study provides an overview of the organizational and legal forms of EU forestry, taking into account environmental conditions, ownership structures, and the role of the forestry sector in national economies. The legal information of EU countries on forest management was verified. We examine the impact of the entity’s organizational and legal form on the implementation of sustainable forest management and the objectives of the New EU Forest Strategy 2030, particularly in terms of absorbing external capital for forest protection and climate-related activities. Joint stock companies, public institutions, and enterprises are the most relevant. The private sector is dominated by individual farms, associations, chambers of commerce, and federations. A clear trend toward transforming state-owned enterprises into joint-stock companies and expanding their operational scope has been confirmed. Multifunctional forest management is practiced in both state and private forests. Economic efficiency, legal and property liability, and organizational goals depend on the chosen organizational and legal form. Full article

Droughts accompanied by high temperatures are becoming increasingly frequent across Europe and globally. Both individual trees and entire forest ecosystems are exposed to drought stress, with prolonged drought periods leading to increased tree mortality. Therefore, continuous monitoring, data collection, and analysis of tree mortality are essential prerequisites for understanding the complex interactions between climate and trees. This study examined the effects of short-term and prolonged (multi-year) droughts on the mortality of individual trees and forests in Serbia. The analysis was based on datasets from our previous research on the influence of drought and drought duration on individual tree mortality in Serbian forest ecosystems, supplemented with new data collected through the International Co-operative Programme on Assessment and Monitoring of Air Pollution Effects on Forests (ICP Forests). Additionally, we incorporated data from the public enterprise (PE) “Srbijašume”, which manages forests in Central Serbia, focusing on random yields resulting from natural disasters (droughts). These data enabled a comparative assessment of the findings on increased mortality and drought impact at both the individual tree level and the stand level. This study identifies key similarities and differences in tree mortality trends based on drought duration and examines their correlations within the same time frame (2004–2023). By analysing climatic conditions across Serbia, we provide evidence of the interaction between drought periods and increased forest mortality, which we further confirmed by calculating the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). We also address the tree species that were most sensitive to the effects of drought. Our findings indicate that prolonged (multi-year) droughts, accompanied by high temperatures, have significantly contributed to increased tree mortality over the past decade. Successive multi-year droughts pose a substantial threat to both individual trees and entire forests, producing more severe and persistent responses compared to those caused by single-year droughts, which forests and individual trees are generally more capable of tolerating. Moreover, due to prolonged drought stress, trees weaken, leading to delayed mortality that may manifest several years after the initial drought event. The observed increase in tree mortality has been found to correlate with rising temperatures and the growing frequency of prolonged droughts over the past decade. Especially, intense droughts in the growing season (April–September) have a very negative impact on forests. Full article

In the new paradigm where the digital economy is profoundly reshaping urban spatial organization, how the platform economy transcends traditional geographical constraints to restructure the urban system has become a strategic issue in urban geography and regional economics. This study develops an innovative measurement framework based on Business-to-Business (B2B) e-commerce enterprises to analyze platform-driven urban systems across 337 Chinese cities. Using spatial autocorrelation, rank-size distributions, and urban scaling laws, we reveal spatial differentiation patterns of cities’ B2B platforms. Combining Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and random forest models with Partial Dependence Plots (PDP), Individual Conditional Expectations (ICE), and Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing (LOWESS), we uncover non-linear mechanisms between platform development and urban attributes. Results indicate that (1) B2B platforms exhibit “superliner agglomeration” and “gradient locking”, reinforcing advantages in top-tier cities; (2) platform effects are non-linear, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Information Technology (IT) employment, and service sector shares showing threshold-enhanced marginal effects, while manufacturing bases display saturation effects; and (3) regional divergence exists, with eastern consumer-oriented platforms forming digital synergies, while western manufacturing platforms face path dependence. The findings highlight that platform economy evolution is shaped by a “threshold–adaptation–differentiation” mechanism rather than neutral diffusion. This study provides new insights into urban system restructuring under digital transformation. Full article

In the context of China’s accelerated “dual transition” towards industrial intelligence and green development, this paper investigates how local government decarbonization pressures affect urban industrial intelligence in China. Using the Low-Carbon City Pilot policy as a quasi-natural experiment, a staggered difference-in-differences approach and Causal Forest model reveal the following findings: (1) Local government decarbonization pressures significantly boost urban industrial intelligence. (2) Local government decarbonization pressures foster intelligent development by encouraging the introduction of intelligent policies, which motivate enterprises to adopt proactive strategies. Meanwhile, the pressures compel enterprises to engage in source-based environmental governance, resulting in a passive intelligent response. Together, these approaches enhance urban industrial intelligence. (3) Fiscal pressure negatively moderates the relationship between local government decarbonization pressures and urban industrial intelligence. (4) There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between openness to foreign trade and the Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE), while CATE is higher for cities with higher urban labor costs. (5) Finally, urban industrial intelligence effectively channels local government decarbonization pressures into measurable emission reductions. These findings have significant policy relevance for building a low-carbon, intelligent society. Full article

This paper presents an advanced framework for real-time monitoring and analysis of network traffic and endpoint security in large-scale enterprises by addressing the increasing complexity and frequency of cyber-attacks. Our Network Security Traffic Analysis Platform employs a comprehensive technology stack including the Elastic Stack, ZEEK, Osquery, Kafka, and GeoLocation data. By integrating supervised machine learning models trained on the UNSW-NB15 dataset, we evaluate Random Forest (RF), Decision Trees (DT), and Support Vector Machines (SVM), with the Random Forest classifier achieving a notable accuracy of 99.32%. Leveraging Artificial Intelligence and Natural Language Processing, we apply the BERT model with a Byte-level Byte-pair tokenizer to enhance network-based attack detection in IoT systems. Experiments on UNSW-NB15, TON-IoT, and Edge-IIoT datasets demonstrate our platform’s superiority over traditional methods in multi-class classification tasks, achieving near-perfect accuracy on the Edge-IIoT dataset. Furthermore, Network Security Traffic Analysis Platform’s ability to produce actionable insights through charts, tables, histograms, and other visualizations underscores its capability in static analysis of traffic data. This dual approach of real-time and static analysis provides a robust foundation for developing scalable, efficient, and automated security solutions, essential for managing the evolving threats in modern networks. Full article

Efficient supply chain management (SCM) is essential for enterprises seeking to enhance operational efficiency, reduce costs, and mitigate risks while ensuring product quality and customer satisfaction. Addressing quality concerns within the supply chain proactively helps minimize rework, recalls, and returns, leading to significant cost savings and improved profitability. This study presents a machine learning (ML)-driven predictive analytics framework designed to forecast defect rates and optimize quality control processes. The research leverages a dataset sourced from a real-world fashion and beauty startup, hosted in a public repository. The framework employs advanced ML algorithms, including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machines (SVMs), and random forests (RFs), to accurately predict defect rates and derive actionable insights for supply chain optimization. Results demonstrate the effectiveness of predictive analytics in improving supply chain quality management, enabling enterprises to proactively reduce defect rates, minimize costs, and optimize return on investment (ROI). The proposed framework is designed to be scalable and transferable, ensuring adaptability across various industries, including fashion, e-commerce, and manufacturing. These findings underscore the economic and operational benefits of integrating machine learning into supply chain quality control, offering a data-driven, proactive approach to achieving high-efficiency, high-quality supply chain operations. Full article