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18 pages, 307 KiB  
Article
Who Is Manipulating Corporate Wallets Amid the Ever-Changing Circumstances? Digital Clues, Information Truths and Risk Mysteries
by Cheng Tao, Roslan Ja’afar and Wan Mohd Hirwani Wan Hussain
J. Theor. Appl. Electron. Commer. Res. 2025, 20(3), 206; https://doi.org/10.3390/jtaer20030206 - 7 Aug 2025
Abstract
Digital transformation (DT) has emerged as a key strategic lever for enhancing firm resilience and competitiveness, yet its influence on non-productive investment behaviors, such as corporate financial investment, remains underexplored. Existing studies have largely focused on DT’s role in innovation and operational efficiency, [...] Read more.
Digital transformation (DT) has emerged as a key strategic lever for enhancing firm resilience and competitiveness, yet its influence on non-productive investment behaviors, such as corporate financial investment, remains underexplored. Existing studies have largely focused on DT’s role in innovation and operational efficiency, leaving a significant gap in understanding how DT reshapes firms’ financial asset allocation. Drawing on a unique panel dataset of A-share main board-listed firms in China from 2011 to 2023, this study provides novel empirical evidence that DT significantly restrains financial investment, with pronounced heterogeneity across ownership types. More importantly, this paper uncovers a multi-layered mechanism: DT enhances the corporate information environment, which subsequently reduces financial investment. In addition, the analysis reveals a moderated mediation mechanism wherein economic uncertainty dampens the information-enhancing effect of DT. Unlike previous research that treats corporate risk-taking as a parallel mediator, this study identifies a sequential mediation pathway, where improved information environments suppress financial investment indirectly by influencing firms’ risk-taking behavior. These findings offer new theoretical insights into the financial implications of DT and contribute to the broader understanding of enterprise behavior in the context of digitalization and economic volatility. Full article
15 pages, 316 KiB  
Article
Evaluation of Diet Quality, Physical Health, and Mental Health Baseline Data from a Wellness Intervention for Individuals Living in Transitional Housing
by Callie Millward, Kyle Lyman, Soonwye Lucero, James D. LeCheminant, Cindy Jenkins, Kristi Strongo, Gregory Snow, Heidi LeBlanc, Lea Palmer and Rickelle Richards
Nutrients 2025, 17(15), 2563; https://doi.org/10.3390/nu17152563 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Background/Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate baseline health measurements among transitional housing residents (n = 29) participating in an 8-week pilot wellness intervention. Methods: Researchers measured anthropometrics, body composition, muscular strength, cardiovascular indicators, physical activity, diet quality, [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate baseline health measurements among transitional housing residents (n = 29) participating in an 8-week pilot wellness intervention. Methods: Researchers measured anthropometrics, body composition, muscular strength, cardiovascular indicators, physical activity, diet quality, and health-related perceptions. Researchers analyzed data using descriptive statistics and conventional content analysis. Results: Most participants were male, White, and food insecure. Mean BMI (31.8 ± 8.6 kg/m2), waist-to-hip ratio (1.0 ± 0.1 males, 0.9 ± 0.1 females), body fat percentage (25.8 ± 6.1% males, 40.5 ± 9.4% females), blood pressure (131.8 ± 17.9/85.2 ± 13.3 mmHg), and daily step counts exceeded recommended levels. Absolute grip strength (77.1 ± 19.4 kg males, 53.0 ± 15.7 kg females) and perceived general health were below reference standards. The Healthy Eating Index-2020 score (39.7/100) indicated low diet quality. Common barriers to healthy eating were financial constraints (29.6%) and limited cooking/storage facilities (29.6%), as well as to exercise, physical impediments (14.8%). Conclusions: Residents living in transitional housing have less favorable body composition, diet, and grip strength measures, putting them at risk for negative health outcomes. Wellness interventions aimed at promoting improved health-related outcomes while addressing common barriers to proper diet and exercise among transitional housing residents are warranted. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Nutrition in Vulnerable Population Groups)
27 pages, 4506 KiB  
Article
Interpretable Machine Learning Framework for Corporate Financialization Prediction: A SHAP-Based Analysis of High-Dimensional Data
by Yanhe Wang, Wei Wei, Zhuodong Liu, Jiahe Liu, Yinzhen Lv and Xiangyu Li
Mathematics 2025, 13(15), 2526; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13152526 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
High-dimensional prediction problems with complex non-linear feature interactions present significant algorithmic challenges in machine learning, particularly when dealing with imbalanced datasets and multicollinearity issues. This study proposes an innovative Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP)-enhanced machine learning framework that integrates SHAP with advanced ensemble methods [...] Read more.
High-dimensional prediction problems with complex non-linear feature interactions present significant algorithmic challenges in machine learning, particularly when dealing with imbalanced datasets and multicollinearity issues. This study proposes an innovative Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP)-enhanced machine learning framework that integrates SHAP with advanced ensemble methods for interpretable financialization prediction. The methodology simultaneously addresses high-dimensional feature selection using 40 independent variables (19 CSR-related and 21 financialization-related), multicollinearity issues, and model interpretability requirements. Using a comprehensive dataset of 25,642 observations from 3776 Chinese A-share companies (2011–2022), we implement nine optimized machine learning algorithms with hyperparameter tuning via the Hippopotamus Optimization algorithm and five-fold cross-validation. XGBoost demonstrates superior performance with 99.34% explained variance, achieving an RMSE of 0.082 and R2 of 0.299. SHAP analysis reveals non-linear U-shaped relationships between key predictors and financialization outcomes, with critical thresholds at approximately 10 for CSR_SocR, 1.5 for CSR_S, and 5 for CSR_CV. SOE status, EPU, ownership concentration, firm size, and housing prices emerge as the most influential predictors. Notable shifts in factor importance occur during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020–2022). This work contributes a scalable, interpretable machine learning architecture for high-dimensional financial prediction problems, with applications in risk assessment, portfolio optimization, and regulatory monitoring systems. Full article
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30 pages, 20256 KiB  
Article
From Fields to Finance: Dynamic Connectedness and Optimal Portfolio Strategies Among Agricultural Commodities, Oil, and Stock Markets
by Xuan Tu and David Leatham
Int. J. Financial Stud. 2025, 13(3), 143; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs13030143 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
In this study, we investigate the return propagation mechanism, hedging effectiveness, and portfolio performance across several common agricultural commodities, crude oil, and S&P 500 index, ranging from July 2000 to June 2024 by using a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) connectedness approach and [...] Read more.
In this study, we investigate the return propagation mechanism, hedging effectiveness, and portfolio performance across several common agricultural commodities, crude oil, and S&P 500 index, ranging from July 2000 to June 2024 by using a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) connectedness approach and three common multiple assets portfolio optimization strategies. The empirical results show that, the total connectedness peaked during the 2008 global financial crisis, followed by the European debt crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, while it remained relatively lower at the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. In the transmission mechanism, commodities and S&P 500 index exhibit distinct and dynamic characteristics as transmitters or receivers. Portfolio analysis reveals that, with exception of the COVID-19 pandemic, all three dynamic portfolios outperform the S&P 500 benchmark across major global crises. Additionally, the minimum correlation and minimum connectedness strategies are superior than transitional minimum variance method in most scenarios. Our findings have implications for policymakers in preventing systemic risk, for investors in managing portfolio risk, and for farmers and agribusiness enterprises in enhancing economic benefits. Full article
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28 pages, 930 KiB  
Review
Financial Development and Energy Transition: A Literature Review
by Shunan Fan, Yuhuan Zhao and Sumin Zuo
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4166; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154166 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Under the global context of climate governance and sustainable development, low-carbon energy transition has become a strategic imperative. As a critical force in resource allocation, the financial system’s impact on energy transition has attracted extensive academic attention. This paper presents the first comprehensive [...] Read more.
Under the global context of climate governance and sustainable development, low-carbon energy transition has become a strategic imperative. As a critical force in resource allocation, the financial system’s impact on energy transition has attracted extensive academic attention. This paper presents the first comprehensive literature review on energy transition research in the context of financial development. We develop a “Financial Functions-Energy Transition Dynamics” analytical framework to comprehensively examine the theoretical and empirical evidence regarding the relationship between financial development (covering both traditional finance and emerging finance) and energy transition. The understanding of financial development’s impact on energy transition has progressed from linear to nonlinear perspectives. Early research identified a simple linear promoting effect, whereas current studies reveal distinctly nonlinear and multidimensional effects, dynamically driven by three fundamental factors: economy, technology, and resources. Emerging finance has become a crucial driver of transition through technological innovation, risk diversification, and improved capital allocation efficiency. Notable disagreements persist in the existing literature on conceptual frameworks, measurement approaches, and empirical findings. By synthesizing cutting-edge empirical evidence, we identify three critical future research directions: (1) dynamic coupling mechanisms, (2) heterogeneity of financial instruments, and (3) stage-dependent evolutionary pathways. Our study provides a theoretical foundation for understanding the complex finance-energy transition relationship and informs policy-making and interdisciplinary research. Full article
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20 pages, 312 KiB  
Article
Pimelea and Its Toxicity: A Survey of Landholder Experiences and Management Practices
by Rashid Saleem, Shane Campbell, Mary T. Fletcher, Sundaravelpandian Kalaipandian and Steve W. Adkins
Toxins 2025, 17(8), 393; https://doi.org/10.3390/toxins17080393 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Pimelea is one of the highly toxic plants in Australia, particularly affecting cattle. It contains simplexin, a potent toxin that can cause Pimelea poisoning (St. George Disease) in livestock. A survey was conducted to assess the current impact of Pimelea on livestock production, [...] Read more.
Pimelea is one of the highly toxic plants in Australia, particularly affecting cattle. It contains simplexin, a potent toxin that can cause Pimelea poisoning (St. George Disease) in livestock. A survey was conducted to assess the current impact of Pimelea on livestock production, pasture systems, and financial losses among agricultural producers. In addition, information was also sought about the environmental conditions that facilitate its growth and the effectiveness of existing management strategies. The survey responses were obtained from producers affected by Pimelea across nine different Local Government Areas, through three States, viz., Queensland, New South Wales, and South Australia. Pimelea was reported to significantly affect animal production, with 97% of producers surveyed acknowledging its detrimental effects. Among livestock, cattle were the most severely affected (94%), when compared to sheep (13%), goats (3%), and horses (3%). The presence of Pimelea was mostly observed in spring (65%) and winter (48%), although 29% of respondents indicated that it could be present all year-round under favorable rainfall conditions. Germination was associated with light to moderate rainfall (52%), while only 24% linked it to heavy rainfall. Pimelea simplex F. Muell. was the most frequently encountered species (71%), followed by Pimelea trichostachya Lindl. (26%). Infestations were reported to occur annually by 47% of producers, with 41% noting occurrences every 2 to 5 years. Financially, producers estimated average annual losses of AUD 67,000, with 50% reporting an average of 26 cattle deaths per year, reaching up to 105 deaths in severe years. Some producers were spending up to AUD 2100 per annum to manage Pimelea. While chemical and physical controls were commonly employed, integrating competitive pastures and alternative livestock, such as sheep and goats, was considered as a potential management strategy. This study reiterates the need for further research on sustainable pasture management practices to reduce Pimelea-related risks to livestock and agricultural production systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Plant Toxin Emergency)
22 pages, 688 KiB  
Review
The Evolving Treatment Landscape for the Elderly Multiple Myeloma Patient: From Quad Regimens to T-Cell Engagers and CAR-T
by Matthew James Rees and Hang Quach
Cancers 2025, 17(15), 2579; https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17152579 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Multiple myeloma (MM) is predominantly a disease of the elderly. In recent years, a surge of highly effective plasma cell therapies has revolutionized the care of elderly multiple myeloma (MM) patients, for whom frailty and age-related competing causes of mortality determine management. Traditionally, [...] Read more.
Multiple myeloma (MM) is predominantly a disease of the elderly. In recent years, a surge of highly effective plasma cell therapies has revolutionized the care of elderly multiple myeloma (MM) patients, for whom frailty and age-related competing causes of mortality determine management. Traditionally, the treatment of newly diagnosed elderly patients has centered on doublet or triplet combinations composed of immunomodulators (IMIDs), proteasome inhibitors (PIs), anti-CD38 monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), and corticosteroids producing median progression-free survival (PFS) rates between 34 and 62 months. However, recently, a series of large phase III clinical trials examining quadruplet regimens of PIs, IMIDs, corticosteroids, and anti-CD38 mAbs have shown exceptional outcomes, with median PFS exceeding 60 months, albeit with higher rates of peripheral neuropathy (≥Grade 2: 27% vs. 10%) when PIs and IMIDs are combined, and infections (≥Grade 3: 40% vs. 29–41%) with the addition of anti-CD38mAbs. The development of T-cell redirecting therapies including T-cell engagers (TCEs) and CAR-T cells has further expanded the therapeutic arsenal. TCEs have shown exceptional activity in relapsed disease and are being explored in the newly diagnosed setting with promising early results. However, concerns remain regarding the logistical challenges of step-up dosing, which often necessitates inpatient admission, the infectious risks, and the financial burden associated with TCEs in elderly patients. CAR-T, the most potent commercially available therapy for MM, offers the potential of a ‘one and done’ approach. However, its application to elderly patients has been tempered by significant concerns of cytokine release syndrome, early and delayed neurological toxicity, and its overall tolerability in frail patients. Robust data in frail patients are still needed. How CAR-T and TCEs will be sequenced among the growing therapeutic armamentarium for elderly MM patients remains to be determined. This review explores the safety, efficacy, cost, and logistical barriers associated with the above treatments in elderly MM patients. Full article
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17 pages, 913 KiB  
Article
The Effects of CBDCs on Mobile Money and Outstanding Loans: Evidence from the eNaira and SandDollar Experiences
by Francisco Elieser Giraldo-Gordillo and Ricardo Bustillo-Mesanza
FinTech 2025, 4(3), 39; https://doi.org/10.3390/fintech4030039 - 5 Aug 2025
Viewed by 11
Abstract
This paper measures the post-treatment effects of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) on mobile money and outstanding loans from commercial banks as a percentage of the GDP in Nigeria and the Bahamas, respectively, from the perspective of financial inclusion. The literature on the [...] Read more.
This paper measures the post-treatment effects of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) on mobile money and outstanding loans from commercial banks as a percentage of the GDP in Nigeria and the Bahamas, respectively, from the perspective of financial inclusion. The literature on the topic has primarily focused on the technological specifications of CBDCs and their potential future implementation. This article addresses a gap in the empirical literature by examining the effects of CBDCs. To this end, a Synthetic Control Method (SCM) is applied to the Bahamas (SandDollar) and Nigeria (eNaira) to construct a counterfactual scenario and assess the impact of CBDCs on mobile money and commercial bank loans. Nigeria’s mobile money transactions as a percentage of the GDP increased significantly compared to the synthetic control group, suggesting a notable positive effect of the eNaira. Conversely, in the Bahamas, actual performance fell below the synthetic control, implying that SandDollar may have contributed to a decline in outstanding loans. These results suggest that CBDCs could pose a “deposit substitution risk” for commercial banks. However, they may also enhance the performance of other Fintech tools, as observed in the case of mobile money. As CBDC implementations worldwide remain in their early stages, their long-term effects require further analysis. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Fintech Innovations: Transforming the Financial Landscape)
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19 pages, 457 KiB  
Article
Can FinTech Close the VAT Gap? An Entrepreneurial, Behavioral, and Technological Analysis of Tourism SMEs
by Konstantinos S. Skandalis and Dimitra Skandali
FinTech 2025, 4(3), 38; https://doi.org/10.3390/fintech4030038 - 5 Aug 2025
Viewed by 39
Abstract
Governments worldwide are mandating e-invoicing and real-time VAT reporting, yet many cash-intensive service SMEs continue to under-report VAT, eroding fiscal revenues. This study investigates whether financial technology (FinTech) adoption can reduce this under-reporting among tourism SMEs in Greece—an economy with high seasonal spending [...] Read more.
Governments worldwide are mandating e-invoicing and real-time VAT reporting, yet many cash-intensive service SMEs continue to under-report VAT, eroding fiscal revenues. This study investigates whether financial technology (FinTech) adoption can reduce this under-reporting among tourism SMEs in Greece—an economy with high seasonal spending and a persistent shadow economy. This is the first micro-level empirical study to examine how FinTech tools affect VAT compliance in this sector, offering novel insights into how technology interacts with behavioral factors to influence fiscal behavior. Drawing on the Technology Acceptance Model, deterrence theory, and behavioral tax compliance frameworks, we surveyed 214 hotels, guesthouses, and tour operators across Greece’s main tourism regions. A structured questionnaire measured five constructs: FinTech adoption, VAT compliance behavior, tax morale, perceived audit probability, and financial performance. Using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling and bootstrapped moderation–mediation analysis, we find that FinTech adoption significantly improves declared VAT, with compliance fully mediating its impact on financial outcomes. The effect is especially strong among businesses led by owners with high tax morale or strong perceptions of audit risk. These findings suggest that FinTech tools function both as efficiency enablers and behavioral nudges. The results support targeted policy actions such as subsidies for e-invoicing, tax compliance training, and transparent audit communication. By integrating technological and psychological dimensions, the study contributes new evidence to the digital fiscal governance literature and offers a practical framework for narrowing the VAT gap in tourism-driven economies. Full article
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17 pages, 1152 KiB  
Article
PortRSMs: Learning Regime Shifts for Portfolio Policy
by Bingde Liu and Ryutaro Ichise
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(8), 434; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18080434 - 5 Aug 2025
Viewed by 63
Abstract
This study proposes a novel Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) policy network structure for portfolio management called PortRSMs. PortRSMs employs stacked State-Space Models (SSMs) for the modeling of multi-scale continuous regime shifts in financial time series, striking a balance between exploring consistent distribution properties [...] Read more.
This study proposes a novel Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) policy network structure for portfolio management called PortRSMs. PortRSMs employs stacked State-Space Models (SSMs) for the modeling of multi-scale continuous regime shifts in financial time series, striking a balance between exploring consistent distribution properties over short periods and maintaining sensitivity to sudden shocks in price sequences. PortRSMs also performs cross-asset regime fusion through hypergraph attention mechanisms, providing a more comprehensive state space for describing changes in asset correlations and co-integration. Experiments conducted on two different trading frequencies in the stock markets of the United States and Hong Kong show the superiority of PortRSMs compared to other approaches in terms of profitability, risk–return balancing, robustness, and the ability to handle sudden market shocks. Specifically, PortRSMs achieves up to a 0.03 improvement in the annual Sharpe ratio in the U.S. market, and up to a 0.12 improvement for the Hong Kong market compared to baseline methods. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning Applications in Finance, 2nd Edition)
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23 pages, 344 KiB  
Article
Hot-Hand Belief and Loss Aversion in Individual Portfolio Decisions: Evidence from a Financial Experiment
by Marcleiton Ribeiro Morais, José Guilherme de Lara Resende and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(8), 433; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18080433 - 5 Aug 2025
Viewed by 69
Abstract
We investigate whether a belief in trend continuation, often associated with the so-called “hot-hand effect,” can be endogenously triggered by personal performance feedback in a controlled financial experiment. Participants allocated funds across assets with randomly generated prices, under conditions of known probabilities and [...] Read more.
We investigate whether a belief in trend continuation, often associated with the so-called “hot-hand effect,” can be endogenously triggered by personal performance feedback in a controlled financial experiment. Participants allocated funds across assets with randomly generated prices, under conditions of known probabilities and varying levels of risk. In a two-stage setup, participants were first exposed to random price sequences to learn the task and potentially develop perceptions of personal success. They then faced additional price paths under incentivized conditions. Our findings show that participants initially increased purchases following gains—consistent with a feedback-driven belief in momentum—but this pattern faded over time. When facing sustained losses, loss aversion dominated decision-making, overriding early optimism. These results highlight how cognitive heuristics and emotional biases interact dynamically, suggesting that belief in trend continuation is context-sensitive and constrained by the reluctance to realize losses. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Economics and Finance)
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12 pages, 1125 KiB  
Article
Algorithmic Trading System with Adaptive State Model of a Binary-Temporal Representation
by Michal Dominik Stasiak
Risks 2025, 13(8), 148; https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13080148 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 80
Abstract
In this paper a new state model is introduced, an adaptative state model in a binary temporal representation (ASMBRT) as well as its application in constructing an algorithmic trading system. The presented model uses the binary temporal representation, which allows for a precise [...] Read more.
In this paper a new state model is introduced, an adaptative state model in a binary temporal representation (ASMBRT) as well as its application in constructing an algorithmic trading system. The presented model uses the binary temporal representation, which allows for a precise analysis of exchange rates without losing any informative value of the data. The basis of the model is the trajectory analysis for the ensuing changes in price quotations and dependencies between the duration of each change. The main advantage of the model is to eliminate the threshold analysis, used in existing state models. This solution allows for a more accurate identification of investor behavior patterns, which translates into a reduction of investment risk. In order to verify obtained results in practice, the paper presents a concept of creating an algorithmic trading system and an analysis of its financial effectiveness for the exchange rate most popular among investors, namely EUR/USD. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Risk Models and Actuarial Science)
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20 pages, 1622 KiB  
Review
Behavioural Cardiology: A Review on an Expanding Field of Cardiology—Holistic Approach
by Christos Fragoulis, Maria-Kalliopi Spanorriga, Irini Bega, Andreas Prentakis, Evangelia Kontogianni, Panagiotis-Anastasios Tsioufis, Myrto Palkopoulou, John Ntalakouras, Panagiotis Iliakis, Ioannis Leontsinis, Kyriakos Dimitriadis, Dimitris Polyzos, Christina Chrysochoou, Antonios Politis and Konstantinos Tsioufis
J. Pers. Med. 2025, 15(8), 355; https://doi.org/10.3390/jpm15080355 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 82
Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains Europe’s leading cause of mortality, responsible for >45% of deaths. Beyond established risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidaemia, smoking, obesity), psychosocial elements—depression, anxiety, financial stress, personality traits, and trauma—significantly influence CVD development and progression. Behavioural Cardiology addresses this connection by [...] Read more.
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains Europe’s leading cause of mortality, responsible for >45% of deaths. Beyond established risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidaemia, smoking, obesity), psychosocial elements—depression, anxiety, financial stress, personality traits, and trauma—significantly influence CVD development and progression. Behavioural Cardiology addresses this connection by systematically incorporating psychosocial factors into prevention and rehabilitation protocols. This review examines the HEARTBEAT model, developed by Greece’s first Behavioural Cardiology Unit, which aligns with current European guidelines. The model serves dual purposes: primary prevention (targeting at-risk individuals) and secondary prevention (treating established CVD patients). It is a personalised medicine approach that integrates psychosocial profiling with traditional risk assessment, utilising tailored evaluation tools, caregiver input, and multidisciplinary collaboration to address personality traits, emotional states, socioeconomic circumstances, and cultural contexts. The model emphasises three critical implementation aspects: (1) digital health integration, (2) cost-effectiveness analysis, and (3) healthcare system adaptability. Compared to international approaches, it highlights research gaps in psychosocial interventions and advocates for culturally sensitive adaptations, particularly in resource-limited settings. Special consideration is given to older populations requiring tailored care strategies. Ultimately, Behavioural Cardiology represents a transformative systems-based approach bridging psychology, lifestyle medicine, and cardiovascular treatment. This integration may prove pivotal for optimising chronic disease management through personalised interventions that address both biological and psychosocial determinants of cardiovascular health. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Personalized Diagnostics and Therapy for Cardiovascular Diseases)
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26 pages, 20835 KiB  
Article
Reverse Mortgages and Pension Sustainability: An Agent-Based and Actuarial Approach
by Francesco Rania
Risks 2025, 13(8), 147; https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13080147 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 211
Abstract
Population aging poses significant challenges to the sustainability of pension systems. This study presents an integrated methodological approach that uniquely combines actuarial life-cycle modeling with agent-based simulation to assess the potential of Reverse Mortgage Loans (RMLs) as a dual lever for enhancing retiree [...] Read more.
Population aging poses significant challenges to the sustainability of pension systems. This study presents an integrated methodological approach that uniquely combines actuarial life-cycle modeling with agent-based simulation to assess the potential of Reverse Mortgage Loans (RMLs) as a dual lever for enhancing retiree welfare and supporting pension system resilience under demographic and financial uncertainty. We explore Reverse Mortgage Loans (RMLs) as a potential financial instrument to support retirees while alleviating pressure on public pensions. Unlike prior research that treats individual decisions or policy outcomes in isolation, our hybrid model explicitly captures feedback loops between household-level behavior and system-wide financial stability. To test our hypothesis that RMLs can improve individual consumption outcomes and bolster systemic solvency, we develop a hybrid model combining actuarial techniques and agent-based simulations, incorporating stochastic housing prices, longevity risk, regulatory capital requirements, and demographic shifts. This dual-framework enables a structured investigation of how micro-level financial decisions propagate through market dynamics, influencing solvency, pricing, and adoption trends. Our central hypothesis is that reverse mortgages, when actuarially calibrated and macroprudentially regulated, enhance individual financial well-being while preserving long-run solvency at the system level. Simulation results indicate that RMLs can improve consumption smoothing, raise expected utility for retirees, and contribute to long-term fiscal sustainability. Moreover, we introduce a dynamic regulatory mechanism that adjusts capital buffers based on evolving market and demographic conditions, enhancing system resilience. Our simulation design supports multi-scenario testing of financial robustness and policy outcomes, providing a transparent tool for stress-testing RML adoption at scale. These findings suggest that, when well-regulated, RMLs can serve as a viable supplement to traditional retirement financing. Rather than offering prescriptive guidance, this framework provides insights to policymakers, financial institutions, and regulators seeking to integrate RMLs into broader pension strategies. Full article
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17 pages, 1708 KiB  
Article
Research on Financial Stock Market Prediction Based on the Hidden Quantum Markov Model
by Xingyao Song, Wenyu Chen and Junyi Lu
Mathematics 2025, 13(15), 2505; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13152505 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 207
Abstract
Quantum finance, as a key application scenario of quantum computing, showcases multiple significant advantages of quantum machine learning over traditional machine learning methods. This paper first aims to overcome the limitations of the hidden quantum Markov model (HQMM) in handling continuous data and [...] Read more.
Quantum finance, as a key application scenario of quantum computing, showcases multiple significant advantages of quantum machine learning over traditional machine learning methods. This paper first aims to overcome the limitations of the hidden quantum Markov model (HQMM) in handling continuous data and proposes an innovative method to convert continuous data into discrete-time sequence data. Second, a hybrid quantum computing model is developed to forecast stock market trends. The model was used to predict 15 stock indices from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges between June 2018 and June 2021. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed quantum model outperforms classical algorithmic models in handling higher complexity, achieving improved efficiency, reduced computation time, and superior predictive performance. This validation of quantum advantage in financial forecasting enables the practical deployment of quantum-inspired prediction models by investors and institutions in trading environments. This quantum-enhanced model empowers investors to predict market regimes (bullish/bearish/range-bound) using real-time data, enabling dynamic portfolio adjustments, optimized risk controls, and data-driven allocation shifts. Full article
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