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Keywords = electric power load prediction

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19 pages, 4365 KB  
Article
Enhancing Load Stratification in Power Distribution Systems Through Clustering Algorithms: A Practical Study
by Williams Mendoza-Vitonera, Xavier Serrano-Guerrero, María-Fernanda Cabrera, John Enriquez-Loja and Antonio Barragán-Escandón
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5314; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195314 - 9 Oct 2025
Abstract
Accurate load profile identification is crucial for effective and sustainable power system planning. This study proposes a characterization methodology based on clustering techniques applied to consumption data from medium- and low-voltage users, as well as distribution transformers from an electric utility. Three algorithms—K-means, [...] Read more.
Accurate load profile identification is crucial for effective and sustainable power system planning. This study proposes a characterization methodology based on clustering techniques applied to consumption data from medium- and low-voltage users, as well as distribution transformers from an electric utility. Three algorithms—K-means, DBSCAN (Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise), and Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM)—were implemented and compared in terms of their ability to form representative strata using variables such as observation count, projected energy, load factor (LF), and characteristic power levels. The methodology includes data cleaning, normalization, dimensionality reduction, and quality metric analysis to ensure cluster consistency. Results were benchmarked against a prior study conducted by Empresa Eléctrica Regional Centro Sur C.A. (EERCS). Among the evaluated algorithms, GMM demonstrated superior performance in modeling irregular consumption patterns and probabilistically assigning observations, resulting in more coherent and representative segmentations. The resulting clusters exhibited an average LF of 58.82%, indicating balanced demand distribution and operational consistency across the groups. Compared to alternative clustering techniques, GMM demonstrated advantages in capturing heterogeneous consumption patterns, adapting to irregular load behaviors, and identifying emerging user segments such as induction-cooking households. These characteristics arise from its probabilistic nature, which provides greater flexibility in cluster formation and robustness in the presence of variability. Therefore, the findings highlight the suitability of GMM for real-world applications where representativeness, efficiency, and cluster stability are essential. The proposed methodology supports improved transformer sizing, more precise technical loss assessments, and better demand forecasting. Periodic application and integration with predictive models and smart grid technologies are recommended to enhance strategic and operational decision-making, ultimately supporting the transition toward smarter and more resilient power distribution systems. Full article
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23 pages, 5971 KB  
Article
Improved MNet-Atten Electric Vehicle Charging Load Forecasting Based on Composite Decomposition and Evolutionary Predator–Prey and Strategy
by Xiaobin Wei, Qi Jiang, Huaitang Xia and Xianbo Kong
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(10), 564; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16100564 - 2 Oct 2025
Viewed by 257
Abstract
In the context of low carbon, achieving accurate forecasting of electrical energy is critical for power management with the continuous development of power systems. For the sake of improving the performance of load forecasting, an improved MNet-Atten electric vehicle charging load forecasting based [...] Read more.
In the context of low carbon, achieving accurate forecasting of electrical energy is critical for power management with the continuous development of power systems. For the sake of improving the performance of load forecasting, an improved MNet-Atten electric vehicle charging load forecasting based on composite decomposition and the evolutionary predator–prey and strategy model is proposed. In this light, through the data decomposition theory, each subsequence is processed using complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition and filters out high-frequency white noise by using singular value decomposition based on matrix operation, which improves the anti-interference ability and computational efficiency of the model. In the model construction stage, the MNet-Atten prediction model is developed and constructed. The convolution module is used to mine the local dependencies of the sequences, and the long term and short-term features of the data are extracted through the loop and loop skip modules to improve the predictability of the data itself. Furthermore, the evolutionary predator and prey strategy is used to iteratively optimize the learning rate of the MNet-Atten for improving the forecasting performance and convergence speed of the model. The autoregressive module is used to enhance the ability of the neural network to identify linear features and improve the prediction performance of the model. Increasing temporal attention to give more weight to important features for global and local linkage capture. Additionally, the electric vehicle charging load data in a certain region, as an example, is verified, and the average value of 30 running times of the combined model proposed is 117.3231 s, and the correlation coefficient PCC of the CEEMD-SVD-EPPS-MNet-Atten model is closer to 1. Furthermore, the CEEMD-SVD-EPPS-MNet-Atten model has the lowest MAPE, RMSE, and PCC. The results show that the model in this paper can better extract the characteristics of the data, improve the modeling efficiency, and have a high data prediction accuracy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Charging Infrastructure and Grid Integration)
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30 pages, 4602 KB  
Article
Intelligent Fault Diagnosis of Ball Bearing Induction Motors for Predictive Maintenance Industrial Applications
by Vasileios I. Vlachou, Theoklitos S. Karakatsanis, Stavros D. Vologiannidis, Dimitrios E. Efstathiou, Elisavet L. Karapalidou, Efstathios N. Antoniou, Agisilaos E. Efraimidis, Vasiliki E. Balaska and Eftychios I. Vlachou
Machines 2025, 13(10), 902; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines13100902 - 2 Oct 2025
Viewed by 323
Abstract
Induction motors (IMs) are crucial in many industrial applications, offering a cost-effective and reliable source of power transmission and generation. However, their continuous operation imposes considerable stress on electrical and mechanical parts, leading to progressive wear that can cause unexpected system shutdowns. Bearings, [...] Read more.
Induction motors (IMs) are crucial in many industrial applications, offering a cost-effective and reliable source of power transmission and generation. However, their continuous operation imposes considerable stress on electrical and mechanical parts, leading to progressive wear that can cause unexpected system shutdowns. Bearings, which enable shaft motion and reduce friction under varying loads, are the most failure-prone components, with bearing ball defects representing most severe mechanical failures. Early and accurate fault diagnosis is therefore essential to prevent damage and ensure operational continuity. Recent advances in the Internet of Things (IoT) and machine learning (ML) have enabled timely and effective predictive maintenance strategies. Among various diagnostic parameters, vibration analysis has proven particularly effective for detecting bearing faults. This study proposes a hybrid diagnostic framework for induction motor bearings, combining vibration signal analysis with Support Vector Machines (SVMs) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) in an IoT-enabled Industry 4.0 architecture. Statistical and frequency-domain features were extracted, reduced using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and classified with SVMs and ANNs, achieving over 95% accuracy. The novelty of this work lies in the hybrid integration of interpretable and non-linear ML models within an IoT-based edge–cloud framework. Its main contribution is a scalable and accurate real-time predictive maintenance solution, ensuring high diagnostic reliability and seamless integration in Industry 4.0 environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Vibration Detection of Induction and PM Motors)
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31 pages, 16219 KB  
Article
Design, Simulation, Construction and Experimental Validation of a Dual-Frequency Wireless Power Transfer System Based on Resonant Magnetic Coupling
by Marian-Razvan Gliga, Calin Munteanu, Adina Giurgiuman, Claudia Constantinescu, Sergiu Andreica and Claudia Pacurar
Technologies 2025, 13(10), 442; https://doi.org/10.3390/technologies13100442 - 1 Oct 2025
Viewed by 297
Abstract
Wireless power transfer (WPT) has emerged as a compelling solution for delivering electrical energy without physical connectors, particularly in applications requiring reliability, mobility, or encapsulation. This work presents the modeling, simulation, construction, and experimental validation of an optimized dual-frequency WPT system using magnetically [...] Read more.
Wireless power transfer (WPT) has emerged as a compelling solution for delivering electrical energy without physical connectors, particularly in applications requiring reliability, mobility, or encapsulation. This work presents the modeling, simulation, construction, and experimental validation of an optimized dual-frequency WPT system using magnetically coupled resonant coils. Unlike conventional single-frequency systems, the proposed architecture introduces two independently controlled excitation frequencies applied to distinct transistors, enabling improved resonance behavior and enhanced power delivery across a range of coupling conditions. The design process integrates numerical circuit simulations in PSpice and three-dimensional electromagnetic analysis in ANSYS Maxwell 3D, allowing accurate evaluation of coupling coefficient variation, mutual inductance, and magnetic flux distribution as functions of coil geometry and alignment. A sixth-degree polynomial model was derived to characterize the coupling coefficient as a function of coil separation, supporting predictive tuning. Experimental measurements were carried out using a physical prototype driven by both sinusoidal and rectangular control signals under varying load conditions. Results confirm the simulation findings, showing that specific signal periods (e.g., 8 µs, 18 µs, 20 µs, 22 µs) yield optimal induced voltage values, with strong sensitivity to the coupling coefficient. Moreover, the presence of a real load influenced system performance, underscoring the need for adaptive control strategies. The proposed approach demonstrates that dual-frequency excitation can significantly enhance system robustness and efficiency, paving the way for future implementations of self-adaptive WPT systems in embedded, mobile, or biomedical environments. Full article
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20 pages, 4502 KB  
Article
Virtual Energy Replication Framework for Predicting Residential PV Power, Heat Pump Load, and Thermal Comfort Using Weather Forecast Data
by Daud Mustafa Minhas, Muhammad Usman, Irtaza Bashir Raja, Aneela Wakeel, Muzaffar Ali and Georg Frey
Energies 2025, 18(18), 5036; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18185036 - 22 Sep 2025
Viewed by 278
Abstract
It is essential to balance energy supply and demand in residential buildings through accurate forecasting of energy use due to varying daily and seasonal residential building loads. This study demonstrates a data-driven Virtual Energy Replication Framework (VERF) to predict the behavior of residential [...] Read more.
It is essential to balance energy supply and demand in residential buildings through accurate forecasting of energy use due to varying daily and seasonal residential building loads. This study demonstrates a data-driven Virtual Energy Replication Framework (VERF) to predict the behavior of residential buildings using weather forecast data. The framework integrates supervised machine learning models and time-ahead weather parameters to estimate photovoltaic (PV) power production, heat pump energy consumption, and indoor thermal comfort. The accuracy of prediction models is validated using TRNSYS simulations of a typical household in Saarbrucken, Germany, a temperate oceanic climate region. The XGBoost model exhibits the highest reliability, achieving a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.003 kW for PV power generation and 0.025 kW for heat pump energy use, with R2 scores of 0.94 and 0.87, respectively. XGBoost and random forest regression models perform well in predicting PV generation and HP electricity load, with mean prediction errors of 5.27–6% and 0–7.7%, respectively. In addition, the thermal comfort index (PPD) is predicted with an RMSE of 1.84 kW and an R2 score of 0.80 using the XGBoost model. The mean prediction error remains between 2.4% (XGBoost regression) and −11.5% (lasso regression) throughout the forecasted data. Because the framework requires no real-time instrumentation or detailed energy modelling, it is scalable and adaptable for smart building energy systems, and has particular value for Building-Integrated Photovoltaics (BIPV) demonstration projects on account of its predictive load-matching capabilities. The research findings justify the applicability of VERF for efficient and sustainable energy management using weather-informed prediction models in residential buildings. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Application of Machine Learning Tools for Energy System)
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32 pages, 10740 KB  
Article
Hydraulic Electromechanical Regenerative Damper in Vehicle–Track Dynamics: Power Regeneration and Wheel Wear for High-Speed Train
by Zifei He, Ruichen Wang, Zhonghui Yin, Tengchi Sun and Haotian Lyu
Lubricants 2025, 13(9), 424; https://doi.org/10.3390/lubricants13090424 - 22 Sep 2025
Viewed by 421
Abstract
A physics-based vehicle–track coupled dynamic model embedding a hydraulic electromechanical regenerative damper (HERD) is developed to quantify electrical power recovery and wear depth in high-speed service. The HERD subsystem resolves compressible hydraulics, hydraulic rectification, line losses, a hydraulic motor with a permanent-magnet generator, [...] Read more.
A physics-based vehicle–track coupled dynamic model embedding a hydraulic electromechanical regenerative damper (HERD) is developed to quantify electrical power recovery and wear depth in high-speed service. The HERD subsystem resolves compressible hydraulics, hydraulic rectification, line losses, a hydraulic motor with a permanent-magnet generator, an accumulator, and a controllable; co-simulation links SIMPACK with MATLAB/Simulink. Wheel–rail contact is computed with Hertz theory and FASTSIM, and wear depth is advanced with the Archard law using a pressure–velocity coefficient map. Both HERD power regeneration and wear depth predictions have been validated against independent measurements of regenerated power and wear degradation in previous studies. Parametric studies over speed, curve radius, mileage and braking show that increasing speed raises input and output power while recovery efficiency remains 49–50%, with instantaneous electrical peaks up to 425 W and weak sensitivity to curvature and mileage. Under braking from 350 to 150 km/h, force transients are bounded and do not change the lateral wear pattern. Installing HERD lowers peak wear in the wheel tread region; combining HERD with flexible wheelsets further reduces wear depth and slows down degradation relative to rigid wheelsets and matches measured wear more closely. The HERD electrical load provides a physically grounded tuning parameter that sets hydraulic back pressure and effective damping, which improves model accuracy and supports calibration and updating of digital twins for maintenance planning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Tribological Challenges in Wheel-Rail Contact)
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16 pages, 5677 KB  
Article
Research on the Elastic–Plastic Behaviors of Bicontinuous Polymer Matrix and Carbon Fiber-Reinforced Composites Based on Micromechanical Modelling
by Bin Yao, Liang Ren, Guocheng Qi, Yukun Zhao, Zhen Xu, Long Chen, Dongmei Wang and Rui Zhang
Polymers 2025, 17(18), 2517; https://doi.org/10.3390/polym17182517 - 17 Sep 2025
Viewed by 335
Abstract
Due to the potential to integrate structural load bearing and energy storage within one single composite structural component, the development of carbon fiber (CF)-based structural power composites (SPCs) has garnered significant attention in electric aircraft, electric vehicles, etc. Building upon our previous investigation [...] Read more.
Due to the potential to integrate structural load bearing and energy storage within one single composite structural component, the development of carbon fiber (CF)-based structural power composites (SPCs) has garnered significant attention in electric aircraft, electric vehicles, etc. Building upon our previous investigation of the electrochemical performance of SPCs, this work focuses on elastic–plastic behaviors of the bicontinuous structural electrolyte matrices (BSEMs) and carbon fiber composite electrodes (CFCEs) in SPCs. Representative volume element (RVE) models of the BSEMs were numerically generated based on the Cahn–Hilliard equation. Furthermore, RVE models of the CFCEs were established, consisting of the BSEM and randomly distributed CFs. The moduli of BSEMs and the transverse moduli of CFCEs with different functional pore phase volume fractions were predicted and validated against experimental results. Additionally, the local plasticity of BSEMs and CFCEs in the tensile process was analyzed. The work indicates that the presence of the bicontinuous structure prolongs the plasticity evolution process, compared with the traditional polymer matrix, which could be used to explain the brittle-ductile transition observed in the matrix-dominated load-bearing process of CFCEs in the previous literature. This work is a step forward in the comprehensive interpretation of the elastic–plastic behaviors of bicontinuous matrices and multifunctional SPCs for realistic engineering applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Design and Manufacture of Fiber-Reinforced Polymer Composites)
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20 pages, 4213 KB  
Article
Neural Network-Based Ship Power Load Forecasting
by Haozheng Liu, Chengjun Qiu, Wei Qu, Wei He, Yuan Zhuang, Puze Li, Huili Hao, Wenhao Wang, Zizi Zhao and Jiahua Su
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1766; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091766 - 12 Sep 2025
Viewed by 285
Abstract
This study combines an experimental semi-physical simulation model of an electric propulsion tugboat with four different neural networks to create a real-time simulation model for forecasting total power loads with small samples. The results of repeated experiments demonstrate that the BP neural network [...] Read more.
This study combines an experimental semi-physical simulation model of an electric propulsion tugboat with four different neural networks to create a real-time simulation model for forecasting total power loads with small samples. The results of repeated experiments demonstrate that the BP neural network effectively forecasts the power load. Subsequently, addressing the limitations of traditional BP neural networks, an optimization approach employing an enhanced particle swarm algorithm and attention mechanism was developed, thereby improving the model’s prediction accuracy and robustness. The experiment shows that the improved prediction model achieves an R2 value of 97.42%, demonstrating its effectiveness in forecasting changes in the short-term power load of ships as parameters change. In actual operation, ships can allocate power reasonably and in a timely manner according to the load forecast results, thereby improving the efficiency of the power grid. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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14 pages, 4882 KB  
Article
Three-Phase Small-Power Low-Speed Induction Motor with Can-Type Rotor
by Krzysztof Sołtys and Krzysztof Kluszczyński
Energies 2025, 18(18), 4850; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18184850 - 12 Sep 2025
Viewed by 356
Abstract
To explore possible design solutions for induction motors, we designed and tested a three-phase small-power induction motor with a can-type rotor and a stationary internal ferromagnetic core, a design not previously described in the technical literature. This three-phase motor combines certain features of [...] Read more.
To explore possible design solutions for induction motors, we designed and tested a three-phase small-power induction motor with a can-type rotor and a stationary internal ferromagnetic core, a design not previously described in the technical literature. This three-phase motor combines certain features of a reliable solid-rotor motor, a two-rotor layer motor, and a motor in which the rotating thin aluminium layer is separated from the stationary inner ferromagnetic core. The motor prototype was based on a mass-produced, small-power, three-phase squirrel-cage motor. Its operating properties and characteristics were tested, highlighting its potential application as a special-purpose drive or a very interesting case for teaching purposes in laboratories of electrical machines. Measurements confirmed theoretical predictions and enabled the formation of a motor equivalent circuit with shunt and series branch parameters, among which magnetization reactance and rotor resistance varied with rotational speed. The main advantages of the motor are its simple rotor construction, low rotational speed, low-rotor inertia and good dynamics, as well as reliable operation across the entire range of useful torque from no-load to short-circuit conditions, without the risk of overheating. Full article
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22 pages, 2230 KB  
Article
A Load Forecasting Model Based on Spatiotemporal Partitioning and Cross-Regional Attention Collaboration
by Xun Dou, Ruiang Yang, Zhenlan Dou, Chunyan Zhang, Chen Xu and Jiacheng Li
Sustainability 2025, 17(18), 8162; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188162 - 10 Sep 2025
Viewed by 360
Abstract
With the advancement of new power system construction, thermostatically controlled loads represented by regional air conditioning systems are being extensively integrated into the grid, leading to a surge in the number of user nodes. This large-scale integration of new loads creates challenges for [...] Read more.
With the advancement of new power system construction, thermostatically controlled loads represented by regional air conditioning systems are being extensively integrated into the grid, leading to a surge in the number of user nodes. This large-scale integration of new loads creates challenges for the grid, as the resulting load data exhibits strong periodicity and randomness over time. These characteristics are influenced by factors like temperature and user behavior. At the same time, spatially adjacent nodes show similarities and clustering in electricity usage. This creates complex spatiotemporal coupling features. These complex spatiotemporal characteristics challenge traditional forecasting methods. Their high model complexity and numerous parameters often lead to overfitting or the curse of dimensionality, which hinders both prediction accuracy and efficiency. To address this issue, this paper proposes a load forecasting method based on spatiotemporal partitioning and collaborative cross-regional attention. First, a spatiotemporal similarity matrix is constructed using the Shape Dynamic Time Warping (ShapeDTW) algorithm and an adaptive Gaussian kernel function based on the Haversine distance. Spectral clustering combined with the Gap Statistic criterion is then applied to adaptively determine the optimal number of partitions, dividing all load nodes in the power grid into several sub-regions with homogeneous spatiotemporal characteristics. Second, for each sub-region, a local Spatiotemporal Graph Convolutional Network (STGCN) model is built. By integrating gated temporal convolution with spatial feature extraction, the model accurately captures the spatiotemporal evolution patterns within each sub-region. On this basis, a cross-regional attention mechanism is designed to dynamically learn the correlation weights among sub-regions, enabling collaborative fusion of global features. Finally, the proposed method is evaluated on a multi-node load dataset. The effectiveness of the approach is validated through comparative experiments and ablation studies (that is, by removing key components of the model to evaluate their contribution to the overall performance). Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves excellent performance in short-term load forecasting tasks across multiple nodes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Energy Conservation Towards a Low-Carbon and Sustainability Future)
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32 pages, 3647 KB  
Article
AI Bias in Power Systems Domain—Exemplary Cases and Approaches
by Chijioke Eze, Abraham Ezema, Lara Roth, Zhiyu Pan, Ferdinanda Ponci and Antonello Monti
Energies 2025, 18(18), 4819; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18184819 - 10 Sep 2025
Viewed by 628
Abstract
This paper examines artificial intelligence (AI) bias in power systems applications through systematic analysis of three critical use cases: load forecasting, predictive maintenance, and ontology matching for system interoperability. While AI solutions show great potential for addressing complex power system challenges, they face [...] Read more.
This paper examines artificial intelligence (AI) bias in power systems applications through systematic analysis of three critical use cases: load forecasting, predictive maintenance, and ontology matching for system interoperability. While AI solutions show great potential for addressing complex power system challenges, they face adoption barriers due to biases that compromise fairness, reliability, and operational performance. Our investigation demonstrates how different bias types—including data representation, algorithmic, and sampling biases—manifest in power systems contexts, directly affecting grid efficiency, resource allocation, and socioeconomic equity across the electrical power and energy domain. For each use case, we provide quantitative evidence of bias impact and propose targeted mitigation strategies that emphasize data diversity, ensemble methods, explainable AI techniques, and fairness-aware algorithms. By establishing a comprehensive taxonomy of bias types relevant to power systems and developing practical mitigation frameworks, this work bridges the critical gap between abstract bias concepts and real-world power system applications. The resulting framework provides a structured approach for developing equitable, robust AI systems that align with power systems’ operational requirements while accelerating the responsible adoption of AI in safety-critical infrastructure. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Sustainable Power and Energy Systems: 2nd Edition)
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28 pages, 4828 KB  
Article
Study on Determining the Efficiency of a High-Power Hydrogenerator Using the Calorimetric Method
by Elisabeta Spunei, Dorian Anghel, Gheorghe Liuba, Cristian Paul Chioncel and Mihaela Martin
Energies 2025, 18(18), 4813; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18184813 - 10 Sep 2025
Viewed by 389
Abstract
The global energy crisis demands efficient electricity production solutions, especially for isolated communities where hydraulic energy can be harnessed sustainably. This paper presents a case study analyzing the efficiency of a 13,330 kW hydrogenerator, consisting of a bulb-type hydro-aggregate using the calorimetric method—a [...] Read more.
The global energy crisis demands efficient electricity production solutions, especially for isolated communities where hydraulic energy can be harnessed sustainably. This paper presents a case study analyzing the efficiency of a 13,330 kW hydrogenerator, consisting of a bulb-type hydro-aggregate using the calorimetric method—a viable alternative when testing at nominal load is not feasible due to technical limitations. The method involves measuring the thermal energy absorbed by the cooling water under three operating conditions: no-load unexcited, no-load excited, and symmetric three-phase short-circuit. Measurements followed IEC standards and were conducted with high-precision instruments for temperature, flow, voltage, and current. The results quantify mechanical, ventilation, iron, and copper losses, as well as additional losses via radiation and convection. Thermal analysis revealed significant heat accumulation in the rotor and stator windings, indicating the need for improved cooling solutions. The calorimetric method enables efficiency evaluation without interrupting generator operation, offering a valuable tool for diagnostics, predictive maintenance, and informed decisions on modernization. Furthermore, integrating an intelligent operational control system could enhance efficiency and improve the quality of the supplied energy, supporting long-term sustainability in hydroelectric power generation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Novel and Emerging Energy Systems)
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22 pages, 1572 KB  
Article
Collaborative Optimization of Cloud–Edge–Terminal Distribution Networks Combined with Intelligent Integration Under the New Energy Situation
by Fei Zhou, Chunpeng Wu, Yue Wang, Qinghe Ye, Zhenying Tai, Haoyi Zhou and Qingyun Sun
Mathematics 2025, 13(18), 2924; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13182924 - 10 Sep 2025
Viewed by 455
Abstract
The complex electricity consumption situation on the customer side and large-scale wind and solar power generation have gradually shifted the traditional “source-follow-load” model in the power system towards the “source-load interaction” model. At present, the voltage regulation methods require excessive computing resources to [...] Read more.
The complex electricity consumption situation on the customer side and large-scale wind and solar power generation have gradually shifted the traditional “source-follow-load” model in the power system towards the “source-load interaction” model. At present, the voltage regulation methods require excessive computing resources to accurately predict the fluctuating load under the new energy structure. However, with the development of artificial intelligence and cloud computing, more methods for processing big data have emerged. This paper proposes a new method for electricity consumption analysis that combines traditional mathematical statistics with machine learning to overcome the limitations of non-intrusive load detection methods and develop a distributed optimization of cloud–edge–device distribution networks based on electricity consumption. Aiming at problems such as overfitting and the demand for accurate short-term renewable power generation prediction, it is proposed to use the long short-term memory method to process time series data, and an improved algorithm is developed in combination with error feedback correction. The R2 value of the coupling algorithm reaches 0.991, while the values of RMSE, MAPE and MAE are 1347.2, 5.36 and 199.4, respectively. Power prediction cannot completely eliminate errors. It is necessary to combine the consistency algorithm to construct the regulation strategy. Under the regulation strategy, stability can be achieved after 25 iterations, and the optimal regulation is obtained. Finally, the cloud–edge–device distributed coevolution model of the power grid is obtained to achieve the economy of power grid voltage control. Full article
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15 pages, 4634 KB  
Article
Accelerated Corrosion and Multimodal Characterization of Steel Pins in High-Voltage AC Insulators Under Multi-Stress Conditions
by Cong Zhang, Heng Zhong, Zikui Shen, Hongyan Zheng, Yibo Yang, Junbin Su and Xiaotao Fu
Materials 2025, 18(17), 4218; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18174218 - 8 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 501
Abstract
Ensuring the long-term electro-mechanical reliability of high-voltage alternating current (HVAC) insulator strings requires a detailed understanding of how multiple environmental and electrical stressors influence the corrosion behavior of hot-dip galvanized steel fittings. In this study, a three-factor, three-level L9(33) orthogonal accelerated [...] Read more.
Ensuring the long-term electro-mechanical reliability of high-voltage alternating current (HVAC) insulator strings requires a detailed understanding of how multiple environmental and electrical stressors influence the corrosion behavior of hot-dip galvanized steel fittings. In this study, a three-factor, three-level L9(33) orthogonal accelerated corrosion test was conducted to systematically evaluate the individual and interactive effects of marine salt deposition (0–10 g m−2 day−1), acetic acid pollution (0–8 µg m−3), and 50 Hz AC leakage current (0–10 mA) on miniature pin-type assemblies. A comprehensive post-corrosion characterization approach was employed. The results revealed that chloride loading from salt deposition was the dominant contributor to corrosion. However, the synergistic interaction between salt and leakage current led to an acceleration in zinc depletion compared to the additive effect of the individual factors. A quadratic regression model with a high correlation coefficient was developed to predict corrosion volume per unit area. The findings offer a mechanistic explanation for field-reported failures in coastal power grids and provide actionable guidance for optimizing corrosion-resistant coatings and implementing electrical mitigation strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Corrosion)
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21 pages, 4236 KB  
Article
Rolling-Horizon Co-Optimization of EV and TCL Clusters for Uncertainty- and Rebound-Aware Load Regulation
by Jiarui Zhang, Jiayu Li, Zhibin Liu, Ling Miao and Jian Zhao
Electronics 2025, 14(17), 3509; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14173509 - 2 Sep 2025
Viewed by 521
Abstract
Electric vehicles (EVs) and thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs) are key demand-side resources for load regulation in modern power systems. However, effective load regulation faces significant challenges due to the stochastic nature of EV travel times and environmental uncertainties, such as temperature and solar [...] Read more.
Electric vehicles (EVs) and thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs) are key demand-side resources for load regulation in modern power systems. However, effective load regulation faces significant challenges due to the stochastic nature of EV travel times and environmental uncertainties, such as temperature and solar irradiation fluctuations affecting TCL performance. Additionally, load rebound effects, caused by TCLs increasing power consumption to restore preset indoor temperatures after regulation, may induce secondary demand peaks, thereby offsetting regulation benefits. To address these challenges, this study aims to meet regulation requirements under such uncertainties while mitigating rebound-induced peaks. A rolling-horizon co-optimization method for EV and TCL clusters is proposed, which explicitly considers both uncertainties, load rebound effects and economic losses. First, to address the limited regulation capacity of individual EVs and TCLs, a user clustering mechanism is developed based on willingness to participate in demand response across multiple time intervals. A load rebound evaluation model for TCL clusters is developed to characterize post-regulation load variations and assess the rebound intensity. Subsequently, a load rebound-aware co-optimization model is proposed and solved within a rolling-horizon optimization approach, which performs rolling optimization within each prediction horizon to determine the participating clusters and their regulation capacities for each execution time slot under uncertainties. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method, compared with conventional day-ahead and robust optimization, not only meets load regulation requirements under uncertainty, but also effectively mitigates rebound-induced secondary peaks while achieving economic benefits. Full article
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