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13 pages, 1962 KB  
Article
Sediment and Salinity Thresholds Govern Natural Recruitment of Manila Clam in the Xiaoqing River Estuary: Toward a Predictive Management Framework
by Lulei Liu, Ang Li, Shoutuan Yu, Suyan Xue, Zirong Liu, Longzhen Liu, Ling Zhu, Jiaqi Li and Yuze Mao
Biology 2026, 15(2), 157; https://doi.org/10.3390/biology15020157 - 15 Jan 2026
Abstract
Natural recruitment of Manila clam (Ruditapes philippinarum) often persists in degraded estuaries, yet the environmental thresholds enabling this resilience remain quantitatively undefined. We employed binomial generalized additive model (GAM) coupled with field surveys (n = 168) in the Xiaoqing River [...] Read more.
Natural recruitment of Manila clam (Ruditapes philippinarum) often persists in degraded estuaries, yet the environmental thresholds enabling this resilience remain quantitatively undefined. We employed binomial generalized additive model (GAM) coupled with field surveys (n = 168) in the Xiaoqing River estuary (Laizhou Bay, China) to identify critical limits for adult occurrence, which served as a field-based proxy for recruitment potential. Sediment median grain size (D50), salinity (Sal) and dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) were identified as the key factors, collectively explaining 79.30% of the deviance (AUC = 0.98). The probability of occurrence decreased sharply beyond two distinct thresholds: D50 > 95 μm and salinity < 17.50‰. While DIN had a positive effect, it did not offset the strong negative associations with coarse sediment or low salinity. These field-validated thresholds provide quantifiable criteria to guide habitat suitability mapping, activation of early-warning systems against salinity-driven mortality, and site prioritization for ecological restoration in the Xiaoqing River estuary. Our findings offer a framework for developing management strategies to support clam resilience under environmental stress. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Marine and Freshwater Biology)
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32 pages, 2775 KB  
Review
AIoT at the Frontline of Climate Change Management: Enabling Resilient, Adaptive, and Sustainable Smart Cities
by Claudia Banciu and Adrian Florea
Climate 2026, 14(1), 19; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14010019 - 15 Jan 2026
Abstract
The convergence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the Internet of Things (IoT), known as Artificial Intelligence of Things (AIoT), has emerged as a transformative paradigm for enabling intelligent, data-driven, and context-aware decision-making in urban environments to reduce the carbon footprint of mobility and [...] Read more.
The convergence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the Internet of Things (IoT), known as Artificial Intelligence of Things (AIoT), has emerged as a transformative paradigm for enabling intelligent, data-driven, and context-aware decision-making in urban environments to reduce the carbon footprint of mobility and industry. This review examines the conceptual foundations, and state-of-the-art developments of AIoT, with a particular emphasis on its applications in smart cities and its relevance to climate change management. AIoT integrates sensing, connectivity, and intelligent analytics to provide optimized solutions in transportation systems, energy management, waste collection, and environmental monitoring, directly influencing urban sustainability. Beyond urban efficiency, AIoT can play a critical role in addressing the global challenges and management of climate change by (a) precise measurements and autonomously remote monitoring; (b) real-time optimization in renewable energy distribution; and (c) developing prediction models for early warning of climate disasters. This paper performs a literature review and bibliometric analysis to identify the current landscape of AIoT research in smart city contexts. Over 1885 articles from Web of Sciences and over 1854 from Scopus databases, published between 1993 and January 2026, were analyzed. The results reveal a strong and accelerating growth in research activity, with publication output doubling in the most recent two years compared to 2023. Waste management and air quality monitoring have emerged as leading application domains, where AIoT-based optimization and predictive models demonstrate measurable improvements in operational efficiency and environmental impact. Altogether, these support faster and more effective decisions for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and ensuring the sustainable use of resources. The reviewed studies reveal rapid advancements in edge intelligence, federated learning, and secure data sharing through the integration of AIoT with blockchain technologies. However, significant challenges remain regarding scalability, interoperability, privacy, ethical governance, and the effective translation of research outcomes into policy and citizen-oriented tools such as climate applications, insurance models, and disaster alert systems. By synthesizing current research trends, this article highlights the potential of AIoT to support sustainable, resilient, and citizen-centric smart city ecosystems while identifying both critical gaps and promising directions for future investigations. Full article
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21 pages, 1065 KB  
Article
GC-ViT: Graph Convolution-Augmented Vision Transformer for Pilot G-LOC Detection Through AU Correlation Learning
by Bohuai Zhang, Zhenchi Xu and Xuan Li
Aerospace 2026, 13(1), 93; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace13010093 - 15 Jan 2026
Abstract
Prolonged +Gz acceleration during high-performance flight exposes pilots to the risk of G-induced loss of consciousness (G-LOC), a dangerous condition that compromises operational safety. To enable early detection without intrusive sensors, we present a vision-based warning system that analyzes facial action units (AUs) [...] Read more.
Prolonged +Gz acceleration during high-performance flight exposes pilots to the risk of G-induced loss of consciousness (G-LOC), a dangerous condition that compromises operational safety. To enable early detection without intrusive sensors, we present a vision-based warning system that analyzes facial action units (AUs) as physiological indicators of impending G-LOC. Our approach combines computer vision with physiological modeling to capture subtle facial microexpressions associated with cerebral hypoxia using widely available RGB cameras. We propose a novel Graph Convolution-Augmented Vision Transformer (GC-ViT) network architecture that effectively captures dynamic AU variations in pilots under G-LOC conditions by integrating global context modeling with vision Transformer. The proposed framework integrates a vision–semantics collaborative Transformer for robust AU feature extraction, where EfficientNet-based spatiotemporal modeling is enhanced by Transformer attention mechanisms to maintain recognition accuracy under high-G stress. Building upon this, we develop a graph-based physiological model that dynamically tracks interactions between critical AUs during G-LOC progression by learning the characteristic patterns of AU co-activation during centrifugal training. Experimental validation on centrifuge training datasets demonstrates strong performance, achieving an AUC-ROC of 0.898 and an AP score of 0.96, confirming the system’s ability to reliably identify characteristic patterns of AU co-activation during G-LOC events. Overall, this contact-free system offers an interpretable solution for rapid G-LOC detection, or as a complementary enhancement to existing aeromedical monitoring technologies. The non-invasive design demonstrates significant potential for improving safety in aerospace physiology applications without requiring modifications to current cockpit or centrifuge setups. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Human Factors and Performance in Aviation Safety)
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15 pages, 1651 KB  
Article
Morphological Trait Analysis Showed the Existence of a Migratory Ecotype in the Fall Armyworm, Spodoptera frugiperda
by Jiajie Ma, Yishu Sun, Xiaoting Sun, Yifei Song, Wei He, Bo Chu, Xianming Yang and Kongming Wu
Insects 2026, 17(1), 95; https://doi.org/10.3390/insects17010095 - 14 Jan 2026
Abstract
Spodoptera frugiperda (fall armyworm, FAW) has rapidly spread across Asia and Africa in recent years, with its seasonal long-distance migration ability serving as the biological basis driving its region-wide outbreaks. Although the migratory biology of FAW has been extensively studied, it remains unclear [...] Read more.
Spodoptera frugiperda (fall armyworm, FAW) has rapidly spread across Asia and Africa in recent years, with its seasonal long-distance migration ability serving as the biological basis driving its region-wide outbreaks. Although the migratory biology of FAW has been extensively studied, it remains unclear whether there is stable differentiation between migratory and non-migratory individuals. In this study, we revealed the significant differences in morphological parameters between migratory populations and laboratory-reared populations. The migratory populations exhibited a greater body length and width and forewing size, as well as a lower body weight, compared to the laboratory colony. After three generations of indoor rearing, the migrants’ morphology and flight capacity converged to the laboratory phenotype, indicating the existence of a migratory ecotype in FAW. Through further investigation, a method for identifying the migratory ecotype of FAW was proposed based on the corrected wing loading (WL) and forewing aspect ratio (FA), which was successfully applied to distinguish individuals of the migratory ecotype in field populations. Our results confirm that FAWs exhibit stable differentiation into a migratory ecotype, and using WL and FA provides a robust, field-deployable tool for regional FAW monitoring, early warning systems, and targeted FAW control. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Insect Pest and Vector Management)
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25 pages, 4355 KB  
Article
Integrating Regressive and Probabilistic Streamflow Forecasting via a Hybrid Hydrological Forecasting System: Application to the Paraíba do Sul River Basin
by Gutemberg Borges França, Vinicius Albuquerque de Almeida, Mônica Carneiro Alves Senna, Enio Pereira de Souza, Madson Tavares Silva, Thaís Regina Benevides Trigueiro Aranha, Maurício Soares da Silva, Afonso Augusto Magalhães de Araujo, Manoel Valdonel de Almeida, Haroldo Fraga de Campos Velho, Mauricio Nogueira Frota, Juliana Aparecida Anochi, Emanuel Alexander Moreno Aldana and Lude Quieto Viana
Water 2026, 18(2), 210; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020210 - 13 Jan 2026
Viewed by 20
Abstract
This study introduces the Hybrid Hydrological Forecast System (HHFS), a dual-stage, data-driven framework for monthly streamflow forecasting at the Santa Branca outlet in the upper Paraíba do Sul River Basin, Brazil. The system combines two nonlinear regressors, Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and extreme Gradient [...] Read more.
This study introduces the Hybrid Hydrological Forecast System (HHFS), a dual-stage, data-driven framework for monthly streamflow forecasting at the Santa Branca outlet in the upper Paraíba do Sul River Basin, Brazil. The system combines two nonlinear regressors, Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), calibrated through a structured four-step evolutionary procedure in GA1 (hydrological weighting, dual-regime Ridge fusion, rolling bias correction, and monthly mean–variance adjustment) and a hydro-adaptive probabilistic optimization in GA2. SHAP-based analysis provides physical interpretability of the learned relations. The regressive stage (GA1) generates a bias-corrected and climatologically consistent central forecast. After the full four-step optimization, GA1 achieves robust generalization skill during the independent test period (2020–2023), yielding NSE = 0.77 ± 0.05, KGE = 0.85 ± 0.05, R2 = 0.77 ± 0.05, and RMSE = 20.2 ± 3.1 m3 s−1, representing a major improvement over raw MLP/XGB outputs (NSE ≈ 0.5). Time-series, scatter, and seasonal diagnostics confirm accurate reproduction of wet- and dry-season dynamics, absence of low-frequency drift, and preservation of seasonal variance. The probabilistic stage (GA2) constructs a hydro-adaptive prediction interval whose width (max-min streamflow) and asymmetry evolve with seasonal hydrological regimes. The optimized configuration achieves comparative coverage COV = 0.86 ± 0.00, hit rate p = 0.96 ± 0.04, and relative width r = 2.40 ± 0.15, correctly expanding uncertainty during wet-season peaks and contracting during dry-season recessions. SHAP analysis reveals a coherent predictor hierarchy dominated by streamflow persistence, precipitation structure, temperature extremes, and evapotranspiration, jointly explaining most of the predictive variance. By combining regressive precision, probabilistic realism, and interpretability within a unified evolutionary architecture, the HHFS provides a transparent, physically grounded, and operationally robust tool for reservoir management, drought monitoring, and hydro-climatic early-warning systems in data-limited regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate Modeling and Impacts of Climate Change on Hydrological Cycle)
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19 pages, 7369 KB  
Article
Risk Visualization in Mining Processes Based on 3Dmine-3DEC Data Interoperability
by Ai-Bing Jin, Cong Ma, Yi-Qing Zhao, Hu-Kun Wang and Ze-Hao Li
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(2), 816; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16020816 - 13 Jan 2026
Viewed by 24
Abstract
The use of geological models for mine production scheduling, planning, and design is a common aspect of current digital mine construction. Establishing a mapping relationship from digital geological resources to mining process simulation and then to risk early warning, enabling real-time interaction between [...] Read more.
The use of geological models for mine production scheduling, planning, and design is a common aspect of current digital mine construction. Establishing a mapping relationship from digital geological resources to mining process simulation and then to risk early warning, enabling real-time interaction between digital models and physical mines, is an essential component of mining digital twins and an important direction for future development. This study is based on a non-ferrous metal mine and involves the development of data interaction functionality between 3Dmine (enterprise edition) and 3DEC7.0 software. This enables data mapping between geological models and numerical models, as well as real-time 3D visualization of risk points in the geological model. The main research findings are as follows: (1) Based on UAV photogrammetry and geological exploration data, a refined 3D geological model incorporating the surface, subsidence zones, goaf groups, and roadway systems was constructed using 3Dmine. The mine numerical model was then generated through 3Dmine-3DEC coupling technology. (2) A 3DEC-3Dmine data interaction interface based on Python was developed. Intelligent extraction and format conversion of mechanical parameters, such as stress and displacement, were achieved through secondary development, and a multi-software collaboration platform was built using an SQL database. A three-dimensional visual characterization script for risk points was developed. (3) Based on the strength–stress ratio and the nearest distance attribute assignment method, the three-dimensional visualization of blocks with different risk levels in 3Dmine is realized. (4) When the adjacent mine rooms are excavated in turn, the range of grade II risk area will be obviously expanded and a more serious grade III risk area will appear. The research findings offer a direction for the future development of mining digital twin technology, as well as technical support and theoretical guidance for analyzing and predicting safety risks during the mining process. Full article
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22 pages, 2001 KB  
Article
A Hybrid CNN-LSTM Architecture for Seismic Event Detection Using High-Rate GNSS Velocity Time Series
by Deniz Başar and Rahmi Nurhan Çelik
Sensors 2026, 26(2), 519; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26020519 - 13 Jan 2026
Viewed by 39
Abstract
Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) have become essential tools in geomatics engineering for precise positioning, cadastral surveys, topographic mapping, and deformation monitoring. Recent advances integrate GNSS with emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), cloud computing, and unmanned aerial systems [...] Read more.
Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) have become essential tools in geomatics engineering for precise positioning, cadastral surveys, topographic mapping, and deformation monitoring. Recent advances integrate GNSS with emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), cloud computing, and unmanned aerial systems (UAS), which have greatly improved accuracy, efficiency, and analytical capabilities in managing geospatial big data. In this study, we propose a hybrid Convolutional Neural Network–Long Short Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) architecture for seismic detection using high-rate (5 Hz) GNSS velocity time series. The model is trained on a large synthetic dataset generated by and real high-rate GNSS non-event data. Model performance was evaluated using real event and non-event data through an event-based approach. The results demonstrate that a hybrid deep-learning architecture can provide a reliable framework for seismic detection with high-rate GNSS velocity time series. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Navigation and Positioning)
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16 pages, 6492 KB  
Article
Data-Driven Downstream Discharge Forecasting for Flood Disaster Mitigation in a Small Mountainous Basin of Southwest China
by Leilei Guo, Haidong Li, Rongwen Yao, Qiang Li, Yangshuang Wang, Renjuan Wei and Xianchun Ma
Water 2026, 18(2), 204; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020204 - 13 Jan 2026
Viewed by 32
Abstract
Accurate short-lead river discharge forecasting is critical for effective flood risk mitigation in small mountainous basins, where rapid hydrological responses pose significant challenges. In this study, we focus on the Fuhu Stream in Emeishan City, China, and utilize high-resolution 5-min time series of [...] Read more.
Accurate short-lead river discharge forecasting is critical for effective flood risk mitigation in small mountainous basins, where rapid hydrological responses pose significant challenges. In this study, we focus on the Fuhu Stream in Emeishan City, China, and utilize high-resolution 5-min time series of upstream precipitation, stage, and discharge to predict downstream flow. We benchmark three data-driven models—SARIMAX, XGBoost, and LSTM—using a dataset spanning from 7 June 2024 to 25 October 2024. The data were split chronologically, with observations from October 2024 reserved exclusively for testing to ensure rigorous out-of-sample evaluation. Lagged correlation analysis was employed to estimate travel times from upstream to the basin outlet and to inform the selection of time-lagged input features for model training. Results during the test period demonstrate that the LSTM model significantly outperformed both XGBoost and SARIMAX across all regression metrics: it achieved the highest coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.994) and the lowest prediction errors (RMSE = 0.016, MAE = 0.011). XGBoost exhibited moderate performance, while SARIMAX showed a tendency toward mean reversion and failed to capture low-flow variability. Accuracy evaluation reveals that LSTM accurately reproduced both baseflow conditions and multiple flood peaks, whereas XGBoost and SARIMAX failed. These results highlight the advantage of sequence-learning architectures in modeling nonlinear hydrological propagation and memory effects in short-term discharge dynamics. Feature importance analysis indicates that the LSTM model was highly effective for real-time forecasting and that the WSQ/LY sites served as critical monitoring nodes for achieving reliable predictions. This research contributes to the operationalization of early warning systems and provides support for decision-making regarding downstream flood disaster prevention. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Water-Soil Pollution Control and Environmental Management)
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22 pages, 4804 KB  
Article
SER-YOLOv8: An Early Forest Fire Detection Model Integrating Multi-Path Attention and NWD
by Juan Liu, Jiaxin Feng, Shujie Wang, Yian Ding, Jianghua Guo, Yuhang Li, Wenxuan Xue and Jie Hu
Forests 2026, 17(1), 93; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17010093 - 10 Jan 2026
Viewed by 107
Abstract
Forest ecosystems, as vital natural resources, are increasingly endangered by wildfires. Effective forest fire management relies on the accurate and early detection of small–scale flames and smoke. However, the complex and dynamic forest environment, along with the small size and irregular shape of [...] Read more.
Forest ecosystems, as vital natural resources, are increasingly endangered by wildfires. Effective forest fire management relies on the accurate and early detection of small–scale flames and smoke. However, the complex and dynamic forest environment, along with the small size and irregular shape of early fire indicators, poses significant challenges to reliable early warning systems. To address these issues, this paper introduces SER–YOLOv8, an enhanced detection model based on the YOLOv8 architecture. The model incorporates the RepNCSPELAN4 module and an SPPELAN structure to strengthen multi-scale feature representation. Furthermore, to improve small target localization, the Normalized Wasserstein Distance (NWD) loss is adopted, providing a more robust similarity measure than traditional IoU–based losses. The newly designed SERDet module deeply integrates a multi–scale feature extraction mechanism with a multi-path fused attention mechanism, significantly enhancing the recognition capability for flame targets under complex backgrounds. Depthwise separable convolution (DWConv) is utilized to reduce parameters and boost inference efficiency. Experiments on the M4SFWD dataset show that the proposed method improves mAP50 by 1.2% for flames and 2.4% for smoke, with a 1.5% overall gain in mAP50–95 over the baseline YOLOv8, outperforming existing mainstream models and offering a reliable solution for forest fire prevention. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Natural Hazards and Risk Management)
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28 pages, 9392 KB  
Article
Analysis Method and Experiment on the Influence of Hard Bottom Layer Contour on Agricultural Machinery Motion Position and Posture Changes
by Tuanpeng Tu, Xiwen Luo, Lian Hu, Jie He, Pei Wang, Peikui Huang, Runmao Zhao, Gaolong Chen, Dawen Feng, Mengdong Yue, Zhongxian Man, Xianhao Duan, Xiaobing Deng and Jiajun Mo
Agriculture 2026, 16(2), 170; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16020170 - 9 Jan 2026
Viewed by 172
Abstract
The hard bottom layer in paddy fields significantly impacts the driving stability, operational quality, and efficiency of agricultural machinery. Continuously improving the precision and efficiency of unmanned, precision operations for paddy field machinery is essential for realizing unmanned smart rice farms. Addressing the [...] Read more.
The hard bottom layer in paddy fields significantly impacts the driving stability, operational quality, and efficiency of agricultural machinery. Continuously improving the precision and efficiency of unmanned, precision operations for paddy field machinery is essential for realizing unmanned smart rice farms. Addressing the unclear influence patterns of hard bottom contours on typical scenarios of agricultural machinery motion and posture changes, this paper employs a rice transplanter chassis equipped with GNSS and AHRS. It proposes methods for acquiring motion state information and hard bottom contour data during agricultural operations, establishing motion state expression models for key points on the machinery antenna, bottom of the wheel, and rear axle center. A correlation analysis method between motion state and hard bottom contour parameters was established, revealing the influence mechanisms of typical hard bottom contours on machinery trajectory deviation, attitude response, and wheel trapping. Results indicate that hard bottom contour height and local roughness exert extremely significant effects on agricultural machinery heading deviation and lateral movement. Heading variation positively correlates with ridge height and negatively with wheel diameter. The constructed mathematical model for heading variation based on hard bottom contour height difference and wheel diameter achieves a coefficient of determination R2 of 0.92. The roll attitude variation in agricultural machinery is primarily influenced by the terrain characteristics encountered by rear wheels. A theoretical model was developed for the offset displacement of the antenna position relative to the horizontal plane during roll motion. The accuracy of lateral deviation detection using the posture-corrected rear axle center and bottom of the wheel center improved by 40.7% and 39.0%, respectively, compared to direct measurement using the positioning antenna. During typical vehicle-trapping events, a segmented discrimination function for trapping states is developed when the terrain profile steeply declines within 5 s and roughness increases from 0.008 to 0.012. This method for analyzing how hard bottom terrain contours affect the position and attitude changes in agricultural machinery provides theoretical foundations and technical support for designing wheeled agricultural robots, path-tracking control for unmanned precision operations, and vehicle-trapping early warning systems. It holds significant importance for enhancing the intelligence and operational efficiency of paddy field machinery. Full article
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21 pages, 4706 KB  
Article
Near-Real-Time Integration of Multi-Source Seismic Data
by José Melgarejo-Hernández, Paula García-Tapia-Mateo, Juan Morales-García and Jose-Norberto Mazón
Sensors 2026, 26(2), 451; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26020451 - 9 Jan 2026
Viewed by 101
Abstract
The reliable and continuous acquisition of seismic data from multiple open sources is essential for real-time monitoring, hazard assessment, and early-warning systems. However, the heterogeneity among existing data providers such as the United States Geological Survey, the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre, and the Spanish [...] Read more.
The reliable and continuous acquisition of seismic data from multiple open sources is essential for real-time monitoring, hazard assessment, and early-warning systems. However, the heterogeneity among existing data providers such as the United States Geological Survey, the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre, and the Spanish National Geographic Institute creates significant challenges due to differences in formats, update frequencies, and access methods. To overcome these limitations, this paper presents a modular and automated framework for the scheduled near-real-time ingestion of global seismic data using open APIs and semi-structured web data. The system, implemented using a Docker-based architecture, automatically retrieves, harmonizes, and stores seismic information from heterogeneous sources at regular intervals using a cron-based scheduler. Data are standardized into a unified schema, validated to remove duplicates, and persisted in a relational database for downstream analytics and visualization. The proposed framework adheres to the FAIR data principles by ensuring that all seismic events are uniquely identifiable, source-traceable, and stored in interoperable formats. Its lightweight and containerized design enables deployment as a microservice within emerging data spaces and open environmental data infrastructures. Experimental validation was conducted using a two-phase evaluation. This evaluation consisted of a high-frequency 24 h stress test and a subsequent seven-day continuous deployment under steady-state conditions. The system maintained stable operation with 100% availability across all sources, successfully integrating 4533 newly published seismic events during the seven-day period and identifying 595 duplicated detections across providers. These results demonstrate that the framework provides a robust foundation for the automated integration of multi-source seismic catalogs. This integration supports the construction of more comprehensive and globally accessible earthquake datasets for research and near-real-time applications. By enabling automated and interoperable integration of seismic information from diverse providers, this approach supports the construction of more comprehensive and globally accessible earthquake catalogs, strengthening data-driven research and situational awareness across regions and institutions worldwide. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Seismic Sensing and Monitoring)
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24 pages, 15357 KB  
Article
Quantitative Assessment of Drought Impact on Grassland Productivity in Inner Mongolia Using SPI and Biome-BGC
by Yunjia Ma, Tianjie Lei, Jiabao Wang, Zhitao Lin, Hang Li and Baoyin Liu
Diversity 2026, 18(1), 36; https://doi.org/10.3390/d18010036 - 9 Jan 2026
Viewed by 120
Abstract
Drought poses a severe threat to grassland biodiversity and ecosystem function. However, quantitative frameworks that capture the interactive effects of drought intensity and duration on productivity remain scarce, limiting impact assessment accuracy. To bridge this gap, we developed and validated a novel hybrid [...] Read more.
Drought poses a severe threat to grassland biodiversity and ecosystem function. However, quantitative frameworks that capture the interactive effects of drought intensity and duration on productivity remain scarce, limiting impact assessment accuracy. To bridge this gap, we developed and validated a novel hybrid modeling framework to quantify drought impacts on net primary productivity (NPP) across Inner Mongolia’s major grasslands (1961–2012). Drought was characterized using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and ecosystem productivity was simulated with the Biome-BGC model. Our core innovation is the hybrid model, which integrates linear and nonlinear components to explicitly capture the compounded, nonlinear influence of combined drought intensity and duration. This represents a significant advance over conventional single-perspective approaches. Key results demonstrate that the hybrid model substantially outperforms linear and nonlinear models alone, yielding highly significant regression equations for all grassland types (meadow, typical, desert; all p < 0.001). Independent validation confirmed its robustness and high predictive skill (NSE ≈ 0.868, RMSE = 20.09 gC/m2/yr). The analysis reveals two critical findings: (1) drought duration is a stronger driver of productivity decline than instantaneous intensity, and (2) desert grasslands are the most vulnerable, followed by typical and meadow grasslands. The hybrid model serves as a practical tool for estimating site-specific productivity loss, directly informing grassland management priorities, adaptive grazing strategies, and early-warning system design. Beyond immediate applications, this framework provides a transferable methodology for assessing drought-induced vulnerability in biodiverse ecosystems, supporting conservation and climate-adaptive management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Ecology and Restoration of Grassland—2nd Edition)
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21 pages, 4123 KB  
Article
Assessing a Semi-Autonomous Drone-in-a-Box System for Landslide Monitoring: A Case Study from the Yukon Territory, Canada
by Margaret Kalacska, Oliver Lucanus, Juan Pablo Arroyo-Mora, John Stix, Panya Lipovsky and Justin Roman
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 693; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18020693 - 9 Jan 2026
Viewed by 143
Abstract
Technological innovation in commercial Remotely Piloted Aircraft Systems (RPASs) is advancing rapidly. However, their operational efficiency remains limited by the need for on-site skilled human operators. Semi-autonomous drone-in-a-box (DIAB) systems are emerging as a practical solution, enabling automated, repeatable missions for applications such [...] Read more.
Technological innovation in commercial Remotely Piloted Aircraft Systems (RPASs) is advancing rapidly. However, their operational efficiency remains limited by the need for on-site skilled human operators. Semi-autonomous drone-in-a-box (DIAB) systems are emerging as a practical solution, enabling automated, repeatable missions for applications such as construction site monitoring, security, and critical infrastructure inspection. Beyond industry, these systems hold significant promise for scientific research, particularly in long-term environmental monitoring where cost, accessibility, and safety are critical factors. In this technology demonstration, we detail the system implementation, discuss flight-planning challenges, and assess the overall feasibility of deploying a DJI Dock 2 DIAB system for remote monitoring of the Miles Ridge landslide in the Yukon Territory, Canada. The system was installed approximately 2.5 km from the landslide and operated remotely from across the country in Montreal, QC, about 4000 km away. A total of five datasets were acquired from July to September 2025, enabling three-dimensional reconstruction of the landslide surface from each acquisition. A comparison of extracted cross-sections demonstrated high reproducibility and accurate co-registration across acquisitions. This study highlights the potential of DIAB systems to support reliable, low-maintenance monitoring of remote landslides. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Assessment and Risk Analysis on Landslide Hazards)
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24 pages, 3734 KB  
Article
Probabilistic Analysis of Rainfall-Induced Slope Stability Using KL Expansion and Polynomial Chaos Kriging Surrogate Model
by Binghao Zhou, Kepeng Hou, Huafen Sun, Qunzhi Cheng and Honglin Wang
Geosciences 2026, 16(1), 36; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences16010036 - 9 Jan 2026
Viewed by 174
Abstract
Rainfall infiltration is one of the main factors inducing slope instability, while the spatial heterogeneity and uncertainty of soil parameters have profound impacts on slope response characteristics and stability evolution. Traditional deterministic analysis methods struggle to reveal the dynamic risk evolution process of [...] Read more.
Rainfall infiltration is one of the main factors inducing slope instability, while the spatial heterogeneity and uncertainty of soil parameters have profound impacts on slope response characteristics and stability evolution. Traditional deterministic analysis methods struggle to reveal the dynamic risk evolution process of the system under heavy rainfall. Therefore, this paper proposes an uncertainty analysis framework combining Karhunen–Loève Expansion (KLE) random field theory, Polynomial Chaos Kriging (PCK) surrogate modeling, and Monte Carlo simulation to efficiently quantify the probabilistic characteristics and spatial risks of rainfall-induced slope instability. First, for key strength parameters such as cohesion and internal friction angle, a two-dimensional random field with spatial correlation is constructed to realistically depict the regional variability of soil mechanical properties. Second, a PCK surrogate model optimized by the LARS algorithm is developed to achieve high-precision replacement of finite element calculation results. Then, large-scale Monte Carlo simulations are conducted based on the surrogate model to obtain the probability distribution characteristics of slope safety factors and potential instability areas at different times. The research results show that the slope enters the most unstable stage during the middle of rainfall (36–54 h), with severe system response fluctuations and highly concentrated instability risks. Deterministic analysis generally overestimates slope safety and ignores extreme responses in tail samples. The proposed method can effectively identify the multi-source uncertainty effects of slope systems, providing theoretical support and technical pathways for risk early warning, zoning design, and protection optimization of slope engineering during rainfall periods. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Advances in Landslide Mechanisms and Prediction Models)
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20 pages, 2036 KB  
Article
An Architecture-Feature-Enhanced Decision Framework for Deep Learning-Based Prediction of Extreme and Imbalanced Precipitation
by Wenjiu Yu, Yingna Sun, Zhicheng Yue, Zhinan Li and Yujia Liu
Water 2026, 18(2), 176; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020176 - 8 Jan 2026
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Abstract
Accurate precipitation forecasting is paramount for water security and disaster mitigation, yet it remains formidable due to atmospheric stochasticity and the inherent class imbalance in rainfall datasets. This study proposes an integrated “architecture-feature-augmentation” framework to circumvent these limitations. Through a systematic evaluation of [...] Read more.
Accurate precipitation forecasting is paramount for water security and disaster mitigation, yet it remains formidable due to atmospheric stochasticity and the inherent class imbalance in rainfall datasets. This study proposes an integrated “architecture-feature-augmentation” framework to circumvent these limitations. Through a systematic evaluation of CNN-LSTM and Transformer architectures, we delineate distinct performance profiles: The Transformer model, when coupled with feature engineering and physics-informed augmentation, yields a peak F1-score of 0.1429, marking the optimal configuration for harmonizing precision and recall. Conversely, CNN-LSTM demonstrates superior robustness in extreme event detection, consistently maintaining high recall rates (up to 0.90) across diverse scenarios. We identify feature engineering as a critical performance modulator, substantially bolstering CNN-LSTM’s baseline metrics while enabling the Transformer to realize its maximum predictive capacity. Although synthetic oversampling techniques—such as SMOTE and GAN—effectively extend the detection range for heavy precipitation, physics-informed augmentation provides the most consistent performance gains, particularly in multi-class contexts. We conclude that the Transformer, augmented by physical constraints, is the optimal candidate for high-precision requirements, whereas CNN-LSTM, integrated with synthetic augmentation, offers a more sensitive alternative for early warning systems prioritizing recall. These findings provide empirical guidance for advancing extreme weather preparedness and strategic water resource management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrology)
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