Search Results (11)

A convective cell storm containing two differential reflectivity (Z_DR) columns was observed with a dual-polarization phased-array radar (X-PAR) in Xixian County. Since a Z_DR column is believed to correspond to a strong updraft and a single convective cell is considered to have a simple dynamic structure with one updraft core, how these two Z_DR columns form and coexist is the focus of this study. The dynamic and microphysical structures around the two Z_DR columns are studied under the mutual confirmation of the X-PAR observations and a cloud model simulation. The main Z_DR column forms and maintains in an updraft whose bottom corresponds to a convergence of low-level and mid-level flow; it lasts from the early stages to the later stages. The secondary Z_DR column emerges at the rear of the horizontal reflectivity (Z_H) core relative to the moving direction of the cell; it forms in the middle stages and lasts for a shorter period, and its formation is under an air lifting forced by the divergent outflow of precipitation. Therefore, the secondary Z_DR column is only a by-product in the middle stages of the convection rather than an indicator of a new or enhanced convection. Full article

Using an aerosol–climate coupled model, this paper has investigated the changes in distributions of anthropogenic and natural particles due to 4 × CO₂-induced global warming, under the low emission scenario of Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5). Special attention is paid to the seasonal variations of aerosol size modes. With rising CO₂ levels, surface warming, and changes in atmospheric circulations and hydrologic cycles are found during both summer (JJA) and winter (DJF). For anthropogenic particles, changes in fine anthropogenic particulate matter (PM_2.5, particles with diameters smaller than 2.5 μm) decrease over high-latitude regions and increase over the tropics in both DJF and JJA. Global mean column concentrations of PM_2.5 decrease by approximately 0.19 mg m⁻², and concentrations of coarse anthropogenic particles (CPM, particles with diameters larger than 2.5 μm) increase by 0.005 mg m⁻² in JJA. Changes in anthropogenic particles in DJF are similar to those in JJA, but the magnitudes of maximum regional changes are much smaller than those in JJA. The coarse anthropogenic particles (CPM, particles with diameters larger than 2.5 μm) increase over northern Africa and the Arabian Peninsula during JJA, whereas changes in anthropogenic CPM during DJF are minimal. During both JJA and DJF, changes in anthropogenic CPM are about two orders of magnitude smaller than those of anthropogenic PM_2.5. Enhanced wet deposition by large-scale precipitation under rising CO₂-induced surface warming is the critical factor affecting changes in anthropogenic particles. For natural particles, the distribution of change in the natural PM_2.5 burden is similar to that of natural CPM, but much larger than natural CPM during each season. Both natural PM_2.5 and CPM burdens increase over northern Africa and the Arabian Peninsula during JJA, but decrease over most of the continental regions during DJF. Changes in surface wind speed, divergence/convergence of surface wind, and precipitation are primary reasons for the variation of natural particles. Full article

Addressing the impacts of climate change requires, first of all, understanding the mechanisms driving changes, especially at the regional scale. In particular, policymakers and other stakeholders need physically robust climate change information to drive societal responses to a changing climate. This study analyses late 21st-century (2071–2100) precipitation projections for the Congo Basin under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5, using the Rossby Centre Regional Climate Model (RCM) RCA4. Specifically, we examine the impact of the RCM formulation (reduction of turbulent mixing) on future change in seasonal mean precipitation by comparing the results of the modified model version (RCA4-v4) with those of the standard version (RCA4-v1) used in CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment). The two RCM versions are driven by two global climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5). The results show that seasonal precipitation is largely affected by modifications in the atmospheric column moisture convergence or divergence, and, in turn, associated with changes in the dynamic (ΔDY) and thermodynamic (ΔTH) components of the moisture-budget equation. Projected decreased precipitation in the dry seasons (December–January–February and June–July–August) is linked to increased moisture divergence driven by dynamic effects (changes in circulation), with most experiments showing ΔDY as the main contributor (>60%) to the total moisture budget. Overall, precipitation is projected to increase in the wet seasons (March–April–May and September–October–November), which can be attributed to both dynamic and thermodynamic effects, but with a larger thermodynamic contribution (changes in specific humidity, ΔTH > 45%), compared to the dynamic one (ΔDY > 40%). Through a comparison of the two model versions, we found that the formulation (reducing turbulent mixing) and boundary conditions (driving GCM) strongly influence precipitation projections. This result holds substantial value for ensuring the fitness of models for future projections intended for decision-makers. Full article

In this note, we obtain extensions of a theorem of Meyer-König and Zeller and a theorem of Wilansky in that the given results do not require a summability matrix to be a bounded operator from the convergent sequences into themselves. The culmination of the results in this note is that a triangle matrix method T with null columns maps a bounded divergent sequence to a null sequence if and only if the range of T is not closed in the null sequences. Full article

Using daily minimum temperature data at 2481 stations provided by the National Meteorological Information Center (China) and the daily reanalysis data from NCEP/NCAR during the period from 1980 to 2019, the effects of atmospheric low frequency oscillations (LFOs) on the regional strong cooling events (RSCEs) in the winter of northern China are investigated, and the extended range forecast signals of the RSCEs are extracted. The results show that: (1) The frequency of RSCEs is higher before the year 2000 and then decreases, but its interannual variability increases. There are 10–20, 20–30 and 30–60 d significant low frequency periods in the regional average minimum temperature in northern China, and the low frequency oscillation with a period of 10–20 d is the most significant. (2) The low frequency key systems affecting RSCEs in the west, middle, and east of northern China are the Ural blocking high and the trough of Lake Balkhash-Baikal (Lake Ba-Bei), the blocking high in the northwest and the low trough in the southeast of Lake Ba-Bei, the Lake Ba-Bei blocking high and the East Asian trough, respectively, and the Siberian High (SH) that expands and moves with the blocking high all the time. The low frequency jets at the upper level are weaker in the north and stronger in the south. (3) The low frequency high potential vorticity (PV) center in the lower stratosphere moves eastward and southward along the 315 K isentropic surface via the north of Lake Ba-Bei, southern Lake Baikal and Northeast China to the Sea of Japan, causing the 2 PVU line to move southward and then the above-mentioned high PV center in the mid-high troposphere to extend vertically. Meanwhile, under the influence of gradually increasing upper level jets and vertical meridional circulation, the high PV column continues to propagate downward to the mid-low troposphere at lower latitudes along the 300–315 K isentropic surfaces, which enhances the low frequency positive vorticity and deepens the key trough. In addition, the convergence in the upper troposphere, the divergence in the lower layer, and the development of descending motion behind the trough lead to the development and southward movement of the SH. (4) At −10 d, the positive and negative low frequency anomalies at 500 hPa geopotential height appearing in the East European Plain and Western Siberian Plain are the extended range forecast signals for RSCEs in the winter of northern China, respectively. Full article

An internal wave is a typical dynamic process. As an internal wave, an internal solitary wave usually occurs between two layers of fluids with different densities. Compared with general internal waves, internal solitary waves have large amplitudes, fast propagation speeds, short-wave periods, and often have tremendous energy. The propagation causes strong convergence and divergence of seawater and generates a sudden strong current. Due to its various characteristics, the propagation of internal solitary waves can cause serious harm to offshore engineering structures. Therefore, studying the effects of internal solitary waves on risers is vital in preventing environmental pollution caused by riser damage. Although the research on internal solitary waves has achieved very fruitful results, the research on structures is mostly focused on a single condition, and the occurrence of internal solitary wave, as a complex ocean phenomenon, is often accompanied by many situations. Therefore, this paper constructs a numerical simulation of the interaction between two columns of internal solitary waves and risers. This study explores the force and flow field changes of the riser under the condition of multiple internal solitary waves using the Star-CCM+ software in the simulation. The improved K-epsilon turbulence model was adopted to close the three-dimensional incompressible Navier–Stokes equation, and the solitary wave solution of the eKdV equation was used as the initial and boundary conditions. The interaction between single and double internal solitary waves and a riser was calculated, compared, and analyzed using numerical analysis. The experiment results indicate that the conditions of two internal solitary waves differ from those of a single internal solitary wave. After colliding at the riser, the waves gradually merge into a single wave, and the flow field reaches its minimum velocity. Under the two-wave condition, the horizontal force on the riser as a whole is less than the single-wave condition. As the amplitude difference between the two internal solitary waves gradually decreases, the horizontal opposing force received by the riser first increases and then decreases, while the horizontal positive force gradually decreases. Full article

In recent years, due to the influence of global warming, extreme weather events occur frequently, such as the continuous heavy precipitation, regional high temperature, super typhoon, etc. Tropical cyclones make frequent landfall, heavy rains and flood disasters caused by landfall typhoons have a huge impact, and typhoon rainstorms are often closely related to mesoscale and small-scale system activities. The application 2020 NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) final operational global analysis data and WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting model, version 3.9) mesoscale numerical prediction model successfully simulates the evolution characteristics of the mesoscale convective complex (MCC) that caused an extreme rainstorm in the Yangtze River delta region behind a northwards typhoon in this article. The results show that a meso-β-scale vortex existed in the mid- to upper troposphere in the region where the MCC occurred; accompanied by the occurrence of the meso-β-scale vortex, the convective cloud clusters developed violently, and its shape is a typical vortex structure. The simulation-sensitive experiment shows that the development of the meso-β-scale cyclonic vortex is the main reason for the enhancement of MCC. The occurrence and development of the MCC is manifested as a vertical positive vorticity column and a strong vertical ascending motion region in the dynamic field. In the development and maturity stage of the MCC, the vorticity and vertical rising velocity in the MCC area are significantly greater than those in the weakened typhoon circulation, which shows significant mesoscale convective system characteristics. The diagnostic analysis of the vorticity equation shows that the positive vorticity advection caused by the meso-β-scale cyclonic vortex in the mid- to upper troposphere plays important roles in the development of the MCC. Enhanced low-level convergence enhances vertical ascending motion. The convective latent heat release also plays an important role on the development of the MCC, changes the atmospheric instability by heating, enhances the upward movement, and delivers positive vorticity to the upper level, making the convection develop higher, forming a positive feedback mechanism between low-level convergence and high-level divergence. The simulation-sensitive experiment also shows that the meso-β-scale cyclonic vortex formation in this process is related to convective latent heat release. Full article

From 17:00 to 18:00 local standard time (LST) on 3 July 2019, a rare strong tornado occurred in Kaiyuan, Liaoning Province, northeast China. NCEP/NCAR 0.25° × 0.25° reanalysis data and WRF4.0 numerical prediction models were used to carry out the numerical simulation. Double nesting was adopted, and the horizontal grid distance was 9 km by 3 km. Based on the observation data of China meteorological observation stations, surface and upper charts, Doppler radar data, Himawari(HMW)-8 satellite images and numerical simulation results, the mesoscale structure and mechanism of the tornado were studied. The results show that: (1) At the northwest edge of the subtropical high, and the northeast cold vortex located in Northeast China, when the transverse trough moves southward, cold air is supplied continuously. Under the joint influence of the surface northeast cyclone, these are the main synoptic features of the tornado; (2) The northeast cold vortex cloud system was located at the junction of Heilongjiang and Jilin Provinces, and a squall line cloud system is formed. The tornado occurred at the tail of the squall line, and the strongest echo reached 65 dBZ. A mesocyclone, a 20 km northwest–southeast convergence belt, V-shaped gap, echo overhang structure and tornado vortex feature (TVS) were detected by the Doppler radar; (3) Before the tornado occurred, dry and cold air intruded from the northwest of the cold vortex, and a water vapor convergence zone appeared south of the squall line. The water vapor saturation zone with 80% relative humidity in northeast China was concentrated at 700 hPa, and the 20% dry column dropped down to 500 hPa between 115 and 124° E from the west. On the 850 hPa physical fields, there was a −20 × 10⁻⁵ s⁻¹ convergence zone, and a 16 × 10⁻⁵ s⁻¹ divergence belt appeared south and north of the squall line. A negative vorticity belt and a positive vorticity belt appeared south and north of the squall line, respectively. Kaiyuan is located at the smallest vertical shear, which is the junction place of three large vertical shear belts; (4) After 10:00 LST, the westerly wind 20 (10) m·s⁻¹ dropped to 400 (800) hPa between 126 and 127° E. The northerly gale at 300 hPa north of 45° N moved southward. The rising center of the low level at 17:00 LST at approximately 45° N moved southward, and a sinking center appeared above it; (5) Several pairs of positive and negative vorticity columns formed between the lower troposphere and the place where the tornado occurred. There was convective instability at the lower level. CAPE increased, 0–3 km vertical wind shear increased, and LCL decreased remarkably during the afternoon. Full article

During 10–12 June 2012, heavy rainfall occurred three days in a row in southern and central Taiwan, with daily rainfall maxima exceeding 500 mm on each day. In the Mei-yu season (May–June) during 1993–2000, only two other rainfall events had a comparable amount and duration, but this case was the only one that occurred well before the arrival of the Mei-yu front. The synoptic conditions and their evolution leading to this unique event are thus important and are the foci of this study. Our analysis indicates that the 10–12 June 2012 event in Taiwan was caused by the strong and persistent west-southwesterly low-level jet (LLJ) that transported warm, moist, and unstable air from upstream and then impinged on the island. The LLJ developed due to the enhanced horizontal pressure (or height) gradient when the pressure at low-levels fell significantly (by ~8 hPa) in South China (north of the jet) during 8–10 June, but the subtropical high to the southeast maintained its strength. Further, through a diagnosis using the pressure tendency equation, it is found that both warm air advection and the dynamic effects (column divergence and transport of mass by vertical motion) contributed to the pressure fall in South China. The warm air advection occurred in the southern part of a large-scale confluent pattern in China, and the persistent west-southwesterly flow through deep layer (mainly above 800 hPa) in South China transported warmer and less dense air into the region from lower latitudes. On the other hand, South China was also located under the diffluent zone in the northeastern quadrant of the South Asian upper-level anticyclone, which strengthened during 5–10 June and provided divergence aloft, which exceeded the low-level convergence and upward transport of mass (at a fixed height) into the column by vertical motion on 9 June. As a result, the dynamic effects also contributed to the pressure fall, although secondary to the warm air advection. The destabilization process in South China during 8–10 June was also helpful to increase convective activity and upper-level divergence. Full article

From 14 to 17 August 2019, a heavy rainstorm occurred in Northeast China due to the combined influence of the residual vortex of typhoon 1909 (Lekima) and cold air intrusion. Based on the precipitation data of China Meteorological observation stations, surface and upper charts, HMW-8 satellite images, NCEP/NCAR 0.25° × 0.25° reanalysis data and WRF4.0 numerical prediction model are used to carry out numerical simulations. According to the weather situation and numerical simulation results, the cause of 1 h severe precipitation is thoroughly studied. Results show that: (1) According to the weather situation, the precipitation process can be divided into two stages. The first stage is from 1412 to 1612 August 2019, which is caused by the interaction between the residual vortex, the inverted trough of typhoon 1909 (Lekima) and the upper trough. The rain belt lies from northeast to southwest, and the rainfall center has typical meso-β-scale characteristics. At the second stage from 1612 to 1712 August 2019, the residual vortex of typhoon reaches Heilongjiang Province, at the same time, 500 hPa cold vortex falls to the south; (2) Based on the 1 h rainfall of automatic weather stations, it can be seen that there are three rainfall peaks from 00 UTC 14 to 12 UTC 17, which are 53.2 mm in the Middle East of Jilin Province, 38.2 mm in the south of 1610 Liaoning Province, and 21.3 mm in the east of 1707 Heilongjiang Province respectively. (3) Before the occurrence of 1 h heavy rainfall, the water vapor is concentrated in the middle and lower troposphere. The residual vortex trough of typhoon 1909 extends northward, converges with the southwest airflow at the edge of the subtropical high, and transports water vapor and energy to the northeast. The convective cloud clusters generated ahead of the trough move southeast, then merge into the mesoscale convective system in the inverted trough; (4) In the Bohai Bay and North Korea, there is a vortex-like zone composed of several convergence centers, and the convergence zone in typhoon-inverted trough meets with the trough in Central Jilin. There exist a rising area and a positive vorticity belt in the typhoon-inverted trough, and the center of heavy rain lies in front of the positive vorticity center. At the west of the inverted trough, there is a large center of positive vertical wind shear, and a small center in the east. The center of heavy rainfall is located on the line between the maximum and minimum centers, which is close to the right of the maximum center; (5) The high energy tongue is transported from the center of the typhoon to the northeast along the inverted trough of the typhoon, and the southwest airflow at the edge of the subtropical high. There is a zone titled downward from northwest to southeast that contains dry and cold air, where there is convective instability; (6) The strong precipitation area is located on the lee in the northwest of Changbai Mountain. There is a convergence area in the middle of the troposphere, and a strong divergence area in the upper troposphere, with remarkable topographic effect, and the west divergence column inclines on the east convergence column. Full article

Using a three-dimensional, hydrostatic, primitive-equation ocean model, this study investigates the dynamics of lateral circulation in a partially stratified tidal inlet, the Barataria Pass in the Gulf of Mexico, over a 25.6 h diurnal tidal cycle. Model performance is assessed against observational data. During flood tide, the lateral circulation exhibits the characteristics similar to those induced by differential advection, i.e., lateral flow consists of two counter-rotating cells and is convergent at the surface. The analysis of momentum balance indicates that, in addition to the pressure gradient and vertical stress divergence, nonlinear advection and horizontal stress divergence are also important contributors. During ebb phase, the lateral circulation is mostly toward the right shoal (when looking into the estuary) for the whole water column and persisting for almost the whole period. The surface divergence suggested by the differential advection mechanism lasts for a very short period, if it ever exists. The main momentum balance across most of the transect during ebb is between the along-channel advection of cross-channel momentum and pressure gradient. The sectional averaged lateral velocity magnitude during ebb is comparable to that during flood, which is different from the idealized numerical experiment result. Full article