Sign in to use this feature.

Years

Between: -

Subjects

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Journals

Article Types

Countries / Regions

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Search Results (189)

Search Parameters:
Keywords = building heat load prediction

Order results
Result details
Results per page
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:
29 pages, 14221 KB  
Article
Integrated Control of Hybrid Thermochemical–PCM Storage for Renewable Heating and Cooling Systems in a Smart House
by Georgios Martinopoulos, Paschalis A. Gkaidatzis, Luis Jimeno, Alberto Belda González, Panteleimon Bakalis, George Meramveliotakis, Apostolos Gkountas, Nikolaos Tarsounas, Dimosthenis Ioannidis, Dimitrios Tzovaras and Nikolaos Nikolopoulos
Electronics 2026, 15(2), 279; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics15020279 - 7 Jan 2026
Viewed by 243
Abstract
The development of integrated renewable energy and high-density thermal energy storage systems has been fueled by the need for environmentally friendly heating and cooling in buildings. In this paper, MiniStor, a hybrid thermochemical and phase-change material storage system, is presented. It is equipped [...] Read more.
The development of integrated renewable energy and high-density thermal energy storage systems has been fueled by the need for environmentally friendly heating and cooling in buildings. In this paper, MiniStor, a hybrid thermochemical and phase-change material storage system, is presented. It is equipped with a heat pump, advanced electronics-enabled control, photovoltaic–thermal panels, and flat-plate solar collectors. To optimize energy flows, regulate charging and discharging cycles, and maintain operational stability under fluctuating solar irradiance and building loads, the system utilizes state-of-the-art power electronics, variable-frequency drives and modular multi-level converters. The hybrid storage is safely, reliably, and efficiently integrated with building HVAC requirements owing to a multi-layer control architecture that is implemented via Internet of Things and SCADA platforms that allow for real-time monitoring, predictive operation, and fault detection. Data from the MiniStor prototype demonstrate effective thermal–electrical coordination, controlled energy consumption, and high responsiveness to dynamic environmental and demand conditions. The findings highlight the vital role that digital control, modern electronics, and Internet of Things-enabled supervision play in connecting small, high-density thermal storage and renewable energy generation. This strategy demonstrates the promise of electronics-driven integration for next-generation renewable energy solutions and provides a scalable route toward intelligent, robust, and effective building energy systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Insights in Power Electronics: Prospects and Challenges)
Show Figures

Figure 1

24 pages, 3597 KB  
Article
Research on HVAC Energy Consumption Prediction Based on TCN-BiGRU-Attention
by Limin Wang, Jiangtao Dai, Jumin Zhao, Wei Gao and Dengao Li
Energies 2025, 18(24), 6603; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246603 - 17 Dec 2025
Viewed by 233
Abstract
HVAC (Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning) system in buildings is a major component of energy consumption, and realizing high-precision energy consumption prediction is of great significance for intelligent building management. Aiming at the problems of insufficient modeling ability of nonlinear features and insufficient [...] Read more.
HVAC (Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning) system in buildings is a major component of energy consumption, and realizing high-precision energy consumption prediction is of great significance for intelligent building management. Aiming at the problems of insufficient modeling ability of nonlinear features and insufficient portrayal of long time-series dependencies in prediction methods, this paper proposes an HVAC energy consumption prediction model that combines time-sequence convolutional network (TCN), bi-directional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU), and Attention mechanism. The model takes advantage of TCN’s parallel computing and multi-scale feature extraction, BiGRU’s bidirectional temporal dependency modeling, and Attention’s weight assignment of key features to effectively improve the prediction accuracy. In this work, the HVAC load is represented by the building-level electricity meter readings of office buildings equipped with centralized, electrically driven heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning systems. Therefore, the proposed method is mainly applicable to building-level HVAC energy consumption prediction scenarios where aggregated hourly electricity or cooling energy measurements are available, rather than to the control of individual terminal units. The experimental results show that the model in this paper achieves better performance compared to the method on ASHRAE dataset, the proposed model outperforms the baseline by 2.3%, 22.2%, and 34.7% in terms of MAE, RMSE, and MAPE, respectively, on the one-year time-by-time data of the office building, and meanwhile it is significant 54.1% on the MSE metrics. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

29 pages, 7324 KB  
Article
A Hierarchical Control Framework for HVAC Systems: Day-Ahead Scheduling and Real-Time Model Predictive Control Co-Optimization
by Xiaoqian Wang, Shiyu Zhou, Yufei Gong, Yuting Liu and Jiying Liu
Energies 2025, 18(23), 6266; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18236266 - 28 Nov 2025
Viewed by 529
Abstract
Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are the primary energy consumers in modern office buildings, with chillers consuming the most energy. As critical components of building air conditioning, the effective functioning of HVAC systems holds substantial importance for energy preservation and emission [...] Read more.
Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are the primary energy consumers in modern office buildings, with chillers consuming the most energy. As critical components of building air conditioning, the effective functioning of HVAC systems holds substantial importance for energy preservation and emission mitigation. To enhance the operational performance of HVAC systems and accomplish energy conservation objectives, precise cooling load forecasting is essential. This research employs an office facility in Binzhou City, Shandong Province, as a case investigation and presents a day-ahead scheduling-based model predictive control (MPC) approach for HVAC systems, which targets minimizing the overall system power utilization. An attention mechanism-based long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network forecasting model is developed to predict the building’s cooling demand for the subsequent 24 h. Based on the forecasting outcomes, the MPC controller adopts the supply–demand equilibrium between cooling capacity and cooling demand as the central constraint and utilizes the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm for rolling optimization to establish the optimal configuration approach for the chiller flow rate and temperature, thereby realizing the dynamic control of the HVAC system. To verify the efficacy of this approach, simulation analysis was performed using the TRNSYS simulation platform founded on the actual operational data and meteorological parameters of the building. The findings indicate that compared with the conventional proportional–integral–derivative (PID) control approach, the proposed day-ahead scheduling-based MPC strategy can attain an average energy conservation rate of 9.23% over a one-week operational period and achieve an energy-saving rate of 8.25% over a one-month period, demonstrating its notable advantages in diminishing building energy consumption. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

30 pages, 9346 KB  
Article
PSO-LSTM-Based Ultra-Short-Term Load Forecasting Study for Solar Heating System
by Baohua Hou, Yupeng Zhou, Renhao Liu and Hongzhou Zhang
Energies 2025, 18(23), 6254; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18236254 - 28 Nov 2025
Viewed by 310
Abstract
To address issues such as unstable heating loads, uneven heat consumption, and precise heating in solar heating systems, efficient and accurate heating load forecasting is essential. A suitable solar heating system model was established using the TRNSYS18 thermodynamic simulation platform. Taking a building [...] Read more.
To address issues such as unstable heating loads, uneven heat consumption, and precise heating in solar heating systems, efficient and accurate heating load forecasting is essential. A suitable solar heating system model was established using the TRNSYS18 thermodynamic simulation platform. Taking a building in Alar City, Xinjiang, as the research subject, ultra-short-term prediction data parameters for the area were obtained. Using the acquired data parameters and historical heating load data as inputs, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm was employed to optimize the LSTM neural network, establishing a prediction model based on the PSO-LSTM neural network. For load forecasting in 7 min ultra-short-term time series, both the LSTM neural network model and the PSO-LSTM neural network prediction model underwent optimization. Through simulation experiments verifying indoor temperature, heat collection, and energy consumption, two model error evaluation metrics were used as results. Comparative analysis revealed that the PSO-LSTM model achieved a 3.3–86.7% increase in R2 compared to the LSTM model, a 38.2–84.8% reduction in RMSE, a 57.8–91.1% decrease in MAE, and a 58–90.3% reduction in MAPE. The research results demonstrate the PSO-LSTM model’s effectiveness in southern Xinjiang, confirming its superiority as a forecasting model. This provides data support for operational adjustments and load forecasting in solar heating systems. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

23 pages, 2709 KB  
Article
The Implications of Non-Constant Hygrothermal Parameters on Heat and Moisture Transfer in Rammed Earth Walls Across Diverse Climate Zones
by Jun Mu, Xuechun Ma and Shimeng Hao
Sustainability 2025, 17(22), 10238; https://doi.org/10.3390/su172210238 - 16 Nov 2025
Viewed by 518
Abstract
As an eco-friendly natural building material, rammed earth possesses outstanding hygrothermal performance, which plays a vital role in achieving the goals of sustainable architecture. However, most existing simulations assume constant hygrothermal parameters, resulting in considerable discrepancies between predicted and actual energy performance and [...] Read more.
As an eco-friendly natural building material, rammed earth possesses outstanding hygrothermal performance, which plays a vital role in achieving the goals of sustainable architecture. However, most existing simulations assume constant hygrothermal parameters, resulting in considerable discrepancies between predicted and actual energy performance and consequently underestimating the true passive regulatory potential of rammed earth. To enhance the accuracy of energy consumption predictions in rammed earth buildings, this study integrates experimental measurements with dynamic simulations and experimentally determines both the constant and non-constant hygrothermal parameters of rammed earth. By integrating experimental and simulation approaches, this study reveals a strong positive linear correlation between the thermal conductivity of rammed earth and its moisture content (R2 = 0.9919), increasing from 0.77 W/(m·K) to 1.38 W/(m·K) as moisture content rises from 0% to 14%, whereas the moisture resistance factor decreases exponentially with increasing relative humidity (RH). Subsequently, the two sets of hygrothermal parameters were implemented in the WUFI-Plus simulation platform to conduct annual dynamic simulations across five representative Chinese climate zones (Harbin, Beijing, Nanjing, Guangzhou, and Dali), systematically comparing the performance differences between the “non-constant” and “constant” parameter models. The results show that the non-constant parameter model effectively captures the dynamic hygrothermal regulation of rammed earth, exhibiting superior passive performance. It predicts substantially lower building energy loads, with heating energy reductions most pronounced in Harbin and Beijing (16.9% and 15.5%) and cooling energy reductions most significant in Guangzhou and Nanjing (15.8% and 15.2%). This study confirms that accurately accounting for the dynamic hygrothermal coupling process is fundamental to reliably evaluating the performance of hygroscopic materials such as rammed earth, providing a robust scientific basis for promoting energy-efficient, low-carbon, and climate-responsive sustainable building design. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

30 pages, 8028 KB  
Article
CFD Implementation and Preliminary Validation of a Combined Boiling Model (CBM) for Two-Phase Closed Thermosyphons
by Jure Štrucl, Jure Marn and Matej Zadravec
Fluids 2025, 10(11), 296; https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids10110296 - 13 Nov 2025
Viewed by 575
Abstract
Predicting phase-change heat transfer in two-phase closed thermosyphons (TPCTs) represents a significant challenge owing to the complex interaction of boiling, condensation, and conjugate heat transfer (CHT) mechanisms. This study presents a numerical investigation of a TPCT using the Combined Boiling Model (CBM) within [...] Read more.
Predicting phase-change heat transfer in two-phase closed thermosyphons (TPCTs) represents a significant challenge owing to the complex interaction of boiling, condensation, and conjugate heat transfer (CHT) mechanisms. This study presents a numerical investigation of a TPCT using the Combined Boiling Model (CBM) within a conjugate heat transfer (CHT) framework. Unlike prior TPCT studies, the CBM integrates an improved RPI-based wall boiling model with sliding bubble dynamics, a laminar film condensation closure, and Lee-type bulk phase change in a single, energy-consistent formulation suited for engineering-scale meshes and time-steps. Building on these extensions, we demonstrate the approach on a vertical TPCT with full CHT and validate it against experiments and a VOF–Lee reference. Simulations for heat loads ranging from 173 to 376 W capture key flow features, including vapour generation, vapour-pocket dynamics, and thin-film condensation, while reducing temperature deviations typically below 3% in the evaporator and adiabatic sections and about 2 to 5% in the condenser. The results confirm that the CBM provides a physically consistent and computationally efficient approach for predicting evaporation–condensation phenomena in TPCTs. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Flow of Multi-Phase Fluids and Granular Materials)
Show Figures

Figure 1

25 pages, 6186 KB  
Article
Comparative Analysis of Battery and Thermal Energy Storage for Residential Photovoltaic Heat Pump Systems in Building Electrification
by Mingzhe Liu, Wei-An Chen, Yuan Gao and Zehuan Hu
Sustainability 2025, 17(21), 9497; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219497 - 25 Oct 2025
Viewed by 1665
Abstract
Buildings with electrified heat pump systems, onsite photovoltaic (PV) generation, and energy storage offer strong potential for demand flexibility. This study compares two storage configurations, thermal energy storage (TES) and battery energy storage (BESS), to evaluate their impact on cooling performance and cost [...] Read more.
Buildings with electrified heat pump systems, onsite photovoltaic (PV) generation, and energy storage offer strong potential for demand flexibility. This study compares two storage configurations, thermal energy storage (TES) and battery energy storage (BESS), to evaluate their impact on cooling performance and cost savings. A Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework was developed to optimize system operations, aiming to minimize costs while maintaining occupant comfort. Results show that both configurations achieve substantial savings relative to a baseline. The TES system reduces daily operating costs by about 50%, while the BESS nearly eliminates them (over 90% reduction) and cuts grid electricity use by more than 65%. The BESS achieves superior performance because it can serve both the controllable heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) system and the home’s broader electrical loads, thereby maximizing PV self-consumption. In contrast, the TES primarily influences the thermal load. These findings highlight that the choice between thermal and electrical storage greatly affects system outcomes. While the BESS provides a more comprehensive solution for whole-home energy management by addressing all electrical demands, further techno-economic evaluation is needed to assess the long-term feasibility and trade-offs of each configuration. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

17 pages, 1862 KB  
Article
Improving Building Heat Load Forecasting Models with Automated Identification and Attribution of Day Types
by Mikel Lumbreras, Roberto Garay-Martinez, Gonzalo Diarce, Koldobika Martin-Escudero and Beñat Arregi
Buildings 2025, 15(19), 3604; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15193604 - 8 Oct 2025
Viewed by 786
Abstract
This paper introduces a comprehensive methodology for predicting hourly heat loads in buildings. The approach employs unsupervised learning to identify distinct day types based on daily load profiles. A classification process then assigns each day to one of these day types, followed by [...] Read more.
This paper introduces a comprehensive methodology for predicting hourly heat loads in buildings. The approach employs unsupervised learning to identify distinct day types based on daily load profiles. A classification process then assigns each day to one of these day types, followed by the application of various supervised learning techniques to forecast heat loads. The methodology is both simple and robust, facilitating its use in load prediction across a wide range of buildings. The process is validated using data from three distinct building types (Residential, Educational, and Commercial) located in Tartu, Estonia. The results indicate that the day type identification and attribution process significantly reduce model complexity and computational time while achieving high prediction accuracy (MAPE ~<2%) with minimal computational requirements. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Building Energy, Physics, Environment, and Systems)
Show Figures

Figure 1

21 pages, 2463 KB  
Article
Probabilistic HVAC Load Forecasting Method Based on Transformer Network Considering Multiscale and Multivariable Correlation
by Tingzhe Pan, Zean Zhu, Hongxuan Luo, Chao Li, Xin Jin, Zijie Meng and Xinlei Cai
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5073; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195073 - 24 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 677
Abstract
Accurate load forecasting for community-level heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) plays an important role in determining an efficient strategy for demand response (DR) and the operation of the power grid. However, community-level HVAC includes various building-level HVACs, whose usage patterns and standard [...] Read more.
Accurate load forecasting for community-level heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) plays an important role in determining an efficient strategy for demand response (DR) and the operation of the power grid. However, community-level HVAC includes various building-level HVACs, whose usage patterns and standard parameters vary, causing the challenge of load forecasting. To this end, a novel deep learning model, multiscale and cross-variable transformer (MSCVFormer), is proposed to achieve accurate community-level HVAC probabilistic load forecasting by capturing the various influences of multivariables on the load pattern, providing effective information for the grid operators to develop DR and operation strategies. This approach is combined with the multiscale attention (MSA) and cross-variable attention (CVA) mechanism, capturing the complex temporal patterns of the aggregated load. Specifically, by embedding the time series decomposition into the self-attention mechanism, MSA enables the model to capture the critical features of time series while considering the correlation between multiscale time series. Then, CVA calculates the correlations between the exogenous variable and aggregated load, explicitly utilizing the exogenous variables to enhance the model’s understanding of the temporal pattern. This differs from the usual methods, which do not fully consider the relationship between the exogenous variable and aggregated load. To test the effectiveness of the proposed method, two datasets from Germany and China are used to conduct the experiment. Compared to the benchmarks, the proposed method achieves outperforming probabilistic load forecasting results, where the prediction interval coverage probability (PICP) deviation with the nominal coverage and prediction interval normalized averaged width (PINAW) are reduced by 46.7% and 5.25%, respectively. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Advances in Power Science and Technology, 2nd Edition)
Show Figures

Figure 1

20 pages, 4502 KB  
Article
Virtual Energy Replication Framework for Predicting Residential PV Power, Heat Pump Load, and Thermal Comfort Using Weather Forecast Data
by Daud Mustafa Minhas, Muhammad Usman, Irtaza Bashir Raja, Aneela Wakeel, Muzaffar Ali and Georg Frey
Energies 2025, 18(18), 5036; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18185036 - 22 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 580
Abstract
It is essential to balance energy supply and demand in residential buildings through accurate forecasting of energy use due to varying daily and seasonal residential building loads. This study demonstrates a data-driven Virtual Energy Replication Framework (VERF) to predict the behavior of residential [...] Read more.
It is essential to balance energy supply and demand in residential buildings through accurate forecasting of energy use due to varying daily and seasonal residential building loads. This study demonstrates a data-driven Virtual Energy Replication Framework (VERF) to predict the behavior of residential buildings using weather forecast data. The framework integrates supervised machine learning models and time-ahead weather parameters to estimate photovoltaic (PV) power production, heat pump energy consumption, and indoor thermal comfort. The accuracy of prediction models is validated using TRNSYS simulations of a typical household in Saarbrucken, Germany, a temperate oceanic climate region. The XGBoost model exhibits the highest reliability, achieving a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.003 kW for PV power generation and 0.025 kW for heat pump energy use, with R2 scores of 0.94 and 0.87, respectively. XGBoost and random forest regression models perform well in predicting PV generation and HP electricity load, with mean prediction errors of 5.27–6% and 0–7.7%, respectively. In addition, the thermal comfort index (PPD) is predicted with an RMSE of 1.84 kW and an R2 score of 0.80 using the XGBoost model. The mean prediction error remains between 2.4% (XGBoost regression) and −11.5% (lasso regression) throughout the forecasted data. Because the framework requires no real-time instrumentation or detailed energy modelling, it is scalable and adaptable for smart building energy systems, and has particular value for Building-Integrated Photovoltaics (BIPV) demonstration projects on account of its predictive load-matching capabilities. The research findings justify the applicability of VERF for efficient and sustainable energy management using weather-informed prediction models in residential buildings. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Application of Machine Learning Tools for Energy System)
Show Figures

Figure 1

18 pages, 1964 KB  
Article
Multi-Type Building Integrated Agricultural Microgrid Planning Method Driven by Data Mechanism Fusion
by Nan Wei, Zhi An, Qichao Chen, Zun Guo, Yichuan Fu, Yingliang Guo and Chenyang Li
Energies 2025, 18(18), 4911; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18184911 - 16 Sep 2025
Viewed by 569
Abstract
With the integration of numerous distributed energy resources (DERs) and buildings with diverse energy demands, the inherent vulnerability of agricultural microgrids poses escalating security threats. Harnessing the regulatory capabilities of diverse building loads and energy storage systems to mitigate voltage excursions caused by [...] Read more.
With the integration of numerous distributed energy resources (DERs) and buildings with diverse energy demands, the inherent vulnerability of agricultural microgrids poses escalating security threats. Harnessing the regulatory capabilities of diverse building loads and energy storage systems to mitigate voltage excursions caused by DER generation in microgrids is of significant importance. Therefore, a data mechanism fusion-driven microgrid planning method is proposed in this paper, aiming to enhance the security of microgrids and optimize the utilization of DERs. A comprehensive agricultural microgrid model that incorporates intricate constraints of various types of buildings is established, including greenhouses, refrigeration houses and residences. Based on this model, a site selection and capacity determination planning methodology is proposed, taking into account wind turbines (WTs), photovoltaics (PVs), electric boilers (EBs), battery energy storage systems (BESSs), and heat storage devices. To address the limitations of traditional greenhouse models in accurately predicting indoor temperatures, a temperature field prediction method for greenhouses is proposed by leveraging a generalized regression neural network (GRNN) to train and modify the model indicators. Case studies based on a modified IEEE 33-bus system verified the effectiveness and rationality of the proposed method. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

24 pages, 3748 KB  
Article
A Novel Intelligent Thermal Feedback Framework for Electric Motor Protection in Embedded Robotic Systems
by Mohamed Shili, Salah Hammedi, Hicham Chaoui and Khaled Nouri
Electronics 2025, 14(18), 3598; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14183598 - 10 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1286
Abstract
As robotic systems advance in autonomy and sophistication while being used in uncertain environments, the challenge of building reliable and robust electric motors that are embedded into robotic systems has never been a more important engineering problem. Thermal distress caused by extended operation [...] Read more.
As robotic systems advance in autonomy and sophistication while being used in uncertain environments, the challenge of building reliable and robust electric motors that are embedded into robotic systems has never been a more important engineering problem. Thermal distress caused by extended operation or excessive loading can negatively affect a motor’s performance and efficiency and lead to catastrophic hardware failure. This paper proposes a novel intelligent control framework that includes real-time thermal feedback for hybrid electric motors that are embedded into robotic systems. The framework relies on adaptive control techniques and lightweight machine learning techniques to estimate internal motor temperatures and dynamically change operational parameters. Unlike traditional reactive methods, this framework provides a spacious active/predictive method of heat management, while preserving efficiency and allowing for responsive control. Simulations, experimental validations, and preliminary trials that deployed real robotic systems demonstrated that our framework allows for reductions in peak temperatures by up to 18% and extends motor lifetime by 22%, while retaining control stability and a range of variations in PWM adjustments of ±12% across disparate workloads. These results demonstrate the efficacy of intelligent and thermally aware motor control architectures and processes to improve the reliability of autonomous robotic systems and open the door for next-generation embedded controllers that will allow robotic platforms to self-manage thermal effects in resilient, adaptable robots. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

27 pages, 2404 KB  
Article
Enhancing Building Energy Efficiency Estimations Through Graph Machine Learning: A Focus on Heating and Cooling Loads
by Wassim Jabi, Abdulrahman Ahmed Alymani and Ammar Alammar
Buildings 2025, 15(18), 3256; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15183256 - 9 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1266
Abstract
In this paper, we introduce graph machine learning to enhance the estimation of heating and cooling loads in buildings, a critical factor in building energy efficiency. Traditional methods often overlook the complex interaction between building topology and geometric characteristics, leading to less accurate [...] Read more.
In this paper, we introduce graph machine learning to enhance the estimation of heating and cooling loads in buildings, a critical factor in building energy efficiency. Traditional methods often overlook the complex interaction between building topology and geometric characteristics, leading to less accurate predictions. This research bridges this gap by incorporating these elements into a graph-based machine learning framework. This study introduces a parametric generative workflow to create a synthetic dataset, which is central to this research. This dataset encompasses multiple building forms, each with unique topological connections and attributes, ensuring a thorough analysis across varied building scenarios. The research involves simulating diverse building shapes and glazing scenarios with different window sizes and orientations. The study primarily utilizes Deep Graph Learning (DGL) for training, with Random Forest (RF) serving as a baseline for validation. Both DGL and RF algorithms demonstrate high performance in predicting heating and cooling loads. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Building Energy, Physics, Environment, and Systems)
Show Figures

Figure 1

14 pages, 2351 KB  
Article
Performance Evaluation of Similarity Metrics in Transfer Learning for Building Heating Load Forecasting
by Di Bai, Shuo Ma and Hongting Ma
Energies 2025, 18(17), 4678; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18174678 - 3 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1025
Abstract
Accurately predicting building heating and cooling loads is crucial for optimizing HVAC systems and enhancing energy efficiency. However, data-driven models often face overfitting issues due to scarce training data, a common challenge for new constructions or under data privacy constraints. Transfer learning (TL) [...] Read more.
Accurately predicting building heating and cooling loads is crucial for optimizing HVAC systems and enhancing energy efficiency. However, data-driven models often face overfitting issues due to scarce training data, a common challenge for new constructions or under data privacy constraints. Transfer learning (TL) offers a solution, but its effectiveness heavily depends on selecting an appropriate source domain through effective similarity measurement. This study systematically evaluates the performance of 20 prevalent similarity metrics in TL for building heating load forecasting to identify the most robust metrics for mitigating data scarcity. Experiments were conducted on data from 500 buildings, with seven distinct low-data target scenarios established for a single target building. The Relative Error Gap (REG) was employed to assess the efficacy of transfer learning facilitated by each metric. The results demonstrate that distance-based metrics, particularly Euclidean, normalized Euclidean, and Manhattan distances, consistently yielded lower REG values and higher stability across scenarios. In contrast, probabilistic measures such as the Bhattacharyya coefficient and Bray–Curtis similarity exhibited poorer and less stable performance. This research provides a validated guideline for selecting similarity metrics in TL applications for building energy forecasting. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

18 pages, 3300 KB  
Article
Electro-Thermal Transient Characteristics of Photovoltaic–Thermal (PV/T)–Heat Pump System
by Wenlong Zou, Gang Yu and Xiaoze Du
Energies 2025, 18(17), 4513; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18174513 - 25 Aug 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1088
Abstract
This study investigates the electro-thermal transient response of a photovoltaic–thermal (PV/T)–heat pump system under dynamic disturbances to optimize operational stability. A dynamic model integrating a PV/T collector and a heat pump was developed by the transient heat current method, enabling high-fidelity simulations of [...] Read more.
This study investigates the electro-thermal transient response of a photovoltaic–thermal (PV/T)–heat pump system under dynamic disturbances to optimize operational stability. A dynamic model integrating a PV/T collector and a heat pump was developed by the transient heat current method, enabling high-fidelity simulations of step perturbations: solar irradiance reduction, compressor operation, condenser water flow rate variations, and thermal storage tank volume changes. This study highlights the thermal storage tank’s critical role. For Vtank = 2 m3, water tank volume significantly suppresses the water tank and PV/T collector temperature fluctuations caused by solar irradiance reduction. PV/T collector temperature fluctuation suppression improved by 46.7%. For the PV/T heat pump system in this study, the water tank volume was selected between 1 and 1.5 m3 to optimize the balance of thermal inertia and cost. Despite PV cell electrical efficiency gains from PV cell temperature reductions caused by solar irradiance reduction, power recovery remains limited. Compressor dynamic performance exhibits asymmetry: the hot water temperature drop caused by speed reduction exceeds the rise from speed increase. Load fluctuations reveal heightened risk: load reduction triggers a hot water 7.6 °C decline versus a 2.2 °C gain under equivalent load increases. Meanwhile, water flow rate variation in condenser identifies electro-thermal time lags (100 s thermal and 50 s electrical stabilization), necessitating predictive compressor control to prevent temperature and compressor operation oscillations caused by system condition changes. These findings advance hybrid renewable systems by resolving transient coupling mechanisms and enhancing operational resilience, offering actionable strategies for PV/T–heat pump deployment in building energy applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A2: Solar Energy and Photovoltaic Systems)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Back to TopTop