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16 pages, 4660 KB  
Article
Effects of Multidimensional Factors on the Distance Decay of Bike-Sharing Access to Metro Stations
by Tingzhao Chen, Yuting Wang, Yanyan Chen, Haodong Sun and Xiqi Wang
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(24), 13228; https://doi.org/10.3390/app152413228 - 17 Dec 2025
Viewed by 173
Abstract
The last kilometer connection problem of metro transit stations is the core factor to measure the connection efficiency and service quality. Establishing the spatiotemporal distribution pattern of the connection distance is conducive to clarifying the interaction mechanism between bike-sharing connections and urban space. [...] Read more.
The last kilometer connection problem of metro transit stations is the core factor to measure the connection efficiency and service quality. Establishing the spatiotemporal distribution pattern of the connection distance is conducive to clarifying the interaction mechanism between bike-sharing connections and urban space. This study focuses on the travel behavior of shared bicycle users accessing metro stations, aiming to reveal the access distance decay patterns and their relationship with influence factors. Finally, the random forest algorithm was used to explore the nonlinear relationship between the influencing factors and the connection decay distance, and to clarify the importance of the factors. Multiple linear regression was applied to examine the linear correlation between the distance decay coefficient and the factors influence. The geographically weighted regression was further employed to explore spatial variations in their effects. Finally, the random forest algorithm was used to rank the importance of the impact factors. The results indicate that proximity distance to metro stations, proximity distance to bus stops, and the number of bus routes serving the station area have significant negative correlations with the distance decay coefficient. Significant spatial heterogeneity was observed in the influence of each factor on the distance decay coefficient, based on the geographically weighted regression analysis. With a high goodness-of-fit (R2 = 0.8032), the Random Forest regression model furthermore quantified the relative importance of each factor influencing the distance decay coefficient. The findings can be directly applied to optimize the layout of shared bicycle parking, metro access facilities planning, and multi-modal transportation system design. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Transportation and Future Mobility)
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32 pages, 19779 KB  
Article
Electric Bikes and Scooters Versus Muscular Bikes in Free-Floating Shared Services: Reconstructing Trips with GPS Data from Florence and Bologna, Italy
by Giacomo Bernieri, Joerg Schweizer and Federico Rupi
Sustainability 2025, 17(24), 11153; https://doi.org/10.3390/su172411153 - 12 Dec 2025
Viewed by 392
Abstract
Bike-sharing services contribute to reducing emissions and conserving natural resources within urban transportation systems. They also promote public health by encouraging physical activity and generate economic benefits through shorter travel times, lower transportation costs, and decreased demand for parking infrastructure. This paper examines [...] Read more.
Bike-sharing services contribute to reducing emissions and conserving natural resources within urban transportation systems. They also promote public health by encouraging physical activity and generate economic benefits through shorter travel times, lower transportation costs, and decreased demand for parking infrastructure. This paper examines the use of shared micro-mobility services in the Italian cities of Florence and Bologna, based on an analysis of GPS origin–destination data and associated temporal coordinates provided by the RideMovi company. Given the still-limited number of studies on free-floating and electric-scooter-sharing systems, the objective of this work is to quantify the performance of electric bikes and e-scooters in bike-sharing schemes and compare it to traditional, muscular bikes. Trips were reconstructed starting from GPS data of origin and destination of the trip with a shortest path criteria that considers the availability of bike lanes. Results show that e-bikes are from 22 to 26% faster on average with respect to muscular bikes, extending trip range in Bologna but not in Florence. Electric modes attract more users than traditional bikes, e-bikes have from 40 to 128% higher daily turnover in Bologna and Florence and e-scooters from 33 to 62% higher in Florence with respect to traditional bikes. Overall, turnover is fairly low, with less than two trips per vehicle per day. The performance is measured in terms of trip duration, speed, and distance. Further characteristics such as daily turnover by transport mode are investigated and compared. Finally, spatial analysis was conducted to observe demand asymmetries in the two case studies. The results aim to support planners and operators in designing and managing more efficient and user-oriented services. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Sustainable Maritime Policy and Management)
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20 pages, 6042 KB  
Article
GeoSpatial Analysis of Health-Oriented Justice in Tartu, Estonia
by Najmeh Mozaffaree Pour
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2025, 14(12), 467; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi14120467 - 28 Nov 2025
Viewed by 485
Abstract
This study investigates the role of modern small-scale cities in addressing public health challenges through the lens of spatial justice, using the city of Tartu, Estonia, as a case study. Tartu has been recognized for its progressive public health initiatives, including the Tartu [...] Read more.
This study investigates the role of modern small-scale cities in addressing public health challenges through the lens of spatial justice, using the city of Tartu, Estonia, as a case study. Tartu has been recognized for its progressive public health initiatives, including the Tartu Health Care College, Mental Health Centre, Smoke-Free Tartu campaign, Health Trail network, Healthy School Program, and an expanding smart bike-sharing system. By employing Geographic Information Systems (GIS), we map and analyze the spatial distribution and accessibility of health-promoting infrastructure, such as healthcare facilities, green and blue spaces, health trails, and mobility services, across the urban landscape. A population-weighted accessibility assessment indicates that, although Tartu’s central districts (e.g., Kesklinn (HRI: 0.972)) are well-served, peripheral and densely populated districts such as Annelinn (HRI: 0.351) and Ropka (HRI: 0.377) exhibit notable deficits in health-related infrastructure. However, access to green infrastructure and mobility services is more evenly distributed citywide, reflecting a relatively equitable provision of non-clinical health assets. These findings highlight both the strengths and spatial gaps in Tartu’s health-oriented urban design, emphasizing the need for targeted investment in underserved areas. The study contributes to emerging studies on health-justice planning in small-scale urban contexts and demonstrates how spatial analytics can be guided to advance distributional justice in the provision of public health infrastructure. Ultimately, this research indicates the essential role of spatial analysis in guiding inclusive and data-informed health planning in urban environments. Full article
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24 pages, 2539 KB  
Article
Analysis of the Multi-Scale Spatial Heterogeneity of Factors Influencing the Electric Bike-Sharing Travel Demand in Small and Medium-Sized Cities
by Xin Wang, Zhiyuan Peng, Xuefeng Li, Mingyang Du, Fangzheng Lyu, Jeon-Young Kang, Kangjae Lee and Dong Liu
Sustainability 2025, 17(23), 10437; https://doi.org/10.3390/su172310437 - 21 Nov 2025
Viewed by 375
Abstract
The spatial heterogeneity of the electric bike-sharing (EBS) travel demand in small and medium-sized cities is influenced by a combination of the built environment, socio-economic gradients, transportation accessibility, and residents’ travel behavior patterns, and is significantly different from the shared travel characteristics of [...] Read more.
The spatial heterogeneity of the electric bike-sharing (EBS) travel demand in small and medium-sized cities is influenced by a combination of the built environment, socio-economic gradients, transportation accessibility, and residents’ travel behavior patterns, and is significantly different from the shared travel characteristics of developed cities. In order to explore the influencing mechanisms of the EBS travel demand under different travel distance scales in small and medium-sized cities, this paper utilizes multi-source data from Tongxiang, Zhejiang Province, including operational data of EBS and built environment data. This paper analyzes the impact of the built environment on the EBS travel demand and its spatial heterogeneity across various distance scales from a local perspective. The results demonstrate that the fit of the multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model is superior to that of the geographically weighted regression (GWR) and the ordinary least squares (OLS) model. The explanatory variables exhibit significant spatial heterogeneity in their influence on the demand for EBS trips across different distance scenarios. The density of primary roads demonstrates a positive correlation with EBS travel demand in the western urban core area, but it is negatively correlated with travel demand in the eastern urban core area. Accommodation services show a negative correlation with long-distance EBS travel demand in the urban core area and the northern city, but they are positively correlated with short-distance EBS travel demand in the urban core area. There is competition between long-distance EBS and public transportation in city centers. However, short-distance EBS and public transportation exhibit a complementary relationship in the urban periphery. The research findings are beneficial for gaining a deeper understanding of the patterns of change in the EBS travel demand and promoting the refined and sustainable development of shared transportation. Full article
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18 pages, 3065 KB  
Article
A Multidimensional Approach to Bike Usage in Barcelona: Influence of Infrastructure Design, Safety, and Climatic Conditions
by Margarita Martínez-Díaz and Raúl José Verenzuela Gómez
Sustainability 2025, 17(22), 10336; https://doi.org/10.3390/su172210336 - 19 Nov 2025
Viewed by 516
Abstract
Promoting cycling as a sustainable mode of transport is a pressing priority in contemporary urban mobility planning. This study examines the infrastructure characteristics that most strongly influence bicycle use in dense metropolitan contexts. A mixed-methods approach was adopted, combining a systematic review of [...] Read more.
Promoting cycling as a sustainable mode of transport is a pressing priority in contemporary urban mobility planning. This study examines the infrastructure characteristics that most strongly influence bicycle use in dense metropolitan contexts. A mixed-methods approach was adopted, combining a systematic review of current design guidelines with a large-scale empirical analysis of Barcelona’s Bicing bike-sharing system. The dataset comprised more than 54 million recorded trips, enabling the identification of the most and least frequented routes and the subsequent assessment of their infrastructural attributes. The results indicate that network configuration, continuity, and adaptation to topographic conditions have the greatest influence on cycling uptake. By contrast, factors frequently emphasized in design recommendations, such as lane width, were not decisive, as several of the city’s most intensively used corridors did not conform to these standards. These findings suggest that the expansion of network coverage and the improvement of route connectivity are more effective strategies for increasing cycling adoption than isolated design optimizations. This study contributes evidence-based guidance for urban planners and policy-makers seeking to advance cycling as a principal component of sustainable urban mobility in Barcelona and other comparable urban environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Transportation)
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23 pages, 1650 KB  
Article
Pedal Power: Operational Models, Opportunities, and Obstacles of Bike Lending in North America
by Susan Shaheen, Brooke Wolfe and Adam Cohen
Smart Cities 2025, 8(6), 185; https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities8060185 - 4 Nov 2025
Viewed by 895
Abstract
Bike lending offers a service that enables individuals to borrow bicycles for short-term use (i.e., ranging from 2 hours to 36 months), typically from designated locations within cities, campuses, or communities. Unlike bikesharing systems that typically rely on automated kiosks and/or undocked and [...] Read more.
Bike lending offers a service that enables individuals to borrow bicycles for short-term use (i.e., ranging from 2 hours to 36 months), typically from designated locations within cities, campuses, or communities. Unlike bikesharing systems that typically rely on automated kiosks and/or undocked and free-floating devices for public access, bike lending involves a managed program with staff, similar to a library model. These programs can be administered by community organizations, bike shops, public libraries, and other local entities. They are typically community- or membership-based, with many programs associated with non-profit organizations or publicly owned and operated. In this paper, we investigate bike lending in the United States and Canada as of Spring 2024, including a literature review, the identification and characterization of bike lending programs (n = 55), expert interviews (n = 24), a survey of bike lending operators (n = 31), and 2 focus groups with a total of 12 participants. Insights from expert interviews and operator surveys highlight the experiences of professionals involved in bike lending. The focus groups capture the experiences of bike lending users. This paper finds that North American bike lending is often tailored to the specific needs of communities, such as youth, low-income individuals, and the general population. More sustained funding could support program expansion and diversify bike offerings. Enhancing cycling infrastructure, such as adding dedicated bike lanes and paths, could improve overall cycling safety and increase participation in bike lending programs. This study’s findings could help strengthen existing bike lending programs, guide the development of new initiatives and supportive policies, and enhance safe bicycle use for participants. Full article
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9 pages, 399 KB  
Proceeding Paper
Urban Mobility Modeling: Application to Seoul Bike-Sharing Data
by Farouk Mselmi, Mouhsene Fri and Naoufal Rouky
Eng. Proc. 2025, 112(1), 51; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025112051 - 27 Oct 2025
Viewed by 766
Abstract
This study applies a model from the normal variance–mean mixture family to capture daily demand in urban bike sharing. We fit both a mixture-based model and a standard Gaussian model to the logarithmic returns of total daily rental counts from the Seoul Bike-Sharing [...] Read more.
This study applies a model from the normal variance–mean mixture family to capture daily demand in urban bike sharing. We fit both a mixture-based model and a standard Gaussian model to the logarithmic returns of total daily rental counts from the Seoul Bike-Sharing Demand dataset. Parameter estimation is performed, and model performance is assessed using mean squared error (MSE). Using one year of hourly rental data aggregated to daily counts from the Seoul Bike dataset, we find that the mixture-based model substantially outperforms the Gaussian counterpart, achieving a lower MSE. These results suggest that models from the normal variance–mean mixture family are more effective at capturing the large fluctuations and outliers inherent in bike-sharing demand data compared to models assuming normally distributed returns. Full article
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20 pages, 5341 KB  
Article
The Relationship Between Urban Perceptions and Bike-Sharing Equity in 15-Minute Metro Station Catchments: A Shenzhen Case Study
by Fengliang Tang, Lei Wang, Longhao Zhang, Yaolong Wang, Hao Gao, Weixing Xu and Yingning Shen
Buildings 2025, 15(21), 3874; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15213874 - 27 Oct 2025
Viewed by 688
Abstract
As cities worldwide strive to promote healthy and sustainable non-motorized transport, the equity of dockless bike-sharing has become a central issue in urban transport planning. This study investigates the relationship between human-scale urban environmental perceptions and the equity of bike-sharing usage within 15-minute [...] Read more.
As cities worldwide strive to promote healthy and sustainable non-motorized transport, the equity of dockless bike-sharing has become a central issue in urban transport planning. This study investigates the relationship between human-scale urban environmental perceptions and the equity of bike-sharing usage within 15-minute cycling catchments of metro stations. Using Shenzhen, China, as a case study, we integrated bike-share trip records from August 2021 (around 43 million trips), population grid data, and Baidu Street View images analyzed with deep learning models. The study first quantified the spatial inequality of bike-sharing usage within each metro catchment area using a per capita trip Gini coefficient. Subsequently, we assessed the correlation between these equity metrics and human-scale urban qualities quantified from street-level imagery. The findings reveal significant intra-catchment usage disparities, with some central urban station areas showing relatively equitable bike-sharing distribution (Gini as low as 0.37), while others, particularly on the urban fringe, exhibit highly inequitable patterns (Gini as high as 0.93). Spearman correlation analysis showed that catchments perceived as “livelier” and more “interesting” had significantly lower Gini coefficients, whereas other perceptual factors such as safety, beauty and wealth showed no significant linear relationship with equity. A Random Forest model further indicated that “liveliness” and “lack of boredom” are the strongest predictors of usage equity, highlighting the critical role of vibrant street environments in promoting equitable access. These findings bridge the fields of transportation equity and urban governance, suggesting that improving the human-scale environment around transit hubs, thereby making streets more engaging, safe, and pleasant, could foster more inclusive and equitable use of bike-sharing. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Built Environment and Mobility)
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22 pages, 2301 KB  
Article
Multi-Modal Dynamic Transit Assignment for Transit Networks Incorporating Bike-Sharing
by Yindong Shen and Zhuang Qian
Future Transp. 2025, 5(4), 148; https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp5040148 - 17 Oct 2025
Viewed by 585
Abstract
Traditional multi-modal dynamic transit assignment (DTA) models predominantly focus on bus and rail systems, overlooking the role of bike-sharing in passenger flow distribution. To bridge this gap, a multi-modal dynamic transit assignment model incorporating bike-sharing (MMDTA-BS) is proposed. This model integrates bike-sharing, buses, [...] Read more.
Traditional multi-modal dynamic transit assignment (DTA) models predominantly focus on bus and rail systems, overlooking the role of bike-sharing in passenger flow distribution. To bridge this gap, a multi-modal dynamic transit assignment model incorporating bike-sharing (MMDTA-BS) is proposed. This model integrates bike-sharing, buses, rail services, and walking into a unified framework. Represented by the variational inequality (VI), the MMDTA-BS model is proven to satisfy the multi-modal dynamic transit user equilibrium conditions. To solve the VI formulation, a projection-based approach with dynamic path costing (PA-DPC) is developed. This approach dynamically updates path costs to accelerate convergence. Experiments conducted on real-world networks demonstrate that the PA-DPC approach achieves rapid convergence and outperforms all compared algorithms. The results also reveal that bike-sharing can serve as an effective means for transferring passengers to rail modes and attracting short-haul passengers. Moreover, the model can quantify bike-sharing demand imbalances and offer actionable insights for optimizing bike deployment and urban transit planning. Full article
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23 pages, 4180 KB  
Article
Mining Multimodal Travel Patterns of Metro and Bikesharing Using Tensor Decomposition and Clustering
by Xi Kang, Zhiyuan Jin, Yuxin Ma, Danni Cao and Jian Zhang
Smart Cities 2025, 8(5), 151; https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities8050151 - 16 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1072
Abstract
Multimodal transportation systems, particularly those combining metro and bikesharing, have become central to addressing the first- and last-mile connectivity challenges in urban environments. This study presents a comprehensive data-driven framework to analyze the spatiotemporal interplay between metro and dockless bikesharing usage using real-world [...] Read more.
Multimodal transportation systems, particularly those combining metro and bikesharing, have become central to addressing the first- and last-mile connectivity challenges in urban environments. This study presents a comprehensive data-driven framework to analyze the spatiotemporal interplay between metro and dockless bikesharing usage using real-world data from Tianjin, China. Two primary methods are employed: K-means clustering is used to categorize metro stations and bike usage zones based on temporal demand features, and non-negative Tucker decomposition is applied to a three-way tensor (day, hour, station) to extract latent mobility modes. These modes capture recurrent commuting and leisure behaviors, and their alignment across modes is assessed using Jaccard similarity indices. Our findings reveal distinct usage typologies, including mismatched (misalignment of jobs and residences), employment-oriented, and comprehensive zones, and highlight strong temporal coordination between metro and bikesharing during peak hours, contrasted by spatial divergence during off-peak periods. The analysis also uncovers asymmetries in peripheral stations, suggesting differentiated planning needs. This framework offers a scalable and interpretable approach to mining multimodal travel patterns and provides practical implications for station-area design, dynamic bike rebalancing, and integrated mobility governance. The methodology and insights contribute to the broader effort of data-driven smart city planning, especially in rapidly urbanizing contexts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Cost-Effective Transportation Planning for Smart Cities)
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21 pages, 3079 KB  
Article
A Spatial Approach to Balancing Demand and Supply in Combined Public Transit and Bike-Sharing Networks: A Case Application in Tehran
by Fereshteh Faghihinejad and Randy Machemehl
Future Transp. 2025, 5(3), 117; https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp5030117 - 3 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1223
Abstract
Combining public transportation (PT) with Bike-Sharing Systems (BSSs) offers a pathway toward the sustainable development of urban mobility. These systems can reduce fuel consumption, air pollution, and street congestion, especially during peak hours. Moreover, PT and BSS are frequently used by individuals without [...] Read more.
Combining public transportation (PT) with Bike-Sharing Systems (BSSs) offers a pathway toward the sustainable development of urban mobility. These systems can reduce fuel consumption, air pollution, and street congestion, especially during peak hours. Moreover, PT and BSS are frequently used by individuals without access to private vehicles, including low-income groups and students. Whereas increasing PT network infrastructure is constrained by issues such as high capital costs and limited street space (which inhibits mass transit options like BRT or trams), BSS can be used as an adaptable and affordable solution to fill these gaps. In particular, BSS can facilitate the “first-mile–last-mile” legs of PT journeys. However, many transit agencies still rely on traditional joint service planning and overlook BSS as a critical mode in integrated travel chains. This paper proposes that PT and BSS be considered as a unified network and introduces a framework to assess whether access to this integrated system is equitably distributed across urban areas. The framework estimates demand for travel using public mobility options and supply at the level of Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZs), treating PT and BSS as complementary modes. Spatial accessibility analysis is employed to examine connectivity using factors that affect access to both PT and BSS. The proposed approach is tested by taking Tehran as the focus of the case analysis. The results identify the most accessible areas and highlight those that require improved PT-BSS integration. These findings provide policy-relevant suggestions to promote equity and efficiency in urban transport planning. The outcomes reveal that central TAZs in Tehran receive the highest level of PT-BSS integration, while the western and southern TAZs are in urgent need of adjustment to ensure better distribution of integrated public transportation and bike-sharing services. Full article
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41 pages, 3940 KB  
Article
Economic Optimization of Bike-Sharing Systems via Nonlinear Threshold Effects: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach in Xi’an, China
by Haolong Yang, Chen Feng and Chao Gao
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2025, 14(9), 333; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi14090333 - 27 Aug 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1427
Abstract
As bike-sharing systems become increasingly integral to sustainable urban mobility, understanding their economic viability requires moving beyond conventional linear models to capture complex operational dynamics. This study develops an interpretable analytical framework to uncover non-linear relationships governing bike-sharing economic performance in Xi’an, China, [...] Read more.
As bike-sharing systems become increasingly integral to sustainable urban mobility, understanding their economic viability requires moving beyond conventional linear models to capture complex operational dynamics. This study develops an interpretable analytical framework to uncover non-linear relationships governing bike-sharing economic performance in Xi’an, China, utilizing one-month operational data across 202 Transportation Analysis Zones (TAZs). Combining spatial analysis with explainable machine learning (XGBoost–SHAP), we systematically examine how operational factors and built environment characteristics interact to influence economic outcomes, achieving superior predictive performance (R2 = 0.847) compared to baseline linear regression models (R2 = 0.652). The SHAP-based interpretation reveals three key findings: (1) bike-sharing performance exhibits pronounced spatial heterogeneity that correlates strongly with urban functional patterns), with commercial districts and transit-adjacent areas demonstrating consistently higher economic returns. (2) Gradual positive relationships emerge across multiple factors—including bike supply density (maximum SHAP contribution +1.0), commercial POI distribution, and transit accessibility—with performance showing consistent but moderate improvements rather than dramatic threshold effects. (3) Significant interaction effects are quantified between key factors, with bike supply density and commercial POI density exhibiting strong synergistic relationships (interaction values 1.5–2.0), particularly in areas combining high commercial activity with good transit connectivity. The findings challenge simplistic linear assumptions in bike-sharing management while providing quantitative evidence for spatially differentiated strategies that account for moderate threshold behaviors and factor synergies. Cross-validation results (5-fold, R2 = 0.89 ± 0.018) confirm model robustness, while comprehensive performance metrics demonstrate substantial improvements over traditional approaches (35.1% RMSE reduction, 36.6% MAE improvement). The proposed framework offers urban planners a data-driven tool for evidence-based decision-making in sustainable mobility systems, with broader methodological applicability for similar urban contexts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Spatial Data Science and Knowledge Discovery)
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21 pages, 6738 KB  
Article
Dynamic Demand Forecasting for Bike-Sharing E-Fences Using a Hybrid Deep Learning Framework with Spatio-Temporal Attention
by Chen Deng and Yunxuan Li
Sustainability 2025, 17(17), 7586; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17177586 - 22 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1355
Abstract
The rapid expansion of bike-sharing systems has introduced significant management challenges related to spatial-temporal demand fluctuations and inefficient e-fence capacity allocation. This study proposes a Spatio-Temporal Graph Attention Transformer Network (STGATN), a novel hybrid deep learning framework for dynamic demand forecasting in bike-sharing [...] Read more.
The rapid expansion of bike-sharing systems has introduced significant management challenges related to spatial-temporal demand fluctuations and inefficient e-fence capacity allocation. This study proposes a Spatio-Temporal Graph Attention Transformer Network (STGATN), a novel hybrid deep learning framework for dynamic demand forecasting in bike-sharing e-fence systems. The model integrates Graph Convolutional Networks to capture complex spatial dependencies among urban functional zones, Bi-LSTM networks to model temporal patterns with periodic variations, and attention mechanisms to dynamically incorporate weather impacts. By constructing a city-level graph based on POI-derived e-fences and implementing multi-source feature fusion through Transformer architecture, the STGATN effectively addresses the limitations of static capacity allocation strategies. The experimental results from Shenzhen’s Nanshan District demonstrate the performance, with the STGATN model achieving an overall Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.0992 and a Coefficient of Determination (R2) of 0.8426. This significantly outperforms baseline models such as LSTM (R2: 0.6215) and a GCN (R2: 0.5488). Ablation studies confirm the model’s key components are critical; removing the GCN module decreased R2 by 12 percentage points to 0.7411, while removing the weather attention mechanism reduced R2 by nearly 5 percentage points to 0.8034. The framework provides a scientific basis for dynamic e-fence capacity management, advancing spatio-temporal prediction methodologies for sustainable transportation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Transportation)
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24 pages, 1150 KB  
Article
Toward a Holistic Bikeability Framework: Expert-Based Prioritization of Urban Cycling Criteria via AHP
by Ugo N. Castañon, Paulo J. G. Ribeiro and José F. G. Mendes
Appl. Syst. Innov. 2025, 8(5), 119; https://doi.org/10.3390/asi8050119 - 22 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1249
Abstract
This study applies a multicriteria decision analysis to explore how experts from different backgrounds assess traditional and emerging criteria for urban cycling. A hierarchical model with 7 main criteria and 31 subcriteria was evaluated by 30 specialists from academic, technical, and user-focused groups. [...] Read more.
This study applies a multicriteria decision analysis to explore how experts from different backgrounds assess traditional and emerging criteria for urban cycling. A hierarchical model with 7 main criteria and 31 subcriteria was evaluated by 30 specialists from academic, technical, and user-focused groups. Using pairwise comparisons and aggregated judgments, this study reveals points of agreement and divergence among expert priorities. Safety and infrastructure were rated as the most important factors. In contrast, contextual and technological aspects, such as Multimodality, Environmental Quality, Shared Systems, and Digital Solutions, received moderate to lower weights, with differences linked to expert profiles. These results highlight how different disciplinary perspectives influence the understanding of bikeability-related factors. Conceptually, the findings support a broader view of cycling conditions that incorporates both established and emerging criteria. Methodologically, this study demonstrates the value of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) as a participatory and transparent tool to integrate diverse stakeholder opinions into a structured evaluation model. This approach can support cycling mobility planning and policymaking. Future applications may include case studies in specific cities, combining expert-based priorities with local spatial data, as well as longitudinal research to track changes in cycling conditions over time. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Social Sciences and Intelligence Management, 2nd Volume)
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22 pages, 9411 KB  
Article
A Spatiotemporal Multi-Model Ensemble Framework for Urban Multimodal Traffic Flow Prediction
by Zhenkai Wang and Lujin Hu
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2025, 14(8), 308; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi14080308 - 10 Aug 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1667
Abstract
Urban multimodal travel trajectory prediction is a core challenge in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSs). It requires modeling both spatiotemporal dependencies and dynamic interactions among different travel modes such as taxi, bike-sharing, and buses. To address the limitations of existing methods in capturing these [...] Read more.
Urban multimodal travel trajectory prediction is a core challenge in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSs). It requires modeling both spatiotemporal dependencies and dynamic interactions among different travel modes such as taxi, bike-sharing, and buses. To address the limitations of existing methods in capturing these diverse trajectory characteristics, we propose a spatiotemporal multi-model ensemble framework, which is an ensemble model called GLEN (GCN and LSTM Ensemble Network). Firstly, the trajectory feature adaptive driven model selection mechanism classifies trajectories into dynamic travel and fixed-route scenarios. Secondly, we use a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) to capture dynamic travel patterns and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network to model fixed-route patterns. Subsequently the outputs of these models are dynamically weighted, integrated, and fused over a spatiotemporal grid to produce accurate forecasts of urban total traffic flow at multiple future time steps. Finally, experimental validation using Beijing’s Chaoyang district datasets demonstrates that our framework effectively captures spatiotemporal and interactive characteristics between multimodal travel trajectories and outperforms mainstream baselines, thereby offering robust support for urban traffic management and planning. Full article
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