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Search Results (1,161)

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Keywords = battery life cycle

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13 pages, 4335 KiB  
Article
Mg-Doped O3-Na[Ni0.6Fe0.25Mn0.15]O2 Cathode for Long-Cycle-Life Na-Ion Batteries
by Zebin Song, Hao Zhou, Yin Zhang, Haining Ji, Liping Wang, Xiaobin Niu and Jian Gao
Inorganics 2025, 13(8), 261; https://doi.org/10.3390/inorganics13080261 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
The O3-type layered oxide materials have the advantage of high specific capacity, which makes them more competitive in the practical application of cathode materials for sodium-ion batteries (SIBs). However, the existing reported O3-type layered oxide materials still have a complex irreversible phase transition [...] Read more.
The O3-type layered oxide materials have the advantage of high specific capacity, which makes them more competitive in the practical application of cathode materials for sodium-ion batteries (SIBs). However, the existing reported O3-type layered oxide materials still have a complex irreversible phase transition phenomenon, and the cycle life of batteries needs, with these materials, to be further improved to meet the requirements. Herein, we performed structural characterization and electrochemical performance tests on O3-NaNi0.6−xFe0.25Mn0.15MgxO2 (x = 0, 0.025, 0.05, and 0.075, denoted as NFM, NFM-2.5Mg, NFM-5.0Mg, and NFM-7.5Mg). The optimized NFM-2.5Mg has the largest sodium layer spacing, which can effectively enhance the transmission rate of sodium ions. Therefore, the reversible specific capacity can reach approximately 148.1 mAh g−1 at 0.2C, and it can even achieve a capacity retention of 85.4% after 100 cycles at 1C, demonstrating excellent cycle stability. Moreover, at a low temperature of 0 °C, it also can keep capacity retention of 86.6% after 150 cycles at 1C. This study provides a view on the cycling performance improvement of sodium-ion layered oxide cathodes with a high theoretical specific capacity. Full article
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14 pages, 4979 KiB  
Article
Oxygen Vacancy-Engineered Ni:Co3O4/Attapulgite Photothermal Catalyst from Recycled Spent Lithium-Ion Batteries for Efficient CO2 Reduction
by Jian Shi, Yao Xiao, Menghan Yu and Xiazhang Li
Catalysts 2025, 15(8), 732; https://doi.org/10.3390/catal15080732 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 245
Abstract
Accelerated industrialization and surging energy demands have led to continuously rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Developing sustainable methods to reduce atmospheric CO2 levels is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality. Concurrently, the rapid development of new energy vehicles has driven a significant increase [...] Read more.
Accelerated industrialization and surging energy demands have led to continuously rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Developing sustainable methods to reduce atmospheric CO2 levels is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality. Concurrently, the rapid development of new energy vehicles has driven a significant increase in demand for lithium-ion batteries (LIBs), which are now approaching an end-of-life peak. Efficient recycling of valuable metals from spent LIBs represents a critical challenge. This study employs conventional hydrometallurgical processing to recover valuable metals from spent LIBs. Subsequently, Ni-doped Co3O4 (Ni:Co3O4) supported on the natural mineral attapulgite (ATP) was synthesized via a sol–gel method. The incorporation of a small amount of Ni into the Co3O4 lattice generates oxygen vacancies, inducing a localized surface plasmon resonance (LSPR) effect, which significantly enhances charge carrier transport and separation efficiency. During the photocatalytic reduction of CO2, the primary product CO generated by the Ni:Co3O4/ATP composite achieved a high production rate of 30.1 μmol·g−1·h−1. Furthermore, the composite maintains robust catalytic activity even after five consecutive reaction cycles. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Heterogeneous Catalysis in Air Pollution Control)
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22 pages, 16421 KiB  
Article
Deep Neural Network with Anomaly Detection for Single-Cycle Battery Lifetime Prediction
by Junghwan Lee, Longda Wang, Hoseok Jung, Bukyu Lim, Dael Kim, Jiaxin Liu and Jong Lim
Batteries 2025, 11(8), 288; https://doi.org/10.3390/batteries11080288 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 507
Abstract
Large-scale battery datasets often contain anomalous data due to sensor noise, communication errors, and operational inconsistencies, which degrade the accuracy of data-driven prognostics. However, many existing studies overlook the impact of such anomalies or apply filtering heuristically without rigorous benchmarking, which can potentially [...] Read more.
Large-scale battery datasets often contain anomalous data due to sensor noise, communication errors, and operational inconsistencies, which degrade the accuracy of data-driven prognostics. However, many existing studies overlook the impact of such anomalies or apply filtering heuristically without rigorous benchmarking, which can potentially introduce biases into training and evaluation pipelines. This study presents a deep learning framework that integrates autoencoder-based anomaly detection with a residual neural network (ResNet) to achieve state-of-the-art prediction of remaining useful life at the cycle level using only a single-cycle input. The framework systematically filters out anomalous samples using multiple variants of convolutional and sequence-to-sequence autoencoders, thereby enhancing data integrity before optimizing and training the ResNet-based models. Benchmarking against existing deep learning approaches demonstrates a significant performance improvement, with the best model achieving a mean absolute percentage error of 2.85% and a root mean square error of 40.87 cycles, surpassing prior studies. These results indicate that autoencoder-based anomaly filtering significantly enhances prediction accuracy, reinforcing the importance of systematic anomaly detection in battery prognostics. The proposed method provides a scalable and interpretable solution for intelligent battery management in electric vehicles and energy storage systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning for Advanced Battery Systems)
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25 pages, 2281 KiB  
Article
Life Cycle Cost Modeling and Multi-Dimensional Decision-Making of Multi-Energy Storage System in Different Source-Grid-Load Scenarios
by Huijuan Huo, Peidong Li, Cheng Xin, Yudong Wang, Yuan Zhou, Weiwei Li, Yanchao Lu, Tianqiong Chen and Jiangjiang Wang
Processes 2025, 13(8), 2400; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13082400 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 347
Abstract
The large-scale integration of volatile and intermittent renewables necessitates greater flexibility in the power system. Improving this flexibility is key to achieving a high proportion of renewable energy consumption. In this context, the scientific selection of energy storage technology is of great significance [...] Read more.
The large-scale integration of volatile and intermittent renewables necessitates greater flexibility in the power system. Improving this flexibility is key to achieving a high proportion of renewable energy consumption. In this context, the scientific selection of energy storage technology is of great significance for the construction of new power systems. From the perspective of life cycle cost analysis, this paper conducts an economic evaluation of four mainstream energy storage technologies: lithium iron phosphate battery, pumped storage, compressed air energy storage, and hydrogen energy storage, and quantifies and compares the life cycle cost of multiple energy storage technologies. On this basis, a three-dimensional multi-energy storage comprehensive evaluation indicator system covering economy, technology, and environment is constructed. The improved grade one method and entropy weight method are used to determine the comprehensive performance, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to carry out multi-attribute decision-making on the multi-energy storage technology in the source, network, and load scenarios. The results show that pumped storage and compressed air energy storage have significant economic advantages in long-term and large-scale application scenarios. With its fast response ability and excellent economic and technical characteristics, the lithium iron phosphate battery has the smallest score change rate (15.2%) in various scenarios, showing high adaptability. However, hydrogen energy storage technology still lacks economic and technological maturity, and breakthrough progress is still needed for its wide application in various application scenarios in the future. Full article
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17 pages, 4618 KiB  
Article
ANN-Enhanced Modulated Model Predictive Control for AC-DC Converters in Grid-Connected Battery Systems
by Andrea Volpini, Samuela Rokocakau, Giulia Tresca, Filippo Gemma and Pericle Zanchetta
Energies 2025, 18(15), 3996; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18153996 - 27 Jul 2025
Viewed by 273
Abstract
With the increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) into power systems, batteries are playing a critical role in ensuring grid reliability and flexibility. Among them, vanadium redox flow batteries (VRFBs) have emerged as a promising solution for large-scale storage due to their [...] Read more.
With the increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) into power systems, batteries are playing a critical role in ensuring grid reliability and flexibility. Among them, vanadium redox flow batteries (VRFBs) have emerged as a promising solution for large-scale storage due to their long cycle life, scalability, and deep discharge capability. However, achieving optimal control and system-level integration of VRFBs requires accurate, real-time modeling and parameter estimation, challenging tasks given the multi-physics nature and time-varying dynamics of such systems. This paper presents a lightweight physics-informed neural network (PINN) framework tailored for VRFBs, which directly embeds the discrete-time state-space dynamics into the network architecture. The model simultaneously predicts terminal voltage and estimates five discrete-time physical parameters associated with RC dynamics and internal resistance, while avoiding hidden layers to enhance interpretability and computational efficiency. The resulting PINN model is integrated into a modulated model predictive control (MMPC) scheme for a dual-stage DC-AC converter interfacing the VRFB with low-voltage AC grids. Simulation and hardware-in-the-loop results demonstrate that adaptive tuning of the PINN-estimated parameters enables precise tracking of battery parameter variations, thereby improving the robustness and performance of the MMPC controller under varying operating conditions. Full article
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16 pages, 3383 KiB  
Article
Thermal and Electrical Design Considerations for a Flexible Energy Storage System Utilizing Second-Life Electric Vehicle Batteries
by Rouven Christen, Simon Nigsch, Clemens Mathis and Martin Stöck
Batteries 2025, 11(8), 287; https://doi.org/10.3390/batteries11080287 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 305
Abstract
The transition to electric mobility has significantly increased the demand for lithium-ion batteries, raising concerns about their end-of-life management. Therefore, this study presents the design, development and first implementation steps of a stationary energy storage system utilizing second-life electric vehicle (EV) batteries. These [...] Read more.
The transition to electric mobility has significantly increased the demand for lithium-ion batteries, raising concerns about their end-of-life management. Therefore, this study presents the design, development and first implementation steps of a stationary energy storage system utilizing second-life electric vehicle (EV) batteries. These batteries, no longer suitable for traction applications due to a reduced state of health (SoH) below 80%, retain sufficient capacity for less demanding stationary applications. The proposed system is designed to be flexible and scalable, serving both research and commercial purposes. Key challenges include heterogeneous battery characteristics, safety considerations due to increased internal resistance and battery aging, and the need for flexible power electronics. An optimized dual active bridge (DAB) converter topology is introduced to connect several batteries in parallel and to ensure efficient bidirectional power flow over a wide voltage range. A first prototype, rated at 50 kW, has been built and tested in the laboratory. This study contributes to sustainable energy storage solutions by extending battery life cycles, reducing waste, and promoting economic viability for industrial partners. Full article
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42 pages, 10454 KiB  
Article
State-of-Charge Estimation of Medium- and High-Voltage Batteries Using LSTM Neural Networks Optimized with Genetic Algorithms
by Romel Carrera, Leonidas Quiroz, Cesar Guevara and Patricia Acosta-Vargas
Sensors 2025, 25(15), 4632; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25154632 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 476
Abstract
This study presents a hybrid method for state-of-charge (SOC) estimation of lithium-ion batteries using LSTM neural networks optimized with genetic algorithms (GA), combined with Coulomb Counting (CC) as an initial estimator. Experimental tests were conducted using medium-voltage (48–72 V) lithium-ion battery packs under [...] Read more.
This study presents a hybrid method for state-of-charge (SOC) estimation of lithium-ion batteries using LSTM neural networks optimized with genetic algorithms (GA), combined with Coulomb Counting (CC) as an initial estimator. Experimental tests were conducted using medium-voltage (48–72 V) lithium-ion battery packs under standardized driving cycles (NEDC and WLTP). The proposed method enhances prediction accuracy under dynamic conditions by recalibrating the LSTM output with CC estimates through a dynamic fusion parameter α. The novelty of this approach lies in the integration of machine learning and physical modeling, optimized via evolutionary algorithms, to address limitations of standalone methods in real-time applications. The hybrid model achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.181%, outperforming conventional estimation strategies. These findings contribute to more reliable battery management systems (BMS) for electric vehicles and second-life applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Electronic Sensors)
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17 pages, 706 KiB  
Article
Empirical Energy Consumption Estimation and Battery Operation Analysis from Long-Term Monitoring of an Urban Electric Bus Fleet
by Tom Klaproth, Erik Berendes, Thomas Lehmann, Richard Kratzing and Martin Ufert
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(8), 419; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16080419 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 355
Abstract
Electric buses are key in the strategy towards a greenhouse-gas-neutral fleet. However, their restrictions in terms of range and refueling as well as their increased price point present new challenges for public transport companies. This study aims to address, based on real-world operational [...] Read more.
Electric buses are key in the strategy towards a greenhouse-gas-neutral fleet. However, their restrictions in terms of range and refueling as well as their increased price point present new challenges for public transport companies. This study aims to address, based on real-world operational data, how energy consumption and charging behavior affect battery aging and how operational strategies can be optimized to extend battery life under realistic conditions. This article presents an energy consumption analysis with respect to ambient temperatures and average vehicle speed based exclusively on real-world data of an urban bus fleet, providing a data foundation for range forecasting and infrastructure planning optimized for public transport needs. Additionally, the State of Charge (SOC) window during operation and vehicle idle time as well as the charging power were analyzed in this case study to formulate recommendations towards a more battery-friendly treatment. The central research question is whether battery-friendly operational strategies—such as reduced charging power and lower SOC windows—can realistically be implemented in daily public transport operations. The impact of the recommendations on battery lifetime is estimated using a battery aging model on drive cycles. Finally, the reduction in CO2 emissions compared to diesel buses is estimated. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Zero Emission Buses for Public Transport)
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23 pages, 13580 KiB  
Article
Enabling Smart Grid Resilience with Deep Learning-Based Battery Health Prediction in EV Fleets
by Muhammed Cavus and Margaret Bell
Batteries 2025, 11(8), 283; https://doi.org/10.3390/batteries11080283 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 282
Abstract
The widespread integration of electric vehicles (EVs) into smart grid infrastructures necessitates intelligent and robust battery health diagnostics to ensure system resilience and performance longevity. While numerous studies have addressed the estimation of State of Health (SOH) and the prediction of remaining useful [...] Read more.
The widespread integration of electric vehicles (EVs) into smart grid infrastructures necessitates intelligent and robust battery health diagnostics to ensure system resilience and performance longevity. While numerous studies have addressed the estimation of State of Health (SOH) and the prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) using machine and deep learning, most existing models fail to capture both short-term degradation trends and long-range contextual dependencies jointly. In this study, we introduce V2G-HealthNet, a novel hybrid deep learning framework that uniquely combines Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks with Transformer-based attention mechanisms to model battery degradation under dynamic vehicle-to-grid (V2G) scenarios. Unlike prior approaches that treat SOH estimation in isolation, our method directly links health prediction to operational decisions by enabling SOH-informed adaptive load scheduling and predictive maintenance across EV fleets. Trained on over 3400 proxy charge-discharge cycles derived from 1 million telemetry samples, V2G-HealthNet achieved state-of-the-art performance (SOH RMSE: 0.015, MAE: 0.012, R2: 0.97), outperforming leading baselines including XGBoost and Random Forest. For RUL prediction, the model maintained an MAE of 0.42 cycles over a five-cycle horizon. Importantly, deployment simulations revealed that V2G-HealthNet triggered maintenance alerts at least three cycles ahead of critical degradation thresholds and redistributed high-load tasks away from ageing batteries—capabilities not demonstrated in previous works. These findings establish V2G-HealthNet as a deployable, health-aware control layer for smart city electrification strategies. Full article
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18 pages, 4914 KiB  
Article
Preparation and Failure Behavior of Gel Electrolytes for Multilayer Structure Lithium Metal Solid-State Batteries
by Chu Chen, Wendong Qin, Qiankun Hun, Yujiang Wang, Xinghua Liang, Renji Tan, Junming Li and Yifeng Guo
Gels 2025, 11(8), 573; https://doi.org/10.3390/gels11080573 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 275
Abstract
High safety gel polymer electrolyte (GPE) is used in lithium metal solid state batteries, which has the advantages of high energy density, wide temperature range, high safety, and is considered as a subversive new generation battery technology. However, solid-state lithium batteries with multiple [...] Read more.
High safety gel polymer electrolyte (GPE) is used in lithium metal solid state batteries, which has the advantages of high energy density, wide temperature range, high safety, and is considered as a subversive new generation battery technology. However, solid-state lithium batteries with multiple layers and large capacity currently have poor cycle life and a large gap between the actual output cycle capacity retention rate and the theoretical level. In this paper, polyvinylidene fluoride-hexafluoropropylene (PVDF-HFP)/polyacrylonitrile (PAN)—lithium perchlorate (LiClO4)—lithium lanthanum zirconium tantalate (LLZTO) gel polymer electrolytes was prepared by UV curing process using a UV curing machine at a speed of 0.01 m/min for 10 s, with the temperature controlled at 30 °C and wavelength 365 nm. In order to study the performance and failure mechanism of multilayer solid state batteries, single and three layers of solid state batteries with ceramic/polymer composite gel electrolyte were assembled. The results show that the rate and cycle performance of single-layer solid state battery with gel electrolyte are better than those of three-layer solid state battery. As the number of cycles increases, the interface impedance of both single-layer and three-layer electrolyte membrane solid-state batteries shows an increasing trend. Specifically, the three-layer battery impedance increased from 17 Ω to 42 Ω after 100 cycles, while the single-layer battery showed a smaller increase, from 2.2 Ω to 4.8 Ω, indicating better interfacial stability. After 100 cycles, the interface impedance of multi-layer solid-state batteries increases by 9.61 times that of single-layer batteries. After 100 cycles, the corresponding capacity retention rates were 48.9% and 15.6%, respectively. This work provides a new strategy for large capacity solid state batteries with gel electrolyte design. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Research Progress and Application Prospects of Gel Electrolytes)
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23 pages, 1958 KiB  
Article
A Comparative Life Cycle Assessment of End-of-Life Scenarios for Light Electric Vehicles: A Case Study of an Electric Moped
by Santiago Eduardo, Erik Alexander Recklies, Malina Nikolic and Semih Severengiz
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6681; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156681 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 368
Abstract
This study analyses the greenhouse gas reduction potential of different end-of-life (EoL) strategies based on a case study of light electric vehicles (LEVs). Using a shared electric moped scooter as a reference, four EoL scenarios are evaluated in a comparative life cycle assessment [...] Read more.
This study analyses the greenhouse gas reduction potential of different end-of-life (EoL) strategies based on a case study of light electric vehicles (LEVs). Using a shared electric moped scooter as a reference, four EoL scenarios are evaluated in a comparative life cycle assessment (LCA). The modelling of the scenarios combines different R-strategies (e.g., recycling, reusing, and repurposing) regarding both the vehicle itself and the battery. German and EU regulations for vehicle and battery disposal are incorporated, as well as EU directives such as the Battery Product Pass. The global warming potential (GWP100) of the production and EoL life cycle stages ranges from 644 to 1025 kg CO2 eq among the four analysed scenarios. Landfill treatment led to the highest GWP100, with 1.47 times higher emissions than those of the base scenario (status quo treatment following EU directives), while increasing component reuse and repurposing the battery cells achieved GWP100 reductions of 2.8% and 7.8%, respectively. Overall, the importance of implementing sustainable EoL strategies for LEVs is apparent. To achieve this, a product design that facilitates EoL material and component separation is essential as well as the development of political and economic frameworks. This paper promotes enhancing the circularity of LEVs by combining the LCA of EoL strategies with eco-design considerations. Full article
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18 pages, 6751 KiB  
Article
State-Aware Energy Management Strategy for Marine Multi-Stack Hybrid Energy Storage Systems Considering Fuel Cell Health
by Pan Geng and Jingxuan Xu
Energies 2025, 18(15), 3892; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18153892 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 188
Abstract
To address the limitations of conventional single-stack fuel cell hybrid systems using equivalent hydrogen consumption strategies, this study proposes a multi-stack energy management strategy incorporating fuel cell health degradation. Leveraging a fuel cell efficiency decay model and lithium-ion battery cycle life assessment, power [...] Read more.
To address the limitations of conventional single-stack fuel cell hybrid systems using equivalent hydrogen consumption strategies, this study proposes a multi-stack energy management strategy incorporating fuel cell health degradation. Leveraging a fuel cell efficiency decay model and lithium-ion battery cycle life assessment, power distribution is reformulated as an equivalent hydrogen consumption optimization problem with stack degradation constraints. A hybrid Genetic Algorithm–Particle Swarm Optimization (GA-PSO) approach achieves global optimization. The experimental results demonstrate that compared with the Frequency Decoupling (FD) method, the GA-PSO strategy reduces hydrogen consumption by 7.03 g and operational costs by 4.78%; compared with the traditional Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm, it reduces hydrogen consumption by 3.61 g per operational cycle and decreases operational costs by 2.66%. This strategy ensures stable operation of the marine power system while providing an economically viable solution for hybrid-powered vessels. Full article
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23 pages, 2233 KiB  
Article
A Novel Back Propagation Neural Network Based on the Harris Hawks Optimization Algorithm for the Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries
by Yuyang Zhou, Zijian Shao, Huanhuan Li, Jing Chen, Haohan Sun, Yaping Wang, Nan Wang, Lei Pei, Zhen Wang, Houzhong Zhang and Chaochun Yuan
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3842; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143842 - 19 Jul 2025
Viewed by 276
Abstract
Remaining useful life (RUL) serves as a pivotal metric for quantifying lithium-ion batteries’ state of health (SOH) in electric vehicles and plays a crucial role in ensuring their safety and reliability. In order to achieve accurate and reliable RUL prediction, a novel RUL [...] Read more.
Remaining useful life (RUL) serves as a pivotal metric for quantifying lithium-ion batteries’ state of health (SOH) in electric vehicles and plays a crucial role in ensuring their safety and reliability. In order to achieve accurate and reliable RUL prediction, a novel RUL prediction method which employs a back propagation (BP) neural network based on the Harris Hawks optimization (HHO) algorithm is proposed. This method optimizes the BP parameters using the improved HHO algorithm. At first, the circle chaotic mapping method is utilized to solve the problem of the initial value. Considering the problem of local convergence, Gaussian mutation is introduced to improve the search ability of the algorithm. Subsequently, two key health factors are selected as input features for the model, including the constant-current charging isovoltage rise time and constant-current discharging isovoltage drop time. The model is validated using aging data from commercial lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) batteries. Finally, the model is thoroughly verified under an aging test. Experimental validation using training sets comprising 50%, 60%, and 70% of the cycle data demonstrates superior predictive performance, with mean absolute error (MAE) values below 0.012, root mean square error (RMSE) values below 0.017 and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) within 0.95%. The results indicate that the model significantly improves prediction accuracy, robustness and searchability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section D: Energy Storage and Application)
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15 pages, 2481 KiB  
Article
Capacity Forecasting of Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Empirical Models: Toward Efficient SOH Estimation with Limited Cycle Data
by Kanchana Sivalertporn, Piyawong Poopanya and Teeraphon Phophongviwat
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3828; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143828 - 18 Jul 2025
Viewed by 275
Abstract
Accurate prediction of lithium-ion battery capacity degradation is crucial for reliable state-of-health estimation and long-term performance assessment in battery management systems. This study presents an empirical modeling approach based on experimental data collected from four lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery packs cycled over [...] Read more.
Accurate prediction of lithium-ion battery capacity degradation is crucial for reliable state-of-health estimation and long-term performance assessment in battery management systems. This study presents an empirical modeling approach based on experimental data collected from four lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery packs cycled over 75 to 100 charge–discharge cycles. Several mathematical models—including linear, quadratic, single-exponential, and double-exponential functions—were evaluated for their predictive accuracy. Among these, the linear and single-exponential models demonstrated strong performance in early-cycle predictions. It was found that using 30 to 40 cycles of data is sufficient for reliable forecasting within a 100-cycle range, reducing the mean absolute error by over 80% compared to using early-cycle data alone. Although these models provide reasonable short-term predictions, they fail to capture the nonlinear degradation behavior observed beyond 80 cycles. To address this, a modified linear model was proposed by introducing an exponentially decaying slope. The modified linear model offers improved long-term prediction accuracy and robustness, particularly when data availability is limited. Capacity forecasts based on only 40 cycles yielded results comparable to those using 100 cycles, demonstrating the model’s efficiency. End-of-life estimates based on the modified linear model align more closely with typical LFP specifications, whereas conventional models tend to underestimate the cycle life. The proposed model offers a practical balance between computational simplicity and predictive accuracy, making it well suited for battery health diagnostics. Full article
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36 pages, 1973 KiB  
Article
A Comparative Life Cycle Assessment of an Electric and a Conventional Mid-Segment Car: Evaluating the Role of Critical Raw Materials in Potential Abiotic Resource Depletion
by Andrea Cappelli, Nicola Stefano Trimarchi, Simone Marzeddu, Riccardo Paoli and Francesco Romagnoli
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3698; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143698 - 13 Jul 2025
Viewed by 603
Abstract
Electric passenger vehicles are set to dominate the European car market, driven by EU climate policies and the 2035 ban on internal combustion engine production. This study assesses the sustainability of this transition, focusing on global warming potential and Critical Raw Material (CRM) [...] Read more.
Electric passenger vehicles are set to dominate the European car market, driven by EU climate policies and the 2035 ban on internal combustion engine production. This study assesses the sustainability of this transition, focusing on global warming potential and Critical Raw Material (CRM) extraction throughout its life cycle. The intensive use of CRMs raises environmental, economic, social, and geopolitical concerns. These materials are scarce and are concentrated in a few politically sensitive regions, leaving the EU highly dependent on external suppliers. The extraction, transport, and refining of CRMs and battery production are high-emission processes that contribute to climate change and pose risks to ecosystems and human health. A Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) was conducted, using OpenLCA software and the Ecoinvent 3.10 database, comparing a Peugeot 308 in its diesel and electric versions. This study adopts a cradle-to-grave approach, analyzing three phases: production, utilization, and end-of-life treatment. Key indicators included Global Warming Potential (GWP100) and Abiotic Resource Depletion Potential (ADP) to assess CO2 emissions and mineral resource consumption. Technological advancements could mitigate mineral depletion concerns. Li-ion battery recycling is still underdeveloped, but has high recovery potential, with the sector expected to expand significantly. Moreover, repurposing used Li-ion batteries for stationary energy storage in renewable energy systems can extend their lifespan by over a decade, decreasing the demand for new batteries. Such innovations underscore the potential for a more sustainable electric vehicle industry. Full article
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