Search Results (31)

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of pre- and co-seismic ionospheric disturbances associated with the 2023 Ms6.2 Jishishan earthquake by leveraging the unique observational strengths of BDS, particularly its high-orbit satellites. A multi-parameter space weather index was employed to effectively isolate seismogenic signals from geomagnetic disturbances, confirming that the main shock occurred during geomagnetically quiet conditions. Statistical analysis of 41 historical earthquakes (Mw ≥ 5.5) reveals that 47.2% were associated with detectable Total Electron Content (TEC) anomalies. An inverse correlation between earthquake magnitude and anomaly detectability within a 31-day window suggests prolonged precursor durations for larger events may produce longer-duration precursory signals, which challenge conventional detection methods. The synergistic capabilities of BDS Geostationary Earth Orbit (GEO) and Inclined Geosynchronous Orbit (IGSO) satellites were demonstrated: GEO satellites provide unprecedented temporal stability for continuous TEC monitoring, while IGSO satellites enable high-resolution spatial mapping of Co-seismic Ionospheric Disturbances (CIDs). The detected CIDs propagated at velocities below 1.6 km/s, consistent with acoustic gravity wave (AGW) mechanisms. A case study during a geomagnetically active period further reveals modulated CID propagation characteristics, indicating potential coupling between seismic forcing and space weather. Our findings validate BDS as a powerful and precise tool for ionospheric seismology and provide critical insights into Lithosphere–Atmosphere–Ionosphere Coupling (LAIC) dynamics. Full article

A series of multi-parameter, multi-layer observations was conducted to study possible electromagnetic precursors associated with the M 6.7 earthquake that struck Iburi, Hokkaido, Japan, at 18:07:59 UT on 5 September 2018. The most significant observation is seismogenic lower-ionospheric perturbations in the propagation anomalies of sub-ionospheric VLF/LF signals recorded in Japan and Russia. Other substantial observations include the GIM-TEC irregularities, the intensification of stratospheric atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs), and the satellite and ground monitoring of air temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), atmospheric chemical potential (ACP), and surface latent heat flux (SLHF). We have found that there were very remarkable VLF/LF anomalies indicative of lower-ionospheric perturbations observed on 4 and 5 September just before the EQ date and even after it from the observations in Japan and Russia. In particular, the anomaly was detected for a particular propagation path from the JJY transmitter (Fukushima) to a VLF station at Wakkanai one day before the EQ, i.e., on 4 September, and is objectively confirmed by machine/deep learning analysis. An anomaly in TEC occurred only on 5 September, but it is unclear whether it is related to a pre-EQ effect or a minor geomagnetic storm. We attempted to determine whether any seismo-related atmospheric gravity wave (AGW) activity occurred in the stratosphere. Although numerous anomalies were detected, they are most likely associated with convective weather phenomena, including a typhoon. Finally, the Earth’s surface parameters based on satellite monitoring seem to indicate some anomalies from 29 August to 3, 4, and 5 September, a few days prior to EQ data, but the ground-based observation close to the EQ epicenter has indicated a clear T/RH and ACP on 2 September with fair weather, but no significant data on subsequent days because of severe meteorological activities. By integrating multi-layer observations, the LAIC (lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere coupling) process for the Hokkaido earthquake appears to follow a slow diffusion-type channel, where ionospheric perturbations arise a few days after ground thermal anomalies. This study also provides integrated evidence linking concurrent lower-ionospheric, atmospheric, and surface thermal anomalies, emphasizing the diagnostic value of such multi-parameter observations in understanding EQ-associated precursor signatures. Full article

We present a comprehensive multi-parametric analysis of Lithosphere– Atmosphere–Ionosphere Coupling (LAIC) processes associated with the M = 8.8 earthquake that struck offshore Kamchatka, Russia, on 30 July 2025 (29 July 2015; 23:24:52 UTC). Thermal observations revealed coherent pre-seismic irregularities in near-surface air temperature, relative humidity, and atmospheric chemical potential (ACP), with maximum intensification occurring 1–2 days before the event, followed by rapid co-seismic dissipation and post-seismic recovery. Acoustic channel analysis revealed considerable enhancements in atmospheric gravity wave (AGW) potential energy, as computed from ERA5 reanalysis datasets, 3–5 days prior to the earthquake, with a co-seismic peak and weaker post-seismic irregularities at higher altitudes. Electromagnetic signatures manifested in both lower and upper ionospheric layers. Very-Low-Frequency (VLF) sub-ionospheric propagation from the NPM transmitter, continuously monitored at the PTK (Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky) station in Kamchatka, Russia, exhibited both positive and negative deviations in amplitude and phase during the preparatory phase. VLF amplitude exhibited wavelike deviations consistent with AGW periods, peaking one day prior to the earthquake. Ionospheric Vertical Total electron content (VTEC) showed coherent pre-seismic maxima 2–3 days before the main shock. Together, these thermal, acoustic, and electromagnetic observations strongly suggest a consistent pre-seismic build-up, co-seismic dissipation, and post-seismic recovery, providing a robust multi-channel imprint of the Kamchatka earthquake and highlighting the importance of integrated multi-parameter approaches for understanding earthquake preparatory dynamics. Full article

It has recently been recognized that the ionosphere is highly sensitive to pre-seismic effects, and the detection of ionospheric perturbations associated with earthquakes (EQs) is one of the most promising candidates for short-term EQ prediction. In this review, we focus on a possible use of VLF/LF (very low frequency (3–30 kHz)/low frequency (30–300 kHz)) radio sounding of seismo-ionospheric perturbations to study seismogenic effects. Because an understanding of the early history in any area will provide a lot of crucial insights to the readers (especially to young scientists) working in the field of seismo-electromagnetics, we provide a brief history (mainly results reported by a Russian group of scientists) of the initial application of subionospheric VLF/LF propagation for the study of ionospheric perturbations associated with EQs, and then we present our first convincing evidence on the ionospheric perturbation for the disastrous Kobe EQ in 1995, with a new analysis method based on the shifts in terminator times in VLF/LF diurnal variations (minima in the diurnal variations in amplitude and phase). We then summarize our latest results on further evidence of seismo-ionospheric perturbations. Firstly, we present a few statistical studies on the correlation between VLF/LF propagation anomalies and EQs based on long-term data. Secondly, we showcase studies for a few large, recent EQs (including the 2011 Tohoku EQ). Building on those EQ precursor studies, we demonstrate scientific topics and the underlying physics that can be studied using VLF/LF data, highlighting recent achievements including the revolutionary perspective of lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere coupling (LAIC) (or how the ionosphere is perturbed due to the lithospheric pre-EQ activity), modulation in VLF/LF data by atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs), Doppler-shift observation, satellite observation of VLF/LF transmitter signals, etc., together with the recommendation of the application of new technologies such as artificial intelligence and critical analysis to VLF/LF analysis. Finally, we want to emphasize again the essential significance of the information on lower-ionospheric perturbations within LAIC studies. Full article

Atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs) are treated as density structure perturbations of the atmosphere and play an important role in atmospheric dynamics. Utilizing All-Sky Airglow Imagers (ASAIs) with OI-Filter 557.7 nm, AGW phase velocity and propagation direction were extracted using classified images by visual inspection, where airglow images were collected from the OMTI network at Shigaraki (34.85 E, 134.11 N) from October 1998 to October 2002. Nonetheless, a large dataset of airglow images are processed and classified for studying AGW seasonal variation in the middle atmosphere. In this article, a machine learning-based approach for image recognition of AGWs from ASAIs is suggested. Consequently, three convolutional neural networks (CNNs), namely AlexNet, GoogLeNet, and ResNet-50, are considered. Out of 13,201 deviated images, 1192 very weak/unclear AGW signatures were eliminated during the quality control process. All networks were trained and tested by 12,007 classified images which approximately cover the maximum solar cycle during the time-period mentioned above. In the testing phase, AlexNet achieved the highest accuracy of 98.41%. Consequently, estimation of AGW zonal and meridional phase velocities in the mesosphere region by a cascade forward neural network (CFNN) is presented. The CFNN was trained and tested based on AGW and neutral wind data. AGW data were extracted from the classified AGW images by event and spectral methods, where wind data were extracted from the Horizontal Wind Model (HWM) as well as the middle and upper atmosphere radar in Shigaraki. As a result, the estimated phase velocities were determined with correlation coefficient (R) above 0.89 in all training and testing phases. Finally, a comparison with the existing studies confirms the accuracy of our proposed approaches in addition to AGW velocity forecasting. Full article

This study investigates pre-seismic ionospheric anomalies preceding the 2023 Jishishan Ms6.2 earthquake using total electron content (TEC) data derived from BDS geostationary orbit (GEO) satellites. Multi-scale analysis integrating Butterworth filtering and wavelet transforms resolved TEC disturbances into three distinct frequency regimes: (1) high-frequency perturbations (0.56–3.33 mHz) showed localized disturbances (amplitude ≤ 4 TECU, range < 300 km), potentially associated with near-field acoustic waves from crustal stress adjustments; (2) mid-frequency signals (0.28–0.56 mHz) exhibited anisotropic propagation (>1200 km) with azimuth-dependent N-shaped waveforms, consistent with the characteristics of acoustic–gravity waves (AGWs); and (3) low-frequency components (0.18–0.28 mHz) demonstrated phase reversal and power-law amplitude attenuation, suggesting possible lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere (LAI) coupling oscillations. The stark contrast between near-field residuals and far-field weak fluctuations highlighted the dominance of large-scale atmospheric gravity waves over localized acoustic disturbances. Geometry-based velocity inversion revealed incoherent high-frequency dynamics (5–30 min) versus anisotropic mid/low-frequency traveling ionospheric disturbance (TID) propagation (30–90 min) at 175–270 m/s, aligning with theoretical AGW behavior. During concurrent G1-class geomagnetic storm activity, spatial attenuation gradients and velocity anisotropy appear primarily consistent with seismogenic sources, providing insights for precursor discrimination and contributing to understanding multi-scale coupling in seismo-ionospheric systems. Full article

This study investigates the ionospheric response over China during the geomagnetic storm that occurred on 1–2 December 2023. The data used include GPS measurements from the Crustal Movement Observation Network of China, BDS-GEO satellite data from IGS MEGX stations, [O]/[N₂] ratio information obtained by the TIMED/GUVI, and electron density (Ne) observations from Swarm satellites. The Prophet time series forecasting model is employed to detect ionospheric anomalies. VTEC variations reveal significant daytime increases in GNSS stations such as GAMG, URUM, and CMUM after the onset of the geomagnetic storm on 1 December, indicating a dayside positive ionospheric response primarily driven by prompt penetration electric fields (PPEF). In contrast, the stations JFNG and CKSV show negative responses, reflecting regional differences. The [O]/[N₂] ratio increased significantly in the southern region between 25°N and 40°N, suggesting that atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs) induced thermospheric compositional changes, which played a crucial role in the ionospheric disturbances. Ne observations from Swarm A and C satellites further confirmed that the intense ionospheric perturbations were consistent with changes in VTEC and [O]/[N₂], indicating the medium-scale traveling ionospheric disturbance was driven by atmospheric gravity waves. Precise point positioning (PPP) analysis reveals that ionospheric variations during the geomagnetic storm significantly impact GNSS positioning precision, with various effects across different stations. Station GAMG experienced disturbances in the U direction (vertical positioning error) at the onset of the storm but quickly stabilized; station JFNG showed significant fluctuations in the U direction around 13:00 UT; and station CKSV experienced similar fluctuations during the same period; station CMUM suffered minor disturbances in the U direction; while station URUM maintained relatively stable positioning throughout the storm, corresponding to steady VTEC variations. These findings demonstrate the substantial impact of ionospheric disturbances on GNSS positioning accuracy in southern and central China during the geomagnetic storm. This study reveals the complex and dynamic processes of ionospheric disturbances over China during the 1–2 December 2023 storm, highlighting the importance of ionospheric monitoring and high-precision positioning corrections during geomagnetic storms. The results provide scientific implications for improving GNSS positioning stability in mid- and low-latitude regions. Full article

In the last decades, the scientific community has been focused on searching earthquake signatures in the Earth’s atmosphere, ionosphere, and magnetosphere. This work investigates an offshore Mw 5.5 earthquake that struck off the Marche region’s coast (Italy) on 9 November 2022, with a focus on the potential coupling between the Earth’s lithosphere, atmosphere, and magnetosphere triggered by the seismic event. Analysis of atmospheric temperature data from ERA5 reveals a significant increase in potential energy (Ep) at the earthquake’s epicenter, consistent with the generation of Atmospheric Gravity Waves (AGWs). This finding is further corroborated by the MILC analytical model, which accurately simulates the observed Ep trends (within 5%), supporting the theory of Lithosphere–Atmosphere–Ionosphere–Magnetosphere coupling. The study also examines the vertical Total Electron Content (vTEC) and finds notable fluctuations at the epicenter, exhibiting periodicities (7–12 min) characteristic of AGWs and traveling ionospheric disturbances. The correlation between ERA5 observations and MILC model predictions, particularly in temperature deviations and Ep distributions, strengthens the hypothesis that earthquake-generated AGWs impact atmospheric conditions at high altitudes, leading to observable ionospheric perturbations. This research contributes to a deeper understanding of Lithosphere–Atmosphere–Ionosphere–Magnetosphere coupling mechanisms and the potential for developing reliable earthquake prediction tools. Full article

The atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs) generated by severe typhoons can facilitate the transfer of energy from the troposphere to the ionosphere, resulting in medium-scale traveling ionospheric disturbances (MSTIDs). However, the complex three-dimensional nature of MSTIDs over oceanic regions presents challenges for detection using ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) networks. This study employs a hybrid approach combining space-based and ground-based techniques to investigate the spatiotemporal characteristics of ionospheric perturbations during Typhoon Doksuri. Plane maps depict significant plasma fluctuations extending outward from the typhoon’s gale wind zone on 24 July, reaching distances of up to 1800 km from the typhoon’s center, while space weather conditions remained relatively calm. These ionospheric perturbations propagated at velocities between 173 m/s and 337 m/s, consistent with AGW features and associated propagation speeds. Vertical mapping reveals that energy originating from Typhoon Doksuri propagated upward through a 500 km layer, resulting in substantial enhancements of plasma density and temperature in the topside ionosphere. Notably, the topside horizontal density gradient was 1.5 to 2 times greater than that observed in the bottom-side ionosphere. Both modeling and observational data convincingly demonstrate that the weak background winds favored the generation of AGWs associated with Typhoon Doksuri, influencing the development of distinct MSTIDs. Full article

In this study, we used the Sanya Incoherent Scatter Radar (SYISR) to observe the altitude profiles of traveling ionospheric disturbances (TIDs) during a moderate magnetic storm from 13 to 15 March 2022. Three TIDs were recorded, including two large-scale TIDs (LSTIDs) and one medium-scale TID (MSTID). These LSTIDs occurred during the storm recovery phase, characterized by periods of ~110–155 min, downward phase velocities of 22–60 m/s, and a relative amplitude of 17–25%. A nearly vertical front was noted at ~350–550 km, differing from AGW theory predictions. This structure is more attributed to the combined effects of sunrise-induced electron density changes and pre-sunrise uplift. Moreover, GNSS observations linked this LSTID to high-latitude origins, indicating a connection to polar magnetic storm excitation. However, the second LSTID was observed at lower altitudes (150–360 km) with a higher elevation angle (~17°). This LSTID, observed by the SYISR, was absent in the GNSS data from mainland China and Japan, suggesting a potential local source. The MSTID exhibited a larger relative amplitude of 29–36% at lower altitudes (130–210 km) with severe upward attenuation. The MSTID may be related to atmospheric gravity waves from the lower atmosphere. AGWs are considered to be the perturbation source for this MSTID event. Full article

A recent study the detection of coseismic ionospheric disturbances or ionoquakes less than 400 s from the earthquake’s onset. The study also associates these rapid ionoquakes with the seismo-atmosphere–ionosphere (SAI) coupling mechanism energized by acoustic-gravity waves (AGWs) and the subsequent formation of coseismic thermospheric disturbances (CSTDs). The present study outlines a new analytical simulation code for AGWs that resolves the governing equations in the time–altitude and wavenumber domain and confirms the rapid arrival of AGWs in the thermosphere (earlier than the estimated arrival time from the ray-tracing simulation). The rapid arrivals of AGWs are associated with long wavelengths that connect to thermospheric altitudes and propagate with thermospheric sound speeds, avoiding averaging effects from the lower atmosphere. The fast simulation traces the rapid arrival of AGWs in the thermosphere and produces rapid CSTDs within 250–300 s from the earthquake’s onset. The simulation time is much shorter than the formation time of near-field CSTDs, a scenario favorable for the forecasting of CSTDs before observations of ionoquakes. In essence, the fast simulation offers an alternative tool for tracking the evolution of CSTDs. Full article

The ionosphere can be perturbed by solar and geomagnetic activity, earthquakes, thunderstorms, etc. In particular, electromagnetic pulses produced by thunderstorms can generate wave structures in the ionospheric plasma, which are known as atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs), which can be detected by measuring the total electron content (TEC). We studied ionospheric variations resulting from thunderstorms on 10 November 2018, between 00:00 and 08:00 UTC, in the central region of Argentina, site of the RELAMPAGO–CACTI Project (Remote sensing of Electrification, Lightning, and Mesoscale/Microscale Processes with Adaptive Ground Observations; Clouds, Aerosols, and Complex Terrain Interactions). Atmospheric electrical activity data were provided by the Earth Networks Total Lightning Network (ENTLN) and the TEC was computed from Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) measurements provided by the Argentinian Continuous Satellite Monitoring Network (RAMSAC by its Spanish acronym). We found AGWs with periods less than or equal to 100 min and peak-to-peak Differential Vertical Total Electron Content (DVTEC) amplitude values up to 1.35 TECU (1 total electron content unit $={10}^{16}$ electrons/m${}^2$). We observed that AGWs show the highest peak-to-peak amplitudes during intense thunderstorm periods. On a day without thunderstorms, the peak-to-peak amplitudes were approximately 2.91 times lower. Full article

The study presents seismogenic ULF (ultra-low-frequency) wave effects, as observed at our own new magnetic observatory at Asahi (geographic coordinates: 35.770° N, 140.695° E) in Chiba Prefecture. Our target earthquake (EQ) is a huge one offshore of Fukushima prefecture (37.353° N, 141.603° E) with a magnitude (M) of 7.4, which occurred at 20.59 h on November 21 UT, 2016. As a sampling frequency of 1 Hz was chosen for our induction magnetometer, we could detect both ULF wave effects: ULF radiation from the lithosphere, and the ULF depression effect, indicative of lower ionospheric perturbations. Observing the results of polarization analyses, we detected clear enhancements in ULF (frequency = 0.01–0.03 Hz) lithospheric radiation 14 days, 5 days, and 1 day before the EQ, and also observed a very obvious phenomenon of ULF (0.01–0.03 Hz) depression just 1 day prior to the EQ, which is regarded as the signature of lower ionospheric perturbations. These findings suggest that pre-EQ seismic activity must be present in the lithosphere, and also that the lower ionosphere was very much perturbed by the precursory effects of the Fukushima EQ. These new observational effects from our station have been compared with our previous investigations on different seismogenic topics for the same EQ, including the ULF observations at another magnetic observatory at Kakioka, belonging to the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), about 50 km north of our Asahi station, subionospheric VLF/LF propagation data (Japanese and Russian data), AGW (Atmospheric gravity wave) activity in the stratosphere, and satellite observation of particle precipitations. We have found that seismogenic anomalies of different parameters tend to happen just around the EQ day, but mainly before the EQ, and have found the chain-like tendency of the effects of the lithosphere, which seem to propagate upwards the lower ionosphere. Finally, we will try to gain a better understanding of the physical phenomena or mechanisms of the lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere coupling (LAIC) process during the EQ preparation phase. Full article

On 19 September 2021, La Palma volcano (Canarias Archipelagos) started an eruption that persisted until 13 December 2021. Despite the Volcano Explosive Index (VEI) being estimated equal to 3, corresponding to not so powerful eruption, the long eruption activity posed much scientific interest in this natural hazard event. In this paper, we searched for possible effects of this eruption on the atmosphere and ionosphere, investigating the climatological archive and Swarm magnetic satellite data. In particular, we explored Aerosol, Sulphur Dioxide and Carbon Monoxide concentrations in the atmosphere identifying both the direct emissions from the volcano as well as the plume that drifted toward West-South-West and was reinforced during the eruption period. The vertical profile of temperature from the Saber satellite was analysed to search for the possible presence of acoustic gravity waves induced by volcanic activity. Compared with the year before without eruption in the areas, a lot of Saber profiles present an Energy Potential very much higher than the previous year, proposing the presence of Acoustic Gravity Waves (AGW) induced by volcano eruption activity. We also identified Swarm magnetic disturbances on the day of the eruption and in November. The mechanism of coupling could be different for the latter one, as there is no evidence for AGW. They may be due to a more complex of physical and chemical alterations that propagate from the lower atmosphere to the upper one into the ionosphere. Full article

In this work, we present the analysis of VLF/LF sub-ionospheric propagation data to study anomalies possibly related to very recent strong (M > 5.5) earthquakes (EQs) that occurred in the southeastern Mediterranean in September–October 2021 and January 2022. We used the signal of one transmitter located at Negev in Israel (29.7 kHz) as received by three VLF/LF receivers (two of them using identical SW and HW) installed, at a close distance to each other, in Athens (Greece). This study employed multiple methods and techniques to analyze the reception amplitude data to identify any possible EQ-related anomalies. More specifically, first, we used both statistical and criticality analysis methods such as the “nighttime fluctuation method” (NFM), the “terminator time method” (TTM), and the “natural time” (NT) analysis method. These methods have satisfactorily been applied in the past in a series of other studies leading to interesting results. Moreover, we additionally used two more analysis techniques focusing on the signal’s amplitude characteristics. The first is the wavelet analysis of the nighttime part of the signal’s amplitude. It is based on the Morlet wavelet function, aiming to unveil the possible existence of atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs) before EQ. The second is named “long wavelength propagation capability” (LWPC), which simulates the amplitude of the signal and is based on the reflection parameters of ionosphere and by searching for increases or decreases of the electron density profile of the ionospheric D layer concerning the shifts of the minima of terminator times (TTs) in the diurnal variation of the signal. Finally, in this work, we summarize our findings and discuss possible “pre-”, “co-”, and “post-” seismic effects as observed from all the work. Full article