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Search Results (1,290)

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Keywords = adaptive project management

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29 pages, 15237 KB  
Article
Integrating BIM, Machine Learning, and PMBOK for Green Project Management in Saudi Arabia: A Framework for Energy Efficiency and Environmental Impact Reduction
by Maher Abuhussain, Ali Hussain Alhamami, Khaled Almazam, Omar Humaidan, Faizah Mohammed Bashir and Yakubu Aminu Dodo
Buildings 2025, 15(17), 3031; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15173031 (registering DOI) - 25 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study introduces a comprehensive framework combining building information modeling (BIM), project management body of knowledge (PMBOK), and machine learning (ML) to optimize energy efficiency and reduce environmental impacts in Riyadh’s construction sector. The suggested methodology utilizes BIM for dynamic energy simulations and [...] Read more.
This study introduces a comprehensive framework combining building information modeling (BIM), project management body of knowledge (PMBOK), and machine learning (ML) to optimize energy efficiency and reduce environmental impacts in Riyadh’s construction sector. The suggested methodology utilizes BIM for dynamic energy simulations and design visualization, PMBOK for integrating sustainability into project-management processes, and ML for predictive modeling and real-time energy optimization. Implementing an integrated model that incorporates building-management strategies and machine learning for both commercial and residential structures can offer stakeholders a thorough solution for forecasting energy performance and environmental impact. This is particularly essential in arid climates owing to specific conditions and environmental limitations. Using a simulation-based methodology, the framework was evaluated based on two representative case studies: (i) a commercial complex and (ii) a residential building. The neural network (NN), reinforcement learning (RL), and decision tree (DT) were implemented to assess performance in energy prediction and optimization. Results demonstrated notable seasonal energy savings, particularly in spring (15% reduction for commercial buildings) and fall (13% reduction for residential buildings), driven by optimized heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, insulation strategies, and window configurations. ML models successfully predicted energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, enabling targeted mitigation strategies. GHG emissions were reduced by up to 25% in commercial and 20% in residential settings. Among the models, NN achieved the highest predictive accuracy (R2 = 0.95), while RL proved effective in adaptive operational control. This study highlights the synergistic potential of BIM, PMBOK, and ML in advancing green project management and sustainable construction. Full article
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22 pages, 430 KB  
Article
Exploring the Factors Influencing Project Management Methodology Implementation in Local Governments
by Raj Ranasinghe, Farshid Rahmani, Guinevere Gilbert and Ehsan Gharaie
Adm. Sci. 2025, 15(9), 332; https://doi.org/10.3390/admsci15090332 (registering DOI) - 25 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study seeks to identify the factors influencing the implementation of Project Management Methodologies (PMM) in Local Government (LG) and identify the concepts, themes and characteristics that make up each of those factors. Semi-structured interviews were employed as the primary technique, engaging practitioners [...] Read more.
This study seeks to identify the factors influencing the implementation of Project Management Methodologies (PMM) in Local Government (LG) and identify the concepts, themes and characteristics that make up each of those factors. Semi-structured interviews were employed as the primary technique, engaging practitioners directly involved in local government capital works projects. This approach allowed for flexibility in exploring individual perspectives while maintaining consistency across key thematic areas. The interviews were designed to elicit rich, detailed narratives about organisational practices, procedural challenges, and behavioural attitudes toward PMM. Subsequently, a qualitative thematic analysis was adopted for the study. Through systematically coding, insights emerge regarding the key factors influencing PMM adoption, deployment, and optimisation. The findings suggest that strong leadership commitment, adaptive learning and structured oversight are critical for successful PMM implementation. “Governance”, “Experience and competency” and “Comparison and reflection” appear to be the most influential factors for PMM adoption, deployment and optimisation, respectively. The outcomes of this research will assist LGs in identifying and understanding the factors that influence the implementation of a PMM. Currently, no mandatory national policies standardise project management capabilities within the LG sector in Australia. Therefore, the outcomes of this study will provide a substantial body of knowledge and a platform to identity, analyse and evaluate the factors influencing the implementation of a PMM to the existing management practices within LGs. Full article
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22 pages, 18187 KB  
Article
Optimization of CMIP6 Precipitation Projection Based on Bayesian Model Averaging Approach and Future Urban Precipitation Risk Assessment: A Case Study of Shanghai
by Yifeng Qin, Caihua Yang, Hao Wu, Changkun Xie, Afshin Afshari, Veselin Krustev, Shengbing He and Shengquan Che
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(9), 331; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9090331 (registering DOI) - 25 Aug 2025
Abstract
Urban flooding, intensified by climate change, poses significant threats to sustainable development, necessitating accurate precipitation projections for effective risk management. This study utilized Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to optimize CMIP6 multi-model ensemble precipitation projections for Shanghai, integrating Delta statistical downscaling with observational data [...] Read more.
Urban flooding, intensified by climate change, poses significant threats to sustainable development, necessitating accurate precipitation projections for effective risk management. This study utilized Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to optimize CMIP6 multi-model ensemble precipitation projections for Shanghai, integrating Delta statistical downscaling with observational data to enhance spatial accuracy and reduce uncertainty. After downscaling, RMSE values of daily precipitation for individual models range from 10.158 to 12.512, with correlation coefficients between −0.009 and 0.0047. The BMA exhibits an RMSE of 8.105 and a correlation coefficient of 0.056, demonstrating better accuracy compared to individual models. The BMA-weighted projections, coupled with Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) hydrological model and drainage capacity constraints, reveal spatiotemporal flood risk patterns under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 245 and SSP585 scenarios. Key findings indicate that while SSP245 shows stable extreme precipitation intensity, SSP585 drives substantial increases—particularly for 50-year and 100-year return periods, with late 21st century maximums rising by 24.9% and 32.6%, respectively, compared to mid-century. Spatially, flood risk concentrates in peripheral districts due to higher precipitation exposure and average drainage capacity, contrasting with the lower-risk central urban core. This study establishes a watershed-based risk assessment framework linking climate projections directly to urban drainage planning, proposing differentiated strategies: green infrastructure for runoff reduction in high-risk areas, drainage system integration for vulnerable suburbs, and ecological restoration for coastal zones. This integrated methodology provides a replicable approach for climate-resilient urban flood management, demonstrating that effective adaptation requires scenario-specific spatial targeting. Full article
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12 pages, 754 KB  
Opinion
Tropical Cyclones and Coral Reefs Under a Changing Climate: Prospects and Likely Synergies Between Future High-Energy Storms and Other Acute and Chronic Coral Reef Stressors
by Stephen M. Turton
Sustainability 2025, 17(17), 7651; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17177651 (registering DOI) - 25 Aug 2025
Abstract
Shallow warm-water coral reefs are among the most biodiverse and valuable ecosystems on Earth, supporting a quarter of all marine life and delivering critical ecosystem services such as coastal protection, food security, and economic benefits through tourism and fisheries. However, these ecosystems are [...] Read more.
Shallow warm-water coral reefs are among the most biodiverse and valuable ecosystems on Earth, supporting a quarter of all marine life and delivering critical ecosystem services such as coastal protection, food security, and economic benefits through tourism and fisheries. However, these ecosystems are under escalating threat from anthropogenic climate change, with tropical cyclones representing their most significant high-energy storm disturbances. Approximately 70% of the world’s coral reefs lie within the tropical cyclone belt, where the frequency, intensity, and rainfall associated with tropical cyclones are changing due to global warming. Coral reefs already compromised by climate-induced stressors—such as marine heatwaves, ocean acidification, and sea-level rise—are increasingly vulnerable to the compounding impacts of more intense and slower-moving cyclones. Projected changes in cyclone behaviour, including regional variations in storm intensity and rainfall, may further undermine coral reef resilience, pushing many reef systems toward irreversible degradation. Future impacts will be regionally variable but increasingly severe without immediate climate mitigation. Building reef resilience will require a combination of rapid global carbon emission reductions and ambitious adaptation strategies, including enhanced reef management and restoration and conservation efforts. The long-term survival of coral reefs now hinges on coordinated global action and support for reef-dependent communities. Full article
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22 pages, 1886 KB  
Article
Dynamic BIM-Driven Framework for Adaptive and Optimized Construction Projects Scheduling Under Uncertainty
by Mohammad Esmaeil Gandomkar Armaki, Ali Akbar Shirzadi Javid and Shahrzad Omrani
Buildings 2025, 15(17), 3004; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15173004 - 24 Aug 2025
Abstract
Conventional project scheduling techniques often rely on manual trial-and-error methods, which can lead to inaccurate evaluations. This study presents a dynamic scheduling framework to dynamically adjust scheduling decisions based on real-time productivity and budget constraints, resulting in improvement in scheduling accuracy in project [...] Read more.
Conventional project scheduling techniques often rely on manual trial-and-error methods, which can lead to inaccurate evaluations. This study presents a dynamic scheduling framework to dynamically adjust scheduling decisions based on real-time productivity and budget constraints, resulting in improvement in scheduling accuracy in project management. By integrating advanced computational tools, the proposed approach addresses complex scheduling challenges. The model integrates Building Information Modeling (BIM)-based 3D data, productivity and process simulation, and optimization techniques to provide a unified scheduling tool that supports informed decision-making while considering real-time constraints, including productivity performance and budget limitations. The results demonstrated notable improvements over conventional methods, including a 13% increase in scheduling accuracy relative to the actual total project cost and a 34.4% improvement in scheduling accuracy based on the actual project duration, compared to the contractor’s baseline. The framework dynamically adjusts schedules and budgets according to current project conditions. These findings demonstrate its reliability as a decision-making tool for construction project management. The study introduces an integrative scheduling framework that adapts to real-time project conditions and is validated against actual project data. The integration of BIM, system dynamics, process simulation, and ACOR optimization provides a novel approach to construction scheduling. This methodology improves project management efficiency by automating scheduling adjustments based on ongoing progress. Full article
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29 pages, 2812 KB  
Review
Bridging Design and Climate Realities: A Meta-Synthesis of Coastal Landscape Interventions and Climate Integration
by Bo Pang and Brian Deal
Land 2025, 14(9), 1709; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14091709 - 23 Aug 2025
Abstract
This paper is aimed at landscape managers and designers. It looks at 123 real-world coastal landscape projects and organizes them into clear design categories, i.e., wetland restoration, hybrid infrastructure, or urban green spaces. We looked at how these projects were framed (whether they [...] Read more.
This paper is aimed at landscape managers and designers. It looks at 123 real-world coastal landscape projects and organizes them into clear design categories, i.e., wetland restoration, hybrid infrastructure, or urban green spaces. We looked at how these projects were framed (whether they focused on climate adaptation, flood protection, or other goals) and how they tracked performance. We are hoping to bring some clarity to a very scattered field, helping us to see patterns in what is actually being carried out in terms of landscape interventions and increasing sea levels. We are hoping to provide a practical reference for making better, more climate-responsive design decisions. Coastal cities face escalating climate-driven threats from increasing sea levels and storm surges to urban heat islands. These threats are driving increased interest in nature-based solutions (NbSs) as green adaptive alternatives to traditional gray infrastructure. Despite an abundance of individual case studies, there have been few systematic syntheses aimed at landscape designers and managers linking design typologies, project framing, and performance outcomes. This study addresses this gap through a meta-synthesis of 123 implemented coastal landscape interventions aimed directly at landscape-oriented research and professions. Flood risk reduction was the dominant framing strategy (30.9%), followed by climate resilience (24.4%). Critical evidence gaps emerged—only 1.6% employed integrated monitoring approaches, 30.1% provided ambiguous performance documentation, and mean monitoring quality scored 0.89 out of 5.0. While 95.9% of the projects acknowledged SLR as a driver, only 4.1% explicitly integrated climate projections into design parameters. Community monitoring approaches demonstrated significantly higher ecosystem service integration, particularly cultural services (36.4% vs. 6.9%, p<0.001), and enhanced monitoring quality (mean score 1.64 vs. 0.76, p<0.001). Implementation barriers spanned technical constraints, institutional fragmentation, and data limitations, each affecting 20.3% of projects. Geographic analysis revealed evidence generation inequities, with systematic underrepresentation of high-risk regions (Africa: 4.1%; Latin America: 2.4%) versus concentration in well-resourced areas (North America: 27.6%; Europe: 17.1%). Full article
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19 pages, 771 KB  
Article
Strategic Health Service Redesign Through Community Engagement and Systems Thinking: A Study of Hospital Redevelopment Projects
by Kathy Eljiz, Alison Derrett and David Greenfield
Hospitals 2025, 2(3), 22; https://doi.org/10.3390/hospitals2030022 - 22 Aug 2025
Viewed by 404
Abstract
The challenge for healthcare policy makers, managers and practitioners is finding ways to effectively collaborate with patients and community to plan, deliver and evaluate services. The study examined how managers engage the community with the strategic redesign of health services. The study focused [...] Read more.
The challenge for healthcare policy makers, managers and practitioners is finding ways to effectively collaborate with patients and community to plan, deliver and evaluate services. The study examined how managers engage the community with the strategic redesign of health services. The study focused on four large scale redevelopment projects, valued at A$2.8B, occurring within a health district in New South Wales, Australia. The study employed a multiple qualitative methods design comprising semi-structured interviews and focus groups. Participants were professionals (n = 24) involved in the strategic planning of health facility redevelopment. Thematic analysis was used to identify, analyse and report findings. Three issues emerged as significant factors influencing engagement, including the following: establishing a new mindset to service planning and delivery; future proofing service delivery; and management of stakeholder expectations. The unique contribution of the research is the identification of three interwoven strategies with 30 actions proposed to assess, understand and respond to external factors: 1. Foster an environment that allows for flexible and adaptable thinking and discussion; 2. Develop systems, structures and processes that facilitate engagement; 3. Encourage systems thinking for effective continuous service provision and redevelopment. Large scale redevelopment projects provide a platform for the strategic redesign of health services. When doing so, engaging the community with strategic planning, implementation and evaluation of healthcare services can lead to improved care outcomes. Full article
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32 pages, 33105 KB  
Article
Quantifying Spatiotemporal Evolution of Sandy Shorelines in Northern China Using DSAS: A Case Study from Dalian World Peace Park
by Panqing Lin, Xiangxu Wei, Yaxuan Zhang, Pengfei Lv, Ming Liu, Yi Yang and Xiangke Dong
Sustainability 2025, 17(17), 7591; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17177591 - 22 Aug 2025
Viewed by 131
Abstract
This study analyzed shoreline evolution (2000–2024) at Dalian World Peace Park’s sandy tourist beach using GEE, CoastSat, and DSAS. At the same time, combined with the grain size analysis of beach sediments before and after typhoons, the impact of extreme events on the [...] Read more.
This study analyzed shoreline evolution (2000–2024) at Dalian World Peace Park’s sandy tourist beach using GEE, CoastSat, and DSAS. At the same time, combined with the grain size analysis of beach sediments before and after typhoons, the impact of extreme events on the shoreline line changes was explored. The DSAS shows a spatial differentiation pattern of the southern shoreline retreat trend zone, the central shoreline dynamic balance trend zone and the northern shoreline advance trend zone. The 2008 reclamation project altered hydrodynamics, creating an artificial headland effect that triggered significant northern shoreline advancement (max 74.16 m) and southern retreat (27.14 m), demonstrating unforeseen long-term trade-offs of large-scale interventions. Subsequent cobble structures, acting as a nature-based solution, enhanced sediment retention and wave energy refraction, promoting dynamic equilibrium and shoreline resilience. However, the 2017 double typhoon caused instantaneous retreat with finer, poorly sorted sediment, highlighting persistent vulnerability to extreme events. This study underscores the critical need for adaptive management within a sustainable shoreline development framework. Full article
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24 pages, 9308 KB  
Article
Profiling Climate Risk Patterns of Urban Trees in Wuhan: Interspecific Variation and Species’ Trait Determinants
by Wenli Zhu, Ming Zhang, Li Zhang, Siqi Wang, Lu Zhou, Xiaoyi Xing and Song Li
Forests 2025, 16(8), 1358; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16081358 - 21 Aug 2025
Viewed by 190
Abstract
Climate change poses significant threats to urban tree health and survival worldwide. This study evaluates climate suitability risks for 12 common tree species in Wuhan, a Chinese metropolis facing escalating climate challenges. We analyzed risk dynamics and interspecific variations across three periods, the [...] Read more.
Climate change poses significant threats to urban tree health and survival worldwide. This study evaluates climate suitability risks for 12 common tree species in Wuhan, a Chinese metropolis facing escalating climate challenges. We analyzed risk dynamics and interspecific variations across three periods, the baseline (1981–2022), near future (2023–2050), and distant future (2051–2100), quantifying climate risk as differences between local climate conditions and species’ climatic niches. We further examined how species’ geographic distribution and functional traits influence these climate risks. The results revealed significant warming trends in Wuhan during the baseline period (p < 0.05), with projected increases in temperature and precipitation under future scenarios (p < 0.05). The most prominent risk factors included the precipitation of the driest month (PDM), annual mean temperature (AMT), and maximum temperature of the warmest month (MTWM), indicating intensifying drought–heat stress in this region. Among the studied species, Cedrus deodara (Roxb.) G. Don, Platanus acerifolia (Aiton) Willd., Metasequoia glyptostroboides Hu & W.C.Cheng, and Ginkgo biloba L. faced significantly higher hydrothermal risks (p < 0.05), whereas Koelreuteria bipinnata Franch. and Osmanthus fragrans (Thunb.) Lour. exhibited lower current risks but notable future risk increases (p < 0.05). Regarding the factors driving these interspecific variation patterns, the latitude of species’ distribution centroids showed significant negative correlations with the risk values of the minimum temperature of the coldest month (MTCM) (p < 0.05). Among functional traits, the wood density (WD) and xylem vulnerability threshold (P50) were negatively correlated with precipitation-related risks (p < 0.05), while the leaf dry matter content (LDMC) and specific leaf area (SLA) were positively associated with temperature-related risks (p < 0.05). These findings provide scientific foundations for developing climate-adaptive species selection and management strategies that enhance urban forest resilience under climate change in central China. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Urban Forestry)
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19 pages, 302 KB  
Review
A Theoretical Framework for Multi-Attribute Decision-Making Methods in the Intelligent Leading and Allocation of Human Resources in Research and Development Projects
by Cătălina-Monica Alexe and Roxana-Mariana Nechita
Sustainability 2025, 17(16), 7535; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167535 - 20 Aug 2025
Viewed by 268
Abstract
Effective human resource allocation is crucial for research and development project success. While multi-attribute decision-making methods are valuable, their application to human resource allocation in research and development remains underexplored; success factors are lacking, hindering robust decision frameworks. This paper identifies key human [...] Read more.
Effective human resource allocation is crucial for research and development project success. While multi-attribute decision-making methods are valuable, their application to human resource allocation in research and development remains underexplored; success factors are lacking, hindering robust decision frameworks. This paper identifies key human resource management attributes for research and development project success, integrating them into a theoretical framework for optimal allocation using multi-attribute decision-making methods. Our systematic literature review and content analysis of project performance research identified 49 distinct human resource-centric factors. These are organized into a functional model with four categories: strategic orientation, operational execution, organizational competence, and innovative–adaptive potential; their frequency indicates managerial focus. This highlights the critical need for a structured human resource allocation approach in research and development. Factors and the framework enhance project success. This study represents a foundational framework for MADM, offering a comprehensive and up-to-date list of relevant factors to ensure empirical and quantitative studies are grounded in a complete analysis rather than a random selection of a few factors. This work addresses a significant gap in the application of multi-attribute decision-making methods for human resource allocation in research and development, providing a comprehensive and robust tool for academia and practice. Full article
27 pages, 6232 KB  
Article
Insights from Earth Map: Unraveling Environmental Dynamics in the Euphrates–Tigris Basin
by Ayhan Ateşoğlu, Mustafa Hakkı Aydoğdu, Kasım Yenigün, Alfonso Sanchez-Paus Díaz, Giulio Marchi and Fidan Şevval Bulut
Sustainability 2025, 17(16), 7513; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167513 - 20 Aug 2025
Viewed by 334
Abstract
The Euphrates–Tigris Basin is experiencing significant environmental transformations due to climate change, Land Use and Land Cover Change (LULCC), and anthropogenic pressures. This study employs Earth Map, an open-access remote sensing platform, to comprehensively assess climate trends, vegetation dynamics, water resource variability, and [...] Read more.
The Euphrates–Tigris Basin is experiencing significant environmental transformations due to climate change, Land Use and Land Cover Change (LULCC), and anthropogenic pressures. This study employs Earth Map, an open-access remote sensing platform, to comprehensively assess climate trends, vegetation dynamics, water resource variability, and land degradation across the basin. Key findings reveal a geographic shift toward aridity, with declining precipitation in high-altitude headwater regions and rising temperatures exacerbating water scarcity. While cropland expansion and localized improvements in land productivity were observed, large areas—particularly in hyperarid and steppe zones—show early signs of degradation, increasing the risk of dust source expansion. LULCC analysis highlights substantial wetland loss, irreversible urban growth, and agricultural encroachment into fragile ecosystems, with Iraq experiencing the most pronounced transformations. Climate projections under the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios indicate intensified warming and aridity, threatening hydrological stability. This study underscores the urgent need for integrated water management, Land Degradation Neutrality (LDN), and climate-resilient policies to safeguard the basin’s ecological and socioeconomic resilience. Earth Map is a vital tool for monitoring environmental changes, offering rapid insights for policymakers and stakeholders in this data-scarce region. Future research should include higher-resolution datasets and localized socioeconomic data to improve adaptive strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Drinking Water, Water Management and Environment)
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17 pages, 2738 KB  
Article
Runoff Prediction in the Xiangxi River Basin Under Climate Change: The Application of the HBV-XGBoost Coupled Model
by Jiaona Guo, Fuzhou Zhang, Wenjie Li, Aili Yang, Yurui Fan and Jianbing Li
Water 2025, 17(16), 2420; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17162420 - 16 Aug 2025
Viewed by 356
Abstract
Global warming has made water resources more uneven in space and time, making water management harder. This study used the HBV-XGBoost model to see how climate change affects runoff in the Xiangxi River Basin. The HBV model simulated water processes, and XGBoost improved [...] Read more.
Global warming has made water resources more uneven in space and time, making water management harder. This study used the HBV-XGBoost model to see how climate change affects runoff in the Xiangxi River Basin. The HBV model simulated water processes, and XGBoost improved predictions by handling complex relationships. This study used the SDSM to create climate data for 2025–2100 and looked at runoff trends under different emission scenarios. The HBV-XGBoost model performed better than the HBV model in simulating runoff. Future predictions showed big differences in runoff trends under various SSP scenarios in the 2040s and 2080s. For example, under SSP585, the ACCESS-CM2 model projected a May runoff increase from 1527.52 m3/s to 2344.42 m3/s by the 2080s, and ACCESS-ESM1-5 projected an increase from 1462.11 m3/s to 2889.58 m3/s. All GCMs predicted a large rise in annual runoff under SSP585 by the 2080s, with FGOALS-g3 showing the highest growth rate of 76.54%. The model accurately simulated runoff changes and provided useful insights for adapting water management to climate change. However, this study has limitations, including uncertainties in machine learning models, potential input data biases, and varying applicability under different conditions. Future work should explore more climate models and downscaling methods to improve accuracy and consider local policies to better address climate impacts on water resources. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water and Climate Change)
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16 pages, 3366 KB  
Article
Higher Emissions Scenarios Increase Wildland–Urban Interface Fire Hazard in China
by Dapeng Gong
Sustainability 2025, 17(16), 7409; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167409 - 15 Aug 2025
Viewed by 333
Abstract
Climate change has intensified the occurrence of wildfires, increasing their frequency and intensity worldwide, and threatening sustainable development through ecological and socioeconomic impacts. Understanding the driving factors behind wildland–urban interface (WUI) fire events and predicting future wildfire hazards in WUI areas are essential [...] Read more.
Climate change has intensified the occurrence of wildfires, increasing their frequency and intensity worldwide, and threatening sustainable development through ecological and socioeconomic impacts. Understanding the driving factors behind wildland–urban interface (WUI) fire events and predicting future wildfire hazards in WUI areas are essential for effective wildfire management and sustainable land-use planning. In this study, we developed a WUI fire hazard prediction model for China using machine learning techniques. Diagnostic attribution analysis was employed to identify key drivers of WUI fire hazards. The results revealed that the random forest-based WUI fire hazard model outperformed other models, demonstrating strong generalization capability. SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis revealed that meteorological factors are the primary drivers of WUI fire hazards. These factors include temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity. We further examined the evolution of WUI fire hazards under historical and future climate change scenarios. During the historical baseline period (1985–2014), regions classified as moderate and high hazards were concentrated in southern China. These regions include East China, South Central China, and Southwest China. Climate change exacerbates future WUI fire hazards in China. Projections under the high emission scenario (SSP5–8.5) indicate a rapid increase in WUI fire hazard indices in northern China by the end of the 21st century. Concurrently, the gravity center of high hazard areas is predicted to shift northward, accompanied by a substantial expansion in their area coverage. These findings highlight an urgent need to reorient fire management resources toward northern China under high-emission scenarios. Our findings establish a predictive framework for WUI fire hazards and emphasize the urgency of implementing climate-adaptive management strategies aligned with future hazard patterns. These strategies are critical for enhancing sustainability by reducing fire-related ecological and socioeconomic losses in WUI areas. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hazards and Sustainability)
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14 pages, 1449 KB  
Article
Effects of Climate Variables and Human Activities on Groundwater Level Fluctuations in Unconsolidated Sedimentary Aquifers: A Data-Driven Approach
by Liu Yang, Ming Gao, Jiameng Chen, Wenqing Shi, Changhong Hou, Zichun Liu, Cheng Luo, Jiahui Yu, Xiangyu Yang and Jie Dong
Hydrology 2025, 12(8), 215; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology12080215 - 15 Aug 2025
Viewed by 225
Abstract
Groundwater level (GWL) in unconfined aquifers is highly susceptible to climate variables and human activities, exhibiting nonlinear fluctuations; these can further contribute to or exacerbate environmental hazards, such as land subsidence. Understanding the relationship between GWL changes and external conditions is essential for [...] Read more.
Groundwater level (GWL) in unconfined aquifers is highly susceptible to climate variables and human activities, exhibiting nonlinear fluctuations; these can further contribute to or exacerbate environmental hazards, such as land subsidence. Understanding the relationship between GWL changes and external conditions is essential for effective groundwater resource management and ecological protection. However, this relationship remains unclear and variable. This study systematically analyzes the correlations between climate and human factors and GWLs, using data from monitoring stations in the unconsolidated sedimentary aquifers of Beijing, China. It evaluates the importance of influencing factors on GWL simulation accuracy and tests how different inputs affect simulation performance. The results indicate that human factors are more strongly correlated with GWLs, yet climate factors hold higher importance scores. In GWL simulations, different input variables yield varying accuracy, with the inclusion of precipitation notably decreasing simulation precision because of its lagged or indirect effects on groundwater levels. The variation in accuracy across monitoring stations further suggests that the primary differences may stem from the GWL data itself. These findings underscore the need for high-resolution, localized data and tailored input selection to improve GWL projections and inform adaptive water-resource strategies under changing climatic and anthropogenic pressures. Full article
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14 pages, 1439 KB  
Article
Comparative Analysis of AWP and IPD Methods: Strengths, Challenges, and Opportunities
by Slim Rebai, Olfa Hamdi, Zoubeir Lafhaj, Hugues Ouchala and Wassim AlBalkhy
Buildings 2025, 15(16), 2893; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15162893 - 15 Aug 2025
Viewed by 243
Abstract
Despite continued efforts to improve the construction industry’s performance in terms of productivity, budget adherence, and schedule reliability, the sector remains a laggard compared to others. Among the innovative project management approaches aimed at addressing these issues are Advanced Work Packaging (AWP) and [...] Read more.
Despite continued efforts to improve the construction industry’s performance in terms of productivity, budget adherence, and schedule reliability, the sector remains a laggard compared to others. Among the innovative project management approaches aimed at addressing these issues are Advanced Work Packaging (AWP) and Integrated Project Delivery (IPD). This study conducts a comparative literature-based analysis of AWP and IPD, focusing on their performance outcomes and implementation challenges. Through a systematic review of 47 publications and key institutional reports, this study evaluates both methods across criteria such as adaptability, risk sharing, collaboration, workflow granularity, and cost-effectiveness. The results indicate that AWP excels in workflow standardization, package-level planning, and field execution, particularly in industrial and modular projects, while IPD demonstrates superior adaptability, stakeholder integration, and collaborative risk management in complex building projects. However, both methods face barriers including legal constraints, change resistance, and high integration costs. This study proposes context-specific recommendations and highlights potential synergies between AWP and IPD. While the analysis is constrained by limited empirical studies—especially regarding AWP—it lays a foundation for future research and offers actionable insights for project managers selecting between or integrating the two methods. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Buildings for the 21st Century)
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