Search Results (954)

While there are studies on bicycle crashes, no study has investigated the spatial analysis of fatal and injury bicycle crashes in the state of Ohio. This study fills this gap in the literature by mapping and investigating the bicycle crash-prone areas in the state. It analyzes fatal and injury bicycle crashes from 2014 to 2023 by utilizing four exploratory spatial data analysis techniques: nearest neighbor index, global Moran’s I index, hotspot and cold spot analysis, and local Moran’s I index at the state, county, census tract, and block group levels. Results vary slightly across techniques and spatial scales but consistently show that bicycle crash locations are clustered statewide, particularly in the state’s major metropolitan areas such as Columbus, Cincinnati, Toledo, Cleveland, and Akron. These urban centers have emerged as hotspots, indicating a higher vulnerability to bicycle crashes. While global Moran’s I analysis at the county level does not reveal significant spatial autocorrelation, a strong positive autocorrelation is observed at both the census tract (p = 0.01) and block group (p = 0.00) levels, indicating significant high clustering, signifying that finer geographical units yield more robust results. Identifying specific hotspots and vulnerable areas provides valuable insights for policymakers and urban planners to implement effective safety measures and improve conditions for non-motorized road users in Ohio. The study highlights the need for targeted mitigation strategies in high-risk areas, including comprehensive safety measures, infrastructure improvements, policy changes, and community-focused initiatives to reduce crash risk and create safer environments for cyclists throughout Ohio’s urban fabric. Full article

To ensure water source security and sustainability of the national major strategic project “South-to-North Water Diversion”, this study aims to evaluate the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of the ecosystem service value (ESV) in its water source area from 2002 to 2022. This study reveals its changing trends and main influencing factors, and thereby provides scientific support for the ecological protection and management of the water source area. Quantitative assessment of the ESV of the region was carried out using the Equivalence Factor Method (EFM), aiming to provide scientific support for ecological protection and resource management decision-making. In the past 20 years, the ESV has shown an upward trend year by year, increasing by 96%. The regions with the highest ESV were Garzê Prefecture and Aba Prefecture, which increased by 130.3% and 60.6%, respectively. The ESV of Xinlong county, Danba county, Rangtang county, and Daofu county increased 4.8 times, 1.5 times, 12.5 times, and 8.9 times, respectively. In the last two decades, arable land has decreased by 91%, while the proportions of bare land and water have decreased by 84% and 91%, respectively. Grassland had the largest proportion. Forests and grasslands, vital for climate regulation, water cycle management, and biodiversity conservation, have expanded by 74% and 43%, respectively. It can be seen from Moran’s I index values that the dataset as a whole showed a slight positive spatial autocorrelation, which increased from −0.041396 to 0.046377. This study reveals the changing trends in ESV and the main influencing factors, and thereby provides scientific support for the ecological protection and management of the water source area. Full article

Social media platforms like Instagram significantly shape destination images and influence tourist behavior. Understanding how different cities are represented and perceived on these platforms is crucial for effective tourism marketing. This study provides a comparative analysis of Instagram content and engagement patterns in Seoul and Tokyo, two major Asian metropolises, to derive actionable marketing insights. We collected and analyzed 59,944 public Instagram posts geotagged or location-tagged within Seoul (n = 29,985) and Tokyo (n = 29,959). We employed a mixed-methods approach involving content categorization using a fine-tuned convolutional neural network (CNN) model, engagement metric analysis (likes, comments), Valence Aware Dictionary and sEntiment Reasoner (VADER) sentiment analysis and thematic classification of comments, geospatial analysis (Kernel Density Estimation [KDE], Moran’s I), and predictive modeling (Gradient Boosting with SHapley Additive exPlanations [SHAP] value analysis). A validation analysis using balanced samples (n = 2000 each) was conducted to address Tokyo’s lower geotagged data proportion. While both cities showed ‘Person’ as the dominant content category, notable differences emerged. Tokyo exhibited higher like-based engagement across categories, particularly for ‘Animal’ and ‘Food’ content, while Seoul generated slightly more comments, often expressing stronger sentiment. Qualitative comment analysis revealed Seoul comments focused more on emotional reactions, whereas Tokyo comments were often shorter, appreciative remarks. Geospatial analysis identified distinct hotspots. The validation analysis confirmed these spatial patterns despite Tokyo’s data limitations. Predictive modeling highlighted hashtag counts as the key engagement driver in Seoul and the presence of people in Tokyo. Seoul and Tokyo project distinct visual narratives and elicit different engagement patterns on Instagram. These findings offer practical implications for destination marketers, suggesting tailored content strategies and location-based campaigns targeting identified hotspots and specific content themes. This study underscores the value of integrating quantitative and qualitative analyses of social media data for nuanced destination marketing insights. Full article

Carbon emissions from freshwater aquaculture can exacerbate the greenhouse effect, thereby impacting human life and health. Consequently, it is of great significance to explore the carbon peak process and the role of emission reduction data in China’s freshwater aquaculture industry. This study innovatively employs the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index model (LMDI) and the Tapio decoupling model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the relationship between carbon emissions and output values in the freshwater aquaculture industry, accurately identifying the main driving factors. Meanwhile, the global and local Moran’s I indices are introduced to analyze its spatial correlation from a new perspective. The results indicate that from 2013 to 2023, carbon emissions from China’s freshwater aquaculture industry exhibited a quasi-“N”-shaped trend, reaching a peak of 38 million tons in 2015. East China was the primary contributor to carbon emissions, accounting for 46%, while South China, Central China, and Northeast China each had an average annual share of around 14%, with Southwest, North China, and Northwest China contributing relatively small proportions. The global Moran’s I index showed a decreasing trend, with a p-value ≤ 0.0010 and a z-score > 3.3, indicating a 99% significant spatial correlation. High-high clusters were concentrated in some provinces of East China, while low-low clusters were found in Northwest, North, and Southwest China. The level of fishery economic development positively drove carbon emissions, whereas freshwater aquaculture production efficiency, industrial structure, and the scale of the aquaculture population had negative effects on carbon emissions. During the study period, carbon emissions exhibited three states: weak decoupling, strong decoupling, and expansive negative decoupling, with alternating strong and weak decoupling occurring after 2015. Full article

Achieving carbon emission reductions in the residential building sector while maintaining economic growth represents a global challenge, particularly in rapidly developing regions with internal disparities. This study examines Jiangsu Province in eastern China—a economic hub with north-south development gradients—to develop an integrated framework for differentiated carbon reduction pathways. The methodology combines spatial autocorrelation analysis, logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) decomposition, system dynamics modeling, and Tapio decoupling analysis to examine urban residential building emissions across three regions from 2016–2022. Results reveal significant spatial clustering of emissions (Moran’s I peaking at 0.735), with energy consumption per unit area as the dominant driver across all regions (contributing 147.61%, 131.82%, and 147.57% respectively). Scenario analysis demonstrates that energy efficiency policies can reduce emissions by 10.1% while maintaining 99.2% of economic performance, enabling carbon peak achievement by 2030. However, less developed northern regions emerge as binding constraints, requiring technology investments. Decoupling analysis identifies region-specific optimal pathways: conventional development for advanced regions, balanced approaches for transitional areas, and subsidies for lagging regions. These findings challenge assumptions about environment-economy trade-offs and provide a replicable framework for designing differentiated climate policies in heterogeneous territories, offering insights for similar regions worldwide navigating the transition to sustainable development. Full article

With the digital economy continuing to integrate deeply into the agricultural sector, agricultural digital transformation has emerged as a pivotal driver of rural revitalization and the development of a robust agricultural economy. Although existing studies have affirmed the positive role of agricultural digital transformation in promoting rural development and enhancing agricultural efficiency, its spatiotemporal evolution patterns, regional disparities, and underlying driving factors have not yet been systematically and thoroughly investigated. This study seeks to fill that gap. Based on provincial panel data from China spanning 2011 to 2023, this study employs the Theil index, kernel density estimation, Moran’s index, and quantile regression to systematically assess the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of agricultural digital transformation at both national and regional levels. The results reveal a steady overall improvement in agricultural digital transformation, yet regional development imbalances remain prominent, with a shift from inter-regional disparities to intra-regional disparities over time. The four major regions exhibit a stratified evolutionary trajectory marked by internal differentiation: the eastern region retains its lead, while central and western regions show potential for catch-up, and the northeastern region faces a “balance trap.” Economic development foundation, human capital quality, and policy environment support are identified as the core driving forces of transformation, while other factors demonstrate pronounced regional and phase-specific variability. This study not only deepens theoretical understanding of the uneven development and driving logic of agricultural digital transformation but also provides empirical evidence to support policy optimization and promote more balanced and sustainable development in the agricultural sector. Full article

Ensuring food security necessitates a high level of coordinated development between agricultural trade and production. Based on China’s provincial panel data from 2010 to 2023, this study constructs an evaluation index system for agricultural trade and production, employing an entropy-weighted TOPSIS model to measure their development levels. On this basis, a coupling coordination degree model and Moran’s I indices are used to analyze the coordinated development level’s temporal changes and spatial effects. The research finds that the development levels of China’s agricultural trade and production show an upward trend but currently still exhibit the pattern of higher levels in Eastern China and lower levels in Western China. The coupling coordination level between them demonstrates an increasing trend, yet the overall level remains relatively low, with an average value of only 0.445, consistently staying in a marginal disorder “running-in stage” and spatially presenting a distinct “east-high–west-low” stepped distribution pattern. Furthermore, from a spatial perspective, the Global Moran’s index decreased from 0.293 to 0.280. The coupling coordination degree of agricultural trade and production in China generally exhibits a positive spatial autocorrelation, but this effect has been weakening over time. Most provinces show spatial clustering characteristics of high–high and low–low agglomeration in local space, and this feature is relatively stable. Building on these insights, this study proposes a refinement of the coordination mechanisms between agricultural trade and production, alongside the implementation of differentiated regional coordinated development strategies, to promote the coupled and coordinated advancement of agricultural trade and production. Full article

In response to the escalating global energy demands, the optimization of energy efficiency has emerged as a linchpin for sustainable development. This study considers the potential of energy conservation and emission reduction in one of the most economically vibrant and resource-intensive regions in China, the Yangtze River Economic Belt, encompassing 11 provinces and cities. The SBM-Undesirable model is used to measure the energy efficiency and analyze the temporal-spatial distribution. Moran’s I is employed to analyze the overall spatial pattern and local regional differences in energy efficiency. The systematic analysis shows that the temporal fluctuation exists in the development of energy efficiency, and the average of the Yangtze River Economic Belt exhibits a development pattern of “downstream > midstream > upstream” from the spatial perspective. The upstream region would require way more effort than others to decarbonize and improve efficiency. At the municipal level, the overall energy efficiency of 11 provinces and cities fails to reach an efficient state, and potential for improvement exists. Moreover, the potential model of energy conservation and emission reduction is constructed. We further explore the pathways of energy efficiency improvement for each region in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, including pathways of “High-Efficiency Type”, “High Emission Reduction Potential”, and “Extensive Development Type”. Full article

This paper describes the spatiotemporal distribution and risk factors of African Swine Fever (ASF) in Uganda for the period of 2010 through 2023. The study utilized a comprehensive dataset from monthly reports (2010–2023) from District Veterinary Officers (DVOs), the Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries (MAAIF), and the Food and Agriculture Organization, Uganda. Using GPS coordinates, ASF cases were mapped using QGIS to show ASF distribution and spread in Uganda. Moran’s I analysis was used to delineate clusters of ASF. A total of 1521 ASF cases were recorded. The data show that cases of ASF were disseminated throughout the country, with more cases of ASF documented in the central region and border districts (hotspots for ASF), and few cases were reported in Acholi, Karamoja, and Lango, Ankole, West Nile, and Kigezi sub-regions. The time series analysis revealed incidences of ASF disease occurring year-round; notable peak cases were observed in some districts, and districts with ≥30,000 pigs reported higher cases of ASF. The Moran’s I (≥1) analysis showed that ASF is either aggregated (p = 0.01), especially in central districts bordering Tanzania and lake shores, or sporadic in occurrence. The disease was present in 66% of the districts, with ASF occurring throughout the year. More cases were aggregated in central and border districts and districts with large pig populations (≥30,000). Sporadic cases were reported in districts bordering the DRC, Sudan, Kenya, the lake shores, Karamoja, Acholi, and Lango sub-regions. Full article

Urban heat islands (UHIs) present a growing environmental issue in swiftly urbanizing regions, where impermeable surfaces and a lack of vegetation increase local temperatures. This research analyzes the spatial distribution of urban heat islands in Zagreb, Croatia, utilizing remote sensing data, urban planning metrics, and spatial-statistical analysis. Composite rasters of land surface temperature (LST) and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) were generated from four cloud-free Landsat 9 images obtained in the summer of 2024. The data were consolidated into regulatory planning units through zonal statistics, facilitating the evaluation of the impact of built-up density and designated green space on surface temperatures. A composite UHI index was developed by combining normalized land surface temperature (LST) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) measurements, while spatial clustering was examined with Local Moran’s I and Getis-Ord Gi*. The results validate spatial patterns of heat intensity, with high temperatures centered in densely built residential areas. This research addresses the gap in past UHI studies by providing a reproducible approach for detecting thermal stress zones, linking satellite data with spatial planning variables. The results support the development of localized climate adaptation methods and highlight the importance of integrating green infrastructure into urban planning methodologies. Full article

The Three Gorges Reservoir Area in China presents a critical conflict between industrial development and ecological conservation. It functions as a key hub for water management, energy production, and shipping, while also serving as a vital zone for ecological and environmental protection. Focusing on Zigui County, this study developed a 16-indicator evaluation system integrating geological, ecological, and socioeconomic factors. It utilized the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), coefficient of variation (CV), and the Real-Coded Accelerating Genetic Algorithm-Projection Pursuit (RAGA-PP) model for evaluation, the latter of which optimizes the projection direction and utilizes PP to transform high-dimensional data into a low-dimensional space, thereby obtaining the values of the projection indices. The findings indicate the following: (1) The RAGA-PP model outperforms conventional AHP-CV methods in assessing Zigui County’s eco-geological environment, showing superior accuracy (higher Moran’s I) and spatial consistency. (2) Hotspot analysis confirms these results, revealing distinct spatial patterns. (3) From 2000 to 2020, “bad” quality areas decreased from 17.31% to 12.33%, while “moderate” or “better” zones expanded. (4) This improvement reflects favorable natural conditions and reduced human impacts. These trends underscore the effectiveness of China’s ecological civilization policies, which have prioritized sustainable development through targeted environmental governance, afforestation initiatives, and stringent regulations on industrial activities. Full article

To provide safe drinking water in contaminated hydrogeological environments, it is essential to have precise geochemical information on contamination hotspots. In this study, Geographic Information System (GIS) and multivariate statistics were utilized to analyze the spatial patterns, occurrence, and major factors controlling uranium (U) concentrations in groundwater. The global and local Moran’s I indices were utilized to detect hotspots and cool spots of U distribution. The substantial positive global Moran’s I index (at a p-value of 0.05) revealed a geographical pattern in U occurrences. The spatial clusters displayed patterns of drinking water source with U concentrations below and above the WHO limit, categorized as “regional U cool spots” and “regional U hotspots”, respectively. Spatial autocorrelation plots revealed that the high–high potential spatial patterns for U were situated in the northeastern region of the study area. As the order of queen’s contiguity increased, prospective low–high spatial patterns transitioned from the Faridkot district to the Muktsar district for U. Further, the multivariate statistical analysis methods such as correlation and principal component analysis (PCA) plots revealed substantial positive associations (p-value < 0.05) between U and total dissolved solids (TDS), salinity (SL), bicarbonate (HCO₃⁻), and sodium (Na) in groundwater from both shallow and deeper depth, indicating that these water quality parameters can significantly influence the occurrence of U in the groundwater. The output of the random forest model shows that among the groundwater parameters, TDS is the most influential variable for enrichment of U in groundwater, followed by HCO₃⁻, Na, F⁻, SO₄²⁻, Mg, Cl⁻, pH, NO₃⁻, and K concentrations. Additionally, the results of health risk assessment indicate that 47.86% and 41.3% of samples pose risks to children and adults, respectively, due to F⁻−contamination. About 93.49% and 89.14% of samples pose a risk to children and adults, respectively, due to U contamination, whereas 51.08% and 39.13% of samples pose a risk to children and adults, respectively, from NO₃⁻ contamination. The current data indicates an urgent need to create cost-effective and efficient remediation techniques for groundwater contamination in this region. Full article

This study focuses on the Dongting Lake region in China and evaluates ecological vulnerability using the Sensitivity–Resilience–Pressure (SRP) framework, integrated with Spatial Principal Component Analysis (SPCA) to calculate the Ecological Vulnerability Index (EVI). The EVI values were classified into five levels using the Natural Breaks (Jenks) method, and spatial autocorrelation analysis was applied to reveal spatial differentiation patterns. The Geodetector model was used to analyze the driving mechanisms of natural and socioeconomic factors on EVI, identifying key influencing variables. Furthermore, the LightGBM algorithm was used for feature optimization, followed by the construction of six machine learning models—Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Extremely Randomized Trees (ET), Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), LightGBM, and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN)—to conduct multi-class classification of ecological vulnerability. Model performance was assessed using ROC–AUC, accuracy, recall, confusion matrix, and Kappa coefficient, and the best-performing model was interpreted using SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations). The results indicate that: ① ecological vulnerability increased progressively from the core wetlands and riparian corridors to the transitional zones in the surrounding hills and mountains; ② a significant spatial clustering of ecological vulnerability was observed, with a Moran’s I index of 0.78; ③ Geodetector analysis identified the interaction between NPP (q = 0.329) and precipitation (PRE, q = 0.268) as the dominant factor (q = 0.50) influencing spatial variation of EVI; ④ the Random Forest model achieved the best classification performance (AUC = 0.954, F1 score = 0.78), and SHAP analysis showed that NPP and PRE made the most significant contributions to model predictions. This study proposes a multi-method integrated decision support framework for assessing ecological vulnerability in lake wetland ecosystems. Full article

As digital transformation becomes an increasingly central focus of national and regional policy agendas, parallel efforts are intensifying to stimulate innovation as a critical driver of firm competitiveness and high-quality economic growth. However, regional disparities in innovation capacity persist. This study proposes an integrated framework in which regionally tracked digital economy indicators are leveraged to predict firm-level innovation performance, measured through patent activity, across China. Drawing on a comprehensive dataset covering 13 digital economic indicators from 2013 to 2022, this study spans core, broad, and narrow dimensions of digital development. Spatial dependencies among these indicators are assessed using global and local spatial autocorrelation measures, including Moran’s I and Geary’s C, to provide actionable insights for constructing innovation-conducive environments. To model the predictive relationship between digital metrics and innovation output, this study employs a suite of supervised machine learning techniques—Random Forest, Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), Support Vector Machine (SVM), XGBoost, and stacked ensemble approaches. Our findings demonstrate the potential of digital infrastructure metrics to serve as early indicators of regional innovation capacity, offering a data-driven foundation for targeted policymaking, strategic resource allocation, and the design of adaptive digital innovation ecosystems. Full article

The Dabie Mountain area in Anhui Province is an essential ecological security barrier and a critical protected area in East China. It is very important to assess its ecological environment quality and identify its key driving forces. Five indicators, including Greenness, Wetness, Dryness, Heat, and Biological Richness, were used to construct an improved remote sensing ecological Index (IRSEI) to assess ecological environment quality. The weights of the five indicators were determined by coupling the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the entropy weight method (EWM). The optimal parameters-based geographical detector (OPGD) was used to recognize driving factors. The main conclusions were as follows: (1) the overall rank of ecological environment quality was mainly good and excellent. The ecological quality of forest land was excellent, that of farmland was good, and that of built-up areas was poor. (2) The change in ecological environment quality was mainly stable from 2000 to 2020. The ecological quality of some forests and farmlands improved, with a deteriorating trend in the built-up areas. (3) The Moran’s Index of ecological quality ranged from 0.77 to 0.85, indicating high spatial agglomeration. (4) The OPGD indicated that the DEM had the most explanatory power for ecological quality, and the interactive relationship between the DEM and population density had the most significant impact. (5) In comparison to the conventional remote sensing ecological Index (RSEI), the IRSEI exhibited higher congruence with observed circumstances and improved ecological interpretability. Full article