Search Results (681)

Rainfall-induced shallow loess landslides pose a significant threat to human life and property. Early warning and risk assessment of these landslides are critical prerequisites for engineering control and disaster loss reduction. The Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-Based Regional Slope-Stability Model (TRIGRS)-Three-dimensional Slope Stability Analysis Tool (Scoops 3D) joint model can overcome the shortcomings of using a single TRIGRS model for hydrological analysis and a single Scoops 3D model for slope stability analysis. Landslide risk assessment based on expected economic loss, on the other hand, can overcome the issue of maintaining the risk level edge and sorting at the same level. In this paper, the TRIGRS model’s head pressures were put into the Scoops 3D model, with the southeast of Fangta, a town in Shaanxi province, China, as the study area. The relationship between the slope gradient and the number of grids in each stable grade was certified. The rainfall thresholds for landslides, based on both rainfall intensity and rainfall duration, were obtained by rerunning the TRIGRS-Scoops 3D joint model. The landslide range and land uses of each dangerous slope were determined by maximum likelihood classification, and then the expected economic loss was calculated. To verify the reliability of the TRIGRS-Scoops 3D joint model, the identified dangerous slopes were compared with the results from landslide susceptibility mapping. The results show that the unstable grids are concentrated within a slope gradient of 30° to 35°, and the landslide early warning levels are divided into Tier 3, Tier 2, and Tier 1 Warnings. The occurrence of shallow loess landslides is affected by both rainfall intensity and rainfall duration, and the combined effect should be considered in early warning. The distribution of both extreme susceptible grids and high susceptible grids across all 23 dangerous slopes demonstrates the reasonableness of the TRIGRS-Scoops 3D joint model. The landslide susceptible probability within some dangerous slopes exhibits spatial variability. The mapping relationship between the slope gradient and loess landslides is extremely complex. This paper can provide a theoretical basis for the early warning and risk management for rainfall-induced shallow loess landslides; the proposed method is also applicable to other regions with similar geological and meteorological conditions. Full article

Urbanization fundamentally fractures the natural water cycle, leading to a cascade of interconnected problems including increased flood risk, degraded water quality, stressed groundwater resources, and inefficient distribution networks. Traditional, fragmented management approaches that address these issues in isolation have proven inadequate. This research argues for a paradigm shift towards an Integrated Urban Water Management (IUWM) framework anchored in the concept of the “river-aquifer-pipe network continuum”, treating these components as a single, dynamic hydrological and infrastructural entity. Drawing upon a series of detailed case studies from Eastern Romania, this paper synthesizes the systemic impacts of development across the entire urban water system. Evidence from the Prut, Olt, and Bahlui river basins demonstrate how channelization exacerbates flood peaks and leads to severe biochemical degradation. Hydrogeological modeling of the Gherăești-Bacău wellfield reveals the vulnerabilities of over-extraction, while analysis of the Iași water network highlights the challenge of water losses in the aging infrastructure. In response, a modern, multi-tool approach is consolidated into a practical, three-stage framework for action: Diagnose, Prescribe, and Optimize. This framework advocates for (1) a comprehensive diagnosis using a suite of predictive numerical models (a “digital twin”); (2) the prescription of foundational, nature-based solutions, such as floodplain restoration, to heal core ecological functions; and (3) the continuous optimization of engineered infrastructure using smart, real-time control technologies. The synthesis concludes that an integrated, data-driven, and collaborative approach is the only sustainable path forward. Future research should focus on formally coupling these diagnostic models to create true Digital Twins of urban water systems—an essential step towards building resilient, water-secure cities for the 21st century. Full article

Urban flood resilience is an important indicator for measuring a city’s capacity to respond to and recover from flood disasters. However, existing assessments often lack a long-term hydrological baseline. This study establishes the historical water system of Yuan Dadu (1267–1368 CE) as a control scenario to benchmark the flood resilience of modern Beijing. By integrating a historical geographic reconstruction with a hydrological–hydrodynamic simulation and the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP), the research quantifies structural differences in resilience profiles between the nature-adapted historical system and the modern engineering-dominated system. The results indicate that Yuan Dadu’s urban flood resilience index (UFRI) is 3.44 and modern Beijing’s is 3.28. Despite modern Beijing’s significant advantage in drainage facility density (0.61 km/km²) and emergency management, the system exhibits a functional substitution failure, where gray infrastructure has failed to fully compensate for a 26% reduction in the unit area storage capacity (from 6.4 to 4.7 × 10⁴ m³/km²) and a 48.4% decline in the water system structural complexity. The findings indicate that, in rapidly urbanized cities on alluvial plains with high impervious coverage, expanding drainage networks alone may be insufficient to offset losses in a natural hydraulic buffering capacity. Accordingly, planning strategies are proposed that integrate distributed micro-storage and restore topological connectivity to recreate system-level hydraulic buffering functions. Full article

Active Channel Width (ACW) provides a robust indicator for tracking river corridor dynamics, yet automated extraction from multisensory imagery remains limited by spatial and temporal variability in spectral conditions. We developed and validated a workflow in Google Earth Engine (GEE) to delineate the active channel using multispectral indices derived from annual composite Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery. The indices include the Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (MNDWI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI). The 34 km study segment of the Lircay River (Chile) served as a demonstration site undergoing substantial geomorphic change over a 20-year period (2003–2023) that spanned a decade-long mega drought (2010–2023) and two major floods (2006, 2023). Multispectral index thresholds were calibrated using manually digitized active channel polygons for a reference year and validated for five different years within the study period to assess their spatial transferability across reaches and temporal stability under varying hydrologic regimes. Sentinel-2 annual composites with the MNDWI-EVI pairing achieved the highest overall accuracy in estimating ACW (mean Kling-Gupta Efficiency = 0.72; Percent Bias = 12.69 across study reaches). Threshold values were tested at the cross-sectional and reach scales. Using cross-section-specific thresholds enhanced the accuracy of ACW estimation, indicating that threshold performance is strongly conditioned by the local characteristics present in the immediate surroundings of each cross section. These results suggest that spectral threshold selection is sensitive to small scale factors that vary across the river corridor, underscoring the need to explicitly consider local geomorphic and ecological conditions when defining thresholds. This reproducible, open-source workflow links automated channel delineation with cross-section-based morphology and explicitly quantifies uncertainty from spatiotemporal spectral variability. It enables high-resolution, repeatable measurements of river corridor change and underscores the need to consider evolving spectral and vegetation conditions when interpreting remotely sensed geomorphic indicators. Full article

Rapid urbanization, environmental degradation and climate variability are intensifying the exposure of urban populations to multiple, interacting hazards in megacities. In India’s capital, Delhi, extreme heat, worsening air quality and flood-related stress overlap in impacted areas, exacerbated by high population density in low-lying zones and extensive built-up cover. This study develops an integrated spatial framework for assessing relative multi-hazard risk potential in Delhi by combining remote sensing, climate reanalysis, land use and demographic datasets into a predictive modeling system to support urban resilience planning. A comprehensive suite of twenty-two predictors representing thermal stress, air quality, surface indices, topography, hydrology, land use land cover (LULC), and demographic data was derived from diverse Earth observation sources. A cloud-native workflow leveraging Google Earth Engine (GEE) and Python 3 harmonized these predictors to train a Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) model with five-fold spatial cross-validation. Quantile regression was used to estimate lower (P10) and upper (P90) predictive bounds, which are interpreted here as empirical predictive intervals around the modeled risk surface rather than as a strict separation of different uncertainty types, while SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) decomposed the non-linear contributions of individual features. The model achieved predictive accuracy (R² = 0.98, MAE = 0.01), with residuals centered near zero and consistent performance across spatial folds, demonstrating strong generalizability. Road density (63.4%) and population density (25.9%) emerged as the primary predictors of the modeled risk surface, followed by building density and NO₂ concentration. Conversely, vegetation cover (NDVI) functioned as a critical mitigating buffer. Spatial risk maps identified persistent high-risk clusters in eastern and northeastern Delhi, coinciding with dense transport networks and industrial zones. The integrated P90 mapping framework provides spatially explicit and uncertainty-aware information on relative multi-hazard risk potential to guide targeted interventions, such as transport corridor mitigation and urban greening in Delhi and other rapidly urbanizing cities. Full article

Hurricanes have intensified and become more persistent under a changing climate, increasing the risk of infrastructure damage and property loss in coastal regions, threatening their sustainability. This study examines how hurricane intensity and persistence influence infrastructure loss, contributing to a more comprehensive understanding of climate-related risks. Using data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Storm Events Database from 1996 to 2024, we develop a series of machine learning models to predict property losses based on storm characteristics and contextual vulnerability factors. Narrative-based text analysis and time-series feature engineering were applied to extract meteorological and temporal attributes, while regression and ensemble models were used for predictive evaluation. Results show that storm intensity alone explains only a small portion of loss variance, with persistence influencing damage primarily through rainfall and hydrological effects. The findings highlight that vulnerability, exposure, and cumulative risk dynamics are essential for accurate long-term prediction and for assessing infrastructure sustainability. Overall, the study demonstrates that combining machine learning techniques with climate and vulnerability data can inform future research on infrastructure sustainability. The quantified vulnerability-versus-intensity breakdown presented here can support post-disaster resource allocation, insurance risk modeling, and the prioritization of infrastructure maintenance in hurricane-prone regions. Full article

The soil–water interface (SWI) represents a critical biogeochemical hotspot where steep physicochemical gradients across millimetre-to micrometre-scales create diverse ecological niches controlling nutrient cycling, carbon stabilisation, and contaminant transformation. This review synthesises emerging understanding of micro-scale microbial dynamics, biofilm architecture, and functional processes shaping SWI ecosystems. We examine redox stratification driving microbial community assembly, biofilm-mediated nutrient trapping and soil aggregate stabilisation, and dynamic drivers including hydrological fluctuations, viral lysis, and differential transport at gas–water versus solid–water interfaces. Advanced methodologies, microsensor profiling, cryo-sectioning, spatially resolved metatranscriptomics, and non-destructive imaging, now enable unprecedented resolution of SWI microhabitat chemistry and microbial organisation. Horizontal gene transfer within interface biofilms accelerates adaptive responses to environmental stressors. Integration of micro-scale observations into ecosystem-level models remains challenging but essential for predicting soil carbon sequestration, contaminant fate, and microbial resilience under climate change. Strategic SWI management through biofilm engineering and controlled redox manipulation offers novel pathways for sustainable agriculture and bioremediation, though it requires careful balance of multiple ecosystem functions. Full article

Vegetation Net Primary Productivity (NPP) is vital for assessing carbon cycles, particularly in arid regions where dynamics rely on water availability. This study investigates the mechanisms by which ecological water conveyance impacts NPP in the Aiding Lake Basin. Integrating Remote Sensing Hydrological Station technology with the Google Earth Engine platform and the CASA model, we analyzed the spatiotemporal feedback between water conveyance and NPP from 2016 to 2023. Results showed increasing runoff and significant variation in conveyance volumes, with the Baiyang River exhibiting the highest efficiency. Mean annual NPP displayed a significant declining trend, characterized by higher values upstream than downstream and in the west compared to the east. Ecological water conveyance positively enhanced regional vegetation productivity, demonstrating a significant positive correlation with NPP that was stronger at the annual scale. These findings provide a new framework for evaluating the benefits of ecological water conveyance, offering a theoretical basis for ecological conservation in Northwest China. Full article

Flood inundation mapping (FIM) is essential in disaster risk management, infrastructure planning, and climate adaptation. Traditional hydrodynamic models, such as the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) and LISFLOOD-Floodplain (LISFLOOD-FP), provide physically interpretable flood simulations but are often data- and computation-intensive and difficult to scale across regions. In recent years, machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) approaches have emerged as data-driven alternatives that leverage remote sensing observations, digital elevation models (DEMs), and hydro-climatic datasets to enable scalable and near-real-time flood mapping. Our review synthesizes recent advances in ML-based flood inundation mapping, categorizing methods into traditional machine learning techniques (e.g., Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Gradient Boosting (GB)), deep learning architectures (e.g., Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), U-Net, Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM)), and emerging hybrid and physics-informed frameworks. We evaluate model performance across flood extent and flood depth estimation tasks, highlighting strengths, limitations, and common benchmarking practices reported in the literature. The review identifies key challenges related to model interpretability, data bias, transferability, and regulatory acceptance, and highlights recent progress in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), uncertainty-aware modeling, and physics-informed learning as pathways toward operational adoption. By unifying terminology, performance metrics, and methodological comparisons, this review provides a coherent framework for advancing trustworthy, scalable, and decision-relevant flood inundation mapping under increasing climate-driven flood risk. Full article

Rapid land-cover transformations associated with urban expansion have increasingly altered hydrological processes, modifying runoff generation and flood response at the catchment scale. This study applied the Hydrologic Engineering Center–Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) to examine rainfall–runoff dynamics in the Prosna River catchment (Poland) and the Morava e Binçës River catchment (Kosovo) for 2006–2021. Land-use changes were quantified using CORINE Land Cover (CLC) data from 2006, 2012, and 2018, and their hydrological effects were evaluated through changes in the Curve Number (CN) parameter. The model was calibrated and validated for the Prosna catchment, achieving satisfactory performance (NSE = 0.72 during calibration and 0.56 during validation), confirming its reliability under varying hydrometeorological conditions. Due to the lack of continuous discharge data in Kosovo, a parameter-transfer approach was used, applying calibrated parameters from the Prosna to the Morava e Binçës. Scenario-based simulations assessed the combined effects of urban growth and meteorological variability. Under wetter conditions, increased precipitation and expanded impervious surfaces markedly amplified simulated discharge, with maximum daily differences reaching 86.9 m³ s⁻¹. These findings underscore the sensitivity of catchment response to interacting land-use and precipitation changes and highlight the need for improved hydrological monitoring in data-scarce regions. Full article

Regional flood frequency analysis (RFFA) is a cornerstone for estimating design floods at ungauged or data-scarce sites by pooling information within hydrologically homogeneous regions. This study proposes and evaluates a hybrid RFFA framework that integrates the Index-Flood (IF) technique with a bivariate logistic extreme-value model whose marginal distributions are formulated under both stationary and non-stationary assumptions. Non-stationarity is incorporated through a covariate-dependent location parameter, using time and large-scale climate indices—the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI)—as explanatory variables. The proposed approach is applied to two contrasting hydrological regions in Mexico—RH10 (Sinaloa) and RH23 (Chiapas Coast)—to assess its performance under differing climatic and hydrological regimes. Model adequacy and stability are evaluated using likelihood-based goodness-of-fit criteria (log-likelihood and Akaike Information Criterion) and a leave-one-out (jackknife) cross-validation scheme embedded within the IF regionalization workflow. Results indicate that non-stationary bivariate formulations dominate model selection at most stations and yield stable regional growth curves, providing robust and engineering-relevant performance under cross-validation. Overall, the proposed framework offers a conservative and operational pathway for regional flood quantile estimation that bridges local data scarcity and regional hydrological characterization in environments influenced by climate variability and long-term change. Full article

As Guangdong is a pivotal province in China’s national forest city initiative, examining the spatiotemporal evolution and key drivers of eco-environmental quality (EEQ) in Guangdong is essential for advancing regional sustainable development. To address the complexity of EEQ assessments in areas that are characterized by dense hydrological networks, extensive vegetation cover, and rapid urban expansion, the Google Earth Engine platform was utilized in this study, and remote sensing indices with heightened sensitivity to vegetation and moisture dynamics—namely, the kernel normalized difference vegetation index and the kernel normalized difference moisture index—were introduced to develop an improved water benefit-based ecological index (ImWBEI). Through an integrated analytical framework incorporating Theil–Sen trend analysis, Mann–Kendall significance testing, Hurst exponent analysis, an optimal parameter-based geographical detector, and a coupled coordination degree model, this research systematically evaluated the spatiotemporal patterns, future trends, driving mechanisms, and coordination with urbanization of the EEQ in Guangdong from 2000 to 2021. The results demonstrated that the ImWBEI enhanced the detailed characterization of complex underlying surfaces, such as urban built-up areas and land–water transition zones. Throughout the study period, the EEQ in Guangdong displayed a stable spatial distribution characterized by higher values in the north and lower values in the south. Concurrently, the EEQ significantly improved at a rate of 0.0092 per year. Hurst index analysis indicated that this trajectory would likely persist, with the future trend dominated by a pattern of weak persistent improvement. The comprehensive urbanization index was identified as the most critical factor influencing the spatial differentiation of the EEQ in Guangdong. Although notable north–south disparities were observed in the coordination between the EEQ and comprehensive urbanization, the provincial-level coupled coordination consistently improved. Consequently, this work yielded actionable insights and a replicable framework for ecological monitoring and coordinated development in similar water–forest integrated urban regions. It was particularly relevant for informing ecological restoration prioritization and development restriction decisions in critical land–water transition zones—areas where the ImWBEI demonstrated enhanced sensitivity. Full article

Urban wetlands, encompassing both natural and constructed ecosystems, are vital for urban resilience. Understanding how plant functional traits adapt to these distinct habitats is crucial for ecological management. This study investigates the intraspecific variation and trait covariation patterns of the common reed (Phragmites australis) in two contrasting urban wetland types in Ganzhou City: a stagnant, engineered constructed wetland and a dynamic, natural riverine wetland. This contrast represents a key gradient in hydrological regime and anthropogenic influence. We measured 22 morphological and chemical traits to assess trait differences, variability (coefficient of variation), and correlation patterns. Volcano plot analysis revealed significant habitat effects: reed in natural wetlands exhibited higher levels of Cu, P, N, and leaf moisture content (LMC), whereas those in constructed wetlands had higher Ca content. Traits such as Na, Mn, and Al showed high intraspecific variability. Correlation analyses revealed significant trade-offs and integrations among traits, such as positive correlations between LMC and nutrients (K, Cu), and negative correlations between Ca and key leaf morphological traits. Principal component analysis (PCA) further confirmed a significant separation along PC1, driven primarily by nutrient elements (Cu, P, K) and LMC, with natural wetlands scoring higher. In contrast, PC2, associated with leaf morphological traits (e.g., leaf area, leaf width), showed no significant inter-habitat difference. Our findings demonstrate that P. australis employs distinct ecological strategies by adjusting its functional traits and resource allocation in response to different urban wetland environments. This highlights the critical role of intraspecific trait variation in plant adaptation and has important implications for wetland restoration and the design of constructed ecosystems. Full article

Global climate change and spatiotemporal heterogeneity in water resources exacerbate supply-demand imbalances. Accurate outflow simulation for joint reservoir group operations thus becomes critical for scientific water resources management. Existing data-driven models like the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) lack the robust integration of physical constraints. Traditional mechanistic methods, by contrast, lack generality and stability under complex hydrological conditions. To address this limitation, we propose MDUPLEX-KG-LSTM—a physically constrained data-driven model for reservoir outflow simulation. The model incorporates multi-round DUPLEX (MDUPLEX) data partitioning, which ensures statistical homogeneity across training, validation, and test datasets. It also features a Knowledge-Guided (KG) loss function that embeds core physical constraints: water balance, dead water level, flood season restricted water level, and inter-reservoir re-regulation mechanisms. Additionally, it adopts an LSTM network optimized via Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for enhanced predictive performance. We validate the model using daily hydrological data from 2010 to 2025 for three reservoirs in the Wujiaqu Irrigation District of Xinjiang, China. The model exhibits exceptional stability and predictive accuracy across key evaluation metrics: Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) ≥ 0.82, Pearson correlation coefficient (r) > 0.94, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) ≤ 1.50 m³/s, and Water Balance Index (WBI) ≤ 0.016. It outperforms conventional data-driven and mechanistic models in extreme flow simulation scenarios. It also eliminates unphysical negative outflow values in all predictive results. The model achieves 100% compliance with flood control standards and an irrigation guarantee rate of no less than 86%. This study advances the development of physically constrained data-driven modeling for water resources engineering. It provides reliable methodological support for the intelligent operation of reservoir groups in smart water conservancy systems. The model also balances training cost and inference efficiency effectively. It demonstrates verified scalability for reservoir groups of varying scales, fully meeting the operational deployment requirements of smart water systems. Full article

Environmental degradation in Iraq is a critical issue that requires strong monitoring. One indication of land degradation is a decrease in or loss of vegetation cover. This study examines changes in vegetation and productivity in the Thi-Qar region from 2001 to 2022, using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and net primary production (NPP), and their response to climatic and hydrological factors. To address the gap in assessments that simultaneously quantify the influence of streamflow, rainfall, and temperature across distinct land cover classes in arid and semi-arid regions, we developed a replicable multi-source geospatial framework. We used MODIS data within the Google Earth Engine platform to perform spatiotemporal analysis. We applied models to detect NDVI trends on a pixel-by-pixel basis. This study provides the first integrated, data-driven assessment of vegetation sensitivity to streamflow versus climate in the Thi-Qar Governorate using a harmonized multi-source dataset. This combines the FAO WaPOR NPP dataset with hydrological (streamflow) and climatic (CHIRPS rainfall, MODIS LST) variables within an analytical workflow to extract anthropogenic water management from climatic drivers. The results showed variations in the NDVI and productivity in the southern and southwestern regions, indicating areas of both degradation and improvement. The analysis found that 12% of the study area showed improvement, while 56.5% of the area showed degradation. Additionally, we classified the study area as either vegetation (cropland) or non-vegetation (fallow arable land, bare areas, and sand dunes). A multiple regression model was then applied to these categories to examine the relationships between streamflow, precipitation, land surface temperature (LST), and the NDVI. The multiple regression for the entire region showed that these factors explained 45.1% of NDVI variation, with streamflow being the most significant positive driver (p < 0.001). The result showed that the NDVI in cropland and arable land was strongly positively correlated with both precipitation and streamflow (R = 0.78, R = 0.75). In contrast, bare land and dunes showed weaker relationships (R = 0.26 and 0.51, respectively). Of these factors, streamflow had the most significant influence in explaining vegetation change (partial correlation p = 0.53), indicating the importance of human management in addition to climate. Full article