Search Results (89)

Parabolic trough collector (PTC) systems, often deployed in arid regions, are vulnerable to dust accumulation (soiling), which reduces mirror reflectivity and energy output. This study presents a physically based soiling forecast algorithm (SFA) designed to estimate soiling levels. The model was calibrated and validated using three meteorological data sources—numerical forecasts (YR), METAR observations, and on-site measurements—from a PTC facility in Limassol, Cyprus. Field campaigns covered dry, rainy, and red-rain conditions. The model demonstrated robust performance, particularly under dry summer conditions, with normalized root mean square errors (NRMSE) below 1%. Sedimentation emerged as the dominant soiling mechanism, while the contributions of impaction and Brownian motion varied according to site-specific environmental conditions. Under dry deposition conditions, the reflectivity change rate during spring and autumn was approximately twice that of summer, indicating a need for more frequent cleaning during transitional seasons. A red-rain event resulted in a pronounced drop in reflectivity, showcasing the model’s ability to capture abrupt soiling dynamics associated with extreme weather episodes. The proposed SFA offers a practical, adaptable tool for reducing soiling-related losses and supporting seasonally adjusted maintenance strategies for solar thermal systems. Full article

Multiple monsoon systems impact autumn precipitation in West China; however, their synergistic influence is unknown. Here, we employed statistical analysis of Global Precipitation Climatology Project Version 3.2 precipitation data, European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ERA5 reanalysis data, and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project model data, and calculated four monsoon indices to analyze the features of the East Asian Monsoon, South Asian Monsoon, Asia Zonal Circulation, and Tibetan Plateau Monsoon, as well as their synergistic impacts on autumn precipitation in West China. The East Asian Monsoon negatively influences autumn precipitation in West China through closed high pressure over Northeast China. The South Asian Monsoon encloses West China between two areas of closed high pressure; strong high pressure to the north guides the abnormal transport of cold air in Northwest China, whereas strong western Pacific subtropical high pressure guides the transport of warm and wet air to West China, which is conducive to the formation of autumn precipitation in West China. During years of strong Asia Zonal Circulation, West China is controlled by an anomalous sinking airflow, which is not conducive to the occurrence of autumn rain. During strong Tibetan Plateau Monsoon, western and southwestern China are affected by plateau subsidence flow, resulting in less precipitation. Based on the CMIP6 model data, the study found that under the SSP5-8.5 emission scenario, the future trends of the four monsoon systems will show significant differences, and the amplitude of autumn and interannual precipitation oscillations in west China will increase. Full article

This study investigates the impact of rain-induced attenuation on cross-polarization discrimination (XPD) in Earth–space satellite links operating at millimeter-wave frequencies in Pretoria, South Africa. The traditional method of computing XPD employs a constant annual mean rain height and annual mean co-polar attenuation (CPA) over a certain location. This research utilized seasonal rain height data obtained from a recent study and the latest ITU-R P.618-14 guidelines, to compute and analyze XPD variations across six selected frequencies (11.7 GHz to 35 GHz) for different percentages of time exceedance in Pretoria. The study reveals significant seasonal dependencies of rain heights, with XPD reaching its maximum during winter due to lower rain height, and lower rain-induced attenuation and its minimum during summer, characterized by intense convective rainfall and maximum rain height. For instance, the estimated XPD for a 35 GHz signal at 0.01% of the time in the summer, spring, winter, and autumn are 13, 14, 15, and 14 dB, respectively. This implies that radio signals suffer severe attenuation caused by low XPD in the summer. The relationship between CPA and XPD highlights the need for increased XPD margins at higher frequencies to mitigate signal degradation caused by rain depolarization. Practical recommendations include the adoption of adaptive modulation and coding schemes to maintain link reliability during adverse weather conditions, particularly in summer. This research highlights the significance of incorporating frequency-dependent parameters and rain height variability in XPD estimation to enhance the design of satellite communication systems, ensuring optimized performance and reliable operation in a tropical climate. Full article

Seasonal variation information is very important information for reservoir operation and water resources management. Traditional flood season division relies primarily on statistical methods and does not consider the specific regional rainy patterns. This study used several statistical methods to divide the flood season for the Danjiangkou Reservoir basin in the upper Han River, and verified the results by considering the regional characteristics of the Meiyu and Autumn Rain in the Yangtze River basin. The whole flood season is finally divided into three periods: the summer flood season (20 June to 10 August), a transition period (11 August to 31 August), and the autumn flood season (1 September to 10 October). The Meiyu occurs mainly in June and July, which can produce large floods. The latest end date of the Meiyu is on 8 August, which signals a reduction of flood prevention pressure in the downstream Han River. After 10 August, the Danjiangkou Reservoir flood prevention storage can be released gradually. Autumn Rain occurs from late August to mid-September, and contributes significantly flow discharge, which is an opportunity for reservoir early refill operations. This study will provide a practical approach for flood seasonal division in other regions with seasonal rainfall characteristics. Full article

Satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) are essential for climate monitoring, especially in regions with sparse observational data. This study compares the performance of the latest version (V07B) and its predecessor (V06B) of the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) across South America and the adjacent oceans. It focuses on evaluating their accuracy under different precipitation regimes in Brazil using 22 years of IMERG Final data (2000–2021), aggregated into seasonal totals (summer, autumn, winter, and spring). The observations used for the evaluation were organized into 0.1° × 0.1° grid points to match IMERG’s spatial resolution. The analysis was restricted to grid points containing at least one rain gauge, and in cases where multiple gauges were present within a grid point the average value was used. The evaluation metrics included the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and categorical indices. The results reveal that while both versions effectively capture major precipitation systems such as the mesoscale convective system (MCS), South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ), and Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), significant discrepancies emerge in high-rainfall areas, particularly over oceans and tropical zones. Over the continent, however, these discrepancies are reduced due to the correction of observations in the final version of IMERG. A comprehensive analysis of the RMSE across Brazil, both as a whole and within the five analyzed regions, without differentiating precipitation classes, demonstrates that version V07B effectively reduces errors compared to version V06B. The analysis of statistical indices across Brazil’s five regions highlights distinct performance patterns between IMERG versions V06B and V07B, driven by regional and seasonal precipitation characteristics. V07B demonstrates a superior performance, particularly in regions with intense rainfall (R1, R2, and R5), showing a reduced RMSE and improved categorical indices. These advancements are linked to V07B’s reduced overestimation in cold-top cloud regions, although both versions consistently overestimate at rain/no-rain thresholds and for light rainfall. However, in regions prone to underestimation, such as the interior of the Northeastern region (R3) during winter, and the northeastern coast (R4) during winter and spring, V07B exacerbates these issues, highlighting challenges in accurately estimating precipitation from warm-top cloud systems. This study concludes that while V07B exhibits notable advancements, further enhancements are needed to improve accuracy in underperforming regions, specifically those influenced by warm-cloud precipitation systems. Full article

The Gobi Desert is one of the harsh terrestrial ecosystems distributed on the Mongolian Plateau and northwest China. Water is the key restricting environmental factor for the Gobi Desert plants’ growth. Exploring the annual dynamic of water sources for the vulnerable plants in the Gobi Desert helps to understand their adaptation to the arid climate and is fundamental for their conservation, e.g., the vulnerable plant Ammopiptanthus mongolicus (Maxim. ex Kom.) S. H. Cheng. The water source of the dominant and companion shrubs in a Gobi Desert A. mongolicus community was determined by comparing the δD and δ¹⁸O values of their xylem water and different layers of soil water using the MixSIAR model from spring to autumn over two years. The results showed that A. mongolicus mainly utilized 50–150 cm of middle and deep soil water. However, it also used 10 or 25 cm of surface soil water after heavy rains in the early spring and moderate rains in the autumn of 2021 and after heavy rains in the summer of 2022. Three companion shrubs (Nitraria sphaerocarpa Maxim, Caragana korshinskii Kom, and Convolvulus tragacanthoides Turcz.) had similar main water sources, competing for relatively reliable deep soil water with the dominant A. mongolicus during droughts in 2021 and 2022. Moreover, A. mongolicus utilized more deep soil water in 2021 with less rain. However, C. tragacanthoides used more shallow soil water during the growing season of 2022 with more rain. Therefore, four xerophytic shrubs in the A. mongolicus community utilized soil water in different layers based on their ability to adapt to the annual fluctuation of rain in the Gobi Desert. Full article

The devastating effects of rain-induced attenuation on communication links operating above 10 GHz during rainy events can significantly degrade signal quality, leading to interruptions in service and reduced data throughput. Understanding the spatial and seasonal distribution of rain heights is crucial for predicting these attenuation effects and for network performance optimization. This study utilized ten years of atmospheric temperature and geopotential height data at seven pressure levels (1000, 850, 700, 500, 300, 200, and 100 hPa) obtained from the Copernicus Climate Data Store (CDS) to deduce rain heights across nine stations in South Africa. The kernel density estimation (KDE) method was applied to estimate the temporal variation of rain height. A comparison of the measured and estimated rain heights shows a correlation coefficient of 0.997 with a maximum percentage difference of 5.3%. The results show that rain height ranges from a minimum of 3.5 km during winter in Cape Town to a maximum of about 5.27 km during the summer in Polokwane. The spatial variation shows a location-dependent seasonal trend, with peak rain heights prevailing at the low-latitude stations. The seasonal variability indicates that higher rain heights dominate in the regions (Polokwane, Pretoria, Nelspruit, Mahikeng) where there is frequent occurrence of rainfall during the winter season and vice versa. Contour maps of rain heights over the four seasons (autumn, spring, winter, and summer) were also developed for South Africa. The estimated seasonal rain heights show that rain-induced attenuations were grossly underestimated by the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) recommended rain heights at most of the stations during autumn, spring, and summer but fairly overestimated during winter. Durban had a peak attenuation of 15.9 dB during the summer, while Upington recorded the smallest attenuation of about 7.7 dB during winter at a 0.01% time exceedance. Future system planning and adjustments of existing infrastructure in the study stations could be improved by integrating these localized, seasonal radio propagation data in link budget design. Full article

The meteorology of cutoff lows over South Africa is characterized by statistical analysis of daily field data in the period 1970–2023. An index is formulated by subtracting 500 hPa geopotential height in the mid-latitudes from the subtropics. Cutoff lows (COL) are identified by positive values, mostly in autumn and spring. Statistics indicate that climate forcing is seasonal: La Nina/El Nino favors COL in March–May/September–November. Hemispheric regressions reveal anomalous highs across the southern mid-latitudes when COL are frequent over South Africa. A 14-case composite was formed from the most intense daily COL events in autumn and spring. The composite shows a NW- tilted Rossby wave and jet stream loop around the COL. Maritime easterlies induce a warm east—cool west SST pattern, but composite moist inflows are shallow, so stormy weather hugs the coastal plains. Overturning circulations meet in an upper-level “saddle” over South Africa. 500 hPa sinking motions to the Southwest are of similar strength to rising motions to the Northeast. A COL case study exhibited hourly rain rates >10 mm at Port Alfred 18–20 October 2012 fed by tropical inflow. New insights emerged from this study via composite height sections over South Africa. Full article

The accuracy of ERA5 reanalysis datasets and their applicability in the coastal area of Bohai Bay are crucial for weather forecasting and environmental protection research. However, synthesis evaluation of ERA5 in this region remains lacking. In this study, using a tropospheric wind profile radar (CFL-06L) placed in coastal Huanghua city, the deviations of ERA5 reanalysis data are assessed from the ground to an altitude of 5 km. The results indicate that the wind speed of ERA5 reanalysis data exhibits good consistency from the surface to the tropospheric level of about 5 km, with R² values ranging from 0.5 to 0.85. The lowest mean wind speed error, less than 3 m/s, occurs in the middle layer, while larger errors are observed at the surface and upper layers. Specifically, at 150 m, the R² is as low as 0.5, with numerous outliers around 5000 m. Seasonal analysis shows that the ERA5 wind field performs best in summer and worst in autumn and winter, especially at lower levels affected by circulation systems, high stratus clouds, and aerosols, with errors reaching up to 10 m/s. Further analysis of extreme weather events, such as heavy rain; hot, dry winds; and snowstorms, reveals that the effects of sea-land winds and strong convective systems significantly impact the observation of wind profiles and the assimilation of reanalysis data, particularly under the constrain of boundary layer height. Additionally, we also find that the transition of sea-land breeze is capable of triggering the nighttime low-level jet, thereby downward transporting the aloft ozone to the ground and resulting in an abnormal increase in the surface ozone concentration. The study provides a scientific basis for improving meteorological forecasting, optimizing wind energy resource utilization, and formulating environmental protection policies, highlighting its significant scientific and practical application value. Full article

Water ecological problems involve flood, drought, water pollution, destruction of water habitat and the tense relationship between humans and water. Water ecological problems are the main problems in the development of countries all over the world. In terms of ecological protection, China has put forward the ecological red line policy. Water ecology is an important component of the ecosystem, and the delineation of the water ecological red line is an important basis for ecological protection. Based on ecosystem services, this paper tries to determine the red line of the water ecology space and tries to solve various water problems comprehensively. Based on the ecosystem services accounting method, the SWAT (soil and water assessment tool) model was used to simulate the spatial–temporal dynamic quantities of water purification and rainwater infiltration services in the upper reaches of the Hanjiang River. The basin was divided into 106 sub-basins and 1790 HRUs (hydrological response units). Water quality data taken from 8 sites were used to verify the simulation results, and the verification results have high reliability. The grid scale spatialization of water quality and rainwater infiltration is realized based on HRU. The seasonal characteristics of hydrological regulation and control services were analyzed, the red line of hydrological regulation and control in the upper reaches of the Hanjiang River was defined, and the dynamic characteristics of water ecological red line were analyzed. According to the research results, the water ecological protection strategy of the basin is proposed. The prevention and control of water pollution should be emphasized in spring and summer, the prevention and control of rain flood infiltration in autumn and winter, and the normal monitoring and management should be adopted in the regulation and storage. The results of this study can provide scientific reference for water resources management and conservation policy making. Full article

High-resolution and accurate precipitation data are essential for hydrological, meteorological, and ecological research at the watershed scale. However, in regions with complex terrain and significant rainfall variability, the limited number of rain gauge stations (RGS) is insufficient, and the spatial resolution of existing satellite precipitation data is too low to capture detailed precipitation patterns at the watershed scale. To address this issue, the downscaling of satellite precipitation products has become an effective method to obtain high-resolution precipitation data. This study proposes a monthly downscaling method based on a random forest model, aiming to improve the resolution of precipitation data in cloudy and rainy regions at mid-to-low latitudes. We combined the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform with a local Python environment, introducing cloud cover characteristics into traditional downscaling variables (latitude, longitude, topography, and vegetation index). The TRMM data were downscaled from 25 km to 1 km, generating high-resolution monthly precipitation data for the Dongting Lake Basin from 2001 to 2019. Furthermore, we analyzed the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of precipitation in the study area. The results show the following: (1) In cloudy and rainy regions, our method improves resolution and detail while maintaining the accuracy of precipitation data; (2) The response of monthly precipitation to environmental variables varies, with cloud cover characteristics contributing more to the downscaling model than vegetation characteristics, helping to overcome the lag effect of vegetation characteristics; and (3) Over the past 20 years, there have been significant seasonal trends in precipitation changes in the study area, with a decreasing trend in winter and spring (January–May) and an increasing trend in summer and autumn (June–December). These results indicate that the proposed method is suitable for downscaling monthly precipitation data in cloudy and rainy regions of the Dongting Lake Basin. Full article

Microplastics (MPs) are increasingly becoming recognized as worldwide environmental contaminants, exerting a substantial impact on the safety of city rivers. This study explored the temporal variance in MPs in different rainfall seasons, including spring, plum, and autumn rains. The Qinhuai River has large spatial fluctuations in MPs at six sampling sites, with an average concentration of 466.62 ± 153.69 items/L, and higher MP abundance was found downstream of spring rain and upstream of autumn rain. Among the different rainfall seasons, the variations in microplastics at various sampling sites were more stable in the plum rain season, with an average concentration of 473.67 ± 105.17 items/L, while the concentrations of TP and TN in the plum rain season were higher than those in other rain seasons. Transparent MPs had the highest abundance at many sampling sites in all seasons, and large-sized MPs (270–5000 μm) occurred more in the autumn rain season. PVC was more prevalent in autumn, but PET decreased in the plum rain season. Interestingly, more fibers, PET, and large-sized MPs were found in the autumn rain. The index of hazard scores of plastic polymers ($H$) revealed that the studied river was at a severe pollution level (IV), which was highly influenced by PVC and PC. In addition, the pollution load index ($PLI$) value in different rain seasons indicated slight pollution (I). At the same time, it was higher in autumn rains than in other seasons due to the higher variance in MPs. Therefore, the ecological risk of microplastics in the Qinhuai River should be seriously considered, along with seasonal variance and the PVC and PC polymers. Our research is expected to provide valuable assistance in improving the management of urban rivers. Full article

Energy production using hydropower has a 150-year history in Norway. High mountains, lots of rain, and a well-developed technology laid the foundation for low and stable electricity prices. The Norwegian electricity market is unique and different from any other country. Nearly all electricity produced (98.3 percent) comes from renewable energy sources and 75 percent of the energy used for heating is electricity. From autumn 2020, major changes have been observed in the electricity market in Norway. In 2021, Norway opened two transmission cables, one to Germany and one to England. Both cables have a capacity of 1400 MW. The average price per MWh was NOK 263 in southern Norway in the period 2013–2020, which more than quadrupled to NOK 1192 per MWh in the period 2021–2023. We have investigated how the market reacted to the large price increase. We found that price elasticity is low even when the price is very high. It is the temperature that controls the consumption. When it is cold—below zero degrees Celcius—the temperature elasticity is close to zero; the temperature elasticity is not constant. When the temperature is above zero, the temperature elasticity is about −0.7. Price variations or changes in wind speed only lead to minor adjustments in electricity consumption. It is the variations in temperature that result in the observable fluctuations in electricity consumption. Since Norway exports electricity to Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Germany, the Netherlands, and England, knowledge of the Norwegian electricity market is relevant for many market participants. The Norwegian electricity market differs from those in other countries. Therefore, there is a risk that conclusions drawn about the Norwegian electricity market based on research conducted in other countries may be incorrect or inaccurate. Our contribution with this case study is to deepen the knowledge of how the electricity market in Norway operates. Full article

The study of long precipitation series constitutes an important issue in climate research and risk assessment. However, long datasets are affected by inhomogeneities that can lead to biased results. A frequent but sometimes underestimated problem is the definition of the climatological day. The choice of different starting times may lead to inhomogeneity within the same station and misalignment with other stations. In this work, the problem of temporal misalignment between precipitation datasets characterized by different starting times of the observation day is analyzed. The most widely used adjustment methods (1 day and uniform shift) and two new methods based on reanalysis (NOAA and ERA5) are evaluated in terms of temporal alignment, precipitation statistics, and percentile distributions. As test series, the hourly precipitation series of Padua and nearby stations in the period of 1993–2022 are selected. The results show that the reanalysis-based methods, in particular ERA5, outperform the others in temporal alignment, regardless of the station. But, for the periods in which reanalysis data are not available, 1-day and uniform shift methods can be considered viable alternatives. On the other hand, the reanalysis-based methods are not always the best option in terms of precipitation statistics, as they increase the precipitation frequency and reduce the mean value over wet days, NOAA much more than ERA5. The use of the series of a station near the target one, which is mandatory in case of missing data, can sometimes give comparable or even better results than any adjustment method. For the Padua series, the analysis is repeated at monthly and seasonal resolutions. In the tested series, the adjustment methods do not provide good results in summer and autumn, the two seasons mainly affected by heavy rains in Padua. Finally, the percentile distribution indicates that any adjustment method underestimates the percentile values, except ERA5, and that only the nearby station most correlated with Padua gives results comparable to ERA5. Full article

As a non-precipitation water source, dew is important for plant and animal survival and crop production in arid and water-scarce areas. This study assessed the amount of dew in a dry zone in a long-term (2016 to 2022) field observation experiment at the Ansai Experimental Station, a typical loess hilly area in China. Dew primarily occurred in summer and autumn, with a frequency of >50%. The average annual dew amount was 29.20 mm, with an average annual rainfall of 641.8 mm. The average annual dew-to-rain ratio was 4.58%, and the average annual number of dew days was 143.6 d/a. The surface soil moisture content increased by approximately 1.02% with increasing dew amounts. The change in the soil moisture at a 5 cm depth was 0.14% on average and lagged substantially by 1 h. Using the Beysens model, the annual estimated and measured dew amounts in 2022 were 25.27 and 29.84 mm, respectively, and the annual normalized root mean square deviation (NRMSD) was 0.17. Thus, the Beysens model evaluated the dew amount in the study area well at the monthly and annual scales. The quantification of dew resources can provide support for the development, utilization, and management of limited water resources in arid areas, promoting more accurate decision-making for the sustainable development of water resources in the future. Full article