Search Results (22)

Land use and land cover change constitute a significant driver of land degradation worldwide, and machine-learning algorithms are providing new opportunities for effectively classifying land use and land cover changes over time. The aims of this study are threefold: Firstly, we aim to compare the accuracies of the parametric classifier Naïve Bayes with the non-parametric classifier Extreme Gradient Boosting Random Forest algorithm on the 2020 LULC dataset. Secondly, we quantify land use and land cover changes in the Cradle of Humankind from 1990 to 2020 using the Extreme Gradient Boosting Random Forest algorithm and post-classification change detection. Thirdly, the study uses landscape metrics to examine landscape structural changes occurring in the same area due to fragmentation. The classification results show that while Naïve Bayers and XGB Random Forest produce classification results of high accuracy, the XGB Random Forest Classifier produced superior results compared to the Naïve Bayers Classifier. From 1990 to 2020, bare ground/rock outcrop significantly increased by 39%, and open bush by 32%. Indigenous forests and natural grasslands lost area (26% and 12%, respectively). The results from this study indicate increasing land cover fragmentation and attest to land degradation, as shown by increases in bare ground and a reduction in indigenous forest and natural grassland. The decline in indigenous forests and natural grassland indicates the degradation of native vegetation, considered as prehistoric plant food sources. The high classification results also attest to the efficacy of the XGBRFClassifier executed in GEE. Land degradation evident in the nature reserve has long-term ecological consequences, such as loss of habitat, biodiversity decline, soil erosion, and alteration of local ecosystems, which together diminish the aesthetic value of the heritage site and negatively impact its tourism value. Consequently, it destroys crucial local economies and threatens sustainable tourism. Full article

Geospatial technologies have become an essential component of archaeological research, aiding in the identification, mapping, and analysis of archaeological sites. Several journals have published existing narratives on the development and impact of geospatial technologies in the study of archaeology and cultural heritage. However, this has not been supported by a systematic review of articles and papers, where meticulously collected evidence is methodically analysed. This article systematically reviews the trends in the use of geospatial technologies in archaeology and cultural heritage through the search for keywords or terms associated with geospatial technologies used in the two fields on the Scopus database from 1990 to 2022. Bibliometric analysis using the Scopus Analyze tool and analysis of bibliometric networks using VOSviewer visualisations reveals how modern archaeological studies are now a significant discipline of spatial sciences and how the discipline enjoys the tools of geomatic engineering for establishing temporal and spatial controls on the material being studied and observing patterns in the archaeological records. The key concepts or themes or distinct knowledge domains that shape research in the use of geospatial technologies in archaeology and cultural heritage, according to the Scopus database (1990–2022), are cultural heritage, archaeology, geographic information systems, remote sensing, virtual reality, and spatial analysis. Augmented reality, 3D scanning, 3D modelling, 3D reconstruction, lidar, digital elevation modelling, artificial intelligence, spatiotemporal analysis, ground penetrating radar, optical radar, aerial photography, and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are some of the geospatial technology tools and research themes that are less explored or less interconnected concepts that have potential gaps in research or underexplored topics that might be worth investigating in archaeology and cultural heritage. Full article

Research on the detection of informal settlements has increased in the past three decades owing to the availability of high- to very-high-spatial-resolution satellite imagery. The achievement of development goals, such as the Sustainable Development Goals, requires access to up-to-date information on informal settlements. This review provides an overview of studies that used object-based image analysis (OBIA) techniques to detect informal settlements using remotely sensed data. This paper focuses on three main aspects: image processing steps followed when detecting informal settlements using OBIA; informal settlement indicators and image-based proxies used to detect informal settlements; and a review of studies that extracted and analyzed informal settlement land use objects. The success of OBIA in detecting informal settlements depends on the understanding and selection of informal settlement indicators and image-based proxies used during image classification. To meet the local ontology of informal settlements, the transfer of OBIA mapping techniques requires the fine-tuning of the rulesets. Machine learning OBIA techniques using image proxies derived from multiple sensors increase the opportunities for detecting informal settlements on the city or national level. Full article

South Africa has committed to reducing its greenhouse emissions by sixty-five percent by 2030 in their National Integrated Energy Plan (NEIP). The lack of investment and development for renewable energy sources put the country on an uncertain trajectory in fulfilling its 2030 energy commitments. At the same time, the country has been labeled as a region with one of the highest solar energy potentials. Provinces such as Mpumalanga and Northern Cape are on opposite ends of the matter, with Northern Cape is one of the leading provinces for renewal energy, while the Mpumalanga province remains the host to eighty-five per cent of the country’s coal plants. Solar energy is an abundant renewable energy source and can be assessed using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) techniques. In this paper, the geostatistical technique, Kriging, is employed to predict, estimate, and compare the regional distribution, potential, and variability of annual optimum solar energy (irradiance) between the Mpumalanga Province and Northern Cape Province. Spot-based radiation data are available for solar energy analyses from the GIS Web-based tool Photovoltaic Geographical Information Systems (PVGIS). Kriging was used to estimate the spatial variability of solar energy at an average error of 1.98505% for the Northern Cape Province and 2.32625% for the Mpumalanga Province. It was identified that the Northern Cape receives the highest annual optimum irradiation and has a low overall spatial variation in irradiation over its provincial area. Mpumalanga receives lesser amounts of irradiation but has high overall spatial variation over its provincial area. Most of Northern Cape’s central to northwestern regions have the highest annual optimum irradiation ranging from 2583 kWh/m² to 2638 kWh/m², while Mpumalanga’s highest regions of annual irradiation occur primarily on its western and northwestern parts and ranges in highs of 2345 kWh/m² to 2583 kWh/m². Full article

Urban informality in developing economies like South Africa takes two forms: freestanding shacks are built in informal settlements, and backyard shacks are built in the yard of a formal house. The latter is evident in established townships around South African cities. In contrast to freestanding shacks, the number of backyard shacks has increased significantly in recent years. The study assessed the spatial patterns of backyard shacks in a formal settlement containing low-cost government houses (LCHs) using Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) products and landscape metrics. The backyard shacks were mapped using Object-Based Image Analysis (OBIA), which uses height information, vegetation index, and radiometric values. We assessed the effectiveness of rule-based and Random Forest (RF) OBIA techniques in detecting formal and informal structures. Informal structures were further classified as backyard shacks using spatial analysis. The spatial patterns of backyard shacks were assessed using eight shapes, aggregation, and landscape metrics. The analysis of the shape metrics shows that the backyard shacks are primarily square, as confirmed by a higher shape index value and a lower fractional dimension index value. The contiguity index of backyard shack patches is 0.6. The values of the shape metrics of backyard shacks were almost the same as those of formal and informal dwelling structures. The values of the assessed aggregation metrics of backyard shacks were more distinct from formal and informal structures compared with the shape metrics. The aggregation metrics show that the backyard shacks are less connected, less dense, and more isolated from each other compared with formal and freestanding shacks. The Shannon’s Diversity Index and Simpson’s Evenness Index values of informal settlements and formal areas with backyard shacks are almost the same. The results achieved in this study can be used to understand and manage informality in formal settlements. Full article

The change in land-use diversity is attributed to the anthropogenic factors sustaining life. The surface water bodies and other crucial natural resources in the study area are being depleted at an alarming rate. This study explored the implications of the changing land-use diversity on surface water resources by using a random forest (RF) classifier machine-learning algorithm and remote-sensing models in Gauteng Province, South Africa. Landsat datasets from 1993 to 2022 were used and processed in the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, using the RF classifier. The results indicate nine land-use diversity classes having increased and decreased tendencies, with high F-score values ranging from 72.3% to 100%. In GP, the spatial coverage of BL has shrunk by 100.4 km² every year over the past three decades. Similarly, BuA exhibits an annual decreasing rate of 42.4 km² due to the effect of dense vegetation coverage within the same land use type. Meanwhile, water bodies, marine quarries, arable lands, grasslands, shrublands, dense forests, and wetlands were expanded annually by 1.3, 2.3, 2.9, 5.6, 11.2, 29.6, and 89.5 km², respectively. The surface water content level of the study area has been poor throughout the study years. The MNDWI and NDWI values have a stronger Pearson correlation at a radius of 5 km (r = 0.60, p = 0.000, n = 87,260) than at 10 and 15 km. This research is essential to improve current land-use planning and surface water management techniques to reduce the environmental impacts of land-use change. Full article

To manage urban ecological ecosystems adequately, understanding the urban areas’ biophysical characteristics is required. This study developed a settlement surface ecological index (SSEI) using tree, soil, impervious surface and grass covers, land surface temperature (LST), and soil moisture derived from Satellite Pour L’Observation de la Terre (SPOT) 7 and Landsat 8 satellite images. The assessment of the SSEI was conducted over twelve sites of 300 m by 300 m. The selected sites contained formal and informal settlements of varying building densities. The SSEI values ranged from −0.3 to 0.54. Seven assessed areas are in the worst ecological condition with an SSEI below zero. Only three settlement types had an SSEI index value of 0.2 and above, and two of these areas were informal settlements. The formal low-density settlement with higher tree coverage displayed the highest index value of 0.54, slightly higher than the medium-density informal settlement. Overall, there is no significant difference in the SSEI values between the surface ecological condition of formal and informal settlements. The results achieved in this study can be used to understand urban ecology better and develop urban greening strategies at a city or settlement level. Full article

This research report investigated the impacts of the COVID-19 lockdown restrictions on CO, SO₂, and NO₂ trends in Durban from 2019 to 2021. The COVID-19 lockdown restrictions proved to decrease greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions globally; however, the decrease in GHG emissions was for a short period only. Space-borne technology has been used by researchers to understand the spatial and temporal trends of GHGs. This study used Sentinel-5P to map the spatial distribution of CO, SO₂, and NO₂. Use was also made of the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS), Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2), and the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) to understand the temporal trends of CO, SO₂, and NO₂, respectively. To validate the results of this study, we used the Sequential Mann–Kendall (SQMK) test. This study indicated that there were no significant changes in all the investigated gases. Therefore, this study failed to reject the null hypothesis of the SQMK test that there was no significant trend for all investigated gasses. Increasing trends were observed for CO, SO₂, and NO₂ trends during winter months throughout the study period, whereas a decreasing trend was observed in all investigated gases during the spring months. This shows that meteorological factors play a significant role in the accumulation of air pollutants in the atmosphere. Most importantly, this study has noted that there was an inverse relationship between the trends of all investigated gases and the COVID-19 lockdown restrictions. Full article

Land use and land cover change (LULCC) is the result of both natural and socio-economic determinants. The aim of this study was to model the determinant factors of land cover changes in Raya Valley, Southern Tigray, Ethiopia. Multistage sampling was used to collect data from 246 households sampled from lowlands (47), midlands (104), highlands (93), and sub-alpine (2) agro-climatological zone. Descriptive statistics and logit regression model were used to analyze the field survey data. Agricultural land expansion, fuelwood extraction, deforestation, overgrazing and expansion of infrastructure were the proximate causes of LULCC in the study area. Agricultural land expansion (p = 0.084) and wood extraction for fuel and charcoal production (p = 0.01) were the prominent causes for LULCC. Persistent drought (p = 0.001), rapid population growth (p = 0.027), and climate variability (p = 0.013) were the underlying driving factors of LULCC. The determinants of LULCC need to be considered and mitigated to draw robust land use policy for sustainable land management by the smallholder farmers. This study provides important results for designing and implementing scientific land management strategies by policy makers and land managers. Full article

El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a significant climate phenomenon on Earth due to its ability to change the global atmospheric circulation which influences temperature and precipitation across the globe. In this study, we investigate the responses of climatic and vegetation parameters due to two strong ENSO phases, i.e., La Niña (2010/2011) and El Niño (2015/2016) in South Africa. The study aims to understand the influence of strong seasonal ENSO events on climatic and vegetation parameters over South Africa. Remote sensing data from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM), Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) and Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) was used. The relationship between precipitation, temperature, and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) were studied using Pearson’s correlation. Comparison between the La Niña, neutral year, and El Niño periods showed two interesting results: (1) higher precipitation from the south coast to the east coast of South Africa, with some low precipitation in the interior during the La Niña and El Niño periods, and (2) a drop in precipitation by ~46.6% was observed in the southwestern parts of South Africa during the La Niña and El Niño events. The study further showed that wind speed and wind direction were not impacted by strong ENSO events during the MAM, JJA and SON seasons, but the DJF season showed varying wind speeds, especially on the west coast, during both ENSO events. Overall, the Pearson’s correlation results clearly showed that the relationship between climatic parameters such as precipitation, temperature, and vegetation parameters such a NDVI is highly correlated while other parameters, such as wind speed and direction, are not. This study has provided new insights into the relationship between temperature, precipitation, and NDVI in South Africa; however, future work will include other climatic and vegetation parameters such as relative humidity and net longwave radiation. Full article

The current study aimed to determine the spatial transferability of eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) models for estimating biophysical and biochemical variables (BVs), using Sentinel-2 data. The specific objectives were to: (1) assess the effect of different proportions of training samples (i.e., 25%, 50%, and 75%) available at the Target site (${\mathcal{D}}_T$) on the spatial transferability of the XGBoost models and (2) evaluate the effect of the Source site (${\mathcal{D}}_S$) (i.e., trained) model accuracy on the Target site (i.e., unseen) retrieval uncertainty. The results showed that the Bothaville (${\mathcal{D}}_S$) → Harrismith (${\mathcal{D}}_T$) Leaf Area Index (LAI) models required only fewer proportions, i.e., 25% or 50%, of the training samples to make optimal retrievals in the ${\mathcal{D}}_T$ (i.e., RMSE: 0.61 m² m⁻²; R²: 59%), while Harrismith (${\mathcal{D}}_S$) →Bothaville (${\mathcal{D}}_T$) LAI models required up to 75% of training samples in the ${\mathcal{D}}_T$ to obtain optimal LAI retrievals (i.e., RMSE = 0.63 m² m⁻²; R² = 67%). In contrast, the chlorophyll content models for Bothaville (${\mathcal{D}}_S$) → Harrismith (${\mathcal{D}}_T$) required significant proportions of samples (i.e., 75%) from the ${\mathcal{D}}_T$ to make optimal retrievals of Leaf Chlorophyll Content (LC_ab) (i.e., RMSE: 7.09 µg cm⁻²; R²: 58%) and Canopy Chlorophyll Content (CCC) (i.e., RMSE: 36.3 µg cm⁻²; R²: 61%), while Harrismith (${\mathcal{D}}_S$) →Bothaville (${\mathcal{D}}_T$) models required only 25% of the samples to achieve RMSEs of 8.16 µg cm⁻² (R²: 83%) and 40.25 µg cm⁻² (R²: 77%), for LC_ab and CCC, respectively. The results also showed that the source site model accuracy led to better transferability for LAI retrievals. In contrast, the accuracy of LC_ab and CCC source site models did not necessarily improve their transferability. Overall, the results elucidate the potential of transferable Machine Learning Regression Algorithms and are significant for the rapid retrieval of important crop BVs in data-scarce areas, thus facilitating spatially-explicit information for site-specific farm management. Full article

Methane (CH₄) is the second most important greenhouse gas (GHG) in terms of its concentration and impact on the climate. In the present study, we investigate the trends, sources and distribution of CH4 in South Africa. The study uses satellite datasets from Sentinel-5P and the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS). The study also uses credible datasets from the World Bank, Statistics South Africa and the Global Methane Initiative (GMI). The results show an increasing trend of CH₄ from 1970–1989. A turning point is observed in 1989, where a decreasing trend is observed from 1989–2001. An increasing trend is then observed from 2001 to 2021. A high concentration of CH₄ is observed in the northern and interior parts of South Africa. The results also show that CH₄ concentration is influenced by seasonal variations. The September–October–November (SON) season has the highest CH₄ concentration distribution in South Africa. The World Bank, Statistics South Africa and the GMI CH₄ indictors show that agricultural activities, i.e., involving livestock, are the greatest emitters of CH₄ in South Africa, followed by landfill sites. From the livestock data, sheep are the highest emitters of CH₄. The increasing CH₄ trend is a concern and efforts need to be made to drastically reduce emissions, if South Africa is to meet the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, 2015 Paris Agreement, sustainable development goal 13 (SDG 13) and the COP26 outcome agreements. Full article

Global food security is critical to eliminating hunger and malnutrition. In the changing climate, farmers in developing countries must adopt technologies and farming practices such as precision agriculture (PA). PA-based approaches enable farmers to cope with frequent and intensified droughts and heatwaves, optimising yields, increasing efficiencies, and reducing operational costs. Biophysical parameters such as Leaf Area Index (LAI), Leaf Chlorophyll Content (LC_ab), and Canopy Chlorophyll Content (CCC) are essential for characterising field-level spatial variability and thus are necessary for enabling variable rate application technologies, precision irrigation, and crop monitoring. Moreover, robust machine learning algorithms offer prospects for improving the estimation of biophysical parameters due to their capability to deal with non-linear data, small samples, and noisy variables. This study compared the predictive performance of sparse Partial Least Squares (sPLS), Random Forest (RF), and Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) for estimating LAI, LC_ab, and CCC with Sentinel-2 imagery in Bothaville, South Africa and identified, using variable importance measures, the most influential bands for estimating crop biophysical parameters. The results showed that RF was superior in estimating all three biophysical parameters, followed by GBM which was better in estimating LAI and CCC, but not LC_ab, where sPLS was relatively better. Since all biophysical parameters could be achieved with RF, it can be considered a good contender for operationalisation. Overall, the findings in this study are significant for future biophysical product development using RF to reduce reliance on many algorithms for specific parameters, thus facilitating the rapid extraction of actionable information to support PA and crop monitoring activities. Full article

There are two methods of harvesting sugarcane—manual or mechanical. Manual harvesting requires the burning of the standing sugarcane crop. Burning of the crop results in the emission of aerosols and harmful trace gases into the atmosphere. This work makes use of a long-term dataset (1980–2019) to study (1) the atmospheric spatial and vertical distribution of pollutants; (2) the spatial distribution and temporal change of biomass emissions; and (3) the impact/influence of climatic factors on temporal change in atmospheric pollutant loading and biomass emissions over the Mpumalanga and KwaZulu Natal provinces in South Africa, where sugarcane farming is rife. Black carbon (BC) and sulfur dioxide (SO₂) are two dominant pollutants in the JJA and SON seasons due to sugarcane burning. Overall, there was an increasing trend in the emissions of BC, SO₂, and carbon dioxide (CO₂) from 1980 to 2019. Climatic conditions, such as warm temperature, high wind speed, dry conditions in the JJA, and SON season, favor the intensity and spread of the fire, which is controlled. The emitted pollutants are transported to neighboring countries and can travel over the Atlantic Ocean, as far as ~6600 km from the source site. Full article

Automation of informal settlements detection using satellite imagery remains a challenging task in urban remote sensing. This is due to the fact that informal settlements vary in shape, size and spatial arrangement from one region to the other in some cases within a city. This paper investigated the methodology to detect informal settlements in a densely populated township by assessing informal settlement indicators observed from very high spatial resolution satellite imagery. We assessed twelve informal settlement indicators to determine the most effective indicators to distinguish between informal and informal classes. These indicators included the spectral indices first and second-order statistical measurements. In addition to the commonly used informal settlement indicators, we assessed the effectiveness of built-up area and iron cover. The GLCM textural measures performed poorly in separating informal and formal settlements compared to first-order statistics measurement and spectral indices. The built-up area index, coastal blue index and the first-order statistics mean measurements produced higher separability distance of informal and formal settlements. The iron index performed better in separating the two settlement types than the commonly used GLCM measure and NDVI. The proposed ruleset that uses the three features with the highest separability distance achieved producer and user accuracies of informal settlements of 95% and 82%, respectively. The results of this study will contribute towards developing methodologies to automatically detect informal settlements. Full article