Fuzzy Decision-Making and Risk Analysis in Transportation and Supply Chain Systems

A special issue of Mathematics (ISSN 2227-7390). This special issue belongs to the section "D2: Operations Research and Fuzzy Decision Making".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 30 April 2026 | Viewed by 632

Special Issue Editor


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Guest Editor
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science, Ramkhamhaeng University, 2086, Ramkhamhaeng Road, Huamak, Bangkapi, Bangkok 10240, Thailand
Interests: fuzzy decision-making; transportation; industrial engineering; optimization; multiple attribute decision-making; expert systems; fuzzy logic; risk assessment; risk analysis in logistics system planning; dynamic optimization under uncertainty

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

In today’s rapidly evolving landscape, transportation and supply chain systems are increasingly exposed to environments defined by volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity. These conditions have made decision-making a highly multifaceted process, where organizations must evaluate numerous qualitative and quantitative factors under conditions of imprecision, conflicting objectives, and risk. Traditional deterministic models like multiple-criteria decision-making methods often lack the flexibility to cope with these challenges, particularly when information is incomplete, ambiguous, or subject to rapid change.

This Special Issue seeks to highlight innovative research that integrates fuzzy logic, MCDM, and risk analysis to support more robust, adaptive, and informed decision-making in transportation and supply chain domains. The Fuzzy MCDM concept is especially well-suited for handling subjective judgments, linguistic assessments, and vague data, making it ideal for real-world problems where crisp values are not always available. Fuzzy MCDM methods offer structured tools for prioritizing and ranking alternatives across multiple, often conflicting, criteria. When these are combined with systematic risk analysis, decision-makers gain powerful frameworks for understanding uncertainties, quantifying potential impacts, and optimizing performance under risk-laden conditions.

We invite theoretical, methodological, and applied contributions that demonstrate how the Fuzzy MCDM methods including risk analysis can enhance operational effectiveness, improve resilience, and support strategic planning across all modes of transport and supply chain networks.

Dr. Nitidetch Koohathongsumrit
Guest Editor

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Keywords

  • multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM)
  • multiple attribute decision theory
  • decision analysis
  • single/hybrid MCDM methods
  • fuzzy MCDM methods
  • fuzzy set theory
  • fuzzy logic
  • transportation
  • distribution planning
  • optimization algorithm
  • soft computing in logistics research
  • supply chain/logistics management strategies and techniques
  • multimodal transportation
  • decision support system
  • expert system
  • supply chain performance management
  • modelling and simulation of logistics and supply systems
  • logistics and supply chain modelling
  • green supply chain
  • sustainability transportation systems

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Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

36 pages, 2371 KB  
Article
A Fermatean Fuzzy Game-Theoretic Framework for Policy Design in Sustainable Health Supply Chains
by Ertugrul Ayyildiz, Mirac Murat, Gokhan Ozcelik, Bahar Yalcin Kavus and Tolga Kudret Karaca
Mathematics 2025, 13(22), 3644; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13223644 - 13 Nov 2025
Viewed by 377
Abstract
Medicine and vaccine supply chains in Nigeria are socio-technical systems exposed to persistent uncertainty and disruption. Existing studies rarely integrate systems thinking with uncertainty-aware decision tools to jointly prioritize challenges and policy responses. This study asks which policy mix most effectively strengthens these [...] Read more.
Medicine and vaccine supply chains in Nigeria are socio-technical systems exposed to persistent uncertainty and disruption. Existing studies rarely integrate systems thinking with uncertainty-aware decision tools to jointly prioritize challenges and policy responses. This study asks which policy mix most effectively strengthens these supply chains while balancing multiple, conflicting criteria and stakeholder judgments. We develop a two-stage Fermatean fuzzy framework that first weights 35 challenges using Fermatean Fuzzy Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (FF-SWARA) and then ranks four policy alternatives via Fermatean Fuzzy VIšeKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (FF-VIKOR), based on expert elicitation and linguistic assessments. Results identify interruption of drug supplies, limited vaccine funding, cold-chain potency loss, human resource shortages, and product damage as the most critical challenges. FF-VIKOR prioritizes Effective Implementation of Existing Policies as the best alternative, followed by Improving Access to Medicines and Vaccines, indicating that governance quality and access-enabling infrastructure are complementary levers for resilience. To further enhance robustness, we embed the VIKOR outcomes into a policy-oriented game-theoretic analysis, where strategic weighting scenarios (e.g., cost-focused, infrastructure-driven, human-capital focused) interact with policy choices. The equilibrium results reveal that a mixed strategy combining Effective Implementation of Existing Policies and Strengthening Distribution and Storage Systems guarantees the best compromise performance across adversarial scenarios. The proposed framework operationalizes systems thinking for uncertainty-aware and strategically robust policy design and can be extended with real-time data integration, scenario planning, and regional replication to guide adaptive supply chain governance. Full article
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