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Mathematics

Mathematics is a peer-reviewed, open access journal which provides an advanced forum for studies related to mathematics, and is published semimonthly online by MDPI. 
The European Society for Fuzzy Logic and Technology (EUSFLAT) and International Society for the Study of Information (IS4SI) are affiliated with Mathematics and their members receive a discount on article processing charges.
Quartile Ranking JCR - Q1 (Mathematics)

All Articles (24,750)

Domain-Constrained Stacking Framework for Credit Default Prediction

  • Ming-Liang Ding,
  • Yu-Liang Ma and
  • Fu-Qiang You

Accurate and reliable credit risk classification is fundamental to the stability of financial systems and the efficient allocation of capital. However, with the rapid expansion of customer information in both volume and complexity, traditional rule-based or purely statistical approaches have become increasingly inadequate. Motivated by these challenges, this study introduces a domain-constrained stacking ensemble framework that systematically integrates business knowledge with advanced machine learning techniques. First, domain heuristics are embedded at multiple stages of the pipeline: threshold-based outlier removal improves data quality, target variable redefinition ensures consistency with industry practice, and feature discretization with monotonicity verification enhances interpretability. Then, each variable is transformed through Weight-of-Evidence (WOE) encoding and evaluated via Information Value (IV), which enables robust feature selection and effective dimensionality reduction. Next, on this transformed feature space, we train logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and a two-layer stacking ensemble. Finally, the ensemble aggregates cross-validated out-of-fold predictions from LR, RF and XGBoost as meta-features, which are fused by a meta-level logistic regression, thereby capturing both linear and nonlinear relationships while mitigating overfitting. Experimental results across two credit datasets demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves superior predictive performance compared with single models, highlighting its potential as a practical solution for credit risk assessment in real-world financial applications.

29 October 2025

The framework of credit default prediction model.
  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access

The crisis of pension systems based on pay-as-you-go (PAYG) financing has led to the introduction in some countries, including Italy, of so-called notional defined contribution (NDC) pension accounts. These systems mimic the functioning of defined contribution systems in benefit calculations while remaining based on PAYG financing. Despite many appealing features, NDC accounts cannot automatically guarantee a system’s financial sustainability in the presence of demographic or economic fluctuations. The literature proposes automatic balance mechanisms (ABMs) of the notional rate applied to notional accounts and an indexation rate applied to pensions. ABMs may be based on two indicators: the liquidity ratio or the solvency ratio. Such ABMs may strengthen a system’s financial sustainability but may produce significant fluctuations in the adjusted notional rate, thereby undermining the social adequacy of the system. In this work, we introduce a mixed ABM based on both the liquidity ratio and solvency ratio and identify the optimal combination that guarantees financial sustainability of the system and, at the same time, maximizes the return paid to the participants at fixed levels of confidence. The numerical results show the advantages of a mixed mechanism over those based on a single indicator. Indeed, although the results depend on the system’s initial conditions and the different ABM configurations tested (16 in total), some common patterns emerge across the solutions. A solvency ratio-based ABM maximizes social utility, while a liquidity ratio-based one ensures financial stability. Although not optimal for either criterion, the ABM that mixes the liquidity ratio and solvency ratio in proportions ranging from 60–40% to 50–50% emerges from our numerical simulations as the best compromise to achieve these two objectives jointly.

29 October 2025

We extend a summation identity involving the Pochhammer symbol published by Ramanujan in 1915 in the problem section of the “Journal of the Indian Mathematical Society”. Moreover, we offer some applications of our theorem. Among others, we present a new series representation for 1/π.

29 October 2025

Bellows compensators are critical components in pipeline systems, designed to absorb thermal expansions, vibrations, and pressure reflections. Ensuring their operational reliability requires accurate prediction of the stress–strain state (SSS) and stability under internal pressure. This study presents a comprehensive mathematical model for analyzing corrugated bellows compensators, formulated as a boundary value problem for a system of partial differential equations (PDEs) within the Kirchhoff–Love shell theory framework. Two numerical approaches are developed and compared: a finite difference method (FDM) applied to a reduced axisymmetric formulation to ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and a finite element method (FEM) for the full variational formulation. The FDM scheme utilizes a second-order implicit symmetric approximation, ensuring stability and efficiency for axisymmetric geometries. The FEM model, implemented in Ansys 2020 R2, provides high fidelity for complex geometries and boundary conditions. Convergence analysis confirms second-order spatial accuracy for both methods. Numerical experiments determine critical pressures based on the von Mises yield criterion and linearized buckling analysis, revealing the influence of geometric parameters (wall thickness, number of convolutions) on failure mechanisms. The results demonstrate that local buckling can occur at lower pressures than that of global buckling for thin-walled bellows with multiple convolutions, which is critical for structural reliability assessment. The proposed combined approach (FDM for rapid preliminary design and FEM for final verification) offers a robust and efficient methodology for bellows design, enhancing reliability and reducing development time. The work highlights the importance of integrating rigorous PDE-based modeling with modern numerical techniques for solving complex engineering problems with a focus on structural integrity and long-term performance.

29 October 2025

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Mathematics - ISSN 2227-7390Creative Common CC BY license