Special Issue "Mortality Modeling and Forecasting"

A special issue of Forecasting (ISSN 2571-9394).

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 31 October 2021.

Special Issue Editors

Prof. Dr. Francesca Perla
Guest Editor
Department of Management and Quantitative Sciences, Parthenope University of Naples, Via Generale Parisi n. 13, 80133 Naples, Italy
Interests: numerical analysis; machine learning; stochastic modeling; Solvency II; mortality modeling; parallel computing
Dr. Salvatore Scognamiglio

Guest Editor
Department of Management and Quantitative Sciences, Parthenope University of Naples, Via Generale Parisi n. 13, 80133 Naples, Italy
Interests: life insurance; machine learning; mortality modeling; time series; Solvency II

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Mortality influences many aspects of our society such as pension plans, healthcare systems, and the insurance industry. The continuing increases in life expectancy beyond previously held limits have brought to the fore the critical importance of mortality forecasting. In the last several decades, the efforts of demographers, statisticians, and actuaries across the world have been devoted to better understanding the underlying patterns of mortality improvements and producing credible mortality projection. Different approaches and methods have been developed and investigated in the recent literature. Some prominent examples include (but are not limited to) factor-based models such as the Lee–Carter (1992) model and its extensions, time-series models, continuous-time models, machine-learning-based models, and the respective multi-population extensions. Despite these advances, more work is still needed.  

This Special Issue aims to collect innovative research papers on mortality forecasting methods and their potential applications. Comprehensive survey papers, as the basis for future research ideas, will also be considered. We also wish to encourage practitioners and young researchers to submit their research to us.

Prof. Dr. Francesca Perla
Dr. Salvatore Scognamiglio
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All papers will be peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Forecasting is an international peer-reviewed open access quarterly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 1000 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.


  • mortality modeling
  • mortality forecasting
  • longevity risk
  • life expectancy
  • life insurance
  • population studies

Published Papers

This special issue is now open for submission.
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