Models for Earthquakes Analysis

Dear Colleagues,

Space time processes are useful models to describe earthquake occurrences. Many of these models are Hawkes models, or epidemic type ones, such as ETAS (epidemic type aftershock sequences). In these models, long-term components are usually modeled with inhomogeneous Poisson components, while short-term components, related to aftershock sequences, are modeled with intensities decreasing in time, either with parametric or nonparametric space time components.

The possibility of short-term forecasting is related to this kind of components; furthermore, in recent decades, there has been the possibility of explaining some of these components by means of other observable variables, such as GPS positions, fault systems, seismic waveforms, and so on. Another interesting problem connected with the analysis of seismic waveforms is the problem of early warning.

Prof. Marcello Chiodi
Guest Editor

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• space time models
• aftershocks
• short-term forecasting
• early warning