Aerobiology, the science that studies atmospheric biological particles (including pollen, fungal spores, bacteria, and viruses), has undergone a profound transformation from a descriptive, observational discipline into a predictive, data-driven field, thanks to advances in statistical methods and environmental sensing technologies. Early research, based
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Aerobiology, the science that studies atmospheric biological particles (including pollen, fungal spores, bacteria, and viruses), has undergone a profound transformation from a descriptive, observational discipline into a predictive, data-driven field, thanks to advances in statistical methods and environmental sensing technologies. Early research, based on classical statistical methods such as descriptive analysis, correlation analysis, and linear regression, established a fundamental understanding of seasonal dynamics and environmental relationships. However, the inherent complexity of aerosol biological systems—characterized by nonlinear interactions, spatiotemporal variability, and multiscale processes—has spurred the adoption of modern statistical techniques. These techniques include time-series analysis, generalized linear and additive models, spatial statistics, Bayesian inference, machine learning, and data assimilation, often combined with high-resolution environmental monitoring and sensor networks. In recent years, hybrid modeling approaches have emerged, combining mechanistic understanding of atmospheric transport and biological emissions processes with data-driven learning to improve the accuracy, robustness, and interpretability of predictions. This review comprehensively compares classical, modern, and hybrid statistical methods in air biology, exploring their theoretical foundations, practical applications, and inherent limitations. Furthermore, this review highlights emerging paradigms such as uncertainty quantification, causal inference, digital twins, and AI-driven real-time prediction systems. It also discusses challenges, including data heterogeneity, model interpretability, and cross-regional portability. By treating aerobiology as a complex adaptive environmental–biological system, this study highlights statistical methods that link observations to mechanisms and advance scalable, reliable, systems-oriented prediction frameworks for future research and applications.
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