Essential-Service Shopping and Spatial Disinvestment Among Black Homeowners in Ward 8, Washington, D.C.
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Research Objectives and Hypotheses
- First, we anticipate that very few respondents will report shopping exclusively inside Ward 8, most will shop exclusively outside the Ward, and the remainder will adopt a mixed pattern that combines both (H1).
- Second, we predict that among the eight raw motivation items, “Safety/Security” and “Product Selection” will emerge as the most frequently endorsed and will load most heavily on the latent factors derived from factor analysis (H2).
- Third, we expect that longer residential tenure will be linked to a higher likelihood of Mixed shopping and a lower likelihood of exclusive Outside-only shopping, even after controlling for age, education, and income (H3). Theoretical insights from behavioral economics and urban sociology suggest that individuals with longer tenure develop stronger place-based habits and spatial familiarity, increasing the chances they participate in mixed shopping patterns [18,19].
- Finally, we hypothesize that higher scores on the Access & Convenience factor will significantly increase the likelihood of the Outside-only pattern compared to the Mixed pattern, again after controlling for demographic characteristics (H4).
1.2. Theoretical Framework
- Small Spatial World (micro-level routines)
- 2.
- Racial Capitalism (macro-structural context)
- 3.
- Social Capital and Black Middle-Class Strategies (meso-level context)
2. Literature Review
Racial Capitalism and Consumption Feedback Loops
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Research Design
3.2. Sample and Data Collection
3.3. Survey Design and Instrument Development
3.4. Measures and Variable Construction
3.5. Reliability and Validation
3.6. Ethical Considerations
3.7. Pilot Testing
3.8. Data Analysis: Model Assumptions and Statistical Power
3.9. Administration and Analytical Strategy
4. Results
4.1. Descriptive Statistics
4.2. Home-Purchase Motivations
4.3. Motivation Frequencies
- Safety and Security: cited by 69% of respondents
- Better Product Selection: cited by 67%
- Lack of Options in Ward 8: cited by 67%
4.4. Factor Analysis
- Service and Quality mainly depend on Better Customer Service (0.82), Cleanliness (0.78), Better Quality (0.75), and Better Selection (0.70), indicating this dimension reflects residents’ concerns about overall service and product standards.
- Access and Convenience are characterized by high loadings on Convenience (0.80), Lack of Options in W8 (0.78), and Safety and Security (0.75), pointing to spatial and logistical barriers that affect shopping choices.
- The Economic factor is almost entirely represented by Better Prices (0.85), highlighting a clear cost-sensitivity component.
4.5. Mean Factor Scores by Shopping Pattern
- Service & Quality: Mixed shoppers score slightly above zero, while Outside-only shoppers hover just below, indicating both groups place modest importance on service quality, but Mixed shoppers value it marginally more.
- Access & Convenience: Mixed shoppers score significantly below zero (–0.16), whereas Outside-only shoppers score well above zero (+0.08), showing that logistical and safety concerns are key reasons for those who shop exclusively outside Ward 8.
- Economic: Mixed shoppers again exceed zero (+0.05), and Outside-only shoppers fall slightly below (−0.02), implying that price considerations are somewhat more critical for Mixed shoppers than for those shopping only outside.
4.6. Multinomial Logistic Regression
- Residential Tenure (H3): As hypothesized, longer residence in Ward 8 was associated with lower odds of shopping exclusively outside the neighborhood versus a mixed pattern (β = −0.087, SE = 0.063, p = 0.17; OR = 0.92). In other words, each additional year of residence reduced the odds of exclusive outside shopping by about 8%. Although directionally supportive, this effect was not statistically significant.
- Access & Convenience (H4): Consistent with our predictions, a one-unit increase in the Access & Convenience factor score significantly raised the odds of Outside-only shopping compared to a mixed pattern (β = 0.51, SE = 0.21, p = 0.02; OR = 1.67). Put simply, respondents who scored higher on Access & Convenience were 67% more likely to shop exclusively outside Ward 8 rather than mixing inside and outside shopping. This finding shows that logistical factors-such as travel time, parking, and perceived safety are the strongest drivers of exclusive out-of-Ward shopping.
- Control Variables: Age, education, and income were entered as covariates; none reached statistical significance, though trends suggested that older and higher-income respondents were somewhat more likely to adopt mixed shopping patterns.
4.7. Hypothesis Tests Summary
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
6.1. Practical Recommendations
- Based on these findings, several concrete actions could support more equitable urban development in Ward 8 and similar neighborhoods:
- Support small and Black-owned businesses through targeted financial incentives, technical assistance, and visibility initiatives.
- Invest in trusted service providers that prioritize safety, quality, and customer experience to reduce reliance on external neighborhoods.
- Facilitate the creation of community “third places” such as cafés, wellness centers, and co-working hubs that foster everyday engagement and cohesion.
- Strengthen transportation and accessibility infrastructure to improve convenience and reduce barriers to local shopping.
6.2. Theoretical Contribution and Future Directions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| LIS | Library and Information Sciences |
| ANC | Advisory Neighborhood Commissions |
| SD | Standard Deviation |
| N | Sample Size |
| β | Regression coefficient |
| SE | Standard Error |
| z | z-score |
| p-value | Probability value |
| CI | Confidence Interval |
| OR | Odds Ratio |
Appendix A
Appendix A.1. Black Homeowner Instrument
| Black Homeowner Survey Instrument | ||
|---|---|---|
| Number | Questions | Choices |
| 1 | Do you provide consent to participate in this survey? | Yes No |
| 2 | What is your age range? | Under 25 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65 and above Prefer not to answer |
| 3 | What is your gender identity? | Male Female Non-binary/third gender Transgender Prefer not to say |
| 4 | How long have you lived in your Ward 8, D.C., neighborhood? | Less than 1-year 1–3 years 4–6 years 7–10 years 10–14 years 15–19 years 20 years or more |
| 5 | Do you identify as Black or African American? | Yes, I identify solely as Black or African American Yes, I identify as Black or African American and also identify as belonging to one or more other groups. No |
| 6 | What is your highest level of education? | Trade School Certification (e.g., Plumber, Commercial Driver’s License) Associate degree Bachelor’s degree Master’s degree Doctorate or professional degree Prefer not to answer |
| 7 | What is your annual household income? | Under $50,000 $50,000–$99,999 $100,000–$149,999 $150,000–$199,999 $200,000–$249,999 $250,000–$499,999 $500,000 and above Prefer not to answer |
| 8 | Do you own and occupy a home in Ward 8, D.C.? | I own and occupy a home in Ward 8, D.C. I own but do not occupy a home in Ward 8, D.C. |
| 9 | Where do you primarily frequent restaurants or other retail goods (e.g., haircare products, liquor stores, and bookstores)? | Inside Ward 8, Washington, D.C. Outside Ward 8 but within Washington, D.C. Primarily in Maryland Primarily in Virginia I primarily order delivery and shop online |
| 10 | Where do you primarily purchase your groceries and everyday supplies? | Inside Ward 8, Washington, D.C. Outside Ward 8 but within Washington, D.C. Primarily in Maryland Primarily in Virginia I primarily order delivery and shop online |
| 11 | Where do you typically purchase gas? | Inside Ward 8, Washington, D.C. Outside Ward 8 but within Washington, D.C. Primarily in Maryland Primarily in Virginia I do not purchase gas |
| 12 | Which, if any, of the below lead you to seek essential services (grocery stores, healthcare, gas stations) outside Ward 8, Washington, D.C.? (Select all that apply.) | Customer service is better elsewhere. Cleanliness is better elsewhere. Safety and security concerns. The convenience of shopping locations and parking is better elsewhere. The prices of goods and services are better elsewhere. The quality of goods and services is better elsewhere. Product selection is better elsewhere. There is a lack of options and trust in the resources available in Ward 8. |
| 13 | Which of the following best describes your primary motivation for purchasing a home and living in Ward 8, Washington, D.C.? (Select one option.) | To contribute to social justice efforts, such as “buying back the block” and uplifting the local Black community To create opportunities for generational wealth through homeownership Both social justice efforts and generational wealth opportunities None of the above |
Appendix A.2. Table of Sample Demographics (n = 58)
| Variable | Variable | N | Percent | Mean | SD | Median | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 58 | 47.5 | 11.8 | 49.5 | 22–68 | ||
| Tenure (years) | 58 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 12.5 | 1–20 | ||
| Income | Under $50,000 | 5 | 8.6% | ||||
| Income | $50 K–$99 K | 11 | 19.0% | ||||
| Income | $100 K–$149 K | 13 | 22.4% | ||||
| Income | $150 K–$199 K | 12 | 20.7% | ||||
| Income | $200 K–$249 K | 5 | 8.6% | ||||
| Income | $250 K–$499 K | 7 | 12.1% | ||||
| Income | ≥$500 K | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| Income | Median bracket | $125 K | |||||
| Education | Trade school certificate | 5 | 8.6% | ||||
| Education | Associate degree | 3 | 5.2% | ||||
| Education | Bachelor’s degree | 3 | 5.2% | ||||
| Education | Master’s degree | 21 | 36.2% | ||||
| Education | Doctorate/professional | 18 | 31.0% | ||||
| Education | Mode & Median | Master’s |
Appendix B
Scatterplot of Access & Convenience Factor Scores by Tenure Years

Appendix C
| Hypothesis | Dependent Variable | Independent Variables | Controls | Survey Items | Analysis Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 | Shopping Pattern (Inside only/Mixed/Outside only) | Primary shopping location | Descriptive frequencies | ||
| H2 | Motivation Factors | Raw Binary Motivations Items | Eight motivation items | Exploratory factor analysis | |
| H3 | Shopping Pattern | Tenure (years) | Age, Education, Income | Years in Ward 8 | Multinomial logistic regression |
| H4 | Shopping Pattern | Access & Convenience Factors | Age, Education, Income | Convenience, safety, lack of options | Multinomial Logistic regression |
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| Hypothesis and Survey Variables | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hypothesis | Dependent Variable | Independent Variable(s) | Control Variables | Linked Survey Items |
| H1 | Shopping Pattern (Inside-only/Outside-only/Mixed) | Descriptive | Item on primary shopping location (Inside/Outside/Mixed) | |
| H2 | Motivation Factors (latent, via factor analysis) | Raw Motivation Items (e.g., Safety, Quality, Price) | Eight binary items on shopping motivations | |
| H3 | Shopping Pattern (categorical) | Tenure Years | Age, Education, Income | Item on number of years residing in Ward 8 |
| H4 | Shopping Patterns (Mixed vs. Outside-Only) | Access and Convenience (factor score) | Age, Education, Income | Access, parking, and travel-related motivation items |
| Predictor | β | SE | z | p-Value | OR | 95% CI for OR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Access and Convenience | 0.51 | 0.21 | 2.42 | 0.02 | 1.67 | [1.09, 2.56] |
| Tenure Years | −0.087 | 0.063 | −1.38 | 0.17 | 0.92 | [0.82, 1.03] |
| Age Range | −0.010 | 0.34 | −0.03 | 0.98 | 0.99 | [0.51, 1.92] |
| Education | −0.14 | 0.23 | −0.61 | 0.54 | 0.87 | [0.53, 1.42] |
| Income Bracket | 0.005 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 1.00 | [0.72, 1.38] |
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Doyle, J.M. Essential-Service Shopping and Spatial Disinvestment Among Black Homeowners in Ward 8, Washington, D.C. Urban Sci. 2025, 9, 384. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9090384
Doyle JM. Essential-Service Shopping and Spatial Disinvestment Among Black Homeowners in Ward 8, Washington, D.C. Urban Science. 2025; 9(9):384. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9090384
Chicago/Turabian StyleDoyle, Joyce M. 2025. "Essential-Service Shopping and Spatial Disinvestment Among Black Homeowners in Ward 8, Washington, D.C." Urban Science 9, no. 9: 384. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9090384
APA StyleDoyle, J. M. (2025). Essential-Service Shopping and Spatial Disinvestment Among Black Homeowners in Ward 8, Washington, D.C. Urban Science, 9(9), 384. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9090384

