1. Introduction
In recent decades, climate change has emerged as a major challenge to grape production. This is particularly important in warm viticultural regions, where increased temperatures accelerate ripening and disrupt the balance between technological ripeness and phenolic maturity [
1,
2]. Argentina, a major wine-producing country globally, is especially vulnerable to these changes due to the semi-arid conditions of most of its viticultural areas.
Vitis vinifera L. cv. ‘Malbec’ wine, emblematic of Argentine viticulture, is highly valued for its intense color and polyphenolic richness, particularly anthocyanins and stilbenes.
Among these polyphenols, anthocyanins are a group of water-soluble flavonoid pigments. They are responsible for the red, purple, and blue colors, playing a central role in determining the quality of berries and wine. Additionally, stilbenes such as resveratrol form another class of polyphenols found in
V. vinifera cultivars. These plant secondary metabolites participate in many physiological responses, such as abiotic and biotic stress [
3]. Besides their role within the plant, both groups of polyphenols are also recognized for their protective effects on human health. In general, anthocyanins exhibit antioxidant properties linked to protection against degenerative diseases [
4], while trans-resveratrol has been widely studied for its cardioprotective, hypoglycemic, and neuroprotective effects [
5,
6].
However, anthocyanin synthesis is highly sensitive to temperature. Studies conducted in Mendoza (Argentina), a world-famous region for premium ’Malbec’ wines, have shown that elevated temperatures can negatively affect berry quality in this and other red cultivars. These effects include reduced anthocyanin accumulation, changes in their profile, and alterations in metabolic and developmental processes [
1,
4,
7,
8,
9]. Temperature effects on wine phenolics can arise both during ripening in the vineyard and during fermentation; here, we address the vineyard (berry) component. This anthocyanin shift, along with the change in other polyphenols such as stilbenes, induced by elevated temperature, is partially attributed to alterations in the expression of key genes in the flavonoid biosynthetic pathway [
10,
11,
12]. For instance, in a field experiment conducted under our local conditions, de Rosas et al. (2017) [
13] demonstrated that high-temperature regimes in ’Malbec’ berry skins reduced the transcript levels of UFGT (UDP-glucose:flavonoid 3-
O-glucosyltransferase), a key late enzyme required for anthocyanin stabilization, and its transcription factor MYBA1. This happened particularly at veraison and mid-ripeness, coinciding with a decrease in total anthocyanin content. In contrast, Vv3AT (anthocyanin acyltransferase gene) expression was upregulated in berries under high temperature at veraison, associated with a later increase in the accumulation of acylated anthocyanins, and it was further upregulated at harvest [
13]. In another study in which berries of cv. ‘Pione’ (
V. ×
labruscana) were incubated in a heating chamber, elevated temperature upregulated the transcription of MYB4, a transcription factor of UFGT [
11]. Another example is the altered expression pattern of stilbene synthases (STSs), key enzymes in resveratrol biosynthesis, under high temperature. In an experiment with
V. labruscana cv. ’Campbell Early’ harvested at veraison and placed in temperature-controlled chambers, Kim et al. (2018) [
3] found that STS1 expression was induced by elevated temperatures, whereas STS11, STS12, and STS13 were suppressed at 35 °C.
Beyond temperature, the plant hormone abscisic acid (ABA) also plays a pivotal role in regulating anthocyanin and stilbene biosynthesis. Involved in abiotic stress responses and ripening [
14], exogenous application of ABA has been shown to enhance anthocyanins and resveratrol content and alter their profiles [
3,
5,
7,
15,
16,
17,
18]. The increase in anthocyanin accumulation can be attributed to the upregulation of structural genes, which encode enzymes directly involved in anthocyanin biosynthesis and accumulation. This hormone also induces regulatory genes, such as transcription factors, that bind to the promoters of structural genes to control their spatial and temporal expression along the biosynthetic pathway [
17].
Examples of these upregulated genes include phenylalanine ammonia-lyase (PAL), chalcone synthase (CHS), chalcone isomerase (CHI), flavonoid 3′-hydroxylase (F3′H), flavonoid 3′,5′-hydroxylase (F3′5′H), dihydroflavonol 4-reductase (DFR), and flavonoid 3-
O-glucosyltransferase (UFGT), as well as the transcription factors MYBA1 and MYBA2 [
17,
19,
20,
21,
22]. Furthermore, exogenous ABA application has been shown to upregulate the expression of STS, 3-O-GT (3-
O-beta-glycosyltransferase), and MYB14, the key transcription factor that regulates STS. These components are collectively pivotal to resveratrol biosynthesis [
16]. This response is most evident under stress or defense-inducing conditions, where STS induction and stilbene accumulation are typically triggered [
6]. Together, these findings indicate that the ABA-mediated regulation of flavonoid and stilbene biosynthesis underlies the consistent effects observed across different
V. vinifera cultivars, including those under commercial vineyard conditions [
5,
23].
According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, average temperatures in Mendoza (Argentina) are projected to rise between 1.5 °C and 2.5 °C by the end of the century [
24]. This level of warming underscores the need to develop strategies that not only maintain wine quality but also preserve the distinctive character associated with Mendoza’s unique geography [
25].
Despite the high capital investment and long-term nature of vineyard management, viticulture is considered a sector with relatively high adaptive capacity due to the economic value of wine grapes, which allows for specific and targeted responses to climate-related risks [
26]. Given this economic relevance, the application of plant growth regulators such as ABA represents a feasible adaptation strategy that can be implemented quickly and without major structural changes, unlike more disruptive options such as changing cultivars or relocating vineyards. This approach is particularly relevant in regions like Argentina, where simulated warming experiments have demonstrated negative impacts on grape quality [
1], and more extensive adaptations may be economically or logistically unfeasible.
However, the interaction between ABA and temperature under realistic field conditions remains poorly understood. Moreover, understanding the physiological and molecular responses of grapevines to these combined stimuli is essential for developing adaptation strategies that preserve berry quality under climate change scenarios.
In this study, we evaluate the individual and combined effects of exogenous ABA application and elevated temperature on anthocyanin and stilbenes accumulation and gene expression in
Vitis vinifera cv. ’Malbec’. We aim to determine whether ABA can mitigate the negative impact of high temperatures on berry composition, particularly regarding the content of anthocyanins and stilbenes and the expression of key biosynthetic and regulatory genes. We hypothesized that exogenous ABA would mitigate the negative effects of elevated temperature on the phenylpropanoid pathway by sustaining the expression of key biosynthetic genes. To this end, we implemented an active heating system in the field that mimics the temperature rise projected under the SSP2-4.5 scenario [
27]. Characterizing these responses under realistic vineyard conditions will provide insights to support adaptive viticultural management in a warming climate.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Plant Material and Experimental Site
The trial was conducted during the 2020–2021 season in an experimental vineyard located at the Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, National University of Cuyo, Mendoza, Argentina (33°00′29.85″ S, 68°52′21.09′′ W; 932 m a.s.l.). The vineyard consisted of 12-year-old own-rooted vines of various
V. vinifera cultivars, including ‘Malbec’ clone INTA 2. In our field conditions, this clone is characterized by medium vigor and low-to-medium productivity [
28]. Cultivars were not planted consecutively; instead, each row included two non-adjacent plants of the same cultivar, with the first and last plants used as buffers. Vines were trained to bilateral cordons on a vertical shoot positioning (VSP) trellis system, with 2.2 m × 1.2 m row × vine spacing. The vineyard was drip-irrigated (2.2 mm h
−1) and protected from hail using the Grembiule system. Irrigation was scheduled to meet estimated crop evapotranspiration (ETc = ETo × Kc) and avoid water restriction throughout the season. The cumulative irrigation applied during the growing season was approximately 650 mm. The soil was classified as an Entisol with a loamy-clay texture. Pruning was performed in May, retaining six two-bud spurs per cordon arm (≈24 buds per vine), and no shoot trimming was conducted after budbreak.
2.2. Experimental Design
2.2.1. Elevated Temperature Treatment
Elevated temperature (+T) was applied using a closed-loop active heating system as described by Cirrincione et al. (2024) [
27]. The system consisted of three 125 L electric water heaters (3000 W) located in a small utility shed adjacent to the vineyard (housing only the heaters and pump), circulating hot water (60 ± 1 °C) at 9.2 m/s through thermally insulated polypropylene pipes buried 30 cm underground. These pipes connected to polyethylene coils mounted on the VSP structure within the canopy, forming a serpentine arrangement that passively released thermal energy. This setup achieved an average increase of 2.5 ± 0.12 °C in canopy air temperature, consistent with the projected warming under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, regardless of ambient weather conditions. Heated rows were alternated with non-heated rows (−T), which served as ambient temperature controls. The heating system operated continuously (24 h day
−1, 7 days week
−1) from October to March, covering the period from budbreak to harvest (
Figure S1, adapted from Ref. [
27]).
2.2.2. Abscisic Acid Treatment
Exogenous ABA treatment (+ABA) was applied to all clusters, on two ’Malbec’ plants per row, across three rows per treatment. The two experimental vines per row were separated from neighboring cultivars by buffer vines, and replicate vines were spatially interspersed along the plot to avoid positional clustering of any treatment. Treatment assignment was balanced across the plot, minimizing potential edge or spatial-gradient effects. The clusters were sprayed to run-off with a 1 mM ABA aqueous solution (ProT one
®, Valent BioSciences LLC, Libertyville, IL, USA), prepared using the same distilled water as in the control treatment (−ABA). Water-sprayed control clusters were treated with distilled water only. Three ABA applications were performed at 7, 22, and 37 days after veraison (DAV; 15-day intervals), spanning early to late ripening (veraison, E–L stage 35 [
29]) and thus covering the main window of anthocyanin accumulation. Because warming advanced veraison (by ~10 days), these DAV-based applications occurred earlier on the calendar in +T than in −T. In all cases, ten berries per plant were randomly sampled from the upper, middle, and bottom portions; immediately frozen in liquid nitrogen; and stored at –80 °C for RNA analysis. Harvest was conducted when berries reached 22 °Brix, and the remaining fruit was vinified for further analysis.
2.2.3. Combined Treatments
In total, four treatment combinations were derived from the factorial combination of temperature and ABA treatments: +T/+ABA, +T/−ABA, −T/+ABA, and −T/−ABA.
Figure 1 illustrates the field experimental set-up. More details about the functioning of the system can be found in our previous work [
27].
2.3. Gene Expression Sampling and Analyses
Berry skins for gene expression were sampled at 7, 22, 37, and 64 (harvest) DAV, immediately before each ABA application to assess the effect of the preceding spray. Because of warming-advanced phenology, sampling dates differed between +T and −T vines.
For RT–qPCR, biological replicates were individual plants (n = 3 per treatment). At each date, skins from 10 berries per plant were pooled to obtain one composite sample per plant. Total RNA was extracted from ~400 mg of berry skin, frozen in liquid nitrogen, and ground to a fine powder with a mortar and pestle. RNA was isolated using the RNeasy Plant Mini Kit (QIAGEN, Hilden, Germany) following the manufacturer’s protocol. RNA quality and concentration were verified spectrophotometrically, and 1 µg of RNA was reverse-transcribed using oligo(dT) primers and M-MLV reverse transcriptase (Invitrogen; Thermo Fisher Scientific, Waltham, MA, USA).
Gene expression was analyzed via quantitative real-time PCR (RT-qPCR) using SYBR Green PCR Master Mix (Applied Biosystems, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Waltham, MA, USA) on a StepOne™ Real-Time PCR System (Applied Biosystems, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Waltham, USA). Reactions (13 µL in total) contained 7.5 µL of SYBR Green mix, 0.3 µM of each primer, and nuclease-free water. Thermal cycling conditions were 50 °C for 2 min, 95 °C for 10 min, followed by 40 cycles of 95 °C for 15 s and 60 °C for 60 s. Relative transcript abundance was calculated using the 2
−ΔΔCt method [
30], normalizing to actin. The analyzed genes were CHS2, F3′5′H, F3′H, MYBA1, MYBC2-L3, UFGT, AT3, peroxidase, MYB14, and STS. Primer sequences and references [
20,
31,
32,
33,
34,
35,
36,
37,
38] are provided in
Table S1. The mean ΔCt of the −T/−ABA group at each sampling date (within each qPCR run/plate) was used as the calibrator (set to 1). Minor deviations from 1 in the reported −T/−ABA means reflect rounding and/or back-transformation after statistical treatment.
2−ΔΔCt values were analyzed at each sampling date via two-way ANOVA (Temperature, ABA, and T × ABA). Data were ln-transformed when required to meet ANOVA assumptions, and significant effects were followed by the DGC multiple comparisons test (α = 0.05) in InfoStat v2.0 [
39,
40]. Because warming advanced phenology, comparisons across temperatures at a given DAV reflect comparable phenological stages rather than the same calendar date.
Cumulative transcript accumulation across berry development was estimated as the area under the curve (AUC) of 2
−ΔΔCt values (using the trapezoidal rule). This calculation was implemented in R [
41] using dplyr [
42] and pracma [
43]. AUC values were Z-score normalized [
44] and hierarchically clustered (Euclidean distance and Ward’s minimum variance method), and visualized as a heatmap using pheatmap [
45,
46].
2.4. Berry Skin Anthocyanins Extraction, Quantification and Analyses
At harvest, ten berries per replicate were randomly selected and immediately frozen in liquid nitrogen. Samples were transported to the laboratory and stored at −80 °C until anthocyanin quantification. Anthocyanins were extracted following the procedure outlined by Wilson et al. (2024) [
47], briefly as follows: berry skins were manually separated from frozen berries, then dried and cryo-ground. Phenolics were extracted from 150 mg of skin powder with acidified methanol (MeOH:HCl 99:1,
v/
v; 10 N HCl) for 24 h at 20 °C in the dark, followed by centrifugation (14,000 rpm, 20 min, 4 °C). A second extraction was performed on the residue; supernatants were combined (1:1), filtered (0.45 µm cellulose acetate), and stored at −20 °C until analysis. Anthocyanins were quantified by HPLC–DAD (Thermo Fisher Scientific UltiMate 3000, Waltham, MA, USA) on a C18 column (250 × 4.6 mm, 5 µm) using the solvent system described in [
47], and individual anthocyanins were expressed as mg g
−1 berry skin fresh weight. Further methodological details are provided in [
47].
Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (ρ) was used to evaluate relationships between cumulative gene expression and berry metabolite accumulation. For each gene, AUC values were matched to the corresponding anthocyanin by treatment and biological replication. Pairwise correlations were computed across all treatment conditions using cor.test in R (method = ‘spearman’; exact = FALSE), and
p-values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. Data visualization was performed in R using ggplot2 [
48] with statistical annotations from ggpubr [
49]. An integrative overview of these statistically significant correlations was visualized as a ‘traffic-light’ bubble plot, where bubble size represented |ρ| and bubble fill indicated three |ρ| intervals (0.60–0.66, 0.67–0.74, 0.75–0.90). Plots were generated in R using ggplot2, and statistical annotations (when applicable) were added with ggpubr. To make it easy to compare anthocyanin levels among the four treatment combinations (−T/−ABA, −T/+ABA, +T/−ABA, +T/+ABA), we built a heatmap in which columns correspond to treatments and rows correspond to individual anthocyanins in berries. For each anthocyanin, values were expressed as the percent change relative to the −T/−ABA condition. The heatmap was created in R using ggplot2 (geom_tile), with a purple color scale centered at 0% (no change).
In order to visualize the main effects of temperature and ABA on berry skin anthocyanins, a diverging (‘butterfly’) bar plot was constructed from the marginal means of each factor. For each anthocyanin and total anthocyanins, percentage change was calculated as (mean at +T − mean at −T)/mean−T × 100 for the temperature effect and (mean at + ABA − mean at −ABA)/mean at −ABA × 100 for the ABA effect, using the mean concentrations (mg g−1 FW) reported in the ANOVA main effects. The plot was generated in R (ggplot2).
Percent change values for each gene (AUC) and each anthocyanin-derived metabolite were also summarized by treatment (−T/−ABA, +T/+ABA, −T/+ABA, +T/−ABA). For each variable within each treatment, replicate values were averaged to obtain a single mean% change. Distributions were displayed as a violin plot. Data processing and plotting were performed in R (R Core Team, Vienna, Austria) using the packages dplyr, tidyr and stringr for data wrangling and ggplot2 for visualization.
For integrative visualization, a conceptual model design was constructed to visually summarize branch-level trends supported by the time-course expression data, AUC-based clustering, and wine phenolic outcomes. It is not intended to quantitatively predict individual compound abundances because the metabolite statistics were evaluated as main effects and treatment comparisons, whereas the figure is mechanistic and integrative in nature.
2.5. Winemaking Procedures and Quantification of Anthocyanins and Stilbenes
Micro-vinifications were designed to minimize technological variability and to ensure that differences in wine phenolic composition reflected vineyard treatments rather than vinification effects. The protocol was performed following a standard small-scale red-winemaking protocol based on Fanzone et al. (2022) [
50], with minor modifications. In brief, all berries from each treated replicate plant were vinified separately (one 25 L food-grade plastic tank per plant; n = 2 independent micro-vinifications per treatment). Vinifications followed a standard red-wine protocol. The titratable acidity was adjusted to 7 g L
−1 with tartaric acid prior to alcoholic fermentation. Alcoholic fermentation was conducted with
Saccharomyces cerevisiae EC-1118® (Lallemand Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada) following the manufacturer’s recommendations at 24 °C with 12 days of skin maceration. Cap management consisted of two daily punch-downs, and fermentation progress and temperature were monitored daily. At the end of the fermentation, wines were racked, cold-stabilized (≈1–3 °C) for two weeks, and adjusted to 35 mg L
−1 of free SO
2 before bottling.
The anthocyanin concentration and profile were determined using HPLC–DAD. Wine anthocyanins were identified and quantified following the methodology described in [
50]. Analyses were performed on a PerkinElmer Series 200 HPLC system equipped with a diode array detector using a reversed-phase Chromolith Performance C18 column (100 × 4.6 mm, 2 μm) with a guard cartridge maintained at 25 °C. The mobile phases were solvent A (water/formic acid, 90:10,
v/
v) and solvent B (acetonitrile), applied as a gradient elution. Wine samples (2 mL) were filtered through a 0.45 μm nylon membrane, and 50 μL was injected. DAD acquisition was performed from 210 to 600 nm, and quantification was based on peak areas at 520 nm using malvidin-3-glucoside chloride as an external calibration standard (R
2 ≈ 0.99). For further methodological details, see [
50].
Resveratrol and other stilbenes (piceid and viniferins) were analyzed using UHPLC/QqQ-MS/MS, following da Costa et al. (2022) [
51], with modifications. Wine samples were centrifuged at 1000 rpm for 15 min at 4 °C, and the supernatant was diluted fivefold with Milli-Q water:ethanol:formic acid (80:19:1,
v/
v/
v). Analyses were performed on a Shimadzu Nexera liquid chromatograph (Shimadzu Corporation, Kyoto, Japan) coupled with a 3200QTRAP triple quadrupole mass spectrometer (AB Sciex, Marlborough, MA, USA) equipped with equipped with a Turbo V™ electrospray ionization (ESI) source. Separation was achieved on a Waters AcQuity BEH C18 column (100 mm × 2.1 mm, 1.7 μm) with a VanGuard™ AcQuity BEH C18 pre-column (5 × 2.1 mm, 1.7 μm) (Waters, Milford, MA, USA). Two chromatographic methods were used to analyze (1) anthocyanins and (2) non-colored phenolic compounds. For anthocyanins, the mobile phases were 2% formic acid in water (A) and 2% formic acid in acetonitrile (B). For non-colored phenolics, the mobile phases were 0.1% formic acid in water (A) and 0.1% formic acid in acetonitrile (B), using the following gradient: 0–0.5 min, 1% B; 0.5–1.5 min, 1–8% B; 1.5–4 min, 8% B; 4–5 min, 8–12% B; 5–5.5 min, 12% B; 5.5–6 min, 12–14% B; 6–7 min, 14% B; 7–9 min, 14–22% B; 9–12 min, 22–30% B; 12–13.5 min, 30–90% B; 13.5–14.5 min, 90% B; 14.5–15 min, 90–1% B; 15–18 min, 1% B. Data were acquired in negative ion mode ([M–H]
−) using Analyst
® 1.6.2 (AB Sciex, Marlborough, MA, USA). Compounds were identified using retention times and spectra of externally injected standards; when standards were unavailable, identification relied on MRM transitions (precursor [M–H]
−) and diagnostic fragmentation patterns reported in the literature. Quantification was performed using external calibration curves prepared from the corresponding commercial standards, and results are expressed as mg L
−1 of wine.
Wine anthocyanins (individual compounds and total anthocyanins), resveratrol, and total stilbenes (i.e., resveratrol + piceid + viniferins) were analyzed using two-way ANOVA to test the effects of temperature, ABA, and their interaction. When appropriate, DGC post hoc tests were used for mean separation (α = 0.05) with InfoStat v. 2020.
To compare whether changes in anthocyanins observed in berry skins were reflected in wines, anthocyanin data from berry skins and wines were first averaged by treatment (−T/−ABA, −T/+ABA, +T/−ABA, +T/+ABA). For metabolites detected in both datasets, values were expressed as percent change relative to the −T/−ABA baseline for each matrix (skins and wine). The direction of change (increase or decrease) was then compared between skins and wine for each treatment and metabolite. Results were visualized as a tile plot in R using ggplot2, where each cell displays ‘Δ skins%/Δ wine%’, and tiles are colored to indicate whether skins and wine changed in the same direction (match) or in opposite directions (mismatch). To quantify the extent to which ABA mitigated warming-induced changes in wine anthocyanins, we calculated an ABA improvement index under warming for each compound. First, replicate concentrations (mg L−1) for each anthocyanin were averaged within each combined treatment. Treatment means were then expressed as percent change relative to the −T/−ABA control for each metabolite. The ABA improvement under warming was computed as the difference (in percentage points) between the percent change observed in +T/+ABA and that observed in +T/−ABA: Improvement (percentage points) = (% change in +T/+ABA) − (% change in +T/−ABA), both referenced to −T/−ABA. Positive values indicate that ABA shifted metabolite levels upward under warming compared with unsprayed warmed vines, whereas values near zero indicate little additional effect of ABA under elevated temperature. All calculations and graphics were performed in R using the dplyr and ggplot2 packages.
Wine stilbenes (resveratrol and total stilbenes; mg L−1) were summarized across the four combined temperature × ABA treatments (−T/−ABA, +T/+ABA, −T/+ABA, +T/−ABA). For each compound, values were expressed as percent change relative to the −T/−ABA control (set to 0%), using the control mean as the reference. Distributions by treatment were visualized in R (tidyverse: dplyr, tidyr; ggplot2) using violin plots overlaid with jittered replicate points.
To assess coordinated variation between stilbenes and gene expression dynamics, we computed Spearman correlations (ρ) between gene AUC values (CHS2, PRX31, STS, 3AT, MYB14) and wine resveratrol and total stilbenes (n = 12; p < 0.05). Results are summarized in a traffic light bubble plot generated using the same methodology as for the berry analysis.
For integrative visualization, we created a conceptual bottle-based color model to visually summarize wine anthocyanin trends derived from the anthocyanin profile and the factorial treatment structure. This representation is intended as an intuitive, branch- and composition-level visual aid (F3′H- vs. F3′5′H-type contributions, total anthocyanins as color intensity, and % acylation as a darkening overlay), rather than a quantitative predictor of sensory color or absolute pigment concentrations. Calculation details are provided in the
Supplementary Material. Accordingly, the bottle graphic should be interpreted as a qualitative synthesis consistent with the statistically supported trends, rather than a quantitative outcome.
4. Discussion
Given the cultivar-specific nature of anthocyanin composition, we interpreted our results in the context of ‘Malbec’, a cultivar dominated by malvidin-derived pigments and known to be sensitive to elevated temperatures during ripening. In our field material (‘Malbec’ clone INTA 2), the baseline color potential is moderate [
28], so treatment-driven modulation of the late anthocyanin module is especially important to preserve pigment accumulation under warming.
Our results indicated that a ~2.5 °C increase in temperature and exogenous ABA applied from veraison onward do not affect the phenylpropanoid pathway in a single, fixed manner. Instead, responses shifted across ripening, with different genes and branches favored at different stages. Across the season, warming consistently penalized final anthocyanin and stilbene accumulation, whereas ABA mainly reinforced anthocyanin-related capacity but could not buffer the stilbene branch under warming.
Figure 12 summarizes a conceptual model linking temporal gene regulation in berry skins to berry phenolic outcomes across ripening.
At seven DAV, the transcriptional response was narrow: warming reduced MYBA1 and increased PRX31 (
Table S1 and
Figure 2). Because MYBA1 is a central activator of the late anthocyanin program (including UFGT), an early MYBA1 decrease was consistent with a negative signal for pigment formation. Meanwhile, the upregulation of PRX31 pointed to an oxidative/stress response. This direction agreed with the broader literature showing that high temperature around veraison can suppress anthocyanin accumulation through transcriptional repression and enhanced degradation processes [
10,
37,
53].
By mid-ripening (22 DAV), ABA emerged as the main driver of the anthocyanin ‘color module’ under non-heated conditions (
Table S6;
Figure 2). Accordingly, −T/+ABA maximized MYBA1 and MYBC2-L3 and increased F3′5′H expression, consistent with a shift toward the 3′,5′-hydroxylated branch and malvidin-type pigments. Given that ‘Malbec’ is typically dominated by 3′,5′-hydroxylated, malvidin-derived anthocyanins, this branch shift is especially relevant for interpreting cultivar-specific color outcomes. This tendency was also supported by the time-integrated pattern, where MYBA1 co-clustered with F3′5′H in the AUC heatmap, while F3′H grouped with MYB14 as a separate module (
Figure 3), suggesting that ABA and warming favored distinct branch-associated programs. This aligned with previous studies reporting ABA-driven induction of regulatory and structural anthocyanin genes in grape berry skins [
20,
35,
54]. In contrast, warming promoted a different balance: F3′H was induced under +T/−ABA, indicating relative reinforcement of the 3′-hydroxylated route. In addition, UFGT showed positive main effects of both warming and ABA, while MYBA1 decreased under warming (
Table S6;
Figure 2). This may imply that under +T, UFGT regulation is not explained by MYBA1 alone and may involve additional temperature- and/or ABA-responsive inputs. Anthocyanin accumulation is shaped not only by transcription but also by transport, enzyme activity, the balance between synthesis and degradation, and vacuolar sequestration [
55,
56]. Therefore, transcript levels may not track metabolite abundance in a one-to-one manner.
Later (37 DAV), −T/+ABA sustained upregulation of MYBA1, MYBC2-L3, and STS despite CHS2 and F3′H downregulation, indicating a partial decoupling at this time point in which CHS2 becomes a weaker proxy for pathway output at this ripening stage (
Table S6;
Figure 2). This did not conflict with the positive CHS2 AUC–total anthocyanin correlations, because time-integrated expression reflected broader seasonal treatment effects (
Figure 4 and
Figure 5). At this time point, warming effects were still apparent in branch regulation (F3′5′H showed a positive main effect of +T), while PRX31 decreased with warming but increased with ABA (
Table S6;
Figure 2). To place this time-point decoupling in a broader seasonal context, the AUC heatmap resolved coherent submodules (UFGT with MYBC2-L3; MYBA1 with F3′5′H), while PRX31 clustered with 3AT and STS (
Figure 3). Together, this supported an association with a modular view in which ABA primarily reinforces late anthocyanin steps, whereas warming reshapes a separate temperature-sensitive module (F3′H–MYB14).
At harvest, gene regulation was broadly consistent with berry skin phenolic composition and was consistent with the direction of the final wine profile. Under non-heated conditions, ABA-sprayed vines (−T/+ABA) sustained both pathway entry and late stabilization capacity (higher CHS2 and UFGT), whereas warming penalized several key nodes (F3′H, 3AT, STS, MYB14) (
Table S6;
Figure 2). This was consistent with the berry skin HPLC results: +T reduced total anthocyanins (~40%), while +ABA increased them (~115%) (
Table S3;
Figure 6). This is consistent with reports that heat lowers anthocyanins via combined effects on biosynthesis and degradation [
10,
37,
53]. Similarly, Mori et al. (2005) [
57] reported that a high night temperature after veraison decreases berry skin anthocyanins and alters anthocyanin composition, whereas ABA can largely restore total anthocyanin accumulation under warm nights without fully reverting the profile. Because no Temperature × ABA interaction was detected for any anthocyanin (
Table S6), the combined treatment (+T/+ABA) would be expected to reflect the sum of the two main effects—warming lowering, and ABA increasing anthocyanins—yielding intermediate levels. Accordingly, +T/+ABA typically sat above +T/−ABA and often above the −T/−ABA baseline, but below −T/+ABA across total anthocyanins and many individual pigments (
Figure 5 and
Figure 7).
Time-integrated expression (AUC) highlighted the genes that were most strongly associated with berry skin anthocyanin outcomes, and these berry-level rankings were broadly consistent with the final wine anthocyanin responses. Given the limited replication typical of field experiments (n = 3 vines per treatment), these correlations should be interpreted as supporting the internal consistency of treatment-driven co-variation patterns rather than causality. Accordingly, we describe them as treatment-associated linkages. This cross-matrix concordance is illustrated in
Figure S7 (Δ skins%/Δ wine%), showing that most anthocyanins shifted in the same direction in berry skins and wines, albeit with attenuated magnitudes in wine. CHS2, F3′5′H, MYBC2-L3, and PRX31 AUC showed the strongest positive associations with total anthocyanins and malvidin-derived pigments (
Figure 5). Across most significant Spearman correlations, treatments tended to separate consistently: −T/+ABA clustered in the upper-right (high AUC/high metabolites), +T/−ABA in the lower-left, and −T/−ABA was intermediate (
Figure 4). Under warming, +T/+ABA typically shifted upward relative to +T/−ABA but did not reach the −T/+ABA cluster. This was consistent with partial buffering rather than full restoration under warming. The violin plot (
Figure 4) summarized this pattern, with predominantly positive percent changes under −T/+ABA, predominantly negative shifts under +T/−ABA, and intermediate responses under +T/+ABA (see
Figures S2–S4 and S6). This pattern aligned with ABA’s established role in promoting berry skin anthocyanin accumulation, largely via reinforcement of late biosynthetic steps [
20,
35,
54].
Wine phenolics represent an integrated endpoint resulting from berry composition plus extraction and stabilization processes during vinification; therefore, treatment effects observed in wine reflect both vineyard-driven differences and winemaking integration. To strengthen the mechanistic link, we report berry skin anthocyanins and show that changes in skins and wines are directionally concordant (
Figure S7).
We summarized the observed wine anthocyanin profiles using anthocyanin-derived indices (F3′H vs. F3′5′H balance, acylation, and TA-scaled intensity; see
Supplementary Materials for calculations). At the compound level, the combined-treatment heatmap provided a compact overview of wine anthocyanin responses across the full profile (
Figure 8). We visualize these combined-treatment summaries in
Figure 13.
In contrast, the stilbene branch appeared more thermally sensitive. Although STS AUC tracked resveratrol and total stilbenes positively, +T/+ABA often remained as low as +T/−ABA for these metabolites in wine (
Figure 10), indicating limited recovery under warming despite ABA application (
Table S6;
Figure 11). This asymmetry was consistent with reports that heat can constrain defense-related phenolics and that warming-driven shifts in synthesis versus degradation may be difficult to reverse [
37,
53]. In our dataset, MYB14 reinforced this interpretation: despite being a known activator of STS promoters [
58], it did not align with higher stilbene pools (
Figure 11). Instead, it showed significant negative associations with berry skin total anthocyanins and malvidin-3-(6′′-
p-coumaroyl)glucoside derivatives (
Figure S5), while warming reduced both MYB14 and STS at harvest (
Table S6;
Figure 2). Overall, stilbene accumulation under field warming was more closely coupled to STS transcript dynamics than to a typical MYB14-driven module. This may suggest that additional temperature- and/or ABA-responsive regulators constrain this branch under +T. Positive correlations of CHS2, 3AT, and PRX31 AUC with resveratrol/total stilbenes (
Figure 11) were therefore best interpreted as co-regulation (shared treatment structure) rather than direct control of stilbene biosynthesis.
Finally, PRX31 deserved cautious interpretation. Although PRX31 has been proposed to contribute to heat-associated anthocyanin degradation [
8,
37], in our AUC correlations, higher PRX31 expression aligned with the high-anthocyanin treatment (−T/+ABA) rather than with the low-color warmed treatments (
Figure 5). This pattern suggested that PRX31 reflects a broader stress-responsive program, rather than serving as a primary driver of pigment loss in our experiment. Thus, our data do not support a simplistic interpretation of PRX31 as a direct marker or driver of anthocyanin degradation in this field context.
Returning to the berry skin endpoint, compound-level analyses at harvest further clarified which anthocyanin classes drove the overall treatment effects. At the compound level (
Table S3), except for peonidin-3-(6′′-acetyl)glucoside, ABA increased all tested pigments, with comparatively larger gains in 3′,5′-hydroxylated anthocyanins and their acylated derivatives (mean fold-change: +ABA 2.2 vs. −ABA 1.6-fold). In contrast, warming reduced total anthocyanins and several key compounds, including delphinidin-3-glucoside, cyanidin-3-glucoside, peonidin-3-glucoside, and acylated derivatives such as malvidin-3-(6′′-acetyl)glucoside, malvidin-3-(6′′-
p-coumaroyl)glucoside, and peonidin-3-(6′′-
p-coumaroyl)glucoside. Overall, these patterns were consistent with ABA-driven reinforcement of late anthocyanin biosynthetic steps in the MYBA1/UFGT module, whereas warming broadly constrains anthocyanin accumulation, including acylated forms. Similar results were reported for ’Malbec’ by de Rosas et al. (2017) [
13], who showed that heat reduces total anthocyanins; however, they observed an overexpression of 3AT, whereas in our study, 3AT was downregulated at harvest.
In summary, these results show that ‘Malbec’ phenylpropanoid branches differ in their thermal sensitivity. Moderate warming (~ +2.5 °C) consistently constrained both anthocyanins and stilbenes, whereas exogenous ABA primarily reinforced the anthocyanin color module, favoring malvidin-rich profiles and partially buffering the heat penalty on wine anthocyanins. This interpretation is consistent with the ABA improvement index under warming in wines (
Figure 9), indicating a consistent upward shift across compounds despite only partial recovery toward the −T/+ABA condition. However, ABA did not fully restore the −T/+ABA anthocyanin phenotype under warming and did not recover stilbenes, indicating higher thermal sensitivity of the stilbene branch in ’Malbec’. The 22–37 DAV window emerged as the most responsive period for ABA support of late color-related regulation, matching the strongest activation of the anthocyanin module and the clearest treatment separation at mid-ripening. Given projections of more frequent +2 °C warming during ripening in warm viticultural regions, ABA applications in ‘Malbec’ within this window may help preserve wine anthocyanin pigments linked to color and malvidin-rich profiles under moderate warming. Stilbene-related traits, however, may remain difficult to safeguard. Future studies should validate these responses across seasons,
V. vinifera cultivars, and Malbec clonal selections, and integrate transcript, enzyme-activity, and turnover measurements to disentangle synthesis versus degradation under warming.