The Atmospheric Gray-Zone (a.k.a. Terra Incognita) Problem: A Strategy Analysis from an Engineering Viewpoint
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. The Atmospheric Gray-Zone Problem
2.1. The Problem Considered
- 1.
- Inappropriate parametrizations: (i) Turbulence schemes reveal drawbacks: the resolved part is too large (or too weak) if the turbulence scheme is used without (or with) the mass-flux scheme [112,113], (ii) schemes need to account for 3D turbulence in the gray-zone [113,114,115], (iii) there can be excessive mixing due to a large turbulence length scale at coarse resolutions, which results in the cut-off of resolved turbulence in the gray-zone [116].
- 2.
- Spin-up need and its sensitivity: (i) Without perturbations (initiation of resolved turbulence called spin-up), it is possible that resolved turbulence does not become established at all [117]. (ii) Models require an enhancement of diffusion to give a collapse of turbulence at (h is the boundary-layer depth), whereas spin up of turbulence within the gray-zone requires a reduced diffusion [118].
- 3.
- Grid and scheme dependence of results: When the grid spacing is similar to the dominant physical scales, then the grid influences what motions get allowed or forced, leading to artificial structures, and spurious triggering of convection or turbulence. For example, (i) mesoscale structures (rolls vs. cells, turbulence flux profiles, etc.) depend strongly on the horizontal grid resolution (and anisotropy between horizontal and vertical motions) [22,119], (ii) with respect to a tropical cyclone structure and intensity (eyewall slope, radius of maximum wind, latent heating, microphysics) simulation results vary significantly with the resolution; the results depend on convective parametrization schemes [120].
- 4.
- Incorrect simulation predictions: Errors in regard to precipitation extremes, boundary layer depth, diurnal heating, and cloud fraction often increase in gray-zones. For example, (i) we see overestimations and erroneous precipitation locations or an erroneous simulation of heavy precipitation at high resolution [120,121,122], or (ii) the neutral ABL can be ill-represented (erroneous ABL height and wind-direction rotation, strong effect of resolution) [123].
| Cases and Resolution | Gray-Zone Performance and Requirements |
|---|---|
| Honnert et al. (2011) [112]; Honnert (2016) [113]: CBLs (five dry and cloudy cases); GZC; several mesoscale parametrizations | Turbulence schemes reveal drawbacks: resolved part is too large (or too weak) if the turbulence scheme is used without (or with) the mass-flux scheme; the turbulence scheme does not mix the boundary layer well enough, schemes need to account for 3D turbulence in gray-zone |
| Honnert (2018) [123]: neutral ABL; km3; GZC; different turbulence and length scale models | Neutral ABL is ill-represented (erroneous ABL height and wind-direction rotation, strong effect of resolution); most of the turbulence schemes are incorrect |
| Honnert et al. (2021) [124]: three boundary layer cases (a free convective case, a neutral case and a cold air outbreak case); GZC; mesoscale parametrizations; use of DES-type turbulence length scale | With new DES-type mixing length, the turbulence scheme produces improved proportions between subgrid and resolved turbulent exchanges in LES, in the gray zone and at the mesoscale |
| Juliano et al. (2022) [114]: idealized cases (growing CBL over homogeneous land surface, sea-breeze front, mountain–valley circulation); GZC; 3D ABL scheme | New 3D ABL scheme is very promising; turbulent length scale model (and master length scale concept) need improvements, in particular for convective and stable cases |
| Efstathiou and Beare (2015) [116]: 3D dry CBL simulations; domain of at least km2; ranging from the LES ( m) to the mesoscale limit ( m) | Excessive mixing due to the large values of mixing length at coarse resolutions results in the cut-off of resolved turbulence in the gray zone; the damping of resolved motions comes earlier for wind shear runs |
| Kealy et al. (2019) [117]: 3D LES of day 33 of the Wangara experiment (a widely studied CBL case); domain of km3; ranging from the LES ( m) to gray-zone runs ( m) | Without perturbations (initiation of resolved turbulence called spin-up), resolved turbulence does not become established at all; (1) applying structured perturbations, and (2) using a dynamically evolving Smagorinsky coefficient are shown to encourage faster spin-up |
| Beare and Efstathiou (2025) [118]: 3D CBL LES; case of Sullivan and Patton [125]; domain of m3, ranging from the LES ( m) to gray-zone runs ( m) | Models require an enhancement of diffusion to give a collapse of turbulence at (h is the boundary-layer depth), whereas spin up of turbulence within the gray zone requires a reduced diffusion |
| De Roode et al. (2022) [119]: clear CBL, km3; GZC; LES | Mesoscale structures (rolls vs. cells, turbulence flux profiles, etc.) depend strongly on horizontal grid resolution (and anisotropy between horizontal and vertical motions) |
| Sun et al. (2013) [120]: sensitivity of Typhoon Shanshan (2006) simulations to changes in horizontal grid spacing and to choices of convective parametrization schemes at gray-zone resolutions (1–7.5 km); WRF model is applied | Tropical cyclone structure and intensity (eyewall slope, radius of maximum wind, latent heating, microphysics) vary significantly with resolution; results depend on convective parametrization schemes |
| Park et al. (2022) [121]: convective cell-related heavy rainfall in South Korea; effect of a scale-aware convective parametrization scheme (timescale and entrainment rates are adjusted based on the horizontal grid spacing) is compared with simpler schemes; gray-zone simulations | Simpler schemes imply overestimations and erroneous precipitation locations or an erroneous simulation of heavy precipitation at high resolution; scale-aware schemes can improve simulations although model parameter settings play a crucial role |
| Tomassini et al. (2023) [122]: several global cases (e.g., convection–circulation over Africa, Hurricane Dorian and Typhoon Goni, Darwin mesoscale convective systems case, Atlantic Extratropics) using 5 km resolution | Very similar observations as reported by Park et al. (2022) [121]: a scale-aware turbulence scheme and a carefully reduced and simplified mass-flux convection scheme outperform simpler schemes |
2.2. Solution Concepts
- 1.
- Incorporation of turbulence anisotropy: When the horizontal grid spacing is relatively coarse, horizontal (momentum, heat, and scalar) gradients are relatively small compared to vertical gradients, such that 1D (vertical) turbulence models are appropriate. But within the gray-zone (using finer grids), such horizontal gradients become nonnegligible and 3D effects of turbulence should be considered [114,123]. Thus, the inclusion of anisotropy is clearly an opportunity to substantially improve simulation results. A valuable extension of previously applied simulation methods has been presented recently by Juliano et al. [114]. Specifically, the authors presented a 3D ABL parametrization based on the level 2.5 model of Mellor and Yamada [126] and demonstrated the advantages in comparison with simpler methods. Additional attempts are described elsewhere [115].
- 2.
- Turbulence length scale transport models: More specifically in regard to the inclusion of an appropriate turbulence length scale, it is worth noting the following. The predominant present approach to address this problem is the definition of appropriate algebraic length scales. An approach that can provide more generally applicable turbulence length scales is the use of two-equation turbulence models which enable (in one or the other way) the inclusion of length scales subject to local turbulence production and dissipation processes. Only a few attempts exist to address the problem in this way, see, e.g., Refs. [127,128,129,130,131,132,133,134].
- 3.
- Turbulence length scale merging: Mesoscale and microscale regimes differ essentially through the inclusion of relatively large and small length scales, respectively. As is well-known, the inclusion of a length scale that appropriately describes the structure of the turbulence in the gray-zone represents a highly relevant challenge: the simple use of usually applied RANS or LES length scales is proven to be inappropriate. Based on existing concepts [135], a valuable extension of existing methods has been presented recently by Honnert et al. [124]. The basic approach is an appropriate merging of RANS and LES length scales, which enables significant simulation performance advantages. A discussion of a promising alternative way to address this question, which is based on a continuous length scale blending suggested by Senocak et al. [136], can be found elsewhere [27].
- 4.
- Scale-aware parametrizations: A substantial disadvantage of using usually applied mesoscale parametrizations in the gray-zone is their scale independence. The latter assumes turbulent kinetic energies and length scales that are often way too large to properly represent gray-zone turbulence variables. It is now commonly accepted that scale-aware turbulence schemes (which include reference to the grid scale ) are very efficient to overcome this problem. Several works in this regard are cited in Table 2, see Refs. [120,121,122]. We note that varying scale-awareness concepts are currently in use, e.g., McWilliams et al. require the following: “a scale-aware parameterization needs to set the proper energy or scalar transfer between the resolved and subgrid fields” [137].
- 5.
- Initiation of resolved turbulence: In gray-zone simulations, the development of resolved flow structures is certainly not trivial. As is well known, the presence of excessive modeled motion can block (suppress) the development of resolved flow, which can cause significant shortcomings in applications [73]. Valuable attempts to overcome this issue have been reported, for example, in Refs. [117,118], where spin-up techniques have been presented to support the initiation of resolved turbulence. It has to be noted, however, that the success of these techniques turned out to be sensitive to the treatment of diffusion [118].
2.3. Solution Concepts: An Engineering Perspective
- P1.
- Core problem: The core idea of DES methods is to enable a seamless transition between modeled (RANS) and resolved (LES) regimes based on a switch of RANS and LES length scales. This idea sounds perfectly fine as long as such a seamless transition is actually realized in simulations. Unfortunately, this is not always the case: the switch of length scales does often not imply a corresponding switch of simulation regimes. Specifically, a desired flow resolution imposed by the LES length scale does often not translate into a corresponding real flow resolution [73]. A usual practical problem is the blocking of resolved motion through modeled motion or an inappropriate contamination of RANS regions via resolved motion.
- P2.
- Uncertainty of proper approach and predictions: The DES concept can be applied with respect to most regularly implied turbulence models. It can be applied in a variety of versions including delayed DES (DDES), improved delayed DES (IDDES), in zonal and in non-zonal set-ups. Usually, the results significantly depend on the choice of these modeling options. DES is known to sometimes require schemes for the initialization of resolved motions at case-dependent locations. DES is known to be rather sensitive to different mesh distributions (using the same number of grid points) and model parameter settings. This modeling uncertainty often translates into a relatively large uncertainty range of simulation results [73,138].
- P3.
- Balanced simulation performance and computational cost: Usually, the uncertainty range of DES is used to set up simulations such that specific flow characteristics (like pressure or skin-friction distributions) are well characterized at the cost of the simulation performance in regard to other flow characteristics (like velocity and stress profiles). The fact that the real flow resolution accomplished by DES methods can be significantly below expectations [139,140] also has implications for the computational cost of DES methods. It is common practice to compensate simulation shortcomings by an increase in computational cost (finer grids), such that DES simulations can be very expensive [139,140,141].
3. Toward a Gray-Zone Problem Solution
3.1. Turbulence Model
3.2. Hybrid Length Scale Model
- The first problem is that the equation structure is not completely specified as long as the concrete production–dissipation structure is unknown. The latter requires the specification of model parameters like as functions of L or other variables. There are certainly questions about this. Mellor and Yamada [108,126,151] applied a version of this model which includes an empirical quadratic length scale ratio in to ensure consistency with the log-law. A discussion of possibilities to actually specify this quadratic length scale ratio can be found elsewhere [160,161]. Rotta suggested a modification of the production term by involving the third-order velocity derivative [146,150]. Menter and Egorov [108] criticized Rotta’s approach. They suggested the implementation of another empirical quadratic length scale ratio (involving the von Kármán length scale) in the production coefficient . But there are different lines to argue regarding the concrete model formulation: a linear dependence on the corresponding second velocity derivative was proposed first [107], whereas a quadratic formulation has been used later [108].
- The second significant problem related to Equation (3) is the model’s scale and resolution independence. The model as is is incapable of seamlessly covering LES and RANS regimes, i.e., the model cannot properly cover the gray-zone regime.
- As discussed above, current turbulence modeling focusing on L-type equations faces significant uncertainty because of the unknown required structure of model parameters involved. These problems are solved by the approach presented which mathematically determines the appearance of a quadratic length scale ratio in the turbulence model considered. The model obtained is consistent with log-law requirements as long as the model parameter relationship is satisfied, with being the von Kármán constant and .
- The expression is simply a consequence of ensuring the validity of the turbulence model considered in between a reference state (characterized by and the constant ) and a partially or fully resolving state characterized by L and . The model functioning depends essentially on the setting of the reference length scale , which spans the hybridization range in between and L. Variants of performing this are discussed in detail elsewhere [159] by including DES, SAS, Mellor–Yamada-type, and LES scaling variants. However, the most natural, most effective setting of is , where refers to the total length scale that accounts for resolved and modeled contributions (the calculation of and is addressed in the Appendix C). This setting enables a seamless transition between LES and RANS regimes.
3.3. Advantages Compared to Existing Approaches
- P1.
- Core problem: The DES core problem does not exist because there is no switch of RANS and LES length scales. More specifically, there is no switch at all, and there is no discrepancy between resolution driving parameters (LES and RANS length scales) and the actual flow resolution. Instead, the actual flow resolution is measured (in analogy to the corresponding energy ratio ) via , and the model is directly informed about the actual flow resolution via . The latter enables the model to properly respond to variations in the actual resolved motion via increasing or decreasing its contribution to the simulation. Thus, there is no mismatch between resolved and modeled motion.
- P2.
- Uncertainty of proper approach and predictions: The variety of different DES versions that exist is implied by the shortcomings of DES: these DES modifications were presented to overcome these problems. This relates, e.g., to the main DES shortcoming to block resolved motion or to contaminate modeled flow regions with fluctuations, and the DES problem to sensitively depend on the mesh organization. These problems simply do not appear in the approach described here. First, there is no discrepancy between resolved and modeled motion because of the model adjustment mechanism. Second, there is no explicit grid dependence of the model presented; the grid-related filter width does not enter the model.
- P3.
- Balanced simulation performance and computational cost: All previous applications of CES methods presented [138,139,140] reveal a very essential feature: the simulation predictions are well balanced. This means that predictions of a variety of relevant flow characteristics like separation zone characteristics, pressure and skin-friction distributions, profiles of mean velocities and stresses agree very well (and better than the results of other methods) with experimental data: there is simply no wiggle room for flow-dependent model adjustments as given in DES methods. This fact has remarkable implications for the computational cost of CES methods, which are found significantly below the cost of other methods [139,140].
4. Conclusions
- 1.
- Significance and trend: There is currently no indication that simple fixes can overcome the gray-zone problem. The existing problems are serious. Without substantial changes in solution approaches, this problem has to be expected to significantly hamper future atmospheric simulations (possibly for decades to come). Specifically, current (DES-type) concepts to address this problem in regard to atmospheric simulations follow, basically, developments made by the engineering community years ago. However, there are clear indications that these developments significantly fall behind expectations: see the problems P1–P3 reported in Section 2.3.
- 2.
- New modeling approach: There exist new (CES-type) simulation concepts developed in the context of engineering applications. Both theoretical features and applications provide at least strong indications that such CES-type simulations have the potential to overcome problems as seen in the context of DES applications. Specific technical features of the new modeling approach are (i) independence of the main LES restriction (i.e., the inclusion of the filter width ), (ii) inclusion of an inherent actual resolution indicator (), and (iii) identification of conceptual issues of alternative methods (where different settings are used).
- 3.
- Resolution-aware and anisotropy-aware modeling: One of the most essential problems of atmospheric simulations is to provide appropriate (gray-zone applicable) turbulence length scales. The analysis presented identifies a resolution-aware length scale equation where significant uncertainty of the structure of previous type modeling efforts (e.g., regarding the model parameter structure) is excluded. In addition, as described in the Appendix A, a significant model extension covering the structure of the Mellor–Yamada hierarchy is well possible. An attractive feature of the model presented is the identification of length-scale relationships, which generalize the Mellor–Yamada master length scale concept.
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A. Mellor–Yamada Hierarchy
Appendix B. Implications for Length Scale Equation
Appendix C. Resolution Indicators
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| Resolving vs. nonresolving simulations: Resolving simulations performed on sufficiently fine grids enable the calculation of most of the spectrum of turbulent motions. They include turbulent fluctuations produced by the simulation. Nonresolving simulations do not include fluctuations; the turbulence is reflected by a turbulence model. Resolved vs. modeled motion (or flow): Resolved motion stands for turbulent fluctuations produced by a resolving simulation. Modeled motion stands for turbulence described by an explicit model for turbulence. |
| RANS vs. LES [averaged vs. filtered equations]: RANS and LES equations can be derived using, e.g., ensemble averaging or filtering in space. With respect to simulations, there is no difference if the equation structure and parametrization of turbulence length scales are the same. The typical RANS-LES difference is the inclusion of a relatively large (small) turbulence length scale or viscosity, respectively. RANS (LES) are usually performed on relatively coarse (fine) grids focusing on flow modeling (flow resolution). Typically applied RANS equations can be used for resolving LES if the turbulence length scale and grid are sufficiently small. Used on appropriate grids, typically applied RANS equations can produce fluctuations; such RANS are called unsteady RANS (URANS). |
| Hybrid RANS-LES vs. RANS or LES: The term hybrid RANS-LES will be used for methods aiming at the ability to be seamlessly applicable to nonresolving and resolving simulations (in contrast to RANS or LES aiming at one of these cases). This view of hybrid RANS-LES includes, e.g., DES, which switches RANS and LES length scales to transition from one regime to the other (to enable a transition between modeled and resolved flow regions). Depending on the set-up, this view of hybrid RANS-LES can include WMLES, which applies RANS elements in some flow regions. This view of hybrid RANS-LES does not include typical atmospheric LES applied in conjunction with wall-modeling. Such simulations will be considered here simply as LES because the focus is still on flow resolution, i.e., not an a transition between resolution regimes. |
| Mesoscale vs. microscale simulations: Atmospheric mesoscale (microscale) simulations are performed with a resolution of a few km to hundreds of km (a resolution of meters to a few km). For simplicity, mesoscale and microscale simulations will be considered here as using incompletely resolving RANS and resolving LES. Specifically, such mesoscale simulations typically represent URANS, which includes the calculation of fluctuations. |
| Gray-zone vs. Terra Incognita: The term gray-zone refers to simulations on intermediate grids where the basic assumptions of RANS or LES are not satisfied. This may refer to coarse LES, where the resolved fluctuations do not need to represent realistic turbulence. This may refer to URANS where the appearance of fluctuations can lead to essentially misaligned production–dissipation mechanisms of equations. The term Terra Incognita is usually applied to refer to the gray-zone problem in atmospheric simulations. Dynamic LES is no option to address gray-zone problems. Dynamic LES is still resolving LES aiming at a better performance based on dynamic coefficient adjustments. The problem of under-resolution on coarse grids cannot properly be addressed by dynamic LES. |
| Scale-aware vs. resolution-aware parametrizations: Scale-aware parametrizations usually include reference to the filter width () in equations (like usual LES parametrizations). Under many conditions, such a reference is an insufficient reflection of the real flow resolution. Resolution-aware parametrizations (like CES) include explicit reference to the actual flow resolution in equations (by inclusion of or ; see below). |
| DES vs. CES simulations: Both address the gray-zone issue, but very differently. DES switches RANS and LES length scales, hoping for a seamless transition between modeled and resolved flow regions. Rather often, the latter transition happens with significant reluctance, which can lead to a significant mismatch of modeled and resolved flow. These problems are avoided in CES because of the direct interaction of modeled and resolved flow. |
| Detached Eddy Simulation (DES) | Continuous Eddy Simulation (CES) | |
|---|---|---|
| Core idea | switch of RANS, LES length scales | resolution-aware modeling (model knows and appropriately responds to actual flow resolution) |
| Advantage | simple idea; simple to implement (simpler than CES implementation) | exact math-based; direct actual resolution measurement; no grid influence; no DES problems |
| Disadvantage | Always: no implied resolution switch, resolved and modeled motion mismatch, many different versions of fixes, significant grid dependence, imbalanced predictions, significant cost to fix problems | Only once: modeling approach requires calculation of actual flow resolution indicators on the fly, implementation of scale transport equation in general required |
| Functionality | spatial switch between RANS-type and LES-type flow regions (no CES transitionality) | full hybrid model transitionality from modeled to resolved simulations |
| Method | Reattachment | Error (%) |
|---|---|---|
| CES () | 3.78 | 0.5 |
| CES () | 3.7 | |
| S-A IDDES (coarse 0.3M grid) | 3.9578 | 5.3 |
| S-A IDDES (fine 0.9M grid) | 4.2922 | 14.2 |
| -SST IDDES (coarse 0.3M grid) | 3.9578 | 5.3 |
| -SST (fine 0.9M grid) | 4.7078 | 25.2 |
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Heinz, S. The Atmospheric Gray-Zone (a.k.a. Terra Incognita) Problem: A Strategy Analysis from an Engineering Viewpoint. Fluids 2025, 10, 301. https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids10110301
Heinz S. The Atmospheric Gray-Zone (a.k.a. Terra Incognita) Problem: A Strategy Analysis from an Engineering Viewpoint. Fluids. 2025; 10(11):301. https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids10110301
Chicago/Turabian StyleHeinz, Stefan. 2025. "The Atmospheric Gray-Zone (a.k.a. Terra Incognita) Problem: A Strategy Analysis from an Engineering Viewpoint" Fluids 10, no. 11: 301. https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids10110301
APA StyleHeinz, S. (2025). The Atmospheric Gray-Zone (a.k.a. Terra Incognita) Problem: A Strategy Analysis from an Engineering Viewpoint. Fluids, 10(11), 301. https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids10110301

