Multi-Objective Optimization and K-Means Clustering Analysis of Green Hydrogen Production Routes via Biomass Gasification and Water Electrolysis
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Methodology
- Modeling and simulation: the modeling and simulation of hydrogen production are implemented through two technological routes: biomass gasification and water electrolysis, using Aspen Plus™ V15 software. The models developed incorporate the main process units, material, and energy streams, as well as the necessary auxiliary operations, ensuring technically feasible operating conditions consistent with real industrial scenarios.
- Sensitivity analysis: in this stage, the influence of the main operating parameters on the technical and economic performance of the plants is evaluated. Based on these results, the key decision variables for each technological route are identified.
- Multi-objective optimization: this stage is formulated as a multi-objective optimization problem, simultaneously considering the maximization of green hydrogen production, the minimization of specific energy consumption, and the total annual cost. Optimization is implemented by integrating Aspen PlusTM with the Differential Evolution Tabu List (MODE) algorithm, using Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) in Microsoft ExcelTM as the integration platform. The results obtained are normalized using the Min-Max scaling technique to bring the target functions to a common scale. Based on these values, a Balance Score (BS) is calculated to identify the most balanced solution [37] to be identified by simultaneously considering the maximization of hydrogen production and the minimization of energy consumption and total annual cost.
- K-means clustering analysis: to deepen the interpretation of the solutions obtained, the K-means algorithm, an unsupervised machine learning clustering method, is applied to the results generated by MODE, using Python™ (version 3.14.x) as the programming language. Previously, the data were standardized using the Standard Scaler technique of the scikit-learn library, normalizing each variable according to its mean and standard deviation. Subsequently, the optimal number of clusters is determined using the elbow method, identifying three representative groups from the inflection point in the square Euclidean distances curve. Finally, the K-means algorithm is executed to segment the solutions, allowing configurations with similar behaviors in terms of hydrogen production, energy consumption, and total annual cost to be grouped. It is worth highlighting that clustering methods have a wide variety of applications, not only in multi-objective optimization, but also in Process Systems Engineering (PSE) for data classification to improve processes, operational monitoring, system failure detection, and time-dependent process modeling, among many other purposes.
2.1. Modeling and Simulation
2.1.1. Biomass Gasification
2.1.2. Water Electrolysis
2.2. Sensitivity Analysis
2.3. Multi-Objective Optimization
2.3.1. Integration of Simulation and Optimization Environments
2.3.2. Balance Score
2.3.3. Greenhouse Gas Emissions
2.4. K-Means Clustering Analysis
- Operational monitoring and system fault detection, assisting in distinguishing between various system states and detecting anomalies in complex processes [63].
- Design for sustainability, enabling environmentally conscious designs by classifying balanced high-performance alternatives [66].
- Modeling time-dependent processes, allowing dynamic data to be arranged into structured categories, which provide a basis for creating forecasting and decision-making models essential for real-time process optimization and control [67].
- The initial centroids () are selected arbitrarily, once a specific number of clusters () has been defined. The iteration number is denoted as, so that for the first iteration .
- For each point in the database () in the p-dimensional space (), the distance to each centroid () is calculated, using in this case the Euclidean distance as a dissimilarity metric, as presented in Equation (16). In addition, each dimension represents a feature of the dataset.
- Each point in the dataset () is assigned to the cluster () with the closest centroid () according to the Euclidean distance.
- The arithmetic mean of the members that make up each cluster is used to update the corresponding centroid, as described in Equation (17).
- Until the sum of the squares of the Euclidean distances (SED) is minimized, steps 2–4 are repeated. In this way, the objective function to be minimized is established as indicated in Equation (18).
3. Results and Discussion
- Biomass gasification. The model used was the PENG-ROB [29] due to its adequate ability to represent complex reactive systems at elevated temperatures, typical of the thermochemical conversion of biomass [71]. This model allows a more precise estimation of the phase equilibria and thermodynamic behavior of multicomponent mixtures that include light gases (H2, CO, CO2, CH4), water vapor, and unconventional compounds, ensuring numerical stability and consistency under severe operating conditions.
3.1. Biomass Gasification Results
3.1.1. Optimization and Balance Score Results
3.1.2. K-Means Clustering Results
3.2. Water Electrolysis
3.2.1. Optimization and Balance Score Results
3.2.2. K-Means Clustering Results
3.3. General Results
4. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Nomenclature
| Biomass gasification | |
| Specific energy, energy required by the process per unit mass (kWh/kg H2) | |
| Air flow rate (kg/h) | |
| Feed flow rate (kg/h) | |
| N2 flow rate (kg/h) | |
| Steam flow rate (kg/h) | |
| H2 production flow rate (kg/h) | |
| Heat exchanger energy requirement (kW) | |
| Decomposition reactor energy requirement (kW) | |
| Oxidation reactor energy requirement (kW) | |
| Total energy requirement (kW) | |
| Pyrolysis temperature (°C) | |
| Total annual cost (USD/yr) | |
| Water electrolysis | |
| Specific energy, energy required by the process per unit mass produced (kWh/kg H2) | |
| H2 production flow rate (kg/h) | |
| Efficiency fraction | |
| Flash Ca tank pressure (bar) | |
| Pump An energy requirement (kW) | |
| Pump 1 energy requirement (kW) | |
| Electrolyzer energy requirement (kWh) | |
| Heat exchanger 1 energy requirement (kW) | |
| Total energy requirement (kW) | |
| Flash Ca tank temperature (°C) | |
| Total annual cost (USD/yr) | |
| Object function | |
| Specific energy, energy required by the process per unit of normalized mass produced | |
| Normalized H2 production flow rate | |
| Normalized total annual cost | |
| K-means algorithm | |
| K-means algorithm | |
| Database point i | |
| Initial centroids of cluster k | |
| Recalculated centroids of cluster k | |
| Cluster k | |
| Square of Euclidean distances | |
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| Process | Variables | Units | Symbols | Values |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biomass gasification | Feed flow | kg/h | 65,400–73,301 | |
| N2 flow | kg/h | 100–185,990 | ||
| Pyrolysis temperature | °C | 700–785 | ||
| Steam flow | kg/h | 100–185,920 | ||
| Air flow | kg/h | 100–185,920 | ||
| Water electrolysis | Energy requirement of the electrolyzer | kWh | 50,000–300,000 | |
| Efficiency fraction | - | 0.59–0.61 | ||
| Ca Flash temperature | °C | 60–85 | ||
| Ca Flash pressure | bar | 7–10 |
| Case | (kg/h) | (kWh/kg H2) | (MUSD/yr) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 3089.03 | 36.88 | 2.26 | 0.57 |
| B | 3196.72 | 35.27 | 2.53 | 0.64 |
| C | 3099.49 | 46.74 | 2.43 | 0.51 |
| D | 3296.82 | 36.72 | 2.54 | 0.47 |
| E | 3315.24 | 41.38 | 2.65 | 0.50 |
| F | 3470.56 | 38.47 | 2.25 | 0.40 |
| G | 3625.95 | 39.63 | 2.45 | 0.33 |
| H | 3881.35 | 61.09 | 1.75 | 0.36 |
| I | 3984.49 | 68.88 | 2.27 | 0.36 |
| Cases | (kg/h) | (°C) | (kg/h) | (kg/h) | (kg/h) | (kW) | (kW) | (kW) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 65,896.49 | 708.8 | 155,074.61 | 19,963.17 | 21,403.86 | 20,395,171.60 | 6,835,954.31 | −13,487,791.70 |
| B | 65,411.87 | 727.6 | 52,438.16 | 19,887.02 | 22,879.31 | 20,245,180.20 | 6,709,969.36 | −13,379,437.90 |
| C | 66,302.71 | 707.6 | 90,909.65 | 44,681.14 | 38,553.79 | 20,520,899.20 | 14,108,418.20 | −21,255,526.70 |
| D | 67,467.41 | 727.5 | 163,612.63 | 28,278.96 | 6751.47 | 20,881,374.80 | 8,059,047.84 | −15,064,793.20 |
| E | 70,880.40 | 707.8 | 132,103.25 | 24,326.39 | 74,021.12 | 21,937,707.80 | 10,857,102.40 | −17,962,278.70 |
| F | 69,356.16 | 739.8 | 7535.53 | 25,395.97 | 67,579.45 | 21,465,948.90 | 10,444,753.80 | −17,563,653.20 |
| G | 67,987.72 | 782.0 | 130,024.29 | 51,863.15 | 724.47 | 21,042,415.20 | 13,302,287.00 | −21,042,172.70 |
| H | 75,495.70 | 755.6 | 55,352.05 | 126,296.48 | 16,583.27 | 23,366,156.40 | 33,313,887.80 | −43,286,474.20 |
| I | 74,875.31 | 780.1 | 121,752.17 | 156,106.90 | 50,912.24 | 23,174,145.30 | 42,428,980.00 | −53,124,135.40 |
| Cluster | (kg/h) | (°C) | (kg/h) | (kg/h) | (kg/h) | (kW) | (kW) | (kW) | (kW) | (kg/h) | (kWh/kg H2) | (MUSD/yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue | 75,500.03 | 774.95 | 89,532.63 | 17,355.29 | 53,112.16 | 97,835.05 | 30,502.96 | 62,985.26 | 128,252.17 | 3984.22 | 32.22 | 2.50 |
| Red | 74,430.92 | 768.73 | 91,876.52 | 116,051.79 | 80,265.71 | 96,449.64 | 142,090.57 | 182,607.58 | 238,380.70 | 3892.35 | 61.46 | 2.27 |
| Green | 69,455.37 | 757.59 | 92,594.01 | 31,718.31 | 68,530.86 | 90,002.22 | 49,950.07 | 80,789.50 | 139,858.69 | 3565.45 | 39.40 | 2.24 |
| Case | (kg/h) | (kWh/kg H2) | (MUSD/yr) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 3156.78 | 68.90 | 3.72 | 0.58 |
| B | 3155.81 | 68.93 | 3.71 | 0.59 |
| C | 3173.90 | 68.94 | 3.74 | 0.59 |
| D | 3362.78 | 68.93 | 3.78 | 0.49 |
| E | 3480.83 | 68.83 | 3.69 | 0.41 |
| F | 3673.75 | 68.75 | 3.72 | 0.29 |
| G | 3695.15 | 68.71 | 3.77 | 0.27 |
| H | 3708.59 | 68.80 | 3.70 | 0.29 |
| I | 3783.83 | 68.80 | 3.72 | 0.25 |
| Casos | (kWh) | (°C) | (bar) | (kW) | (kW) | (kW) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 207,542.37 | 0.61 | 73.3 | 10 | 13.24 | 6806.28 | 1.76 |
| B | 207,542.37 | 0.61 | 68.9 | 7 | 13.24 | 6817.20 | 1.76 |
| C | 208,813.56 | 0.61 | 66.7 | 7 | 13.24 | 6820.69 | 1.74 |
| D | 221,525.42 | 0.59 | 80.0 | 7 | 13.24 | 6919.61 | 1.65 |
| E | 229,152.54 | 0.6 | 73.3 | 10 | 13.24 | 6952.02 | 1.46 |
| F | 241,864.41 | 0.6 | 64.4 | 8.5 | 13.24 | 7039.45 | 1.24 |
| G | 243,135.59 | 0.6 | 77.8 | 10 | 13.24 | 7079.12 | 1.22 |
| H | 244,406.78 | 0.59 | 68.9 | 10 | 13.24 | 7029.46 | 1.27 |
| I | 249,491.53 | 0.59 | 64.4 | 8.5 | 13.24 | 7067.10 | 1.18 |
| Cluster | (kWh) | (°C) | (bar) | (kW) | (kW) | (kW) | (kW) | (kg/h) | (kWh/kg H2) | (MUSD/yr) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red | 221,560.00 | 0.5933 | 69.8574 | 8.6203 | 13.2416 | 6874.18 | 1.6272 | 231,775.54 | 3326.50 | 69.6723 | 3.72 |
| Green | 259,559.98 | 0.5999 | 70.1304 | 8.3981 | 13.2404 | 7203.11 | 0.9299 | 270,721.24 | 3943.98 | 68.6544 | 3.68 |
| Blue | 227,487.57 | 0.6068 | 69.8898 | 8.5332 | 13.2412 | 6963.68 | 1.4404 | 237,960.48 | 3494.56 | 68.0934 | 3.70 |
| Biomass Gasification | Water Electrolysis | |
|---|---|---|
| Case G | Case I | |
| (kg/h) | 3625.95 | 3783.83 |
| (kWh/kg H2) | 39.63 | 68.8 |
| (MUSD/yr) | 2.45 | 3.72 |
| (kg CO2-equation/kg H2) | 1.17 | 2.03 |
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Padilla-Esquivel, C.A.; Posadas-Paredes, T.; Alcocer-García, H.; Ramírez-Márquez, C.; Ponce-Ortega, J.M. Multi-Objective Optimization and K-Means Clustering Analysis of Green Hydrogen Production Routes via Biomass Gasification and Water Electrolysis. Processes 2026, 14, 946. https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14060946
Padilla-Esquivel CA, Posadas-Paredes T, Alcocer-García H, Ramírez-Márquez C, Ponce-Ortega JM. Multi-Objective Optimization and K-Means Clustering Analysis of Green Hydrogen Production Routes via Biomass Gasification and Water Electrolysis. Processes. 2026; 14(6):946. https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14060946
Chicago/Turabian StylePadilla-Esquivel, Carlos Antonio, Thelma Posadas-Paredes, Heriberto Alcocer-García, César Ramírez-Márquez, and José María Ponce-Ortega. 2026. "Multi-Objective Optimization and K-Means Clustering Analysis of Green Hydrogen Production Routes via Biomass Gasification and Water Electrolysis" Processes 14, no. 6: 946. https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14060946
APA StylePadilla-Esquivel, C. A., Posadas-Paredes, T., Alcocer-García, H., Ramírez-Márquez, C., & Ponce-Ortega, J. M. (2026). Multi-Objective Optimization and K-Means Clustering Analysis of Green Hydrogen Production Routes via Biomass Gasification and Water Electrolysis. Processes, 14(6), 946. https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14060946

