Routine Biomarkers in Paediatric Appendicitis Stratification: Which Add Diagnostic Value? A Retrospective Cohort Study
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design and Patient Selection
2.2. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
2.3. Outcome Definitions and Variables
2.4. Ethical Considerations
2.5. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Study Population—General Characteristics
3.2. Laboratory Parameters and Inflammatory Biomarkers
3.3. Composite Inflammatory Indices and Predictive Modelling
3.4. Thresholds for Clinical Applicability
3.5. Clinical Application and Practical Calculation of the Risk Score
3.6. Perforation Status Stratification
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| AA | Acute appendicitis |
| AASI | Acute Appendicitis Severity Index |
| AIC | Akaike Information Criterion |
| AIR | Appendicitis Inflammatory Response |
| AUC | Area under the curve |
| CA | Complicated appendicitis |
| CI | Confidence interval |
| CRP | C-reactive protein |
| CT | Computed tomography |
| EAES | European Association for Endoscopic Surgery |
| EHR | Electronic health records |
| GDPR | General Data Protection Regulation |
| HGB | Hemoglobin |
| ICD-10 | International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision |
| INR | International Normalized Ratio |
| PPV | Positive predictive value |
| ROC | Receiver Operating Characteristic |
| SD | Standard deviation |
| SII | Systemic immune-inflammation index |
| UA | Uncomplicated appendicitis |
| US | Ultrasound |
| WBC | White blood cell count |
| WSES | World Society of Emergency Surgery |
Appendix A
- z_CRP = (CRP—mean_CRP)/sd_CRP
- z_NLR = (NLR—mean_NLR)/sd_NLR
- z_SII = (SII—mean_SII)/sd_SII
- z_age = (age—mean_age)/sd_age
- z_sex = (sex_binary—mean_sex)/sd_sex (note: this adjustment is usually small because sex is binary)
- logit(p) = β0 + β1 × z_CRP + β2 × z_NLR + β3 × z_SII + β4 × z_age + β5 × z_sex
- (where β0 is the intercept and β1–β5 are the model coefficients, which should be reported)
- p = 1/(1 + exp(–logit(p)))
- p < 0.303 → high-sensitivity rule-out (sensitivity 0.900, NPV 0.803); supports consideration of non-operative management or expedited discharge in low-risk, equivocal cases (pending full clinical assessment).
- p ≥ 0.448 → balanced threshold (sensitivity 0.719, specificity 0.756, PPV 0.781); suitable for general risk stratification and decision support.
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| Variable | Whole Cohort (n = 1132) | Complicated (n = 620) | Uncomplicated (n = 512) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 0.0101 | |||
| Mean (SD) | 11.23 | 10.93 | 11.58 | |
| Median (IQR) | 11.12 (8.6–14.4) | 10.67 (8.1–14.4) | 11.50 (9.1–14.4) | |
| Age (months) | ||||
| Median (IQR) | 133.5 (103.0–173.0) | 128.0 (96.8–173.0) | 138.0 (109.0–173.2) | |
| Sex, n (%) | 0.0514 | |||
| Male | 719 (63.5%) | 410 (66.1%) | 309 (60.4%) | |
| Female | 413 (36.5%) | 210 (33.9%) | 203 (39.6%) | |
| Length of Stay (days) | <0.0001 | |||
| Mean (SD) | 6.73 | 8.29 | 4.84 | |
| Median (IQR) | 6.0 (4.0–8.0) | 8.0 (6.0–9.0) | 4.0 (3.0–6.0) | |
| Appendicectomy | 1040 (91.9%) | 585 (94.4%) | 455 (88.9%) | 0.0011 |
| Parameter | Whole Cohort Median (IQR) | Complicated Median (IQR) | Uncomplicated Median (IQR) | Whole Mean ± SD | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBC | 16.08 (12.1–20.1) | 17.71 (13.9–21.4) | 14.05 (10.7–17.5) | 16.33 ± 5.98 | <0.001 |
| HGB | 12.90 (12.2–13.7) | 12.90 (12.0–13.7) | 13.00 (12.3–13.8) | 12.94 ± 1.39 | 0.041 |
| Neutrophils | 12.84 (9.1–16.9) | 14.50 (11.1–18.2) | 10.89 (7.4–14.8) | 13.18 ± 5.78 | <0.001 |
| Lymphocytes | 1.59 (1.1–2.3) | 1.39 (1.0–2.0) | 1.92 (1.2–2.6) | 1.78 ± 0.92 | <0.001 |
| Monocytes | 1.14 (0.8–1.6) | 1.31 (0.9–1.8) | 0.98 (0.7–1.3) | 1.26 ± 0.71 | <0.001 |
| Platelets | 297.00 (249.8–345.0) | 304.00 (250.0–355.2) | 292.00 (249.0–335.0) | 304.37 ± 84.21 | 0.031 |
| INR | 1.16 (1.1–1.3) | 1.21 (1.1–1.3) | 1.11 (1.1–1.2) | 1.19 ± 0.16 | <0.001 |
| Parameter | Complicated Median (IQR) | Uncomplicated Median (IQR) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRP | 75.39 (28.9–144.4) | 15.04 (4.0–36.2) | <0.001 |
| Fibrinogen | 433.00 (362.8–513.0) | 345.00 (287.5–402.0) | <0.001 |
| Parameter | Complicated Median (IQR) | Uncomplicated Median (IQR) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NLR | 10.38 (6.3–15.9) | 5.38 (3.1–10.0) | <0.001 |
| PLR | 213.54 (151.9–301.5) | 152.83 (111.5–223.7) | <0.001 |
| LMR | 1.11 (0.8–1.6) | 1.85 (1.2–2.9) | <0.001 |
| SII | 3094.92 (1818.0–4801.2) | 1560.39 (882.0–3038.5) | <0.001 |
| Variable | CRP-Based Model OR (95% CI) | p-Value | Fibrinogen-Based Model OR (95% CI) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| log(Biomarker) * | 2.1 (1.9–2.4) | <0.001 | 21.7 (12.3–38.1) | <0.001 |
| NLR | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 0.731 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 0.900 |
| log(SII) | 2.3 (1.6–3.3) | <0.001 | 2.2 (1.5–3.0) | <0.001 |
| Age | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 0.937 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 0.685 |
| Sex (Male) | 1.2 (0.9–1.6) | 0.293 | 1.2 (0.9–1.6) | 0.166 |
| Fit Statistics | AIC: 1209.70; R2: 0.23 | — | AIC: 1291.54; R2: 0.18 | — |
| Strategy | Threshold | Clinical Profile | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Model | 0.448 (probability) | Balanced diagnostic performance | 0.719 | 0.756 | 0.781 | 0.690 |
| High-Sensitivity | 0.303 (probability) | Optimal for rule-out strategy | 0.900 | 0.494 | 0.683 | 0.803 |
| CRP Rule-In | ≥92.24 mg/L | High specificity, rule-in oriented | 0.421 | 0.943 | 0.900 | 0.574 |
| Biomarker | Perforated (n = 257) Median (IQR) | Non-Perforated (n = 875) Median (IQR) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRP (mg/L) | 113.46 (57.10–185.27) | 26.13 (7.30–65.10) | <0.001 |
| Fibrinogen (mg/dL) | 464.00 (407.00–550.00) | 366.00 (304.00–433.00) | <0.001 |
| NLR | 11.46 (6.98–16.73) | 7.13 (3.87–12.42) | <0.001 |
| PLR | 239.20 (173.68–322.03) | 170.00 (122.18–248.42) | <0.001 |
| LMR | 1.01 (0.71–1.44) | 1.51 (1.00–2.33) | <0.001 |
| SII | 3338.59 (1877.33–5078.82) | 2125.21 (1089.66–3791.75) | <0.001 |
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Borca, C.-I.; Alexandru, A.; Margan, M.-M.; Ivan, C.-S.; Cindrea, A.C.; Fira-Mladinescu, C.; Negru, M.; Hutanu, D.; Vlad, S.-V.; Vlaicu, B.; et al. Routine Biomarkers in Paediatric Appendicitis Stratification: Which Add Diagnostic Value? A Retrospective Cohort Study. Children 2026, 13, 447. https://doi.org/10.3390/children13040447
Borca C-I, Alexandru A, Margan M-M, Ivan C-S, Cindrea AC, Fira-Mladinescu C, Negru M, Hutanu D, Vlad S-V, Vlaicu B, et al. Routine Biomarkers in Paediatric Appendicitis Stratification: Which Add Diagnostic Value? A Retrospective Cohort Study. Children. 2026; 13(4):447. https://doi.org/10.3390/children13040447
Chicago/Turabian StyleBorca, Ciprian-Ioan, Alexandru Alexandru, Madalin-Marius Margan, Cristiana-Smaranda Ivan, Alexandru Cristian Cindrea, Corneluta Fira-Mladinescu, Marius Negru, Delia Hutanu, Silviu-Valentin Vlad, Brigitha Vlaicu, and et al. 2026. "Routine Biomarkers in Paediatric Appendicitis Stratification: Which Add Diagnostic Value? A Retrospective Cohort Study" Children 13, no. 4: 447. https://doi.org/10.3390/children13040447
APA StyleBorca, C.-I., Alexandru, A., Margan, M.-M., Ivan, C.-S., Cindrea, A. C., Fira-Mladinescu, C., Negru, M., Hutanu, D., Vlad, S.-V., Vlaicu, B., & David, V.-L. (2026). Routine Biomarkers in Paediatric Appendicitis Stratification: Which Add Diagnostic Value? A Retrospective Cohort Study. Children, 13(4), 447. https://doi.org/10.3390/children13040447

