Adaptive Sampling of Marine Submesoscale Features Using Gaussian Process Regression with Unmanned Platforms

Submesoscale processes, characterized by strong vertical velocities that generate sea surface temperature (SST) fronts as well as O(1) Rossby number (Ro), are critical to ocean mixing and biogeochemical transport, yet their observation is hampered by cost and spatial limitations. Hence, this study proposes an adaptive sampling framework for unmanned surface vehicles (USVs) that integrates Gaussian process regression (GPR) with submesoscale physical characteristics for efficient, targeted sampling. Three composite-kernel GPR models are developed to predict SST, zonal velocity U, and meridional velocity V, providing predictive fields to support adaptive path planning. A robust coupled gradient indicator (CGI) is further introduced to identify SST frontal zones, where the maximum CGI values are used to select candidate waypoints. Connecting these waypoints yields adaptive paths aligned with frontal structures, while a Ro threshold (0.5–2) automatically triggers spiral-intensive sampling to collect more useful data. Simulation results show that the planned paths effectively capture SST gradient and submesoscale dynamics. The final environment reconstruction achieved the desired accuracy after model retraining, and deployment analysis informs optimal platform deployment. Overall, the proposed framework couples environmental prediction, adaptive path planning, and intelligent sampling, offering an effective strategy for advancing the observation of submesoscale ocean processes.