Hybrid Electro-Thermal and FNN Framework for Joint SoC, SoH Estimation and Lifetime Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries in Electric Vehicles
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Motivation and Background
1.2. Previous Works
1.3. Paper Contributions
- The development of a lithium-ion battery electro-thermal model suitable for the simultaneous estimation of state of charge (SoC), state of health (SoH), and battery cycle life.
- Integration of a feedforward neural network to improve the accuracy of SoC and SoH estimations within the 0 °C to 40 °C temperature range, which is representative of African climatic conditions.
- A contribution to extending battery lifespan and reducing maintenance costs for electric vehicles.
1.4. Paper Organization
2. Methodology
2.1. General Methodological Framework
2.2. Electrothermal Modeling Workflow
- TERMINAL VOLTAGE EQUATION
- STATE EQUATIONS
- SoC UPDATE
- : instantaneous state of charge t;
- : initial state of charge;
- : rated battery capacity (Ah);
- : coulombic efficiency;
- : instantaneous current.
2.3. Feedforward Neural Network Approach
3. Vehicle Power Demand Model
- P(t): vehicle instantaneous power (W).
- V(t): battery voltage (V).
- I(t): current supplied by the battery (A).
Feedforward Neural Network Model
- y: neuronal output;
- xi: i-th input variable;
- wi: weight associated with the input xi;
- b: neuron bias;
- Σ: weighted sum of inputs;
- f(.): neuron activation function.
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Vehicle Power Profile Analysis
4.2. Battery Load Profile
4.3. State of Charge Prediction
4.4. State of Health Prediction
- WLS: weighted least squares regression.
- WTLS: weighted total least squares regression.
- TLS: total least squares regression.
- AWTLS: adaptive weighted total least squares regression.
4.5. Battery Life Cycle Prediction
4.6. Discussion
- (a)
- Case of SoC estimation
- (b)
- Case of SoH Estimation
- (c)
- Case of battery life cycle prediction
4.7. Challenge and Future Scope
5. Conclusions
- Developing an electro-thermal model adapted for the simultaneous estimation of lithium-ion battery SoC, SoH, and cycle life.
- Integrating a feedforward neural network to improve estimation accuracy.
- Accounting for a temperature range of 0 °C to 40 °C, representative of African climatic conditions.
- Performing cross-validation using MATLAB and Simulink to enhance model robustness.
- Contributing to extended battery lifespan and reduced maintenance costs for electric vehicles.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Lithium-Ion Battery | Model MLS 12/390 |
|---|---|
| Manufacturer Producer | Mastervolt (Amsterdam, The Netherlands) |
| Chemical composition | LiFePO4, lithium iron phosphate |
| Nominal voltage | 12.8 V |
| Nominal capacity | 30 Ah |
| Maximum charging/discharging current | 30 A/30 A |
| Mass | 4.9 kg |
| Cost | 720 € |
| Theoretical life cycle | >2500 cycles |
| Security protection | Equipped with a BMS (passive balancing) |
| Parameter | Description | Unit | Typical Value (Li-Ion) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open-circuit voltage (function of SoC) | V | 3.0–4.2 | |
| Ohmic internal resistance | mΩ | 5–20 | |
| Fast polarization resistance | mΩ | 0.5–5 | |
| Fast polarization capacitance | F | 100–2000 | |
| Slow polarization resistance | mΩ | 1–15 | |
| Slow polarization capacitance | F | 1000–20,000 | |
| Nominal battery capacity | Ah | 30 | |
| Coulombic efficiency | – | 0.95–0.99 |
| PARAMETERS | Description | Value/Condition | Standard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rated capacity | Total battery capacity | 30 Ah | GEL-UDLA Department |
| Rated voltage | Average operating voltage | 12.8 V (4s1pLiFePo4) | GEL-UDLA Department |
| Maximum discharge current | Maximum permissible discharge current for 2500 life cycles (1C) | 30 A | ISO 12405-4 |
| Max peak discharge | Pulse < 30 s for VE acceleration (5C) | 150 A | Manufacturer pulse spec |
| Maximum charging current | Maximum permissible load current | 30 A | ISO 12405-4 |
| Operating temperature | Operating temperature range | 0 °C to 40 °C | Africa Zone |
| State of charge (SoC) | State-of-charge range for testing | 20% to 80% | UNECE R100 |
| Driving cycle | Driving profile used for the simulation | WLTP, NEDC, FTP-75 | WLTP, UNECE R101 |
| Simulation duration | Total duration of simulations | 1000 charge/discharge cycles | SAE J2380 |
| Conversion efficiency | Charge and discharge energy efficiency | 95% | ISO 12405-4 |
| Security protocol | Safety measures to be followed | Overheating and overcharge protection | UNECE R100, IEC 62660-2 |
| Accelerated aging | Aging simulation for longevity assessment | 1000 charge/discharge cycles | IEC 61982 |
| References | Method | SoC Accuracy (%) |
|---|---|---|
| [5] | Hybrid model | 94.6 |
| [8] | ANN | 92.1 |
| [13] | LSTM | 93.4 |
| Proposed method | Electro-thermal model + FNN | 95.3 |
| Reference | Method | SoH Accuracy (%) |
|---|---|---|
| [3] | Electro-thermal model | 94.3 |
| [4] | Machine learning | 93.7 |
| [11] | Neural network | 91.5 |
| Proposed method | Electro-thermal model + FNN | 95.8 |
| Reference | Method | Accuracy (%) |
|---|---|---|
| [2] | ANN | 90.3 |
| [3] | Hybrid model | 91.2 |
| [12] | Statistical model | 88.6 |
| Proposed method | Electro-thermal model + FNN | 92.5 |
| Ref | Theme/Title | Tools and Methods | Input Variables | Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| [12] | Parametric studies on artificial intelligence techniques for batteries: SoC management and renewable energy optimization |
|
| The results show that applying the TGA and ICBO heuristic techniques yielded results approximately 13% and 17% better, respectively, than those obtained using linear programming (LP) in terms of the ESS state of charge. The use of ICBO led to average SoC values reduced to 0.365, which is beneficial for battery life and performance. |
| [9] | A comparative study and validation of state estimation algorithms for Li-ion batteries in battery management systems |
|
| Model-based algorithms demonstrated good accuracy in estimating the state of charge (SoC) of batteries at 91.6%, while respecting the specified requirements and limitations. They also demonstrated properties achieving greater accuracy and faster dynamic convergence compared to other approaches over a temperature range of 0 to 26 degrees Celsius. |
| [3] | Artificial intelligence-based battery management solutions for Li-ion batteries |
|
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| In this work | Battery management for electric cars using artificial intelligence |
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© 2026 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license.
Share and Cite
Mahamat Ali, A.-H.; Assiene Mouodo, L.V.; Félix, P.; Axaopoulos, P.J. Hybrid Electro-Thermal and FNN Framework for Joint SoC, SoH Estimation and Lifetime Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries in Electric Vehicles. Appl. Sci. 2026, 16, 8698. https://doi.org/10.3390/app16178698
Mahamat Ali A-H, Assiene Mouodo LV, Félix P, Axaopoulos PJ. Hybrid Electro-Thermal and FNN Framework for Joint SoC, SoH Estimation and Lifetime Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries in Electric Vehicles. Applied Sciences. 2026; 16(17):8698. https://doi.org/10.3390/app16178698
Chicago/Turabian StyleMahamat Ali, Abdel-Hamid, Luc Vivien Assiene Mouodo, Paune Félix, and Petros J. Axaopoulos. 2026. "Hybrid Electro-Thermal and FNN Framework for Joint SoC, SoH Estimation and Lifetime Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries in Electric Vehicles" Applied Sciences 16, no. 17: 8698. https://doi.org/10.3390/app16178698
APA StyleMahamat Ali, A.-H., Assiene Mouodo, L. V., Félix, P., & Axaopoulos, P. J. (2026). Hybrid Electro-Thermal and FNN Framework for Joint SoC, SoH Estimation and Lifetime Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries in Electric Vehicles. Applied Sciences, 16(17), 8698. https://doi.org/10.3390/app16178698

