7.1. Different Uses of Green Hydrogen in Society
The global demand for hydrogen reached approximately 90 Mt in 2020, representing a 50% increase since the beginning of the millennium [
50]. This demand is primarily concentrated in the refining and industrial sectors. Given its nature as the lightest and most abundant element in the universe, hydrogen is distinguished by its high energy density per unit of weight, which is three times that of gasoline. Its versatility in storage, transportation, and use establishes it as a fundamental energy vector, adaptable to various physical states (gaseous, liquid, and solid) and susceptible to conversion into other substances. It facilitates energy utilization at times and locations far removed from its primary production [
51].
While its current application focuses on the petrochemical industry, particularly in the synthesis of ammonia for fertilizers, refining processes, and the production of steel and iron (with China, the United States, and the Middle East as the main consumers in refining), the hydrogen value chain encompasses a wide range of energy-intensive sectors. These include the oil industry, the chemical industry (to produce synthetic fuels and other products), power generation, mobility (land, sea, and air), and heavy industry (cement, steel, etc.). These sectors were responsible for a significant carbon footprint, with approximately 11.2 Gt of CO
2 emissions in 2017 derived from fossil fuels [
52].
In this context, green hydrogen, produced from renewable sources, is emerging as a promising solution for the decarbonization of these various sectors. Some authors specifically explore its potential in agriculture, aquaculture, and livestock farming, where it could power agricultural machinery, HVAC systems, and the production of sustainable fertilizers. The combustion of green hydrogen generates only water, making it an attractive alternative for reducing the carbon footprint of these activities [
53].
Globally, there is growing interest in and deployment of large-scale green hydrogen projects. In Latin America and the Caribbean, countries such as Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, and Uruguay are developing national hydrogen roadmaps or strategies intending to use it in key sectors such as transportation (air and maritime), mining, fertilizer production, the chemical industry, and steel, seeking to achieve decarbonization goals by 2050.
Despite its potential, the economic viability of green hydrogen is a crucial factor. Its production cost varies considerably depending on the geographic location, electricity prices, and equipment costs. Estimates for 2020 place production from renewables between 4.0 and 7.0 USD/kgH
2, with projections suggesting a reduction to a range of 1.5 to 3.0 USD/kgH
2 by 2030 and beyond. In this regard, some authors emphasize the need for a thorough economic analysis to determine the large-scale viability of green hydrogen, considering production costs, infrastructure development, and demand in the various application sectors—elements that will define its competitiveness in the future energy market [
54].
Financing mechanisms play a fundamental role in the viability and scalability of green hydrogen production, especially in regions such as Magallanes, Chile. The specialized literature underscores the importance of diversifying financing sources and implementing effective risk mitigation instruments to attract sustainable investments. Among the most relevant approaches are public–private partnerships (PPPs), which allow for risk sharing and the mobilization of both public and private capital in the development of green hydrogen projects [
55].
Likewise, green bonds are positioned as a key financial tool. These instruments, commonly structured as bank loans, allow for channeling investments toward sustainable initiatives, attracting investors with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria [
56].
Another essential component is access to multilateral climate funds and international support, which can offer grants, concessional loans, and guarantees that lower the cost of capital, thereby improving the economic viability of projects [
57].
Overall, a strategy combining PPPs, green bonds, and multilateral climate funds, supported by risk-reduction instruments and appropriate policy incentives, provides a solid foundation for financing the transition to green hydrogen. Source diversification and risk sharing are key to accelerating project development and ensuring their long-term sustainability.
Current literature reveals rapid progress and persistent challenges in the production of green hydrogen and synthetic fuels (e-fuels), positioning these fields as strategic pillars for global decarbonization. Innovation in both sectors is geared towards increasing efficiency, reducing costs, and effectively integrating with renewable energy sources.
However, significant challenges remain, including high production costs, infrastructure limitations, and the need for public policies and regulatory frameworks that incentivize its development.
Green hydrogen also plays an essential role in the production of synthetic fuels or e-fuels. When combined with captured carbon dioxide (CO
2), it allows the synthesis of carbon-neutral liquid fuels through processes such as methanol synthesis, the Fischer-Tropsch process, and ammonia synthesis using the Haber–Bosch process [
58]. These fuels are of particular interest for sectors that are difficult to electrify, such as aviation, maritime transport, and heavy industry. León et al. (2024) [
58] also mentions that, although current production costs remain high compared to fossil fuels, technical and economic feasibility studies indicate that future cost reductions largely depend on the reduction in cost and scaling of green hydrogen. Consequently, technological innovation in synthesis, storage, transportation, and distribution processes is key to improving the competitiveness of e-fuels.
Overall, the scientific literature underscores the growing importance of green hydrogen and synthetic fuels as essential solutions for achieving deep decarbonization, especially in sectors where direct electrification is not viable. Ongoing research is driving new production, integration, and efficiency solutions, reinforcing their strategic role in current and future sustainable energy policies.
7.2. Limitations and Challenges in the Storage and Transport of Green Hydrogen
Hydrogen is emerging as a key solution for the decarbonization of energy-intensive sectors such as heavy industry, long-distance transportation, and seasonal storage. The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) estimates that global hydrogen production will need to increase five-fold by 2050, reaching 12% of final energy demand and contributing 10% to CO
2 emissions reductions by that same year. Green hydrogen, produced from renewable sources, is the main contributor to this growth [
50].
However, green hydrogen production faces significant challenges. Reliance on renewable energy sources such as wind and photovoltaics, while sustainable, can be expensive and difficult to access for countries with limited geographical access to renewable resources. Additionally, the intermittent nature of these large-scale energy sources can lead to fluctuations and instability in the electricity supply, posing a challenge to the efficient operation and lifespan of electrolyzers, as well as to the purity of the hydrogen produced. The transportation of green hydrogen constitutes another crucial hurdle in its value chain. While some authors suggest leveraging existing pipelines for the transport of hydrogen and natural gas blends as an efficient and cost-effective strategy for long distances, hydrogen can also be transported in high-pressure gaseous form, low-temperature liquid form, or via liquid organic carriers [
59]. However, the transportation of high-pressure gaseous and low-temperature liquid hydrogen is costly and inefficient for large-scale regional coverage. In this regard, some authors propose that the transportation of blended hydrogen through gas pipelines will become an inevitable trend, with the potential to significantly reduce infrastructure costs. Some authors [
59], meanwhile, emphasize the importance of bulk maritime transport for establishing a global green hydrogen supply chain, although they note that the considerable investment required and limited experience in this type of transport may require long-term supply contracts to secure financing for these projects. From an economic perspective, some authors have analyzed the potential of green hydrogen for transportation, but identified challenges in its widespread development, primarily its current lack of competitiveness compared to fossil fuels and blue hydrogen due to its expensive infrastructure and long lead times for the acquisition of electrolyzers. The authors in [
12] corroborate these findings, noting that the current efficiency and costs of green hydrogen production, transportation, storage, and re-electrification technologies still represent significant obstacles to its widespread implementation.
Finally, the safety of hydrogen transportation and handling is a key concern. Its potential to generate explosions in confined spaces due to leaks and ignition sources, coupled with its colorless and odorless nature, which makes it difficult to detect, and its ability to displace oxygen, represent significant risks. Despite the growing number of green hydrogen projects worldwide, knowledge about the behavior of hydrogen leaks and deflagrations in complex environments is still limited. Overcoming these technical, economic, and security challenges will be crucial to consolidating green hydrogen as a viable energy vehicle in the transition to a low-carbon economy.
7.3. Scale Economies and Production Costs of Green Hydrogen
The need for a transition to cleaner energy sources has driven interest in green hydrogen as a key energy vector in the decarbonization of various industrial sectors. However, its large-scale adoption depends largely on its economic viability. In this context, analyzing the economies of scale and costs associated with its production are essential to understand its competitiveness compared to other energy alternatives [
60,
61,
62].
The first factor influencing green hydrogen production costs is the cost of electricity production. Depending on the type of renewable energy and the number of annual operating hours, between 60% and 70% of the total cost of green hydrogen is related to electricity consumption. Therefore, ensuring access to abundant, reliable, and affordable renewable energy is essential [
63].
In regions with consistently strong winds, such as the Magallanes region, the southernmost point of Chile, this factor can be a significant benefit. Furthermore, according to data from the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC), global installed wind power capacity has experienced sustained growth over the past decade, with an average annual growth rate exceeding 30% [
17].
Another factor influencing the price structure of green hydrogen is the cost of electrolysis. The electrolyzer has a high initial investment cost, which includes auxiliary systems, compressors, converters, and cooling systems. Currently, large-scale electrolysis infrastructure is underdeveloped. However, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), it is estimated that the price of electrolyzers could decrease by up to 60% by 2030 with industrial scaling [
53].
Third, the distribution of green hydrogen presents significant logistical challenges that exponentially increase its production costs. This is because hydrogen, due to its low energy density per unit volume, needs to be compressed at high pressures or converted to its liquid state at very low temperatures for transportation and storage [
52].
Furthermore, the existing natural gas infrastructure is not easily compatible with hydrogen, which requires considerable investments in the construction of new gas pipelines or the adaptation of current networks. Added to this are the costs associated with the gradual dismantling of natural gas networks [
59].
Moreover, unlike synthetic fuels, hydrogen does present technical risks as it requires modifications to the infrastructure or engines in which it will be used. Hydrogen-based fuel cells are very expensive, while hydrogen-powered engines are a more economical option but their use is very limited [
64].
The cost competitiveness of hydrogen applications will improve over time as production scales increase. As the production capacity increases, unit costs decrease due to the distribution of fixed costs over a larger production volume and improved operational efficiency. Several recent studies indicate that scaling up production can result in a 60–70% reduction in unit costs. Furthermore, automating the manufacturing of gigawatt-scale electrolyzers could generate substantial cost reductions [
20].
In other words, as utilization increases and economies of scale are achieved, green hydrogen costs are projected to decrease by up to 70% over the next decade, allowing it to be dispensed at a price of approximately USD 4.50–6 per kilogram [
54].
The development of a large-scale hydrogen economy cannot be achieved solely through technological innovations or improvements in production efficiency. Here, regulation plays a crucial role. It is essential to establish solid and coherent regulatory frameworks that provide a stable regulatory environment and adequate incentives to attract private investment and encourage the development of critical infrastructure and the scaling of this technology.
Current GH2 production costs in some regions (notably South America) are reported at USD 1–1.5/kg, which is significantly lower than global benchmarks of USD 4–6/kg. This cost advantage positions these regions competitively for export markets, especially as the EU seeks cost-effective decarbonization pathways and large-scale investments in renewables to meet its greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction targets [
65].
The comparative analysis of the economic viability of green hydrogen (and its synthetic derivatives) with fossil fuels is based on indicators such as the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) and the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). Currently, renewable hydrogen production ranges from 4.45 to 10 USD/kg H2, which is approximately two to four times higher than that of gray hydrogen, which has production costs ranging from 1 to 2.25 USD/kg H2 through methane reforming or coal gasification processes. This highlights the challenges and opportunities for achieving cost parity.
What is even worse, however, is that the levelized cost of e-fuels produced with renewable sources far exceeds current fossil fuel prices. While the production price of methanol from natural gas and coal ranges from 100 to 250 USD/t, e-methanol is estimated to reach values between 800 and 1600 USD/t.
These costs could be affected if CO2 was obtained through direct air capture technologies, as this would increase the cost of e-methanol to 1200–2400 USD/t. It is estimated that this cost could fall to 250–630 USD/t by 2050, driven by expected reductions in renewable energy generation prices in the coming years.
The same applies to the production cost of e-ammonia, which is currently higher than that of fossil fuel-based ammonia (110–340 USD/t). The production cost of renewable ammonia is estimated to be between 720 and 1400 USD/t and is expected to fall to 310–610 USD/t by 2050. Green hydrogen accounts for over 90% of the total ammonia production cost, with the remaining small fraction attributed to nitrogen purification/separation and the Haber–Bosch process.
However, the cost competitiveness of hydrogen applications is expected to improve substantially as the production scales increase and economies of scale materialize. Expanding generation capacity allows for spreading fixed costs across larger production volumes and improves operational efficiency, potentially resulting in unit reductions of up to 60–70%. Furthermore, the automation of gigawatt-scale electrolyzer manufacturing promises further cost reductions. Consequently, it is estimated that, over the next decade, green hydrogen costs could drop by up to 70%, to approximately 4.50 to 6.00 USD/kg, significantly approaching the competitiveness levels required to displace fossil fuels.
The European Union has established certification schemes and “green” hydrogen thresholds to ensure that imported hydrogen meets strict sustainability and emission criteria. These schemes are designed to enhance the credibility and marketability of hydrogen exports to the EU. Alignment with these certification requirements is crucial for exporters, as it directly impacts the acceptance and value of GH2 in the European market. Providing transparent, verifiable information on the carbon intensity and lifecycle emissions of hydrogen is essential for meeting EU standards and gaining consumer trust [
66].
In this regard, the roadmaps, plans, or laws that promote the development of green hydrogen projects must be aligned with national climate commitments (NDCs) and energy transition plans to ensure compliance with national emission reduction targets.
In addition, they must consider financial support mechanisms to offset competitiveness gaps compared to fossil fuels, through either subsidies, differential tariffs, tax credits, etc. The Hydrogen Council estimates that approximately USD 70 billion is required for green hydrogen to achieve competitiveness compared to conventional fuels. This investment must be allocated across three fronts. The first is production and technology (USD 20 billion), which refers to the development and scaling of electrolyzers, carbon capture technologies, etc. The second is transportation (USD 30 billion), which is focused on recharging and distribution networks. Finally, the third is infrastructure, which would require just over USD 20 billion, which would be allocated to building or retrofitting existing gas pipeline networks to run on hydrogen.
Although the aforementioned amounts are considerable, they are equivalent to less than 5% of global annual energy expenditure and are similar to the financial support provided to renewable energy in Germany, which reached nearly USD 30 billion in 2019. The industrial sector shows a willingness to invest, but it is essential to establish a defined political direction to drive the implementation of hydrogen.
7.4. Future Directions
The Magallanes region, in the far south of Chile, has positioned itself as a strategic territory for the production and export of green hydrogen (GH2), thanks to its exceptional wind potential, water availability, and proximity to international markets. However, the success of this emerging clean energy hub depends on a robust framework of public policies, economic incentives, and international collaborations that drive its sustainable and competitive development.
Chile was a pioneer in Latin America in designing a National Green Hydrogen Strategy (2020) [
26], which prioritizes Magallanes as a production hub due to its natural advantages. However, implementation requires more specific policies, such as
Regulatory simplification: Streamline environmental and territorial permitting for renewable energy and electrolysis projects, avoiding bureaucratic barriers.
Enabling infrastructure: Development of specialized ports (e.g., Puerto Cabo Negro) and energy corridors for the export of hydrogen and derivatives (ammonia, methanol).
Territorial integration: Coordination between the central government and regional authorities to ensure local benefits, such as job training and productive linkages.
A critical challenge is balancing project acceleration with community engagement and environmental sustainability, especially in fragile ecosystems like Patagonia. The study of Patagonian communities, both historically and contemporary, is essential to understanding the cultural diversity and social evolution of the region. The presence of Indigenous peoples, especially Mapuche communities, along with urban and migrant populations, forms a complex sociocultural framework that enriches local identity. In this context, social acceptance becomes a key factor for the success of green hydrogen projects, particularly in areas like Patagonia, where rural communities can be directly affected. Research indicates that public perception, prior knowledge, and active community participation are essential elements for building trust and ensuring the long-term viability of these initiatives Vallejos-Romero et al. (2022) [
67].
As with any large-scale infrastructure project, green hydrogen-related developments risk reproducing dynamics of injustice if they exclude the voices of Indigenous peoples or fail to recognize their rights and cultures. Among the main concerns are neocolonial resource extraction, unequal benefit distribution, and a lack of respect for Indigenous sovereignty, as shown in Patonia (2025) [
68]. To mitigate these risks, it is essential to establish sustained dialogue with local and regional governments, ensure the participation of all stakeholders, adopt inclusive approaches, respect the self-determination of communities, and ensure equitable access to the benefits generated.
Furthermore, these types of projects require early and ongoing community participation, involving local populations in all phases of the process. This entails not only incorporating their suggestions but also implementing training programs to strengthen the capacity of the local workforce. Furthermore, it is essential to conduct comprehensive social and environmental impact assessments that combine technical and community perspectives Emodi et al. (2021) [
69].
Magallanes offers comparative advantages (wind speeds of up to 10 m/s, renewable energy costs between 1 and 1.5 USD/kg GH2), but incentives are needed to overcome the high initial investments:
Subsidies and co-financing: Programs such as Corfo’s Strategic Development Fund have supported pilot projects like HIF Global, but state guarantee schemes are needed to reduce risks.
Carbon pricing mechanisms: Promote local or EU-linked carbon markets, where Chilean GH2 could access green premiums.
Temporary tax exemptions: To attract early-stage foreign capital, as is already the case in free trade zones.
Chile has signed agreements with the EU, Japan, and Singapore for technology transfer and market access. Some notable examples include the following:
Partnership with Germany: GIZ funding for feasibility studies and human capital training.
Total energies and Enel GH2 Project: With support from development banks (IDB, KfW), combining European expertise and Asian demand.
Alliance with Port of Rotterdam: To create a logistics chain connecting Magallanes with Europe.
However, progress must be made on long-term purchase agreements with importing countries, ensuring profitability for producers.
Magallanes has the potential to lead GH2 exports in the Southern Cone, but its consolidation depends on the following: (i) Agile public policies that harmonize industrial development and environmental protection; (ii) Public–private incentives that reduce financing gaps; and (iii) International networks that guarantee demand and scalability.
If these elements are effectively articulated, the region could not only decarbonize foreign markets but also generate quality jobs and diversify its local economic matrix, becoming a global model for a just energy transition.
Validating the assumption that electrolysis for green hydrogen is powered 100% by renewables is crucial for accurate carbon accounting and compliance with international standards like the EU’s RED III, which emphasizes additionality and temporal matching.
The importance of hourly temporal resolution is presented as follows:
- (i)
Temporal matching: Using hourly data for grid electricity, as done in EU e-fuel studies, ensures that hydrogen production synchronizes with renewable generation. This approach prevents overestimating the share of renewables and avoids indirect emissions from fossil-based grid electricity.
- (ii)
RED III Additionality Criteria: RED III requires that the renewable electricity used for hydrogen production must be additional (new capacity) and closely matched in time and location to hydrogen production. Hourly resolution is critical to demonstrate compliance with these criteria and to ensure that hydrogen is genuinely “green”.