4.2. Development of Numerical Model
In the development of the numerical model, the electrical resistivity (ER) values used as input parameters were derived from the empirical relationships established in
Figure 8. The linear equations derived from
Figure 8 are incorporated into the numerical simulation strictly as boundary-condition inputs rather than as deterministic corrosion laws. Their role is to impose experimentally observed reductions in electrical resistivity (ER) associated with increasing steel mass loss under controlled and consistent test conditions. These relationships serve as first-order experimental constraints that calibrate the electrical conductivity field so that the simulated surface ER response matches laboratory measurements, while the predicted corrosion-affected zone is governed primarily by geometric configuration, conductivity contrasts, and subsequent nonlinear regression analysis. Therefore, the moderate goodness of fit of the linear trends does not undermine the reliability of the simulation outcomes. The final predictive framework does not rely on these equations to model corrosion kinetics, but instead uses them as effective representation of measured ER behavior, with associated uncertainties explicitly acknowledged and shown through sensitivity analyses to have limited influence on the overall conclusions.
These equations quantified the correlation between relative ER and steel mass loss at varying concrete cover depths, providing realistic boundary conditions for the simulation. By integrating these experimentally obtained relationships, the model ensured that the simulated electrical behavior of the reinforced concrete accurately reflected the physical effects of corrosion observed during testing. This approach enabled a more reliable calibration of the COMSOL Multiphysics model, bridging the experimental and computational components of the study and reinforcing the predictive capability of the simulation results.
Figure 9 illustrates the electric potential distribution within reinforced concrete as influenced by different levels of steel mass loss and corresponding diameters of the corroded zone. It presents the potential field and current density streamlines around the rebar embedded in concrete, helping visualize how corrosion affects current flow patterns. A consistent trend is observed: as steel mass loss increases, the diameter of the corroded region expands, and the localized changes in electrical conductivity become more pronounced. These shifts in material properties alter the path and intensity of the electrical field, concentrating the equipotential lines and current streamlines around the deteriorated zones.
Notably, the simulations with 5% and 20% mass losses, highlighted in this study, show contrasting behaviors. At 5% loss, the potential gradient remains relatively uniform, and the electric field lines show smoother distributions, indicating minor disruption to the electrical conductivity of the concrete matrix. In contrast, the 20% mass loss case reveals significantly compressed and distorted equipotential lines around the enlarged corroded region, demonstrating intensified field concentration due to more extensive material degradation. This behavior underscores the influence of corrosion severity on signal distortion, which is crucial for interpreting non-destructive test data such as electrical resistivity. These findings validate the need to incorporate variable corrosion geometries in simulation-based assessments of reinforced concrete structures.
Table 2 presents the empirical equations that describe the relationship between relative electrical resistivity (ER) and steel mass loss at different concrete cover (cc) values. These equations were derived from regression analyses of experimental data, and their forms were guided by relationships established in related studies [
91], which demonstrated that electrical resistivity decreases nonlinearly with increasing corrosion level. The fitted models reflect this inverse relationship, where ER diminishes progressively as steel mass loss increases, indicating enhanced ionic conductivity due to corrosion by-products and moisture ingress in the concrete matrix. The derived equations were subsequently used as input parameters in the numerical simulation (
Section 3.2.) to ensure that the modeled resistivity field accurately represents the experimentally observed corrosion behavior. This integration of empirical and literature-based formulations provides a reliable foundation for simulating corrosion-induced electrical potential distribution in reinforced concrete. These simulations, developed using COMSOL Multiphysics v6.2, reflect the modeled expansion of conductive zones around corroded steel bars and were calibrated using physical parameters consistent with prior experimental studies [
54].
The simulation clearly demonstrates that as steel mass loss increases, the diameter of the corroded region in the concrete expands significantly. At 25 mm clear cover, diameters range from 1.92 cm at 2.5% mass loss to 2.52 cm at 25%. However, for specimens with 100 mm cover, this range expands dramatically from 3.4 cm to 15.7 cm over the same corrosion levels. These results emphasize that greater concrete cover permits more lateral dispersion of corrosion by-products, enhancing ionic mobility and electrical conductivity in the surrounding matrix [
9,
92].
This radial growth behavior of the corroded zone underlines the direct relationship between mass loss and apparent electrical resistivity (ER), where increased corrosion results in lower ER values due to elevated ionic content and moisture levels near the steel–concrete interface [
52,
66].
Across all cover depths, the expansion of corrosion diameters shows a non-linear progression. Between 10% and 20% steel mass loss, the rate of growth accelerates, especially for thicker concrete covers. This supports the electrochemical theory that corrosion expansion becomes more aggressive after the breakdown of the passive layer and accumulation of iron oxides [
7,
13]. The modeling outcomes corroborate the experimental trend where relative ER decreased sharply with increasing corrosion [
74], indicating the widening extent of deterioration.
In this study, the term diameter refers to the diameter of the corrosion-affected region in the surrounding concrete matrix (Dc), as determined from numerical simulations and regression modeling, and not the diameter of the reinforcing steel bar (Db = 19 mm). The corrosion-affected diameter represents the spatial extent of concrete influenced by corrosion-induced changes in electrical conductivity and microstructural deterioration.
Figure 10 illustrates the relationship between steel mass loss and the corresponding diameter of the corrosion-affected region in the concrete (Dc) under varying concrete cover (cc) conditions. As shown, the diameter of the corrosion-affected region in the surrounding concrete increases with steel mass loss, reflecting the volumetric expansion of corrosion products surrounding the rebar. However, the extent of this increase is strongly influenced by the thickness of the concrete cover. Specimens with larger cover depths (75 mm and 100 mm) display a more pronounced growth in measured diameter compared with those having thinner covers (25 mm and 50 mm). This behavior indicates that a thicker concrete cover allows more lateral accommodation and propagation of corrosion-induced cracking, resulting in greater apparent surface expansion. The dashed trendline represents the linear regression model, which provides a reasonable but simplified fit to the data. Nevertheless, the increasing curvature of the plotted points, particularly for 75 mm and 100 mm cc, highlights a nonlinear relationship between steel mass loss and corrosion-induced diameter change, supporting the adoption of mathematical models for more accurate characterization of corrosion effects.
4.3. Statistical Analysis and Predictive Modelling
To evaluate the most suitable mathematical relationship between the diameter of the corroded region in the concrete and the independent variables, concrete cover (cc) and steel mass loss (), several nonlinear regression models were developed and compared. The models tested include exponential, power, logarithmic, and third-degree polynomial forms. The quality of each model was assessed using the coefficient of determination () and the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), which together provide insight into the explanatory power and predictive accuracy of each function.
The exponential model, used to predict the diameter of the corroded region based on steel mass loss and concrete cover, demonstrated a generally increasing trend but exhibited noticeable limitations in accuracy. While it captured the overall growth pattern of corrosion diameter with increasing mass loss, its predictions showed greater deviation from the simulation data, particularly at higher corrosion levels. This resulted in a lower coefficient of determination ( = 0.923) and a higher RMSE compared to the third-degree polynomial model. The exponential model tended to overestimate the diameter in some cases, especially for specimens with thicker concrete cover, suggesting its limited capacity to reflect the complex, nonlinear nature of corrosion propagation. Although it offers a simplified mathematical representation, its predictive reliability is inferior to polynomial regression, making it less suitable for detailed diagnostic modeling.
As shown in
Table 2 and
Table 3, the power model yielded an
value of 0.912 with an RMSE of 1.206, slightly lower than the exponential model. This form implies that the diameter changes as a multiplicative power function of both parameters. The exponents greater than zero confirm that both cc and
positively influence the resulting diameter values. Despite the relatively high
, the model tends to underestimate extreme values, suggesting that its scaling behavior may not align with the more complex physical interactions occurring during corrosion.
The logarithmic model provided an value of 0.776 and an RMSE of 1.929, which is substantially lower than those of the exponential and power models. While this relationship captures some degree of correlation, it performs poorly for large values of cc and , where nonlinearity is more pronounced. This model therefore lacks sufficient predictive capability and should be considered unsuitable for representing the dataset.
The linear regression model established a direct relationship between rebar diameter, concrete cover (cc), and steel mass loss () using a first-order equation. The model achieved an value of 0.831 and an RMSE of 1.67, indicating that it explains approximately 83.1% of the variation in the observed data. While this reflects a reasonably strong correlation, the relatively high prediction error suggests that the linear model cannot fully capture the curvature and complex interaction effects between the independent variables. In practical terms, this means that the change in diameter due to corrosion does not increase uniformly with cc and , but rather follows a nonlinear trend that the linear model oversimplifies. Therefore, although the linear regression provides a basic approximation and can serve as an initial benchmark, it is less suitable for precise predictive analysis compared to higher-order nonlinear models such as the polynomial regression, which demonstrated superior accuracy and a closer representation of the experimental behavior.
The third-degree polynomial model achieved the highest value of 0.984 and an RMSE of 0.513, indicating an excellent fit between experimental and predicted data. The inclusion of squared and cubic interaction terms allows this model to capture the curvature and interaction effects that simpler functional forms cannot represent. This superior performance demonstrates that the relationship between the diameter of corroded region in the concrete, concrete cover, and steel mass loss is highly nonlinear and best described by a multivariate polynomial function.
The comparison clearly shows that the third-degree polynomial model provides the most accurate and flexible representation of the relationship between cc, , and the diameter of the corroded region in the concrete. Its high value and low RMSE confirm that the relationship between rebar diameter, concrete cover, and steel mass loss is highly nonlinear. While the exponential and power models provide reasonably good approximations and may have clearer physical interpretations, they fail to capture the interaction effects between the two independent variables. The polynomial model, on the other hand, accurately reflects these interdependencies and should therefore be used as the primary regression equation for predictive analysis and structural assessment in this study.
To further validate the accuracy of the nonlinear regression models that were developed and compared,
Figure 11 compares the predicted outputs of the models with the simulation results derived from COMSOL Multiphysics.
Based on the five plots comparing the simulation results with different predictive models (third-degree polynomial, exponential, power, logarithmic, and linear), we can assess the accuracy and fitting performance of each model in estimating the diameter of the corroded region. The third-degree polynomial model shows a strong agreement with the simulation values, with points closely following the diagonal line, indicating both accuracy and consistency. This supports the earlier finding in the paper (see
Table 4) where this model achieved the highest coefficient of determination (
= 0.984) and the lowest RMSE (0.513), confirming its robustness in capturing the nonlinear behavior influenced by steel mass loss and concrete cover. The inclusion of squared and interaction terms allowed the model to accommodate the highly non-linear relationship between cover thickness, steel degradation, and corroded region diameter [
74].
In contrast, the exponential, power, logarithmic, and linear models exhibit significantly more deviation from this simulation results. The exponential and power models, while showing a general trend, demonstrate considerable scatter, especially for higher values. This is reflected in their lower values (0.923 and 0.912, respectively) and higher RMSE values compared to the polynomial model. The logarithmic model performed the poorest, displaying large deviations, particularly at both low and high ranges, and producing even negative predictions in some cases, indicating its limited applicability in this context.
These comparisons underscore the importance of selecting an appropriate model that can capture the complex interaction between parameters affecting the diameter of corrosion-induced damage. The third-degree polynomial model is recommended as the most reliable option for future applications due to its superior predictive capability.
However, the experimental dataset used for model calibration was limited in scope, particularly in terms of specimen geometry, corrosion levels, and material variability. As such, while the mathematical approach provides valuable insight into corrosion behavior and resistivity response, it is not sufficient on its own to fully explain the complex phenomena occurring in reinforced concrete. Future research should integrate multi-parameter experimental data, variable material properties, and advanced electrochemical models to improved realism and broaden the applicability of the predictive framework.
The simulation part offers critical insights into the practical interpretation of surface ER measurements. For instance, concrete elements with thinner covers show limited corrosion spread and hence smaller reductions in ER, potentially leading to underestimation of corrosion severity if the influence of cover depth is neglected [
79,
81]. On the other hand, thicker covers show greater apparent diameters and more significant ER drops due to higher diffusivity and moisture retention.
4.4. Practical Applications and Guidelines
The experimental results demonstrated a strong inverse correlation between electrical resistivity (ER) and steel mass loss in reinforced concrete specimens exposed to a corrosive environment. As corrosion increased, ER values decreased due to higher ionic conductivity at the steel–concrete interface. Specifically, the relative ER dropped from approximately 1 to 0.52 as steel mass loss rose from 0% to 8%, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of r = −0.714. However, variability in results suggests that external factors such as concrete cover thickness and electrode spacing also influence ER measurements and must be accounted for in real-world diagnostics.
The obtained results are consistent with values reported in the literature for electrical resistivity-based corrosion assessment. Concrete resistivity values below 10 kΩ·cm are typically associated with a high probability of active corrosion, while values above 20 kΩ·cm indicate low corrosion risk [
13]. A decrease in resistivity from approximately 15 kΩ·cm to below 5 kΩ·cm with increasing corrosion activity under chloride exposure was observed [
14]. Also, strong correlations between resistivity and corrosion current density (R
2 > 0.80) in chloride-contaminated reinforced concrete specimens was identified. Similarly, it was demonstrated that decreasing resistivity corresponds to increasing ionic transport and corrosion kinetics [
9,
53]. The relative ER reductions and correlation coefficients obtained in the present study fall within the ranges reported in these studies, supporting the validity of the proposed experimental-numerical framework. However, unlike previous studies that primarily focused on corrosion probability or corrosion rate, the present model extends the application of ER to predict the spatial extent of corrosion-affected regions in concrete.
Regarding corrosion-induced damage extent, corrosion penetration and cracking zones ranging from several millimeters to centimeters depending on cover depth and corrosion level were determined, which are comparable to the corrosion-affected diameters predicted in this study (2–15 cm for cover depths of 25–100 mm) [
23,
61]. This agreement further confirms that the predicted corrosion-affected region sizes are physically realistic and consistent with reported experimental observations.
Table 5 presents the computed diameter of the corroded region in concrete as a function of both relative electrical resistivity (ER) and concrete cover (cc) thickness. The results clearly demonstrate an inverse relationship between ER and extent of corrosion, where lower resistivity values (0.5–0.6) correspond to larger corroded diameters, indicating more severe corrosion activity. Conversely, as the relative ER approaches values greater than 0.9, the corresponding diameters decrease significantly, signifying a less corroded condition. These observations are consistent with previous studies showing that thicker concrete cover leads to increased corrosion propagation when combined with reduced electrical resistivity values [
93,
94].
Furthermore, the data show that specimens with thicker concrete covers exhibit substantially larger corroded diameters at equivalent ER ranges. For instance, at an ER range of 0.5–0.6, the corroded region diameter increased from 2.52 cm for 25 mm cc to 14.61 cm for 100 mm cc. This observation implies that greater concrete cover allows the corrosion products to expand and propagate laterally within the concrete matrix, producing a more extensive corroded zone. The same pattern is evident across all ER ranges, reinforcing that both cover thickness and ER values are key influencing factors in determining the spatial extent of corrosion-induced damage.
To model the corroded region diameter based on corrosion level and concrete cover depth, several regression models were evaluated. Among these, the third-degree polynomial model provided the best fit, with an of 0.984 and RMSE = 0.513, outperforming exponential and power models. This model effectively captured the nonlinear relationship and interaction between parameters. Validation against COMSOL Multiphysics simulations showed excellent agreement, supporting its reliability as a predictive tool.
COMSOL-based simulations illustrated how corrosion-affected zones expand radially with increasing steel mass loss, especially in specimens with thicker concrete cover. For instance, at 25% mass loss, the corroded diameter expanded from 2.52 cm (25 mm cover) to 15.7 cm (100 mm cover). This underscores the significant influence of concrete cover on corrosion propagation and supports earlier findings that thicker covers enable more extensive lateral corrosion spread and conductivity changes. The simulations validated that polynomial model from
Section 4.2 and reinforced the utility of ER as a diagnostic tool when properly calibrated for geometric factors.
While the findings across
Section 4.1,
Section 4.2,
Section 4.3 demonstrate a coherent relationship between corrosion, electrical resistivity, and concrete geometry, validated by both experimental and numerical models, certain modeling assumptions introduce limitations that should be addressed. Based on a fully corroded specimen, all simulations used a constant electrical conductivity value (
) of 0.2 S/m for the corroded region in the concrete, which may not fully reflect field variability due to moisture gradients, temperature, or crack development. This simplification could affect prediction accuracy in highly heterogenous environments.
Moreover, the results presented in this study are derived from a limited experimental dataset, which may restrict the generalizability and precision of the computed values. To enhance the accuracy and robustness of future research, it is recommended that additional datasets be incorporated to capture a wider range of parameters and corrosion conditions. The numerical simulations in this study were performed using a cubic reinforced concrete specimen geometry to ensure consistency with the experimental program, and to allow systematic parametric investigation. However, practical reinforced concrete structures typically exhibit more complex geometries, including slabs, beams, columns, and large-scale structural members with non-uniform boundary conditions. Future studies should extend the developed numerical framework to alternative geometrical configurations to investigate geometric scaling effects, three-dimensional current flow behavior, and field applicability of ER-based corrosion assessment models. Such extensions will improve the robustness and generalizability of the proposed predictive framework. Lastly, since the current simulation focuses on a single-diameter analysis, it is advisable that subsequent research consider multi-layer or volumetric simulations to depict partial or non-uniform corrosion development within reinforced concrete structures more accurately.
Building upon the validated modeling framework and the observed relationship between steel mass loss and the corrosion-affected diameter, it is also important to evaluate how sensitive the simulation outputs are to the assumed material properties, particularly the electrical conductivity (
) of the corroded region in the concrete. Since
plays a crucial role in defining the distribution of current flow during resistivity measurements, even small changes in this parameter may affect the predicted extent of corrosion. The following analysis presents the results of simulations conducted using a fixed concrete cover of 50 mm while varying
values across a realistic range were applied, as summarized in
Table 6.
Table 6 presents the effect of varying electrical conductivity (
) values assigned to the corroded region in the concrete on the predicted corrosion-affected zone diameters, using a constant concrete cover of 50 mm across all simulations. The steel mass loss levels ranged from 2.5% to 25%, while
was varied from 0.1 S/m to 0.75 S/m to assess its influence on the apparent corrosion diameter.
The results show a consistent trend: as increases, the predicted corrosion diameter slightly decreases. For instance, at 20% steel mass loss, the predicted diameter decreases from 5.16 cm ( = 0.1 S/m) to 4.82 cm ( = 0.75 S/m), indicating a modest but measurable sensitivity to electrical conductivity. This effect can be attributed to the fact that higher values reduce electrical resistivity in the corroded zone, leading to more concentrated current flow and a tighter estimation of the current field boundary during simulation.
Despite this, the overall sensitivity of the model to changes in remains relatively low. Across all mass loss levels, the change in predicted diameter with increasing is generally under 10%. This suggests that, while influences the results, the concrete geometry, particularly the cover depth of 50 mm, plays a more dominant role in defining the dispersion of current and thus the apparent boundary of the corrosion-affected region.
The base conductivity used in the main simulation results,
= 0.2 S/m, lies within the typical range reported for chloride-contaminated or cracked concrete [
74,
77]. However, this table highlights the importance of careful calibration: real-world concrete may have varying conductivity depending on moisture content, temperature, and the presence of cracks, which are not captured in a constant-
model.
From a practical standpoint, this sensitivity analysis reinforces the need to: (1) validate
values against field or lab measurements; (2) treat
as a variable during calibration in heterogenous environments; and (3) consider dynamic modeling of conductivity when moisture gradients or cracks are known to exist. Although the changes observed in
Table 6 are moderate, their cumulative effect in large-scale assessments or service life predictions could be significant. Thus, incorporating
variation into future modeling frameworks is essential to improve the reliability and realism of corrosion simulations under diverse exposure conditions.
While the influence of concrete conductivity on the simulated corrosion response is essential to understand material behavior, another equally important parameter is the electrode spacing used in surface resistivity measurements. Electrode spacing determines the depth and spread of current flow within the concrete, and thus directly affects the sensitivity and accuracy of the corrosion assessment. To further investigate this, an additional simulation was conducted using a wider electrode spacing while keeping the concrete cover constant at 50 mm. The results are presented and discussed in
Table 7.
Table 7 examines how changes in electrode spacing influence the simulation results for the corrosion-affected zone diameter under a fixed concrete cover of 50 mm. The analysis was conducted by comparing two common four-probe spacings: the assigned 38 mm used in the base simulation and a wider spacing of 50 mm. These two electrode spacings were evaluated because these dimensions correspond to commercially available Wenner probe configurations, making them practical and widely adopted in both laboratory and field measurements. The simulations were carried out for steel mass loss values ranging from 2.5% to 25%.
The results indicate that when the electrode spacing was increased from 38 mm (assigned) to 50 mm, the simulated diameters slightly decreased across all corrosion levels. This suggests that, for the specimen and geometry used (50 mm cover), the 38 mm spacing was more sensitive to the localized resistivity change around the corroded rebar, while the wider 50 mm spacing sampled a larger concrete volume and therefore produced a more averaged, and slightly smaller, apparent corrosion diameter.
The influence of electrode spacing on the simulation outcome aligns with findings from field studies and existing literature, where greater probe spacing is associated with deeper current paths and lower overall resistivity readings [
83]. However, it also introduces greater averaging over the concrete volume, which may slightly obscure the localized effects of corrosion, particularly at early stages.
From a practical standpoint, this result reinforces the need to standardize electrode spacing in both experimental and simulation protocols. Variation in spacing can introduce inconsistencies when comparing ER measurements across different setups or when calibrating models for field use. Additionally, the findings suggest that spacing should be selected based on the expected corrosion depth and the concrete cover, to balance resolution and sensitivity.
Given that the concrete cover remained constant at 50 mm, the observed differences can be attributed solely to changes in electrode spacing, highlighting its direct effect on measurement interpretation. This insight is critical for engineers and inspectors who rely on surface resistivity as a proxy for internal corrosion damage, especially in field applications where probe configurations may vary.
To enhance the accuracy and applicability of resistivity-based corrosion assessment models, it is strongly recommended that future numerical simulations integrate a broader range of variable parameters. Specifically, electrical conductivity () should be treated as a dynamic property influenced by local moisture content, chloride concentration, and temperature gradients, rather than as a fixed value. Additionally, bar diameter () should be incorporated as a variable, as it directly affects the surface area exposed to corrosion and the resulting current density distribution. The inclusion of realistic crack scenarios, both in terms of geometry and conductivity, would significantly improve the representativeness of the models, as crack alter both ionic transport and current flow paths. Lastly, electrode spacing (s) should be parameterized across multiple values to capture its impact on measurement depth and resolution. Integrating these variables into a comprehensive, multi-parameter simulation framework will yield more robust, field-applicable models that can better inform inspection strategies, service life predictions, and rehabilitation planning for reinforced concrete structures.
While the present study establishes a calibrated relationship between electrical resistivity (ER) and measured steel mass loss under controlled exposure conditions, several limitations must be acknowledged. Electrical resistivity in reinforced concrete is influenced not only by corrosion progression but also by chloride ingress, moisture content, and saturation state. In this investigation, all specimens were measured under identical saturation conditions immediately after removal from the NaCl solution, and the analysis relied on relative ER normalized to uncorroded baseline values to reduce variability associated with mix composition and moisture differences. However, a dedicated control program isolating the effect of chloride ingress without corrosion was not performed. As a result, the correlation developed in this study reflects the combined influence of chloride contamination and corrosion under the tested protocol rather than a fully separated chloride-only effect. Future studies should include controlled chloride-ingress experiments to quantify its independent contribution to ER variation.
Additionally, the numerical simulation represents corrosion using an equivalent geometric reduction in steel cross-section and an effective high-conductivity corrosion zone surrounding the reinforcement. This approach enables tractable parametric analysis and calibration with experimental trends but does not explicitly model micro-scale pitting morphology, evolving anodic surface area, or localized corrosion heterogeneity. The simulation should therefore be interpreted as an effective field-scale approximation consistent with measured ER behavior rather than a detailed electrochemical pitting model. Incorporating nonuniform corrosion geometries and spatially variable conductivity fields in future simulations would improve realism and extend the applicability of the predictive framework.
Lastly, it is important to note that while the present study was conducted under controlled laboratory conditions, field measurements of electrical resistivity may be influenced by additional factors not fully represented in the experimental setup. In real structures, heterogenous moisture distribution, chloride gradients, cracking, temperature variation, and geometric complexity can significantly alter the measured ER response. These may introduce variability beyond that captured in the current model. Therefore, this study should be applied in field assessments with appropriate consideration of site-specific conditions, and future work should focus on validating the model under realistic structural environments.