A Model Based on Neural Network to Predict Surface Settlement During Subway Station Construction: A Case Study of the Dongba-Zhongjie Station in Beijing, China
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Project Review
2.1. Station Design
2.2. Engineering and Hydrogeological Conditions
2.3. Surface Settlement Layout
3. Settlement Prediction in the Construction Process
3.1. Finite Element Modeling
3.2. Neural Network Prediction Model with Equal Time Intervals
3.3. VMD Decomposition Model
- (1)
- Formulation of the Variational ProblemThe objective is to decompose the signal into k modes , where each mode has a center frequency and the narrowest possible bandwidth. The corresponding optimization problem is defined as follows:
- (2)
- Expansion of the Lagrangian FunctionTo construct an augmented Lagrangian function , a Lagrange multiplier and a quadratic penalty term are introduced:
- (3)
- Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM)Variables are updated using frequency domain transformation and alternating optimization:
- (a)
- Updating the Mode :In the frequency domain, with and fixed, the following problem is solved:
- (b)
- Update the Center Frequency :The centroid of the spectrum is calculated as follows:This refers to using the spectral energy centroid of the mode as the new center frequency.
- (c)
- Update the Lagrange Multiplier :
- (4)
- Convergence ConditionsIterate until the following condition is met:
4. Prediction of Settlement for Random Feature Points in the Construction Process
5. Conclusions
- (1)
- The average error of the finite element simulation is 15.77%, and the correlation coefficient (R) of the neural network reaches , demonstrating the strong predictive capability of the present model.
- (2)
- During the construction of Dongba-zhongjie Station, surface settlement is primarily caused by the excavation of the pilot tunnel and the arch closure of the secondary lining, which together account for more than 70% and 10%, respectively, of the total settlement. As excavation progresses through the first basement floor and the middle slab, the structure begins to stabilize. Upon excavation of the second basement floor and the bottom slab, settlement at the maximum settlement point begins to rebound. At this stage, the comprehensive utility tunnel above the station can be constructed simultaneously.
- (3)
- The prediction method proposed in this article effectively addresses the issues of insufficient in situ monitoring points and discontinuous monitoring data over time. It not only supplements nodes with on-site monitoring data but also predicts random feature points, which facilitates the analysis of surface subsidence patterns caused by similar projects.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Soils | Secant Modulus (MPa) | Cohesion (kPa) | Poisson’s Ratio | Unit Weight (kN·m−3) | Frictional Angle (°) | Distributed Depth (m) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AF | 7 | 0 | 0.32 | 17.5 | 10 | 0∼3 |
SCC | 15 | 25 | 0.3 | 19.5 | 9.2 | 3 ∼6 |
CS | 33.3 | 21 | 0.25 | 21 | 31.9 | 6∼8.9 |
FSS | 49.8 | 25 | 0.22 | 20.9 | 23.3 | 8.9∼15.6 |
SCC | 30.6 | 41.5 | 0.22 | 20 | 45 | 15.6∼24.11 |
CS | 36.3 | 60 | 0.23 | 18.6 | 16.2 | 24.11∼28.5 |
OC | 55 | 0 | 0.25 | 20.5 | 33 | 28.5∼80 |
Structures | Natural Gravity (kN·m−3) | Elastic Modulus (MPa) | Poisson’s Ratio | Element Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
PL | 27 | 25,500 | 0.20 | 2D plate |
SL | 25 | 32,500 | 0.21 | 3D solid |
CTB | 25.5 | 33,500 | 0.25 | 3D solid |
GR | 22 | 80 | 0.25 | 3D solid |
BC | 23.5 | 20,000 | 0.20 | 3D solid |
SP | 25 | 27,000 | 0.24 | 1D beam |
SPC | 33 | 41,500 | 0.23 | 1D beam |
Excavation & Support of Pilot Tunnels | Construction of Pile Beam System | Second Lining Buckle Arch | Excavation of Main Structure | Average Error % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
DB-17-01 | 48.11 | 32.04 | 12.58 | 17.65 | 27.59 |
DB-17-02 | 10.01 | 18.50 | 20.56 | 11.16 | 15.06 |
DB-17-03 | 20.39 | 8.78 | 10.85 | 8.06 | 12.02 |
DB-17-04 | 18.73 | 7.24 | 3.72 | 9.16 | 9.71 |
DB-17-05 | 6.42 | 6.84 | 3.14 | 8.33 | 6.18 |
DB-17-06 | 33.74 | 16.50 | 20.94 | 13.42 | 21.15 |
DB-17-07 | 13.19 | 26.60 | 20.34 | 14.51 | 18.66 |
Average error % | 21.51 | 16.64 | 13.16 | 11.75 | 15.77 |
Serial Number | Training Samples | Target Value | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ⋯ | |||||
2 | ⋯ | |||||
3 | ⋯ | |||||
⋮ | ⋮ | ⋮ | ⋮ | ⋮ | ⋮ | ⋮ |
⋯ |
Date | Monitor Value (mm) | Fitted Value (mm) | Absolute Error % | Relative Error % |
---|---|---|---|---|
4/6/2020 | −8.8 | - | - | - |
4/7/2020 | −8.65 | - | - | - |
4/8/2020 | −8.81 | - | - | - |
4/9/2020 | −9.44 | - | - | - |
4/10/2020 | −9.46 | −9.581579660 | 0.121579660 | 1.285197253 |
4/11/2020 | −10.1 | −9.718163306 | 0.381836694 | 3.780561327 |
4/12/2020 | −9.52 | −9.948770254 | 0.428770254 | 4.503889227 |
⋮ | ⋮ | ⋮ | ⋮ | ⋮ |
5/5/2020 | −21.91 | −21.89414359 | 0.015856407 | 0.072370641 |
5/6/2020 | −21.85 | −21.87490701 | 0.024907005 | 0.113990871 |
5/7/2020 | −22.26 | −22.29903578 | 0.039035778 | 0.175362883 |
Construction Stage | Surface Subsidence (mm) | Accumulated Surface Subsidence (mm) | Incr./Total | Cumulative Proportion |
---|---|---|---|---|
EPT | 40.87 | 40.87 | 75.47% | 75.47% |
TAE | 2.44 | 43.31 | 4.51% | 79.98% |
SLBA | 6.32 | 49.63 | 11.68% | 91.66% |
EFBF | 3.99 | 53.62 | 7.36% | 99.02% |
ESBF | 0.53 | 54.15 | 0.98% | 100% |
Construction Stage | Surface Settlement (mm) | Accumulated Surface Settlement (mm) | Incr./Total | Cumulative Proportion |
---|---|---|---|---|
EPT | 30.22 | 30.22 | 73.27% | 73.27% |
TAE | 1.70 | 31.92 | 4.12% | 77.39% |
SLBA | 13.14 | 45.06 | 31.86% | 109.25% |
EFBF | −2.17 | 42.89 | −5.25% | 104% |
ESBF | −1.65 | 41.24 | 4% | 100% |
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Zhang, J.; Jiang, H.; Wang, J.; Feng, J. A Model Based on Neural Network to Predict Surface Settlement During Subway Station Construction: A Case Study of the Dongba-Zhongjie Station in Beijing, China. Buildings 2025, 15, 1823. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15111823
Zhang J, Jiang H, Wang J, Feng J. A Model Based on Neural Network to Predict Surface Settlement During Subway Station Construction: A Case Study of the Dongba-Zhongjie Station in Beijing, China. Buildings. 2025; 15(11):1823. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15111823
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhang, Jiaqi, Hua Jiang, Jinsen Wang, and Jili Feng. 2025. "A Model Based on Neural Network to Predict Surface Settlement During Subway Station Construction: A Case Study of the Dongba-Zhongjie Station in Beijing, China" Buildings 15, no. 11: 1823. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15111823
APA StyleZhang, J., Jiang, H., Wang, J., & Feng, J. (2025). A Model Based on Neural Network to Predict Surface Settlement During Subway Station Construction: A Case Study of the Dongba-Zhongjie Station in Beijing, China. Buildings, 15(11), 1823. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15111823