Next Article in Journal
The Effect of Grazing on the Temperature Regime of the Alas Soils of Central Yakutia
Previous Article in Journal
Agroforestry Innovation through Planned Farmer Behavior: Trimming in Pine–Coffee Systems
Open AccessArticle

Proportional Variation of Potential Groundwater Recharge as a Result of Climate Change and Land-Use: A Study Case in Mexico

1
Centro de Ciencias de Desarrollo Regional, Universidad Autónoma de Guerrero, Acapulco 39640, Mexico
2
Instituto Interamericano de Tecnología y Ciencias del Agua, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, Toluca 50100, Mexico
3
Posgrado en Ciencias Ambientales, Instituto de Ciencias, Benemérita Universidad Autónoma de Puebla, Puebla 72570, Mexico
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Land 2020, 9(10), 364; https://doi.org/10.3390/land9100364
Received: 12 August 2020 / Revised: 16 September 2020 / Accepted: 30 September 2020 / Published: 1 October 2020
This work proposes a methodology whereby the selection of hydrologic and land-use cover change (LUCC) models allows an assessment of the proportional variation in potential groundwater recharge (PGR) due to both land-use cover change (LUCC) and some climate change scenarios for 2050. The simulation of PGR was made through a distributed model, based on empirical methods and the forecasting of LUCC stemming from a supervised classification with remote sensing techniques, both inside a Geographic Information System. Once the supervised classification was made, a Markov-based model was developed to predict LUCC to 2050. The method was applied in Acapulco, an important tourism center for Mexico. From 1986 to 2017, the urban area increased 5%, and by 2050 was predicted to cover 16%. In this period, a loss of 7 million m3 of PGR was assumed to be caused by the estimated LUCC. From 2017 to 2050, this loss is expected to increase between 73 and 273 million m3 depending on the considered climate change scenario, which is the equivalent amount necessary for satisfying the water needs of 6 million inhabitants. Therefore, modeling the variation in groundwater recharge can be an important tool for identifying water vulnerability, through both climate and land-use change. View Full-Text
Keywords: land-use change; potential groundwater recharge; climate change land-use change; potential groundwater recharge; climate change
Show Figures

Figure 1

MDPI and ACS Style

Guerrero-Morales, J.; Fonseca, C.R.; Goméz-Albores, M.A.; Sampedro-Rosas, M.L.; Silva-Gómez, S.E. Proportional Variation of Potential Groundwater Recharge as a Result of Climate Change and Land-Use: A Study Case in Mexico. Land 2020, 9, 364. https://doi.org/10.3390/land9100364

AMA Style

Guerrero-Morales J, Fonseca CR, Goméz-Albores MA, Sampedro-Rosas ML, Silva-Gómez SE. Proportional Variation of Potential Groundwater Recharge as a Result of Climate Change and Land-Use: A Study Case in Mexico. Land. 2020; 9(10):364. https://doi.org/10.3390/land9100364

Chicago/Turabian Style

Guerrero-Morales, Jesús; Fonseca, Carlos R.; Goméz-Albores, Miguel A.; Sampedro-Rosas, María L.; Silva-Gómez, Sonia E. 2020. "Proportional Variation of Potential Groundwater Recharge as a Result of Climate Change and Land-Use: A Study Case in Mexico" Land 9, no. 10: 364. https://doi.org/10.3390/land9100364

Find Other Styles
Note that from the first issue of 2016, MDPI journals use article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Article Access Map by Country/Region

1
Search more from Scilit
 
Search
Back to TopTop