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Article

Climate Change in Bosnia and Herzegovina According to Climate Scenario RCP8.5 and Possible Impact on Fruit Production

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Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, University of Banja Luka, 78 000 Banjaluka, Bosnia and Herzegovina
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Physical Faculty, University of Belgrade, 11 000 Belgrade, Serbia
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Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Academic Editors: János Mika, László Lakatos and Tanja Cegnar
Atmosphere 2022, 13(1), 1; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13010001
Received: 15 November 2021 / Revised: 7 December 2021 / Accepted: 17 December 2021 / Published: 21 December 2021
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Meteorological Conditions of Temperate Zone Fruit Production)
This paper presents the results of research on possible climate change in Bosnia and Herzegovina according to the climate scenario RCP8.5 and its potential impact on fruit production. Climate change analyses are based on expected fluctuations in air temperature, precipitation and climate indices. The results indicate pronounced climate change, which refers to an increase in annual temperature to 5 °C, and a decrease in annual precipitation of up to 30% and in the summer season (June, July, and August) and up to 40% by the end of the XXI century. In addition, an increase in the number of summer days and a decrease in the number of days with the appearance of snow can be expected. Reducing the number of days with snow and snow cover can cause a decrease in underground aquifers with water during the winter and spring seasons. These changes can have a serious impact on the problem of drought and water deficit, which can have direct consequences for the agricultural sector in Bosnia and Herzegovina, especially for fruit production. These findings show that fundamental changes in agriculture and an approach to land treatment and water resources management, as well as fruit production planning in changed climatic conditions, are needed. View Full-Text
Keywords: climate change; climate models; Bosnia and Herzegovina; agriculture; fruit production; adaptation climate change; climate models; Bosnia and Herzegovina; agriculture; fruit production; adaptation
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MDPI and ACS Style

Trbic, G.; Popov, T.; Djurdjevic, V.; Milunovic, I.; Dejanovic, T.; Gnjato, S.; Ivanisevic, M. Climate Change in Bosnia and Herzegovina According to Climate Scenario RCP8.5 and Possible Impact on Fruit Production. Atmosphere 2022, 13, 1. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13010001

AMA Style

Trbic G, Popov T, Djurdjevic V, Milunovic I, Dejanovic T, Gnjato S, Ivanisevic M. Climate Change in Bosnia and Herzegovina According to Climate Scenario RCP8.5 and Possible Impact on Fruit Production. Atmosphere. 2022; 13(1):1. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13010001

Chicago/Turabian Style

Trbic, Goran, Tatjana Popov, Vladimir Djurdjevic, Igor Milunovic, Tihomir Dejanovic, Slobodan Gnjato, and Marko Ivanisevic. 2022. "Climate Change in Bosnia and Herzegovina According to Climate Scenario RCP8.5 and Possible Impact on Fruit Production" Atmosphere 13, no. 1: 1. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13010001

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