1. Introduction
Cobalt-rich crusts on seamounts are enriched in cobalt, copper, manganese, nickel, rare-earth elements (REEs), and platinum-group elements (PGEs). Their cobalt content is significantly higher than that of terrestrial high-grade cobalt ores, which has driven global interest in the exploration and exploitation of these deposits. Resource evaluation plays a critical role in guiding exploration, resource development, and extraction, with ore grade and overall resource abundance serving as the primary parameters for assessment. Ore grade refers to the proportion by weight of valuable metals contained within the crust and is commonly quantified by the concentrations of economically significant elements, including cobalt, copper, manganese, and nickel [
1]. The average cobalt content in major global oceanic crusts ranges from 0.33% to 0.67% [
2]. According to the Revised Regulations for Exploration of Oceanic Cobalt-Rich Crust Mineral Resources, abundance is defined as the mass of crust per unit seafloor area, typically expressed in kilograms per square meter [
3,
4].
The standard approach for ore-grade estimation involves collecting representative geological samples and performing laboratory analysis according to the relevant standards. GB/T 14505-2010 [
5] provides general principles and procedures for the chemical analysis of rocks and ores, GB/T 24233-2009 [
6] specifies test methods for evaluating quality variations and assessing sample representativeness in manganese and chromium ores, and GB/T 15922-2010 [
7] defines procedures for the determination of cobalt content in cobalt ores. Several aradioactive detection and optical measurement techniques are used for the laboratory analysis of key metallic elements in ores [
8], including atomic absorption spectroscopy (AAS), inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectroscopy (ICP-OES), inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS), X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy (XRF), electron microprobe analysis (EPMA), and laser ablation inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS).
Although these laboratory methods provide high analytical accuracy, they are labor-intensive, require meticulous sample preparation and skilled personnel, and are often too slow for real-time resource evaluation during offshore expeditions. Representative sampling usually requires a large number of samples and extensive laboratory analyses. However, these requirements are difficult to fulfill in deep-sea cobalt-rich crust exploration, as shallow drilling often yields only limited samples. Laboratory analyses are also expensive and time-consuming, reducing their potential for real-time application in rapid resource evaluation. Therefore, rapid and non-destructive methods for ore grade determination are an urgent need. For example, Parian et al. [
9] combined element-to-mineral conversion methods with quantitative X-ray diffraction and Rietveld refinement, enabling the development of a novel approach for the grade estimation of geological and metallurgical minerals. Nasiri et al. [
10] developed a physics-informed neural network by integrating classical flotation process models with deep learning techniques to predict the grades of gold concentrate in froth flotation cells, demonstrating strong generalization and high predictive accuracy based on root mean square error (RMSE) and mean relative error metrics. Maniteja et al. [
3] developed four machine learning regression models using geological datasets for predicting ore grades in Indian iron ore deposits, yielding results comparable to those obtained with traditional kriging methods and highlighting the potential of predictive modeling for ore grade estimation.
Hyperspectral technology records detailed mineral spectral signatures across narrow wavelength bands, providing information related to molecular structures and electronic transitions [
11]. These fingerprint-like spectra preserve characteristic information on ore components and support the identification of multiple mineral constituents. Hyperspectral technology enables accurate ore grade estimation and analysis by correlating diagnostic absorption features arising from specific electronic transitions to the chemical composition of mineralized materials. As a rapid, non-destructive method, the technology offers high efficiency, broad spatial coverage, high precision, and in situ measurement capability, making it suitable for geological exploration, mineral identification, and elemental quantification [
12,
13,
14,
15]. Selecting suitable spectral preprocessing methods and informative bands is essential for establishing hyperspectral models for elemental content estimation. Commonly used preprocessing methods include first-order derivative (FD), second-order derivative (SD), multiple scattering correction (MSC), normalization (Norm), standard normal variate (SNV), and continuum removal (CR) [
16,
17,
18,
19]. Common band selection techniques include the random frog algorithm, competitive adaptive reweighted sampling (CARS), and iterative retention of informative variables (IRIV) [
20,
21,
22,
23]. These methods can reduce noise and enhance characteristic spectral signals, providing more reliable features for subsequent modeling [
17,
19]. The effectiveness of elemental content estimation depends on the spectral information preserved during data processing, as different preprocessing and wavelength selection strategies retain different informative bands for model development.
Hyperspectral technology records continuous radiometric signals across narrow wavelength bands. Under controlled laboratory conditions, these signals can preserve mineral spectral signatures related to molecular structures and electronic transitions [
11]. In this study, however, the data were acquired as uncalibrated radiance under natural daylight and used as empirical statistical predictors of elemental content. Therefore, the selected spectral features should not be interpreted as diagnostic mineral absorption features without reflectance calibration and atmospheric correction.
Owing to its ability to handle high-dimensional data and automatically extract informative features, machine learning is extensively employed in hyperspectral-based mineral resource evaluation [
24,
25,
26]. Ore composition estimation commonly relies on linear models such as partial least squares regression (PLSR) and nonlinear methods such as support vector machines (SVMs), multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs), gradient-boosted decision trees (GBDTs), and random forests (RFs). These methods have demonstrated strong performance across a range of applications, including geological surveying, environmental assessment, and precision agriculture [
27,
28,
29]. Recent studies have further demonstrated their efficacy in mineral-related applications. For instance, Lobo et al. [
30] used machine learning classification of hyperspectral imagery to map the ore bodies in tin-tungsten mining areas, achieving an accuracy of 94.9%. Guo et al. [
31] proposed an SG-LDA-ISSA-SVM model for intelligent classification of thermal infrared hyperspectral rock and ore samples. Tian et al. [
32] combined laboratory hyperspectral data with machine learning algorithms to enable the quantitative assessment of heavy metal content in agricultural soils near a mining area. These studies highlight the potential of machine learning for hyperspectral-based compositional estimation.
Representative sampling for ore grade estimation of cobalt-rich crusts remains challenging because of limited sample availability and strong compositional variability among crust layers [
33]. In an attempt to address this limitation, this study reports the development and validation of a hyperspectral-based method for the rapid, non-destructive, and quantitative estimation of key metallic elements in cobalt-rich crusts. Hence, a dataset was constructed by integrating hyperspectral data from sample MED69A, a cobalt-rich crust specimen obtained from the Magellan Seamounts, with its corresponding EPMA chemical data. This dataset was used for spectral preprocessing, feature extraction, and element-content inversion, enabling a systematic evaluation of the effectiveness, accuracy, and scalability of the proposed method. By establishing quantitative spectral–chemical relationships at the sample level, this approach will validate the proposed method while supporting metal content estimation and sampling strategies for ore grade assessment. It will provide valuable data for studying the mineralization processes of cobalt-rich crusts.
2. Data Preparation
2.1. Sample
The samples used in this study were collected from Il’ichev Guyot, a typical flat-topped seamount within the Magellan Seamounts, which is located towards the north of the Mariana Basin and adjacent to the western side of the Mariana Trench. The Magellan Seamounts comprise nearly twenty individual seamounts or seamount groups that are generally aligned in a northwest-to-southeast orientation, covering an area of more than 600,000 km2. Within this region, the designated cobalt-rich crust exploration area of China is located on the Caiwei, Weijia, and Weixie guyots of the Magellan Seamounts cluster.
Figure 1 shows the spatial location of the Il’ichev Seamount, where the MED69A station is situated. The sample subjected to geochemical and spectral characterization in this study was retrieved from Station MED69A.
2.2. Sample Preparation
For detailed geochemical and spectral data collection, the samples were sectioned into 1 cm thick slices, followed by resin impregnation. This procedure improves the structural stability of their porous and fragile outer layers while preserving internal pores and micro-textures.
Figure 2 shows representative samples used for hyperspectral data acquisition. All samples were prepared as polished blocks, following EPMA analytical requirements. During spectral acquisition, samples were positioned on a black background to minimize background interference. No white reference standard or reflectance calibration was employed; consequently, the collected data represent raw radiometric measurements. The scale bars serve as a dimensional reference for the sample-to-scene size relationship and help identify image distortions caused by instrument vibration or improper sample positioning.
The MED69A sample preparation for EPMA analysis is illustrated in
Figure 3. The sample (14 cm × 8 cm) used for hyperspectral imaging is shown in
Figure 3a, where the section indicated by the green dashed line was cut to prepare the EPMA specimen after hyperspectral imaging of the original cobalt-rich crust sample. The resulting sample block, measuring approximately 8 cm × 6 cm × 1 cm, is shown in
Figure 3b. Before EPMA spot microanalysis, the specimen was placed in a vacuum chamber and carbon-coated upon reaching the required vacuum level.
2.3. Hyperspectral Data Acquisition
Hyperspectral data of the samples were acquired using an ATH1010K hyperspectral imager (Optosky, Xiamen, China). This instrument covers a wavelength range of 380–1000 nm and delivers sub-1.5 nm spectral resolution across 480 contiguous bands.
Figure 4 shows the setup for hyperspectral data acquisition. The data were collected on an outdoor basketball court under natural daylight, with no additional environmental control applied. During data acquisition, the instrument was positioned at a distance of 15.5 cm from the sample, operating at a frame rate of 85 frames per second (fps), with an exposure time of 8000 μs (8 ms). At a scanning rate of 20 mm/s, the scanner produced hyperspectral images with a spatial resolution of 0.021 cm × 0.017 cm.
During hyperspectral data acquisition, the 15.5 cm distance between the sample and the sensor improves the spatial resolution of measured spectra and reduces scattering and aerosol effects. However, the spectra retain atmospheric absorption features associated with O2 and H2O, arising from solar radiation that has traversed the entire atmospheric column before reaching the Earth’s surface, rather than from short-path atmospheric absorption between the sample and the sensor. Therefore, the radiometric signal captured by the sensor contains combined contributions from the target, the natural daylight illumination spectrum, and atmospheric absorption.
2.4. EPMA Data Acquisition
Electron probe analysis was performed using an X-ray microanalyzer (JXA-8230, JEOL, Xiamen, Japan). The instrument was fitted with five spectrometers, each of which could measure multiple elements and quantify elemental content ranging from boron to uranium. Point, line, and area scanning were used to analyze elemental distributions, whereas back-scattered electron (BSE) and secondary electron imaging (SEI) were performed for detailed sample characterization.
Given the growth direction of cobalt-rich crusts, the effect of gelatinous fillers on EPMA results, and the overall representativeness of the dataset, an EPMA sampling interval of 0.007 cm was used for the selected profile. The electron probe was operated at an acceleration voltage of 15 kV, a beam current of 20 nA, and an electron beam spot diameter of 3 μm. The sites marked with red dashed lines in
Figure 5b correspond to the selected measurement positions. During measurement, surface properties and microstructural details were determined using SEI, as illustrated in
Figure 5c, whereas microstructural properties and elemental distributions were further investigated via BSE, as shown in
Figure 5d. The analyzer was fitted with five wavelength-dispersive spectrometers (WDS; 10 analyzing crystals) and one Oxford X-Max 20 energy-dispersive spectrometer (EDS). According to the instrument configuration, the analyzing crystals comprised LDE1H, TAP, PETH, PETJ, LIF, and LIFH. To ensure measurement accuracy, certified SPI reference materials for minerals and compounds were used during calibration. These included diopside (CaMgSi
2O
6), albite (NaAlSi
3O
8), gallium arsenide (GaAs), rutile (TiO
2), celestite (SrSO
4), and pure metal standards for Mn, Fe, Cu, Co, and Ni. A total of 29 elements were examined, comprising O, Na, Ge, Mg, Al, Si, Y, P, Zr, La, Mo, Pr, Nd, Cl, Co, Ba, Ni, Cu, Ti, As, Sr, V, S, Pb, Mn, Fe, K, Ca, and Zn, yielding 828 sets of elemental composition data.
3. Method Framework
The modeling process for estimating crustal metal elements comprised four stages: dataset construction, data preprocessing, feature band selection, and inversion model development, as shown in
Figure 6.
The collected hyperspectral and EPMA data were initially preprocessed for the construction of a foundational dataset. The hyperspectral data were then examined to determine the appropriate processing methods and identify spectral variables associated with elemental concentrations. Characteristic spectral bands were subsequently identified using the CARS and IRIV methods [
16,
17,
18,
19,
25,
26,
27,
28]. Finally, element content estimation models were established using a set of five methods, namely, PLSR, SVM, MLP, GBDT, and RF, and assessed to identify the best-performing model.
3.1. Data and Analysis
The model dataset was obtained via hyperspectral measurements (
Section 2.3) and EPMA analysis (
Section 2.4) of the MED69A sample. To address discrepancies in spatial resolution between hyperspectral and EPMA data, each hyperspectral pixel was treated as an individual spatial unit. Since one hyperspectral pixel in the profile direction (0.021 cm) corresponded to approximately 3 EPMA sampling intervals (0.021/0.007 ≈ 3), the average elemental concentration of the EPMA measurements contained within each hyperspectral pixel was assigned as the corresponding reference chemical value.
As a result of this process, 828 EPMA data points were aggregated into 276 hyperspectral pixels, i.e., 276 × 480 bands, forming a large set of data pairs. Due to the porous, loosely consolidated, and water-bearing nature of the crust, the total elemental content obtained from EPMA was generally below 100%. Elevated Si and Al concentrations were interpreted as indicators of silicate contamination, substrate-derived material, or other non-ore domains, rather than the characteristic Fe–Mn oxide matrix of the cobalt-rich crust. Very low analytical values were attributed primarily to the highly porous and friable nature of the crust, as well as possible overlap of the probe beam with resin-filled pores or microfractures generated during sample preparation. Totals below 40% were attributed to small pores or fractures within the crust, resulting in lower levels of Co, Cu, Ni, Mn, Fe, and related components. Therefore, sampling points with silicon content above 10%, aluminum content above 4%, or total element content below 40% were excluded [
34,
35]. Besides threshold-based screening, SEI and BSE imaging were used to identify and exclude anomalous points arising from localized microstructural heterogeneity (
Figure 5c,d). In cases where certain EPMA points within a hyperspectral unit were excluded during screening, the mean of the remaining valid points was retained, yielding 259 valid samples for model development.
The workflow of data acquisition and dataset construction is shown in
Figure 7.
3.2. Data Preprocessing
Atmospheric hyperspectral data are frequently affected by various external factors, resulting in noise, spectral distortion, and inconsistencies. Therefore, preprocessing techniques are applied to mitigate these effects, improve spectral quality, and enhance the reliability of subsequent analysis. Initially, Savitzky–Golay (SG) smoothing and mean filtering were employed to suppress high-frequency noise. Spectral enhancement methods were subsequently applied to highlight important spectral signatures, improving the clarity and separability of elemental features. Preprocessing improved the overall quality of the hyperspectral data and enhanced the distinct features, providing a robust basis for the extraction of element-specific spectral bands in later stages.
3.2.1. Noise Removal
The overall spectral responses from different sampling sites displayed comparable patterns, with each curve showing distinct, identifiable radiometric peaks. The raw spectra were significantly affected by noise in the short-wave region (below 400 nm) and long-wave region (above 900 nm), masking characteristic spectral details. Subsequent analyses were therefore restricted to the 400–900 nm spectral region, comprising 383 spectral bands, and the raw hyperspectral data were subsequently processed using SG smoothing and mean filtering to suppress noise interference [
36,
37].
The curves in
Figure 8 are raw, uncalibrated sensor digital numbers (DNs) acquired under natural illumination. Some of the spectral distortions are attributable to instrumental response limitations and atmospheric absorption effects, including O
2 and H
2O vapor absorption bands. The local features near ~685–690 nm, ~715–725 nm, ~758–765 nm, and ~810–825 nm coincide with known atmospheric O
2 and H
2O vapor absorption bands present in the solar illumination spectrum.
The processed and rescaled spectra are presented in
Figure 8b. Compared with the original spectra (
Figure 8a), the processed spectra (
Figure 8b) displayed clearer features and reduced noise interference.
3.2.2. Removal of Anomalous Sample Points
The denoised hyperspectral data and chemical data were then compared to examine their correlation.
As shown in
Figure 9, Co was negatively correlated with the hyperspectral radiometric signal in the 515.6–900 nm range, with correlation coefficients reaching approximately −0.7. Because the measured signal represents uncalibrated radiance primarily influenced by Fe–Mn oxide abundance, illumination conditions, and atmospheric effects, the observed correlation should be interpreted as an empirical statistical relationship. The correlation was weaker in the 400–483.6 nm range, likely owing to environmental noise. These results indicate that radiometric signals can be statistically correlated with elemental concentrations, but they do not demonstrate element-specific absorption features.
Sample outliers were identified and excluded using Mahalanobis distance to reduce the effect of anomalous points on the overall analysis. First, the relative dispersion of each observation within the 259 valid hyperspectral–EPMA datasets obtained in
Section 3.1 was quantified using the Mahalanobis distance. Principal component analysis (PCA) was then applied to reduce dimensionality and identify the components responsible for most of the variance. This PCA-based screening procedure corresponds to the “remove abnormal sample points” step shown in
Figure 6. Each data point was projected into principal component space, and deviations from the main component distribution were examined; observations showing significant deviations were identified as outliers and removed, yielding a refined dataset more suitable for subsequent model construction and analysis [
38].
Figure 10 presents the inliers and outliers. The statistical distance of each sample from the cluster center was calculated, and samples with excessively large deviations were identified as outliers and excluded. This process yielded 229 samples for model construction.
3.2.3. Spectral Feature Extraction
Spectral feature extraction methods are typical signal transformation techniques. These methods transform the shape, scale, and derivative characteristics of full spectra to suppress noise, reduce scattering- and illumination-induced variability, and highlight radiometric features that correlate statistically with compositional variations. Six preprocessing methods, namely, MSC, SNV, Norm, FD, logarithmic first derivative (LOG-FD), and CR, were compared to identify spectral variables useful for estimating the contents of Co, Cu, Mn, and Ni [
39,
40,
41]. The formulas for these spectral feature extraction methods are presented below.
Equation (1) represents the implementation of the FD spectral feature extraction method:
where
denotes the first-order derivative of the spectrum at wavelength, while
and
indicate the spectral radiometric signal values at the subsequent and preceding wavelengths, respectively.
The LOG is calculated as follows:
where
represents the logarithmically transformed spectrum and
represents the original spectrum at wavelength.
The LOG-FD was subsequently determined as
where
denotes the first-order derivative of the logarithmically transformed spectrum at wavelength, while
and
indicate the logarithmically transformed spectral values at the subsequent and preceding wavelengths, respectively.
The CR transformation is given by Equation (4):
where
denotes the continuum-removed spectrum,
represents the original spectrum, and
is the continuum.
The continuum was determined using a moving-window maximum (local maximum) method:
where
denotes the continuum at wavelength and
represents the window size.
In this study, the half-window size w was set to 10 bands (21-band window) and edge values were replaced with the nearest valid maximum.
To reduce spectral distortions, MSC aligns individual spectra with a reference by compensating for additive and multiplicative scattering effects. SNV standardizes each spectrum through mean centering and scaling, mitigating scattering-induced intensity variations and optical path-length differences. Normalization rescales spectral values to a common range to improve inter-sample comparability. FD enhanced local slope variations and weakened baseline effects, while LOG-FD combined logarithmic transformation with first-derivative processing to highlight weak spectral changes. CR highlighted local radiometric features and suppressed the spectral continuum, including feature position, depth, and shape. These methods were compared to identify the preprocessing approach that most effectively extracted spectral information predictive of elemental content in cobalt-rich crust samples. The workflow used spectral feature extraction as a spectral transformation and enhancement step before band selection and model construction, aiming to lower background interference, reduce scattering- or illumination-induced variations, and improve radiometric features statistically linked to elemental variations in cobalt-rich crusts. Therefore, feature extraction enhanced the quality and interpretability of the spectral input, offering an improved spectral representation for subsequent informative band selection and regression modeling.
The spectral feature distributions following application of six preprocessing techniques to the 229 paired datasets, each containing 383 bands, are illustrated in
Figure 11. Compared with the raw spectra, the processed data enhanced local spectral variations while reducing noise and scale-related effects. MSC, SNV, and Norm primarily corrected intensity and scaling differences while preserving the overall spectral shape. FD and LOG-FD highlighted localized wavelength-dependent signal variations and improved the distinction between neighboring bands. Correlation analysis between the processed spectral data and elemental content confirmed the efficacy of the various preprocessing techniques. For cobalt (Co), the absolute mean correlation coefficients achieved using MSC, SNV, Norm, FD, LOG-FD, and CR were 0.8242, 0.8139, 0.8085, 0.7469, 0.6336, and 0.7015, respectively. The corresponding maximum absolute correlation coefficients were 0.8629, 0.8640, 0.8627, 0.8809, 0.9070, and 0.9130. Although the CR method yields a relatively low mean correlation coefficient, it achieves the highest maximum single-band correlation, with an absolute correlation coefficient |r| = 0.9130 at the wavelength of 638.2 nm, and five bands exhibit |r| > 0.9. The hyperspectral data were acquired under natural daylight as uncalibrated radiance datasets. The CR algorithm minimizes broad spectral background effects associated with variations in illumination and sensor response, while enhancing local characteristic parameters, making it an optimal preprocessing approach for naturally illuminated uncalibrated radiance spectra.
3.3. Feature Band Selection
Hyperspectral data typically contain substantial redundancy. Therefore, selecting distinctive bands for specific elements can reduce irrelevant information and improve the accuracy and computational efficiency of the inversion model. Band selection and feature extraction play distinct but complementary roles in the inversion workflow. Feature extraction transforms the original spectral curves into enhanced spectral representations, whereas band selection further identifies the most informative wavelengths from the transformed spectra. Thus, feature extraction improves spectral signal quality, whereas band selection reduces dimensionality and removes redundant or weakly relevant wavelengths. The integration of these two steps is expected to improve model stability, reduce the risk of overfitting, and enhance the statistical informativeness of the selected spectral variables.
Characteristic bands were identified using CARS and IRIV applied to feature bands derived from six different preprocessing methods. The CARS algorithm, inspired by Darwinian survival principles, combines Monte Carlo sampling with partial least squares (PLS) regression coefficients to select relevant spectral bands. Wavelengths with higher coefficient weights are retained using adaptive weighted sampling, and after repeated iterations, the subset of wavelengths minimizing the cross-validation root mean square error is selected as the optimal feature set. The IRIV approach repeatedly permutes variables to construct PLS models and assesses the impact of adding or removing each variable on the prediction error. Using clustering-based criteria, variables are categorized as strong-information, weak-information, non-informative, or interfering. Non-informative and interfering variables are then iteratively eliminated through sequential analysis until only the strong- and weak-information variables remain. The resulting variables constitute the final feature set for elemental inversion. Full CARS and IRIV parameter settings are reported in
Supplementary Tables S1 and S2.
The same CARS parameter settings were applied to all four target elements (Co, Cu, Mn, and Ni). Mean-centering was applied as the preprocessing step before PLS modeling. Monte Carlo cross-validation used 1000 iterations, a calibration ratio of 0.8, a maximum of 15 PLS components, and five-fold cross-validation. The competitive adaptive reweighted sampling stage comprised 50 iterations with an exponentially decreasing variable-retention function (r
0 = 1, r
1 = 2/Nx), and the final PLS component number was taken as the MCCV-optimized value. Full parameter settings are provided in
Supplementary Table S1.
Table 1 summarizes the number of responsive wavelength bands extracted from the Co-element hyperspectral radiance dataset using different preprocessing methods, including MSC, SNV, Norm, FD, LOG-FD, and CR. Both CARS and IRIV techniques were used to carry out band selection, yielding 12 sets of screened characteristic bands. In each case, the number of element-specific bands was reduced to fewer than 80, significantly decreasing data dimensionality. The final number of bands accounted for less than 20% of the original dataset, substantially reducing data redundancy and dimensionality while improving the efficiency of subsequent modeling. Compared with IRIV, CARS consistently selected fewer characteristic bands under all preprocessing methods, suggesting a more compact representation of the original spectral information. Considering the high redundancy among adjacent hyperspectral bands, these compact band subsets are useful for reducing model complexity. Combined with the subsequent modeling results, CARS was therefore selected for characteristic band selection.
3.4. Construction of Crustal Metal Element Content Estimation Models
3.4.1. Dataset Division
To minimize the risk of overfitting while ensuring representative coverage of both predictor and response spaces, the sample partitioning based on the joint X–Y distances (SPXY) algorithm was employed to divide the dataset into training and test subsets. SPXY, an improved form of the Kennard–Stone (KS) algorithm, incorporated both the distribution of spectral variables (X) and the elemental concentration data from EPMA (Y). Unlike random partitioning, it facilitated the selection of representative training and test sets across both the spectral space and elemental ranges. The training set was expanded via iterative sampling to encompass the full feature space and target value range, improving the model’s robustness and predictive reliability. According to the grouping of electron probe analysis results (
Section 2.4), the 229 datasets were classified into four categories: I, II, III, and bedrock, where I–III represent the three crustal layers indicated in
Figure 5a,b. The dataset, including samples from all crustal layers and the bedrock, was divided into training and test sets at a 4:1 ratio, yielding 183 samples for training and 46 for validation. To determine the optimal processing workflow, 12 distinct datasets were established for each element by combining six feature extraction techniques with two band selection methods. This SPXY-based split provided representative coverage of the spectral and chemical ranges within the MED69A dataset, serving as an internal validation strategy within the single-station MED69A dataset.
3.4.2. Model Construction
The PLSR linear model and four nonlinear modeling techniques, including SVM, RF, MLP, and GBDT, were used to construct element content estimation models.
PLSR identifies latent variables exhibiting strong correlations with both predictor and response variables, effectively addressing high dimensionality and multicollinearity issues. During model training, both the training and test datasets were standardized to ensure consistent data scales and improve model stability. Ten-fold cross-validation was employed to determine the optimal number of principal components, reducing the risk of overfitting while providing advantages of automated data partitioning, robust cross-validation, and standardized processing.
SVM constructs optimal hyperplanes using kernel functions, enabling accurate solutions even with limited sample sizes. The regularization, kernel function, and insensitivity loss parameters were optimized using a grid search, eliminating the need for manual tuning. Model performance was assessed using five-fold cross-validation, and the optimal set of parameters was employed to train a radial basis function (RBF) kernel to determine nonlinear relationships between spectral features and elemental content. This strategy offers several benefits, including automated parameter selection, multi-metric evaluation, and improved result visualization.
RF integrates multiple decision trees to improve prediction accuracy and robustness. To improve training stability, the data were normalized before model fitting and denormalized afterward. The optimal leaf node size and maximum split count were determined using grid search. The selection of the optimal model was guided by out-of-bag error to improve generalization and reduce overfitting. The final RF-based elemental content model benefited from automatic parameter tuning, parallel computation, and multi-criteria evaluation.
MLP is a feedforward artificial neural network comprising an input layer, multiple hidden layers, and an output layer. The MLP architecture employed in this study is illustrated in
Figure 12 and consists of an input layer, eight hidden layers, and an output regression layer. The hidden layers contained 256, 256, 128, 128, 128, 64, 8, and 8 neurons, respectively, with each layer introducing nonlinearity using the ReLU activation function. The model was trained using the Adam optimizer with an initial learning rate of 0.001. A piecewise learning rate decay schedule was employed, reducing the learning rate by a factor of 10 every 125 training epochs. The network was trained for a maximum of 600 epochs with a mini-batch size of 20, and the data were shuffled after each epoch to improve training stability. The architecture was primarily selected based on the Co fitting performance under the adopted data partition during the initial modeling stage.
The network consists of an input layer, multiple hidden layers with ReLU activation functions, and an output regression layer. Spectral feature bands selected from hyperspectral data were used as inputs, and the model iteratively learned the nonlinear relationship between spectral characteristics and elemental concentrations through forward propagation and parameter optimization.
GBDT is an ensemble learning method that builds a series of decision trees sequentially to improve predictive performance. GBDT iteratively constructs decision trees to correct errors from previous trees, making it highly effective at capturing complex patterns in structured data. It is frequently utilized for both regression and classification problems. The parameters, including maximum split count and minimum leaf node sample size, were predefined, while grid search was used to optimize the number of iterations and learning rate. The elemental content estimation model was established using the Least Squares Boosting algorithm, which was selected for its robust predictive capability, automated hyperparameter optimization, ensemble-based learning strategy, and comprehensive performance evaluation.
The 12 datasets described in
Section 3.4.1 were used sequentially for model training and parameter adjustment. Corresponding test sets were used for validation, and model performance was assessed to identify the most suitable model for elemental content estimation. The selected model was then applied to estimate the concentrations of key metals at each minimal spatial point in the sample profile, producing detailed elemental concentration data.
The MLP architecture and training parameters were kept identical for all elements. The network comprised eight hidden layers containing 256, 256, 128, 128, 128, 64, 8, and 8 neurons, respectively, with ReLU activation. Model training employed the Adam optimizer with an initial learning rate of 0.001, which was reduced to 10% of its previous value every 125 epochs. A batch size of 20 and a maximum of 600 training epochs were used. For PLSR, SVR, GBDT, and RF, the hyperparameters were optimized independently for each element. PLSR used five-fold cross-validation to minimize mean squared error, with the number of components bounded by min (nSamples, nVariables) − 1. SVR with an RBF kernel used Bayesian optimization over C, sigma, and epsilon. GBDT and RF used grid searches guided by test set determination (R
2) and out-of-bag error, respectively. All models were trained and tested on data normalized to the [0, 1] range using the training set scaling parameters for the test set. Full settings and search ranges are given in
Supplementary Table S2.
3.4.3. Model Evaluation
Model effectiveness was assessed using R
2, RMSE, relative percentage deviation (RPD), and mean absolute error (MAE). R
2 values approaching 1 indicate greater predictive accuracy and stronger estimation capability, as defined in Equation (6). Lower RMSE values reflect higher model precision, whereas higher RMSE values correspond to decreased accuracy, as described in Equation (7). RPD provides an additional metric for assessing model quality: RPD > 2 denotes strong predictive ability, 1.4 < RPD < 2 indicates moderate or approximate estimation capability, and RPD < 1.4 implies that the model is insufficient for prediction, as defined in Equation (8). In machine learning, MAE represents the average absolute deviation between predicted and actual values and serves as a common regression performance metric. Smaller MAE values indicate higher prediction accuracy and lower error, as presented in Equation (9).
where
denotes the sample size,
represents the actual value of the i-th sample,
is the mean of the actual sample values,
denotes the predicted value of the i-th sample, and
represents the absolute difference between the actual and predicted values.
To quantify the statistical uncertainty and stability of the predictions, a Bootstrap resampling procedure was applied to the optimal CR-CARS-MLP model. In each Bootstrap iteration, the training set was resampled with replacement to generate a new subset of the same sample size, and the MLP model was retrained using the same CR-CARS feature bands and hyperparameter configuration. The retrained model was then used to predict the independent test set. This procedure was repeated 200 times, yielding 200 prediction values for each test sample. The 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of the Bootstrap prediction distribution were used to construct the 95% confidence interval (CI) for each predicted value. The mean CI width and the coverage of the observed EPMA values within the corresponding CIs were used to evaluate the reliability and robustness of the CR-CARS-MLP framework.
3.5. Calculation of Metal Content in Crusts
Mineral grade is used to describe the concentration of one or more valuable elements, typically expressed as a percentage (%) or in grams per tonne (g/t) [
1].
Representative sampling is fundamental to reliable grade estimation; however, obtaining such samples is particularly challenging for deep-sea crustal mineral deposits because they are difficult to access and are available only in limited quantities.
The elemental concentrations were determined using spectral scanning to provide a reference for the estimation of metal grades through channel sampling. The concentration of Co was calculated according to Equations (10) and (11).
represents the predicted cobalt content at the i-th point according to the model described in
Section 3.4.2 and
denotes the total number of valid minimum data points across the profile. This approach facilitated the determination of the average Co concentration. Similar methods can be applied to estimate the average concentrations of Cu, Mn, and Ni. The resulting elemental content data can be arranged as a matrix, and vertical partition analysis is used to identify the sampling locations for grade determination.
4. Results of the Methods Framework
This study integrated hyperspectral and EPMA data to develop a comprehensive experimental procedure, comprising sample preparation, data acquisition, dataset construction, noise reduction and outlier elimination, spectral feature extraction, feature band selection, and the development of elemental content estimation models. A systematic evaluation of hyperspectral methods for metal content estimation was conducted using both comparative assessments and experimental validation.
A total of 60 modeling combinations were evaluated by crossing six spectral feature extraction methods (MSC, SNV, Norm, FD, LOG-FD, and CR), two variable-selection algorithms (IRIV and CARS), and five regression techniques (PLSR, SVM, MLP, GBDT, and RF). Model performance was assessed using the coefficient of determination (R
2), root mean square error (RMSE), residual prediction deviation (RPD), and mean absolute error (MAE). The complete results are reported in
Table 2.
Table 2 lists all 60 combinations sorted by R
2 in descending order. The highest accuracy was obtained by LOG-FD-CARS-MLP (R
2 = 0.9858, RMSE = 0.0276, RPD = 8.4749, MAE = 0.0164), followed by SNV-IRIV-PLSR (R
2 = 0.9732, RMSE = 0.0346, RPD = 6.1802, MAE = 0.0264) and CR-CARS-MLP (R
2 = 0.9646, RMSE = 0.0404, RPD = 5.3720, MAE = 0.0216). Overall, 10 combinations reached R
2 ≥ 0.95, and only combinations based on effective preprocessing together with compact variable selection were found among this top tier. The three best-performing frameworks all satisfied the RPD > 5.0 threshold, indicating excellent predictive capability for cobalt content estimation.
To isolate the contribution of each methodological component, average metrics were computed across the relevant subsets.
As illustrated in
Table 3, among the six feature extraction techniques, CR produced the highest average R
2 (0.9334), followed by LOG-FD (0.9207) and FD (0.9167), whereas Norm gave the lowest average R
2 (0.8050). This indicates that continuum removal is the most robust preprocessing strategy for the present dataset. The derivative-based methods (FD and LOG-FD) could yield very high accuracy in specific combinations, but their average performance was lower and less consistent across modeling techniques. The superiority of CR reflects its ability to remove the continuum baseline and enhance favorable spectral features, thereby producing more stable and physically interpretable relationships between spectra and target metal contents.
For band selection, CARS clearly outperformed IRIV on all four averaged metrics (R2 = 0.9101 vs. 0.8575; RMSE = 0.0620 vs. 0.0772; RPD = 3.8771 vs. 3.1692; MAE = 0.0407 vs. 0.0454). The superiority of CARS suggests that the competitive adaptive reweighted sampling strategy retained a more parsimonious and informative set of wavelengths for this empirical radiance-to-chemistry modeling task.
Among the five regression algorithms, MLP achieved the best average performance (R2 = 0.9061, RMSE = 0.0616, RPD = 4.1260, MAE = 0.0331), confirming that the relationship between the processed hyperspectral features and the target metal contents contains substantial nonlinear structure. PLSR, SVM, GBDT, and RF showed comparable but slightly lower average accuracies.
The final framework was selected using a pre-specified multi-criterion rule: among combinations that achieved R2 ≥ 0.96 and RPD ≥ 5.0 on the internal test set, the combination with the smallest number of selected bands was preferred. This threshold-and-parsimony rule favors simpler models that still attain excellent predictive accuracy, reducing the risk of overfitting and improving interpretability for uncalibrated radiance data.
Under this rule, CR-CARS-MLP (R2 = 0.9646, RMSE = 0.0404, RPD = 5.3720, MAE = 0.0216, 28 bands) was selected over LOG-FD-CARS-MLP (R2 = 0.9858, RMSE = 0.0276, RPD = 8.4749, MAE = 0.0164, 36 bands) and SNV-IRIV-MLP (R2 = 0.9646, RMSE = 0.0389, RPD = 5.3752, MAE = 0.0285, 59 bands). Although LOG-FD-CARS-MLP yielded the highest R2, it required a two-step transformation (logarithm + first derivative) and retained more bands than CR-CARS-MLP, which introduces additional parameter accumulation and reduces physical interpretability. Meanwhile, SNV-IRIV-MLP used 59 bands and therefore offered less parsimony. CR-CARS-MLP thus provides an optimal balance between predictive accuracy, model simplicity, and physical interpretability.
The wide spread in performance across the 60 combinations (R2 from 0.5439 to 0.9858) demonstrates that both spectral preprocessing and wavelength selection are decisive for empirical hyperspectral–geochemical modeling. The weakest combination, Norm-IRIV-PLSR (R2 = 0.5439, RPD = 1.4970), approached the threshold of model inadequacy (RPD ≈ 1.4), while the strongest combinations shared two characteristics: (1) preprocessing that enhances radiometric features linked to elemental variation, especially CR, and (2) compact variable selection, especially CARS. The selected CR-CARS-MLP framework satisfies both requirements and delivers excellent, internally consistent predictions for cobalt content estimation within the available EPMA–hyperspectral dataset.