Performance Evaluation of Multi-Typed Precipitation Products for Agricultural Research in the Amur River Basin over the Sino–Russian Border Region
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data
2.2.1. Data Sources
2.2.2. Data Preprocessing
2.3. Methodologies
2.3.1. Consistency Verification of the Selected Products against the Gauge Data
2.3.2. Evaluation of the Characterization of Precipitation Intensity
2.3.3. Assessing Ability to Identify Agricultural Drought Events
3. Results
3.1. Accuracy Evaluation of Records from Selected Precipitation Products
3.1.1. General Performance
3.1.2. Parameter Evaluation
3.2. Performance Evaluation Regarding the Derived Precipitation Events in the Agricultural Thematic Areas (ATAs)
3.2.1. Evaluation of the Distribution and Frequency of Precipitation Intensity
3.2.2. Evaluation of Agricultural Drought Monitoring Effectiveness
4. Discussion
4.1. Multi-View of the Strengths and Weaknesses of the PPs
4.2. Characteristic and Source Analysis of the Deviation from the Four PPs
4.3. Research Limitations and Future Suggestions
- (1)
- There is a need to expand the range of products and potential applications used for evaluation. This study gives foundational information for sequential studies in the different zones. Since the optimal products for precipitation intensity and agricultural drought identification were confirmed, the eventual rules of extreme precipitation and drought in the specific area could be investigated by the corresponding products referenced in this study.
- (2)
- The resolution mismatch and spatial attenuation of precipitation should be further solved. The resolution unification of the four products would ease the issue of large resolution differences between ERA5 and the other products, while interpolation with the bilinear method would introduce the other error in the area with complex terrain and water mass [27,52]. On the other hand, the spatial attenuation will result in the areal precipitation values being less than the observation values from the rain-gauge stations. Facing the above problems to be solved, we will search for more advanced downscaling methods and suitable areal reduction factors to enhance the accuracies of evaluation results.
- (3)
- The duration of evaluating precipitation intensity needs to be reconsidered. In this study, 24 h was used as the scale of precipitation intensity based on the stipulation created by the CMA and the condition of the selected product. However, in certain circumstances, such as short-term heavy precipitation events, the distribution of precipitation per day can affect the determination of precipitation intensity. Therefore, smaller scales should be considered for monitoring extreme weather events, and the interval adjustment of precipitation intensity will be made dynamically based on the characteristics of different parts of the study area in future studies.
- (4)
- Merging the multi-meteorological impacts needs to be further studied. The seasonal evaluation of the precipitation intensities implies that the monitoring conditions of the PPs varied with changes in the external environment. As the distinctive seasonal characteristics of the meteorological condition were analyzed, elements such as temperature and wind were discovered to be the primary factors influencing precipitation measurement and estimation [22,53]. Thus, dissecting the PPs’ responses with respect to the evolution of these associated measurements deserves to be explored so as to clarify the change in the PPs’ prediction accuracies with the development of natural conditions in different seasonal durations.
- (5)
- Different agricultural drought degrees and indicators need to be further considered for evaluation. The characterization of drought events involved whole classes of agricultural drought occurrences, but varying degrees of drought will produce different effects on the environment. Therefore, the identification of different classes will be continued to monitor the efficacy of the products in capturing agricultural drought abilities. Moreover, with the recognition of drought diseases increasing, the evaluation of different precipitation-based indices, such as the Agricultural Precipitation Index (ARI) and the Soil Moisture Deficit Index (SMDI), should also be considered.
5. Conclusions
- (1)
- Regarding spatial description, all four types of PPs show similar spatial distributions of annual mean precipitation, with a general increasing trend from west to east over the study area. For annual data consistencies at the site scale, ERA5 series data slightly outperformed other types in reducing gaps with observed data in the low-value range.
- (2)
- In terms of consistency verification, GPM performed the best overall with the smallest RMSE, while MSWEP showed regional outperformance in the Russian region with the highest CC. The daily-assembled ERA5-Land data proved suitable for use in the Chinese area as a reanalysis resource. ERA5 performed lowest in most cases in this area, but its monthly data still deserve consideration in future studies of the eastern Chinese agroclimatic regions.
- (3)
- When comparing the performances in identifying seasonal precipitation events, GPM can mainly alleviate intensity underestimation in summer, while MSWEP showed better quality in frequency simulation in this season. Both products also demonstrated superior identification accuracy and scoring indices among the different ATAs.
- (4)
- In depicting agricultural drought conditions based on the distribution of the evaluated indices and derived event features, GPM and MSWEP showed clear regional characterization abilities in estimating conditions in the Chinese and Russian ATAs. However, reanalysis products were recommended to enhance their capacities by involving more empirical data regarding extreme precipitation events.
- (5)
- The distinctive performances of the multi-typed precipitation products were analyzed systematically in terms of various aspects, and the optimal products were identified for each ATA. The results of this study not only offer guidance on the selection of PPs for local applications, but also have the potential to inform future improvements to existing products and R&D for the generation of new products.
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Product Name (Abbr.) | Full Name | Product Principle | Spatial Resolution | Temporal Resolution | Cover Time |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ERA5 | The fifth generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis | Reanalysis | 0.25° × 0.25° | Hourly | 1950 to present |
ERA5-Land | The fifth generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis on global land surface | Reanalysis | 0.1° × 0.1° | Hourly | 1950 to present |
MSWEPv2.8 | Multi-source weighted-ensemble precipitation | Multisource- based | 0.1° × 0.1° | 3-hourly | 1979 to present |
GPM_3IMERGDF | Integrated multi-satellite retrievals for global precipitation measurement Level 3 (1-day V06) | Satellite-based | 0.1° × 0.1° | Daily | 2000 to present |
Precipitation Amount in 24 h (mm) | Precipitation Intensity Class |
---|---|
<10 | Light precipitation |
10–25 | Moderate precipitation |
25–50 | Heavy precipitation |
50–100 | Downpour |
100–250 | Torrential precipitation |
Name | Equation | Best Value |
---|---|---|
Probability of Detection (POD) | 1 | |
False-Alarm Ratio (FAR) | 0 | |
Equitable Threat Score (ETS) | 1 |
Country | Name | Related Agroclimatic Region | Agricultural Characteristics | Total Number of Stations |
---|---|---|---|---|
China | C-I | C-1/C-2 | The region has the distinctive features of farming–forestry/pastoral interlacing and providing abundant resources, including forestry, fruit, cash crops, as well as the husbandry industry. | 5 |
C-II | C-3 | The middle part of Songnen Plain is the core region of Chinese farming produce, mainly producing staple grains, such as maize, rice, and wheat. | 10 | |
C-III | C-4/C-5 | With the spatial pattern of “two mountains (Lesser Khingan and Mount Changbai) nip one plain (Sanjiang)”, the region contains different cultivated types of grain, fruit, and aquatic products. | 13 | |
Russia | R-I | R-3/R-4 (in Amur Oblast and Jewish Autonomous Region) | Having the longest history of crop production in the southern part of the Russian Far East, the soybean and grain produced on the vast Amur–Zeya Plain were two major planting types in this area. | 8 |
R-II | R-3/R-4/R-5 (in Primorsky Krai) | With adequate water resources and a humid monsoon climate, the major planting industry is concentrated in the edge area surrounding Khanka Lake. In recent years, the increasing pattern of cropland in this area was observed with the expansion of the production of the agricultural sector [42]. | 5 |
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Zhou, Y.; Wang, J.; Grigorieva, E.; Li, K.; Xu, H. Performance Evaluation of Multi-Typed Precipitation Products for Agricultural Research in the Amur River Basin over the Sino–Russian Border Region. Remote Sens. 2023, 15, 2577. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15102577
Zhou Y, Wang J, Grigorieva E, Li K, Xu H. Performance Evaluation of Multi-Typed Precipitation Products for Agricultural Research in the Amur River Basin over the Sino–Russian Border Region. Remote Sensing. 2023; 15(10):2577. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15102577
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhou, Yezhi, Juanle Wang, Elena Grigorieva, Kai Li, and Huanyu Xu. 2023. "Performance Evaluation of Multi-Typed Precipitation Products for Agricultural Research in the Amur River Basin over the Sino–Russian Border Region" Remote Sensing 15, no. 10: 2577. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15102577
APA StyleZhou, Y., Wang, J., Grigorieva, E., Li, K., & Xu, H. (2023). Performance Evaluation of Multi-Typed Precipitation Products for Agricultural Research in the Amur River Basin over the Sino–Russian Border Region. Remote Sensing, 15(10), 2577. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15102577