Determinants of Agrarian Technology Adoption for Climate Change Adaptation in Semi-Arid Region of Chicualacuala, Mozambique
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Characterization of the Study Area
2.2. Data Collection
- n—Sample size
- Zα—Critical value corresponding to the desired confidence level (1.96 for 95%)
- p—Estimated proportion of the population belonging to the category of interest (0.50)
- N—Total number of households in Chicualacuala district (5099)
- E—Allowed estimation error (7%)
| Villages | Total Respondents | Percent (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Chicualacuala River | 105 | 55 |
| Chitanga | 52 | 27 |
| Chicualacuala Sede | 34 | 18 |
2.3. Data Analysis
2.3.1. Dependent and Independent Variables
- Adoption of adaptation technologies in agriculture: Takes value 1 if the head of the households adopted at least one adaptation technology in agriculture, and 0 otherwise.
- Adoption of adaptation technologies in forestry: Takes the value 1 if the head of the households adopted at least one adaptation technology in forestry, and 0 otherwise.
- Adoption of adaptation technologies in livestock farming: Takes the value 1 if the head of the households adopted at least one adaptation technology in livestock farming, and 0 otherwise.
2.3.2. Explanatory Variables
- Hypothesis 1: Male-headed households are more likely to adopt adaptation technologies [9].
- Hypothesis 2: Younger household heads are more likely to adopt adaptation technologies [10].
- Hypothesis 3: Household heads with higher education are more likely to adopt adaptation technologies [12].
- Hypotheses 4 to 8: Adoption likelihood is higher for households engaged in full-time agriculture, livestock farming, or charcoal production [4].
- Hypotheses 9 and 10: Credit access and membership in savings associations increase adoption [10].
- Hypothesis 11: Higher-income households are more likely to adopt adaptation technologies [8].
- Hypotheses 14 to 18: Access to information increases the likelihood of adopting adaptation technologies [4].
- The explanatory variables included in the study, along with their types, expected signs, and associated hypotheses, are summarized in Table 2.
3. Results
3.1. Characterization of the Socioeconomic Profile of Household
3.2. Main Climate Change Adaptation Technologies Adopted by Local Communities
- (a)
- Agriculture
- (b)
- Forest
- (c)
- livestock
3.3. Perceived Effects of the Adopted Technologies
- (a)
- Agriculture
- (b)
- Forestry
- (c)
- Livestock
3.4. Estimation Results of the Binary Logistic Regression Model (Logit)
3.4.1. Agriculture Sector
- (a)
- Field size
- (b)
- Household head practicing agriculture full-time
- (c)
- Total household income
- (d)
- Access to information through community meetings
- (e)
- Membership in an agricultural farmers’ association
3.4.2. Forestry Sector
- (a)
- Access to credit
- (b)
- Access to agricultural extension services
- (c)
- Access to information via radio
- (d)
- Access to information through community meetings
- (e)
- Membership in the charcoal producers’ association
3.4.3. Livestock Sector
- (a)
- Household head formally employed
- (b)
- Access to credit
- (c)
- Membership in the charcoal producers’ association
4. Discussion
4.1. Main Climate Change Adaptation Measures Adopted by Local Communities
- Agriculture
- Forestry
- Livestock
4.2. Perceived Effects of the Adopted Technologies
4.2.1. Agriculture
4.2.2. Forestry
4.2.3. Livestock
4.3. Estimation Results of the Binary Logistic Regression Model (Logit)
- (a)
- For the agriculture sector
- (b)
- Forestry Sector
- (c)
- Livestock Sector
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
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| Label | Variable Type | Expected Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Gender of the household head | Dichotomous (Male = 1; Female = 0) | − |
| Age of the household head in years | Continuous | − |
| High School of the household head | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Elementary School of the household head | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | − |
| Formal employment of the household head | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household head had land ownership | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household head practices agriculture full-time | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household head practices charcoal production | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household head had access to credit | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Total monthly income of the Household (local currency) | Continuous | + |
| Farm size (hectares) | Continuous | + |
| Household head had access to climate information | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household heads have participated in community meetings | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household used social networks | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household heads used radio | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | |
| Household head belonged to an agricultural association | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household head belonged to a livestock association | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household head belonged to a charcoal producer’s association | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household head belonged to a savings association | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household head had contact with extension service | Dichotomous (=1 if yes; 0 otherwise) | + |
| Household size | Discrete (Number of members in the household) | + |
| Variable | Frequency | Percent (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | Male | 82 | 42.90 |
| Female | 109 | 57.10 | |
| Education level | None | 95 | 49.70 |
| Elementary School | 79 | 41.40 | |
| Higher School | 17 | 8.90 | |
| College level | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Marital status | Single | 77 | 40.31 |
| Married | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Common-law marriage | 102 | 53.40 | |
| Divorced | 1 | 0.52 | |
| Widowed | 11 | 5.76 | |
| Activities | Agriculture | 141 | 73.82 |
| Livestock | 47 | 24.61 | |
| Sale of tree seedlings | 20 | 10.47 | |
| Traditional medicine | 2 | 1.05 | |
| Charcoal producer | 103 | 53.93 | |
| Merchant | 6 | 3.14 | |
| Craftsman and State Employee | 0 | 0 | |
| Beverage producer | 7 | 3.67 | |
| Construction | 1 | 0.52 | |
| Association Membership | None | 104 | 54.45 |
| Household head belonged to an agricultural association | 15 | 7.85 | |
| Household head belonged to a livestock association | 7 | 3.67 | |
| Household head belonged to a charcoal producer’s association | 10 | 5.24 | |
| Household head belonged to a savings association | 55 | 28.80 | |
| Main source of information | Social networks | 27 | 14.14 |
| Community meetings | 165 | 86.39 | |
| Community radio | 14 | 7.33 | |
| Access to Climate information | Yes | 77 | 40.31 |
| No | 114 | 50.69 | |
| Land ownership | Yes | 141 | 96.34 |
| No | 7 | 3.66 | |
| Variable | N | Mean | Standard Deviation | Minimum | Maximum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (average) of the household head | 191 | 41.10 | 14.50 | 14.00 | 76.00 |
| Monthly income (USD) | 191 | 42.00 | 37.00 | 0.76 | 461.5 |
| Household size | 191 | 9.53 | 2.69 | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| Farm size (hectares) | 191 | 2.05 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Independent Variables | Coefficient | Significance | Odds Ratio (Exp (β)) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agriculture | Forestry | Livestock | Agriculture | Forestry | Livestock | Agriculture | Forestry | Livestock | |
| Land ownership | 0.546 | - | 0.629 | - | - | - | |||
| Field size | −3.549 | - | 0.051 * | 0.029 | - | - | |||
| Gender of the household head | 0.948 | 0.1984 | −0.044 | 0.193 | 0.677 | 0.906 | - | - | - |
| Age of the household head | −0.024 | −0.0147 | 0.0017 | 0.430 | 0.336 | 0.886 | - | - | - |
| Basic education level of the household head | 2.676 | 0.906 | 0.334 | 0.1140 | 0.107 | 0.406 | - | - | 0.122 |
| Intermediate level of education of the household head | 1.147 | 1.042 | −0.546 | 0.257 | 0.2601 | 0.4371 | - | - | |
| The household head is formally employed | −0.8017 | −0.4853 | −2.1055 | 0.6166 | 0.549 | 0.007 ** | - | - | 0.122 |
| The household head is practicing agriculture full-time | 4.8376 | 0.6325 | 0.015 ** | 0.322 | 126.170 ** | - | - | ||
| The household head is a charcoal producer | 0.2020 | 0.5991 | 0.726 | 0.141 | 4.727 | 3.510 | |||
| The household head is a livestock farmer | 0.4018 | - | 0.418 | - | - | - | |||
| The household head has access to credit | −1.125 | 1.553 | 1.256 | 0.168 | 0.090 ** | 0.090 ** | - | - | - |
| Total household income | 0.0003 | −0.001 | −0.0001 | 0.020 ** | 0.455 | 0.892 | 1.003 | 0.415 | - |
| The household head has access to climate information services | 0.6008 | 0.3716 | −0.1701 | 0.5906 | 0.373 | 0.650 | 0.369 | - | - |
| The household head has access to agricultural extension services | −0.766 | −0.8740 | 0.095 | 0.370 | 0.0481 ** | 0.796 | - | 3.425 | - |
| The household head has access to information services via social media | −1.9896 | −0.5174 | −0.0809 | 0.207 | 0.486 | 0.871 | - | 4.892 | - |
| The household head has access to information services via radio | 0.336 | 1.231 | 0.854 | 0.7989 | 0.038 ** | 0.153 | - | - | - |
| The household head has access to information services through community meetings | 1.675 | 1.588 | −0.4735 | 0.0636 * | 0.0278 ** | 0.359 | 0.061 | - | 7.355 |
| The household head belongs to the agriculture farmers association | 3.242 | −1.150 | - | 0.037 ** | 0.147 | - | 25.579 | - | - |
| The household head belongs to the charcoal producer’s association | 1.741 | 1.995 | 0.051 * | 0.018 ** | - | - | |||
| The household head belongs to the livestock farmers association | 1.241 | - | 0.082 * | - | - | - | |||
| The household head belongs to the savings association | −0.207 | 0.362 | −0.828 | 0.800 | 0.480 | 0.069 * | - | - | - |
| Household size | −0.3241 | −0.074 | 0.005 | 0.117 | 0.401 | 0.935 | - | - | 0.029 |
| Cons | 7.4796 | 0.198 | −0.044 | 0.165 | 0.677 | 0.906 | - | - | - |
| Number of obs = | 191 | 191 | 191 | ||||||
| Wald Chi2 = | 68.30 | 33.750 | 22.190 | ||||||
| Prob > Chi2 = | 0.000 | 0.028 | 0.0023 | ||||||
| Log likelihood = | −21.460 | −5.346 | −33.450 | ||||||
| Pseudo R2 = | 0.8045 | 0.196 | 0.125 | ||||||
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Cardina, C.; Jorge, A.; Mosse, G.; Artur, L.; Macuácua, J.; Munissa, D.; Sitoe, A.A. Determinants of Agrarian Technology Adoption for Climate Change Adaptation in Semi-Arid Region of Chicualacuala, Mozambique. Sustainability 2026, 18, 5690. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115690
Cardina C, Jorge A, Mosse G, Artur L, Macuácua J, Munissa D, Sitoe AA. Determinants of Agrarian Technology Adoption for Climate Change Adaptation in Semi-Arid Region of Chicualacuala, Mozambique. Sustainability. 2026; 18(11):5690. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115690
Chicago/Turabian StyleCardina, Cléusia, Arsénio Jorge, Gerivásia Mosse, Luís Artur, Jaime Macuácua, Délcio Munissa, and Almeida A. Sitoe. 2026. "Determinants of Agrarian Technology Adoption for Climate Change Adaptation in Semi-Arid Region of Chicualacuala, Mozambique" Sustainability 18, no. 11: 5690. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115690
APA StyleCardina, C., Jorge, A., Mosse, G., Artur, L., Macuácua, J., Munissa, D., & Sitoe, A. A. (2026). Determinants of Agrarian Technology Adoption for Climate Change Adaptation in Semi-Arid Region of Chicualacuala, Mozambique. Sustainability, 18(11), 5690. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115690
