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Article

Soft Computing and Machine Learning-Based Models to Predict the Slump and Compressive Strength of Self-Compacted Concrete Modified with Fly Ash

by
Dilshad Kakasor Ismael Jaf
Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Salahaddin University, Erbil 44002, Iraq
Sustainability 2023, 15(15), 11554; https://doi.org/10.3390/su151511554
Submission received: 2 July 2023 / Revised: 14 July 2023 / Accepted: 17 July 2023 / Published: 26 July 2023

Abstract

:
Self-compacted concrete (SCC) is a special type of concrete; it is a liquid mixture appropriate for structural elements with excessive reinforcement without vibration. SCC is commonly produced by increasing the paste volume and cement content. As cement production is one of the huge factors in releasing CO2 gas into the atmosphere, by-product materials such as fly ash are utilized as a cement replacement in concrete. In addition to the positive environmental impact, fly ash can maintain an excellent fresh and mechanical property. Incorporating fly ash into self-compacted concrete is widely applied in practice. However, its application is frequently limited by a lack of knowledge about the mixed material gained from laboratory tests. The most significant mechanical property for all concrete types is compressive strength (CS); also, the slump flow diameter (SL) in the fresh state is a crucial property for SCC. Hence, developing an accurate and reliable model for predicting the CS and SL is very important for saving time and energy, as well as lowering the cost. This research study proposed a projection of both the CS and SL of SCC modified with fly ash by three different model approaches: Nonlinear regression (NLR), Multi-Linear regression (MLR), and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). In this regard, two different datasets were collected and analyzed for developing models: 308 data samples were used for predicting the CS, and 86 data samples for the SL. Each database included the same five independent parameters. The ranges for CS prediction were: cement (134.7–583 kg/m3), water-to-binder ratio (0.27–0.9), fly ash (0–525 kg/m3), sand (478–1180 kg/m3), coarse aggregate (578–1125 kg/m3), and superplasticizer (0–1.4%). The dependent parameter (CS) ranged from 9.7 to 81.3 MPa. On the other hand, the data ranges for the SL prediction included independent parameters such as cement (83–733 kg/m3), water-to-binder ratio (0.26–0.58), fly ash (0–468 kg/m3), sand (624–1038 kg/m3), coarse aggregate (590–966 kg/m3), and superplasticizer (0.087–21.84%). Also, the dependent parameter (SL) ranged from 615 to 800 m. Various statistical assessment tools, such as the coefficient of determination (R2), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Objective value (OBJ), and Scatter Index (SI), were used to evaluate the performance of the developed models. The results showed that the ANN model best predicted the CS and SL of SCC mixtures modified with fly ash. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the cement content is the most effective factor in predicting the CS and SL of SCC mixtures.

1. Introduction

Self-compacted concrete (SCC) is one of the special types of concrete with a high viscosity without any requirement for compaction. SCC is vital in the concrete industry due to its numerous benefits. The main idea of SCC is to increase the amount of paste volume to increase the rheological property of the mixture. Thus, the SCC can spread completely inside the formwork by its weight without any bleeding or segregation. Thus, the labor cost will be eliminated. However, utilizing excessive cement leads to a higher cost of SCC production [1,2,3]. SCC is an excellent choice for congestion structural elements due to its high flowability. The high flowability and stability of SCC can be achieved by utilizing different mineral and chemical admixtures; fly ash and superplasticizer, respectively, are commonly used [4]. Fly ash is one of the common replacements for cement in concrete. It can provide lower costs by reducing the utilization of cement and improving the mixture’s flowability due to its rounded shape. One of the advantages of SCC over the other special concretes is that SCC does not require any special curing method; the same methods and procedures for normal concrete can also be used for SCC [5].
In the fresh state, the slump flow diameter (SL) of SCC is an important property that should be checked. Also, among the mechanical properties in the hardened state, the compressive strength (CS) of SCC is one of the significant parameters in the design of engineering structures. Other mechanical properties and the durability of SCC have a direct or indirect relation to compressive strength, and they can be derivate from the CS [6,7].
The term ‘water-to-binder ratio’ (w/b) refers to the ratio of water to cement plus pozzolanic material. One of the most common and most-well known pozzolanic materials is fly ash, which has been used to improve some significant properties of self-compacted concrete, such as workability. The compressive strength of SCC is improved by increasing the water-to-binder ratio [8]. Karamoozian et al. [9] noticed that, for the same water content, increasing the cement content from 360 to 450 kg/m3 increased the compressive strength of SCC from 48 to 52 MPa at 28 days of curing. Similar findings have been reported in other studies [10,11]. The w/b is one of the significant factors influencing the compressive strength of SCC, similar to normal concrete. For SCC, the ratio is normally lower than normal concrete. A lower w/b refers to lower water content and a higher amount of binder materials, leading to a higher CS and a more homogeneous matrix. Ahmadi et al. [12] stated that the w/b ratio has a greater impact on the compressive strength of normal concrete than on the self-compacting compressive strength. Naderpour and Abbasi [13] investigated the effect of different w/b ratios on the compressive strength of SCC. It was noticed that lowering the w/b ratio from 0.45 to 0.35 improved the CS of SCC at all curing ages (from 3 to 56 days).
Since the volume of aggregates in the SCC is about 60–70% of its total volume, aggregate greatly influences the rheological and mechanical properties of SCC. Compared to conventional concrete, lower coarse aggregate content is utilized in the production of SCC [1,3,14]. The study by [15] showed that the coarse aggregate had a greater impact on the CS of SCC than the fine aggregate content. However, the fine aggregate has more influence on the homogeneity and viscosity of the SCC mixture [16].
In addition to adding pozzolanic materials, SCC production is impossible without superplasticizers. This is due to the utilization of high cement and binder content in SCC. Therefore, high workability (slump flow diameter) can be achieved in SCC only when the SP content is increased. Adding SP to the SCC mixture improves the rheological performance but has different effects on the compressive strength based on the SP dosage. A previous study by Sor N. A. [17] concluded that increasing the SP dosage from 5.5 kg/m3 to 8.25 kg/m3 increased the compressive strength of SCC from 35 MPa to 45.5 MPa at 28 days.
As illustrated above, the compressive strength of SCC is sensitive and affected by several parameters. Therefore, apart from experimental work in the laboratory, which is quite costly, it is important to utilize more advanced techniques to predict the CS value through various statistical tools and numerical equations. Soft computing techniques [18,19,20,21,22] are currently one of the most common and ideal approaches for predicting measured values; they may be a good alternative for solving linear or nonlinear problems where mathematical models cannot simply indicate the relationship between the involved parameters in the problem [23]. Mohammed et al. [24] created a systematic multiscale model to predict the CS of fly ash-based concrete. A total of 450 experimental data were used for modeling in their study. For the qualifications, the Linear regression (LR), Nonlinear regression (NLR), Multi-Linear regression (MLR), M5P-tree, and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were all developed. It was concluded that the MLR, M5P-tree, and ANN models were the most accurate and reliable in predicting the CS of high-volume fly ash concrete, with higher R2 values and lower RMSE and MAE values.
In this study, two different databases of fly ash-based self-compacted concrete mixtures with the same parameters were prepared. The first database consisted of 308 data samples of SCC mixtures, and it was used to predict the compressive strength; the second one had 86 data points used to predict the slump flow diameter of SCC. Thus, the CS and SL are were dependent parameters predicted independently using collected databases. The independent parameters of SCC were in various ranges, which included cement (C), water-to-binder ratio (w/b), fly ash (FA), sand (S), coarse aggregate (CA), and superplasticizer (SP).
As fly ash has a wide range of applications for producing SCC mixtures, a reliable and accurate model cannot be found in the literature regarding the efficient use of FA in SCC mixtures for the construction industry. As a result, this study attempted to evaluate and quantify the effect of a wide range of mixture proportions on the CS and SL of SCC, including the cement content (kg/m3), water-to-binder ratio, fly ash content (kg/m3), sand content (kg/m3), coarse aggregate content (kg/m3), and superplasticizer percentage amount.
Three different model techniques, namely NLR, MLR, and ANN, were performed to predict the CS [25,26,27,28] and SL of SCC modified with FA using the databases collected from the literature. Furthermore, the most accurately developed model was applied to different CS and SL ranges. The compressive strength ranges were as follows: low-strength concrete (LSC), lower than 20 MPa; Normal-strength concrete (NSC), between 20 and 55 MPa; and High-strength concrete (HSC), CS greater than 50 MPa [29]. The slump flow diameter was divided into three different classes: the SL from 550 to 650 mm (Class 1), SL between 650 and 750 mm (Class 2), and SL of greater than 750 mm (Class 3) [5]. In addition, different assessment criteria, such as the Correlation Coefficient (R2), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Objective (OBJ), and Scatter Index (SI), were used to evaluate the performance of the developed models.

Research Objectives

This study aims to evaluate the effect of fly ash on the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of self-compacted concrete mixtures collected from literature; the following are the main objectives:
I.
Perform statistical analysis to determine the influence of concrete ingredients, such as the cement, water-to-binder ratio, fly ash, sand, coarse aggregate, and superplasticizer, on self-compacted concrete’s compressive strength and slump flow diameter.
II.
Provide a systematic multiscale model and propose to predict the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of self-compacted concrete containing up to 70% of fly ash, with a variety of cement, sand, and coarse aggregate content, as well as different water-to-binder ratios and superplasticizer percentages.
III.
Apply the most accurately developed model on different compressive strength ranges and slump flow diameter classes.
IV.
As an alternative to the developed model techniques (NLR, MLR, and ANN), determine the most reliable and accurate model based on different statistical assessment criteria to predict the CS and SL of fly ash-based self-compacted concrete.
V.
The overall and main objective of the current study is to model compressive strength as one of the significant mechanical properties of concrete and slump flow diameter as a fresh state property of SCC modified with different FA content.

2. Methodology

2.1. Data Collection

Two databases were prepared for each targeted parameter to develop a reliable and applicable model to predict both the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of self-compacted concrete modified with fly ash. The independent parameters included six main parameters: cement content (kg/m3), water-to-binder ratio, fly ash content (kg/m3), sand (kg/m3), coarse aggregate (kg/m3), and superplasticizer (%). For the compressive strength and slump flow, 308 data samples [30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51] and 86 data samples [31,37,38,41,42,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63] were selected, respectively, as shown in Table 1. According to the literature [29,64,65,66], the datasets were divided into two groups, training (by 70%) and testing (by 30%), using the Rand Function. The training dataset included 216 samples for CS data, while the testing data included 92 samples to check the validity of the developed models based on the training datasets. The training and testing datasets for the SL database were determined as 60 samples and 26 samples, respectively. Figure 1 shows the methodology of the current study.
Table 1. Summary of collected data for CS and SL prediction in FA-modified SCC.
Table 1. Summary of collected data for CS and SL prediction in FA-modified SCC.
ReferencesCement, C (kg/m³)Water-to-Binder Ratio (w/b)Fly Ash, FA (kg/m³)Sand, S (kg/m³)Coarse Aggregate, CA (kg/m³)Superplasticizer, SP (%)Compressive Strength, CS (MPa)
[30]134.7–5400.27–0.90–525487–1135600–11250–1.369.74–79.19
[31]160–2800.34–0.45120–240808–10349000.1–0.631–52
[32]280–4000.55–0.870–120718–10428500.12–0.7513.3–41.2
[33,34]183–3170.38–0.65100–261478–9198370–1Oct-43
[35]533–5830.31–0.3350–215813–835745–7660.24–0.4650–81
[36]161–2470.35–0.45159–254842–866843–8640–0.426.2–38.0
[37]250–4270.31–0.5990–257768–988659–9230.09–0.947–66
[38]220–4400.32110–330686–714881–9170.62–0.6948–70
[39]300–3500.38–0.4150–200830–845860–8760.818–0.82721.6–26.5
[40]3800.382011805780.39840.4
[41]275–3500.34–0.36150–325611–707777–9010.795–1.2550–72
[42]165–2750.37–0.58275–385735–796865–9370.836–0.7437.92–63.32
[43]2150.382159259050.1520.4
[44]2900.382909756500.4537.97
[45]3000.283007877200.3352.7
[46]4200.33807858600.356
[47]3500.351509006001.037.18
[48]3600.282408536980.363.5
[49]344–3990.35100–147814881–8820.116–0.14648.75–55
[50]2250.352759086520.7041.42
[51]4800.38968196990.9453
ReferencesCement, C (kg/m³)Water-to-binder ratio (w/b)Fly ash, FA (kg/m³)Sand, S (kg/m³)Coarse aggregate, CA (kg/m³)Superplasticizer, SP (%)Slump flow diameter, SL (mm)
[52]450–4800.40–0.450–1448908104.8–13.3650–695
[50]5000.350–275908–967652–6940.7–8630–700
[37]220–4270.31–0.4190–330686–988659–9230.18–0.9670–749
[38]5500.32–0.440–110728–826855–9353.2–8.43670–675
[53]5300.450–2657686680.09–4.55660–690
[41]83–3850.31–0.41165–468624–732794–9311–1.25680–800
[31]430–4500.36–0.39202.5–232.2872–8089001.58–2.15680–710
[54]465–5500.41–0.4483–1939105900.97–11635–690
[55]450–5000.39–0.43135–225724–789850–9262.5–6.15640–680
[56]5000.35150–25090060010.5–11660–680
[57]5500.41–0.4483–1939105909.91–11.01633–690
[58]180–2700.44180–270788–801829–8420.27–0.28720–730
[42]165–3850.29–0.58165–385735–821865–9660.74–0.84670–730
[59]567–6700.26–0.310–156656–846729–87512.39–21.84615–655
[60]7330.26271.217486988.40660
[49]3990.351008148820.146690
[61]5000.35010386396.75665
[51]4800.38968196990.94680
[62]4370.34807439240.43700
[63]321.750.36173.25862.45729.180.545696
Figure 1. Flowchart of the study.
Figure 1. Flowchart of the study.
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2.2. Pre-Processing

The pre-processing technique is a vital step before using a dataset. The process can improve the performance of created models. In the current study, each independent variable was converted to a value between zero and one utilizing Equation (1) [29,67]. The converted values in both the CS and SL databases are demonstrated in the box plot (Figure 2).
N f = N i N i m i n N f m a x N f m i n ( N i m a x N i m i n ) + N f m i n
where N i represents the old value and N f represents the new value. The N f m i n is zero and N f m a x is one.

2.3. Statistical Evaluation

The data collected to predict the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of SCC mixtures were statistically analyzed to determine the relationship between each independent variable (C, w/b, FA, S, CA, and SP) with the dependent variables (CS and SL). In this regard, statistical functions such as Mean, Median, Mode, Standard Deviation (SD), Skewness (Skew), Kurtosis (Kur), Variance (Var), Maximum (Max), and Minimum (Min) were calculated. Skewness depicts the distribution of variables, whether positive or negative, on the right or left, with positive values on the right and negative values on the left. A negative value for kurtosis indicates a short distribution tail, whereas a positive value indicates a longer tail. The statistical analysis is summarized in Table 2 for both the CS and SL datasets. The histogram of each independent variable and its relationship with compressive strength and the slump flow are plotted in Figure 3 and Figure 4, respectively.
Table 2. Summary of the statistical analysis of the FA-modified SCC parameters for the CS and SL prediction.
Table 2. Summary of the statistical analysis of the FA-modified SCC parameters for the CS and SL prediction.
Compressive strength databaseVariablesC (kg/m³)w/bFA (kg/m3)S (kg/m3)CA (kg/m3)SP (%)CS (MPa)
Mean283.90.5128.3813.5900.70.336.6
Median279.80.5133813.58810.234.5
Mode2500.550916837049
SD87.780.1386.495.24109.260.2815.08
Var7705.830.027465.529070.2611,937.730.08227.5
Kurt0.2227−0.10851.03072.26950.27550.9795−0.2692
Skew0.54910.57520.46260.2461−0.06741.19130.4736
Min134.70.27047857809.7
Max5830.9525118011251.481.3
Slump flow databaseVariablesC (kg/m³)w/bFA (kg/m3)S (kg/m3)CA (kg/m3)SP (%)SL (mm)
Mean478.30.37137.7821.5763.56.97674.9
Median5000.38142.9810.57726.58675
Mode5500.3509105904.55680
SD122.180.06591.6582.42113.975.9431.52
Var14,928.10.004288399.56792.8312,989.3135.33993.62
Kurt0.8148−0.22081.2492−0.5606−1.2545−0.59451.9597
Skew−0.8308−0.00410.62960.0668−0.16650.5690.8086
Min830.2606245900.087615
Max7330.58468103896621.84800
Figure 3. Histogram and Marginal plots for the compressive strength of FA-modified SCC with (a) cement (kg/m3), (b) water-to-binder ratio, (c) fly ash (kg/m3), (d) fine aggregate (kg/m3), (e) coarse aggregate (kg/m3), and (f) superplasticizer (%).
Figure 3. Histogram and Marginal plots for the compressive strength of FA-modified SCC with (a) cement (kg/m3), (b) water-to-binder ratio, (c) fly ash (kg/m3), (d) fine aggregate (kg/m3), (e) coarse aggregate (kg/m3), and (f) superplasticizer (%).
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Figure 4. Histogram and Marginal plots for the slump flow diameter of FA-modified SCC with (a) cement (kg/m3), (b) water-to-binder ratio, (c) fly ash (kg/m3), (d) fine aggregate (kg/m3), (e) coarse aggregate (kg/m3), and (f) superplasticizer (%).
Figure 4. Histogram and Marginal plots for the slump flow diameter of FA-modified SCC with (a) cement (kg/m3), (b) water-to-binder ratio, (c) fly ash (kg/m3), (d) fine aggregate (kg/m3), (e) coarse aggregate (kg/m3), and (f) superplasticizer (%).
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2.4. Modeling

As illustrated in Figure 5, the relationships between compressive strength or slump flow diameter and other compositions of FA-modified SCC mixtures, such as cement, water-to-binder ratio, fly ash, sand, coarse aggregate, and superplasticizer, were obtained. Based on the correlation matrix, a good correlation between cement and compressive strength was observed, which was 0.632. However, a poor correlation was noted for the other variables. The correlations were −0.748, 0.161, 0.082, −0.301, and 0.185, respectively. On the other hand, the relationships between independent parameters and the slump flow diameter were determined. The highest correlation between the FA and the SL was 0.572. However, poor relationships were found between C, w/b, S, CA, SP, and SL. The relations were −0.814, 0.397, −0.052, 0.236, and −0.705, respectively.
Therefore, three models were proposed below to evaluate the effect of the various mixture proportions mentioned above on the CS and SL of SCC modified with FA. This study used NLR, MLR, and ANN models to predict the CS and SL of SCC mixtures. The most accurate and reliable model was proposed based on the following criteria: the model must be scientifically valid, with a lower percentage error between the measured and predicted data and a lower RMSE, MAE, OBJ, SI, and a higher R2 value.

2.4.1. Nonlinear Regression (NLR) Model

Equation (2) can be used as a general form to develop a nonlinear regression model to determine [24,68] both the compressive strength and slump flow diameter, including the fly ash content and the self-compacted concrete components. The model was developed for each dependent parameter independently using the mentioned collected database. NLR is an advanced representation of the MLR model that is accurate and reliable. However, the model has a disadvantage in the form of mathematical complications [69].
C S , S L = α 1 ( C ) α 2 + α 3 ( w / b ) α 4 + α 5 ( F A ) α 6 + α 7 ( S ) α 8 + α 9 ( C A ) α 10 + α 11 S P α 12
where α 1 , α 2 , α 3 α 11 and α 12 are the model parameters. CS, SL, w/b, FA, S, CA, and SP are the compressive strength (MPa), slump flow diameter (mm), cement (kg/m3), water-to-binder ratio, fly ash (kg/m3), sand (kg/m3), coarse aggregate (kg/m3), and superplasticizer (%), respectively.

2.4.2. Multi-Linear Regression (MLR) Model

The Multi-Linear Regression model can predict the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of the fly ash-modified self-compacted concrete with different mix design components. The equation of MLR includes the product of significant parameters affecting the CS and SL of the self-compacted concrete in exponential and constant terms (Equation (3)). The MLR model has several advantages, including simple mathematical operation and ease of implementation. However, this model is of poor quality because it is highly dependent on the number of data used; fewer data points provide less accuracy [70].
C S , S L = α 1 ( C ) α 2 ( w / b ) α 3 ( F A ) α 4 ( S ) α 5 ( C A ) α 6 S P α 7
where the CS, SL, C, w/b, FA, S, CA, and SP are the compressive strength, slump flow diameter, cement (kg/m3), water-to-binder ratio, fly ash (kg/m3), sand (kg/m3), coarse aggregate (kg/m3), and superplasticizer (%), respectively. In addition, α 1 , α 2 , α 3 , α 4 , α 5 , α 6 , and α 7 are the model parameters.

2.4.3. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Model

The ANN model [71,72,73,74,75] is a computer system of artificial neurons that function as fundamental units and mimic the parallel processes to analyze data like the human brain. The pattern of neuron connections influences the behavior of ANN networks, which also determines the network class. The ANN model can handle a mapping problem by estimating the relationship between input and output variables and distinguishing it from other expert systems by learning automatically from the obtained training patterns [76]. The ANN model is a machine learning system used in construction engineering for various numerical predictions and challenges [76,77,78,79]. The model is constructed based on three layers, input, hidden, and output, linked by biases and weights [80,81]. Several parameters affect the final model result, such as the number of hidden layers and neurons, the training algorithm, and the transfer function [82]. The ANN structure can be discovered by tuning the required parameters through trial and error.
The current study designed a multi-layer feed-forward network with SCC components (C, w/b, FA, S, CA, and SP) as input and the CS or SL as output. In the output layer, a sigmoid activation function was utilized. The typical process of the ANN result is shown in Figure 6. Equation (4) can be considered as a general formula for the calculation of an ANN output with only one node:
O u t p u t = b i a s + j = 1 n ( x j × w j )
β n = a n C + b n w / b + c n F A + d n S + e n C A + f n S P
C S , S L = N o d e 1 1 + e β 1 + N o d e 2 1 + e β 2 + + N o d e n 1 + e β n + T h r e s h o l d

2.5. Metrics for Assessing Developed Models

The performance of the developed models was evaluated and characterized based on various assessment tools such as the Correlation Coefficient (R2), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Objective (OBJ), and Scatter Index (SI). The equations of these parameters are well defined in Table 3. R2 is the squared correlation between the measured and predicted values. The greater the R-squared value, the more accurate the model. The average error made by models in predicting the outcome of the observation was measured by the RMSE. The OBJ function identified evaluation objectives based on the training and testing datasets and a variety of data.

3. Results and Discussion

3.1. Relation between Predicted and Experimental Values

3.1.1. Nonlinear Regression (NLR) Model

The Nonlinear Regression model was utilized to predict the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of FA-modified SCC. The NLR model results for CS and SL prediction are shown in Equations (5) and (6), respectively. The relationship between the measured and predicted CS and SL values is displayed in Figure 7. When predicting the compressive strength, the training dataset was observed to have an R2 of 0.81 and an RMSE value of 5.82 MPa. The testing dataset had an R2 of 0.84 and RMSE of 7.67 MPa. In the testing dataset, the error line was from +50 to −25%, indicating that 25% of the data fell between 0.75 and 1.5 for the predicted to measured compressive strength ratio.
Regarding predicting the SL of FA-modified SCC, the training dataset had an R2 of 0.82 and an RMSE of 11.6 mm. Also, the testing dataset had an R2 of 0.57 and an RMSE of 27.4 mm. The error line was from +20 to −6% for the training data, indicating that 74% of the data fell between 0.94 and 1.2 for the predicted to experimental slump flow diameter ratio.
The NLR model provided nearly the same relationship value regarding R2 based on the training dataset for both the CS and SL predictions.
C S = 14.1 ( C ) 0.32 + 1151.8 ( w / b ) 0.03 + 0.42 ( F A ) 0.52 4.0 ( S ) 14.45 5.1 ( C A ) 13.96 1226 S P 0.00006
No. of training dataset = 216, R2 = 0.81, RMSE = 5.82 MPa
S L = 1242 ( C ) 0.107 + 0.0001 ( w / b ) 0.0001 + 31.4 ( F A ) 0.026 0.0004 ( S ) 0.0004 0.0002 ( C A ) 0.0002 + 0.00001 S P 0.0002
No. of training dataset = 60, R2 = 0.82, RMSE = 11.6 mm
Figure 7. Comparison between the measured and predicted (a) CS and (b) SL using the NLR model for the training and testing datasets.
Figure 7. Comparison between the measured and predicted (a) CS and (b) SL using the NLR model for the training and testing datasets.
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3.1.2. Multi-Linear Regression (MLR) Model

The Multi-Linear Regression model is another model used to predict the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of self-compacted concrete modified with fly ash. The MLR model has a simple mathematical expression. Therefore, it is considered one of the least effective models. The MLR model formula comprises constant terms and terms raised to the power of constant variables. In predicting compressive strength, the variables and their relationships are detailed in Equation (7). The relationship between variables in predicting the slump flow diameter is presented in Equation (8). The relationships between the predicted CS and SL with the experimental values are illustrated in Figure 8.
As displayed in Figure 8a, while predicting the CS of FA-modified SCC, the R2 and RMSE were 0.81 and 6.04 MPa for training and 0.82 and 7.92 MPa for testing data, respectively. The error line was from +30 to −25% for training, meaning 45% of the data fell between 0.75 and 1.3 for the predicted to measured compressive strength ratio. Figure 8b presents the MLR model results when predicting the SL. The training dataset has an R2 of 0.86 and an RMSE of 10.3 mm. However, the testing dataset has an R2 of 0.57 and an RMSE of 26.8 mm. The error line ranges for training from +12 to −15%, implying that 73% of the data falls between 0.85 and 1.12 for the predicted to measured slump flow ratio.
C S = 0.0000003 ( C ) 0.8 ( w / b ) 0.88 ( F A ) 0.015 ( S ) 0.89 ( C A ) 1.1 S P 0.0063
No. of training dataset = 216, R2 = 0.81, RMSE = 6.04 MPa
S L = 1200 ( C ) 0.09 ( w / b ) 0.04 ( F A ) 0.0009 ( S ) 0.0054 ( C A ) 0.0086 S P 0.0028
No. of training dataset = 60, R2 = 0.86, RMSE = 10.3 mm.
Figure 8. Comparison between the measured and predicted (a) CS and (b) SL using thr MLR model for the training and testing datasets.
Figure 8. Comparison between the measured and predicted (a) CS and (b) SL using thr MLR model for the training and testing datasets.
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3.1.3. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Model

An Artificial Neural Network was the last model used to predict the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of FA-modified SCC. The ANN network structure is known to be an excellent model for prediction. The ANN model was developed for various trials. As shown in Figure 9, the five trials (4, 6, 8, 10, and 12) were chosen based on their RMSE and MAE values for both the CS and SL training datasets independently. Then, the network with one hidden layer and six neurons had the lowest RMSE and MAE values in both predictions. Therefore, the ANN network having one hidden layer with six neurons with a Learning rate of 0.2, a Learning time of 2000, and 0.1 of momentum was selected (Figure 10).
Equations (9) and (10) show the ANN formula for the CS and SL prediction, including weights and biases. Based on the training dataset, the ANN network analysis predicted a CS with an R2 of 0.94 and an RMSE of 3.56 MPa. When the testing data were used, the model had an R2 of 0.95 and an RMSE of 3.49 MPa. The training dataset had an error line from +20 to −20%, indicating that 80% of the data fell between 0.8 and 1.2 for the predicted to measured compressive strength ratio (Figure 11a). Concerning the SL prediction, the ANN network analysis predicted the SL with an R2 of 0.93 and an RMSE of 7.5 mm when using the training data. However, when the tested data were used, the model had an R2 of 0.997 and an RMSE of 2.2 mm. The error line for the training dataset was from +6 to −6%, indicating that 94% of the data fell between 0.94 and 1.06 for the predicted to measured SL ratio (Figure 11b).
3.359 2.124 2.148 3.227 3.055 1.632 0.721 1.44 0.375 1.352 0.85 4.672 0.748 1.398 2.898 2.86 3.685 1.624 1.919 1.0 1.278 1.676 2.417 0.28 0.863 2.15 0.516 2.244 0.566 0.664 2.387 0.666 2.182 0.175 1.704 5.371 0.485 0.725 4.055 1.378 0.933 5.319   ×   c w / b F A S C A S P 1 = β 1 β 2 β 3 β 4 β 5 β 6
C S = 1.567 1 + e β 1 0.795 1 + e β 2 0.848 1 + e β 3 1.771 1 + e β 4 + 1.392 1 + e β 5 0.681 1 + e β 6 + 0.406
No. of training dataset = 216, R2 = 0.94, RMSE = 3.65 MPa.
0.727 1.185 0.596 0.933 1.821 0.152 0.964 0.994 2.508 0.733 0.542 1.019 0.152 1.545 2.787 2.651 2.147 2.421 0.832 1.129 0.083 0.933 0.718 0.339 1.166 3.153 2.376 1.338 0.506 0.705 1.46 0.25 0.421 0.534 1.808 1.071 0.003 1.204 0.509 0.073 0.813 1.665 ×   c w / b F A S C A S P 1 = β 1 β 2 β 3 β 4 β 5 β 6
S L = 1.508 1 + e β 1 1.372 1 + e β 2 1.025 1 + e β 3 1.441 1 + e β 4 1.326 1 + e β 5 + 0.933 1 + e β 6 + 1.714
No. of training dataset = 60, R2 = 0.93, RMSE = 7.5 mm.
Figure 11. Comparison between the measured and predicted (a) CS and (b) SL using the ANN model for the training and testing dataset.
Figure 11. Comparison between the measured and predicted (a) CS and (b) SL using the ANN model for the training and testing dataset.
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Since the measured compressive strength values in the training dataset were divided into three stages—LSC (less than 20 MPa), NSC (20 to 50 MPa), and HSC (greater than 50 MPa)—the ANN model was applied to all three stages, and the resulting R2, RMSE, and MAE values were all reported. The samples were 29, 143, and 44 for LSC, NSC, and HSC, respectively. The ANN model for LSC had an R2 of 0.76, RMSE of 1.84 MPa, and MAE of 1.34 MPa. The model result differed for the middle stage (NSC); the R2 was 0.77, the RMSE was 3.77 MPa, and the MAE had a value of 2.624 MPa. The HSC maintained greater result values, with an R2 of 0.79, RMSE of 4.13 MPa, and MAE of 2.98 MPa (Figure 12).
Furthermore, based on the training dataset, the slump flow diameter values were divided into classes 1, 2, and 3. The number of samples was 12 in the first class, 47 in the second class, and only 1 in the last. Due to the high sample number of class 2, the ANN model was applied to the class. The model provided an R2 of 0.88, RMSE of 6.2 mm, and MAE of 5.2 mm (Figure 13).

3.2. Effective Factors

The effect of independent parameters such as cement, water-to-binder ratio, fly ash, sand, coarse aggregate, and superplasticizer on the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of self-compacted concrete was evaluated using the MLR model. The effect of a single parameter was found by changing its value from the minimum to the maximum by fixing other parameters on either the minimum value or the maximum value. The predicted CS and SL results were recorded in both cases, fixing independent variables at the minimum and the maximum. Figure 14 shows all the effects of both the CS and SL predictions.
The MLR model result noted that increasing the fly ash content caused an increased CS but had very little effect on the SL of SCC. Meanwhile, increasing the cement and fly ash content at the same time decreased the SL but increased the CS. The coarse aggregate and sand content greatly affected the CS. Increasing the CA and S content increased the CS. However, the effect of aggregates was less on the SL. Increasing the CA content increased the SL but decreased with the S content. On the other hand, superplasticizer was observed to have a small effect on the CS and SL.
From the CS prediction, it was noted that all the independent variables in their maximum value provided a greater value of CS when the value of any single parameter was changed. In contrast to CS, the greater value of SL was achieved while applying the minimum value of the independent variables. The summary of the most affected factors for both CS and SL is shown in Figure 15.

4. Evaluation of Developed Models

The study was conducted to determine the effect of different fly ash content on the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of self-compacted concrete. The experiment included predicting the CS and SL using three alternative models; NLR, MLR, and ANN. Each model provided a formula based on several mathematical parameters, and various assessment criteria were used to assess the performance of each constructed model.
Based on the R2, RMSE, and MAE values, the ANN model provided the highest accuracy and reliability for predicting compressive strength and slump flow diameter using the training dataset. For the CS prediction, the ANN model had an R2 of 0.94, RMSE of 3.56 MPa, and MAE of 2.54 MPa based on the training dataset, as well as an R2 of 0.95, RMSE of 3.49 MPa, and MAE of 2.45 MPa for the testing dataset. In terms of the SL prediction, the ANN model had an R2 of 0.93, RMSE of 7.5 mm, and MAE of 5.97 mm based on the training dataset, and an R2 of 0.997, RMSE of 2.2 mm, and MAE of 1.39 mm based on the testing dataset. All statistical results for all models are summarized in Table 4. Considering the error lines, the ANN was noted to have more data along the Y=X line. For CS, the model had an error line from +20 to −20% for the training dataset, indicating that 80% of the data were between 0.8 and 1.2 (predicted CS/experimental CS). However, in predicting the SL, the ANN model had an error line from +6 to −6% for the training dataset, indicating that 94% of the data were between 0.94 and 1.06 (predicted SL/experimental SL).
Furthermore, the second-ranked model was the NLR for CS prediction; it had an R2 of 0.81, RMSE of 5.82 MPa, and MAE of 4.67 MPa for the training dataset, and R2 of 0.84, RMSE of 7.67 MPa, and MAE of 4.72 MPa for the testing dataset. The model ranged between the +30 and −25% error lines for the training dataset. However, the MLR was second-ranked for the SL prediction; it had an R2 of 0.86, RMSE of 10.3 mm, and MAE of 8.54 mm for the training dataset, and an R2 of 0.57, RMSE of 26.8 mm, and MAE of 25.93 mm for the testing dataset. The error line was between +12 and −15% for the MLR model based on the training dataset.
Moreover, the training dataset from the collected data for CS prediction was divided into three different ranges, and then the ANN model was applied. All the R2, RMSE, and MAE values were calculated. The ANN model for the low CS strength range had an R2 of 0.76, RMSE of 1.84 MPa, and MAE of 1.34 MPa. The model result differed for the middle stage; the R2 was 0.77, the RMSE was 3.77 MPa, and the MAE was 2.62 MPa. The high CS strength range maintained higher results, with an R2 of 0.79, RMSE of 4.13 MPa, and MAE of 2.98 MPa. On the other hand, the training dataset for predicting the SL was divided into three classes, and the ANN model was used to calculate each class’s R2, RMSE, and MAE values. The model had an R2 of 0.88, an RMSE of 6.2 mm, and an MAE of 5.2 mm for the mid-class (from 650 to 750 mm).
The testing dataset had lower R2, RMSE, and MAE values than the training dataset for all the developed models predicting CS and SL. The variations to the measured values were plotted as shown in Figure 16 for the compressive strength and slump flow diameter of self-compacted concrete. Model values fell between the +30 and −20% error lines for CS prediction, and between −20% and +30% for the SL prediction, indicating poor performance.
The performance of the developed models was also evaluated using the training and testing datasets through the OBJ function and SI value. According to the objective function, the ANN model maintained the lowest value using the training dataset (Figure 17). The OBJ value was 3.12 and 5.5 for the CS and SL, respectively. Based on the SI value, the NLR model showed an excellent performance in predicting the CS. The SI value was 0.10 for both the training and testing datasets. In predicting the SL, the NLR, MLR, and ANN models showed excellent performances for both the training and testing datasets. The SI value was 0.02 for both the NLR and MLR models and 0.01 for the ANN model (Figure 18).
In addition, the created models were compared using residual error, as shown in Figure 19, for both the CS and SL predictions. The residual error value was obtained by subtracting the expected value from the measured value. The results of the CS prediction showed that the ANN model had the lowest error value, ranging from −23.0 to +13.91 MPa. The residual error for the NLR and MLR models ranged from −18.27 to 29.98 MPa and from −19.06 to 34.41 MPa, respectively. In contrast to the CS, the ANN model provided the lowest error value in the SL prediction. The error value was from −13.91 to 23.0 mm for the MLR model. The results of the NLR and ANN models were from −27.02 to 35.35 mm and from −30.13 to 36.46 mm, respectively.

5. Sensitivity Investigation

Sensitivity analysis is an effective way to find and evaluate the effect of each independent variable on the modeled dependent variable, CS, and SL of fly ash-modified SCC [20]. For this purpose, the most accurate and efficient model was determined and selected for the analysis; in this study, the ANN was used for both CS and SL training datasets, as the analysis was performed for both collected data independently. During the sensitivity analysis, one parameter was excluded each time, and the assessment tools’ results, such as R2, RMSE, and MAE, were independently calculated for each trial. The sensitivity results for CS and SL are shown in Table 5. The findings show that the cement content was the most effective parameter in predicting both CS and SL of SCC, followed by coarse aggregate and fly ash content (Figure 20).
Figure 20. The percentage contribution of input variables in predicting; (a) CS and (b) SL of FA-modified SCC using the ANN model.
Figure 20. The percentage contribution of input variables in predicting; (a) CS and (b) SL of FA-modified SCC using the ANN model.
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Table 5. Sensitivity analysis results of the ANN model applied to the training dataset of FA-modified SCC for CS prediction.
Table 5. Sensitivity analysis results of the ANN model applied to the training dataset of FA-modified SCC for CS prediction.
Compressive strengthNo.CombinationRemoved ParameterR2RMSE (MPa)MAE (MPa)Ranking Based on RMSE and MAE
1C, w/b, FA, S, CA, SP-0.943.652.52-
2w/b, FA, S, CA, SPC0.826.194.71
3C, FA, S, CA, SPw/b0.933.852.795
4C, w/b, S, CA, SPFA0.94.923.73
5C, w/b, FA, CA, SPS0.914.753.54
6C, w/b, FA, S, SPCA0.895.464.192
7C, w/b, FA, S, CASP0.943.832.66
Slump flow diameterNo.CombinationRemoved ParameterR2RMSE (mm)MAE (mm)Ranking based on RMSE and MAE
1C, w/b, FA, S, CA, SP-0.937.56-
2w/b, FA, S, CA, SPC0.8710.99.21
3C, FA, S, CA, SPw/b0.918.76.56
4C, w/b, S, CA, SPFA0.889.57.83
5C, w/b, FA, CA, SPS0.997.25
6C, w/b, FA, S, SPCA0.889.57.92
7C, w/b, FA, S, CASP0.99.47.64

6. Conclusions

The current study aimed to find and propose an accurate and reliable model to predict self-compacted concrete’s compressive strength and slump flow diameter modified with different fly ash types and quantities. Overall, 216 and 86 data samples for fly-ash-modified self-compacted concrete with different mixture proportions, cement content, water-to-binder ratio, sand content, coarse aggregate content, and superplasticizer dosage were collected from the literature. Based on the collected data and the results of three different model approaches, the following conclusions can be drawn:
  • The database for predicting CS included fly ash content ranging between 0 and 525 kg/m3, while that for predicting SL ranged between 0 and 468 kg/m3.
  • Increasing fly ash content caused an increase in the CS, but a lower impact was found on the SL. However, the impact of fly ash was found when the cement content was increased with an increase in the fly ash content simultaneously. It decreased the SL but increased the CS.
  • The compressive strength was more affected by aggregates rather than the slump flow. Increasing the CA and S content increased the CS but led to small changes in the SL. The influence of CA and S was noted to be higher at the maximum values of the variables. These findings highlight the importance of aggregates, specifically coarse and fine aggregates, in determining the compressive strength of concrete. Whereas the slump flow, which measures the workability and fluidity of the mixture, did not substantially impact the CS, the composition and content of aggregates played a crucial role in enhancing the concrete’s overall strength.
  • According to the various assessment criteria, such as R2, RMSE, and MAE, the ANN model was noted to have the highest accuracy and reliability for predicting both compressive strength and slump flow diameter of self-compacted concrete.
  • When predicting the CS, the ANN model had the highest R2 of 0.94 for training and 0.95 for testing datasets. The lowest RMSE and MAE values were found to be 3.56 MPa and 2.54 MPa for training and 3.49 MPa and 2.45 MPa for testing datasets, respectively. However, in predicting the SL, the ANN model had an R2 value of 0.93, RMSE of 7.5 mm, and MAE of 5.97 mm for the training dataset. The testing dataset’s R2, RMSE, and MAE values were 0.997, 2.2 mm, and 1.39 mm, respectively.
  • Other statistical assessment tools, such as the OBJ function and SI value, were used. The ANN model maintained the lowest OBJ value of 3.12 and 5.5 for the CS and SL, respectively. Regarding the SI value, excellent performance was observed from the NLR model when predicting the CS, which was 0.10 for both the training and testing datasets. However, all models were observed to predict the SL. The SI value was 0.02 for both the NLR and MLR models and 0.01 for the ANN model.
  • The application of the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model to different ranges of concrete strength (CS) and different classes of specimen length (SL) demonstrates its versatility and effectiveness. The higher CS strength range yielded more favorable outcomes, as indicated by an R2 (coefficient of determination) value of 0.79, an RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) of 4.13 MPa, and an MAE (Mean Absolute Error) of 2.98 MPa. These metrics signify a strong correlation and relatively low prediction errors, suggesting the model performed well in estimating axial strength for high CS levels. Overall, the reported R2 values demonstrated a good fit between the predicted and actual values, while the RMSE and MAE values indicated relatively small errors in the model’s predictions. These findings suggest that the ANN model can effectively capture the relationships between the CS, SL, and axial strength, highlighting its potential as a reliable tool for estimating concrete strength in various scenarios and ranges.
  • Sensitivity analysis illustrates the cement content as the most effective parameter for both the CS and SL prediction of SCC.

7. Limitations and Future Work

  • Other soft computing models should be used to predict the slump flow diameter and compressive strength of the fly ash-based self-compacted concrete.
  • It is possible to assess other fly ash types and sources.
  • The prediction of other types of workability tests can be investigated.
  • Experiments need to be carried out to verify the produced models.
  • It is also important to determine the effect of fly ash content on flexural and tensile strength.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

The data supporting the conclusions of this article are included with the article.

Conflicts of Interest

The author declares no conflict of interest.

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Figure 2. Box plot of the independent parameters in (a) the CS dataset and (b) the SL dataset.
Figure 2. Box plot of the independent parameters in (a) the CS dataset and (b) the SL dataset.
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Figure 5. Correlation matrix plot between the dependent and independent variables of FA-modified SCC based on (a) CS and (b) SL.
Figure 5. Correlation matrix plot between the dependent and independent variables of FA-modified SCC based on (a) CS and (b) SL.
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Figure 6. Typical ANN output procedure in a single node.
Figure 6. Typical ANN output procedure in a single node.
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Figure 9. The RMSE and MAE values to select the optimum ANN. (a) CS and (b) SL.
Figure 9. The RMSE and MAE values to select the optimum ANN. (a) CS and (b) SL.
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Figure 10. Optimal ANN network structures containing one hidden layer and six hidden neurons for predicting the CS and SL.
Figure 10. Optimal ANN network structures containing one hidden layer and six hidden neurons for predicting the CS and SL.
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Figure 12. Relationship between the measured and predicted CS of FA-modified SCC for different ranges.
Figure 12. Relationship between the measured and predicted CS of FA-modified SCC for different ranges.
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Figure 13. Relationship between the measured and predicted SL of FA-modified SCC for different classes.
Figure 13. Relationship between the measured and predicted SL of FA-modified SCC for different classes.
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Figure 14. Effect of (a) fly ash content, (b) fly ash with cement content, (c) coarse aggregate content, (d) sand content, (e) superplasticizer dosage, and (f) water-to-binder ratio on the CS and SL of SCC.
Figure 14. Effect of (a) fly ash content, (b) fly ash with cement content, (c) coarse aggregate content, (d) sand content, (e) superplasticizer dosage, and (f) water-to-binder ratio on the CS and SL of SCC.
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Figure 15. Effect of independent parameters on the (a) CS and (b) SL of SCC.
Figure 15. Effect of independent parameters on the (a) CS and (b) SL of SCC.
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Figure 16. Relationship between the measured and predicted (a) CS and (b) SL for the developed models using the testing dataset.
Figure 16. Relationship between the measured and predicted (a) CS and (b) SL for the developed models using the testing dataset.
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Figure 17. Comparison of the developed models using OBJ: (a) CS and (b) SL.
Figure 17. Comparison of the developed models using OBJ: (a) CS and (b) SL.
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Figure 18. Comparison of the developed models using SI: (a) CS and (b) SL.
Figure 18. Comparison of the developed models using SI: (a) CS and (b) SL.
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Figure 19. Variation between the measured and predicted (a) CS and (b) SL for the developed models based on the residual errors of NLR, MLR, and the ANN.
Figure 19. Variation between the measured and predicted (a) CS and (b) SL for the developed models based on the residual errors of NLR, MLR, and the ANN.
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Table 3. The performance evaluation criteria for the developed models.
Table 3. The performance evaluation criteria for the developed models.
ParameterEquationRangeBest Value
R 2 [58,80] R 2 = i ( v p u ) × ( v i v ) i ( v p u ) 2 × i ( v i v ) 2 2 0 1 1
M A E [24,80] M A E = i = 1 n ( | v i v p | ) n 0 0
R M S E [24,69] R M S E = i = 1 n ( v i v p ) 2 N 0 0
O B J [58,80] O B J = n t r n a l l × M A E t r + R M S E t r R t r 2 + 1 + n t s t n a l l × M A E t s t + R M S E t s t R t s t 2 + 1 0 0
S I [69,80] S I = R M S E v i <0.1Excellent
0.1 to 0.2Good
0.2 to 0.3fair
>0.3Poor
Notes: v p = predicted value of compressive strength or slump flow; v i = experimental value of compressive strength or slump flow; u = average of predicted compressive strength or slump flow; v = average of experimental compressive strength or slump flow data; n = number of the dataset (training or testing); n t s t = number of the testing dataset; n t r = number of the training dataset; n a l l = total number of datasets (including training and testing).
Table 4. Summary of the evaluation assessment criteria for the developed models in FA-modified SCC for the CS prediction.
Table 4. Summary of the evaluation assessment criteria for the developed models in FA-modified SCC for the CS prediction.
Compressive strengthModelFigure (No)Equation (No.)TrainingTestingRanking
RMSE (MPa)MAE (MPa)RMSE (MPa)MAE
(MPa)
NLR7a50.815.824.670.847.674.722
MLR8a70.816.044.690.827.924.653
ANN11a90.943.562.540.953.492.451
Slump flow diameterModelFigure (No)Equation (No.)TrainingTestingRanking
RMSE (mm)MAE (mm)RMSE (mm)MAE
(mm)
NLR7b60.8211.610.120.5727.427.13
MLR8b80.8610.38.540.5726.825.932
ANN11b100.937.55.970.9972.21.391
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Ismael Jaf, D.K. Soft Computing and Machine Learning-Based Models to Predict the Slump and Compressive Strength of Self-Compacted Concrete Modified with Fly Ash. Sustainability 2023, 15, 11554. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151511554

AMA Style

Ismael Jaf DK. Soft Computing and Machine Learning-Based Models to Predict the Slump and Compressive Strength of Self-Compacted Concrete Modified with Fly Ash. Sustainability. 2023; 15(15):11554. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151511554

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Ismael Jaf, Dilshad Kakasor. 2023. "Soft Computing and Machine Learning-Based Models to Predict the Slump and Compressive Strength of Self-Compacted Concrete Modified with Fly Ash" Sustainability 15, no. 15: 11554. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151511554

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