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Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Feed Grain Demand of Dairy Cows in China

by Chao Yang Dong 1, Bei Bei Ma 1,* and Chun Xia LU 2,3,*
School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119, China
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2020, 12(2), 663;
Received: 2 October 2019 / Revised: 10 January 2020 / Accepted: 12 January 2020 / Published: 16 January 2020
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Agriculture, Food and Wildlife)
As the income of urban and rural residents has increased in recent decades in China, dairy products have become an important part of the Chinese diet. Therefore, keeping up with the growing demand for feed grain for dairy cows is a critical issue of feed grain security. Utilizing traditional statistical and spatial statistical methods, this study analyzes the spatio-temporal dynamics of dairy cow feed grain (DCFG) demand on the provincial, regional, and national levels across China from 1990 to 2016. Additionally, this paper explores the impacts of various factors on the spatio-temporal dynamics of DCFG demand using the Geo-Detector method. The results demonstrate that: (1) the temporal dynamics of DCFG demand can be divided into three stages of slow growth, rapid growth, and high-level stability, and the relative level of DCFG demand in the whole animal husbandry tends to decline; (2) at the regional and national levels, the spatial concentration of high DCFG demand has intensified; in particular, North China was the region where the largest demand for DCFG was localized and was increasing at the highest rate; (3) based on the hot spot analysis of provincial DCFG demand, the high and low demand provinces of DCFG have sharp characteristic contrast from north to south China; (4) the spatio-temporal dynamics of DCFG demand in China were essentially co-affected by the four groups of factors (e.g., resource endowment, feeding scale, feeding technology, and market environment), of which resource endowment and feeding scale were the dominant factors. Therefore, in the future, dairy cow feeding in China should promote grain-saving feeding technology, improve the utilization of forage, expand large-scale feeding, and create a good market environment to ensure the reasonable development and sustainability of DCFG demand. View Full-Text
Keywords: dairy cow feed grain (DCFG); spatio-temporal; feed grain conversion ratio; China dairy cow feed grain (DCFG); spatio-temporal; feed grain conversion ratio; China
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Dong, C.Y.; Ma, B.B.; LU, C.X. Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Feed Grain Demand of Dairy Cows in China. Sustainability 2020, 12, 663.

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