Uncertainty-Aware Planning of EV Charging Infrastructure and Renewable Integration in Distribution Networks: A Review
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Related Work
1.2. Research Questions
- How can forecasting methodologies be systematically incorporated into EVCS and RES planning to improve system reliability, optimization, and resilience under uncertainty?
- What are the key technical, economic, and environmental challenges in integrating EVCSs and RESs into distribution networks, and how can robust system optimization strategies effectively address them?
- In what ways can innovative planning algorithms enhance the long-term sustainability, reliability cost-effectiveness, and operational efficiency of EVCS–RES-integrated distribution systems?
2. Electric Vehicle Charging Stations (EVCSs)
2.1. EVCS Uncertainty Modeling
2.1.1. Non-Learning-Based EV Charging Demand-Forecasting Methods
Non-Probabilistic Forecasting Method
Probabilistic Forecasting Method
- Parametric Probabilistic methods
- Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS)
- 2.
- Markov Chain (MC)
- Non-Parametric Methods
2.1.2. Learning-Based EV Charging Load-Forecasting Methods
Non-NN-Based Machine-Learning Forecasting
- Random Forests (RFs)
- K-Nearest Neighbor (K-NN)
- Support Vector Machines (SVMs)
- Ensemble Learning
NN-Based Machine-Learning Forecasting
- Artificial Neural Network (ANN)
- 1.
- Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)
- 2.
- Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs)
- 3.
- Graph Neural Network (GNN)
- 4.
- Hybrid Approach
Generative AI
- Transformer
- Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs)
- Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs)
Reinforcement Learning (RL)
2.2. Review of EVCS Planning
2.2.1. Planning Algorithms
2.2.2. Objective Function
| Ref. No. | Author | Objective Function | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical Criteria | Economy Criteria | Envir. Criteria | Reliability Criteria | |||||||||
| Qloss | Ploss | VDevi | Psup | VSI | Inst Cost | Invst Cost | OP. Cost | Mnt. Cost | Ems CO2 | |||
| [100] | Hammam et al. (2024) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
| [101] | Abdelaziz et al. (2024) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||
| [63] | Bilal et al. (2022) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |||
| [102] | Kumar et al. (2024) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||
| [103] | Prakobkaew et al. (2024) | ✓ | ✓ | |||||||||
| [104] | Eid El-Iali et al. (2024) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
| [105] | Balu, Mukherjee (2024) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |||||
| [106] | Hu, Li et al. (2024) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
| [107] | Bilal et al. (2021) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |||||||
| [108] | Keramati et al. (2024) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |||||||
| [86] | Nafeh et al. (2024) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |||||||
| [109] | Balu et al. (2023) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
| [110] | Krishnamurthy et al. (2023) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||
| [111] | Jin et al. (2024) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |||||
| [112] | Rene et al. (2023) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
| [113] | Archana et al. (2021) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
| [114] | Chen, et al. (2021) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |||||||
| [115] | Bilal et al. (2021) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
3. EV and RES Integration in the Distribution Network
| Author/Year /Ref. | Proposed Strategy | RES Type | Objective Function | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tech. Criteria | Eco. Criteria | Env. Criteria | Rel. Criteria | |||||||||
| Qloss | Ploss | VDevi | VSI | Inst Cost | Invst Cost | OP. Cost | Mnt. Cost | Ems CO2 | ||||
| Bilal et al. (2022) [63] | Modified Salp Swarm Algorithm | Solar (PV) | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | |||
| Ul Hassan et al. (2023) [64] | Teaching–learning-based optimization | Solar (PV) | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | |||
| Eid et al. (2024) [126] | Honey badger algorithm (HBA) | Wind Turbine | Y | |||||||||
| Adetunji et al. (2022) [127] | Whale optimization algorithm–genetic algorithm (WOAGA) | Solar (PV) | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | ||||
| Vijayan et al. (2023) [128] | Knuth’s Algorithm S | Solar (PV) | Y | Y | Y | |||||||
| Eid et al. (2022) [129] | Gorilla Troop Optimizer (GTO) algorithm | Solar (PV) and WT | Y | Y | Y | |||||||
| Bilal et al. (2021) [107] | Hybrid of grey wolf optimization and particle swarm optimization (HGWOPSO) | Solar (PV) | Y | Y | Y | Y | ||||||
| Ponnam et al. (2020) [130] | Harries Hawks Optimization (HHO) Algorithm | PV, WT | Y | Y | Y | Y | ||||||
| Fokui et al. (2021) [131] | Bacterial foraging optimization algorithm–particle swarm optimization (BFOA-PSO) algorithm | Solar (PV) systems | Y | Y | Y | |||||||
| Zeb et al. (2020) [132] | Particle swarm optimization (PSO) | Solar (PV) | Y | Y | Y | |||||||
| Zhang et al. (2021) [133] | Multi-objective natural aggregation algorithm (MONAA) | Wind power | Y | Y | ||||||||
| Pompern et al. (2023) [134] | Particle swarm optimization (PSO) | Solar (PV) | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | ||||
3.1. Frameworks, Regulatory Challenges, and Socioeconomic Barriers in EVCS–RES Integration
3.1.1. Challenges in EVCS-RES Planning
3.1.2. Policies and Incentives
4. Discussion and Conclusions
- ⮚
- Optimal planning and placement of EVCSs and RESs can significantly enhance power quality, minimize energy losses, reduce infrastructure costs, and lower CO2 emissions. Strategically placing RESs near EVCSs reduces grid dependence and alleviates grid stress during peak load hours.
- ⮚
- Most of the work has modeled EV load demand and PV generation in a simplistic and deterministic manner, whereas both should be treated stochastically by considering factors such as EV arrival/departure times, battery degradation, solar irradiance variability, temperature fluctuations, and weather uncertainties. Also, for efficient planning, advanced forecasting methods for EV, wind, and solar demand are necessary.
- ⮚
- Various algorithms have been proposed for the optimal planning of integrated EVCS and RES systems, ranging from deterministic to advanced stochastic approaches. However, metaheuristic algorithms are ideal for power system optimization problems due to their robustness, flexibility, and effectiveness in handling system uncertainties, which are crucial for efficient solutions in modern networks. Recently, hybrid optimization methods such as BFOA-PSO and WOAGA have demonstrated superior performance by combining the strengths of individual algorithms to achieve faster convergence, improved accuracy, and better exploration–exploitation balance, making them suitable for dealing with the complexity of EVCS-RES integration.
- ⮚
- Most existing studies on EVCS and RES integration have concentrated on technical issues such as power losses, voltage stability, and economic benefits. However, limited attention has been given to environmental impacts and long-term reliability. Moreover, comprehensive investigations that integrate technical, economic, environmental, and reliability impacts with the application of advanced forecasting techniques and optimization algorithms are still lacking.
- ⮚
- A key insight from the survey is that while numerous studies have proposed advanced deterministic and metaheuristic algorithms for optimal placement and sizing, fewer works address uncertainty propagation, coordinated energy management, and long-term reliability in an integrated manner. Optimization robustness should therefore not be evaluated solely by convergence speed or objective value improvement, but by resilience against renewable variability, EV demand fluctuations, and planning horizon uncertainties.
- ⮚
- The growing penetration of RESs and large-scale EV charging highlights the strategic role of battery energy storage systems (BESSs) as an enabling technology. Coordinated active–reactive power control and intelligent storage dispatch can mitigate voltage deviations, reduce losses, and enhance reliability under stochastic conditions. However, such operational coordination is still insufficiently embedded within many planning models.
- ⮚
- The fluctuation of renewable energy and EV charging demand creates substantial issues for grid operators. Traditional statistical and probabilistic forecasting approaches are extensively employed, but they frequently fail to capture the nonlinear and stochastic character of these uncertainties. Future research should concentrate on AI-based forecasting systems that can better predict complex patterns, enhance accuracy, and strengthen grid planning and operation.
- ⮚
- Conventional optimization techniques frequently have drawbacks, such as premature convergence to local optima and difficulty managing the nonlinear, dynamic nature of integrated energy systems. These flaws diminish their efficacy in balancing several, often conflicting, objectives under uncertainty. To address these difficulties, more advanced optimization approaches with multi-objective and methodologies are necessary, resulting in robust and globally optimum solutions.
- ⮚
- The majority of the recent research on EVCS and RES integration have generally concentrated on technical elements like power losses, voltage stability, and economic advantages, with little emphasis on the environmental impacts and long-term reliability evaluation of the distribution network. However, as EVCSs and RESs become more widely used, reliability becomes an increasingly important aspect in ensuring the long-term viability of grid operations. Future studies should explore the long-term impacts on infrastructure and planning, with a comprehensive focus on technical, economic, environmental, and reliability aspects.
- ⮚
- The present research on EVCS and RES integration focuses on both technical and economic optimization, with very little attention paid to commercial models and policy frameworks. Large-scale adoption may confront obstacles in terms of investment risks, participation of stakeholders, and customer acceptability in the absence of proper governmental support and new commercial strategies. Future research should thus focus on researching sustainable business models and policy mechanisms that may motivate stakeholders and ensure the optimal integration of EVCSs and renewable energy.
- ⮚
- Future studies should develop integrated optimization frameworks that jointly determine EVCS placement and BESS sizing, scheduling, and active–reactive power support. Such models should evaluate system robustness under uncertainty and quantify the reliability and voltage regulation benefits of coordinated storage control in RES-dominated distribution networks.
- ⮚
- The majority of the current research uses static or one-period optimization models. Multi-stage stochastic planning frameworks that concurrently take into account scenario-based RES generation uncertainty, probabilistic EV arrival/departure behavior, and load growth forecasts over medium- and long-term horizons should be developed in future studies. Planners would be able to explicitly quantify uncertainty propagation and system risk exposure by using optimization approaches that are either chance-constrained or distributionally resilient.
- ⮚
- Operational control and siting decisions are frequently separated in current studies. Future models have to incorporate network reconfiguration, coordinated active–reactive power regulation, BESS size and dispatch, and EVCS deployment. An efficient methodological framework for integrating operational and investment choices might be offered by bi-level or hierarchical optimization frameworks.
- ⮚
- It is obvious that reliability indices (such SAIDI, SAIFI, and ENS) must be explicitly included in optimization formulations. Future studies should create objective functions that take reliability into account, including failure rate modeling and component aging, and use scenario-based stress testing to examine resilience in the extreme events.
- ⮚
- To facilitate quantitative trade-off analysis between cost, reliability, and environmental performance, future research should incorporate life-cycle emission metrics, model marginal emission factors, and directly integrate carbon pricing or emission constraints into multi-objective formulations instead of qualitatively discussing sustainability.
- ⮚
- Future research should employ ensemble learning or deep learning for EV and RES demand prediction, incorporate probabilistic forecasting outputs into optimization models, and quantify forecast error effect using sensitivity or scenario analysis rather than utilizing forecasting as a preprocessing step.
- ⮚
- Future research should go beyond technological optimization and directly include regulatory compliance limitations, incentive mechanisms, and market design factors into multi-objective EVCS–RES planning models. Scenario-based assessment of carbon taxation levels, subsidy schemes, and reliability requirements can lower deployment hurdles, including investment risk, stakeholder reluctance, and infrastructure finance challenges, while offering policymakers evidence-based recommendations.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| LSE | load serving entity | PV | Photovoltaic |
| E | energy | Qloss | Reactive power loss |
| O.P | operational | Ploss | Active power loss |
| Ems | emission | VDevi | Voltage deviation |
| Invst/Syst | investment/system | Inst | Installation |
| Rev | revenue | CO2 | Carbon |
| Rel/Stab | reliability/stability | kWh | kilowatt hour |
| Mnt. | maintenance | Ref. | Reference |
| WT | wind turbine | Env. | environmental |
| Tech. | technical | Psup | supply power |
| Eco. | economic | VSI | Voltage Stability Index |
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| Features | Ref. [8] | Ref. [17] | Ref. [18] | Ref. [19] | Ref. [20] | Ref. [21] | Current Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVCS planning | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| RES integration | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Traditional forecasting | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| AI-based forecasting | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ |
| Uncertainty propagation analysis | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Multi-objective synthesis | Limited | Limited | Limited | Limited | Limited | Limited | Comprehensive |
| Recent optimization algorithms | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Challenges, policies, and incentives | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ |
| Author/Year/Ref. | Quantitative Indices |
|---|---|
| Rashid et al. (2024) [1] | MAE, RMSE, MAPE |
| Akshay et al. (2024) [4] | RMSE, MAPE |
| Shahriar et al. (2021) [31] | RMSE, MAE |
| Zhu et al. (2019) [35] | MAE, RMSE, MAPE |
| El-Azab et al. (2023) [36] | RMSE, MAE |
| Koohfar et al. (2023) [50] | RMSE, MAPE, MAE |
| Algorithms/Ref. | Advantage | Disadvantage |
|---|---|---|
| Mixed-integer linear program (MILP) [75,76,77] | MILP models a wide range of optimization problems, including EVCS allocation. It easily handles complex problems and obtains feasible solutions. It applies to multi-objective planning problems. | MILP models are often complex and time-consuming, requiring detailed datasets. Their ability to achieve a globally optimal solution is highly sensitive to problem formulation. |
| Alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) [78,79] | ADMM is effective for decomposing problems into sub-sections, handling complex constraints, and ensuring convergence to global optimum in convex optimization problems. It is suitable for tough problems and those with limited datasets, improving solution efficiency even for large and complex issues. | ADMM struggles with non-convex problems, as convergence is not guaranteed. It catches challenges in solving large problems, requiring advanced techniques. It converges slowly for high accuracy, but it can be memory-intensive depending on the nature of the decomposed problems. |
| Sequential quadratic programming (SQP) [80,81] | SQP is computationally efficient for smaller problems and is suitable for solving problems with nonlinear equality and inequality constraints. SQP performs well with problems that have continuously differentiable objective functions and constraints. | SQP converges to a local optimum instead of a global optimum if the initial starting point is poorly selected. It struggles with non-continuously differentiable functions, affecting its accuracy and convergence. Its implementation is complex. |
| Dynamic programming (DP) iteration [82,83,84] | DP is efficient for complex tasks due to less computation time. It provides planners with flexible solutions by adjusting to varying charging conditions, like energy prices and demand. DP addresses multi-objectives like minimizing cost and maximizing reliability by including weighted objectives in its structure. | DP is too resource-intensive for large-scale problems due to its recursive calculations and high memory demand. As the number of decision variables grows, DP’s complexity increases exponentially, making multi-parameter optimization planning problems more challenging to solve. |
| Snake optimization algorithm (SOA) [85,86] | SOA strikes a balance between global and local search, preventing premature convergence. It is versatile, applicable to a wide range of optimization problems, and easy to implement. | SOA struggles with complex problems and may need hybrid algorithms to achieve global optimal solutions. It converges to a local optimum under certain conditions, acquiring the wrong solution. |
| Particle swarm optimization (PSO) [87,88,89] | PSO has fewer parameters, making it easier to implement. Its performance requires only a few control parameters. PSO’s social component enables it to explore the global search space, reducing the chance of trapping in local optima. | PSO may prematurely converge to a local optimum, and its performance tends to decline with complex problems. It often requires hybridization with other algorithms to effectively handle more complex issues. |
| Genetic algorithm (GA) [90,91,92] | GA excels in exploring complex searches, preventing them from being trapped in a local optimum. It addresses diverse optimization challenges, especially nonlinear problems. It tackles combined optimization tasks like routing. GA can be modified. | GA struggles to compute large and complex problems for its numerous solutions. It cannot always find global optimum solutions for these problems, and its performance depends on parameters like population size, mutation rate, crossover rate, and selection strategy. |
| Grey wolf optimization (GWO) [93,94] | GWO parameters are few, making its implementation easy. It balances global search and local search, guided by its leadership structure. GWO avoids local optima while searching for global optima and outperforms in multi-modal scenarios with many local optima. | GWO struggles with premature convergence in complex and large-scale problems. It declines in performance for high-dimensional issues. It has fewer control parameters, and its performance is highly sensitive to them. |
| Teaching–learning-based optimization (TLBO) method [95,96,97] | TLBO avoids algorithm-specific parameters, requiring only population size and iteration, thus reducing its computational complexity and increasing efficiency. It does not require additional parameters to balance exploration and exploitation and escapes local minima, enhancing its global optimum search with a group learning-based approach. | When population growth halts, TLBO experiences stagnation. Its performance is not always superior in specific problem cases. Rapid learning from teachers and peers can quickly reduce population diversity, limiting exploration and potentially missing good solutions. TLBO’s performance is dependent on population size. |
| Ant colony optimization (ACO) [98,99] | ACO is suitable for discrete optimization problems and is flexible for complex, multi-objective scenarios. It is self-adaptive, enhancing solution accuracy over time by adjusting iterations based on previous results. ACO is also ideal for optimization problems with parameters that vary over time. | ACO has a high computational cost, particularly with many iterations. It is sensitive to initial conditions and parameter settings (e.g., pheromone decay rate and evaporation rate). Additionally, ACO implementation is complex and requires careful parameter tuning. |
| Author/Year/Ref. | Load Parameters | PV Characteristics | EVCS Charging Profile |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adetunji et al. (2022) [127] |
|
|
|
| Vijayan et al. (2023) [128] |
|
|
|
| Eid et al. (2022) [129] |
|
|
|
| Bilal et al. (2021) [107] |
|
|
|
| Ponnam et al. (2020) [130] |
|
|
|
| Fokui et al. (2021) [131] |
|
|
|
| Zeb et al. (2020) [132] |
|
|
|
| Author/Year/Ref. | Practical Constraints |
|---|---|
| Adetunji et al. (2022) [127] | Power balance, nodal voltage, BESS operation, and EV load constraint |
| Vijayan et al. (2023) [128] | Voltage unbalance factor limits, extreme tap position limits, voltage regulation limits, power balance, nodal voltage, and line current limits |
| Eid et al. (2022) [129] | State-of-Charge limits, Size of BES Limits, PV and wind turbine limits, power balance, and nodal voltage limits |
| Bilal et al. (2021) [107] | DG limits, power balance, and nodal voltage limits |
| Ponnam et al. (2020) [130] | Number of Charging points and Charging capacity limits, power balance, active power, reactive power, and nodal voltage limits |
| Fokui et al. (2021) [131] | Charging Power of EVCS limits, power balance, and nodal voltage limits |
| Zeb et al. (2020) [132] | Thermal limits, Charging capacity of EVCS limits, charger number limits, parking slots limits, state of charge, and nodal voltage limits |
| Pompern et al. (2023) [134] | Power and capacity of BESS limits, power balance, and nodal voltage limits |
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Tripathy, S.; Fahnbulleh, E.B.; Ghatak, S.R.; Lopes, F.; Acharjee, P. Uncertainty-Aware Planning of EV Charging Infrastructure and Renewable Integration in Distribution Networks: A Review. Energies 2026, 19, 1131. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19051131
Tripathy S, Fahnbulleh EB, Ghatak SR, Lopes F, Acharjee P. Uncertainty-Aware Planning of EV Charging Infrastructure and Renewable Integration in Distribution Networks: A Review. Energies. 2026; 19(5):1131. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19051131
Chicago/Turabian StyleTripathy, Sasmita, Edwin Boima Fahnbulleh, Sriparna Roy Ghatak, Fernando Lopes, and Parimal Acharjee. 2026. "Uncertainty-Aware Planning of EV Charging Infrastructure and Renewable Integration in Distribution Networks: A Review" Energies 19, no. 5: 1131. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19051131
APA StyleTripathy, S., Fahnbulleh, E. B., Ghatak, S. R., Lopes, F., & Acharjee, P. (2026). Uncertainty-Aware Planning of EV Charging Infrastructure and Renewable Integration in Distribution Networks: A Review. Energies, 19(5), 1131. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19051131

