Artificial Intelligence in Local Energy Systems: A Perspective on Emerging Trends and Sustainable Innovation
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Motivation and Problem Setting
1.2. Perspective Scope and Literature Anchoring
1.3. Core Thesis, Novelty, and Contributions
1.4. Paper Structure
2. Emerging Roles for AI in LESs
2.1. Forecasting and Situational Awareness
2.2. Optimization and Real-Time Control of DERs
2.3. Enabling Energy Communities, Local Markets, and Citizen Engagement
2.4. Synthesis: Why AI Is Becoming Indispensable for the Future of LESs
3. Key Technical and Socio-Technical Challenges
3.1. Explainability, Acceptance, and Governance
3.2. Fairness and Distributional Equity
3.3. Data Governance and Privacy
3.4. Robustness, Safety, and Transferability
3.5. Environmental Footprint of AI
3.6. Synthesis: From AI Capability to Responsible LES Deployment
4. Principles for Sustainable, Trustworthy AI in LESs
4.1. Human-Centered AI and Meaningful Oversight
4.2. Fairness-by-Design and Distributional Equity
4.3. Privacy-Preserving Data Architectures
4.4. Resource-Aware Algorithms and Environmental Responsibility
4.5. Interoperability and Reproducible Engineering
4.6. Regulatory Engagement, Auditability, and Accountable Operations
4.7. Synthesis: Principles-as-Constraints for Sustainable, Trustworthy AI in LESs
5. Research Agenda and Actionable Recommendations
5.1. Hybrid Physics–ML Models for Robust Forecasting and Control
5.2. Explainable, Auditable Algorithms Tailored to Community Contexts
5.3. Fairness-Aware Market and Control Mechanisms
5.4. Lightweight, Edge-Capable AI for Distributed LES Operation
5.5. Longitudinal Field Studies and Living Labs
5.6. Standardized LCA and Reporting for AI in Energy
5.7. Synthesis: A Practical Roadmap for Action
- deployment-ready evidence and validation (stress testing under shift, constraint-violation reporting, monitoring, and audit hooks);
- safe and robust autonomy under real constraints (constrained/safe learning, certified fallbacks, sim-to-real validation);
- legitimacy at scale (fairness, privacy, accountability, and contestability integrated into operational workflows).
- constraint-violation rates (and severity) under nominal and stressed conditions;
- safe-fallback behavior (trigger conditions, time-to-stabilize, and performance under connectivity/sensor loss);
- uncertainty quality for risk-sensitive decisions (calibration/coverage).
- RP1: Hybrid physics–ML for robust forecasting & control
- –
- RQ1: Under predefined distribution shifts (e.g., seasonal change, PV/EV uptake, tariff changes) and rare-event scenarios, can hybrid models maintain calibrated uncertainty and bounded degradation relative to baselines (reported via OOD performance, calibration, and stress-test results)?
- –
- RQ2: When integrated into control (e.g., MPC/RL with constraints), do hybrid components measurably reduce constraint violations and improve resilience compared with pure ML or pure physics baselines, under the same stress-test suite?
- RP2: Explainable, auditable algorithms for community contexts
- –
- RQ1: Do contextual explanations (for dispatch/pricing decisions) improve stakeholder comprehension/trust and reduce override/friction compared with non-explanatory interfaces, measured via a pre-registered user study and operational logs?
- –
- RQ2: Can an audit protocol (logs + model cards + decision traceability) support reproducible post hoc reconstruction of key decisions and a functioning redress workflow across at least three distinct LES contexts?
- RP3: Fairness-aware market and control mechanisms
- –
- RQ1: Can a P2P/flexibility mechanism be designed to balance welfare and equity, with explicitly chosen fairness objectives, and verified on real/representative household data across ≥3 communities by reporting distributional impacts (who benefits/loses) and sensitivity to heterogeneity?
- –
- RQ2: Under realistic participation variability and strategic behavior, do fairness constraints remain satisfied over time (longitudinal stability), and what is the measured “price of fairness” under transparent assumptions?
- RP4: Lightweight, edge-capable AI
- –
- RQ1: For real-time functions, can edge-deployed models meet latency/energy/footprint budgets and maintain acceptable safety metrics (constraint-violation rate, safe-fallback behavior) under connectivity loss and sensor degradation?
- –
- RQ2: Does a defined fallback controller (rule-based/MPC/safe policy) guarantee bounded behavior during edge failures, with documented trigger conditions, time-to-stabilize, and recovery performance?
- RP5: Longitudinal field studies & living labs
- –
- Q1: Over multi-month deployments, what levels of adoption/retention and behavioral change are achieved, and which governance frictions (consent, disputes, opt-outs) dominate in practice across multiple sites?
- –
- RQ2: Which elements transfer across sites (models, interfaces, governance processes), and what are the quantified limits of external validity when tariffs, asset mixes, and community rules differ?
- RP6: Standardized LCA and AI sustainability reporting
- –
- RQ1: Can a standardized reporting template produce comparable sustainability claims across studies by explicitly stating functional units, boundaries, carbon-intensity assumptions, and uncertainty for training and inference?
- –
- RQ2: At the system level, do reported net impacts show that operational benefits outweigh AI lifecycle burdens under transparent assumptions (including update frequency and deployment scale), enabling like-for-like comparison across deployments?
6. Discussion
- standard-setting for interoperability and auditability (minimum logging/versioning, documentation templates, open interfaces);
- subsidy/innovation funding that preferentially supports open standards, living labs, and edge-ready secure deployments;
- minimum audit requirements for AI-enabled flexibility/market platforms (monitoring for drift and distributional impacts, periodic compliance checks, and documented redress);
- regulatory sandboxes or pilots that require public reporting of “deployment-ready evidence” rather than accuracy-only claims [140].
7. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| AI | Artificial intelligence |
| API | Application programming interface |
| CIM | Common information model |
| DER | Distributed energy resource |
| DL | Deep learning |
| EV | Electric vehicle |
| FL | Federated learning |
| LCA | Life cycle assessment |
| LES | Local energy system |
| LSTM | Long short-term memory |
| ML | Machine learning |
| MPC | Model predictive control |
| OOD | Out-of-distribution |
| PINN | Physics-informed neural network |
| PUE | Power usage effectiveness |
| PV | Photovoltaics |
| RL | Reinforcement learning |
| XAI | Explainable artificial intelligence |
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| LES Driver/Complexity Pressure | Corresponding AI Requirement (Capability) | If Unmet: Typical Risk/Failure Mode |
|---|---|---|
| High temporal variability of renewable generation (wind/solar) | Probabilistic forecasting; uncertainty-aware scheduling and dispatch | Reactive control, larger reserve needs, curtailment, higher costs |
| Electrification of transport and heating increases load volatility | Short-term load forecasting; adaptive demand response; peak management | Congestion, higher peak tariffs, reduced reliability during extremes |
| Heterogeneous DERs: PV, batteries, EVs, heat pumps, flexible loads | Asset-level modeling via learning; hierarchical coordination; multi-agent control | Poor interoperability, suboptimal use of flexibility, fragmented operation |
| Real-time multi-objective operation (cost, reliability, emissions) under uncertainty | MPC with learned components; RL with safety constraints | Inefficiencies and operational fragility, inability to balance objectives consistently |
| Active prosumers and community participation at scale | Automation of bidding/participation; user-centric recommendations; aggregation intelligence | Low participation, unequal access to benefits, reduced social acceptance |
| Local markets and P2P trading require fast clearing and verification | Market forecasting; dynamic pricing; learning-assisted market clearing and settlement | Market instability, transaction friction, limited scalability of local trading |
| Governance needs: fairness, transparency, and accountability in allocation/control | Fairness-aware optimization; explainable AI; constraint handling aligned with policy | Perceived injustice, disputes, regulatory pushback, loss of trust |
| Operational security and resilience (faults, anomalies, cyber-physical attacks) | Anomaly detection; predictive maintenance; intrusion detection and response | Longer outages, hidden degradations, higher safety and security exposure |
| Evolving regulatory requirements and compliance reporting | Automated monitoring; auditable decision logs; interpretable models for oversight | High compliance burden, slower deployment, reduced replicability across sites |
| Challenge Domain | Design and Operational Requirements | Practical Mechanisms (Examples) | If Unmet: Typical Risk/Failure Mode |
|---|---|---|---|
| Explainability, acceptance, and governance | Decisions must be intelligible and accountable to stakeholders | Explainable AI; uncertainty communication; decision logs; audit trails; redress procedures; community review | Loss of trust; disputes; low adoption; regulatory barriers |
| Fairness and distributional equity | Benefits and burdens must be distributed transparently and acceptably | Fairness-aware objectives/constraints; benefit-sharing rules; participatory co-design; subgroup evaluation | Systematically disadvantaged groups; perceived injustice; reduced participation |
| Data governance and privacy | Data use must minimize exposure while supporting operation | Purpose limitation; consent and access rules; federated learning; differential privacy; secure multiparty computation | Privacy harms; resistance to data sharing; compliance risks; weakened legitimacy |
| Robustness, safety, and transferability | AI must remain safe under uncertainty, drift, and rare events | Uncertainty-aware models; drift monitoring; conservative fallbacks; safety constraints; validation across LES archetypes | Operational fragility; unsafe control actions; cascading failures; negative transfer |
| Environmental footprint of AI | Computations must be proportionate to operational value | Efficient models (compression/pruning); edge inference; carbon-aware scheduling; lifecycle accounting | Undermined sustainability claims; higher energy demand; rebound effects |
| Principle | Core Intent in LESs | Design Actions (Practical Examples) | What to Document/Evaluate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Human-centered AI | Augment (not replace) local decision-making and preserve accountable human oversight | Human-in-the-loop controls; operator/prosumer dashboards; meaningful opt-in/opt-out; explanations tailored to stakeholders | Override rates; user comprehension testing; decision latency; documented roles & responsibilities |
| Fairness-by-design | Prevent systematic disadvantage and ensure equitable benefit-sharing | Fairness-aware objectives/constraints; subgroup performance checks; benefit-sharing rules; participatory co-design | Disparate impact metrics; distribution of costs/benefits; fairness constraints satisfaction; grievance outcomes |
| Privacy-preserving architectures | Minimize personal data exposure while enabling forecasting and coordination | Data minimization; federated/local learning; differential privacy where appropriate; secure aggregation; access controls | Data inventory & purpose; privacy threat model; privacy-utility trade-offs; retention and access policy |
| Resource-aware algorithms | Ensure model complexity is justified by net system benefits and sustainability goals | Lightweight models; compression/pruning; edge inference; carbon-aware scheduling; avoid overtraining | Training/inference computation budget; energy estimates; model size/latency; net-benefit statement (system-level) |
| Interoperability and reproducible engineering | Avoid vendor lock-in and enable replication, benchmarking, and community innovation | Open data formats; interoperable APIs; reproducible pipelines; standardized evaluation protocols and datasets | Interface specs; data schemas; reproducibility checklist; benchmarking setup and baselines |
| Regulatory engagement, auditability, and accountable operations | Enable oversight, compliance, and contestability of automated decisions | Auditable logs; model cards; versioning & change management; traceable constraints; third-party audits | Audit trail completeness; update governance; compliance mapping; documentation for regulators/communities |
| Research Priority | Deployment-Ready Deliverables (Examples) | Minimum Reporting (Beyond Accuracy) |
|---|---|---|
| Hybrid physics–ML for robust forecasting & control | Hybrid/policy-constrained forecasters; physics-informed components; stress-test suite for rare events; safe control integration (e.g., MPC/RL with constraints) | OOD/rare-event performance; uncertainty calibration; constraint-violation rate; comparison to pure ML baseline |
| Explainable, auditable algorithms for community contexts | Contextual explanations for dispatch/pricing; community-facing dashboards; decision logs; model cards; audit protocol + redress workflow | Explanation method + fidelity; user comprehension/trust metrics; audit trail completeness; governance roles and appeal handling |
| Fairness-aware market and control mechanisms | Equity-aware objectives/constraints; benefit-sharing rules; progressive pricing options; pilot-ready evaluation protocol | Distributional impacts (who benefits/loses); fairness constraint satisfaction; subgroup sensitivity; qualitative findings from stakeholders |
| Lightweight, edge-capable AI | Compressed/edge-deployed models; edge–cloud partitioning design; fallback control policy; privacy-preserving local inference | Latency; energy per inference; bandwidth demand; performance under connectivity loss; failure modes + safe fallback tests |
| Longitudinal field studies & living labs | Living-lab deployment plan; mixed-method instruments; monitoring & iteration cycle; replication package across sites | Study duration and context; adoption/retention; behavior change; governance frictions; external validity/transferability limits |
| Standardized LCA and AI sustainability reporting | Computation/energy tracking template; LCA boundary definition; reproducible configs; carbon-aware scheduling guidance | Training/inference energy; carbon intensity assumptions; hardware/PUE; scope and uncertainty; net-benefit statement at system-level |
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Ferenci, S.; Coteț, F.-A.; Lakatos, E.S.; Munteanu, R.A.; Szabó, L. Artificial Intelligence in Local Energy Systems: A Perspective on Emerging Trends and Sustainable Innovation. Energies 2026, 19, 476. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19020476
Ferenci S, Coteț F-A, Lakatos ES, Munteanu RA, Szabó L. Artificial Intelligence in Local Energy Systems: A Perspective on Emerging Trends and Sustainable Innovation. Energies. 2026; 19(2):476. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19020476
Chicago/Turabian StyleFerenci, Sára, Florina-Ambrozia Coteț, Elena Simina Lakatos, Radu Adrian Munteanu, and Loránd Szabó. 2026. "Artificial Intelligence in Local Energy Systems: A Perspective on Emerging Trends and Sustainable Innovation" Energies 19, no. 2: 476. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19020476
APA StyleFerenci, S., Coteț, F.-A., Lakatos, E. S., Munteanu, R. A., & Szabó, L. (2026). Artificial Intelligence in Local Energy Systems: A Perspective on Emerging Trends and Sustainable Innovation. Energies, 19(2), 476. https://doi.org/10.3390/en19020476

