Reliability Assessment of AC/DC Hybrid Distribution Networks with Large-Scale Renewable Energy Integration

With the advancement of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, the increasing penetration of renewable energy sources such as wind and photovoltaic power poses severe challenges to the power supply reliability of AC/DC hybrid distribution networks due to their fluctuating, intermittent, and stochastic outputs. This paper proposes a reliability assessment method for AC/DC hybrid distribution networks under large-scale renewable energy integration based on clustering of typical operating scenarios. The net load duration curve is adopted as the feature variable to characterize typical operating scenarios. An improved t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE) nonlinear dimensionality reduction method with Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence elbow correction is proposed for effective reduction of high-dimensional time-series data. An adaptive Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) parameter optimization method based on the k-nearest-neighbor curve and a secondary K-means clustering method based on entropy-weighted multi-objective optimization are further developed, forming a hybrid t-SNE-DBSCAN–K-means clustering algorithm. The power supply reliability is then assessed based on the clustered typical operating scenarios. A typical AC/DC hybrid distribution network is used as the test system. Results show that the DB index of the proposed clustering method improves by at least 22% compared with conventional methods, the maximum relative error between the typical-day-based and full time-series simulation results is less than 6%, and the computational efficiency improves by about 8.8 times, achieving a good balance between accuracy and efficiency.