Search Results (1,567)

The uneven expansion of renewable energy generation in different regions highlights the necessity of accurately assessing the available transfer capability (ATC) in power systems. This paper proposes a distributed probabilistic inter-regional ATC assessment framework. First, a spatiotemporally correlated wind power output model is established using wind speed forecast data and correlation matrices, enhancing the accuracy of wind power forecasting. Second, a two-stage probabilistic ATC assessment optimization model is proposed. The first stage minimizes both generation cost and risk-related costs by incorporating conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), while the second stage maximizes the power transaction amount. Thirdly, a privacy-preserving two-level iterative alternating direction method of multipliers (I-ADMM) algorithm is designed to solve this mixed-integer optimization problem, requiring only the exchange of boundary voltage phase angles between regions. Case studies are performed on the 12-bus, the IEEE 39-bus and the IEEE 118-bus systems to validate the proposed framework. Hence, the proposed framework enables more reliable and risk-aware intraday ATC evaluation for inter-regional power transactions. Moreover, the impacts of risk parameters and wind farm output correlations on ATC and generation cost are further investigated. Full article

Amid the global energy transition, rapidly expanding wind and solar installations challenge power grids with variability and uncertainty. We propose an adaptive framework for renewable energy accommodation assessment under high-dimensional uncertainties, integrating three innovations: (1) Response Surface Methodology (RSM) is adopted for the first time to construct a closed-form polynomial of renewable energy accommodation in terms of resource hours, load, installed capacity, and transmission limits, enabling millisecond-level evaluation; (2) LASSO-regularized RSM suppresses high-dimensional overfitting by automatically selecting key interaction terms while preserving interpretability; (3) a Bayesian kernel density extension yields full posterior distributions and confidence intervals for renewable energy accommodation in small-sample scenarios, quantifying risk. A case study on a renewable-rich grid in Northwest China validates the framework: two-factor response surface models achieve R² > 90% with < 0.5% mean absolute error across ten random historical cases; LASSO regression keeps errors below 1.5% in multidimensional space; Bayesian density intervals encompass all observed values. The framework flexibly switches between deterministic, sparse, or probabilistic modes according to data availability, offering efficient and reliable decision support for generation-transmission planning and market clearing under multidimensional uncertainty. Full article

Optimally positioning renewable-based distributed generation (DG) units is vital for mitigating technical challenges in active distribution networks (ADNs). With the goal of achieving technical goals such as reduced losses and mitigated unstable voltage, two available optimization methods have been combined for positioning wind-energy DGs: grey wolf optimization (GWO) and opposition-based learning (OBL), which tries out opposite possibilities for each assessed population, thus addressing GWO’s susceptibility to becoming stuck in local optima. This new fusion technique enhances the algorithm’s scrutiny of each area under consideration and reduces the likelihood of premature convergence. Results show that, compared with standard GWO, the proposed OBL-GWO reduced active power losses by up to 95.16%, improved total voltage deviation (TVD) by 99.7%, and increased the minimum bus voltage from 0.907 p.u. to 0.994 p.u. In addition, the voltage stability index (VSI) was also enhanced by nearly 30%. The proposed methodology outperformed both standard GWO on the IEEE 33-bus test system and comparable techniques reported in the literature consistently. By accounting for the uncertainty in wind generation, load demand, and future growth, this framework offers a more reliable and practical planning approach that better reflects real operating conditions. Full article

The large-scale deployment of wind energy underscores the critical need for accurate resource characterization to reduce uncertainty in power estimates and to enable the installation of wind farms in increasingly complex terrains. Accurate wind resource assessment in peri-urban and moderately complex terrains remains a significant challenge due to spatial heterogeneity in surface terrain features and atmospheric thermal stability. This study investigates the influence of surface complexity and atmospheric stratification on vertical wind profiles at a utility-scale wind turbine site in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. One year of multi-level wind data from a 106-meter-tall meteorological tower were analyzed to quantify variations in the wind shear exponent $\alpha$, wind direction veer, and horizontal turbulence intensity (TI) across open-field and complex-surface wind sectors and four thermal stability classes, defined by the bulk Richardson number $R{i}_b$. The results show that the wind shear exponent $\alpha$ increases systematically with atmospheric stability. Over the open-field terrain, $\alpha$ ranges from 0.11 in unstable conditions to 0.45 in strongly stable conditions, compared to 0.17 and 0.40 over the complex surface. A pronounced diurnal variation in $\alpha$ was observed, particularly during the summer months. Wind veer was greatest and exceeded 30° under strongly stable conditions over open terrain. Elevated TI values peaked at 32 m in height due to flow separation and wake turbulence from nearby vegetation and sloping terrain. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating terrain-induced and thermally driven variability into wind resource assessments to improve power prediction and turbine siting in complex heterogeneous terrain environments. Full article

The increasing frequency of extreme climate events (ECEs) is expected to significantly affect crop yields in the future, threatening regional and global food security. However, uncertainties in yield projections persist due to regional variability, model differences, and scenario assumptions. Leveraging historical agricultural disaster and meteorological data from China (1995–2014), this study employs the vulnerability curve assessment to determine the most appropriate models for assessing crop yields affected by different ECEs (drought, extreme precipitation, extreme low temperature, and extreme wind) across six regions. By integrating multi-model and multi-scenario (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) future climate data from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), we conducted pooled prediction of the individual and combined impacts of different ECEs on crop yields for the near-term (2020–2040) and mid-term (2041–2060). The median of multi-model prediction of crop yield reductions in China was −16.0% (range: −32.5% to −2.6%), with more severe losses in Northeast, Northwest, and North China, particularly under higher radiative forcing scenarios. Drought is the most destructive of the four types of ECEs. These results will aid decision-makers in identifying high-risk zones for crop yields affected by ECEs and provide a scientific basis for the developing targeted adaptation strategies in various regions. Full article

The large-scale utilization of wind and solar energy is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality targets. However, as extensive wind and solar power generation is integrated via power electronic devices, the inertia level of power systems continues to decline. This leads to a significant reduction in the system’s frequency regulation capability, posing a serious threat to frequency stability. Optimizing the system is an essential measure to ensure its safe and stable operation. Traditional optimization approaches, which separately optimize transmission and distribution systems, may fail to adequately account for the variability and uncertainty of renewable energy sources, as well as the impact of inertia changes on system stability. Therefore, this paper proposes a two-layer optimization method aimed at simultaneously optimizing the operation of transmission and distribution systems while satisfying minimum inertia constraints. The upper-layer model comprehensively optimizes the operational costs of wind, solar, and thermal power systems under the minimum inertia requirement constraint. It considers the operational costs of energy storage, virtual inertia costs, and renewable energy curtailment costs to determine the total thermal power generation, energy storage charge/discharge power, and the proportion of renewable energy grid connection. The lower-layer model optimizes the spatiotemporal distribution of energy storage units within the distribution network, aiming to minimize total network losses and further reduce system operational costs. Through simulation analysis and computational verification using typical daily scenarios, this model enhances the disturbance resilience of the transmission network layer while reducing power losses in the distribution network layer. Building upon this optimization strategy, the model employs multi-scenario stochastic optimization to simulate the variability of wind, solar, and load, addressing uncertainties and correlations within the system. Case studies demonstrate that the proposed model not only effectively increases the integration rate of new energy sources but also enables timely responses to real-time system demands and fluctuations. Full article

Under the background of energy transition, the Integrated Energy System (IES) of the park has become a key carrier for enhancing the consumption capacity of renewable energy due to its multi-energy complementary characteristics. However, the high proportion of wind and solar resource access and the fluctuation of diverse loads have led to the system facing dual uncertainty challenges, and traditional optimization methods are difficult to adapt to the dynamic and complex dispatching requirements. To this end, this paper proposes a new dynamic energy management method based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) and constructs an IES hybrid integer nonlinear programming model including wind power, photovoltaic, combined heat and power generation, and storage of electric heat energy, with the goal of minimizing the operating cost of the system. By expressing the dispatching process as a Markov decision process, a state space covering wind and solar output, multiple loads and energy storage states is defined, a continuous action space for unit output and energy storage control is constructed, and a reward function integrating economic cost and the penalty for renewable energy consumption is designed. The Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG) and Deep Q-Network (DQN) algorithms were adopted to achieve policy optimization. This study is based on simulation rather than experimental validation, which aligns with the exploratory scope of this research. The simulation results show that the DDPG algorithm achieves an average weekly operating cost of 532,424 yuan in the continuous action space scheduling, which is 8.6% lower than that of the DQN algorithm, and the standard deviation of the cost is reduced by 19.5%, indicating better robustness. Under the fluctuation of 10% to 30% on the source-load side, the DQN algorithm still maintains a cost fluctuation of less than 4.5%, highlighting the strong adaptability of DRL to uncertain environments. Therefore, this method has significant theoretical and practical value for promoting the intelligent transformation of the energy system. Full article

The increasing penetration of renewable energy, and wind power in particular, requires accurate short-term forecasting to ensure grid stability, reduce operational uncertainty, and facilitate large-scale integration of intermittent resources. This study evaluates Transformer-based architectures for wind power forecasting using hourly generation data from Spain (2020–2024). Time series were segmented into input windows of 12, 24, and 36 h, and multiple model configurations were systematically tested. For benchmarking, LSTM and GRU models were trained under identical protocols. The results show that the Transformer consistently outperformed recurrent baselines across all horizons. The best configuration, using a 36 h input sequence with moderate dimensionality and shallow depth, achieved an RMSE of 370.71 MW, MAE of 258.77 MW, and MAPE of 4.92%, reducing error by a significant margin compared to LSTM and GRU models, whose best performances reached RMSEs above 395 MW and MAPEs above 5.7%. Beyond predictive accuracy, attention maps revealed that the Transformer effectively captured short-term fluctuations while also attending to longer-range dependencies, offering a transparent mechanism for interpreting the contribution of historical information to forecasts. These findings demonstrate the superior performance of Transformer-based models in short-term wind power forecasting, underscoring their capacity to deliver more accurate and interpretable predictions that support the reliable integration of renewable energy into modern power systems. Full article

Water and energy are strongly intertwined, especially in wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) whose electrical loads can strain local grids. This work evaluates the technical, economic, and environmental feasibility of powering the WWTP attached to the smart building of Ibn Tofail University (Morocco) with building-integrated photovoltaics (PV) and a complementary wind turbine. Using the HOMER Pro optimizer, two configurations were compared: (i) stand-alone PV and (ii) a hybrid PV/wind system. The hybrid design raises the renewable energy fraction from 8.5% to 17.9%, cutting annual grid purchases by 8% and avoiding 47.9 t CO₂ yr⁻¹. The levelized cost of electricity decreases from 1.08 to 0.97 MAD kWh⁻¹ (≈0.11 to 0.10 USD kWh⁻¹), while the net present cost drops by 6%. Sensitivity analyses confirm robustness under grid electricity tariff and load-growth uncertainties. These results demonstrate that modest wind additions can double the renewable share and improve economics, offering a replicable pathway for WWTPs and smart buildings across the MENA region. Full article

This paper addresses the path tracking problem of underactuated unmanned surface vessels (USVs) in the presence of unknown external disturbances. A fixed-time adaptive integral sliding mode control (AISMC) method, incorporating a nonlinear disturbance observer (NDO), is proposed. Initially, a three-degree-of-freedom dynamic model of the USV is developed, accounting for external disturbances and model uncertainties. Based on the vessel’s longitudinal and transverse dynamic position errors, a virtual control law is designed to ensure fixed-time convergence, thereby enhancing the position error convergence speed. Next, a fixed-time NDO is introduced to estimate real-time external perturbations, such as wind, waves, and currents. The observed disturbances are fed back into the control system for compensation, thereby improving the system’s disturbance rejection capability. Furthermore, a sliding mode surface is designed using a symbolic function to address the issue of sliding mode surface parameter selection, leading to the development of the adaptive integral sliding mode control strategy. Finally, compared with traditional SMC and PID, the proposed AISMC-NDO offers higher accuracy, faster convergence, and improved robustness in complex marine environments. Full article

Mexico holds significant potential for wind energy development, owing to its strategic geographic location and extensive coastlines. This review article systematically explores the technical, environmental, and economic aspects of wind energy in five different climatic zones in Mexico, reviewing potential zones for wind energy development, with the focus on the key case studies, ongoing project, and wind power performance metrics. It also critically examines the key challenges and opportunities within Mexico’s wind energy portfolio, with a focus on social, economic, environmental, and regulatory dimensions that influence the sector’s development and long-term sustainability. The results indicate that Oaxaca leads Mexico’s onshore wind potential with a power density of 761 W/m², followed by strong resources in Tamaulipas and Baja California, where wind speeds exceed 6 m/s. For offshore wind potential, Isthmus of Tehuantepec demonstrates outstanding offshore potential, with wind power densities exceeding 1000 W/m² and wind speeds above 8 m/s. Major challenges include inconsistent or unclear governmental policies regarding renewable energy incentives, regulatory uncertainties, and social resistance from local communities concerned about environmental impacts and land use. These obstacles underline the need for integrated, transparent policies and inclusive engagement strategies to carry out the full potential of wind energy in Mexico. Full article

This article proposes an Energy Management System (EMS) for smart microgrids with a decentralized multi-agent system (MAS) based on a bio-inspired T-Cell optimization algorithm. The proposed system allows real-time control and dynamic balancing of loads while addressing the challenges of intermittent renewable energy sources like solar and wind. The system operates within the tertiary control layer; the optimal set points are computed by the T-Cell algorithm across energy sources and storage units. The set points are implemented and validated in real-time by the OPAL-RT simulation platform. The system contains a real-time feedback loop, which continuously monitors voltage levels and system performance, allowing the system to readjust in case of anomalies or power imbalances. Contrary to classical methods like Model Predictive Control (MPC) or Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), the T-Cell algorithm demonstrates greater robustness to uncertainty and better adaptability to dynamic operating conditions. The MAS is implemented over the JADE platform, enabling decentralized coordination, autonomous response to disturbances, and continuous system optimization to ensure stability and reduce reliance on the main grid. The results demonstrate the system’s effectiveness in maintaining the voltages within acceptable limits of regulation (±5%), reducing reliance on the main grid, and optimizing the integration of renewable sources. The real-time closed-loop solution provides a scalable and reliable microgrid energy management solution under real-world constraints. Full article

With the rapid development of distributed energy and electric vehicles (EVs), the limited hosting capacity of distribution networks has severely impacted their economic dispatch and safe operation. To address these challenges, in this work, an optimal planning model considering the uncertainty of wind and solar power output is proposed, aiming to determine the location and capacity of electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs). The model seeks to minimize the total costs, voltage fluctuations, and network losses, subject to constraints such as EV user satisfaction and grid company satisfaction. A multi-objective heat exchange optimization algorithm under Gaussian mutation (MOTEO-GM) is employed to validate the model on an extended IEEE-33 bus system and a real-world case in the University Town area of Chenggong District, Kunming City. Simulation results indicate that, in the test system, voltage fluctuations and system power losses are decreased by 43.05% and 37.47%, respectively, significantly enhancing the economic operation of the distribution grid. Full article

In response to the significant challenges posed by the volatility and low-inertia characteristics of new energy outputs to the safe operation of power systems, a day-ahead scheduling model for generating units that takes into account source–load uncertainty and frequency security is proposed. To address source–load uncertainty, kernel density estimation and copula theory are employed to model the correlation between wind and solar energy and generate a set of typical daily scenarios. Considering the low-inertia characteristic, frequency security constraints are incorporated into the scheduling model, and an optimization model for generating units that takes into account multi-scenario uncertainty is constructed. By solving the expected value of the objective function, economic and safe scheduling of the system under uncertain environments is achieved. An experimental analysis and case studies verify the advantages and feasibility of the proposed model through a comparison of scheduling costs and frequency security. Full article

With the increasing penetration of renewable energy, power system frequency stability faces multiple challenges. In addition to the decline of system inertia traditionally provided by synchronous machines, uncertainties such as wind power forecast errors, converter control characteristics, and stochastic load fluctuations further exacerbate the system’s sensitivity to power disturbances, increasing the risks of frequency deviation and instability. Among these factors, insufficient inertia is widely recognized as one of the most direct and critical drivers of the initial frequency response. This study focuses on this issue and explores the use of battery energy storage system (BESS) parameter optimization to enhance system stability. To this end, a simulation platform was developed in PSS^®E V34 based on the IEEE New England 39-bus system, incorporating three wind turbines and two BESS units. The WECC generic models were adopted, and three wind disturbance scenarios were designed, including (i) disconnection of a single wind turbine, (ii) derating of two turbines to 50% output, and (iii) derating of three turbines to 50% output. In this study, a one-at-a-time (OAT) sensitivity analysis was first performed to identify the key parameters affecting frequency response, followed by optimization using an improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) algorithm. The simulation results show that the minimum system frequency was 59.888 Hz without BESS control, increased to 59.969 Hz with non-optimized BESS control, and further improved to 59.976 Hz after IPSO. Compared with the case without BESS, the overall improvement was 0.088 Hz, of which IPSO contributed an additional 0.007 Hz. These results clearly demonstrate that IPSO can significantly strengthen the frequency support capability of BESS and effectively improve system stability under different wind disturbance scenarios. Full article