Search Results (669)

Against the backdrop of the global energy transition toward deep electrification, the natural gas industry faces challenges, including increased load forecasting uncertainty and frequent extreme weather impacts. To enhance natural gas load forecasting accuracy and support system resilience planning, this study constructs a forecasting model based on quadratic decomposition and hybrid deep learning, incorporating an electricity substitution coefficient to characterize the coupling substitution effect between electricity and natural gas. Under the basic scenario, the VMD-WPD-TCN-BiGRU model is proposed. It employs variational mode decomposition and wavelet packet denoising for secondary signal denoising, combined with a time-series convolutional network and bidirectional gated recurrent unit to extract temporal features. Experiments demonstrate that, compared to mainstream methods such as CNN, BiLSTM, SVM, and XGBoost, this model achieves statistically significant reductions in MSE (11.11–96.21%), MAE (0.89–76.50%), and MAPE (4.10–67.94%), significantly improving forecasting accuracy. In the deep electrification scenario, the introduction of the electricity substitution coefficient further optimizes peak load forecasting for system pressure days under extreme low temperatures, elevating the overall R² to 0.9905 in the deep electrification scenario. Research indicates that the proposed model not only effectively improves the accuracy of short-term natural gas load forecasting but also provides quantitative support for enterprises to plan peak-shaving facilities, optimize pipeline networks, and respond to extreme weather emergencies in data silo environments. This contributes to strengthening the adaptability and long-term resilience of natural gas systems during the energy transition, thereby supporting the sustainable development of energy infrastructure. Full article

This paper aims to present a non-destructive, optimized variational mode decomposition (VMD)-based ground-penetrating radar (GPR) method developed for identifying void defects in reinforced concrete (RC) structures. This study also presents an enhanced framework for defect detection in RC by integrating advanced spectrum analysis with deep learning techniques. A GPR investigation was conducted on an RC bridge deck with known structural defects to generate a representative dataset reflecting both intact and void-defective conditions. In addition to conventional spectral techniques such as fast Fourier transform (FFT), spectrogram, and scalogram, an optimized variational mode decomposition (VMD) method was implemented. The VMD approach decomposes GPR signals into intrinsic mode functions, enabling refined feature extraction beyond traditional spectral methods and allowing clear differentiation between intact and defective signals. The limited availability and quality of GPR small datasets have restricted the application of a functional 1D-CNN which generally requires at least several hundred datasets. To address this challenge, a data augmentation strategy is adopted. FFT-based features were successfully utilized to train a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) for automated defect identification. The results demonstrate that both the advanced spectrum-based approach and the hybrid framework combining spectral analysis with deep learning significantly improve defect detection performance. Overall, the proposed methodology provides an effective and intelligent solution to support timely, data-driven decision-making for maintenance and safety assurance of bridge infrastructure. Full article

Wheel–rail coupled excitation introduces strong low-frequency modulation, random impact interference, and broadband background noise into the vibration system of locomotive gearboxes, causing early weak bearing fault features to become submerged and making traditional deconvolution methods insufficient for effective enhancement. To address this challenge, this study proposes an adaptive parameter optimization method for MCKD based on the weighted envelope spectrum factor (WESF). WESF integrates the Hoyer index, kurtosis, and envelope spectrum energy to jointly characterize sparsity, impulsiveness, and periodicity of signal components. By using WESF as the fitness function, the sparrow search algorithm (SSA) is employed to simultaneously optimize the key MCKD parameters L, T, and M, enabling optimal enhancement of weak periodic impacts. To further mitigate modal aliasing caused by wheel–rail excitation, the original signal is first adaptively decomposed using successive variational mode decomposition (SVMD), and modes with WESF values above the average are selected for signal reconstruction. The reconstructed signal is subsequently enhanced via SSA–MCKD, and fault characteristic frequencies are extracted using envelope spectrum analysis. Experimental validation using gearbox bearing data collected under 40, 50, and 60 Hz operating conditions shows that the proposed method achieves fault feature coefficient (FFC) values of 12.8%, 7.5%, and 7.2%, respectively—representing an average improvement of approximately 156% compared with traditional methods (average FFC of 3.6%). These results demonstrate that the proposed SVMD–WESF–SSA–MCKD approach can significantly enhance weak periodic impact features under strong background noise and wheel–rail excitation, exhibiting strong practical applicability for engineering implementation. Full article

The stable and accurate output of the inertial measurement unit array (IMU) of a micro-electro-mechanical system (MEMS) is the key to ensuring the data fusion of the MEMS IMU array. However, due to the large number of MEMS IMUs contained in the MEMS IMU array, it is susceptible to interference and has difficulty avoiding failures. The output of the MEMS IMU contains noise, outliers, and other related errors, which can seriously lead to low fault detection and isolation accuracy in the MEMS IMU. In this study, a new method of fault detection and isolation based on multivariate variational mode decomposition (MVMD), a whale optimization algorithm (WOA), and a generalized likelihood test (GLT) is proposed, which is called WOA-MVMD-GLT. Firstly, a multi-index fitness function WOA is proposed to optimize the parameters of MVMD. Secondly, MVMD is used to extract the features of the MEMS IMU’s signals. Finally, a GLT is used to construct a fault detection function and a fault isolation function to detect and isolate the faults of gyroscopes and accelerometers. The experimental results show that the method proposed in this paper can significantly reduce the false alarm rate and false isolation rate. Full article

Financial data analysis remains a significant challenge due to the inherent stochasticity, non-stationarity, and low signal-to-noise ratio of market data. Conventional methods often struggle to disentangle intrinsic trends from noise and frequently overlook the critical influence of investor sentiment on price dynamics. To address these issues, we propose an adaptive trading model named CBAM-BiLSTM-DDQN, which integrates signal decomposition, multi-source feature fusion, and deep reinforcement learning. First, we construct a comprehensive heterogeneous feature set by combining price signals decomposed via Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and investor sentiment indices extracted from financial texts. Subsequently, a Genetic Algorithm (GA) is employed to identify the most significant feature subset, effectively reducing dimensionality and redundancy. Finally, these optimized features are input into a Double Deep Q-Network (DDQN) agent equipped with a Convolutional Block Attention Module (CBAM) and a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) network to capture complex spatiotemporal dependencies. We evaluated this approach through simulated trading on three major Chinese stock indices—the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC), the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Component (SZSE), and the China Securities 300 (CSI 300). Experimental results demonstrate the superiority of our method over traditional strategies and standard baselines; specifically, the trading agent achieved robust cumulative returns across the SSEC and CSI 300 indices, confirming the model’s exceptional capability in balancing profitability and risk aversion in complex financial environments. Furthermore, additional experiments on individual stocks in the Chinese A-share market reinforce the robustness and generalization ability of our proposed model, validating its practical potential for diverse trading scenarios. Furthermore, additional experiments on individual stocks in the Chinese A-share market reinforce the robustness and generalization ability of our proposed model, validating its practical potential for diverse trading scenarios. Full article

Rolling bearing faults are the primary cause of rotating machinery failure. Under complex operating conditions, the weak fault impact signals are easily overwhelmed by strong noise and exhibit significant non-stationary characteristics, posing severe challenges to accurate diagnosis. To address this, this paper proposes an improved Transformer-based fault diagnosis method driven by the improved black-winged kite algorithm-variational mode decomposition (IBKA-VMD) and hierarchical fractional-order attention entropy (HFrAttE). The method employs the integrated multi-strategy IBKA to adaptively determine the optimal parameters of VMD, utilizes HFrAttE to construct highly discriminative feature sets, and further builds an improved Transformer model integrating bidirectional attention mechanisms and feature decoupling structures for deep feature mining. The classification decision is finalized by the twin extreme learning machine (TELM). Experimental results on the case western reserve university (CWRU) bearing dataset under different noise environments (−2 dB, −5 dB) demonstrate that the proposed method maintains 100% accuracy, recall, and F1-score under −5 dB noise interference, significantly outperforming comparative models. It exhibits excellent anti-noise performance and feature extraction capability, providing an efficient solution for intelligent operation and maintenance of rotating machinery under complex operating conditions. Full article

Accurate prediction of shipping freight indices, represented by the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), is crucial for operational decision-making and risk management in the shipping industry. Existing models mainly rely on historical time-series data and often overlook the influence of unstructured information such as market sentiment. To address this limitation, this study proposes a dynamic freight rate prediction framework integrating a shipping text sentiment index. First, a shipping news sentiment index is constructed using a RoBERTa-based pre-trained model to quantify the impact of market sentiment on freight rate fluctuations. Second, the BDI series is decomposed and reconstructed through Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) clustering to extract multiscale features. Finally, a deep learning based multi-step prediction model is developed by incorporating the sentiment index into the forecasting process. Empirical results show that the proposed model significantly outperforms benchmark models without sentiment information in terms of MAE, RMSE, and R², and demonstrates greater robustness under extreme market conditions. These findings provide a novel methodological framework for improving freight rate forecasting accuracy and offer practical decision support for shipping enterprises. Full article

Time–frequency (TF) characterization of electromyographic (EMG) bursts is essential for accurately assessing muscle function, particularly when the signals exhibit a high degree of nonstationarity. In this exploratory study, we investigated the temporal dynamics of the spectral components associated with short-latency EMG bursts using several TF analysis techniques. Specifically, we compared the performance and interpretability of spectrograms obtained via the short-time Fourier transform (STFT), the continuous wavelet transform (CWT), and noise-assisted multivariate empirical mode decomposition (NA-MEMD), applied to EMG signals recorded from the biceps femoris muscle of freely moving rats in an animal model of Parkinson’s disease, acquired using chronically implanted bipolar electrodes during treadmill locomotion. For each method, we evaluated its effectiveness in capturing transient variations in frequency content, the stability of extracted features across bursts, and the extent to which these features reflect physiologically meaningful aspects of muscle activation. The results show that TF approaches reveal complementary information about burst structure; NA-MEMD provides greater adaptability to nonlinear and nonstationary components, whereas STFT- and CWT-based representations offer more controlled and comparable analyses. Overall, these findings highlight the value of TF analysis as a methodological tool for evaluating muscle function and provide a solid foundation for selecting analytical strategies in studies where EMG bursts exhibit complex and highly variable spectral profiles. Full article

With the acceleration of urbanization, public transit systems face prominent challenges, including insufficient passenger flow prediction accuracy and low scheduling efficiency. This study analyzes passenger flow variation patterns from both spatial and temporal dimensions, constructs spatiotemporal matrices, and employs matrix dimensionality reduction methods to extract key features. We propose a passenger flow prediction model based on GCN-AM-LSTM and a dynamic real-time intelligent scheduling strategy. For passenger flow prediction, the model first utilizes Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) to extract spatial features of the transit network, then employs Attention Mechanism-enhanced Long Short-Term Memory networks (AM-LSTM) to perform weighted extraction of temporal features, and finally integrates external factors such as weather conditions to generate prediction outputs. For scheduling optimization, a dynamic real-time scheduling mode is adopted: the foundational framework optimizes dynamic departure timetables using a multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm, which is then combined with real-time passenger flow data to adjust departure intervals at the route level and implement stop-skipping strategies at the station level. Validation was conducted using Xiamen BRT Line 1 as a case study. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed GCN-AM-LSTM prediction model reduces Mean Absolute Error (MAE) by 14% and 22% compared to CNN and LSTM models, respectively, achieving significantly improved prediction accuracy. Regarding scheduling optimization, the number of departures decreased by 15.24%, passenger waiting time costs were reduced by 3.7%, and transit operating costs decreased by 3.19%, effectively balancing service quality and operational efficiency. Full article

Background/Objectives: Fundus imaging provides a detailed view of the interior surface of the eye and plays a crucial role in the early diagnosis of retinal diseases. However, automated interpretation of fundus images remains challenging due to variations in illumination, noise, and structural complexity. Methods: A novel hybrid model that integrates the Intrinsic Mode Function (IMF) filter, derived from Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD), with a Light Convolutional Neural Network (LightCNN) for enhanced fundus image classification was proposed. The IMF filter effectively decomposes the input signal into intrinsic components, isolating high-frequency noise and preserving critical retinal patterns. These refined components are subsequently processed by the LightCNN architecture, which offers lightweight yet highly discriminative feature extraction and classification capabilities. Results: Experimental results on DIARETDB fundus datasets demonstrate that the proposed IMF + LightCNN model achieves 99.4% accuracy, 99.1% precision, 98.87% recall, and a 98.31 F1-score, significantly outperforming conventional CNN and ResNet-based models. Conclusions: Integrating advanced signal processing with lightweight deep learning improves both diagnostic accuracy and computational efficiency. This hybrid framework establishes a promising pathway for reliable and real-time clinical screening of retinal diseases. Full article

To address the issues of sample imbalance, unstable generation quality, and insufficient feature extraction in spectrum anomaly signal detection under complex electromagnetic environments, this paper proposes a VAE-GANGP identification model that integrates a Variational Autoencoder (VAE) with a Gradient Penalty-based Generative Adversarial Network (GAN-GP). First, the VAE is employed to encode the original spectrum, generating structured latent features that follow a standard normal distribution. This replaces the random noise input in traditional GANs, significantly enhancing the semantic consistency of generated samples and training stability. Second, an adversarial training mechanism based on Wasserstein distance with gradient penalty (WGAN-GP) is introduced, effectively mitigating mode collapse and gradient vanishing, thereby improving the model’s capability to fit complex signal distributions. Furthermore, a multi-objective optimization function combining reconstruction error and adversarial loss is constructed, establishing an end-to-end integrated framework for feature learning, signal reconstruction, and anomaly discrimination. Experiments are conducted using a synthetic dataset comprising various modulation types and simulated environments with different signal-to-noise ratios for systematic validation. The results demonstrate that the spectrum data generated by VAE-GANGP closely matches the distribution of real signals. Under AWGN-dominated synthetic test conditions, the model achieves an anomaly detection accuracy of 98.1%. When evaluated under more realistic channel impairments (phase noise, multipath, impulsive interference), the model maintains competitive performance, outperforming existing methods and demonstrating promising potential for practical electromagnetic spectrum monitoring. Its performance significantly surpasses traditional detection methods and single deep learning models, providing a highly reliable and adaptive solution for spatial electromagnetic spectrum anomaly detection. Full article

This study focuses on enhancing wind speed prediction for wildfire spread simulation by proposing an integrated forecasting approach. The original wind speed series is first processed via variational mode decomposition (VMD), with its parameters [K, $\alpha$] optimized via particle swarm optimization (PSO). Every intrinsic mode function (IMF) resulting from this decomposition is predicted using a bidirectional long short-term memory model incorporating an attention mechanism (AM-BiLSTM), and the final wind series is reconstructed from these predictions. Model training and validation were conducted using data from controlled burning experiments in the Mao’er Mountain area of Heilongjiang Province, China. Predictive performance is evaluated through multiple statistical metrics, error distribution analysis, and Taylor diagrams. To assess practical utility, the predicted wind field is further applied in FARSITE to drive wildfire spread simulations. Results demonstrate that the PSO-VMD-AM-BiLSTM model provides reliable wind forecasts and contributes to improved fire spread prediction accuracy, indicating its potential for decision support in wildfire management. To achieve accurate forest fire spread prediction, we construct the MCNN model, which is based on early perception of understory wind fields using predicted wind speed data and adopts a multi-branch convolutional neural network architecture to extract fire spread features. FARSITE is employed to simulate forest fire spread in the Mao’er Mountain region, generating a dataset for model training and testing. After 50 training epochs, the loss value of the MCNN model converges, achieving optimal prediction performance when the combustion threshold is set to 0.7. Compared to models such as CNN, DCIGN, and DNN, MCNN shows improvements in evaluation metrics including precision, recall, Sørensen coefficient, and Kappa coefficient. To validate the model’s predictive performance in real fire scenarios, four field ignition experiments were conducted at the Liutiao Village test site: homogeneous fuel combustion, long fire line combustion, alternating fuel combustion, and multiple ignition source merging combustion. Comprehensive evaluation across the four experiments indicates that the model achieves precision, recall, Sørensen coefficient, and Kappa coefficient values of 0.940, 0.965, 0.953, and 0.940, respectively, with stable prediction errors below 6%. These results represent improvements over the comparative models DCIGN and DNN. The proposed MCNN model can adapt to forest fire spread prediction under different scenarios, offering a novel approach for accurate forest fire prediction and prevention. Full article

This paper addresses the challenge of extracting weak early fault signals from rolling bearings under variable speed conditions, where strong background noise often obscures diagnostic features. We propose a novel fault diagnosis method that integrates variational mode decomposition (VMD) and maximum second-order cyclo-stationarity blind deconvolution (CYCBD). The proposed approach begins by converting non-stationary vibration signals into angular-domain stationary signals using computed order tracking (COT). Subsequently, the parameters of the VMD algorithm are optimized via the sine–cosine and Cauchy mutation sparrow search algorithm (SCSSA) to select the optimal modal components. A key contribution is the introduction of a composite index (CI), combining harmonic significance and the envelope spectrum crest factor, which serves as the fitness function for the SCSSA to optimize the critical parameters of CYCBD for enhanced feature enhancement. Finally, fault characteristics are extracted by analyzing the deconvolved signal with an order envelope spectrum. Both simulation and experimental results demonstrate the superior capability of the proposed VMD-CYCBD method in effectively identifying weak fault features submerged in strong noise under variable speed conditions. Full article

To address the instability in extracting key parameters such as time-of-flight (ToF) from ultrasonic echoes due to noise and multi-echo superposition, this paper proposes a robust parameter estimation method based on the secretary bird optimization algorithm (SBOA). The proposed approach adheres to the Gaussian convolution-based echo parameterization and cosine-similarity matching framework, while innovatively introducing SBOA to perform global optimization of model parameters. Consequently, the multi-echo ToF estimation is formulated as a nonlinear optimization problem aimed at maximizing waveform shape consistency. To evaluate the method’s performance, simulations are conducted under multi-echo superposition scenarios. Comparisons are made with representative baseline techniques, including wavelet transform (WT), empirical mode decomposition (EMD), and variational mode decomposition (VMD), using mean squared error (MSE), estimated signal-to-noise ratio (ESNR), and normalized cross-correlation (NCC) as performance metrics. Experimental results demonstrate that, in challenging low-SNR and echo-interference environments, the proposed method achieves overall superiority across all quantitative metrics and exhibits a stronger capability to preserve the main-lobe morphology and structural features of echoes. Validation on semi-synthetic signals further confirms its effectiveness, with practical applicability to be verified by measured datasets in future work. This work provides an effective and robust solution for ultrasonic signal processing in complex field conditions. Full article

Aero engine surge diagnosis is a key technology in engine health management, and its diagnostic accuracy is of great significance for ensuring operational safety. Traditional threshold-based diagnostic methods are significantly affected by working conditions, which makes it difficult to achieve full working condition coverage. Moreover, due to issues such as varying feature thresholds across conditions, weak signal characteristics, and low identifiability, the diagnostic accuracy remains limited. To address these challenges, this paper proposes an STFF-CANet (Spatio-Temporal Feature Fusion Cross-Attentional Network) diagnosis model of aero engine surge based on spatio-temporal feature fusion. The model first employs a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to extract spatial features from the frequency domain of dynamic signals via Fast Fourier Transform (FFT). Simultaneously, a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) network is used to capture temporal features from signals optimized by Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD). A cross-attention mechanism is further introduced to achieve deep fusion of spatiotemporal features, thereby enhancing the capability to identify weak fault characteristics. In addition, the sliding window slice method is used to expand the sample size for the small sample fault data of the engine surge of an aero engine. This ensures both informational continuity between slices and statistical stability of features, effectively mitigating the difficulty of diagnosing early and weak surge characteristics under small-sample conditions. Experimental results demonstrate that the model achieves an F1-score, Recall, Precision, and Accuracy of 97.96%, 97.52%, 98.43%, and 99.01%, respectively, in surge fault classification. These outcomes meet the practical requirements for aero engine surge diagnosis and provide an effective solution for early fault warning in complex industrial equipment. Full article