Search Results (81)

The changing global climate and rapid urbanization make extreme rainstorm events frequent, and the flood disaster caused by rainstorm has become a prominent problem of urban public safety in China, which severely restricts the healthy and sustainable development of social economy. The weight calculation method of traditional risk assessment model is single and ignores the difference of multi-dimensional information space involved in risk analysis. This study constructs a flood risk assessment model by incorporating natural, social, and economic factors into an indicator system structured around four dimensions: hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and disaster prevention and mitigation capacity. A combination of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the entropy weight method is employed to optimize both subjective and objective weights. Taking the central urban area of Wuhan with a high flood risk as an example, based on the risk assessment values, spatial autocorrelation analysis, cluster analysis, outlier analysis, and hotspot analysis are applied to explore the spatial clustering characteristics of risks. The results show that the overall assessment level of flood hazard in central urban area of Wuhan is medium, the overall assessment level of exposure and vulnerability is low, and the overall disaster prevention and mitigation capability is medium. The overall flood risk levels in Wuchang and Jianghan are the highest, while some areas in Qingshan and Hanyang have the lowest levels. The spatial characteristics of each dimension evaluation index show obvious autocorrelation and spatial differentiation. These findings aim to provide valuable suggestions and references for reducing urban disaster risks and achieving sustainable urban development. Full article

In response to the increasing frequency of urban rainstorms, this study focuses on investigating the friction coefficient related to pedestrian instability under urban road flooding conditions. The objective is to conduct an in-depth analysis of the friction coefficient between pedestrians and the ground in actual flood scenarios and its variations, providing practical data to support future pedestrian safety assessments under flood conditions. Wet friction coefficient experiments were conducted under waterlogged conditions, with real human subjects tested across various operational scenarios. A buoyancy calculation formula was introduced to explore the impact of pressure changes caused by buoyancy on the human body in water, influencing the friction coefficient. An exponential relationship between pressure and the friction coefficient was established. Furthermore, by considering factors such as outsole hardness, ground type, and pressure variations with water depth, a dynamic method for selecting the friction coefficient was proposed, offering a scientific basis for determining friction coefficient thresholds associated with pedestrian instability risks. Experimental results indicate that, in the combination of hydrophilic materials with experimental asphalt and cement pavements, the friction coefficient under waterlogged conditions is generally higher than under dry conditions. However, as pressure increases, the friction coefficient of rubber materials decreases. This study concludes that the selection of the friction coefficient in pedestrian instability analysis should be treated as a dynamic process, and relying on a fixed friction coefficient for force analysis of pedestrian instability may lead to significant inaccuracies. Full article

The northern foothills of the Qinling Mountains, a critical ecological barrier and urban–rural transition zone in China, face intensifying rainstorm–flood disasters under climate extremes and rapid urbanization. This study pioneers a remote sensing-driven, dynamically coupled framework by integrating multi-source satellite data, system resilience theory, and spatial modeling to develop a novel “risk identification–resilience assessment–scenario simulation” chain. This framework quantitatively evaluates the nonlinear response mechanisms of town–village systems to flood disasters, emphasizing the synergistic effects of spatial scale, morphology, and functional organization. The proposed framework uniquely integrates three innovative modules: (1) a hybrid risk identification engine combining normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) temporal anomaly detection and spatiotemporal hotspot analysis; (2) a morpho-functional resilience quantification model featuring a newly developed spatial morphological resilience index (SMRI) that synergizes landscape compactness, land-use diversity, and ecological connectivity through the entropy-weighted analytic hierarchy process (AHP); and (3) a dynamic scenario simulator embedding rainfall projections into a coupled hydrodynamic model. Key advancements over existing methods include the multi-temporal SMRI and the introduction of a nonlinear threshold response function to quantify “safe-fail” adaptation capacities. Scenario simulations reveal a reduction in flood losses under ecological priority strategies, outperforming conventional engineering-based solutions by resilience gain. The proposed zoning strategy prioritizing ecological restoration, infrastructure hardening, and community-based resilience units provides a scalable framework for disaster-adaptive spatial planning, underpinned by remote sensing-driven dynamic risk mapping. This work advances the application of satellite-aided geospatial analytics in balancing ecological security and socioeconomic resilience across complex terrains. Full article

In conventional hydrology, a short-duration design rainstorm is typically used to estimate the design discharge in urban sewer systems. The reason for using a short duration is that engineers believe the time of concentration in urban watersheds is relatively small. The short-duration hyetograph is supposed to generate a flow hydrograph that accurately reflects the rainfall-runoff processes. In this study, we developed a street-sewer runoff model for an urban district of 2470 hectares. Detailed field flooding records were utilized to verify the stormwater model’s capability for inundation simulations. Subsequently, different rainfall series extracted from the recorded rainstorm data were used to investigate the causes of flooding corresponding to different durations of rainstorms. The results indicate that a 90 min main concentrated rainstorm causes small-scale flooding only; however, a 24 h rainfall series results in an extensive range of inundations. We further conducted similar short- and long-duration hyetograph tests in 16 urban drainage partitions (ranging from 2.3 to 193.5 hectares) to confirm the above findings. The results indicate that the maximum discharge in most partitions can only be found when the hyetograph duration exceeds 1080 min, which essentially contradicts previous engineering designs in urban watersheds in Taiwan. Full article

Flood models based on high-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) are important for identifying urban land inundation during extreme rainfall events. Urban pluvial and fluvial floods are influenced by distinct processes that are interconnected; thus, they can transform into one another. Conventional flood models struggle to delineate inundation caused by drainage system overflow (urban pluvial flood) and that caused by rivers (urban fluvial flood). In this study, we proposed a novel method for identifying urban pluvial–fluvial floods using a high-resolution DEM. We developed a DEM-based surface pluvial and fluvial inundation tracking model (DEM-SPFITM) that incorporated flood development and mutual transformation processes. When combined with a surface flood control model (SFCM), this approach enabled tracking of the flow paths and exchanged water volume associated with both flood types. The case study results indicate that the proposed method effectively captures the interplay between pluvial and fluvial flooding, enabling the separate identification of flood extent, depth, and velocity under extreme rainfall conditions for both pluvial and fluvial flooding. Compared to the conventional approach, which independently simulates pluvial and fluvial flooding using the SFCM and subsequently overlays the results to estimate pluvial–fluvial flooding inundation, the proposed method demonstrates superior accuracy and computational efficiency. Simulations of three extreme rainstorms indicated that pluvial flooding primarily contributed to extensive land inundation, characterised by shallower depths and lower velocities, with a limited influence of flood depth on velocity. Meanwhile, fluvial flooding further exacerbated land inundation, leading to significant pluvial–fluvial coexistence. In areas adjacent to these flood zones, fluvial flooding predominated, resulting in greater inundation depths and a more pronounced effect of flood depth on velocity. As rainfall intensity and total rainfall increased, the area of fluvial inundation diminished significantly, whereas pluvial–fluvial coexistence intensified and was distributed in zones with relatively large inundation depths and higher flow velocities. This research presented a novel method for distinguishing between urban pluvial–fluvial floods, providing valuable insights for integrated urban flood management and joint flood risk zoning. Full article

Currently, one of the major threats to cities is the escalating risk of flooding, which is attributed to the alteration of climate and hastened urbanization. The purpose of this study was to introduce the Strahler ordering method for simplifying drainage networks and to avoid randomness in developing flooding models. A coupled hydrodynamic model that combines SWMM and LISFLOOD-FP was developed to simulate urban inundation. Results showed that the coupled model had satisfactory applicability for waterlogging simulation. The Strahler ordering method could construct clear topological relations of the drainage network and showed good performance in drainage network simplification. Higher-density drainage networks could increase peak discharge and total volume of discharge, while decreasing the maximum water depth and the total inundation area. Taking “5.29” rainstorm events as an example, compared to Level 3, the relative rates of change in the total flow and peak flow of Level 2 and Level 1 networks are −33.18% and −23.29%. The total inundation area was decreased from 14.14 ha to 1.43 ha when the level of drainage network hierarchy was increased from Level 1 to Level 3. This study highlights the importance of re-assessment of current and future urban drainage networks for coping with the changes in urban floods induced by local and large-scale changes. Full article

In recent years, the combined effects of rapid urbanization and climate change have led to frequent floods in urban areas. Rainstorm flood risk warning systems play a crucial role in urban flood prevention and mitigation. However, there has been limited research in China on nationwide urban flood risk warning systems based on rainfall predictions. This study constructs a two-level early warning system (EWS) at the national and urban levels using a two-dimensional hydrological–hydrodynamic model considering infiltration and urban drainage standards. A methodology for urban rainstorm flood risk warnings is proposed, leveraging short-term and high-resolution rainfall forecast data to provide flood risk warnings for 231 cities in central and eastern China. Taking Beijing as an example, a refined rainstorm flood warning technique targeting city, district, and street scales is developed. We validated the methodology with monitoring data from the “7.31” rainstorm event in 2023 in Beijing, demonstrating its applicability. It is expected that the findings of this study will serve as a valuable reference for the urban rainstorm flood risk warning system in China. Full article

China has a vast land area, with mountains accounting for 1/3 of the country’s land area. Flooding in these areas can cause significant damage to human life and property. Therefore, rainstorms and flood hazards in Huangshan City should be accurately assessed and effectively managed to improve urban resilience, promote green and low-carbon development, and ensure socio-economic stability. Through the Random Forest (RF) algorithm and the Soil Conservation Service (SCS) model, this study aimed to assess and demarcate rainstorm and flood hazard risks in Huangshan City. Specifically, Driving forces-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR)’s framework was applied to examine the main influencing factors. Subsequently, the RF algorithm was employed to select 11 major indicators and establish a comprehensive risk assessment model integrating four factors: hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and adaptive capacity. Additionally, a flood hazard risk zoning map of Huangshan City was generated by combining the SCS model with a Geographic Information System (GIS)-based spatial analysis. The assessment results reveal significant spatial heterogeneity in rainstorm and flood risks, with higher risks concentrated in low-lying areas and urban fringes. In addition, precipitation during the flood season and economic losses were identified as key contributors to flood risk. Furthermore, flood risks in certain areas have intensified with ongoing urbanization. The evaluation model was validated by the 7 July 2020 flood event, suggesting that Huangshan District, Huizhou District, and northern Shexian County suffered the most severe economic losses. This confirms the reliability of the model. Finally, targeted flood disaster prevention and mitigation strategies were proposed for Huangshan City, particularly in the context of carbon neutrality and green urbanization, providing decision-making support for disaster prevention and emergency management. These recommendations will contribute to enhancing the city’s disaster resilience and promoting sustainable urban development. Full article

Flood models are essential for simulating and analysing urban flooding; however, accurately capturing the complex physical processes and their interactions remains challenging. This research introduces a multi-process flood modelling framework designed to generate realistic urban flood simulations. It integrates various hydrological and hydrodynamic processes through data-exchange synchronisation. A new surface flood control model (SFCM) was developed and applied in Huai’an District, China, using the storm water management model as its foundation. The SFCM was used to assess storm events, detect drainage outlets hindered by high river network water levels during extreme rainfall, and evaluate how river backflow affects drainage overflow and surface flooding. Results indicated that higher return periods of rainstorms reduced the number of drainage outlets obstructed by backwater, though backwater worsened surface flooding and drainage overflow. Compared to the current capacity of drainage outlets, using the maximum drainage capacity reduced the overflow rate of rainwater wells by 10.62% on average but increased river cross-section overflow by 1.72%. The average surface inundation area and maximum depth decreased by 0.78 km² and 0.05 m, respectively. This research introduces an innovative approach for simulating and analysing large-scale urban flooding, offering essential perspectives for urban planning and strategies to prevent flooding. Full article

Urban flooding disasters are increasingly prevalent because of global climate change and urbanization. University campuses, as independent functional zones, exhibit complex rainfall–runoff dynamics. This study focuses on the China University of Geosciences, using data from two extremely heavy rainfall events and on-site waterlogging investigations in Wuhan in 2020 and 2021. A stormwater management model was employed to simulate campus catchment runoff and pipe network performance under rainstorm scenarios of various return periods, illustrating the spatial and temporal evolution of waterlogging on the campus. The simulation results indicate that the discharge at the main outlets aligned with rainfall patterns but exhibited a delayed response. During an overload period exceeding one hour, the ratios of overflow nodes and overloaded conduits reached 72.22% and 57.94%, respectively. Ponding was concentrated mainly in the southwest region of the campus, with the maximum ponding depth reaching 0.5 m. Future flood mitigation measures, such as enhancing permeable surfaces, upgrading pipeline infrastructure, and promoting rainwater reuse, could support the development of a “sponge campus” layout to alleviate flood pressure and enhance campus sustainability and resilience. Full article

Typhoon disasters not only trigger secondary disasters, such as rainstorms and flooding, but also bring many negative impacts on the normal operation of urban infrastructure and the safety of people’s lives and property. In order to effectively prevent the risks of typhoon disaster chain, this paper proposes a joint entity and relation extraction model based on RoBERTa-Adv-GPLinker. Then, relying on the ontology theory and methodology, we establish a knowledge graph of typhoon disaster chain. The results show that the joint extraction model based on RoBERTa-Adv-GPLinker outperforms other baseline models in all assessment indexes. Moreover, the constructed knowledge graph of typhoon disaster chain includes secondary disasters and derived disaster impacts. This can largely depict the evolution process of typhoon disaster secondary derivations. On this basis, a risk assessment model of typhoon disaster chain based on Bayesian network is established. Taking Fujian Province as an example, the risk associated with the typhoon disaster chain is assessed, verifying the effectiveness of the method. This study provides a scientific basis for enhancing government emergency response capabilities and achieving sustainable regional development. Full article

Over the past decades, China has experienced severe compound natural disasters, such as extreme rainfalls, which have led to significant losses. In response to the challenges posed by the lack of a clear investigation process and inadequate comprehensiveness in evaluating the natural disaster chains, this study proposes a comprehensive retrospective simulation strategy for emergency investigation and simulation of heavy rainstorm–flash flood–debris flow chain disasters at the county–town level. The primary aim is to avert potential new chain disasters and alleviate subsequent disasters. This study combines emergency investigation efforts with hydrodynamic models to digitally simulate and analyze compound chain disasters triggered by an extreme rainfall event in the Haihe River regional area, specifically Gaoyakou Valley, Liucun Town, Changping District, Beijing, in July 2023, along with potential new disasters in adjacent regions. The findings indicate that the heavy rainstorm chain disaster on “7.29” resulted from a complex interplay of interrelated natural phenomena, including flash floods, debris flows, urban floodings, and river overflows. Hantai Village has experienced flash flood and debris flow events at different times in this area. Should the rainfall volume experienced in Liucun Town be replicated in the Ming Tombs Town area, approximately 6.2 km² of land would be inundated, leading to damages to 458 residences and impacting around 240 ha of agricultural land. The anticipated release of floodwater from the reservoir would lead to significant impacts on downstream residents and roads. Our research can improve the efficacy of emergency investigations and assessments, which in turn can help with the management and reduction of disaster risks at the grassroots level. Full article

Rainstorms and flooding are among the most common natural disasters, which have a number of impacts on the transport system. This reality highlights the importance of understanding resilience—the ability of a system to resist disruptions and quickly recover to operational status after damage. However, current resilience assessments often overlook transport network functions and lack dynamic spatiotemporal analysis, posing challenges for comprehensive disaster impact evaluations. This study proposes an SR-PR-FR comprehensive resilience evaluation model from three dimensions: structure resilience (SR), performance resilience (PR), and function resilience (FR). Moreover, a simulation model based on Geographic Information System (GIS) and Simulation of Urban MObility (SUMO) is developed to analyze the dynamic spatial–temporal effects of a rainstorm on traffic during Xi’an’s evening rush hour. The results reveal that the southwest part of Xi’an is most prone to being congested and slower to recover, while downtown flooding is the deepest, severely affecting emergency services’ efficiency. In addition, the road network resilience returns to 70% of the normal values only before the morning rush the next day. These research results are presented across both temporal and spatial dimensions, which can help managers propose more targeted recommendations for strengthening urban risk management. Full article

The operation of hydraulic projects within plain river networks to mitigate floods can alter river network connectivity patterns, subsequently affecting flood processes. This study employed the MIKE 11 model to simulate flood processes under three different river network connectivity scenarios. Based on the simulations, we propose a method to evaluate flood intensity severity by integrating three flood characteristic indices: Slope of the Flow Duration Curve (SFDC), Rising Climb Index (RCI), and Flashiness Index (FI). These indices assess the overall magnitude of change, the rate of rise, and process fluctuations, respectively. Results indicate that changes in river network connectivity significantly impact RCI and SFDC, more than FI. Compared to the natural river network connectivity mode, changes in urban or watershed river network connectivity resulted in a significant decrease in RCI values by 3–37% or 18–38% across various return periods, with the rate of change in RCI values increasing as the return period lengthened. The impact of urban river network connectivity changes on SFDC within the Changzhou urban area was more pronounced under high-magnitude storm conditions, causing a 61% reduction. Furthermore, changes in watershed river network connectivity had a larger effect on SFDC under low-magnitude storm conditions than under high-intensity storms. Over 80% of the rivers under natural connectivity conditions exhibited flood intensity severity of Level III or higher, particularly in the Chenshu–Qingyang area. The alterations in connectivity significantly decreased flood intensity severity, with 85% to 91% of rivers showing the lowest flood intensity severity of Level I. Under a 100-year rainstorm scenario, flood risk shifted from within the flood protection envelope to outside it in the Changzhou urban area. The results will provide an important scientific basis for regional flood management in plains with dense rivers. Full article

Using multi-source observation data including automatic stations, radar, satellite, new detection equipment, and the Fifth Generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis (ERA-5) data, along with the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) platform, an analysis was conducted on a rainstorm process that occurred in Nanjing on 15 June 2020, with the aim of providing reference for future urban flood control planning and heavy rainfall forecasting and early warning. The results showed that this rainstorm process was generated under the background of an eastward-moving northeast cold vortex and a southward retreat of the Western Pacific Subtropical High. Intense precipitation occurred near the region of large top brightness temperature (TBB) gradient values or the center of low TBB values on the northern side of the convective cloud cluster. During the heavy precipitation period, the differential propagation phase shift rate (K_DP), differential reflectivity factor (Z_DR), and zero-lag correlation coefficient (ρ_HV) detected by the S-band dual-polarization radar all increased significantly. The vertical structure of the wind field detected by the wind profile radar provided a good indication of changes in precipitation intensity, showing a strong correspondence between the timing of maximum precipitation and the intrusion of upper-level cold air. The abrupt increase in the integrated liquid water content observed by the microwave radiometer can serve as an important indicator of the onset of stronger precipitation. During the Meiyu season in Nanjing, convective precipitation was mainly composed of small to medium raindrops with diameters less than 3 mm, with falling velocities of raindrops mainly clustering between 2 and 6 m·s⁻¹. The rainstorm process featured four water vapor transport channels: the mid-latitude westerly channel, the Indian Ocean channel, the South China Sea channel, and the Pacific Ocean channel. During heavy rainfall, the Pacific Ocean water vapor channel was the main channel at the middle and lower levels, while the South China Sea water vapor channel was the main channel at the upper level, both accounting for a trajectory proportion of 34.2%. Full article