Search Results (26,297)

Accurate prediction of key ocean elements (e.g., chlorophyll-a concentration, sea surface temperature, etc.) is imperative for maintaining marine ecological balance, responding to marine disaster pollution, and promoting the sustainable use of marine resources. Existing spatio-temporal prediction models primarily rely on either physical or data-driven approaches. Physical models are constrained by modeling complexity and parameterization errors, while data-driven models lack interpretability and depend on high-quality data. To address these challenges, this study proposes OKG-ConvGRU, a domain knowledge-guided remote sensing prediction framework for ocean elements. This framework integrates knowledge graphs with the ConvGRU network, leveraging prior knowledge from marine science to enhance the prediction performance of ocean elements in remotely sensed images. Firstly, we construct a spatio-temporal knowledge graph for ocean elements (OKG), followed by semantic embedding representation for its spatial and temporal dimensions. Subsequently, a cross-attention-based feature fusion module (CAFM) is designed to efficiently integrate spatio-temporal multimodal features. Finally, these fused features are incorporated into an enhanced ConvGRU network. For multi-step prediction, we adopt a Seq2Seq architecture combined with a multi-step rolling strategy. Prediction experiments for chlorophyll-a concentration in the eastern seas of China validate the effectiveness of the proposed framework. The results show that, compared to baseline models, OKG-ConvGRU exhibits significant advantages in prediction accuracy, long-term stability, data utilization efficiency, and robustness. This study provides a scientific foundation and technical support for the precise monitoring and sustainable development of marine ecological environments. Full article

Environmental noise is inevitable during seismic data acquisition, with major sources including heavy machinery, rivers, wind, and other environmental factors. During field data acquisition, it is important to assess the impact of environmental noise and evaluate data quality. In subsequent seismic data processing, these noise components also need to be eliminated. Accurate identification of noise traces facilitates rapid quality control (QC) during fieldwork and provides a reliable basis for targeted noise attenuation. Conventional environmental noise identification primarily relies on amplitude differences. However, in seismic data, high-amplitude signals are not necessarily caused by environmental noise. For example, surface waves or traces near the shot point may also exhibit high amplitudes. Therefore, relying solely on amplitude-based criteria has certain limitations. To improve noise identification accuracy, we use the Mel-spectrogram to extract features from seismic data and construct the dataset. Compared to raw time-series signals, the Mel-spectrogram more clearly reveals energy variations and frequency differences, helping to identify noise traces more accurately. We then employ a Vision Transformer (ViT) network to train a model for identifying noise in seismic data. Tests on synthetic and field data show that the proposed method performs well in identifying noise. Moreover, a denoising case based on synthetic data further confirms its general applicability, making it a promising tool in seismic data QC and processing workflows. Full article

Relict fern species, confined to microhabitats with stable historical conditions, are especially vulnerable to climate change. The Alboran Arc hosts a unique relict fern flora, including Culcita macrocarpa, Diplazium caudatum, and Pteris incompleta, and functions as a major Pleistocene refuge. This study assesses the population trends and climate sensitivity of these species in Los Alcornocales Natural Park using annual abundance time series for a decade, empirical survival projections, and principal component analysis to identify key climatic drivers. Results reveal distinct climate response clusters among populations, though intra-specific variation highlights the importance of local conditions. Climate change is already impacting population viability, especially for P. incompleta, which shows high sensitivity to rising maximum temperatures and prolonged heatwaves. Climate-driven models forecast more severe declines than empirical ones, particularly for C. macrocarpa and P. incompleta, with the latter showing a projected collapse by the mid-century. In contrast, D. caudatum exhibits moderate vulnerability. Crucially, the divergence between models underscores the impact of conservation efforts: without reinforcement and reintroduction actions, projected declines would likely be more severe. These results project a decline in the populations of the studied ferns, highlighting the urgent need to continue implementing both in situ and ex situ conservation measures. Full article

Background/Objectives: Radial head arthroplasty is a commonly preferred treatment for complex, unreconstructable radial head fractures. Recent studies have raised the question of whether factors such as bone resorption may be related to failure. This observational, retrospective, multicenter, spontaneous, and non-profit study aims to assess radiological outcomes, focusing on bone resorption around the stem, for radial head replacement using a modular, cementless radial head prosthesis with interconnected porosity. Methods: A series of 42 cases was available for review. Patients underwent radial head arthroplasty using a three-dimensional-printed radial head prosthesis. Patients were eligible for inclusion if they had undergone at least one follow-up between 6 and 15 months post-operatively. A scoring system to detect bone resorption was developed and administered by two independent evaluators. Results: Forty-two patients (14 males, 28 females), with an average age of 59 ± 11 years (range: 39–80 years), were analyzed with a minimum of six months’ and a maximum of 32 months’ follow-up. At follow-up, 50 radiological evaluations were collected, with 29 showing ≤3 mm and 12 showing 3–6 mm resorption around the stem. The average resorption was 3.5 mm ± 2.3. No correlation was found between the extent of resorption and the time of follow-up. The developed scoring system allowed for a high level of correlation between the evaluators’ measurements of bone resorption. Conclusions: Radial head prosthesis with interconnected porosity provided a low stem resorption rate for patients after a radial head fracture at short-to-mid-term follow-up after the definition of a reliable and easy-to-use radiological-based classification approach. (Level of Evidence: Level IV). Full article

Vegetation dynamics are complexly influenced by multiple factors such as climate, human activities, and topography. In recent years, the frequency, intensity, and diversity of human activities have increased, placing substantial pressure on the growth of vegetation. Arid and semi-arid regions are particularly sensitive to climate change, and climate change and large-scale ecological restoration have led to significant changes in the dynamic of dryland vegetation. However, few studies have explored the nonlinear relationships between these factors and vegetation dynamic. In this study, we integrated trend analysis (using the Mann–Kendall test and Theil–Sen estimation) and machine learning algorithms (XGBoost-SHAP model) based on long time-series remote sensing data from 2001 to 2020 to quantify the nonlinear response patterns and threshold effects of bioclimatic variables, topographic features, soil attributes, and anthropogenic factors on vegetation dynamic. The results revealed the following key findings: (1) The kNDVI in the study area showed an overall significant increasing trend (p < 0.01) during the observation period, of which 26.7% of the area showed a significant increase. (2) The water content index (Bio 23, 19.6%), the change in land use (15.2%), multi-year average precipitation (pre, 15.0%), population density (13.2%), and rainfall seasonality (Bio 15, 10.9%) were the key factors driving the dynamic change of vegetation, with the combined contribution of natural factors amounting to 64.3%. (3) Among the topographic factors, altitude had a more significant effect on vegetation dynamics, with higher altitude regions less likely to experience vegetation greening. Both natural and anthropogenic factors exhibited nonlinear responses and interactive effects, contributing to the observed dynamic trends. This study provides valuable insights into the driving mechanisms behind the condition of vegetation in arid and semi-arid regions of China and, by extension, in other arid regions globally. Full article

In time series analysis, the ability to effectively handle data with varying sampling rates is crucial for accurate modeling and analysis. This paper presents the MR-BoF (Multi-Resolution Bag of Functions) framework, which leverages sampling-rate-independent techniques to decompose time series data while accommodating signals with differing resolutions. Unlike traditional methods that require uniform sampling frequencies, the BoF framework employs a flexible encoding approach, allowing for the integration of multi-resolution time series. Through a series of experiments, we demonstrate that the BoF framework ensures the precise reconstruction of the original data while enhancing resampling capabilities by utilizing decomposed components. The results show that this method offers significant advantages in scenarios involving irregular sampling rates and heterogeneous acquisition systems, making it a valuable tool for applications in fields such as finance, healthcare, industrial monitoring, IoT networks, and sensor networks. Full article

Accurately predicting how quickly people will adopt electric vehicles (EVs) is vital for planning charging stations, managing supply chains, and shaping climate policy. We present a forecasting model that uses three separate Long Short‑Term Memory (LSTM) branches—one for past EV sales, one for infrastructure and policy signals, and one for economic trends. An attention mechanism first highlights the most important weeks in each branch, then decides which branch matters most at any point in time. Trained end‑to‑end on publicly available data, the model beats traditional statistical methods and newer deep learning baselines while remaining small enough to run efficiently. An ablation study shows that every branch and both attention steps improve accuracy, and that adding policy and economic data helps more than relying on EV history alone. Because the network is modular and its attention weights are easy to interpret, it can be extended to produce confidence intervals, include physical constraints, or forecast adoption of other clean‑energy technologies. Full article

Detecting previously unseen anomalies in sensor data is a challenging problem for artificial intelligence when sensor-specific and deployment-specific characteristics of the time series need to be learned from a short calibration period. From the application point of view, this challenge becomes increasingly important because many applications are gravitating towards utilising low-cost sensors for Internet of Things deployments. While these sensors offer cost-effectiveness and customisation, their data quality does not match that of their high-end counterparts. To improve sensor data quality while addressing the challenges of anomaly detection in Internet of Things applications, we present an anomaly detection framework that learns a normality model of sensor data. The framework models the typical behaviour of individual sensors, which is crucial for the reliable detection of sensor data anomalies, especially when dealing with sensors observing significantly different signal characteristics. Our framework learns sensor-specific normality models from a small set of anomaly-free training data while employing an unsupervised feature engineering approach to select statistically significant features. The selected features are subsequently used to train a Local Outlier Factor anomaly detection model, which adaptively determines the boundary separating normal data from anomalies. The proposed anomaly detection framework is evaluated on three real-world public environmental monitoring datasets with heterogeneous sensor readings. The sensor-specific normality models are learned from extremely short calibration periods (as short as the first 3 days or 10% of the total recorded data) and outperform four other state-of-the-art anomaly detection approaches with respect to F1-score (between 5.4% and 9.3% better) and Matthews correlation coefficient (between 4.0% and 7.6% better). Full article

Achieving sustainable development goals remains a core issue in global development. In response, China has proposed the development of new quality productive forces (NQPFs) through innovative thinking, emphasizing that fostering NQPFs is both an intrinsic requirement and a pivotal focus for advancing high-quality development. Concurrently, the intelligent transformation of the manufacturing sector serves as a critical direction for China’s economic restructuring and upgrading. This paper places “new quality productive forces” and “intelligent transformation of manufacturing” within the same analytical framework. Starting from the logical chain of “new quality productive forces—three major mechanisms—intelligent transformation of manufacturing,” it concretizes the value implications of new quality productive forces into a systematic conceptual framework driven by the synergistic interaction of three major mechanisms: the mechanism of revolutionary technological breakthroughs, the mechanism of innovative allocation of production factors, and the mechanism of deep industrial transformation and upgrading. This study constructs a “3322” evaluation index system for NQPFs, based on three formative processes, three driving forces, two supporting systems, and two-dimensional characteristics. Simultaneously, it builds an evaluation index system for the intelligent transformation of manufacturing, encompassing intelligent technology, intelligent applications, and intelligent benefits. Using national time-series data from 2012 to 2023, this study assesses the development levels of both NQPFs and the intelligent transformation of manufacturing during this period. The study further analyzes the impact of NQPFs on the intelligent transformation of the manufacturing sector. The research results indicate the following: (1) NQPFs drive the intelligent transformation of the manufacturing industry through the three mechanisms of innovative allocation of production factors, revolutionary breakthroughs in technology, and deep transformation and upgrading of industries. (2) The development of NQPFs exhibits a slow upward trend; however, the outbreak of the pandemic and Sino-US trade frictions have caused significant disruptions to the development of new-type productive forces. (3) The level of intelligent manufacturing continues to improve; however, from 2020 to 2023, due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and Sino-US trade conflicts, the level of intelligent benefits has slightly declined. (4) NQPFs exert a powerful driving force on the intelligent transformation of manufacturing, exerting a significant positive impact on intelligent technology, intelligent applications, and intelligent efficiency levels. Full article

Landslide displacement prediction is crucial for disaster mitigation, yet traditional methods often fail to capture the complex, non-stationary spatiotemporal dynamics of slope evolution. This study introduces an enhanced prediction framework that integrates multi-scale signal processing with dynamic, geology-aware graph modeling. The proposed methodology first employs the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) to denoise raw Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)-monitored displacement time series data, enhancing the underlying deformation features. Subsequently, a geology-aware graph is constructed, using the temporal correlation of displacement series as a practical proxy for physical relatedness between monitoring nodes. The framework’s core innovation lies in a dynamic graph optimization model with low-rank constraints, which adaptively refines the graph topology to reflect time-varying inter-sensor dependencies driven by factors like mining activities. Experiments conducted on a real-world dataset from an active open-pit mine demonstrate the framework’s superior performance. The DCRNN-proposed model achieved the highest accuracy among eight competing models, recording a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 2.773 mm in the Vertical direction, a 39.1% reduction compared to its baseline. This study validates that the proposed dynamic graph optimization approach provides a robust and significantly more accurate solution for landslide prediction in complex, real-world engineering environments. Full article

The highly stochastic nature of rainfall presents significant challenges for the accurate prediction of its time series. To enhance the prediction performance of non-stationary rainfall time series, this study proposes a hybrid deep learning forecasting framework—VMD-IWMA-BiLSTM—that integrates Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD), Improved Whale Migration Algorithm (IWMA), and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory network (BiLSTM). Firstly, VMD is employed to decompose the original rainfall series into multiple modes, extracting Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) with more stable frequency characteristics. Secondly, IWMA is utilized to globally optimize multiple hyperparameters of the BiLSTM model, enhancing its ability to capture complex nonlinear relationships and long-term dependencies. Finally, experimental validation is conducted using daily rainfall data from 2020 to 2024 at the Xinzheng National Meteorological Observatory. The results demonstrate that the proposed framework outperforms traditional models such as LSTM, ARIMA, SVM, and LSSVM in terms of prediction accuracy. This research provides new insights and effective technical pathways for improving rainfall time series prediction accuracy and addressing the challenges posed by high randomness. Full article

China is one of the countries severely affected by earthquakes, making precise and timely identification of earthquake precursors essential for reducing casualties and property damage. A novel method is proposed that combines a rock acoustic emission (AE) detection technique with deep learning methods to facilitate real-time monitoring and advance earthquake precursor detection. The AE equipment and seismometers were installed in a granite tunnel 150 m deep in the mountains of eastern Guangdong, China, allowing for the collection of experimental data on the correlation between rock AE and seismic activity. The deep learning model uses features from rock AE time series, including AE events, rate, frequency, and amplitude, as inputs, and estimates the likelihood of seismic events as the output. Precursor features are extracted to create the AE and seismic dataset, and three deep learning models are trained using neural networks, with validation and testing. The results show that after 1000 training cycles, the deep learning model achieves an accuracy of 98.7% on the validation set. On the test set, it reaches a recognition accuracy of 97.6%, with a recall rate of 99.6% and an F₁ score of 0.975. Additionally, it successfully identified the two biggest seismic events during the monitoring period, confirming its effectiveness in practical applications. Compared to traditional analysis methods, the deep learning model can automatically process and analyse recorded massive AE data, enabling real-time monitoring of seismic events and timely earthquake warning in the future. This study serves as a valuable reference for earthquake disaster prevention and intelligent early warning. Full article

Financial market forecasting remains challenging due to complex nonlinear dynamics and regime-dependent behaviors that traditional models struggle to capture effectively. This research introduces the Adaptive Financial Reservoir Network with Hypernetwork Flow (AFRN–HyperFlow) framework, a novel ensemble architecture integrating Echo State Networks, temporal convolutional networks, mixture density networks, adaptive Hypernetworks, and deep state-space models for enhanced financial time-series prediction. Through comprehensive feature engineering incorporating technical indicators, spectral decomposition, reservoir-based representations, and flow dynamics characteristics, the framework achieves superior forecasting performance across diverse market conditions. Experimental validation on 26,817 balanced samples demonstrates exceptional results with an F1-score of 0.8947, representing a 12.3% improvement over State-of-the-Art baseline methods, while maintaining robust performance across asset classes from equities to cryptocurrencies. The adaptive Hypernetwork mechanism enables real-time regime-change detection with 2.3 days average lag and 95% accuracy, while systematic SHAP analysis provides comprehensive interpretability essential for regulatory compliance. Ablation studies reveal Echo State Networks contribute 9.47% performance improvement, validating the architectural design. The AFRN–HyperFlow framework addresses critical limitations in uncertainty quantification, regime adaptability, and interpretability, offering promising directions for next-generation financial forecasting systems incorporating quantum computing and federated learning approaches. Full article

The fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (FAPAR) stands as a pivotal parameter within the Earth system, quantifying the energy exchange between vegetation and solar radiation. Accordingly, there is an urgent need for comprehensive validation studies to accurately quantify uncertainties and improve the reliability of FAPAR-based applications. This study validated five global FAPAR products, MOD15A2H, MYD15A2H, VNP15A2H, GEOV2, and GEOV3, over four boreal forest sites in North America. Qualitative quality flags (QQFs) and quantitative quality indicators (QQIs) of each product were analyzed. Time series high-resolution reference FAPAR maps were developed using the Harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 dataset. The reference FAPAR maps revealed a strong agreement with the in situ FAPAR from AmeriFlux (correlation coefficient (R) = 0.91; root mean square error (RMSE) = 0.06). The results revealed that global FAPAR products show similar uncertainties (RMSE: 0.16 ± 0.04) and moderate agreement with the reference FAPAR (R = 0.75 ± 0.10). On average, 34.47 ± 6.91% of the FAPAR data met the goal requirements of the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS), while 54.41 ± 6.89% met the threshold requirements of the GCOS. Deciduous forests perform better than evergreen forests, and the products tend to underestimate the reference data, especially for the beginning and end of growing seasons in evergreen forests. There are no obvious quality differences at different QQFs, and the relative QQI can be used to filter high-quality values. To enhance the regional applicability of global FAPAR products, further algorithm improvements and expanded validation efforts are essential. Full article

Aquatic vegetation plays a crucial role in freshwater ecosystems by providing habitats, regulating water quality, and supporting biodiversity. This study aims to monitor and analyze the dynamics of aquatic vegetation in Chimaditida Shallow Lake, Greece, using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery, with validation from field measurements. Data processing was performed using Google Earth Engine and QGIS. The study focuses on discriminating and mapping two classes of aquatic surface conditions: areas covered with Floating and Emergent Aquatic Vegetation and open water, covering all seasons from 1 March 2024, to 28 February 2025. Spectral bands such as B04 (red), B08 (near infrared), B03 (green), and B11 (shortwave infrared) were used, along with indices like the Modified Normalized Difference Water Index and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index. The classification was enhanced using Otsu’s thresholding technique to distinguish accurately between Floating and Emergent Aquatic Vegetation and open water. Seasonal fluctuations were observed, with significant peaks in vegetation growth during the summer and autumn months, including a peak coverage of 2.08 km² on 9 September 2024 and a low of 0.00068 km² on 28 December 2024. These variations correspond to the seasonal growth patterns of Floating and Emergent Aquatic Vegetation, driven by temperature and nutrient availability. The study achieved a high overall classification accuracy of 89.31%, with producer accuracy for Floating and Emergent Aquatic Vegetation at 97.42% and user accuracy at 95.38%. Validation with Unmanned Aerial Vehicle-based aerial surveys showed a strong correlation (R² = 0.88) between satellite-derived and field data, underscoring the reliability of Sentinel-2 for aquatic vegetation monitoring. Findings highlight the potential of satellite-based remote sensing to monitor vegetation health and dynamics, offering valuable insights for the management and conservation of freshwater ecosystems. The results are particularly useful for governmental authorities and natural park administrations, enabling near-real-time monitoring to mitigate the impacts of overgrowth on water quality, biodiversity, and ecosystem services. This methodology provides a cost-effective alternative for long-term environmental monitoring, especially in regions where traditional methods are impractical or costly. Full article