Search Results (777)

Cultural ecosystem services (CESs) represent a critical link between ecosystems and human well-being and constitute a core foundation for regional sustainable development. The balance between CES supply and demand directly affects the coordination efficiency between ecological conservation and socio-economic development, making it a key prerequisite for ecosystem management, conservation planning, and policy formulation. This study focuses on the circum-Taihu region and integrates multi-source data to assess public perceived demand and spatial supply capacity of CESs. Supply–demand matching relationships are examined across three dimensions, namely, scenic beauty, cultural heritage, and recreation, through the construction of a region-specific CES quantitative indicator system. The impacts of multiple environmental factors on CES supply–demand dynamics are further explored to provide scientific support for coordinated ecological, cultural, and economic sustainability at the regional scale. The findings demonstrate the following: (1) the proposed methodology effectively quantifies CES perception and supply capacity in the circum-Taihu region. Scenic beauty exhibits the highest perception levels, whereas cultural heritage and recreation show lower perception. Cultural heritage displays the strongest supply capacity, whereas scenic beauty and recreation exhibit weaker supply. (2) Significant spatial imbalances exist between CES perception levels and supply capacity across the circum-Taihu region. Areas exhibiting mismatches constitute the largest proportion for cultural heritage CESs, followed by scenic beauty, with recreation displaying the smallest amounts of imbalance. (3) Environmental drivers exert differentiated effects on CES supply–demand relationships. Slope, road network density, and elevation have significant positive effects, whereas the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), distance to water bodies, and distance to roads exhibit significant negative effects. Distance to roads imposes the strongest inhibitory influence on CES perception, whereas elevation emerges as the most influential driver of public perceived CES levels. Full article

Investigating the spatio-temporal differentiation patterns and driving factors of ecosystem services (ESs) supply and demand is of great significance for early warning of ecosystem imbalance risks and identifying regional natural resource supply–demand conflicts. This study takes the typical coal-grain overlapping area (CGOA) in Eastern China as the research object, dividing it into mining townships (MT) and non-mining townships (NMT) for comparative analysis. By integrating the InVEST model, ESs supply–demand ratio (ESDR) index, four-quadrant model, and the XGBoost-SHAP algorithm, the study systematically reveals the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics and driving mechanisms of ESs supply and demand from 2000 to 2020. The results indicated that: (1) grain production (GP) service maintained a continuous supply–demand surplus, with the ESDR of NMT areas surpassing that of MT areas in 2020. The ESDR of water yield (WY) service was significantly influenced by interannual fluctuations in supply, showing deficits in multiple years. The decline in carbon sequestration (CS) service and sharp increase in carbon emissions led to a continuous decrease in the ESDR of CS service, with MT areas facing a higher risk of carbon deficit. (2) The spatial heterogeneity of ESs supply and demand was significant, with GP and CS services exhibiting a typical urban-rural dual spatial structure, and the overall region was dominated by the Type Ⅱ ESs supply–demand matching (ESDM) pattern. The ESDR of WY service generally decreases from Southeast to Northwest across the region. with the Type Ⅳ ESDM pattern dominating in most years. (3) Human activities are the core driving force shaping the supply–demand patterns of ESs. Among these, land use intensity exhibits a nonlinear effect, high population density demonstrates an inhibitory effect, and MT areas are more significantly affected by coal mining subsidence. Natural environmental factors primarily drive WY service. The research findings can provide a scientific reference for the coordinated allocation of regional natural resources and the sustainable development of the human–land system. Full article

Digital rural construction (DRC), as a crucial intersection of the rural revitalization strategy and the construction of Digital China, is a key path to addressing the imbalance and inadequacy in the urban–rural income gap (URIG). Based on provincial panel data from 2011 to 2023, this paper systematically examines the relationship and mechanism of action between the two using an econometric model. This study finds that DRC significantly reduces the URIG overall, and this effect is achieved through increasing urbanization levels, accelerating employment, and promoting social consumption. Spatial effect tests indicate that DRC has a spatial spillover effect; construction in one province reduces the URIG in neighboring provinces. Further research shows that, against the backdrop of human capital level acting as a threshold variable, the effect of DRC on the URIG exhibits an inverted “U”-shaped characteristic, first increasing and then decreasing. Therefore, this paper proposes countermeasures and suggestions, including constructing a digital-enabled urban–rural integration mechanism, promoting cross-regional coordinated development of DRC, and implementing a tiered and categorized digital literacy improvement project. Full article

This study investigates regional heterogeneity and spatial interdependence in digital skills mismatch across Indonesia by constructing a Digital Skills Supply–Demand Ratio (DSSDR) from the Indonesia Digital Society Index (IMDI). In line with SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities) and SDG 4 (Quality Education), the study aims to provide policy-relevant evidence to support a more inclusive and balanced digital transformation. Using district-level data and spatial econometric models (OLS, SAR, and the SDM), the analysis evaluates both local determinants and cross-regional spillover effects. Model comparison identifies the Spatial Durbin Model as the best specification, revealing strong spatial dependence in digital skills imbalance. The results show that most local socioeconomic and digital readiness indicators do not have significant direct effects on DSSDR, while school internet coverage exhibits a consistently negative association, indicating that digital demand expands faster than local supply. In contrast, spatial spillovers are decisive: a higher share of ICT study programs in neighboring regions improves local DSSDR through knowledge and human-capital diffusion, whereas higher GRDP per capita in adjacent regions exacerbates local mismatch, consistent with a talent-attraction mechanism. These findings demonstrate that digital skills mismatch is a spatially interconnected phenomenon driven more by interregional dynamics than by local conditions alone, implying that policy responses should move beyond isolated district-level interventions toward coordinated regional strategies integrating education systems, labor markets, and digital ecosystem development. The study contributes a spatially explicit, supply–demand-based framework for diagnosing regional digital inequality and supporting more equitable and sustainable digital development in Indonesia. Full article

In the context of global climate governance and China’s ‘Dual Carbon’ strategy, enhancing carbon emission efficiency (CEE) is a critical pathway toward high-quality development. Urban–rural integration (URI), reshaping urban–rural structures and resource allocation, has significant environmental implications. However, the mechanisms through which URI influences city-level CEE remain underexplored. Using panel data from 283 Chinese prefecture-level cities (2005–2022), we employ a Spatial Durbin Model to investigate URI’s direct and spatial spillover effects. First, spatiotemporally, URI demonstrates an imbalanced pattern, with higher levels in eastern coastal regions and lower levels in central and western areas. Conversely, CEE exhibits a north–south divide, with higher efficiency in the south. URI advancement has been sluggish with persisting imbalances, whereas CEE has demonstrated a consistent upward trend. Second, the relationship between URI and CEE is characterized by nonlinearity and spatial dependence. The direct effect follows a U-shaped curve, initially inhibiting but later promoting local CEE once a threshold is surpassed (URI = 0.103). The spatial spillover effect follows an inverted U-shaped trajectory (threshold URI = 0.179), suggesting that inter-regional dynamics evolve from synergistic promotion to potential competition. These findings underscore the necessity of phased, adaptive policies to unlock the potential between URI and CEE, providing a scientific basis for coordinating urban–rural development with carbon neutrality objectives. Full article

Promoting the synergistic development of green finance (GF) and green technology innovation (GTI) is crucial for achieving sustainable economic development. Based on the sample data of 30 provinces in China from 2010 to 2023, this study first investigates the theoretical mechanism of interactive coupling and then employs methods including Dagum Gini coefficient, spatial kernel density estimation, spatial correlation analysis, and a GTWR model to explore the spatiotemporal pattern, evolution trend, and driving factors of the coupling coordination between GF and GTI. The findings are as follows: (1) The coupling coordination degree (CCD) is about to transition from the moderate imbalance stage to the near imbalance stage, presenting a distinct spatial pattern of “higher levels and faster development in the east, and lower levels and slower development in the west”. (2) The Gini coefficient of the CCD shows an upward trend, with the degree of imbalance increasing year by year; the main sources of the overall differences follow this order: intra-regional disparity (G_w) > inter-regional disparity (G_b) > transvariation density (G_t). (3) The CCD between GF and GTI exhibits a positive spatial correlation, and the agglomeration degree is constantly increasing; the High-High Cluster areas are mainly concentrated in northern China. (4) Economic development level, financial development level, population scale, and urbanization level drive the coupling coordination between GF and GTI. This study provides new theoretical and empirical evidence for the complex coupling relationship and driving factors of GF and GTI and offers a key scientific basis for the Chinese government to formulate differentiated regional policies, thereby promoting the effective implementation of the green and low-carbon development strategy. Full article

Based on the interaction mechanism between higher education and industrial structure, this paper constructs an evaluation index system for the higher education development (HED) and the industrial upgrading (IU) by integrating their core characteristics. Using the entropy weight method, TOPSIS method, and coupling coordination model, as well as Kernel Density Estimation (KDE), it measures the comprehensive development levels and synergistic level of HED and IU in Chinese provinces (cities) from 2009 to 2020 and explores their spatiotemporal evolution characteristics. The findings reveal the following: (1) The overall level of China’s HED and IU shows an upward trend, but the absolute scores remain low, with significant regional disparities, and are divided into Balanced Development, Structural Imbalance, Industry-Supported, and Education-Supported. (2) The interaction between HED and IU is progressing toward a higher level, characterized by a reduction in low-value regions and a narrowing of regional disparities. However, the overall coordination remains in a “running-in stage”. (3) The eastern region has formed a virtuous cycle of interaction. The central region has achieved rapid improvement, benefiting from policy support, while the western region, constrained by resource limitations and policy lag, experiences slower progress in coordination. The northeastern region, lacking coupling momentum, exhibits long-term stagnation at a low level. Full article

Compared to traditional marine productivity, marine new-quality productivity (MNQP) is composed of advanced productive forces driven by the deepening application of new technologies, is characterized by the rapid emergence of new industries, new business models, and new modes of operation, and is marked by a substantial increase in total factor productivity in the marine economy. It has, therefore, become a new engine and pathway for China’s development into a maritime power. The main research approaches and conclusions of this paper are as follows: ① Using a combined order relation analysis method–Entropy Weight Method (G1-EWM) weighting method that integrates subjective and objective factors, we measured the development level of China’s MNQP from 2006 to 2021 across two dimensions: “factor structure” and “quality and efficiency”. The findings indicate that China’s MNQP is developing robustly and still holds considerable potential for improvement. ② Utilizing Gaussian Kernel Density Estimation and Spatial Markov Chain analysis to examine the dynamic evolution of China’s MNQP, the study identifies breaking the low-end lock-in of MNQP as crucial for accelerating balanced development. Spatial imbalances in China’s MNQP may exist both at the national level and within the three major marine economic zones. ③ To further examine potential spatial imbalances, Dagum Gini decomposition was employed to assess regional disparities in China’s MNQP. The DER polarization index and EGR polarization index were used to analyze spatial polarization levels, revealing an intensifying spatial imbalance in China’s MNQP. ④ Finally, geographic detectors were employed to identify the factors influencing spatial imbalances in China’s MNQP. Results indicate that these imbalances result from the combined effects of multiple factors, with marine economic development emerging as the core determinant exerting a dominant influence. The core conclusions of this study provide theoretical support and practical evidence for advancing the enhancement of China’s MNQP, thereby contributing to the realization of the goal of building a maritime power. Full article

The imbalance between water supply and demand in the arid and semi-arid regions of northwest China has become increasingly severe, highlighting the urgent need to develop and utilize unconventional water resources. Return flow, originating from canal leakage and field drainage, is widely distributed in these regions. However, as it contains a certain amount of salts, long-term use of return flow can lead to soil salinization and degradation of soil structure. Therefore, the scientific utilization of return flow has become a key issue for achieving sustainable agricultural development and efficient water use in arid areas. This study was conducted in the Yinbei Irrigation District, Ningxia, northwest China. Water samples were collected from the main and branch drainage ditches and analyzed to evaluate the feasibility of using return flow irrigation in the area. In addition, based on two years of continuous field monitoring and HYDRUS model simulations, the long-term dynamics of soil salinity under moderate return flow irrigation over the next 20 years were predicted. The results show that the total salinity of the main return ditches consistently remained below the agricultural irrigation water quality standard of 2000 mg/L, with Na⁺ and SO₄²⁻ as the predominant ions. Seasonal variations in return flow salinity were notable, with higher levels observed in spring compared to summer. Simulation results based on field trial data indicated that soil salinity displayed regular seasonal fluctuations. During the rice-growing season, strong leaching kept the salinity in the plough layer (0–40 cm) low. However, after irrigation ceased, evaporation in autumn and winter led to an increase in surface soil salinity, creating annual peaks. Long-term simulations showed that soil salinity throughout the entire profile (0–100 cm) followed a pattern of “slight increase—gradual decrease—dynamic stability.” Specifically, winter salinity peaks slightly increased during the first two years but then gradually declined, stabilizing after approximately 15 years. This indicates that long-term return-flow irrigation does not result in the accumulation of soil salinity in the plough layer. Full article

Under the combined influence of global climate change and intensified human activities, quantifying ecological compensation (EC) amounts between regions and formulating scientifically sound and rational policies have become critical strategies for addressing the imbalance between economic development and ecological conservation. This study focuses on the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) as the research subject, assesses ecosystem service supply and demand (ESSD) in the years 2000, 2010, and 2020 from the perspective of the water-energy-food nexus (WEF-Nexus), identifies ecosystem service flows (ESF) between supply and demand areas, develops an integrated EC model incorporating ecological, economic, and social dimensions to estimate EC amounts, and ultimately employs the XGBoost-SHAP model to analyze the underlying driving mechanisms. The results indicate the following: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the spatio-temporal variations in the three ESSDs in the YREB were substantial. Additionally, imbalances in ESSDs were observed, predominantly in economically advanced regions. (2) A total of 183 ESFs were identified among cities within the YREB, reflecting relatively active exchanges of ecosystem services (ESs). (3) Over the past two decades, the average annual total EC of the YREB amounted to 46,866.35 million yuan, with EC capital flows occurring in 117 cities. The proportion of water area in each city constitutes the primary driver of the EC amount. The EC model based on the “water-energy-food” ecosystem service flow (WEF-ESF) proposed in this study provides a valuable reference and scientific basis for formulating EC policies among YREB cities. Full article

This paper addresses the problem of imbalance between coastal and inland areas and recognises the reuse of abandoned buildings as an evolutionary regeneration strategy which, through specific interventions linked by a system of routes for tourism and sport, can gradually trigger sustainable development on a regional scale. It presents research conducted in recent years on behalf of local administrations and continued in national and European projects. The reference context is the Abruzzo region, where coastal, hilly and mountainous areas are a short distance apart and include both densely built-up and populated urban centres and small depopulated towns surrounded by landscapes of high environmental value. The objective is to define, through the responsible use of built resources, viable and sustainable strategies for regeneration and rebalancing oriented towards the concept of transformative resilience. The methodology adopted is divided into phases and includes both theoretical developments and case study applications according to an approach that networks building restoration and reuse interventions in the region. The key results consist of defining a reuse logic that considers the regional territory as a whole, linking different resources, functions and environments. This logic, which envisages the organisation of new functions on a regional scale, emphasises the capacity of building reuse to produce positive effects on the territory and trigger socio-economic development dynamics. This research forms part of the experience underlying a project of significant national interest (PRIN 2022 TRIALs), which will provide guidelines for activating the transformative resilience capacities of inland areas of central Italy. Full article

Regional green development requires balancing anthropogenic carbon emissions (CEs) with vegetation carbon sequestration (VCS). Using the CASA model and plant photosynthesis equation, we estimated VCS from net primary productivity (NPP) and proposed a Carbon Balance Pressure Index (CBPI) to quantify the imbalance between carbon sources and sinks. Spatial analysis and a geographic detector were applied to examine influencing factors of CBPI across Sichuan–Chongqing from 2001 to 2017. Results show that CE increased by 178%, while VCS rose by 27%. Regional CBPI thus enhanced from 0.35 to 0.76, aligning with CE trends. The CBPI presented a clear west-low (0–0.2, except Panzhihua), center-high (peak 3.1 in Chengdu), moderate-east (0.1–0.8) pattern. Geographic detector reveals that economic development and urbanization accounted for 80% of CBPI heterogeneity, followed by transportation (65%). Energy-intensive industries dominated developed areas, while construction-land expansion prevailed in developing regions. This study underscores region-specific emission-sink pathways and provides an empirical basis for differentiated low-carbon strategies in similar rapidly urbanizing regions in China. Full article

Common prosperity is an essential requirement of socialism with Chinese characteristics for a new era. Problems caused by the urban rural dual structure, such as resource misallocation, ecological-economic imbalance, and insufficient farmer income growth, not only hinder common prosperity but also conflict with the sustainable development strategy. As the core path to break the dual structure and narrow gaps, the multi-dimensional impact and mechanism of urban rural integrated development on common prosperity need systematic verification. Based on panel data of 31 Chinese provinces from 2014 to 2023, this paper uses fixed-effects and mechanism test models to examine its direct, indirect, and spatial spillover effects, focusing on transmission mechanisms of wage, property, and operating incomes. Findings show: First, it exerts significant positive direct and cross-regional spillover effects on common prosperity; Second, wage and property incomes are key transmission paths, while operating income’s mediating effect is unclear; Third, effects vary geographically, stronger in eastern/central China, weaker in northeast China and insignificant in west China; Fourth, economic and spatial integration play prominent roles, social service integration has inhibitory effect, and ecological integration’s effect is under-released. Accordingly, this paper puts forward countermeasures to optimize resource allocation, tackle the rural operating income dilemma, advance regional coordination, and enhance equal social services, providing references for improving common prosperity policies and rural sustainable development. Full article

In recent years, with the growing intensity of extreme weather events, imbalances in energy supply and demand, and frequent regional conflicts, the stability of our energy systems faces increasing challenges. Against this backdrop, the green innovation ecosystem can optimize the energy system’s structure and operational efficiency by promoting multi-actor interaction and multi-element synergy, thereby enhancing its resilience. Accordingly, this study aims to reveal how the green innovation ecosystem drives improvements in energy resilience (ER) through factor configurations and to identify the pathways leading to high-ER outcomes. To address this, this study constructs a research framework of the “core layer–environmental layer–supporting layer” for the green innovation ecosystem, and selects seven conditional variables, namely dual green innovation, multidimensional environmental regulation, green finance, and digital infrastructure. Based on official Chinese statistics, panel data from 30 provinces were compiled, and the dynamic qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) method was used to analyze how multiple factors interacted from 2016 to 2022 to achieve high ER from a spatiotemporal perspective. The results show that: (1) There is no single necessary condition for achieving high ER. (2) Dual green innovation and public participation in environmental regulation play a universal role in achieving high ER. They are combined with green finance, market-based environmental regulation, and digital infrastructure, forming three configuration pathways for achieving high ER. (3) No significant time effect is observed. (4) Pronounced spatial heterogeneity exists. The eastern region focuses on the green finance-enabled pathway, the central region has a high coverage of all three pathways, and the western region has relatively weak overall adaptability. Based on these findings, this study argues that enhancing ER depends on the coordinated allocation of multiple factors, and there is no single optimal pathway. Policymakers should adopt a configurational mindset and select appropriate combinations of elements in light of regional development conditions to enhance ER. Full article

The combined effects of climate change and socio-economic development have intensified the risk of water supply–demand imbalance in China. To project future trends, this study develops a multi-scenario coupled prediction framework integrating climate, socio-economic, and human activity drivers, combining data-driven and physically based modeling approaches to assess terrestrial water storage imbalance in nine major river basins under six representative SSP–RCP scenarios through the end of the 21st century. Using ISIMIP multi-model runoff outputs along with GDP and population projections, agricultural, industrial, and domestic water demands were estimated. A Water Conflict Index was proposed by integrating the Water Supply–Demand Stress Index and the Standardized Hydrological Runoff Index to identify high-risk basins. Results show that under high-emission scenarios, the WCI in the Yellow River, Hai River, and Northwest Rivers remains high, peaking during 2040–2069, while low-emission scenarios significantly alleviate stress in most basins. Water allocation inequity is mainly driven by insufficient supply in arid northern regions and limited redistribution capacity in resource-rich southern basins. Targeted strategies are recommended for different risk types, including inter-basin water transfer, optimization of water use structure and pricing policies, and the development of resilient management systems, providing scenario-based quantitative support for future water security and policy-making in China. Full article