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Search Results (1,915)

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Keywords = real-time energy consumption

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25 pages, 2100 KiB  
Article
Flexible Demand Side Management in Smart Cities: Integrating Diverse User Profiles and Multiple Objectives
by Nuno Souza e Silva and Paulo Ferrão
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4107; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154107 (registering DOI) - 2 Aug 2025
Abstract
Demand Side Management (DSM) plays a crucial role in modern energy systems, enabling more efficient use of energy resources and contributing to the sustainability of the power grid. This study examines DSM strategies within a multi-environment context encompassing residential, commercial, and industrial sectors, [...] Read more.
Demand Side Management (DSM) plays a crucial role in modern energy systems, enabling more efficient use of energy resources and contributing to the sustainability of the power grid. This study examines DSM strategies within a multi-environment context encompassing residential, commercial, and industrial sectors, with a focus on diverse appliance types that exhibit distinct operational characteristics and user preferences. Initially, a single-objective optimization approach using Genetic Algorithms (GAs) is employed to minimize the total energy cost under a real Time-of-Use (ToU) pricing scheme. This heuristic method allows for the effective scheduling of appliance operations while factoring in their unique characteristics such as power consumption, usage duration, and user-defined operational flexibility. This study extends the optimization problem to a multi-objective framework that incorporates the minimization of CO2 emissions under a real annual energy mix while also accounting for user discomfort. The Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) is utilized for this purpose, providing a Pareto-optimal set of solutions that balances these competing objectives. The inclusion of multiple objectives ensures a comprehensive assessment of DSM strategies, aiming to reduce environmental impact and enhance user satisfaction. Additionally, this study monitors the Peak-to-Average Ratio (PAR) to evaluate the impact of DSM strategies on load balancing and grid stability. It also analyzes the impact of considering different periods of the year with the associated ToU hourly schedule and CO2 emissions hourly profile. A key innovation of this research is the integration of detailed, category-specific metrics that enable the disaggregation of costs, emissions, and user discomfort across residential, commercial, and industrial appliances. This granularity enables stakeholders to implement tailored strategies that align with specific operational goals and regulatory compliance. Also, the emphasis on a user discomfort indicator allows us to explore the flexibility available in such DSM mechanisms. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed multi-objective optimization approach in achieving significant cost savings that may reach 20% for industrial applications, while the order of magnitude of the trade-offs involved in terms of emissions reduction, improvement in discomfort, and PAR reduction is quantified for different frameworks. The outcomes not only underscore the efficacy of applying advanced optimization frameworks to real-world problems but also point to pathways for future research in smart energy management. This comprehensive analysis highlights the potential of advanced DSM techniques to enhance the sustainability and resilience of energy systems while also offering valuable policy implications. Full article
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28 pages, 2465 KiB  
Article
Latency-Aware and Energy-Efficient Task Offloading in IoT and Cloud Systems with DQN Learning
by Amina Benaboura, Rachid Bechar, Walid Kadri, Tu Dac Ho, Zhenni Pan and Shaaban Sahmoud
Electronics 2025, 14(15), 3090; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14153090 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
The exponential proliferation of the Internet of Things (IoT) and optical IoT (O-IoT) has introduced substantial challenges concerning computational capacity and energy efficiency. IoT devices generate vast volumes of aggregated data and require intensive processing, often resulting in elevated latency and excessive energy [...] Read more.
The exponential proliferation of the Internet of Things (IoT) and optical IoT (O-IoT) has introduced substantial challenges concerning computational capacity and energy efficiency. IoT devices generate vast volumes of aggregated data and require intensive processing, often resulting in elevated latency and excessive energy consumption. Task offloading has emerged as a viable solution; however, many existing strategies fail to adequately optimize both latency and energy usage. This paper proposes a novel task-offloading approach based on deep Q-network (DQN) learning, designed to intelligently and dynamically balance these critical metrics. The proposed framework continuously refines real-time task offloading decisions by leveraging the adaptive learning capabilities of DQN, thereby substantially reducing latency and energy consumption. To further enhance system performance, the framework incorporates optical networks into the IoT–fog–cloud architecture, capitalizing on their high-bandwidth and low-latency characteristics. This integration facilitates more efficient distribution and processing of tasks, particularly in data-intensive IoT applications. Additionally, we present a comparative analysis between the proposed DQN algorithm and the optimal strategy. Through extensive simulations, we demonstrate the superior effectiveness of the proposed DQN framework across various IoT and O-IoT scenarios compared to the BAT and DJA approaches, achieving improvements in energy consumption and latency of 35%, 50%, 30%, and 40%, respectively. These findings underscore the significance of selecting an appropriate offloading strategy tailored to the specific requirements of IoT and O-IoT applications, particularly with regard to environmental stability and performance demands. Full article
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26 pages, 5263 KiB  
Article
A System Dynamics-Based Hybrid Digital Twin Model for Driving Green Manufacturing
by Sucheng Fan, Huagang Tong and Song Wang
Systems 2025, 13(8), 651; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13080651 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
Green manufacturing has emerged as a critical objective in the evolution of advanced production systems. Although digital twin technology is widely recognized for enhancing efficiency and promoting sustainability, the majority of existing research focuses exclusively on physical systems. They neglect the impact of [...] Read more.
Green manufacturing has emerged as a critical objective in the evolution of advanced production systems. Although digital twin technology is widely recognized for enhancing efficiency and promoting sustainability, the majority of existing research focuses exclusively on physical systems. They neglect the impact of soft systems, including human behavior, decision-making, and operational strategies. To address this limitation, the present study introduces an innovative hybrid digital twin model that integrates both physical and soft systems to support green manufacturing initiatives comprehensively. The primary contributions of this work are threefold. First, a novel hybrid architecture is developed by coupling real-time physical data with virtual soft system components that simulate factory operations. Second, lean production principles are systematically incorporated into the soft system, thereby facilitating reduced energy consumption and minimizing environmental impact. Third, a parameter-driven programming model is formulated to correlate critical variables with green performance metrics, and a genetic algorithm is utilized to optimize these variables, ultimately enhancing sustainability outcomes. This integrated approach not only expands the applicability of digital twin technology but also offers a data-driven decision-support tool for the advancement of green manufacturing practices. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Systems Engineering)
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27 pages, 1832 KiB  
Review
Breaking the Traffic Code: How MaaS Is Shaping Sustainable Mobility Ecosystems
by Tanweer Alam
Future Transp. 2025, 5(3), 94; https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp5030094 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
Urban areas are facing increasing traffic congestion, pollution, and infrastructure strain. Traditional urban transportation systems are often fragmented. They require users to plan, pay, and travel across multiple disconnected services. Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) integrates these services into a single digital platform, simplifying access and [...] Read more.
Urban areas are facing increasing traffic congestion, pollution, and infrastructure strain. Traditional urban transportation systems are often fragmented. They require users to plan, pay, and travel across multiple disconnected services. Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) integrates these services into a single digital platform, simplifying access and improving the user experience. This review critically examines the role of MaaS in fostering sustainable mobility ecosystems. MaaS aims to enhance user-friendliness, service variety, and sustainability by adopting a customer-centric approach to transportation. The findings reveal that successful MaaS systems consistently align with multimodal transport infrastructure, equitable access policies, and strong public-private partnerships. MaaS enhances the management of routes and traffic, effectively mitigating delays and congestion while concurrently reducing energy consumption and fuel usage. In this study, the authors examine MaaS as a new mobility paradigm for a sustainable transportation system in smart cities, observing the challenges and opportunities associated with its implementation. To assess the environmental impact, a sustainability index is calculated based on the use of different modes of transportation. Significant findings indicate that MaaS systems are proliferating in both quantity and complexity, increasingly integrating capabilities such as real-time multimodal planning, dynamic pricing, and personalized user profiles. Full article
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29 pages, 5343 KiB  
Article
Optimizing Electric Bus Efficiency: Evaluating Seasonal Performance in a Southern USA Transit System
by MD Rezwan Hossain, Arjun Babuji, Md. Hasibul Hasan, Haofei Yu, Amr Oloufa and Hatem Abou-Senna
Future Transp. 2025, 5(3), 92; https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp5030092 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
Electric buses (EBs) are increasingly adopted for their environmental and operational benefits, yet their real-world efficiency is influenced by climate, route characteristics, and auxiliary energy demands. While most existing research identifies winter as the most energy-intensive season due to cabin heating and reduced [...] Read more.
Electric buses (EBs) are increasingly adopted for their environmental and operational benefits, yet their real-world efficiency is influenced by climate, route characteristics, and auxiliary energy demands. While most existing research identifies winter as the most energy-intensive season due to cabin heating and reduced battery performance, this study presents a contrasting perspective based on a three-year longitudinal analysis of the LYMMO fleet in Orlando, Florida—a subtropical U.S. region. The findings reveal that summer is the most energy-intensive season, primarily due to sustained HVAC usage driven by high ambient temperatures—a seasonal pattern rarely reported in the current literature and a key regional contribution. Additionally, idling time exceeds driving time across all seasons, with HVAC usage during idling emerging as the dominant contributor to total energy consumption. To mitigate these inefficiencies, a proxy-based HVAC energy estimation method and an optimization model were developed, incorporating ambient temperature and peak passenger load. This approach achieved up to 24% energy savings without compromising thermal comfort. Results validated through non-parametric statistical testing support operational strategies such as idling reduction, HVAC control, and seasonally adaptive scheduling, offering practical pathways to improve EB efficiency in warm-weather transit systems. Full article
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40 pages, 4775 KiB  
Article
Optimal Sizing of Battery Energy Storage System for Implicit Flexibility in Multi-Energy Microgrids
by Andrea Scrocca, Maurizio Delfanti and Filippo Bovera
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8529; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158529 (registering DOI) - 31 Jul 2025
Abstract
In the context of urban decarbonization, multi-energy microgrids (MEMGs) are gaining increasing relevance due to their ability to enhance synergies across multiple energy vectors. This study presents a block-based MILP framework developed to optimize the operations of a real MEMG, with a particular [...] Read more.
In the context of urban decarbonization, multi-energy microgrids (MEMGs) are gaining increasing relevance due to their ability to enhance synergies across multiple energy vectors. This study presents a block-based MILP framework developed to optimize the operations of a real MEMG, with a particular focus on accurately modeling the structure of electricity and natural gas bills. The objective is to assess the added economic value of integrating a battery energy storage system (BESS) under the assumption it is employed to provide implicit flexibility—namely, bill management, energy arbitrage, and peak shaving. Results show that under assumed market conditions, tariff schemes, and BESS costs, none of the analyzed BESS configurations achieve a positive net present value. However, a 2 MW/4 MWh BESS yields a 3.8% reduction in annual operating costs compared to the base case without storage, driven by increased self-consumption (+2.8%), reduced thermal energy waste (–6.4%), and a substantial decrease in power-based electricity charges (–77.9%). The performed sensitivity analyses indicate that even with a significantly higher day-ahead market price spread, the BESS is not sufficiently incentivized to perform pure energy arbitrage and that the effectiveness of a time-of-use power-based tariff depends not only on the level of price differentiation but also on the BESS size. Overall, this study provides insights into the role of BESS in MEMGs and highlights the need for electricity bill designs that better reward the provision of implicit flexibility by storage systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Innovative Approaches to Optimize Future Multi-Energy Systems)
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40 pages, 18911 KiB  
Article
Twin-AI: Intelligent Barrier Eddy Current Separator with Digital Twin and AI Integration
by Shohreh Kia, Johannes B. Mayer, Erik Westphal and Benjamin Leiding
Sensors 2025, 25(15), 4731; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25154731 (registering DOI) - 31 Jul 2025
Abstract
The current paper presents a comprehensive intelligent system designed to optimize the performance of a barrier eddy current separator (BECS), comprising a conveyor belt, a vibration feeder, and a magnetic drum. This system was trained and validated on real-world industrial data gathered directly [...] Read more.
The current paper presents a comprehensive intelligent system designed to optimize the performance of a barrier eddy current separator (BECS), comprising a conveyor belt, a vibration feeder, and a magnetic drum. This system was trained and validated on real-world industrial data gathered directly from the working separator under 81 different operational scenarios. The intelligent models were used to recommend optimal settings for drum speed, belt speed, vibration intensity, and drum angle, thereby maximizing separation quality and minimizing energy consumption. the smart separation module utilizes YOLOv11n-seg and achieves a mean average precision (mAP) of 0.838 across 7163 industrial instances from aluminum, copper, and plastic materials. For shape classification (sharp vs. smooth), the model reached 91.8% accuracy across 1105 annotated samples. Furthermore, the thermal monitoring unit can detect iron contamination by analyzing temperature anomalies. Scenarios with iron showed a maximum temperature increase of over 20 °C compared to clean materials, with a detection response time of under 2.5 s. The architecture integrates a Digital Twin using Azure Digital Twins to virtually mirror the system, enabling real-time tracking, behavior simulation, and remote updates. A full connection with the PLC has been implemented, allowing the AI-driven system to adjust physical parameters autonomously. This combination of AI, IoT, and digital twin technologies delivers a reliable and scalable solution for enhanced separation quality, improved operational safety, and predictive maintenance in industrial recycling environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sensors and IoT Technologies for the Smart Industry)
20 pages, 2320 KiB  
Article
Electric Vehicle Energy Management Under Unknown Disturbances from Undefined Power Demand: Online Co-State Estimation via Reinforcement Learning
by C. Treesatayapun, A. D. Munoz-Vazquez, S. K. Korkua, B. Srikarun and C. Pochaiya
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4062; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154062 (registering DOI) - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 46
Abstract
This paper presents a data-driven energy management scheme for fuel cell and battery electric vehicles, formulated as a constrained optimal control problem. The proposed method employs a co-state network trained using real-time measurements to estimate the control law without requiring prior knowledge of [...] Read more.
This paper presents a data-driven energy management scheme for fuel cell and battery electric vehicles, formulated as a constrained optimal control problem. The proposed method employs a co-state network trained using real-time measurements to estimate the control law without requiring prior knowledge of the system model or a complete dataset across the full operating domain. In contrast to conventional reinforcement learning approaches, this method avoids the issue of high dimensionality and does not depend on extensive offline training. Robustness is demonstrated by treating uncertain and time-varying elements, including power consumption from air conditioning systems, variations in road slope, and passenger-related demands, as unknown disturbances. The desired state of charge is defined as a reference trajectory, and the control input is computed while ensuring compliance with all operational constraints. Validation results based on a combined driving profile confirm the effectiveness of the proposed controller in maintaining the battery charge, reducing fluctuations in fuel cell power output, and ensuring reliable performance under practical conditions. Comparative evaluations are conducted against two benchmark controllers: one designed to maintain a constant state of charge and another based on a soft actor–critic learning algorithm. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Forecasting and Optimization in Transport Energy Management Systems)
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19 pages, 3963 KiB  
Article
Real-Time Energy Management in Microgrids: Integrating T-Cell Optimization, Droop Control, and HIL Validation with OPAL-RT
by Achraf Boukaibat, Nissrine Krami, Youssef Rochdi, Yassir El Bakkali, Mohamed Laamim and Abdelilah Rochd
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4035; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154035 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 229
Abstract
Modern microgrids face critical challenges in maintaining stability and efficiency due to renewable energy intermittency and dynamic load demands. This paper proposes a novel real-time energy management framework that synergizes a bio-inspired T-Cell optimization algorithm with decentralized voltage-based droop control to address these [...] Read more.
Modern microgrids face critical challenges in maintaining stability and efficiency due to renewable energy intermittency and dynamic load demands. This paper proposes a novel real-time energy management framework that synergizes a bio-inspired T-Cell optimization algorithm with decentralized voltage-based droop control to address these challenges. A JADE-based multi-agent system (MAS) orchestrates coordination between the T-Cell optimizer and edge-level controllers, enabling scalable and fault-tolerant decision-making. The T-Cell algorithm, inspired by adaptive immune system dynamics, optimizes global power distribution through the MAS platform, while droop control ensures local voltage stability via autonomous adjustments by distributed energy resources (DERs). The framework is rigorously validated through Hardware-in-the-Loop (HIL) testing using OPAL-RT, which interfaces MATLAB/Simulink models with Raspberry Pi for real-time communication (MQTT/Modbus protocols). Experimental results demonstrate a 91% reduction in grid dependency, 70% mitigation of voltage fluctuations, and a 93% self-consumption rate, significantly enhancing power quality and resilience. By integrating centralized optimization with decentralized control through MAS coordination, the hybrid approach achieves scalable, self-organizing microgrid operation under variable generation and load conditions. This work advances the practical deployment of adaptive energy management systems, offering a robust solution for sustainable and resilient microgrids. Full article
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21 pages, 1558 KiB  
Article
Total Performance in Practice: Energy Efficiency in Modern Developer-Built Housing
by Wiktor Sitek, Michał Kosakiewicz, Karolina Krysińska, Magdalena Daria Vaverková and Anna Podlasek
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4003; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154003 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 191
Abstract
Improving the energy efficiency of residential buildings is essential for achieving global climate goals and reducing environmental impact. This study analyzes the Total Performance approach using the example of a modern semi-detached house built by a Polish developer, as an example. The building [...] Read more.
Improving the energy efficiency of residential buildings is essential for achieving global climate goals and reducing environmental impact. This study analyzes the Total Performance approach using the example of a modern semi-detached house built by a Polish developer, as an example. The building is designed with integrated systems that minimize energy consumption while maintaining resident comfort. The building is equipped with an air-to-water heat pump, underfloor heating, mechanical ventilation with heat recovery, and automatic temperature control systems. Energy efficiency was assessed using ArCADia–TERMOCAD 8.0 software in accordance with Polish Technical Specifications (TS) and verified by monitoring real-time electricity consumption during the heating season. The results show a PED from non-renewable sources of 54.05 kWh/(m2·year), representing a 23% reduction compared to the Polish regulatory limit of 70 kWh/(m2·year). Real-time monitoring conducted from December 2024 to April 2025 confirmed these results, indicating an actual energy demand of approximately 1771 kWh/year. Domestic hot water (DHW) preparation accounted for the largest share of energy consumption. Despite its dependence on grid electricity, the building has the infrastructure to enable future photovoltaic (PV) installation, offering further potential for emissions reduction. The results confirm that Total Performance strategies are not only compliant with applicable standards, but also economically and environmentally viable. They represent a scalable model for sustainable residential construction, in line with the European Union’s (EU’s) decarbonization policy and the goals of the European Green Deal. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section G: Energy and Buildings)
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54 pages, 5068 KiB  
Review
Application of Machine Learning Models in Optimizing Wastewater Treatment Processes: A Review
by Florin-Stefan Zamfir, Madalina Carbureanu and Sanda Florentina Mihalache
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8360; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158360 - 27 Jul 2025
Viewed by 544
Abstract
The treatment processes from a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) are known for their complexity and highly nonlinear behavior, which makes them challenging to analyze, model, and especially, to control. This research studies how machine learning (ML) with a focus on deep learning (DL) [...] Read more.
The treatment processes from a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) are known for their complexity and highly nonlinear behavior, which makes them challenging to analyze, model, and especially, to control. This research studies how machine learning (ML) with a focus on deep learning (DL) techniques can be applied to optimize the treatment processes of WWTPs, highlighting those case studies that propose ML and DL methods that directly address this issue. This research aims to study the ML and DL systematic applications in optimizing the wastewater treatment processes from an industrial plant, such as the modeling of complex physical–chemical processes, real-time monitoring and prediction of critical wastewater quality indicators, chemical reactants consumption reduction, minimization of plant energy consumption, plant effluent quality prediction, development of data-driven type models as support in the decision-making process, etc. To perform a detailed analysis, 87 articles were included from an initial set of 324, using criteria such as wastewater combined with ML, DL, and artificial intelligence (AI), for articles from 2010 or newer. From the initial set of 324 scientific articles, 300 were identified using Litmaps, obtained from five important scientific databases, all focusing on addressing the specific problem proposed for investigation. Thus, this paper identifies gaps in the current research, discusses ML and DL algorithms in the context of optimizing wastewater treatment processes, and identifies future directions for optimizing these processes through data-driven methods. As opposed to traditional models, IA models (ML, DL, hybrid and ensemble models, digital twin, IoT, etc.) demonstrated significant advantages in wastewater quality indicator prediction and forecasting, in energy consumption forecasting, in temporal pattern recognition, and in optimal interpretability for normative compliance. Integrating advanced ML and DL technologies into the various processes involved in wastewater treatment improves the plant systems’ predictive capabilities and ensures a higher level of compliance with environmental standards. Full article
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16 pages, 1145 KiB  
Article
A Hybrid Transformer–Mamba Model for Multivariate Metro Energy Consumption Forecasting
by Liheng Long, Zhiyao Chen, Junqian Wu, Qing Fu, Zirui Zhang, Fan Feng and Ronghui Zhang
Electronics 2025, 14(15), 2986; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14152986 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 291
Abstract
With the rapid growth of urban populations and the expansion of metro networks, accurate energy consumption prediction has become a critical task for optimizing metro operations and supporting low-carbon city development. Traditional statistical and machine learning methods often struggle to model the complex, [...] Read more.
With the rapid growth of urban populations and the expansion of metro networks, accurate energy consumption prediction has become a critical task for optimizing metro operations and supporting low-carbon city development. Traditional statistical and machine learning methods often struggle to model the complex, nonlinear, and time-varying nature of metro energy data. To address these challenges, this paper proposes MTMM, a novel hybrid model that integrates the multi-head attention mechanism of the Transformer with the efficient, state-space-based Mamba architecture. The Transformer effectively captures long-range temporal dependencies, while Mamba enhances inference speed and reduces complexity. Additionally, the model incorporates multivariate energy features, leveraging the correlations among different energy consumption types to improve predictive performance. Experimental results on real-world data from the Guangzhou Metro demonstrate that MTMM significantly outperforms existing methods in terms of both MAE and MSE. The model also shows strong generalization ability across different prediction lengths and time step configurations, offering a promising solution for intelligent energy management in metro systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue AI Applications for Smart Grid)
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10 pages, 6510 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
Energy Consumption Forecasting for Renewable Energy Communities: A Case Study of Loureiro, Portugal
by Muhammad Akram, Chiara Martone, Ilenia Perugini and Emmanuele Maria Petruzziello
Eng. Proc. 2025, 101(1), 7; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025101007 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 512
Abstract
Intensive energy consumption in the building sector remains one of the primary contributors to climate change and global warming. Within Renewable Energy Communities (RECs), improving energy management is essential for promoting sustainability and reducing environmental impact. Accurate forecasting of energy consumption at the [...] Read more.
Intensive energy consumption in the building sector remains one of the primary contributors to climate change and global warming. Within Renewable Energy Communities (RECs), improving energy management is essential for promoting sustainability and reducing environmental impact. Accurate forecasting of energy consumption at the community level is a key tool in this effort. Traditionally, engineering-based methods grounded in thermodynamic principles have been employed, offering high accuracy under controlled conditions. However, their reliance on exhaustive building-level data and high computational costs limits their scalability in dynamic REC settings. In contrast, Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven methods provide flexible and scalable alternatives by learning patterns from historical consumption and environmental data. This study investigates three Machine Learning (ML) models, Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), and CatBoost, and one Deep Learning (DL) model, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), to forecast community electricity consumption using real smart meter data and local meteorological variables. The study focuses on a REC in Loureiro, Portugal, consisting of 172 residential users from whom 16 months of 15 min interval electricity consumption data were collected. Temporal features (hour of the day, day of the week, month) were combined with lag-based usage patterns, including features representing energy consumption at the corresponding time in the previous hour and on the previous day, to enhance model accuracy by leveraging short-term dependencies and daily repetition in usage behavior. Models were evaluated using Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and the Coefficient of Determination R2. Among all models, CatBoost achieved the best performance, with an MSE of 0.1262, MAPE of 4.77%, and an R2 of 0.9018. These results highlight the potential of ensemble learning approaches for improving energy demand forecasting in RECs, supporting smarter energy management and contributing to energy and environmental performance. Full article
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38 pages, 2182 KiB  
Article
Smart Grid Strategies for Tackling the Duck Curve: A Qualitative Assessment of Digitalization, Battery Energy Storage, and Managed Rebound Effects Benefits
by Joseph Nyangon
Energies 2025, 18(15), 3988; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18153988 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 346
Abstract
Modern utilities face unprecedented pressures as trends in digital transformation and democratized energy choice empower consumers to engage in peak shaving, flexible load management, and adopt grid automation and intelligence solutions. A powerful confluence of architectural, technological, and socio-economic forces is transforming the [...] Read more.
Modern utilities face unprecedented pressures as trends in digital transformation and democratized energy choice empower consumers to engage in peak shaving, flexible load management, and adopt grid automation and intelligence solutions. A powerful confluence of architectural, technological, and socio-economic forces is transforming the U.S. electricity market, triggering significant changes in electricity production, transmission, and consumption. Utilities are embracing digital twins and repurposed Utility 2.0 concepts—distributed energy resources, microgrids, innovative electricity market designs, real-time automated monitoring, smart meters, machine learning, artificial intelligence, and advanced data and predictive analytics—to foster operational flexibility and market efficiency. This analysis qualitatively evaluates how digitalization, Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESSs), and adaptive strategies to mitigate rebound effects collectively advance smart duck curve management. By leveraging digital platforms for real-time monitoring and predictive analytics, utilities can optimize energy flows and make data-driven decisions. BESS technologies capture surplus renewable energy during off-peak periods and discharge it when demand spikes, thereby smoothing grid fluctuations. This review explores the benefits of targeted digital transformation, BESSs, and managed rebound effects in mitigating the duck curve problem, ensuring that energy efficiency gains translate into actual savings. Furthermore, this integrated approach not only reduces energy wastage and lowers operational costs but also enhances grid resilience, establishing a robust framework for sustainable energy management in an evolving market landscape. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Policy and Economic Analysis of Energy Systems)
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41 pages, 5984 KiB  
Article
Socio-Economic Analysis for Adoption of Smart Metering System in SAARC Region: Current Challenges and Future Perspectives
by Zain Khalid, Syed Ali Abbas Kazmi, Muhammad Hassan, Sayyed Ahmad Ali Shah, Mustafa Anwar, Muhammad Yousif and Abdul Haseeb Tariq
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6786; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156786 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 462
Abstract
Cross-border energy trading activity via interconnection has received much attention in Southern Asia to help the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) region’s energy deficit states. This research article proposed a smart metering system to reduce energy losses and increase distribution sector [...] Read more.
Cross-border energy trading activity via interconnection has received much attention in Southern Asia to help the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) region’s energy deficit states. This research article proposed a smart metering system to reduce energy losses and increase distribution sector efficiency. The implementation of smart metering systems in utility management plays a pivotal role in advancing several Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), i.e.; SDG (Affordable and Clean Energy), and SDG Climate Action. By enabling real-time monitoring, accurate measurement, and data-driven management of energy resources, smart meters promote efficient consumption, reduce losses, and encourage sustainable behaviors among consumers. The adoption of a smart metering system along with Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats (SWOT) analysis, socio-economic analysis, current challenges, and future prospects was also investigated. Besides the economics of the electrical distribution system, one feeder with non-technical losses of about 16% was selected, and the cost–benefit analysis and cost–benefit ratio was estimated for the SAARC region. The import/export ratio is disturbing in various SAARC grids, and a solution in terms of community microgrids is presented from Pakistan’s perspective as a case study. The proposed work gives a guidelines for SAARC countries to reduce their losses and improve their system functionality. It gives a composite solution across multi-faceted evaluation for the betterment of a large region. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Development Goals towards Sustainability)
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