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21 pages, 6841 KiB  
Article
Fatigue-Aware Sub-Second Combinatorial Auctions for Dynamic Cycle Allocation in Human–Robot Collaborative Assembly
by Claudio Urrea
Mathematics 2025, 13(15), 2429; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13152429 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 182
Abstract
Problem: Existing Human–Robot Collaboration (HRC) allocators cannot react at a sub-second scale while accounting for worker fatigue. Objective: We designed a fatigue-aware combinatorial auction executed every 100 ms. Method: A human and a FANUC robot submit bids combining execution time, predicted energy, and [...] Read more.
Problem: Existing Human–Robot Collaboration (HRC) allocators cannot react at a sub-second scale while accounting for worker fatigue. Objective: We designed a fatigue-aware combinatorial auction executed every 100 ms. Method: A human and a FANUC robot submit bids combining execution time, predicted energy, and real-time fatigue; a greedy algorithm (≤1 ms) with a 11/e approximation guarantee and O (|Bids| log |Bids|) complexity maximizes utility. Results: In 1000 RoboDK episodes, the framework increases active cycles·min−1 by 20%, improves robot utilization by +10.2 percentage points, reduces per cycle fatigue by 4%, and raises the collision-free rate to 99.85% versus a static baseline (p < 0.001). Contribution: We provide the first transparent, sub-second, fatigue-aware allocation mechanism for Industry 5.0, with quantified privacy safeguards and a roadmap for physical deployment. Unlike prior auction-based or reinforcement learning approaches, our model uniquely integrates a sub-second ergonomic adaptation with a mathematically interpretable utility structure, ensuring both human-centered responsiveness and system-level transparency. Full article
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16 pages, 2755 KiB  
Article
Day-Ahead Energy Price Forecasting with Machine Learning: Role of Endogenous Predictors
by Chibuike Chiedozie Ibebuchi
Forecasting 2025, 7(2), 18; https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast7020018 - 9 Apr 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2154
Abstract
Accurate Day-Ahead Energy Price (DAEP) forecasting is essential for optimizing energy market operations. This study introduces a machine learning framework to predict the DAEP with a 24 h lead time, leveraging historical data and forecasts available at the prediction time. Hourly DAEP data [...] Read more.
Accurate Day-Ahead Energy Price (DAEP) forecasting is essential for optimizing energy market operations. This study introduces a machine learning framework to predict the DAEP with a 24 h lead time, leveraging historical data and forecasts available at the prediction time. Hourly DAEP data from the California Independent System Operator (January 2017 to July 2023) were integrated with exogenous and engineered endogenous features. A custom rolling window cross-validation, with 24 h validation blocks sliding daily across 2372 folds, evaluates an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model’s performance under diverse market conditions, achieving a median mean absolute error of 6.26 USD/MWh and root mean squared error of 8.27 USD/MWh, with variability reflecting market volatility. The feature importance analysis using Shapley additive explanations highlighted the dominance of engineered endogenous features in driving the 24 h lead time forecasts under relatively stable market conditions. Forecasting the DAEP at a runtime of 10 AM on the prior day was used to assess model uncertainty. This involved training random forest, support vector regression, XGBoost, and feed forward neural network models, followed by stacking and voting ensembles. The results indicate the need for ensemble forecasting and evaluation beyond a static train–test split to ensure the practical utility of machine learning for DAEP forecasting across varied market dynamics. Finally, operationalizing the forecast model for bidding decisions by forecasting the DAEP and real-time prices at runtime is presented and discussed. Full article
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20 pages, 466 KiB  
Article
A Study on Bid Decision Factors for Non-Performing Real Estate Project Financing and the Valuation Basis
by Taegeun Kim, Heecheol Shim and Sungrok Kim
Sustainability 2025, 17(3), 915; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17030915 - 23 Jan 2025
Viewed by 1240
Abstract
As the scale of real estate project financing (PF) of large construction companies in South Korea increase, discontinued construction projects and PF default rates in the financial world are also rapidly increasing. Furthermore, the percentage of PF bad debts in South Korea today [...] Read more.
As the scale of real estate project financing (PF) of large construction companies in South Korea increase, discontinued construction projects and PF default rates in the financial world are also rapidly increasing. Furthermore, the percentage of PF bad debts in South Korea today has increased as much as about three times compared to that in 2023. The increase in bad debt rates results mainly from the moderate supply of new funds, delays in non-performing PF arrangements, and so forth. To address this problem, it is necessary to restart the development of non-performing real estate PF development sites through successful bidding and to review the valuation basis for development projects. Therefore, this study aims to derive internal and external characteristics of non-performing real estate PF development sites in South Korea and examine the effects of specific factors on their successful bidding. In addition, significant variables are selected based on the analysis result; the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) analysis is performed to establish a new valuation system for real estate development projects. After careful consideration of various literature reviews and expert opinions, an analysis model is established to ensure the suitability of the study model with the error range minimized. As AHP was performed based on the newly established hierarchy, the higher ranks of each valuation factor were derived based on priority and importance, and the valuation basis was rearranged accordingly. The conclusion was derived through a comprehensive review of the results of the two analyses above. It was verified that certain factors—business feasibility assessment, work performance assessment, and basic evaluation—played key roles in the success and successful bidding of real estate projects. This point suggests that strict project management and performance standards must be set based on the economic achievements of financial validity indexes and business performance capabilities. Stable profit distribution and business transparency are also viewed as vital factors for the success of projects. Therefore, this study reestablishes the valuation basis for development projects in South Korea and presents policy suggestions on location propriety and business advancement based on the analysis of non-performing PF bid decision factors and the development project valuation basis. Full article
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11 pages, 2742 KiB  
Article
Rhoifolin Suppresses Cell Proliferation and Induces Apoptosis in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Cells In Vitro and In Vivo
by Ruolan Chen, Zufa Sabeel, Lu Ying, Youfeng Liang, Rui Guo, Mingxuan Hao, Xiaoyang Chen, Wenjing Zhang, Jian Dong, Yan Liu, Changyuan Yu and Zhao Yang
Pharmaceuticals 2025, 18(1), 79; https://doi.org/10.3390/ph18010079 - 10 Jan 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1413
Abstract
Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most prevalent malignant tumor, ranking fifth in terms of fatality with poor prognosis and a low survival rate. Rhoifolin (ROF), a flavonoid constituent, has previously been shown to suppress the proliferation of breast and pancreatic cancer cells. [...] Read more.
Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most prevalent malignant tumor, ranking fifth in terms of fatality with poor prognosis and a low survival rate. Rhoifolin (ROF), a flavonoid constituent, has previously been shown to suppress the proliferation of breast and pancreatic cancer cells. However, its inhibitory effect on HCC has remained unexplored. Objectives: Exploring the potent inhibitory activities and underlying mechanisms of ROF on HCC cells. Methods: The suppressive effect of ROF on HCC cells were assessed via CCK8 assay, apoptosis assay, cell cycle analysis and xenograft tumor mouse model. Furthermore, quantitative real-time PCR and western blot were applied to analyze the underlying mechanisms of ROF on HCC cells. Results: Firstly, the IC50 values of ROF in HepG2 and HuH7 cells were 373.9 and 288.7 µg/mL at 24 h and 208.9 and 218.0 µg/mL at 48 h, respectively. Moreover, the apoptosis rates of HepG2 and HuH7 cells increased from 6.63% and 6.59% to 17.61% and 21.83% at 24 h and increased from 6.63% and 6.59% to 30.04% and 37.90% at 48 h, respectively. Additionally, ROF induced cell cycle arrest at the S phase in HCC cells. Furthermore, ROF suppressed the tumor growth of HCC cells in vivo without obvious toxicity. Mechanically, ROF facilitated apoptosis by upregulating the expression of PIDD1, CASP8, CASP9, BID, BAX, BIM, and BAK1 in HCC cells. Conclusions: ROF significantly restrains the growth of HCC cells in vitro and in vivo, which could be an effective supplement for HCC therapy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Exploring Natural Products with Antioxidant and Anticancer Properties)
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20 pages, 3257 KiB  
Article
A Reputation-Based Pricing Strategy for Distributed Diverse Entity Systems: Enhancing Market Efficiency Through Real-Time Reputation Updates
by Tong Li, Yuheng Li, Junpeng Gao, Benhua Qian and Hai Zhao
Sustainability 2024, 16(24), 11216; https://doi.org/10.3390/su162411216 - 20 Dec 2024
Viewed by 787
Abstract
Although existing studies address the reduction of default rates by adjusting electricity trading rankings based on reputation values, the mechanisms for penalizing electricity trading defaults remain incomplete. Therefore, this paper proposes a real-time reputation-based pricing method for distributed diverse entity systems to mitigate [...] Read more.
Although existing studies address the reduction of default rates by adjusting electricity trading rankings based on reputation values, the mechanisms for penalizing electricity trading defaults remain incomplete. Therefore, this paper proposes a real-time reputation-based pricing method for distributed diverse entity systems to mitigate electricity trading defaults. First, a reputation reward and penalty mechanism evaluates the trading behavior of diverse entities. Next, a ‘price-dominant, reputation-auxiliary’ pricing concept guides the process. Following this, a reputation-driven pricing strategy model for distributed adjustable resources allows for bid adjustments based on real-time market dynamics. Upon electricity trading completion, the reputation values of all entities are recalculated and disclosed, enabling entities to adjust future pricing and electricity trading quantities to optimize their profits. This method effectively reduces default rates while alleviating the impact of market electricity tradings on peak-to-valley fluctuations. Finally, simulations conducted on the MATLAB 2018b platform confirm the rationality and feasibility of the proposed real-time reputation-based pricing strategy within distributed diverse entity systems. Full article
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17 pages, 367 KiB  
Article
Comparative Analysis of Market Clearing Mechanisms for Peer-to-Peer Energy Market Based on Double Auction
by Kisal Kawshika Gunawardana Hathamune Liyanage and Shama Naz Islam
Energies 2024, 17(22), 5708; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17225708 - 14 Nov 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1421
Abstract
This paper aims to develop an optimisation-based price bid generation mechanism for the sellers and buyers in a double-auction-aided peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading market. With consumers being prosumers through the continuous adoption of distributed energy resources, P2P energy trading models offer a paradigm [...] Read more.
This paper aims to develop an optimisation-based price bid generation mechanism for the sellers and buyers in a double-auction-aided peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading market. With consumers being prosumers through the continuous adoption of distributed energy resources, P2P energy trading models offer a paradigm shift in energy market operation. Thus, it is essential to develop market models and mechanisms that can maximise the incentives for participation in the P2P energy market. In this sense, the proposed approach focuses on maximising profit at the sellers, as well as maximising cost savings at the buyers. The bids generated from the proposed approach are integrated with three different market clearing mechanisms, and the corresponding market clearing prices are compared. A numerical analysis is performed on a real-life dataset from Ausgrid to demonstrate the bids generated from sellers/buyers, as well as the associated market clearing prices throughout different months of the year. It can be observed that the market clearing prices are lower when the solar generation is higher. The statistical analysis demonstrates that all three market clearing mechanisms can achieve a consistent market clearing price within a range of 5 cents/kWh for 50% of the time when trading takes place. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A1: Smart Grids and Microgrids)
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25 pages, 3232 KiB  
Article
A Framework for Distributed Orchestration of Cyber-Physical Systems: An Energy Trading Case Study
by Kostas Siozios
Technologies 2024, 12(11), 229; https://doi.org/10.3390/technologies12110229 - 13 Nov 2024
Viewed by 1963
Abstract
The increasing number of active energy consumers, also known as energy prosumers, is dramatically changing the electricity system. New products and services that adopt the concept of dynamic pricing are available to the market, where demand and price forecasting are applied to determine [...] Read more.
The increasing number of active energy consumers, also known as energy prosumers, is dramatically changing the electricity system. New products and services that adopt the concept of dynamic pricing are available to the market, where demand and price forecasting are applied to determine schedule loads and prices. Throughout this manuscript, a novel framework for energy trading among prosumers is introduced. Rather than solving the problem in a centralized manner, the proposed orchestrator relies on a distributed game theory to determine optimal bids. Experimental results validate the efficiency of proposed solution, since it achieves average energy cost reduction of 2×, as compared to the associated cost from the main grid. Additionally, the hardware implementation of the introduced framework onto a low-cost embedded device achieves near real-time operation with comparable performance to state-of-the-art computational intensive solvers. Full article
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18 pages, 722 KiB  
Article
Multi-Agent Deep Reinforcement Learning for Blockchain-Based Energy Trading in Decentralized Electric Vehicle Charger-Sharing Networks
by Yinjie Han, Jingyi Meng and Zihang Luo
Electronics 2024, 13(21), 4235; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13214235 - 29 Oct 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2526
Abstract
With The integration of renewable energy sources into smart grids and electric vehicle (EV) charger-sharing networks is essential for achieving the goal of environmental sustainability. However, the uneven distribution of distributed energy trading among EVs, fixed charging stations (FCSs), and mobile charging stations [...] Read more.
With The integration of renewable energy sources into smart grids and electric vehicle (EV) charger-sharing networks is essential for achieving the goal of environmental sustainability. However, the uneven distribution of distributed energy trading among EVs, fixed charging stations (FCSs), and mobile charging stations (MCSs) introduces challenges such as inadequate supply at FCSs and prolonged latencies at MCSs. In this paper, we propose a multi-agent deep reinforcement learning (MADRL)-based auction algorithm for energy trading that effectively balances charger supply with energy demand in distributed EV charging markets, while also reducing total charging latency. Specifically, this involves a MADRL-based hierarchical auction that dynamically adapts to real-time conditions, optimizing the balance of supply and demand. During energy trading, each EV, acting as a learning agent, can refine its bidding strategy to participate in various local energy trading markets, thus enhancing both individual utility and global social welfare. Furthermore, we design a cross-chain scheme to securely record and verify transaction results of energy trading in decentralized EV charger-sharing networks to ensure integrity and transparency. Finally, experimental results show that the proposed algorithm significantly outperforms both the second-price and double auctions in increasing global social welfare and reducing total charging latency. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Network Security Management in Heterogeneous Networks)
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20 pages, 2151 KiB  
Article
CAD Sensitization, an Easy Way to Integrate Artificial Intelligence in Shipbuilding
by Arturo Benayas-Ayuso, Rodrigo Perez Fernandez and Francisco Perez-Arribas
Computers 2024, 13(10), 273; https://doi.org/10.3390/computers13100273 - 21 Oct 2024
Viewed by 1627
Abstract
There are two main areas in which the Internet of Ships (IoS) can help: firstly, the production stage, in all its phases, from material bids to manufacture, and secondly, the operation of the ship. Intelligent ship management requires a lot of information, as [...] Read more.
There are two main areas in which the Internet of Ships (IoS) can help: firstly, the production stage, in all its phases, from material bids to manufacture, and secondly, the operation of the ship. Intelligent ship management requires a lot of information, as does the shipbuilding process. In these two phases of the ship’s life cycle, IoS acts as a key to the keyhole. IoS tools include sensors, process information and real-time decision-making, fog computing, or delegated processes in the cloud. The key point to address this challenge is the design phase. Getting the design process right will help in both areas, reducing costs and making agile use of technology to achieve a highly efficient and optimal outcome. But this raises a lot of new questions that need to be addressed: At what stage should we start adding control sensors? Which sensors are best suited to our solution? Is there anything that offers more than simple identification? As we begin the process of answering all these questions, we realize that a Computer Aided Design (CAD) tool, as well as Artificial Intelligence (AI), mixed in a single tool, could significantly help in all these processes. AI combined with specialized CAD tools can enhance the sensitization phases in the shipbuilding process to improve results throughout the ship’s life cycle. This is the base of the framework developed in this paper. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Artificial Intelligence in Industrial IoT Applications)
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23 pages, 3678 KiB  
Article
Study of Two-Stage Economic Optimization Operation of Virtual Power Plants Considering Uncertainty
by Hao Sun, Yanmei Liu, Penglong Qi, Zhi Zhu, Zuoxia Xing and Weining Wu
Energies 2024, 17(16), 3940; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17163940 - 8 Aug 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1676
Abstract
In a highly competitive electricity spot market, virtual power plants (VPPs) that aggregate dispersed resources face various uncertainties during market transactions. These uncertainties directly impact the economic benefits of VPPs. To address the uncertainties in the economic optimization of VPPs, scenario analysis is [...] Read more.
In a highly competitive electricity spot market, virtual power plants (VPPs) that aggregate dispersed resources face various uncertainties during market transactions. These uncertainties directly impact the economic benefits of VPPs. To address the uncertainties in the economic optimization of VPPs, scenario analysis is employed to transform the uncertainties of wind turbines (WTs), photovoltaic (PV) system outputs, and electricity prices into deterministic problems. The objective is to maximize the VPP’s profits in day-ahead and intra-day markets (real-time balancing market) by constructing an economic optimization decision model based on two-stage stochastic programming. Gas turbines and electric vehicles (EVs) are scheduled and traded in the day-ahead market, while flexible energy storage systems (ESS) are deployed in the real-time balancing market. Based on simulation analysis, under the uncertainty of WTs and PV system outputs, as well as electricity prices, the proposed model demonstrates that orderly charging of EVs in the day-ahead stage can increase the revenue of the VPP by 6.1%. Additionally, since the ESS can adjust the deviations in day-ahead bid output during the intra-day stage, the day-ahead bidding strategy becomes more proactive, resulting in an additional 3.1% increase in the VPP revenue. Overall, this model can enhance the total revenue of the VPP by 9.2%. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section C: Energy Economics and Policy)
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16 pages, 5166 KiB  
Article
Optimal Bidding Scheduling of Virtual Power Plants Using a Dual-MILP (Mixed-Integer Linear Programming) Approach under a Real-Time Energy Market
by Seung-Jin Yoon, Kyung-Sang Ryu, Chansoo Kim, Yang-Hyun Nam, Dae-Jin Kim and Byungki Kim
Energies 2024, 17(15), 3773; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17153773 - 31 Jul 2024
Viewed by 1651
Abstract
In recent years, the energy industry has increased the proportion of renewable energy sources, which are sustainable and carbon-free. However, the increase in renewable energy sources has led to grid instability due to factors such as the intermittent power generation of renewable sources, [...] Read more.
In recent years, the energy industry has increased the proportion of renewable energy sources, which are sustainable and carbon-free. However, the increase in renewable energy sources has led to grid instability due to factors such as the intermittent power generation of renewable sources, forecasting inaccuracies, and the lack of metering for small-scale power sources. Various studies have been carried out to address these issues. Among these, research on Virtual Power Plants (VPP) has focused on integrating unmanaged renewable energy sources into a unified system to improve their visibility. This research is now being applied in the energy trading market. However, the purpose of VPP aggregators has been to maximize profits. As a result, they have not considered the impact on distribution networks and have bid all available distributed resources into the energy market. While this approach has increased the visibility of renewables, an additional method is needed to deal with the grid instability caused by the increase in renewables. Consequently, grid operators have tried to address these issues by diversifying the energy market. As regulatory method, they have introduced real-time energy markets, imbalance penalty fees, and limitations on the output of distributed energy resources (DERs), in addition to the existing day-ahead market. In response, this paper proposes an optimal scheduling method for VPP aggregators that adapts to the diversifying energy market and enhances the operational benefits of VPPs by using two Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) models. The validity of the proposed model and algorithm is verified through a case study analysis. Full article
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27 pages, 4552 KiB  
Article
Heterogeneous Multi-UAV Mission Reallocation Based on Improved Consensus-Based Bundle Algorithm
by Wenhao Bi, Junyi Shen, Jiuli Zhou and An Zhang
Drones 2024, 8(8), 345; https://doi.org/10.3390/drones8080345 - 25 Jul 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1671
Abstract
In dynamic complex environments, it is inevitable for UAVs to be damaged due to their confrontational nature. The challenge to minimize the adverse effects of the damage and reallocate the mission is vital for achieving the operational goal. This paper proposes a distributed [...] Read more.
In dynamic complex environments, it is inevitable for UAVs to be damaged due to their confrontational nature. The challenge to minimize the adverse effects of the damage and reallocate the mission is vital for achieving the operational goal. This paper proposes a distributed Multi-UAV mission reallocation method in the case of UAV damage based on the improved consensus-based bundle algorithm (CBBA). Firstly, a dynamic optimization model for Multi-UAV mission reallocation is established based on an improved resource update model. Secondly, a distributed damage inspection method based on the heartbeat hold mechanism is proposed for real-time monitoring of UAV conditions, which could enable the rapid response to UAV damage events. Furthermore, the CBBA is improved by introducing a timeliness parameter to adjust the bidding strategy and optimizing the mission selection strategy based on the time-order priority insertion principle to generate mission reallocation plans quickly. Through numerical examples, the results show that the proposed method can effectively reallocate Multi-UAV missions under damage events and has superior performance compared with original the CBBA, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm, and the performance impact (PI) algorithm. The proposed method has a faster solving speed, while the obtained solution has higher mission reallocation effectiveness. Full article
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21 pages, 2509 KiB  
Article
Mapping the Wholesale Day-Ahead Market Effects of the Gas Subsidy in the Iberian Exception
by Carlos González-de Miguel, Lucas van Wunnik and Andreas Sumper
Energies 2024, 17(13), 3102; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17133102 - 24 Jun 2024
Viewed by 1411
Abstract
Amidst the global energy crisis in 2022, the Spanish and Portuguese governments introduced a subsidy to natural gas (“the Iberian exception”), attempting to lower the wholesale electricity market prices, with the understanding that gas-fired-combined cycle gas turbines (CCGTs) are price-setting technologies most of [...] Read more.
Amidst the global energy crisis in 2022, the Spanish and Portuguese governments introduced a subsidy to natural gas (“the Iberian exception”), attempting to lower the wholesale electricity market prices, with the understanding that gas-fired-combined cycle gas turbines (CCGTs) are price-setting technologies most of the time, directly or indirectly. The subsidy succeeded in lowering the market price but induced several other effects, such as (1) the increase in cleared energy in the Spanish market (mostly produced with gas), (2) the bias in the import/export cross-border position between Spain and France (Spain became a net exporter to France immediately), or (3) the consequent increase in congestion rents, which serve to lightly finance the subsidy, among other effects. This paper provides a framework for clustering the different effects based on the market participation phases: the subsidy, the market bidding, the market results, and surplus and rents. Moreover, this paper builds on the theoretical market models, with and without subsidies, and with and without cross-border exchanges. Based on the real market bids, the subsidies, and the generators’ data, we reconstruct the supply and demand curves and simulate the counterfactual market scenarios in order to illustrate and quantify the effects. We highlight the quantification of the theoretical effect of the transfer of rents, from non-fossil to fossil fuel producers, induced by the gas subsidy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section D: Energy Storage and Application)
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23 pages, 1966 KiB  
Article
Imagine and Imitate: Cost-Effective Bidding under Partially Observable Price Landscapes
by Xiaotong Luo, Yongjian Chen, Shengda Zhuo, Jie Lu, Ziyang Chen, Lichun Li, Jingyan Tian, Xiaotong Ye and Yin Tang
Big Data Cogn. Comput. 2024, 8(5), 46; https://doi.org/10.3390/bdcc8050046 - 28 Apr 2024
Viewed by 2064
Abstract
Real-time bidding has become a major means for online advertisement exchange. The goal of a real-time bidding strategy is to maximize the benefits for stakeholders, e.g., click-through rates or conversion rates. However, in practise, the optimal bidding strategy for real-time bidding is constrained [...] Read more.
Real-time bidding has become a major means for online advertisement exchange. The goal of a real-time bidding strategy is to maximize the benefits for stakeholders, e.g., click-through rates or conversion rates. However, in practise, the optimal bidding strategy for real-time bidding is constrained by at least three aspects: cost-effectiveness, the dynamic nature of market prices, and the issue of missing bidding values. To address these challenges, we propose Imagine and Imitate Bidding (IIBidder), which includes Strategy Imitation and Imagination modules, to generate cost-effective bidding strategies under partially observable price landscapes. Experimental results on the iPinYou and YOYI datasets demonstrate that IIBidder reduces investment costs, optimizes bidding strategies, and improves future market price predictions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Business Intelligence and Big Data in E-commerce)
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16 pages, 707 KiB  
Article
Cost-Optimal Aggregated Electric Vehicle Flexibility for Demand Response Market Participation by Workplace Electric Vehicle Charging Aggregators
by Yi-An Chen, Wente Zeng, Adil Khurram and Jan Kleissl
Energies 2024, 17(7), 1745; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17071745 - 5 Apr 2024
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 2189
Abstract
In recent years, with the growing number of EV charging stations integrated into the grid, optimizing the aggregated EV load based on individual EV flexibility has drawn aggregators’ attention as a way to regulate the grid and provide grid services, such as day-ahead [...] Read more.
In recent years, with the growing number of EV charging stations integrated into the grid, optimizing the aggregated EV load based on individual EV flexibility has drawn aggregators’ attention as a way to regulate the grid and provide grid services, such as day-ahead (DA) demand responses. Due to the forecast uncertainty of EV charging timings and charging energy demands, the actual delivered demand response is usually different from the DA bidding capacity, making it difficult for aggregators to profit from the energy market. This paper presents a two-layer online feedback control algorithm that exploits the EV flexibility with controlled EV charging timings and energy demands. Firstly, the offline model optimizes the EV dispatch considering demand charge management and energy market participation, and secondly, model predictive control is used in the online feedback model, which exploits the aggregated EV flexibility region by reducing the charging energy based on the pre-decided service level for demand response in real time (RT). The proposed algorithm is tested with one year of data for 51 EVs at a workplace charging site. The results show that with a 20% service level reduction in December 2022, the aggregated EV flexibility can be used to compensate for the cost of EV forecast errors and benefit from day-ahead energy market participation by USD 217. The proposed algorithm is proven to be economically practical and profitable. Full article
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