Search Results (22)

Background/Objectives: Non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality, particularly in emergency department (ED) settings. While traditional clinical scores such as the Glasgow-Blatchford Score (GBS), AIMS65, and Pre-Endoscopic Rockall are widely used for risk stratification, their accuracy in mortality prediction is limited. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of multiple supervised machine learning (ML) models in predicting 30-day all-cause mortality in NVUGIB and to compare these models with established risk scores. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 1233 adult patients with NVUGIB who presented to the ED of a tertiary center between January 2022 and January 2025. Clinical and laboratory data were extracted from electronic records. Seven supervised ML algorithms—logistic regression, ridge regression, support vector machine, random forest, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), naïve Bayes, and artificial neural networks—were trained using six feature selection techniques generating 42 distinct models. Performance was assessed using AUROC, F1-score, sensitivity, specificity, and calibration metrics. Traditional scores (GBS, AIMS65, Rockall) were evaluated in parallel. Results: Among the cohort, 96 patients (7.8%) died within 30 days. The best-performing ML model (XGBoost with univariate feature selection) achieved an AUROC > 0.80 and F1-score of 0.909, significantly outperforming all traditional scores (highest AUROC: Rockall, 0.743; p < 0.001). ML models demonstrated higher sensitivity and specificity, with improved calibration. Key predictors consistently included age, comorbidities, hemodynamic parameters, and laboratory markers. The best-performing ML models demonstrated very high apparent AUROC values (up to 0.999 in internal analysis), substantially exceeding conventional scores. These results should be interpreted as apparent performance estimates, likely optimistic in the absence of external validation. Conclusions: While machine-learning models showed markedly higher apparent discrimination than conventional scores, these findings are based on a single-center retrospective dataset and require external multicenter validation before clinical implementation. Full article

Background: Non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) remains a critical medical–surgical emergency associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare burden worldwide. Despite advances in diagnostic and therapeutic modalities, NVUGIB continues to pose complex clinical challenges, particularly in resource-limited settings. Methods: This retrospective observational study analyzed 364 consecutive adult patients diagnosed with NVUGIB and hospitalized at the First Surgical Clinic of the County Emergency Clinical Hospital Craiova between January 2009 and December 2014. Inclusion criteria required a confirmed diagnosis based on clinical presentation, laboratory findings, and upper gastrointestinal endoscopy (UGIE). Demographic variables, etiology, comorbidities, drug-induced triggers, laboratory parameters, onset-to-admission and onset-to-surgery intervals, endoscopic findings, therapeutic interventions (medical, endoscopic, surgical), rebleeding rates, and mortality were recorded and analyzed. Results were descriptively compared with historical data from the national and international literature. Due to the retrospective and aggregate nature of the data, survival analysis (Kaplan–Meier) was not applicable. Results: Peptic ulcers, erosive gastritis, Mallory–Weiss syndrome, and gastric neoplasms were the predominant etiologies. NSAID use, oral anticoagulation, and alcohol consumption emerged as major risk factors. Endoscopic hemostasis was achieved in the majority of cases; surgical intervention was required in 11.5% of patients, mainly for refractory or recurrent bleeding. The overall mortality rate was 10.9%, consistent with historical benchmarks. Comparative analysis revealed trends in etiology and management reflecting evolving clinical practice standards. Conclusions: NVUGIB remains a significant clinical challenge with persistent mortality and rebleeding risks. This cohort highlights the need for timely diagnosis, risk stratification, and an evidence-based therapeutic strategy integrating modern endoscopic and surgical options. An updated diagnostic and management algorithm is proposed to guide practical decision-making and optimize outcomes in similar tertiary care settings. Full article

(1) Background: Acute variceal bleeding (AVB) represents an important cause of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). Several prognostic scores may be useful for assessing mortality and rebleeding risk, with the Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS) and Rockall score being the most commonly used for non-variceal bleeding. Scores assessing liver failure (MELD and Child) do not reflect bleeding severity. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) increases in UGIB and can predict survival and rebleeding. (2) Methods: We analyzed the predictive role of NLR, GBS, Rockall, AIMS65, Child, and MELD for mortality (48 h, 5-day, in-hospital, and 6-week) and rebleeding in AVB patients admitted to our hospital from 2017 to 2021. ROC analysis was performed, and a multivariate analysis with logistic regression was used to construct a simplified model. (3) Results: A total of 415 patients were admitted. NLR exhibited fair accuracy for 48-h mortality (AUC 0.718, 95% CI 0.597–0.839, p < 0.0001), with limited predictive value for medium-term mortality. The NLR accuracy was better than that of the GBS and Rockall score, similar to that of the AIMS65 and Child scores, but inferior to that of MELD. The value for all scores in predicting rebleeding was poor, with the highest AUC for the NLR. (4) Conclusions: The NLR exhibited reasonable accuracy in predicting short-term mortality in AVB. Our model (including NLR, age, creatinine, bilirubin, albumin, INR, platelet count, HCC, and etiology) demonstrated 80.72% accuracy in predicting 6-week mortality. Full article

Background and Aims: Non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) is a common cause of hospitalizations, with proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) being the mainstay treatment. However, there is a lack of high-level evidence to show if adjunctive medical therapy (somatostatin and its analogs) can improve outcomes. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to evaluate the outcomes of PPIs with adjunctive therapy versus PPI monotherapy in treating NVUGIB in an in-patient setting. Methods: Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) checklist, major databases were systematically searched to retrieve English-only, original studies, published from 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2023, investigating NVUGIB only. The primary outcomes included the mortality rate within 7 days of therapy, rebleeding rate within 7 days of therapy, and length of hospital stay. Results: Seven studies with 789 patients had a pooled mortality rate of 2.0% (95% CI, 0–4.0%), and the pooled risk ratio was 1.11 (95% CI, 0.50–2.48; p = 0.79) between PPI monotherapy and PPIs with adjunctive medical therapy. The pooled rebleeding rate was 13% (95% CI, 6–20%) and the risk ratio was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.73–1.48; p = 0.83). The pooled average length of stay in the hospital was 5.47 days (95% CI, 3.72–7.21 days), with insignificant weighted differences between the two groups. No statistically significant differences were noted in surgical management risk ratios or amount of blood transfusion. Conclusions: Among patients with NVUGIB, adjunctive medical therapy offered no clinical benefits given the statistically insignificant differences in the primary outcomes. However, this conclusion is limited by the considerable variability in treatment protocols, weak control of confounding variables, and missing clinical information in the original studies. Therefore, better-quality, large-scale randomized controlled trials are needed, ideally using standardized somatostatin dosing, timing, delivery routes, and clearly defined inclusion criteria to more accurately evaluate the role of somatostatin in NVUGIB management. Full article

Background and Clinical Significance: Acute esophageal necrosis (AEN), or black esophagus, is an extraordinary rare source of acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Its pathogenesis is still poorly understood, whereas etiology seems to be multifactorial, mainly involving esophageal ischemia, increased acid reflux, and reduced mucosal defenses. Although alcohol abuse has been reported to be a common trigger factor, only one case of AEN due to severe alcoholic lactic acidosis has been described up to date. Case Presentation: Herein, we describe a case of a non-cirrhotic 61-year-old lady with a history of chronic alcohol abuse, who was admitted to the Emergency Room due to upper gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding. AEN caused by severe alcoholic lactic acidosis was promptly diagnosed by subsequent investigations, including blood test, urinalysis, computed tomography, and upper GI endoscopy. The treatment involved a multidisciplinary, aggressive medical approach, which included one hemodialysis session. Conclusions: This is the second documented case of AEN secondary to alcoholic lactic acidosis, successfully treated with a previously unreported aggressive multidisciplinary approach, involving one hemodialysis session. It highlights the value of a multidisciplinary approach in managing such complex and rare conditions. Full article

Introduction: Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is among the most common causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide, accounting for major resource allocation and increasing incidence. This study aimed to evaluate the severity of non-variceal bleeding in patients at risk of bleeding through the use of NSAIDs, oral anticoagulants, and antiplatelet therapy. Material and Method: The study included 296 patients admitted in the Gastroenterology Department of the Municipal County Emergency University Hospital, Timisoara, between 01.01.2018 and 01.04.2020, and diagnosed via gastroscopy with non-variceal gastrointestinal bleeding. The patients were divided among four groups based on their use of different drugs known to induce UGIB, i.e., aspirin and clopidogrel, NOACs, NSAIDs, and anti-vitamin K drugs, respectively. Statistical analyses were performed based on ANOVA one-way tests for continuous variables and Chi-square tests for categorical variables with pairwise comparisons based on Bonferroni adjusted significance tests. Results: The results showed several parameters having statistical significance among the different groups of patients. Patients on NOACs had statistically significant lower hemoglobin levels, lower hematocrit values, lower erythrocytes, lower RDW and higher fibrinogen levels compared to patients on VKA. Discussion: Surprisingly, the results from our study suggest that the use of NOACs was associated with a higher risk of bleeding when compared to VKA, which differs from the existing literature. Conclusions: One of the important factors causing upper non-variceal bleeding can be iatrogenic, either due to antiplatelet drugs or anticoagulants, to which NSAID treatment is additionally associated for various reasons. In our study, the use of NOACs seemed to have a more severe bleeding spectrum with higher morbidity compared to VKA. Full article

(1) Background: The current study examined the correlations between platelet count (PC), spleen diameter (SD), and their ratio to establish a non-invasive technique for predicting the presence of oesophageal varices in cirrhotic patients. (2) Methods: The current study was an observational study conducted in the Gastroenterology Department at IMS and SUM Hospital from November 2019 to November 2021. Consecutive cirrhotic patients without a history of gastrointestinal bleeding were enrolled in the study, and the esophageal varices were assessed. The patients underwent the necessary tests, including upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, liver function testing, abdominal ultrasonography, and full hemograms. All these parameters were analyzed statistically through SPSS version 23, and p ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant. (3) Results: There were significant differences between cases with and without esophageal varices in the following parameters: PC, SD and their ratio, hemoglobin, and ALT level. The PC/SD ratio of ≤ 1400 was associated with a sensitivity of 90.9%, specificity of 80.8%, and a positive predictive value of 82.56% in predicting the presence of oesophageal varices, as per receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis in our study. (4) Conclusions: Esophageal varices can be predicted non-invasively using the platelet count, spleen diameter, and PC/SD ratio. Full article

Background: Acute esophageal variceal bleeding accounts for up to 70% of upper-gastrointestinal bleeding in cirrhotic patients. About 10–20% of patients with acute variceal bleeding have refractory bleeding that is not controlled by medical or endoscopic therapy, and this condition can be life-threatening. Balloon tamponade is a long-standing therapy which is only effective temporarily and has several complications, while transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) and liver transplantation may not be readily available at some centers. The use of self-expandable metal stents (SEMSs) in refractory esophageal variceal bleeding has been studied for effectiveness and adverse events and has been recommended for use as a bridge to a more definitive treatment. Aim: To investigate the effectiveness and safety of SEMSs in managing refractory variceal bleeding. Methods: A systematic search of the MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane library databases was performed from inception to October 2022 using the following terms: “esophageal stent”, “self-expandable metal stents”, “endoscopic hemostasis”, “refractory esophageal varices”, and “esophageal variceal bleeding”. Studies were included in the meta-analysis if they met the following criteria: (1) patients’ age older than 18 and (2) a study (or case series) that has at least 10 patients in the study. Exclusion criteria included (1) non-English publications, (2) in case of overlapping cohorts, data from the most recent and/or most appropriate comprehensive report were collected. DerSimonian–Laird random-effects meta-analysis was performed using the meta package in R statistical software(version 4.2.2). Results: Twelve studies involving 225 patients with 228 stents were included in the analyses. The mean age and/or median age ranged from 49.4 to 69 years, with a male-to-female ratio of 4.4 to 1. The median follow-up period was 42 days. The mean SEMS dwell time was 9.4 days. The most common cause of acute refractory variceal bleeding in chronic liver disease patients included alcohol use followed by viral hepatitis. The pooled rate of immediate bleeding control was 91% (95% CI 82–95%, I² = 0). The pooled rate of rebleeding was 17% (95% CI 8–32%, I² = 69). The pooled rate of stent ulceration was 7% (95% CI 3–13%, I² = 0), and the pooled rate of stent migration was 18% (95% CI 9–32%, I² = 38). The pooled rate of all-cause mortality was 38% (95% CI 30–47%, I² = 34). Conclusions: SEMSs should be primarily considered as salvage therapy when endoscopic band ligation and sclerotherapy fail and can be used as a bridge to emergent TIPS or definitive therapy, such as liver transplantation. Full article

Background: Patients undergoing dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) may experience recurrent gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB). We investigated the clinical characteristics and risk factors for recurrent non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in patients who had experienced NVUGIB while receiving DAPT. Methods: We enrolled patients diagnosed with NVUGIB while receiving DAPT between 2006 and 2020. Definite bleeding was confirmed by esophagogastroduodenoscopy in all NVUGIB patients. Results: A total of 124 patients were diagnosed with NVUGIB while receiving DAPT. They were predominantly male (n = 103, 83.1%), bleeding mostly from the stomach (n = 94, 75.8%) and had peptic ulcers (n = 72, 58.1%). After the successful hemostasis of NVUGIB, 36 patients (29.0%) experienced at least one episode of recurrent upper GIB, 19 patients (15.3%) died, and 7 (5.6%) patients had a bleeding-related death. Multivariate analysis showed that age was a significant factor for re-bleeding (odds ratio [OR], 1.050; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.001–1.102; p-value: 0.047), all-cause mortality (OR, 1.096; 95% CI: 1.020–1.178, p = 0.013), and re-bleeding-related mortality (OR, 1.187; 95% CI: 1.032–1.364, p-value: 0.016). In Kaplan–Meier analysis, the cumulative probabilities of re-bleeding, death, and bleeding-related death were significantly higher in patients aged 70 and older (p = 0.008, <0.001, and 0.009, respectively). Conclusions: Clinicians should be cautious about re-bleeding and mortality in elderly patients who experience NVUGIB while receiving DAPT. Full article

Postoperative non variceal upper gastrointestinal haemorrhage may occur early or late and affect a variable percentage of patients—up to about 2%. Most cases of intraluminal bleeding are an indication for urgent Esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) and require endoscopic haemostatic treatment. In addition to the approach usually adopted in non-variceal upper haemorrhages, these cases may be burdened with difficulties in terms of anastomotic tissue, angled positions, and the risk of further complications. There is also extreme variability related to the type of surgery performed, in the context of oncological disease or bariatric surgery. At the same time, the world of haemostatic devices available in digestive endoscopy is increasing, meeting high efficacy rates and attempting to treat even the most complex cases. Our narrative review summarises the current evidence in terms of different approaches to endoscopic haemostasis in upper bleeding in altered anatomy after surgery, proposing an up-to-date guidance for endoscopic clinicians and at the same time, highlighting areas of future scientific research. Full article

Background: Non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) is a common medical problem worldwide. Independent endoscopic risk factors for rebleeding and mortality of NVUGIB that are treatable are stigmata of recent hemorrhage (SRH) and arterial blood flow underneath SRH. The specific aims of this paper are to describe the importance of arterial blood flow detection for risk stratification and as a guide to definitive hemostasis of severe NVUGIB. Methods: This is a review of randomized controlled trials and prospective cohort study methodologies and results which utilized a Doppler endoscopic probe (DEP) for the detection of arterial blood underneath SRH, for risk stratification, and as a guide to definitive hemostasis. The results are compared to visually guided hemostasis based upon SRH. Results: Although SRH have been utilized to guide endoscopic hemostasis of NVUGIB for 50 years, when most visually guided treatments are applied to lesions with major SRH, arterial blood flow underneath SRH is not obliterated in 25–30% of patients and results in rebleeding. Definitive hemostasis, significantly lower rebleeding rates, and improvements in other clinical outcomes resulted when DEP was used for risk stratification and as a guide to obliteration of arterial blood flow underneath SRH. Conclusions: DEP-guided endoscopic hemostasis is a very effective and safe new method to improve patient outcomes for NVUGIB. Full article

Background: High-dose proton pump inhibitor (PPI) therapy, given either intermittently or continuously for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NV-UGIB), is efficacious. Using intermittent PPI for low-risk patients may be cost-saving. Our objective was to estimate the annual cost savings if all low-risk NV-UGIB patients received intermittent PPI therapy. Methods: Patients who presented to hospital in Calgary, Alberta, who received a PPI for NV-UGIB from July 2015 to March 2017 were identified using ICD-10 codes. Patients were stratified into no endoscopy, high-risk, and low-risk lesion groups and further subdivided into no PPI, oral PPI, intermittent intravenous (IV), and continuous IV subgroups. Average length of stay (LOS) in each subgroup and costs were calculated. Results: We identified 4141 patients with NV-UGIBs, (median age 61, 57.4% male). One-thousand two-hundred and thirty-one low-risk patients received continuous IV PPI, with an average LOS of 6.8 days (95% CI 6.2–7.3) versus 4.9 days (95% CI 3.9–5.9) for intermittent IV patients. If continuous IV PPI patients instead received intermittent IV PPI, 3852 patient days and CAD 11,714,390 (2017 CAD)/year could be saved. Conclusions: Using real-world administrative data, we demonstrate that a sizable portion of low-risk patients with NV-UGIB who were given continuous IV PPI if switched to intermittent IV therapy could generate significant potential cost savings. Full article

Upper gastrointestinal bleeding is a common medical emergency. Thorough initial assessment and appropriate resuscitation are essential to stabilise the patient. Risk scores provide an important tool to discriminate between lower- and higher-risk patients. Very low-risk patients can be safely discharged for out-patient management, while higher-risk patients can receive appropriate in-patient care. The Glasgow Blatchford Score, with a score of 0–1, performs best in the identification of very low-risk patients who will not require hospital based intervention or die, and is recommended by most guidelines to facilitate safe out-patient management. The performance of risk scores in the identification of specific adverse events to define high-risk patients is less accurate, with no individual score performing consistently well. Ongoing developments in the use of machine learning models and artificial intelligence in predicting poor outcomes in UGIB appear promising and will likely form the basis of dynamic risk assessment in the future. Full article

Introduction: Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding is a health, political, and economic problem of concern worldwide. The causes of overcrowding are an aging population, an increase in chronic diseases, a lack of access to primary care, and a lack of resources in communities. Overcrowding has been associated with an increased risk of mortality. The establishment of a Short Stay Unit (SSU) for conditions that cannot be treated at home but require treatment and hospitalization for up to 72 h may be a solution. SSU can significantly reduce hospital length of stay (LOS) for certain conditions but does not appear to be useful for other diseases. Currently, there are no studies addressing the efficacy of SSU in the treatment of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB). Our study aims to evaluate the efficacy of SSU in reducing the need for hospitalization, LOS, hospital readmission, and mortality in patients with NVUGIB compared with admission to the regular ward. Materials and Methods: This was a retrospective, single-center observational study. Medical records of patients presenting with NVUGIB to ED between 1 April 2021, and 30 September 2022, were analyzed. We included patients aged >18 years who presented to ED with acute upper gastrointestinal tract blood loss. The test population was divided into two groups: Patients admitted to a normal inpatient ward (control) and patients treated at SSU (intervention). Clinical and medical history data were collected for both groups. The hospital LOS was the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes were time to endoscopy, number of blood units transfused, readmission to the hospital at 30 days, and in-hospital mortality. Results: The analysis included 120 patients with a mean age of 70 years, 54% of whom were men. Sixty patients were admitted to SSU. Patients admitted to the medical ward had a higher mean age. The Glasgow-Blatchford score, used to assess bleeding risk, mortality, and hospital readmission were similar in the study groups. Multivariate analysis after adjustment for confounders found that the only factor independently associated with shorter LOS was admission to SSU (p < 0.0001). Admission to SSU was also independently and significantly associated with a shorter time to endoscopy (p < 0.001). The only other factor associated with a shorter time to EGDS was creatinine level (p = 0.05), while home treatment with PPI was associated with a longer time to endoscopy. LOS, time to endoscopy, number of patients requiring transfusion, and number of units of blood transfused were significantly lower in patients admitted to SSU than in the control group. Conclusions: The results of the study show that treatment of NVUGIB in SSU can significantly reduce the time required for endoscopy, the hospital LOS, and the number of transfused blood units without increasing mortality and hospital readmission. Treatment of NVUGIB at SSU may therefore help to reduce ED overcrowding but multicenter randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm these data Full article

(1) Background: The assessment of mortality and rebleeding rate in upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is essential, and several prognostic scores have been proposed. Some patients with UGIB did not undergo endoscopy, either because they refused the procedure, suffered from alcohol withdrawal symptoms or altered general status, or because the bleeding was severe enough to cause death before the endoscopy. The mortality risk in the subgroup of patients without endoscopy is poorly evaluated in the literature. (2) Methods: The purpose of the study was to identify the most useful scores for the assessment of in-hospital mortality in patients with UGIB with no endoscopy performed and no known etiology. A total of 198 patients with UGIB and no endoscopy performed were admitted between January 2017 and December 2021 and the accuracy of 12 prognostic scores and the Charlson comorbidity index for in-hospital mortality prediction were analyzed, as well as Child–Pugh Turcotte (CPT) and Meld scores in patients with cirrhosis. (3) Results: The mortality rate was 37.9%, higher than in variceal (21.9%, p < 0.0001) and non-variceal bleeding (7.4%, p < 0.0001). The most accurate scores by AUC were the International Bleeding score (INBS, 0.844), Glasgow Blatchford (0.783), MAP score (0.78), Iino (0.766), AIM65 and modified N-score (0.745 each), modified Glasgow-Blatchford (0.73), H3B2 and N-score (0.701); Rockall, Baylor, and T-score had an AUC below 0.7. MELD score was superior to CPT in patients with cirrhosis (AUC 0.811 versus 0.670). (4) Conclusions: The mortality rate in UGIB with no endoscopy was higher than in both variceal and non-variceal bleeding and was higher in the pandemic period but with no statistical significance (45.3% versus 32.14%, p = 0.0586), mainly because of positive cases. Only one case of rebleeding was noted; the hospitalization period was significantly shorter. The most accurate score was International Bleeding Score; the MELD score had a higher but moderate accuracy compared with CPT in patients with cirrhosis. Full article