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Keywords = metaheuristic regression approaches

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35 pages, 7572 KB  
Article
Early Screening of Sleep-Disordered Breathing Using Metaheuristic-Optimized Extreme Learning Machines
by Thaer Thaher, Alaa Sheta, Huthaifa I. Ashqar, Hamouda Chantar and Salim Surani
Diagnostics 2026, 16(13), 2050; https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16132050 - 30 Jun 2026
Viewed by 100
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a common and serious sleep-related disorder that causes repeated interruptions in breathing during sleep. Traditional diagnostic methods, such as polysomnography, are accurate but costly, time-consuming, and unsuitable for large-scale screening. This study proposes and evaluates a [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a common and serious sleep-related disorder that causes repeated interruptions in breathing during sleep. Traditional diagnostic methods, such as polysomnography, are accurate but costly, time-consuming, and unsuitable for large-scale screening. This study proposes and evaluates a lightweight diagnostic framework based on an Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) optimized by a set of basic and advanced metaheuristic optimizers. The model aims to evaluate whether metaheuristic optimization can improve ELM-based classification performance using structured demographic, clinical, and sleep-related predictors. Methods: Two real datasets were employed to train and evaluate the proposed framework: (i) a clinical OSA dataset with 274 subjects and 31 demographic/anthropometric and sleep-related predictors, and (ii) a public strongly imbalanced Sleep-Disordered Breathing (SDB) dataset with 500 subjects and 10 structured predictors. Metaheuristic algorithms are used to optimize ELM weights and biases, addressing the instability of random initialization and improving model generalization. The optimized models are evaluated against eight baseline classifiers, including logistic regression (LR), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), multilayer perceptron (MLP), XGBoost (XGB), and a standard ELM classifier. Results: Results show that metaheuristic optimization moderately improves ELM on the OSA dataset, increasing ROC-AUC from 0.6527 to about 0.73 and accuracy from 0.6573 to about 0.69–0.70, while on the highly imbalanced SDB dataset, it yields modest ROC-AUC gains (from 0.5132 to about 0.544–0.548) with small decreases in accuracy and F1-score. We additionally assess class-imbalance handling on the SDB dataset and analyze feature importance with permutation importance and SHAP, which shows the models rely heavily on diagnosis-derived predictors. Conclusions: The proposed framework provides a lightweight ELM-based decision-support approach with low inference cost after offline optimization. The results suggest potential value for screening-oriented OSA/SDB classification, but further validation with larger cohorts and a screening-only feature set is needed before clinical implementation. Full article
30 pages, 2962 KB  
Review
Review of Geosynthetic Encased Stone Columns for Mechanisms Modeling and Machine Learning Applications
by Mohamed Abdellatief, Ayman ELtahrany and Amr ElNemr
J. Exp. Theor. Anal. 2026, 4(2), 22; https://doi.org/10.3390/jeta4020022 - 18 Jun 2026
Viewed by 225
Abstract
Ground improvement for foundations supported on soft soils is traditionally problematic because of low bearing capacity and a large magnitude of settlement. One sustainable method for mitigating these problems is the use of stone columns (SCs), particularly geosynthetic-encased stone columns (GESCs), to improve [...] Read more.
Ground improvement for foundations supported on soft soils is traditionally problematic because of low bearing capacity and a large magnitude of settlement. One sustainable method for mitigating these problems is the use of stone columns (SCs), particularly geosynthetic-encased stone columns (GESCs), to improve load transfer, confinement, and consolidation. This review critically synthesizes recent advances in the analysis and design of SC systems using experimental investigations, numerical simulations, and machine learning (ML)-based methodologies. The article indicates that GESCs, when integrated with modern data-driven techniques, especially hybrid metaheuristic ML models, represent a reliable and sustainable solution for soft soil stabilization. Traditional analytical and empirical methods remain useful; however, they are often inadequate for very soft soils (Undrained shear strength (cu) < 15 kPa), where excessive bulging and large deformations dominate system behavior. Consequently, intelligent hybrid modeling approaches are emerging as the next generation of optimized, data-driven design tools in geotechnical engineering. Different failure mechanisms of SCs, including bulging, punching shear, and general shear failure, are critically discussed along with the governing design parameters. Previous studies consistently indicate that spacing ratios within the range of s/D = 2–3 can improve the bearing capacity ratio (BCR) by approximately 50–100%. Numerical and experimental studies further demonstrate that SC systems can transfer nearly 60–80% of the applied load through stress concentration and soil arching mechanisms. Furthermore, the application of geosynthetic encasement enhances the performance of SCs in very soft soils by increasing confinement, reducing lateral deformation, and enhancing bearing capacity by nearly 3–6 times compared with ordinary SCs. The review also evaluates the growing role of artificial intelligence techniques in forecasting settlement and bearing capacity behavior. ML techniques such as artificial neural networks (ANN), support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), XGBoost, and hybrid metaheuristic–ML models have shown high predictive capability, often achieving prediction errors below 5%. Despite these advancements, many existing ML studies still suffer from limited datasets, a lack of generalization, and insufficient incorporation of physical mechanisms. Full article
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30 pages, 3430 KB  
Article
Intelligent Diabetes Prediction System Based on Hybrid PSO-GWO Feature Selection and Optimized Machine Learning
by Amine Ziane, Houda El Bouhissi and Thomas Hanne
Information 2026, 17(6), 533; https://doi.org/10.3390/info17060533 - 29 May 2026
Viewed by 424
Abstract
Diabetes mellitus is a highly prevalent chronic disease; early diagnosis reduces severe complications. This work presents a diabetes prediction pipeline that combines metaheuristic feature selection with machine learning classification. We propose a hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization and Grey Wolf Optimizer (PSO-GWO) with alternating [...] Read more.
Diabetes mellitus is a highly prevalent chronic disease; early diagnosis reduces severe complications. This work presents a diabetes prediction pipeline that combines metaheuristic feature selection with machine learning classification. We propose a hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization and Grey Wolf Optimizer (PSO-GWO) with alternating collaboration and an adaptive fitness function that adjusts to class balance, sample size, and dimensionality. Selected features are evaluated with random forest (primary), support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors, and logistic regression. The approach is assessed on three clinical datasets (Pima Indians, Frankfurt Hospital, Iraq) using stratified five-fold cross-validation. At the feature selection stage, the hybrid selector reaches 83.36% mean cross-validation accuracy while retaining about 74% of features on average. At the final classification stage, after random forest hyperparameter optimization on the selected features, the optimized random forest achieves 84.74% mean accuracy. Feature count is reduced by about 26% on average without loss of performance, improving interpretability and prospects for clinical use. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Artificial Intelligence and Decision Support Systems)
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30 pages, 1617 KB  
Article
ESIPO Methodology: An Ensemble Deep Learning and Metaheuristic Strategies for Stock Forecasting and Investment Portfolio Optimization
by Francisco Rivera Vargas, Juan Javier González Barbosa, Juan Frausto Solís, Mirna Ponce Flores, José Luis Purata Aldaz, Guadalupe Castilla-Valdez and Juan Paulo Sánchez Hernández
Math. Comput. Appl. 2026, 31(3), 75; https://doi.org/10.3390/mca31030075 - 4 May 2026
Viewed by 619
Abstract
An investment portfolio consists of a set of financial assets, such as stocks, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, and real estate, held to achieve diversification and to optimize returns. Accurate asset forecasting provides investors with valuable information to support decision-making. Although existing studies have [...] Read more.
An investment portfolio consists of a set of financial assets, such as stocks, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, and real estate, held to achieve diversification and to optimize returns. Accurate asset forecasting provides investors with valuable information to support decision-making. Although existing studies have proposed models for forecasting and portfolio optimization, most rely mainly on traditional techniques and metaheuristic approaches. This work introduces ESIPO (Ensemble Strategies for Investment Portfolio Optimization), a methodology that integrates deep learning and metaheuristic algorithms to perform asset forecasting and investment portfolio optimization. The dataset is obtained from the S&P 500 index, one of the main stock markets. To enhance forecasting accuracy, ESIPO combines five methods from the top-performing models of the international M4 competition: (a) ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) and ETS (the statistical exponential-smoothing state-space), which represent classical statistical approaches; (b) FFORMA (Feature-based FORecast Model Averaging) and JAGANATHAN, two ensemble-based methods; (c) CNN (Convolutional Neural Network), which is one of the most common deep learning models. ESIPO improves the forecast performance of the portfolio by applying the TAIPO (Threshold Accepting Investment Portfolio Optimization) metaheuristic to select the best assets and optimize portfolio composition. The results obtained 45% of improvement according to the Sharpe Ratio metric. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Numerical and Evolutionary Optimization 2025)
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28 pages, 10170 KB  
Article
An RL-Guided Hybrid Forecasting Framework for Aircraft Engine RUL and Performance Emission Prediction
by Ukbe Üsame Uçar and Hakan Aygün
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(9), 4271; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16094271 - 27 Apr 2026
Viewed by 413
Abstract
In this paper, a new hybrid prediction method is proposed for estimating remaining useful life, emissions, and performance parameters using experimental data obtained from a micro-turbojet engine. Experiments were conducted under various rotational speed conditions, yielding a total of 342 measurement points. Turbine [...] Read more.
In this paper, a new hybrid prediction method is proposed for estimating remaining useful life, emissions, and performance parameters using experimental data obtained from a micro-turbojet engine. Experiments were conducted under various rotational speed conditions, yielding a total of 342 measurement points. Turbine speed, exhaust gas temperature, fuel flow rate, and thrust were considered as input variables in the study. Thermal efficiency, total power, CO2, and NO2 were considered as output variables. The experimental findings showed that thermal efficiency varied between 0.49% and 7.1%, total power between 0.266 and 13.94 kW, and CO2 emissions by volume between 0.317% and 2.183%. The proposed RL-MH-LR-CBR approach combines the advantages of multiple methods. In this method, the interpretable formulation of linear regression serves as the foundation. Additionally, in the adaptive meta-heuristic optimization process, a hyper-heuristic selection mechanism based on the UCB1-based multi-arm bandit approach is used to select the optimal algorithm from among the meta-heuristic methods. Finally, the CatBoost-based residual error learning component aims to capture non-linear patterns that cannot be explained by the linear model. The method was compared with 14 different methods on both the NASA C-MAPSS FD001 dataset and real engine data. The results demonstrate that the proposed framework exhibits more balanced, stable, and higher generalization capabilities compared to classical regression models and powerful AI methods, particularly in non-linear, noisy, and heterogeneous outputs. In the real engine dataset, the proposed method produced R2 values of 0.968 for CO2 and 0.936 for NO2, while the predictive performance was even stronger for thermal efficiency and total power, with corresponding R2 values of 0.998 and 0.995, respectively. Additionally, the method demonstrated a clear advantage in hard-to-model outputs by reducing the error level to 0.061 in NO2 predictions. These findings demonstrate that the proposed approach is not limited to micro-turbojet-engines. The developed method provides a robust decision support framework that is applicable, scalable, and generalizable to predictive maintenance, emissions monitoring, energy systems, aviation analytics, and other highly dynamic engineering problems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Aerospace Science and Engineering)
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17 pages, 1510 KB  
Article
Data-Driven Multi-Objective Optimization of Drilling Performance in Multi-Walled Carbon Nanotube-Reinforced Carbon Fiber-Reinforced Polymer Nanocomposites
by Hediye Kirli Akin
Polymers 2026, 18(8), 986; https://doi.org/10.3390/polym18080986 - 18 Apr 2026
Viewed by 465
Abstract
Carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) composites are widely used in many engineering applications such as aerospace, automotive, and defense industries due to their superior properties such as high specific strength, stiffness, and corrosion resistance. However, these materials require drilling, especially during assembly processes. [...] Read more.
Carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) composites are widely used in many engineering applications such as aerospace, automotive, and defense industries due to their superior properties such as high specific strength, stiffness, and corrosion resistance. However, these materials require drilling, especially during assembly processes. Damage mechanisms arising during this process, such as delamination, high thrust force, and torque, negatively affect structural integrity and production quality. This study proposes a data-driven, multi-objective optimization approach to solve problems encountered during drilling in multi-walled carbon nanotube (MWCNT)-reinforced CFRP nanocomposites. The study considers the MWCNT reinforcement ratio, cutting speed, and feed rate as process parameters and examines their effects on thrust force, torque, and delamination factor. Second-degree polynomial regression-based prediction models were created using the experimental data obtained, and these models were included in the multi-objective optimization process. During the optimization phase, thrust force and torque values were simultaneously minimized, while the delamination factor was kept below the statistically determined constraint of Fd ≤ 1.054. Pareto-optimal solution sets were obtained using NSGA-II and MOPSO meta-heuristic algorithms in the solution process. The results indicate that suitable combinations of drilling parameters can be identified through Pareto-based optimization, allowing significant reductions in thrust force and torque while maintaining the delamination factor below the specified limit. The study presents a reliable optimization approach for the more efficient machining of CFRP nanocomposites. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Polymer Composites with High Mechanical Properties)
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20 pages, 2007 KB  
Article
Optimized Machine Learning Pipeline for Lung Cancer Classification: Feature Reduction and Hyperparameter Tuning
by Gufran Ahmad Ansari, Salliah Shafi and Lamees Alhazzaa
Diagnostics 2026, 16(8), 1198; https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16081198 - 17 Apr 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 638
Abstract
Background: Lung cancer remains one of the leading causes of cancer-related mortality worldwide, primarily due to late diagnosis. Although machine learning (ML) techniques have been widely applied for lung cancer classification, many studies lack a fully optimized end-to-end pipeline using routine clinical data. [...] Read more.
Background: Lung cancer remains one of the leading causes of cancer-related mortality worldwide, primarily due to late diagnosis. Although machine learning (ML) techniques have been widely applied for lung cancer classification, many studies lack a fully optimized end-to-end pipeline using routine clinical data. This study proposes an optimized ML framework that integrates demographic, lifestyle, and clinical features with systematic hyperparameter tuning to improve classification performance. Methods: A dataset of 309 patient records containing demographic, lifestyle, and clinical attributes was used. The data were preprocessed and split into training and testing sets in an 80:20 ratio. Feature selection was performed using metaheuristic algorithms, including Red Deer Optimization, Binary Grasshopper Optimization, Gray Wolf Optimization, and Bee Colony Optimization. Six ML classifiers—Logistic Regression, Support Vector Classifier, Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, and Gaussian Naive Bayes—were trained with optimized hyperparameters. Model performance was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and ROC–AUC. Results: The optimized pipeline significantly improved classification performance. Logistic Regression achieved the highest accuracy of 91.07% with an AUC of 0.91, outperforming more complex ensemble models. Gradient Boosting and Random Forest both achieved an accuracy of 87.5%, while other classifiers demonstrated moderate performance. Conclusions: The proposed optimized ML pipeline enhances lung cancer classification accuracy using routine clinical data. The results highlight that simpler, well-optimized models can outperform complex approaches on structured datasets. This framework shows strong potential for early lung cancer risk screening and clinical decision support, although further validation on larger datasets is recommended. Full article
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19 pages, 673 KB  
Article
Solving a Multi-Period Dynamic Pricing Problem Using Learning-Augmented Exact Methods and Learnheuristics
by Angel A. Juan, Yangchongyi Men, Veronica Medina and Marc Escoto
Algorithms 2026, 19(4), 284; https://doi.org/10.3390/a19040284 - 7 Apr 2026
Viewed by 494
Abstract
This paper addresses a dynamic multi-period pricing problem that incorporates time-varying contextual information and inventory constraints. Sales are modeled as a function of both price and a multidimensional context vector, which may include factors such as customer location, income, loyalty, competitor prices, and [...] Read more.
This paper addresses a dynamic multi-period pricing problem that incorporates time-varying contextual information and inventory constraints. Sales are modeled as a function of both price and a multidimensional context vector, which may include factors such as customer location, income, loyalty, competitor prices, and promotional activity. This formulation captures complex market dynamics over a finite selling horizon. The problem is formulated as a quadratic programming model, and two alternative solution approaches are proposed. The first uses a multivariate regression model to approximate the sales function linearly, allowing an exact quadratic programming solution that serves as a benchmark. The second is a ‘learnheuristic’ algorithm that combines a nonlinear sales learning model with metaheuristic optimization to generate high-quality pricing strategies under realistic operational constraints. Computational experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed learnheuristic approach. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Hybrid Intelligent Algorithms (2nd Edition))
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20 pages, 1116 KB  
Article
Process-Integrated Optimization and Symbolic Regression for Direct Prediction of CFRP Area in Masonry Wall Strengthening
by Gebrail Bekdaş, Ammar Khalbous, Sinan Melih Nigdeli and Ümit Işıkdağ
Processes 2026, 14(7), 1163; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14071163 - 3 Apr 2026
Viewed by 473
Abstract
Unreinforced masonry walls exhibit limited resistance to lateral loads and, therefore, frequently require strengthening interventions. Carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) systems provide an efficient retrofit solution; however, current design procedures defined in structural guidelines require repetitive trial calculations to determine the necessary reinforcement [...] Read more.
Unreinforced masonry walls exhibit limited resistance to lateral loads and, therefore, frequently require strengthening interventions. Carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) systems provide an efficient retrofit solution; however, current design procedures defined in structural guidelines require repetitive trial calculations to determine the necessary reinforcement amount. This study introduces a hybrid computational process that integrates metaheuristic optimization with symbolic regression to generate direct analytical equations for the estimation of the required CFRP area. First, a comprehensive database containing 1300 optimal strengthening scenarios was generated using the Jaya optimization algorithm under the constraints specified in ACI 440.7R and ACI 530. The resulting dataset was subsequently processed through symbolic regression using the PySR platform to identify explicit mathematical relationships between structural parameters and the optimum CFRP area. Most traditional machine learning approaches operate as black-box predictors. In contrast, the proposed approach generates interpretable closed-form expressions that can be used directly in engineering calculations. Two models were derived from the Pareto-optimal solution set. The first model is a simplified equation emphasizing algebraic simplicity. The second model prioritizes prediction accuracy. The simplified formulation achieved a coefficient of determination of approximately 0.992. The accuracy-focused model achieved a value above 0.997 with very low prediction errors. Validation studies with independent test samples showed that the obtained equations are reliable. The average error for the simplified model is below 4%, and for the high-accuracy model, it is approximately 2%. The results demonstrate that combining the optimization-generated datasets with symbolic regression makes it possible to obtain transparent design equations. These equations eliminate iterative design processes and provide a fast and reliable estimation tool for CFRP strengthening of masonry walls. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Functional Materials Design and Computation)
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16 pages, 1915 KB  
Article
State-of-Charge Estimation on Lithium-Ion 18650 Under Charging and Discharging Conditions: A Statistical and Metaheuristic Approach
by Ryan Yudha Adhitya, Noorman Rinanto, Rahardhita Widyatra Sudibyo, Sapto Wibowo, Nuryanti, Fendik Eko Purnomo, Muhammad Rizani Rusli, Sarosa Castrena Abadi, Chandra Wiharya, Faisal Lutfi Afriansyah, Anif Jamaluddin and Nurul Zainal Fanani
World Electr. Veh. J. 2026, 17(2), 83; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj17020083 - 8 Feb 2026
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1237
Abstract
Battery management systems are essential in electric vehicles and renewable energy applications, especially in terms of ensuring optimal battery health and performance and regarding the state of charge (SOC) in batteries consisting of many cells. The lifetime and efficiency of the battery depend [...] Read more.
Battery management systems are essential in electric vehicles and renewable energy applications, especially in terms of ensuring optimal battery health and performance and regarding the state of charge (SOC) in batteries consisting of many cells. The lifetime and efficiency of the battery depend on the accuracy of the SOC parameter estimation. Moreover, systems that apply active balancing technology are able to move cells with high SOC data to cells with low SOC. Many methods have been developed, but their long execution time makes them less optimal when applied. High-speed SOC estimation is required in active balancing technology, in addition to high accuracy. Therefore, this study proposes the estimation of SOC parameters using a statistical and metaheuristic approach from voltage and current input data in each battery cell. The experimental results showed that the metaheuristic-based method (ANFIS) had better RSME and R2 values compared with the polynomial and linear regression or even the machine learning-based method (recurrent neural network) for training data. Full article
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21 pages, 1645 KB  
Article
Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Optimum Design Parameters for Axially Symmetric Cylindrical Reinforced Concrete Walls
by Aylin Ece Kayabekir
Processes 2026, 14(3), 455; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14030455 - 28 Jan 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 829
Abstract
This study presents a hybrid approach integrating metaheuristic optimization and machine learning methods to quickly and reliably estimate the optimum design parameters of dome-shaped axially symmetric cylindrical reinforced concrete (RC) walls. A comprehensive dataset was created using the Jaya algorithm to minimize total [...] Read more.
This study presents a hybrid approach integrating metaheuristic optimization and machine learning methods to quickly and reliably estimate the optimum design parameters of dome-shaped axially symmetric cylindrical reinforced concrete (RC) walls. A comprehensive dataset was created using the Jaya algorithm to minimize total material cost for hinged and fixed support conditions. For each optimized design case, total wall height (H), dome height (Hd), dome thickness (hd), and fluid unit weight (γ) were considered as input parameters; optimum wall thickness (hw) and total cost were determined as output parameters. Using the obtained dataset, a total of thirteen different regression-based machine learning algorithms, including linear regression-based models, tree-based ensemble methods, and neural network models, were trained and tested. Hyperparameter adjustments for all models were performed using the Optuna framework, and model performances were evaluated using a ten-fold cross-validation method and holdout dataset results. The results showed that machine learning models can learn the optimum design space obtained from metaheuristic optimization outputs with high accuracy. In optimum wall thickness estimation, Gradient Boosting-based models provided the highest accuracy under both hinged and fixed support conditions. In total cost estimation, the Gradient Boosting model stood out under hinged support conditions, while the XGBoost model yielded the most successful results for fixed support conditions. The findings clearly show that no single machine learning model exhibits the best performance for all output parameters and support conditions. The proposed approach offers significantly higher computational efficiency compared to traditional iterative optimization processes and allows for rapid estimation of optimum design parameters without the need for any iterations. In this respect, this study provides an effective decision support tool that can be used especially in the preliminary design phases and contributes to sustainable, cost-effective reinforced concrete structure design. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning Models for Sustainable Composite Materials)
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15 pages, 6524 KB  
Article
Applying the Ensemble and Metaheuristic Algorithm to Predict the Flexural Characteristics of Ice
by Chengxi Lu and Xiangyu Han
Materials 2026, 19(2), 333; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma19020333 - 14 Jan 2026
Viewed by 492
Abstract
The stability of ice structures in cold regions and polar environments has been increasingly challenged by global warming and climate change, making the accurate estimation of ice flexural properties essential. However, the flexural failure process of ice is highly complex, and the calculated [...] Read more.
The stability of ice structures in cold regions and polar environments has been increasingly challenged by global warming and climate change, making the accurate estimation of ice flexural properties essential. However, the flexural failure process of ice is highly complex, and the calculated flexural properties are influenced by multiple factors. Hence, several data-driven artificial intelligence models were developed to predict flexural strength, using classification and regression tree (CART), AdaBoost, and Random Forest methods, while the Elitist Ant System (EAS) was applied to optimize model parameters. The EAS procedure converged rapidly within ten iterations and effectively enhanced overall model performance. Compared with the single CART model, ensemble approaches exhibited higher prediction accuracy and better generalization, with AdaBoost achieving the best performance (R2 = 0.736). Feature-importance analysis indicated that the testing method and specimen geometry had the greatest influence on the results, highlighting the importance of careful control of experimental conditions. The proposed ensemble–metaheuristic framework provides an efficient tool for predicting the mechanical behavior of ice and offers useful support for stability assessments of ice structures under changing climatic conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Fracture and Fatigue of Materials Based on Machine Learning)
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27 pages, 3402 KB  
Article
Comparison of Nature-Inspired Optimization Models and Robust Machine-Learning Approaches in Predicting the Sustainable Building Energy Consumption: Case of Multivariate Energy Performance Dataset
by Mümine Kaya Keleş, Abdullah Emre Keleş, Elif Kavak and Jarosław Górecki
Sustainability 2025, 17(23), 10718; https://doi.org/10.3390/su172310718 - 30 Nov 2025
Viewed by 1216
Abstract
Accurate prediction of building energy loads is essential for smart buildings and sustainable energy management. While machine learning (ML) approaches outperform traditional statistical models at capturing nonlinear relationships, most studies primarily optimize prediction accuracy, overlooking the importance of computational efficiency and feature compactness, [...] Read more.
Accurate prediction of building energy loads is essential for smart buildings and sustainable energy management. While machine learning (ML) approaches outperform traditional statistical models at capturing nonlinear relationships, most studies primarily optimize prediction accuracy, overlooking the importance of computational efficiency and feature compactness, which are critical in real-time, resource-constrained environments. This study aims to evaluate whether hybrid nature-inspired feature-selection techniques can enhance the accuracy and computational efficiency of ML-based building energy load prediction. Using the UCI Energy Efficiency dataset, eight ML models (LightGBM, CatBoost, XGBoost, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Extra Trees, Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression) were trained under feature subsets obtained from the Butterfly Optimization Algorithm (BOA), Grey Wolf Optimization Algorithm (GWO), and a hybrid BOA–GWO approach. Model performance was evaluated using three metrics (MAE, RMSE, and R2), along with training time, prediction time, and the number of selected features. The results show that gradient-boosting models consistently yield the highest accuracy, with CatBoost achieving an R2 of 0.99 or higher. The proposed hybrid BOA–GWO method achieved competitive accuracy with fewer features and reduced training time, demonstrating its suitability for efficient ML deployment in smart building environments. Rather than proposing a new metaheuristic algorithm, this study contributes by adapting a hybrid BOA–GWO feature-selection strategy to the building energy domain and evaluating its benefits under a multi-criteria performance framework. The findings support the practical adoption of hybrid feature-selection-supported ML pipelines for intelligent building systems, energy management platforms, and IoT-based real-time applications. Full article
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22 pages, 2695 KB  
Article
Modeling Total Alkalinity in Aquatic Ecosystems by Decision Trees: Anticipation of pH Stability and Identification of Main Contributors
by Hichem Tahraoui, Rachida Bouallouche, Kamilia Madi, Oumnia Rayane Benkouachi, Reguia Boudraa, Hadjar Belkacemi, Sabrina Lekmine, Hamza Moussa, Nabil Touzout, Mohammad Shamsul Ola, Zakaria Triki, Meriem Zamouche, Mohammed Kebir, Noureddine Nasrallah, Amine Aymen Assadi, Yacine Benguerba, Jie Zhang and Abdeltif Amrane
Water 2025, 17(20), 2939; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17202939 - 12 Oct 2025
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 2062
Abstract
Total alkalinity (TAC) plays a pivotal role in buffering acid–base fluctuations and maintaining pH stability in aquatic ecosystems. This study presents a data-driven approach to model TAC using decision tree regression, applied to a comprehensive dataset of 454 water samples collected in diverse [...] Read more.
Total alkalinity (TAC) plays a pivotal role in buffering acid–base fluctuations and maintaining pH stability in aquatic ecosystems. This study presents a data-driven approach to model TAC using decision tree regression, applied to a comprehensive dataset of 454 water samples collected in diverse aquatic environments of the Médéa region, Algeria. Twenty physicochemical parameters, including concentrations of bicarbonates, hardness, major ions, and trace elements, were analyzed as input features. The decision tree algorithm was optimized using the Dragonfly metaheuristic algorithm coupled with 5-fold cross-validation. The optimized model (DT_DA) demonstrated exceptional predictive performance, with a correlation coefficient R of 0.9999, and low prediction errors (RMSE = 0.3957, MAE = 0.3572, and MAPE = 0.4531). External validation on an independent dataset of 68 samples confirmed the model’s robustness (R = 0.9999; RMSE = 0.4223; MAE = 0.3871, and MAPE = 0.4931). The tree structure revealed that total hardness (threshold: 78.5 °F) and bicarbonate concentration (threshold: 421.68 mg/L) were the most influential variables in TAC determination. The model offers not only accurate predictions but also interpretable decision rules, allowing the identification of critical physicochemical thresholds that govern alkalinity. These findings provide a valuable tool for anticipating pH instability and guiding water quality management and protection strategies in freshwater ecosystems. Full article
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24 pages, 2008 KB  
Article
Optimizing Agricultural Management Practices for Maize Crops: Integrating Clusterwise Linear Regression with an Adaptation of the Grey Wolf Optimizer
by Germán-Homero Morán-Figueroa, Carlos-Alberto Cobos-Lozada and Oscar-Fernando Bedoya-Leyva
Agriculture 2025, 15(19), 2068; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15192068 - 1 Oct 2025
Viewed by 1871
Abstract
Effectively managing agricultural practices is crucial for maximizing yield, reducing investment costs, preserving soil health, ensuring sustainability, and mitigating environmental impact. This study proposes an adaptation of the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) metaheuristic to operate under specific constraints, with the goal of identifying [...] Read more.
Effectively managing agricultural practices is crucial for maximizing yield, reducing investment costs, preserving soil health, ensuring sustainability, and mitigating environmental impact. This study proposes an adaptation of the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) metaheuristic to operate under specific constraints, with the goal of identifying optimal agricultural practices that boost maize crop yields and enhance economic profitability for each farm. To achieve this objective, we employ a probabilistic algorithm that constructs a model based on Clusterwise Linear Regression (CLR) as the primary method for predicting crop yield. This model considers several factors, including climate, soil conditions, and agricultural practices, which can vary depending on the specific location of the crop. We compare the performance of the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) algorithm with other optimization techniques, including Hill Climbing (HC) and Simulated Annealing (SA). This analysis utilizes a dataset of maize crops from the Department of Córdoba in Colombia, where agricultural practices were optimized. The results indicate that the probabilistic algorithm defines a two-group CLR model as the best approach for predicting maize yield, achieving a 5% higher fit compared to other machine learning algorithms. Furthermore, the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) metaheuristic achieved the best optimization performance, recommending agricultural practices that increased farm yield and profitability by 50% relative to the original practices. Overall, these findings demonstrate that the proposed algorithm can recommend optimal practices that are both technically feasible and economically viable for implementation and replication. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence and Digital Agriculture)
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