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Search Results (202)

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27 pages, 5026 KiB  
Review
China’s Carbon Emissions Trading Market: Current Situation, Impact Assessment, Challenges, and Suggestions
by Qidi Wang, Jinyan Zhan, Hailin Zhang, Yuhan Cao, Zheng Yang, Quanlong Wu and Ali Raza Otho
Land 2025, 14(8), 1582; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081582 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 173
Abstract
As the world’s largest developing and carbon-emitting country, China is accelerating its greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction process, and it is of vital importance in achieving the goals set out in the Paris Agreement. This paper examines the historical development and current operation [...] Read more.
As the world’s largest developing and carbon-emitting country, China is accelerating its greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction process, and it is of vital importance in achieving the goals set out in the Paris Agreement. This paper examines the historical development and current operation of China’s carbon emissions trading market (CETM). The current progress of research on the implementation of carbon emissions trading policy (CETP) is described in four dimensions: environment, economy, innovation, and society. The results show that CETP generates clear environmental and social benefits but exhibits mixed economic and innovation effects. Furthermore, this paper analyses the challenges of China’s carbon market, including the green paradox, the low carbon price, the imperfections in cap setting and allocation of allowances, the small scope of coverage, and the weakness of the legal supervision system. Ultimately, this paper proposes recommendations for fostering China’s CETM with the anticipation of offering a comprehensive outlook for future research. Full article
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21 pages, 1260 KiB  
Review
Comprehensive Overview Assessment on Legal Guarantee System of Wetland Carbon Sink Trading for One Belt and One Road Initiative
by Jingjing Min, Wanwu Yuan, Wei He, Pingping Luo, Hanming Zhang and Yang Zhao
Land 2025, 14(8), 1583; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081583 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 235
Abstract
The countries and regions along the Belt and Road are rich in wetland carbon sink resources, crucial for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions and achieving global emission reduction. This paper uses policy analysis and desk research to analyze the overview of wetland carbon sinks [...] Read more.
The countries and regions along the Belt and Road are rich in wetland carbon sink resources, crucial for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions and achieving global emission reduction. This paper uses policy analysis and desk research to analyze the overview of wetland carbon sinks in these countries. It explores the necessity of legal system construction for their carbon sink trading. This study finds that smooth trading requires clear property rights definition rules, efficient market trading entities, definite carbon sink trading price rules, financial support aligned with the Equator Principles, and support from biodiversity-compatible environmental regulatory principles. Currently, there are still obstacles in wetland carbon sink trading in the Belt and Road, such as property rights confirmation, an accounting system, an imperfect market trading mechanism, and the coexistence of multiple trading risks. Therefore, this paper first proposes to clarify the goal of the legal guarantee mechanism. Efforts should focus on promoting a consensus on wetland carbon sink ownership and establishing a unified accounting standard system; simultaneously, the relevant departments should conduct field investigations and monitoring, standardize the market order, and strengthen government financial support and funding guarantees. Full article
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28 pages, 437 KiB  
Article
The General Semimartingale Market Model
by Moritz Sohns
AppliedMath 2025, 5(3), 97; https://doi.org/10.3390/appliedmath5030097 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 152
Abstract
This paper develops a unified framework for mathematical finance under general semimartingale models that allow for dividend payments, negative asset prices, and unbounded jumps. We present a rigorous approach to the mathematical modeling of financial markets with dividend-paying assets by defining appropriate concepts [...] Read more.
This paper develops a unified framework for mathematical finance under general semimartingale models that allow for dividend payments, negative asset prices, and unbounded jumps. We present a rigorous approach to the mathematical modeling of financial markets with dividend-paying assets by defining appropriate concepts of numéraires, discounted processes, and self-financing trading strategies. While most of the mathematical results are not new, this unified framework has been missing in the literature. We carefully examine the transition between nominal and discounted price processes and define appropriate notions of admissible strategies that work naturally in both settings. By establishing the equivalence between these models and providing clear conditions for their applicability, we create a mathematical foundation that encompasses a wide range of realistic market scenarios and can serve as a basis for future work on mathematical finance and derivative pricing. We demonstrate the practical relevance of our framework through a comprehensive application to dividend-paying equity markets where the framework naturally handles discrete dividend payments. This application shows that our theoretical framework is not merely abstract but provides the rigorous foundation for pricing derivatives in real-world markets where classical assumptions need extension. Full article
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27 pages, 525 KiB  
Article
An Analytical Review of Cyber Risk Management by Insurance Companies: A Mathematical Perspective
by Maria Carannante and Alessandro Mazzoccoli
Risks 2025, 13(8), 144; https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13080144 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 174
Abstract
This article provides an overview of the current state-of-the-art in cyber risk and cyber risk management, focusing on the mathematical models that have been created to help with risk quantification and insurance pricing. We discuss the main ways that cyber risk is measured, [...] Read more.
This article provides an overview of the current state-of-the-art in cyber risk and cyber risk management, focusing on the mathematical models that have been created to help with risk quantification and insurance pricing. We discuss the main ways that cyber risk is measured, starting with vulnerability functions that show how systems react to threats and going all the way up to more complex stochastic and dynamic models that show how cyber attacks change over time. Next, we examine cyber insurance, including the structure and main features of the cyber insurance market, as well as the growing role of cyber reinsurance in strategies for transferring risk. Finally, we review the mathematical models that have been proposed in the literature for setting the prices of cyber insurance premiums and structuring reinsurance contracts, analysing their advantages, limitations, and potential applications for more effective risk management. The aim of this article is to provide researchers and professionals with a clear picture of the main quantitative tools available and to point out areas that need further research by summarising these contributions. Full article
12 pages, 1067 KiB  
Article
Consumer Perception and Willingness to Purchase Chicken Meat from Algae-Fed Broilers: A Survey in Flanders (Belgium)
by Sofie Van Nerom, Filip Van Immerseel, Johan Robbens and Evelyne Delezie
Phycology 2025, 5(3), 33; https://doi.org/10.3390/phycology5030033 - 27 Jul 2025
Viewed by 194
Abstract
The demand for sustainable animal production is increasing. Microalgae such as Chlorella and Spirulina show promise as sustainable and functional ingredients in animal (poultry) feed. However, little is known about consumer perceptions regarding the use of algae in broiler diets and potential effects [...] Read more.
The demand for sustainable animal production is increasing. Microalgae such as Chlorella and Spirulina show promise as sustainable and functional ingredients in animal (poultry) feed. However, little is known about consumer perceptions regarding the use of algae in broiler diets and potential effects of algae on chicken meat. Residents of Flanders (Belgium) were surveyed to evaluate consumer knowledge, attitudes and willingness to buy chicken meat produced with algae-supplemented feed. Demographic data were collected, and both descriptive and inferential statistics were applied to assess influencing factors (n = 275 respondents who purchase chicken meat). While most respondents (69.6%) had tasted macroalgae (seaweed), only 11.4% and 24.6% indicated having tasted Chlorella and Spirulina before, respectively. Health, taste and safety were the most important drivers for consuming algae. Meat quality was the most important factor when purchasing chicken meat, while organic production was least valued. Regarding algae-fed chicken, 72.5% expressed willingness to purchase meat labeled as such, and 83.7% would buy algae-fed chicken regardless of its color. Sustainability beliefs significantly influenced willingness to accept a yellower meat color (β = 0.42 to 0.66, p < 0.001). Educational level and age also played a role, with higher-educated consumers showing greater acceptance. The influence of age was also related to the price of the meat, with consumers over 30 expressing a greater willingness to pay more than young people (under 30). Despite limited general knowledge about microalgae, the consumers surveyed are open to the idea of algae-fed chicken meat, particularly when it is framed as more sustainable. Clear ingredient labeling and consumer education may further support market acceptance. Full article
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19 pages, 398 KiB  
Article
EUDR Compliance in Ghana’s Natural Rubber Sector and Its Implications for Smallholders
by Stephan Mabica, Erasmus Narteh Tetteh, Ingrid Fromm and Caleb Melenya Ocansey
Commodities 2025, 4(3), 14; https://doi.org/10.3390/commodities4030014 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 408
Abstract
The enforcement of the European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) may reduce the supply of natural rubber to the European Union (EU), potentially leading to price increases due to the inelastic nature of rubber demand. This study assesses the potential financial implications for smallholder [...] Read more.
The enforcement of the European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) may reduce the supply of natural rubber to the European Union (EU), potentially leading to price increases due to the inelastic nature of rubber demand. This study assesses the potential financial implications for smallholder producers in Ghana, considering both the opportunities and risks associated with the evolving regulatory environment under EUDR and local market access conditions. A cost–benefit analysis (CBA) was conducted to evaluate the impact of different EUDR-related export decline scenarios on the net present value (NPV) of a standard 4-hectare plantation. The results suggest that even a minor 2.5% decline in global exports to the EU could increase the NPV by 17% for an independent compliant producer. However, a simulated COVID-19-like crisis in the fifth year of production leads to a 20% decline in NPV, reflecting vulnerability to external shocks. Based on these findings, the study identifies two priorities. This first is improving the coordination and harmonization of compliance efforts across the value chain to enable more producers to benefit from potential EUDR-related price increases. The recent creation of the Association of Natural Rubber Actors of Ghana (ANRAG) presents an opportunity to support such collective mechanisms. Second, minimizing losses during demand shocks requires the Tree Crops Development Authority (TCDA) to establish clear rules and transparent reporting for authorizing unprocessed rubber exports when factories reduce purchases due to low international prices—thus preserving market access for vulnerable producers. Together, these approaches would ensure that the potential benefits of the EUDR are realized inclusively, remain stable despite market downturns, and do not undermine value addition in domestic processing factories. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Trends and Changes in Agricultural Commodities Markets)
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20 pages, 632 KiB  
Article
An Electricity Market Pricing Method with the Optimality Limitation of Power System Dispatch Instructions
by Zhiheng Li, Anbang Xie, Junhui Liu, Yihan Zhang, Yao Lu, Wenjing Zu, Yi Wang and Xiaobing Zhang
Processes 2025, 13(7), 2235; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13072235 - 13 Jul 2025
Viewed by 279
Abstract
The electricity market can optimize the resource allocation in power systems by calculating the market clearing problem. However, in the market clearing process, various market operation requirements must be considered. These requirements might cause the obtained power system dispatch instructions to deviate from [...] Read more.
The electricity market can optimize the resource allocation in power systems by calculating the market clearing problem. However, in the market clearing process, various market operation requirements must be considered. These requirements might cause the obtained power system dispatch instructions to deviate from the optimal solutions of original market clearing problems, thereby compromising the economic properties of locational marginal price (LMP). To mitigate the adverse effects of such optimality limitations, this paper proposes a pricing method for improving economic properties under the optimality limitation of power system dispatch instructions. Firstly, the underlying mechanism through which optimality limitations lead to economic property distortions in the electricity market is analyzed. Secondly, an analytical framework is developed to characterize economic properties under optimality limitations. Subsequently, an optimization-based electricity market pricing model is formulated, where price serves as the decision variable and economic properties, such as competitive equilibrium, are incorporated as optimization objectives. Case studies show that the proposed electricity market pricing method effectively mitigates the economic property distortions induced by optimality limitations and can be adapted to satisfy different economic properties based on market preferences. Full article
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24 pages, 237 KiB  
Article
Student Perceptions of Sustainability in the HoReCa Sector: Awareness, Engagement, and Challenges
by Marian Mocan, Larisa Ivascu, Timea Agache and Andrei Agache
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6384; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146384 - 11 Jul 2025
Viewed by 332
Abstract
The HoReCa (Hotels, Restaurants, and Cafes) sector plays a pivotal role in the economy due to its strong connections with various other industries, including agriculture, food and beverage, construction, packaging, waste management, water, and textiles. Given its broad impact, understanding the perceptions of [...] Read more.
The HoReCa (Hotels, Restaurants, and Cafes) sector plays a pivotal role in the economy due to its strong connections with various other industries, including agriculture, food and beverage, construction, packaging, waste management, water, and textiles. Given its broad impact, understanding the perceptions of students—emerging consumers and future professionals—could provide valuable insights for businesses seeking to enhance sustainable practices in ways that resonate with younger generations and improve their competitiveness. However, there is still limited understanding of how students perceive and engage with sustainability in this sector. This study explores student perceptions of sustainability practices within the HoReCa sector, examining their awareness levels, expectations, and behavior. The objective is to assess how effectively current business approaches align with student values regarding sustainability initiatives and identify key factors influencing their engagement. A structured questionnaire was distributed among university students, and the collected data was analyzed using statistical techniques to identify meaningful trends and correlations. Findings revealed a notable disconnect between students’ professed sustainability values and their actual behavior. Primary obstacles included price sensitivity, skepticism toward environmental marketing claims, and insufficient access to clear sustainability information from businesses. Despite supporting sustainable initiatives in principle, students often struggle to translate their values into purchasing decisions. The research suggests that greater business transparency, enhanced sustainability education, and incentive programs could foster increased student engagement. Full article
34 pages, 14430 KiB  
Article
The Wind Parks Distorted Development in Greek Islands—Lessons Learned and Proposals Toward Rational Planning
by Dimitris Katsaprakakis, Nikolaos Ch. Papadakis, Nikos Savvakis, Andreas Vavvos, Eirini Dakanali, Sofia Yfanti and Constantinos Condaxakis
Energies 2025, 18(13), 3311; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18133311 - 24 Jun 2025
Viewed by 444
Abstract
The Greek islands have been blessed with excellent wind potential, with hundreds of sites featuring annual average wind velocity higher than 8–10 m/s. Due to specific regulations in the legal framework, some GWs of wind parks have been submitted since the late 2000s [...] Read more.
The Greek islands have been blessed with excellent wind potential, with hundreds of sites featuring annual average wind velocity higher than 8–10 m/s. Due to specific regulations in the legal framework, some GWs of wind parks have been submitted since the late 2000s by a small number of large investors in the Greek islands, favoring the creation of energy monopolies and imposing serious impacts on natural ecosystems and existing human activities. These projects have caused serious public reactions against renewables, considerably decelerating the energy transition. This article aims to summarize the legal points in the Greek framework that caused this distorted approach and present the imposed potential social and environmental impacts. Energy monopolies distort the electricity wholesale market and lead to energy poverty and a low standard of living by imposing higher electricity procurement prices on the final users. The occupation of entire insular geographical territories by large wind park projects causes important deterioration of the natural environment, which, in turn, leads to loss of local occupations, urbanization, and migration by affecting negatively the countryside life. Serious concerns from the local population are clearly revealed through an accomplished statistical survey as well as a clear intention to be engaged in future wind park projects initiated by local stakeholders. The article is integrated with specific proposed measures and actions toward the rational development of renewable energy projects. These refer mainly on the formulation of a truly supportive and just legal framework aiming at remedying the currently formulated situation and the strengthening of the energy communities’ role, such as through licensing priorities, funding mechanisms, and tools, as well as additional initiatives such as capacity-building activities, pilot projects, and extensive activation of local citizens. Energy communities and local stakeholders should be involved in the overall process, from the planning to the construction and operation phase. Full article
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24 pages, 7113 KiB  
Article
A Study of the Impact of Industrial Land Development on PM2.5 Concentrations in China
by Qing Liu, Weihao Huang, Shilong Wu, Lianghui Tian and Hui Ren
Sustainability 2025, 17(12), 5327; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125327 - 9 Jun 2025
Viewed by 394
Abstract
To promote the sustainable use of land resources and improve air pollution control, this study investigates the spatiotemporal dynamics of industrial land development and the heterogeneity of PM2.5 concentrations across regions. Based on national land transaction data and PM2.5 raster datasets, [...] Read more.
To promote the sustainable use of land resources and improve air pollution control, this study investigates the spatiotemporal dynamics of industrial land development and the heterogeneity of PM2.5 concentrations across regions. Based on national land transaction data and PM2.5 raster datasets, the analysis employs Moran’s I, a hot and cold spot analysis, and multivariate linear regression to examine how the transaction frequency, transaction area, and total transaction price of industrial land influence PM2.5 concentrations in 286 cities from 2010 to 2021. The study focuses on quantifying the impact of industrial land development on PM2.5 concentrations. The main findings are as follows: (1) the frequency of industrial land transactions varies significantly across regions, with clear intra-regional differences. The transaction area and total transaction price decrease in the following order: “East-West-Central-North-East” and “East-Central-West-North-East”, respectively. (2) The spatial clustering of PM2.5 concentrations has intensified, with hot spots concentrated in Eastern and Central cities. Cold spots are distributed in bands along the Southern coast and scattered patterns in Heilongjiang Province. (3) The influence of industrial land development on PM2.5 concentrations has generally weakened nationwide, with the strongest effects observed in the Eastern region. Among the development indicators, the impact of the transaction area is increasing, while those of the transaction frequency and total price are declining, showing clear regional disparities. Therefore, integrating sustainable development principles into the adjustment of the industrial land market is essential for effective air pollution prevention. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Air Pollution and Sustainability)
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18 pages, 2493 KiB  
Article
Research on Resource Utilization of Bi-Level Non-Cooperative Game Systems Based on Unit Resource Return
by Bo Fu, Peiwen Li and Yi Quan
Energies 2025, 18(9), 2396; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18092396 - 7 May 2025
Viewed by 343
Abstract
In a competitive market, due to differences in the nature of various power generation entities, there is a decline in resource utilization and difficulties in ensuring a return on investment for generating units within the system. A bi-level non-cooperative game model based on [...] Read more.
In a competitive market, due to differences in the nature of various power generation entities, there is a decline in resource utilization and difficulties in ensuring a return on investment for generating units within the system. A bi-level non-cooperative game model based on the Unit Resource Return (URR) is proposed to safeguard the interests and demands of each power generation unit while improving the overall resource utilization rate of the system. Firstly, we construct a comprehensive energy-trading framework for the overall system and analyze the relationship between the Independent System Operator (ISO) and the generation units. Secondly, we propose the Unit Resource Return (URR), inspired by the concept of input-output efficiency in economics. URR evaluates the return on unit resource input by taking the maximum generation potential of each unit as the benchmark. Finally, a bi-level non-cooperative game model is established. In the lower-level non-cooperative game, the generating units safeguard their own interests, while in the upper-level, the ISO adjusts the output allocation and engages in a master–slave game between generating units to ensure the overall operational efficiency of the system. URR is adopted as the ISO’s price-clearing equilibrium criterion, enabling the optimization of both resource profitability and allocation. Ultimately, both the upper and lower-level decision variables reach a Nash equilibrium. The experimental results show that the bi-level non-cooperative game model based on the Unit Resource Return improves the overall resource utilization of the system and enhances the long-term operational motivation of the generating units. Full article
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27 pages, 1758 KiB  
Article
Cybersecure XAI Algorithm for Generating Recommendations Based on Financial Fundamentals Using DeepSeek
by Iván García-Magariño, Javier Bravo-Agapito and Raquel Lacuesta
AI 2025, 6(5), 95; https://doi.org/10.3390/ai6050095 - 2 May 2025
Viewed by 1414
Abstract
Background: Investment decisions in stocks are one of the most complex tasks due to the uncertainty of which stocks will increase or decrease in their values. A diversified portfolio statistically reduces the risk; however, stock choice still substantially influences the profitability. Methods: This [...] Read more.
Background: Investment decisions in stocks are one of the most complex tasks due to the uncertainty of which stocks will increase or decrease in their values. A diversified portfolio statistically reduces the risk; however, stock choice still substantially influences the profitability. Methods: This work proposes a methodology to automate investment decision recommendations with clear explanations. It utilizes generative AI, guided by prompt engineering, to interpret price predictions derived from neural networks. The methodology also includes the Artificial Intelligence Trust, Risk, and Security Management (AI TRiSM) model to provide robust security recommendations for the system. The proposed system provides long-term investment recommendations based on the financial fundamentals of companies, such as the price-to-earnings ratio (PER) and the net margin of profits over the total revenue. The proposed explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) system uses DeepSeek for describing recommendations and suggested companies, as well as several charts based on Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) values and local-interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIMEs) for showing feature importance. Results: In the experiments, we compared the profitability of the proposed portfolios, ranging from 8 to 28 stock values, with the maximum expected price increases for 4 years in the NASDAQ-100 and S&P-500, where both bull and bear markets were, respectively, considered before and after the custom duties increases in international trade by the USA in April 2025. The proposed system achieved an average profitability of 56.62% while considering 120 different portfolio recommendations. Conclusions: A t-Student test confirmed that the difference in profitability compared to the index was statistically significant. A user study revealed that the participants agreed that the portfolio explanations were useful for trusting the system, with an average score of 6.14 in a 7-point Likert scale. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue AI in Finance: Leveraging AI to Transform Financial Services)
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18 pages, 3361 KiB  
Article
A Trading Model for the Electricity Spot Market That Takes into Account the Preference for Energy Storage Trading
by Qikai Ma, Bo Liu and Jiang Li
Energies 2025, 18(9), 2322; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18092322 - 1 May 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 604
Abstract
With the continuous expansion of new energy installed capacity, the flexible regulation role of energy storage in the electricity spot market is becoming more and more prominent. However, traditional trading models often ignore the multiple trading preferences of energy storage. In this paper, [...] Read more.
With the continuous expansion of new energy installed capacity, the flexible regulation role of energy storage in the electricity spot market is becoming more and more prominent. However, traditional trading models often ignore the multiple trading preferences of energy storage. In this paper, we propose an electricity spot market trading model that considers the trading preferences of energy storage to incentivize energy storage to participate more actively in the market. First, the trading preferences of energy storage are modeled with a utility function in which the time preference coefficient and price elasticity are introduced. Then, the utility function is embedded into the spot market clearing model to establish a two-tier model of the spot market, which maximizes social welfare in the upper tier and maximizes energy storage benefits in the lower tier. Finally, the model is solved using KKT and large M methods, and its effectiveness is evaluated on the IEEE39 node system and on a real grid in a specific region. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section D: Energy Storage and Application)
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16 pages, 214 KiB  
Article
Optimising Retail Environments for Older Adults: Insights into Customer Behaviour and Organisational Performance
by Ljerka Sedlan König
Adm. Sci. 2025, 15(4), 120; https://doi.org/10.3390/admsci15040120 - 24 Mar 2025
Viewed by 1371
Abstract
Retailers have traditionally prioritised younger customers, often overlooking the distinct needs of older consumers. As this demographic grows, it is increasingly important to cater to their shopping preferences. This study explores the behaviours, needs, and challenges of Croatian consumers aged 60+ through qualitative [...] Read more.
Retailers have traditionally prioritised younger customers, often overlooking the distinct needs of older consumers. As this demographic grows, it is increasingly important to cater to their shopping preferences. This study explores the behaviours, needs, and challenges of Croatian consumers aged 60+ through qualitative semi-structured interviews. Findings indicate that older urban customers in Croatia prioritise quality over price, are brand-loyal yet discerning, and balance price consciousness for necessities with the willingness to spend on desired items. The study contributes to consumer behaviour theory by highlighting older consumers’ selective brand loyalty and self-directed decision making. It expands on ageing population theories by challenging assumptions that older consumers are passive shoppers, emphasising their preference for informed, self-directed purchasing. From a retail strategy perspective, it emphasises experience-based retailing, advocating for enhanced customer service, clear store navigation, and tailored marketing. Practically, our research provides actionable insights for retailers to optimise service, enhance operational efficiency, and improve profitability. Adapting retail environments to better serve older customers can foster a more engaging and rewarding shopping experience, benefiting both consumers and businesses. Full article
55 pages, 10087 KiB  
Article
Evolutionary Game Theory-Based Analysis of Power Producers’ Carbon Emission Reduction Strategies and Multi-Group Bidding Dynamics in the Low-Carbon Electricity Market
by Jianlin Tang, Bin Qian, Yi Luo, Xiaoming Lin, Mi Zhou, Fan Zhang and Haolin Wang
Processes 2025, 13(4), 952; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13040952 - 23 Mar 2025
Viewed by 618
Abstract
China’s power generation system has undergone reforms, leading to a competitive electricity market where independent producers participate through competitive bidding. With the rise of low-carbon policies, producers must optimize bidding strategies while reducing carbon emissions, creating complex interactions with local governments. Evolutionary game [...] Read more.
China’s power generation system has undergone reforms, leading to a competitive electricity market where independent producers participate through competitive bidding. With the rise of low-carbon policies, producers must optimize bidding strategies while reducing carbon emissions, creating complex interactions with local governments. Evolutionary game theory (EGT) is well-suited to analyze these dynamics. This study begins by summarizing the fundamental concepts of electricity trading markets, including transaction models, bidding mechanisms, and carbon reduction strategies. Existing research on the application of evolutionary game theory in power markets is reviewed, with a focus on theoretical constructs such as evolutionary stable strategies and replicator dynamics. Based on this foundation, the study conducts a detailed mathematical analysis of symmetric and asymmetric two-group evolutionary game models in general market scenarios. Building upon these models, a three-group evolutionary game framework is developed to analyze interactions within power producer groups and between producers and regulators under low-carbon mechanisms. A core innovation of this study is the incorporation of a case study based on China’s electricity market, which examines the evolutionary dynamics between local governments and power producers regarding carbon reduction strategies. This includes analyzing how regulatory incentives, market-clearing prices, and demand-side factors influence producers’ bidding and emission reduction behaviors. The study also provides a detailed analysis of the bidding strategies for small, medium, and large power producers, revealing the significant impact of carbon pricing and market-clearing prices on strategic decision-making. Specifically, the study finds that small producers tend to adopt more conservative bidding strategies, aligning closely with market-clearing prices, while large producers take advantage of economies of scale, adjusting their strategies at higher capacities. The study explores the conditions under which carbon emission reduction strategies achieve stable equilibrium, as well as the implications of these equilibria for both market efficiency and environmental sustainability. The study reveals that integrating carbon reduction strategies into power market dynamics significantly impacts bidding behaviors and long-term market stability, especially under the influence of governmental penalties and incentives. The findings provide actionable insights for both power producers and policymakers, contributing to the advancement of low-carbon market theories and supporting the global transition to sustainable energy systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Process Systems Engineering for Environmental Protection)
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