Search Results (157)

Since the mid-1980s, the Mediterranean Sea’s surface and deeper layers have warmed at unprecedented rates, with recent projections identifying it as one of the regions most impacted by rising global temperatures. Metrics that characterize phytoplankton abundance, phenology and size structure are widely utilized as ecological indicators that enable a quantitative assessment of the status of marine ecosystems in response to environmental change. Here, using an extensive, updated in situ pigment dataset collated from numerous past research campaigns across the Mediterranean Sea, we re-parameterized an abundance-based phytoplankton size class model that infers Chl-a concentration in three phytoplankton size classes: pico- (<2 μm), nano- (2–20 μm) and micro-phytoplankton (>20 μm). Following recent advancements made within this category of size class models, we also incorporated information of sea surface temperature (SST) into the model parameterization. By tying model parameters to SST, the performance of the re-parameterized model was improved based on comparisons with concurrent, independent in situ measurements. Similarly, the application of the model to remotely sensed ocean color observations revealed strong agreement between satellite-derived estimates of phytoplankton size structure and in situ observations, with a performance comparable to the current regional operational datasets on size structure. The proposed conceptual regional model, parameterized with the most extended in situ pigment dataset available to date for the area, serves as a suitable foundation for long-term (1997–present) analyses on phytoplankton size structure and ecological indicators (i.e., phenology), ultimately linking higher trophic level responses to a changing Mediterranean Sea. Full article

Accurately and timely estimating three-dimensional ocean states is crucial for improving operational ocean forecasting capabilities. Although satellite observations provide valuable evolutionary information, they are confined to surface-level variables. While in situ observations can offer subsurface information, their spatiotemporal distribution is highly uneven, making it difficult to obtain complete three-dimensional ocean structures. This study developed an operational-oriented lightweight framework for three-dimensional ocean state reconstruction by integrating multi-source observations through a computationally efficient multivariate empirical orthogonal function (MEOF) method. The MEOF method can extract physically consistent multivariate ocean evolution modes from high-resolution reanalysis data. We utilized these modes to further integrate satellite remote sensing and buoy observation data, thereby establishing physical connections between the sea surface and subsurface. The framework was tested in the South China Sea, with optimal data integration schemes determined for different reconstruction variables. The experimental results demonstrate that the sea surface height (SSH) and sea surface temperature (SST) are the key factors determining the subsurface temperature reconstruction, while the sea surface salinity (SSS) plays a primary role in enhancing salinity estimation. Meanwhile, current fields are most effectively reconstructed using SSH alone. The evaluations show that the reconstruction results exhibited high consistency with independent Argo observations, outperforming traditional baseline methods and effectively capturing the vertical structure of ocean eddies. Additionally, the framework can easily integrate sparse in situ observations to further improve the reconstruction performance. The high computational efficiency and reasonable reconstruction results confirm the feasibility and reliability of this framework for operational applications. Full article

Monitoring bottom dissolved oxygen (DO) is crucial for understanding hypoxia, a threat to marine ecosystems and fisheries. However, traditional observations are limited in spatiotemporal coverage, while numerical models consume tremendous computing resources. This study develops an interpretable machine learning framework to simulate the bottom DO distribution on the East China Sea (ECS) shelf and explore its potential driving mechanisms. By integrating remote sensing, in situ observations, and numerical model outputs, the framework generates high-resolution (4 km) DO estimates from 1998 to 2024. Validation against independent datasets confirms the improved accuracy and spatial resolution, with an RMSE below 1 mg/L. The results reveal a persistent decline in DO, strongly linked to rising sea surface temperature (SST), underscoring the role of surface warming in bottom water deoxygenation. Model interpretability further identifies the SST and bathymetry as key factors. This framework provides a robust tool for assessing bottom DO trends, hypoxia, and their ecological impacts, supporting future monitoring and management of the ECS shelf. Full article

Sea surface temperature (SST) plays a pivotal role in air–sea interactions, with implications for climate, weather, and marine ecosystems, particularly in regions like the Caribbean Sea, where upwelling and dynamic oceanographic processes significantly influence biodiversity and fisheries. This study evaluates the performance of foundational models, Chronos and Lag-Llama, in forecasting SST using 22 years (2002–2023) of high-resolution satellite-derived and in situ data. The Chronos model, leveraging zero-shot learning and tokenization methods, consistently outperformed Lag-Llama across all forecast horizons, demonstrating lower errors and greater stability, especially in regions of moderate SST variability. The Chronos model’s ability to forecast extreme upwelling events is assessed, and a description of such events is presented for two regions in the southern Caribbean upwelling system. The Chronos forecast resembles SST variability in upwelling regions for forecast horizons of up to 7 days, providing reliable short-term predictions. Beyond this, the model exhibits increased bias and error, particularly in regions with strong SST gradients and high variability associated with coastal upwelling processes. The findings highlight the advantages of foundational models, including reduced computational demands and adaptability across diverse tasks, while also underscoring their limitations in regions with complex physical oceanographic phenomena. This study establishes a benchmark for SST forecasting using foundational models and emphasizes the need for hybrid approaches integrating physical principles to improve accuracy in dynamic and ecologically critical regions. Full article

We present a modified version of a coupled circulation–wave modelling system for the northwest Atlantic (CWMS-NWA) by including additional physics associated with wave–current interactions. The latest modifications include a parameterization of Langmuir turbulence and surface flux of turbulent kinetic energy from wave breaking in vertical mixing. The performance of the modified version of CWMS-NWA during Hurricane Arthur in 2014 is assessed using in situ measurements and satellite data. Several error statistics are used to evaluate the model performance, including correlation (R), root mean square error (RMSE), normalized model variance of model errors (${\gamma }^2$) and relative bias (RB). It is found that the simulated surface waves (R ≈ 94.0%, RMSE ≈ 27.5 cm, ${\gamma }^2\approx$ 0.16) and surface elevations (R ≈ 97.3%, RMSE ≈ 24.0 cm, ${\gamma }^2\approx$ 0.07) are in a good agreement with observations. The large-scale circulation, hydrography and associated storm-induced changes in the upper ocean during Arthur are reproduced satisfactorily by the modified version of CWMS-NWA. Relative to satellite observations of the daily averaged sea surface temperature (SST), the model reproduces large-scale features as demonstrated by the error metrics: R ≈ 97.8%, RMSE ≈ 1.6 °C and RB ≈ 8.6 $\times {10}^{-3}$°C. Full article

This study introduces soil squeezing technology (SST) as an innovative approach to soil improvement that addresses the limitations of conventional methods in urban geotechnical projects. Unlike traditional in situ mixing, SST uses displacement, compaction, and controlled solidification to effectively increase soil cohesion and strength while reducing voids. By minimizing reliance on large mixing plants and bulky machinery, SST offers significant advantages in confined urban spaces, providing accessibility and operational efficiency. This paper describes the mechanism of SST, field application procedures, and adaptability to different soil types including humus and organic-rich soils. The compaction-driven approach ensures the consistent formation of dense, high-strength columnar soil structures, even in challenging geotechnical environments. Field studies demonstrate SST’s superior bearing capacity, uniformity, and reduced site disturbance compared to conventional methods, making it suitable for modern infrastructure. Quality control through real-time inspection further highlights the operational reliability of SST. This research underscores SST’s potential as a cost-effective, scalable solution that meets the stringent demands of urban development while minimizing environmental impact and optimizing resource use. Full article

Satellite-retrieved sea-surface skin temperature (SST_skin) is essential for many Near-Real-Time studies. This study aimed to assess the potential to improve the accuracy of satellite-based SST_skin retrieval in the Caribbean region by using atmospheric correction algorithms based on four readily available machine learning (ML) approaches: eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), and the Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The ML models were trained on an extensive dataset comprising in situ SST measurements and atmospheric state parameters obtained from satellite products, reanalyzed datasets, research cruises, surface moorings, and drifting buoys. The benefits and shortcomings of various ML methods were assessed through comparisons with withheld in situ measurements. The results demonstrate that the ML-based algorithms achieve promising accuracy, with mean biases within 0.07 K when compared with the buoy data and ranging from −0.107 K to 0.179 K relative to the ship-derived SST_skin data. Notably, both XGBoost and RF stand out for their superior correlation and efficacy in the statistical results of validation. The improved SST_skin derived using the ML-based algorithms could enhance our understanding of vital oceanic and atmospheric characteristics and have the potential to reduce uncertainty in oceanographic, meteorological, and climate research. Full article

Understanding and monitoring nearshore environments is essential, given that these fine-scaled ecosystems are integral to human well-being. While satellites offer an opportunity to gain synchronous and spatially extensive data of coastal areas, off-the-shelf calibrated satellite sea surface temperature (SST) measurements have only been available at coarse resolutions of 1 km or larger. In this study, we develop a novel methodology to create a simple linear equation to calibrate fine-scale Landsat thermal infrared radiation brightness temperatures (calibrated for land sensing) to derive SST at a resolution of 100 m. The constants of this equation are derived from correlations of coincident MODIS SST and Landsat data, which we filter to find optimal pairs. Validation against in situ sensor data at varying distances from the shore in Northern California shows that our SST estimates are more accurate than prior off-the-shelf Landsat data calibrated for land surfaces. These fine-scale SST estimates also demonstrate superior accuracy compared with coincident MODIS SST estimates. The root mean square error for our minimally filtered dataset (n = 557 images) ranges from 0.76 to 1.20 °C with correlation coefficients from r = 0.73 to 0.92, and for our optimal dataset (n = 229 images), the error is from 0.62 to 0.98 °C with correlations from r = 0.83 to 0.92. Potential error sources related to stratification and seasonality are examined and we conclude that Landsat data represent skin temperatures with an error between 0.62 and 0.73 °C. We discuss the utility of our methodology for enhancing coastal monitoring efforts and capturing previously unseen spatial complexity. Testing the calibration methodology on Landsat images before and after the temporal bounds of accurate MODIS SST measurements shows successful calibration with lower errors than the off-the-shelf, land-calibrated Landsat product, extending the applicability of our approach. This new approach for obtaining high-resolution SST data in nearshore waters may be applied to other upwelling regions globally, contributing to improved coastal monitoring, management, and research. Full article

Numerical weather prediction of sea surface temperature (SST) is crucial for regional operational forecasts. Deep learning offers an alternative approach to traditional numerical general circulation models for numerical weather prediction. In our previous work, we developed a sophisticated deep learning model known as the Attention-based Context Fusion Network (ACFN). This model integrates an attention mechanism with a convolutional neural network framework. In this study, we applied the ACFN model to the South China Sea to evaluate its performance in predicting SST. The results indicate that for a 1-day lead time, the ACFN model achieves a Mean Absolute Error of 0.215 °C and a coefficient of determination ($R^2$) of 0.972. In addition, in situ buoy data were utilized to validate the forecast results. The Mean Absolute Error for forecasts using these data increased to 0.500 °C for a 1-day lead time, with a corresponding $R^2$ of 0.590. Comparative analyses show that the ACFN model surpasses traditional models such as ConvLSTM and PredRNN in terms of accuracy and reliability. Full article

As a contribution to the Integrated Marine Observing System (IMOS), the Bureau of Meteorology introduces new reprocessed Himawari-8 satellite-derived Sea Surface Temperature (SST) products. The Radiative Transfer Model and a Bayesian cloud clearing method is used to retrieve SSTs every 10 min from the geostationary satellite Himawari-8. An empirical Sensor Specific Error Statistics (SSES) model, introduced herein, is applied to calculate bias and standard deviation for the retrieved SSTs. The SST retrieval and compositing method, along with validation results, are discussed. The monthly statistics for comparisons of Himawari-8 Level 2 Product (L2P) skin SST against in situ SST quality monitoring (iQuam) in situ SST datasets, adjusted for thermal stratification, showed a mean bias of −0.2/−0.1 K and a standard deviation of 0.4–0.7 K for daytime/night-time after bias correction, where satellite zenith angles were less than 60° and the quality level was greater than 2. For ease of use, these native resolution SST data have been composited using a method introduced herein that retains retrieved measurements, to hourly, 4-hourly and daily SST products, and projected onto the rectangular IMOS 0.02 degree grid. On average, 4-hourly products cover ≈$10\%$ more of the IMOS domain, while one-night composites cover ≈$25\%$ more of the IMOS domain than a typical 1 h composite. All available Himawari-8 data have been reprocessed for the September 2015–December 2022 period. The 10 min temporal resolution of the newly developed Himawari-8 SST data enables a daily composite with enhanced spatial coverage, effectively filling in SST gaps caused by transient clouds occlusion. Anticipated benefits of the new Himawari-8 products include enhanced data quality for applications like IMOS OceanCurrent and investigations into marine thermal stress, marine heatwaves, and ocean upwelling in near-coastal regions. Full article

Over the past few decades, the oceans have stored the majority of the excess heat in the climate system resulting from anthropogenic emissions. An accurate, long-term sea surface temperature (SST) dataset is essential for monitoring and researching the changes to the global oceans. A variety of SST datasets have been produced by various institutes over the years, and here, we present a new SST data record produced originally within the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (which is therefore named CMEMS v2.0) and assess: (1) its accuracy compared to independent observations; (2) how it compares with the previous version (named CMEMS v1.2); and (3) its performance during two major volcanic eruptions. By comparing both versions of the CMEMS datasets using independent in situ observations, we show that both datasets are within the target accuracy of 0.1 K, but that CMEMS v2.0 is closer to the ground truth. The uncertainty fields generated by the two analyses were also compared, and CMEMS v2.0 was found to provide a more accurate estimate of its own uncertainties. Frequency and vector analysis of the SST fields determined that CMEMS v2.0 feature resolution and horizontal gradients were also superior, indicating that it resolved oceanic features with greater clarity. The behavior of the two analyses during two volcanic eruption events (Mt. Pinatubo and El Chichón) was examined. A comparison with the HadSST4 gridded in situ dataset suggested a cool bias in the CMEMS v2.0 dataset versus the v1.2 dataset following the Pinatubo eruption, although a comparison with sparser buoy-only observations yielded less clear results. No clear impact of the El Chichón eruption (which was a smaller event than Mt. Pinatubo) on CMEMS v2.0 was found. Overall, with the exception of a few specific and extreme events early in the time series, CMEMS v2.0 possesses high accuracy, resolution, and stability and is recommended to users. Full article

Sea surface salinity (SSS) observed by satellite has been widely used since the successful launch of the first salinity satellite in 2009. However, compared with other oceanographic satellite products (e.g., sea surface temperature, SST) that became operational in the 1980s, the SSS product is less mature and lacks effective validation from the user end. We employed an unsupervised machine learning approach to classify the Level 3 SSS bias from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellite and its observing environment. The classification model divides the samples into fifteen classes based on four variables: satellite SSS bias, SST, rain rate, and wind speed. SST is one of the most significant factors influencing the classification. In regions with cold SST, satellite SSS has an accuracy of less than 0.2 PSU (Practical Salinity Unit), mainly due to the higher uncertainty in the cold environment. A small number of observations near the seawater freezing point show a significant fresh bias caused by sea ice. A systematic bias of the SMAP SSS product is found in the mid-latitudes: positive bias tends to occur north (south) of 45°N(S) and negative bias is more common in 25°N(S)–45°N(S) bands, likely associated with the SMAP calibration scheme. A significant bias also occurs in regions with strong ocean currents and eddy activities, likely due to spatial mismatch in the highly dynamic background. Notably, satellite SSS and in situ data correlations remain good in similar environments with weaker ocean dynamic activities, implying that satellite salinity data are reliable in dynamically active regions for capturing high-resolution details. The features of the SMAP SSS shown in this work call for careful consideration by the data user community when interpreting biased values. Full article

This paper aims to analyze the North Brazil Current (NBC) rings during the initial 5 months of 2020 using surface currents derived from Automatic Identification System (AIS) data in comparison with altimetry-based Archiving, Validation and Interpretation of Satellite Oceanographic Data (AVISO) current fields. The region of NBC rings is characterized by relatively high marine traffic, facilitating an accurate current estimation. Our investigation primarily focused on a brief period coinciding with intensive in situ measurements (EUREC4A-OA experiment). The Angular Momentum Eddy Detection and tracking Algorithm (AMEDA) detection algorithm was then employed to detect and track eddies in both fields. Subsequently, a particular NBC ring present in the region in January and February 2020 was examined. The comparison demonstrated that AIS data exhibited the precision and resolution necessary to effectively identify the NBC rings and smaller surrounding eddies, aligning well with other datasets such as in situ measurements, sea surface temperature (SST), and sea surface salinity (SSS) data. Moreover, we established that AIS data yielded accurate regional velocity fields, as evidenced by an analysis of energy spectra. Furthermore, our analysis revealed that AIS data captured aspects of eddy–eddy interactions which were not adequately depicted in AVISO fields. Full article

The Fengyun-4B (FY-4B) satellite is currently the primary operational geostationary meteorological satellite in China, replacing the previous FY-4A satellite. The advanced geostationary radiation imager (AGRI) aboard the FY-4B satellite provides an operational sea surface temperature (SST) product with a high observation frequency of 15 min. This paper conducts the first data quality assessment of operational SST products from the FY-4B/AGRI using quality-controlled measured SSTs from the in situ SST quality monitor dataset and foundation SSTs produced by the operational sea surface temperature and sea ice analysis (OSTIA) system from July 2023 to January 2024. The FY-4B/AGRI SST product provides a data quality level flag on a pixel-by-pixel basis. Accuracy evaluations are conducted on the FY-4B/AGRI SST product with different data quality levels. The results indicate that the FY-4B/AGRI operational SST generally has a negative mean bias compared to in situ SST and OSTIA SST, and that the accuracy of the FY-4B/AGRI SST, with an excellent quality level, can meet the needs of practical applications. The FY-4B/AGRI SST with an excellent quality level demonstrates a strong correlation with in situ SST and OSTIA SST, with a correlation coefficient R exceeding 0.99. Compared with in situ SST, the bias, root mean square error (RMSE), and unbiased RMSE (ubRMSE) of the FY-4B/AGRI SST with an excellent quality level are −0.19, 0.66, and 0.63 °C in daytime, and −0.15, 0.70, and 0.68 °C at night, respectively. Compared with OSTIA SST, the bias, RMSE, and ubRMSE of the FY-4B/AGRI SST with an excellent data quality level are −0.10, 0.64, and 0.63 °C in daytime, and −0.13, 0.68, and 0.67 °C at night. The FY-4B/AGRI SST tends to underestimate the sea water temperature in mid–low-latitude regions, while it tends to overestimate sea water temperature in high-latitude regions and near the edges of the full disk. The time-varying validation of FY-4B/AGRI SST accuracy shows weak fluctuations with a period of 3–4 months. Hourly accuracy verification shows that the difference between the FY-4B/AGRI SST and OSTIA SST reflects a diurnal effect. However, FY-4B/AGRI SST products need to be used with caution around midnight to avoid an abnormal accuracy. This paper also discusses the relationships between the FY-4B/AGRI SST and satellite zenith angle, water vapor content, wind speed, and in situ SST, which have an undeniable impact on the underestimation of the FY-4B/AGRI operational SST. The accuracy of the FY-4B/AGRI operational SST retrieval algorithm still needs to be further improved in the future. Full article

The Madeira River, a major tributary of the Amazon River, often undergoes severe flood and drought conditions. This study seeks to investigate the climate processes associated with the opposing extreme precipitation events in the Madeira River basin and to relate them to river discharge variability based on a flood awareness dataset. Despite the uncertainty in the observational datasets, the annual precipitation cycle exhibits a rainy season from November to March. A significant result is the high correlation between the rainy season variability in the Madeira River basin and the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical North Atlantic Ocean and the southwestern South Atlantic Ocean. This result indicates that improving the Atlantic SST representation in climate modeling allows for capturing extreme precipitation events in the region. In addition to this impact, certain Madeira River tributaries present significant climate trends. The river discharge variability reveals an increase in hydrological extremes in recent years in the upper sector, but more significantly, in the lower basin, where it has reduced by more than 400 m³/s per decade. These findings highlight the need to improve in situ data and climate and hydrological modeling, with a focus on describing the intense climate variability and trends in river discharges. Full article